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XAUUSD - Brian | H1 AnalysisXAUUSD – Brian | H1 Technical Outlook – SELL Bias Aligned With the Main Trend Gold is entering a strong corrective phase after forming a short-term top, with the H1 structure clearly shifting to the downside. The latest bearish leg is impulsive in nature, reflecting active position unwinding and short-term distribution following the prior extended rally. In this environment, the preferred approach is to prioritize sell setups in line with the dominant intraday trend, focusing on reactions around key psychological and value-based levels. Market Structure & Price Behaviour The previous bullish structure has been invalidated by a sharp downside break, confirming a structure shift on H1. Price is now trading below prior value areas, suggesting a transition from expansion into pullback and continuation to the downside. Upward moves at this stage are likely to be corrective rallies rather than trend reversals, offering potential sell opportunities. Key Psychological & Technical Zones 1) Trend-Following SELL Zone Sell VAL: 5,048 – 5,051 This zone represents the lower value area of the most recent distribution range and is acting as a psychological resistance within the current bearish context. Reactions here are critical for assessing sell-side continuation. 2) Near-Term Balance Level The 5,000 psychological level remains a focal point for intraday volatility. How price behaves around this round number will help determine momentum continuation. 3) Deeper BUY Zone (Not a Day-Trade Focus) Buy Zone VAL: 4,450 – 4,455 This is a broader structural support area and should be treated as an observation zone rather than an active buying entry during the current session. Intraday Trading Bias Primary bias: SELL, aligned with the current H1 trend Strategy: Look to sell corrective pullbacks into key psychological and value zones Risk note: Avoid counter-trend buying positions while the bearish structure remains intact In volatile conditions, following the dominant structure and waiting for price reactions at key levels is more effective than attempting to pick bottoms. Refer to the chart for a detailed view of structure and highlighted zones. Follow the TradingView channel for early market structure updates and ongoing analysis. If you want: a shorter intraday note, a more neutral tone, or an alternative version in UK / Indian English, just say the word and I’ll adjust it for you 👌
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – H4 Outlook: Liquidity ResetFebruary has opened with heightened volatility across global markets, and gold is no exception. After a strong upside run, XAUUSD has experienced a sharp corrective move, driven largely by deleveraging flows rather than a structural trend reversal. Current price action suggests gold is entering a rebalancing phase, where liquidity is being cleared before the market can attempt a renewed push higher. 📈 Market Structure & Higher-Timeframe Context Gold previously traded in a strong bullish structure, but the recent sell-off marked a clear market structure shift (MSS) on the H4 timeframe. The impulsive decline swept sell-side liquidity below prior consolidation zones, a typical behavior after an extended rally. Despite the speed of the drop, price is now approaching key support and demand areas, where selling pressure may begin to slow. This type of move often reflects position reduction and risk-off behavior, not the end of the broader bullish narrative. 🔍 Key Zones to Monitor Primary Support / Buy Zone: ~4,280 – 4,350 This area represents a strong demand zone where price may stabilize and form a base. Short-Term Reaction Zone: ~4,450 – 4,500 A zone where price could oscillate during consolidation, suitable for short-term reactions rather than trend trades. Sell-Side Liquidity Cleared: The recent drop has already taken liquidity below previous lows, reducing immediate downside pressure. Upside Rebalance Zones (FVG / Supply): ~4,850 – 4,900 ~5,200 – 5,350 These areas are likely to act as resistance during any recovery phase. 🎯 Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Controlled Correction (Base Case): Gold may continue to range or dip modestly into the 4,280–4,350 support zone, allowing the market to complete its liquidity reset. Holding this area would keep the broader bullish structure intact. Scenario 2 – Recovery After Stabilization: Once selling pressure is absorbed, price may begin a gradual recovery, targeting the 4,850–4,900 zone first. Acceptance above this level would open the door toward higher resistance areas. Scenario 3 – Deeper Reset (Lower Probability): A clean break below the main support would suggest a deeper correction, but at this stage, such a move would still be viewed as corrective within a larger cycle, not a full trend reversal. 🌍 Macro Backdrop (Brief) The sharp sell-off in gold, silver, equities, and crypto reflects a global deleveraging wave, intensified by rising geopolitical risks and shifting risk sentiment. In such environments, gold often experiences short-term drawdowns, even as its longer-term role as a hedge remains intact. This reinforces the idea that the current move is more about resetting positioning than changing long-term direction. 🧠 Lana’s View Gold is not in a hurry. After a powerful run, the market often needs to pause, rebalance, and absorb liquidity before the next meaningful expansion. Lana remains patient, focusing on how price behaves around key H4 support zones, rather than reacting emotionally to volatility. ✨ Let the correction do its work. Structure will guide the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD (H4) – Liam Weekly ForecastXAUUSD (H4) – Liam Weekly Outlook Uptrend under pressure, but not broken | Focus on retests and reactions Quick summary Gold has experienced a sharp corrective move after an extended bullish run. The recent sell-off has broken the steep short-term uptrend, but price has not confirmed a full trend reversal on H4. At this stage, the market is transitioning into a rebalancing phase. For the coming week, the edge is not in predicting direction, but in trading reactions at key structure, Fibonacci, and FVG levels. Market structure overview The prior bullish trend has lost momentum after a vertical expansion. Price has broken below the aggressive trendline, signaling trend exhaustion, not automatic reversal. Current price action suggests a corrective structure with potential for range development or trend resumption after liquidity is rebalanced. ➡️ Bias remains neutral-to-bullish, conditional on how price reacts at key levels. Key technical zones for the week Primary buy-on-retest zone: trendline retest area around 4850 – 4900 This area has already shown reaction and acts as the first decision point for buyers. Fibonacci 0.618 / key reaction zone: 5030 – 5050 A pivotal mid-range level. Acceptance above favors continuation; rejection keeps price corrective. FVG + Fibonacci confluence: 5235 – 5260 This is a major imbalance zone. If price rallies into this area, expect strong reaction and two-sided trade. Lower liquidity / value zone: 4540 area This remains the deeper downside objective if higher levels fail to hold and the correction expands. Weekly scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) Scenario A – Trendline retest holds (bullish continuation) If price continues to hold above the trendline retest zone and builds higher lows: Look for bullish continuation toward 5030 → 5235 Break and acceptance above the FVG zone would reopen upside continuation potential. Logic: This confirms the move as a healthy correction within a broader bullish structure. Scenario B – Rejection from mid-range (extended correction) If price fails to reclaim and hold above 5030 – 5050: Expect choppy, corrective price action Risk shifts toward a deeper pullback into 4540 Logic: Failure to hold the 0.618 zone keeps the market in rebalancing mode. Scenario C – FVG test and rejection If price rallies aggressively into 5235 – 5260: This zone favors reaction and profit-taking Acceptance above is required for any sustained bullish continuation. Logic: FVG zones after strong sell-offs often act as distribution or reaction points before direction is decided. Key notes for the week Volatility remains elevated after the sell-off — expect false breaks. Avoid mid-range trades without confirmation. Let price prove acceptance or rejection at levels before committing. This is a week for patience and execution, not conviction. Weekly focus: Will gold hold the trendline retest and rebuild higher, or fail at the 5030–5050 zone and rotate deeper into value? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
XAUUSD – Brian | 30M – Value Shift AfterXAUUSD – Brian | 30M – Value Shift After a Sharp Volatility Move Gold has just experienced a significant volatility event, with price selling off aggressively from the highs before rebounding sharply. The market is now trading around a newly formed value area, a typical behavior when price transitions from expansion into a rebalancing phase. In this environment, value and POC levels tend to guide price more effectively than individual candles. Macro Context (Brief) Market sentiment remains sensitive to macro risks, including commodity volatility, geopolitical tensions, and monetary policy expectations. Gold ETF holdings have shown no meaningful change recently, suggesting no clear signs of institutional liquidation. The current volatility therefore appears more consistent with a positioning adjustment rather than a broader trend reversal. Technical Analysis from the Chart (30M) Following the sharp sell-off, price is now forming a well-defined trading range, with value areas acting as key reference points: 1) Upper Supply / Reaction Zones POC – SELL: 5,531–5,526 The previous high-value zone, where selling pressure may re-emerge if price retraces higher. Sell VAH: 5,365–5,369 The value area high, typically a reaction zone if distribution pressure remains present. 2) Current Balance Area The 5,180–5,200 region is currently acting as a balancing zone after the volatility. Acceptance and consolidation above this area would increase the probability of a move back towards the VAH. 3) Lower Demand / Support Zones POC Buy (scalping): 5,187 A short-term support area for technical reactions. Buy VAL – Support: 5,058–5,064 The most important lower support zone. If a deeper liquidity sweep occurs, this area is likely to attract attention for potential absorption and short-term reversal. Price Scenarios (Structure-Based) Scenario A (Preferred if value holds): Price holds above 5,180–5,200 → recovery towards 5,365–5,369 (VAH). Scenario B (Rejection from above): Price retraces into the VAH zone but faces clear rejection → rotation back towards the 5,187 / 5,180 area. Scenario C (Deeper liquidation): Loss of 5,180 → liquidity sweep into 5,058–5,064 (VAL) before attempting to rebuild. Key Takeaway In a rebalancing phase, value acceptance matters more than directional prediction. Focus on how price behaves around 5,180–5,200, the reaction at 5,365–5,369, and whether deeper support at 5,058–5,064 attracts meaningful buying interest. Refer to the chart for detailed POC, VAH and VAL levels. Follow the TradingView channel to receive early structure insights and join the discussion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam Weekly Risk StrategyXAUUSD (H2) – Liam Weekly Risk Plan Late-stage rally into macro risk | Sell premium, buy liquidity only Quick summary Gold continues to push higher, driven by escalating geopolitical and macro risk: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 US–Iran tensions remain elevated 🏦 FOMC: ~99% Fed holds rates, with a high chance of hawkish guidance from Powell 🇺🇸 US government shutdown risk later this week This is a classic environment for headline spikes and liquidity grabs. Price is now trading at premium levels, so the edge shifts to reaction trading, not chasing strength. Macro context (supportive, but dangerous to chase) Geopolitical stress keeps safe-haven demand alive. A hawkish Fed message can trigger sharp USD/yield reactions, even if rates are unchanged. Government shutdown headlines often produce fast whipsaws, not clean trends. ➡️ Conclusion: volatility will increase, but direction will be decided at liquidity levels — not by the news itself. Technical view (H2 – based on the chart) Gold is in a strong bullish structure, but price has entered a late-stage expansion after multiple impulsive legs. Key levels from the chart: ✅ Major SELL zone (premium / exhaustion): 5155 – 5234 ✅ Current impulsive high area: ~5060 ✅ Buy-side liquidity (already built): 4700 – 4800 ✅ Sell-side liquidity / value zone: 4550 – 4600 The structure suggests a high probability path: push higher to clear buy-side liquidity → rotate lower into sell-side liquidity. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1️⃣ SELL scenarios (priority – distribution at premium) A. SELL at premium extension (primary idea) ✅ Sell zone: 5155 – 5234 Condition: rejection / loss of momentum on M15–H1 SL: above the high TP1: 5000 TP2: 4800 TP3: 4600 (sell-side liquidity) Logic: This zone represents late buyers and FOMO entries. Ideal area for distribution and mean rotation, especially during macro headlines. B. SELL failed continuation ✅ If price spikes above 5060 but fails to hold (fake breakout): Sell on lower-TF breakdown TP: 4800 → 4600 Logic: Headline-driven spikes often fail after liquidity is taken. 2️⃣ BUY scenario (secondary – value only) BUY only at sell-side liquidity ✅ Buy zone: 4550 – 4600 Condition: liquidity sweep + strong bullish reaction TP: 4800 → 5000+ Logic: This is the first area where long-term buyers regain R:R advantage. No interest in buying above value. Key notes for the week Expect false breaks around FOMC. Reduce size during Powell’s speech. Avoid mid-range entries between 4800–5000. Patience pays more than prediction. What’s your bias this week: selling the 5155–5234 premium zone, or waiting for a deeper pullback into 4600 liquidity before reassessing? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LA_Trader_Fx
XAUUSD – H1 Outlook: New All-Time HighXAUUSD – H1 Outlook: New ATH, Now Watch the Pullback Structure | Lana ✨ Gold has printed fresh all-time highs and is now trading near the $5,100 psychological area. After six consecutive bullish sessions, the trend is still strong — but at these levels, the market often needs a controlled pullback to rebalance liquidity before the next expansion. 📌 Quick Summary Trend: Bullish (strong momentum, new ATH) Timeframe: H1 Focus: Don’t chase highs → wait for pullback into structure Key idea: Pullback → hold support → continuation toward upper supply 📈 Market Structure & Price Action Price is moving inside a bullish expansion leg, and the current area is a typical “extended” zone where volatility can increase. A pullback toward the first clean structural support is healthy and often needed after a steep rally. As long as price holds above key supports, the bias remains continuation, not reversal. 🔍 Key Zones From the Chart 1) Upper Supply / Profit-taking Area 5100–5130 (approx.) This is the area where price is likely to face selling pressure / profit-taking, especially after a vertical rally. 2) Primary Support (Pullback Buy Zone) 5000–5020 This is the most important “structure retest” area on the chart — a logical zone for price to rebalance before continuation. 3) Deeper Value Zone (If Pullback Extends) 4750–4800 (Fibo value cluster on chart) If the market pulls deeper, this becomes the more attractive value zone to watch for stronger reactions. 4) Major Demand Zone (Extreme Support) 4590–4630 (lower purple demand area) This is a deeper base zone if the market shifts into a larger correction. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (Structure-Based) ✅ Scenario A (Primary): Buy the Pullback Into Structure Buy Entry: 5005 – 5015 SL: 4995 – 5000 (8–10 points below entry) TP Targets (scale out): TP1: 5065 – 5075 (retest of recent high) TP2: 5100 (psychological milestone) TP3: 5125 – 5135 (upper supply / extension zone) TP4: 5150+ (if breakout accepts) Idea: Let price come back to support, confirm, then ride the trend — no chasing. ✅ Scenario B (Alternative): Deeper Pullback Into Value If price fails to hold 5000–5020 and dips deeper: Buy Entry: 4760 – 4790 SL: 4750 – 4755 TP Targets: TP1: 4900 TP2: 5000 TP3: 5100 TP4: 5125 – 5135 🌍 Macro Context (Short & Relevant) Gold’s upside momentum is being supported by: Safe-haven flows amid ongoing geopolitical and trade uncertainty Expectations of further Fed easing Continued central bank buying Strong inflows into ETFs This backdrop helps explain why pullbacks are more likely to be profit-taking and positioning, not a structural trend change. ✨ Lana’s View Gold is bullish — but the best trades usually come from patience, not excitement. At ATH levels, Lana prefers buying pullbacks into structure, scaling out into targets, and letting the market do the work.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
2
XAUUSD – H2 Technical AnalysisXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook: Liquidity Pullback Within a Strong Bullish Structure | Lana ✨ Gold continues to trade within a well-defined bullish structure on the H2 timeframe. The recent surge was impulsive, followed by a healthy retracement that appears to be rebalancing liquidity rather than signaling a trend reversal. Price action remains constructive as long as the market respects key structural levels and the ascending trendline. 📈 Market Structure & Trend Context The overall trend remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows still intact. Price continues to respect the ascending trendline, which has acted as reliable dynamic support throughout the uptrend. The recent pullback occurred after an aggressive upside expansion, fitting the classic sequence: Impulse → Pullback → Continuation No clear distribution pattern is visible at this stage. As long as structural support holds, the bias remains BUY on pullbacks, not selling strength. 🔍 Key Technical Zones & Value Areas Primary Buy POC Zone: 4764 – 4770 This area represents a high-volume node (POC) and aligns closely with the rising trendline. It is a natural zone where price may rebalance before resuming the bullish trend. Secondary Value Area (VAL–VAH): 4714 – 4718 A deeper liquidity zone that could act as support if sell pressure temporarily increases. Near-term resistance: 4843 Acceptance above this level strengthens the continuation scenario. Psychological reaction zone: 4900 Likely to generate short-term hesitation or profit-taking. Higher-timeframe expansion targets: 5000 (psychological level) 2.618 Fibonacci extension, where major liquidity may be resting. 🎯 Trading Plan – H2 Structure-Based ✅ Primary Scenario: BUY the Pullback Buy Entry: 👉 4766 – 4770 Lana prefers to engage only if price pulls back into the POC zone and shows bullish confirmation on H1–H2 (trendline hold, strong rejection of lower prices, or bullish follow-through). Stop Loss: 👉 4756 – 4758 (Placed ~8–10 points below entry, beneath the POC zone and the ascending trendline) 🎯 Take Profit Targets (Scaled Exits) TP1: 4843 First resistance zone — partial profit-taking recommended. TP2: 4900 Psychological level with potential short-term reactions. TP3: 5000 Major psychological milestone and upside expansion target. TP4 (extension): 5050 – 5080 Area aligned with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension and higher-timeframe liquidity. The preferred approach is to scale out gradually and protect the position, adjusting risk as price confirms continuation. 🌍 Macro Context (Brief) According to Goldman Sachs, central banks in emerging markets are expected to continue diversifying reserves away from traditional assets and into gold. Average annual central bank gold purchases are projected to reach around 60 tons by 2026, reinforcing structural demand for gold. This ongoing accumulation supports the idea that pullbacks are more likely driven by positioning and profit-taking, rather than a shift in long-term fundamentals. 🧠 Lana’s View This remains a pullback within a bullish trend, not a bearish reversal. The focus stays on buying value at key liquidity zones, not chasing price at highs. Patience, structure, and disciplined execution remain the edge. ✨ Respect the trend, trade the structure, and let price come to your zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – Trend-Following StrategyXAUUSD – Trend-Following Plan: Prefer Buying the Dip (H1) Gold is still holding a bullish short-term structure with higher highs and higher lows. The recent push up shows buyers are in control, so my main focus is NOT chasing price, but waiting for a clean pullback into key support to join the trend with controlled risk. 🎯 MAIN SCENARIO – BUY THE DIP (Priority) Buy Zone: 4687 – 4690 Stop Loss: Below 4655 Take Profits: TP1: 4735 – 4745 TP2: 4780 TP3: 4804 – 4808 Why this zone? 4687–4690 is the key area highlighted on the chart as a major level. After price pushed above it, this zone can act as new support (previous resistance becomes support). If price retests and holds with clear rejection (wicks, bullish engulfing, strong bounce), this is the higher-probability buy location in line with the trend. 🔁 SECONDARY SCENARIO – DEEP BUY AT LIQUIDITY / IMBALANCE Buy Zone: 4620 – 4600 (Liquidity Imbalance area) Stop Loss: Below 4575 Take Profits: TP1: 4687 TP2: 4735 TP3: 4780+ Why this zone? The chart shows a clear liquidity imbalance below price that has not been fully filled. If the market performs a deeper sweep (stop-hunt / flush), this zone becomes a strong candidate for a trend continuation buy with better R:R. 📊 TECHNICAL VIEW (What the chart is telling us) Price is still trading within a bullish structure and respecting the rising trendline. The latest impulse up suggests active demand, not just a weak drift. The most logical approach is to let price come to you: buy support, not breakout candles. The upside magnet remains the 4804–4808 area, which is also the next major reaction zone. 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT (Keep it simple) Gold remains supported in the broader environment where risk sentiment can shift quickly. Unless USD strength returns aggressively, pullbacks are more likely to be bought than to start a full bearish reversal. That’s why the plan stays trend-following: wait for dips and execute with discipline. 🧠 EXECUTION RULES (Discipline > Opinions) No FOMO buys at extended highs. Only take the trade inside the planned zones and only with confirmation. Risk per trade stays controlled (1–2% max). If the idea is wrong, cut it fast and reassess—no “hope trading.” 📌 SUMMARY Bias: Bullish (H1) Strategy: Buy the dip at 4687–4690, or deeper at 4620–4600 Targets: 4735–4745 → 4780 → 4804–4808 If you want, I can also rewrite this in a shorter TradingView-post style (more punchy, fewer words) while keeping the same levels and rules.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
1
XAUUSD – Intraday retracementXAUUSD – Intraday Pullback & Continuation Setup | Lana ✨ Gold is entering a technical correction phase after testing the ATH zone, while the medium-term bullish structure remains intact. Today’s move looks more like a controlled pullback to rebalance liquidity, not a trend reversal. 📉 Current Price Behaviour Price has reacted from the ATH supply zone, forming a short-term lower high. The market is currently testing the rising trendline, which is a key dynamic support in this bullish cycle. As long as price holds above structural support, the broader bias stays bullish. This correction is technically healthy after a strong impulsive leg. 🔑 Key Technical Zones to Watch Sell test / rejection zone: ATH area Short-term sellers are active here, causing the current pullback. Buy zone 1: 4495 – 4498 A former value level and trendline confluence zone, suitable for reaction buys. Buy zone 2: 4442 – 4446 Stronger support and deeper liquidity area if the pullback extends. These zones are where buyers are expected to step back in. 📈 Trading Scenarios Primary scenario: Wait for price to complete the pullback into 4495–4498, then look for bullish confirmation to rejoin the trend. Alternative scenario: If sell pressure increases, the 4442–4446 zone becomes the key level to watch for stronger buy reactions. A clean hold above the trendline keeps the upside structure valid, with ATH retest as the next objective. 🌍 Fundamental Context According to CME FedWatch, the market is pricing in a 95% probability that the Fed keeps interest rates unchanged in January. The probability of a January rate cut remains very low at 5%. Expectations for March also lean toward no change, with rate cuts still uncertain. This reinforces a stable macro backdrop for gold, where pullbacks are more likely to be driven by profit-taking and positioning, rather than a shift in monetary policy. 🧠 Notes This is a pullback within an uptrend, not a bearish reversal. Focus on buying value, not chasing highs. Let price confirm at key zones before entering. ✨ Stay patient, respect the structure, and let the market come to your levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
XAUUSD – Uptrend remains intactXAUUSD – The uptrend is still intact; we just need that decisive break. Gold is maintaining a strong bullish momentum within the rising channel, consistently printing higher lows. However, price is now approaching a psychological resistance cluster, so the next move could easily include a sharp shakeout to sweep liquidity before the market commits to direction. Macro context In periods where markets are sensitive to news flow and interest-rate expectations, gold often finds support from safe-haven demand. But when price is trading at elevated levels, the optimal approach remains the same: don’t chase candles — only act when price reaches key technical zones. Technical view (H1) The primary trend remains bullish, with price respecting the rising trendline. The current area sits in a “premium” zone (prone to profit-taking / sharp pullbacks). Two key clusters stand out on the chart: Near psychological resistance: 4630–4640 Next psychological resistance: 4765 (expanded upside target) Key levels Near resistance: 4630–4640 Major resistance: 4760–4765 Support / pivot level: 4540 (previous resistance, now potential support) Deeper support: 4400 (base zone, only relevant if a strong reversal develops) Trading scenarios Scenario 1: Trend BUY (priority) Condition: Price holds above 4630–4640 and continues forming bullish structure. Entry: Buy the pullback at 4605–4615 SL: 4595 TP1: 4685–4700 TP2: 4760–4765 This is the cleanest setup: a mild retracement, then continuation with the trend. Scenario 2: Safer BUY on support retest If price spikes down to sweep liquidity: Entry: Buy 4540–4545 SL: 4528 TP: 4630 → 4685 → 4765 4540 is a key line in the sand — as long as it holds, the uptrend stays strong. Scenario 3: Reaction SELL (short-term only) Only consider sells if there’s clear rejection at resistance: Sell: 4760–4765 SL: 4778 TP: 4685 → 4635 → 4540 Or, if price fails to hold 4630–4640 and closes weak: Sell: 4625–4635 SL: 4650 TP: 4545 Conclusion The dominant trend remains bullish, but price is pressing into psychological resistance — so execution must be “right level, right reaction.” The priority remains buying with the trend, and only selling if there’s a clean rejection at 4765 or a confirmed failure to hold 4630–4640. 👉 If this plan helps, follow LiamTradingFX for daily XAUUSD updates as early as possible.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
XAUUSD (H1) – Inverse Head & Shoulders confirmed, caution POC.Market overview Spot gold has pushed above $4,470/oz, extending its strong performance after setting multiple record highs throughout 2025. The broader bullish backdrop remains intact, supported by trade-war concerns, ongoing geopolitical instability, and accommodative monetary policy across major economies. Strong and persistent buying from central banks continues to underpin gold’s long-term outlook into 2026. Technical view – Inverse Head & Shoulders On the H1 chart, gold has clearly formed an Inverse Head & Shoulders structure: Left shoulder: Formed after the initial sharp sell-off Head: A deeper liquidity sweep with strong rejection Right shoulder: Higher low, showing sellers losing momentum Neckline / POC zone: Around the 4460–4470 area, where price is currently reacting The breakout above the neckline confirms bullish intent. However, price is now trading around a POC (Point of Control), which is often prone to psychological reactions and choppy price action. Key levels to watch Bullish continuation zone Holding above the neckline keeps the bullish structure valid. A clean acceptance above the POC opens the door for continuation toward higher liquidity and Fibonacci extension targets. Pullback & risk zone Liquidity risk: 4333 – 4349 If the market fails to hold above the neckline, a deeper pullback into this liquidity zone is possible before buyers step back in. Fundamental context Gold’s recovery is driven by trade-war fears, geopolitical tensions, and expectations of looser monetary policy globally. Central bank demand remains a key pillar supporting prices. In 2026, gold performance will continue to be influenced by USD valuation, overall risk sentiment, and central bank policy decisions. Lana’s trading approach No chasing near the POC. Expect reactions and fake moves. Prefer buying pullbacks rather than entering at highs. If price holds above the neckline with strong structure, bullish continuation remains the main scenario. If the neckline fails, wait patiently for liquidity to be taken lower before looking for new buy setups. This analysis reflects Lana’s personal market view and is for study purposes only. Always manage risk carefully. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
2