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Tradingviewgold

Tradingviewgold

XAUUSD H1: Institutional targets lower liquidity.XAUUSD H1: Institutional Order Flow Targets Lower Liquidity Gold remains heavily bearish on the H1 chart as a dynamic descending trendline continues to suppress price action. Following a recent Market Structure Shift (MSS) and a decisive Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside, the market has left significant unmitigated supply above, keeping the focus strictly on further downside expansion. Fundamental & Institutional Backdrop The current order flow backdrop strongly favors a bearish distribution model. Aggressive breakdowns and the formation of large Fair Value Gaps (FVG) indicate heavy institutional selling pressure. The market is currently in a phase of engineering liquidity—trapping early retail buyers at minor support levels while leaving a trail of buy-stop liquidity above. This combination reduces the probability of a genuine trend reversal and keeps the asset highly vulnerable to continuation drops, especially while the premium supply zones remain completely unmitigated. Technical Structure on H1 The short-term structure is decisively weak and controlled by bears. Price is consistently printing lower highs and lower lows, heavily constrained by a descending trendline. The market recently tapped into the 4,519.549 Buy Zone Liquidity, where early buyers are attempting to catch a falling knife, creating a minor resting point but lacking any strong bullish displacement to suggest a shift in control. The immediate levels to watch on the upside are 4,565.584 and 4,583.426, marked as "Strong Liquidity." This area contains a cluster of equal highs and trendline liquidity, acting as a massive inducement target. The market is likely to sweep this area to hunt stop-losses before the next leg down. Above that, the ultimate Point of Interest (POI) is the 4,631.745 Sell Zone Order Block (OB). This area represents a premium supply cluster where the OB aligns perfectly with a massive unfilled FVG and the descending trendline, making it the most robust defensive barrier for sellers. What Order Flow is Suggesting Order flow strongly leans bearish across the H1 timeframe: price structure remains firmly capped below the descending trendline retail buy-side liquidity is actively building at the 4,519.549 support a corrective pullback is highly probable to sweep the strong liquidity at 4,565.584 – 4,583.426 the massive 4,631.745 Sell Zone OB remains unmitigated and acts as the primary institutional entry point This keeps the downside scenario dominant unless buyers can print a confirmed structural shift above the main OB. Trading Scenarios Scenario 1: Sweep liquidity into Sell Zone OB, then downside resumes If gold rebounds to sweep the strong liquidity pool (4,565.584 – 4,583.426) and taps into the Sell Zone OB at 4,631.745, sellers are expected to regain full control to drive the price down, aligning with the projected path. Entry: bearish rejection from 4,631.745 (Sell zone OB) SL: slightly above the OB zone (e.g., 4,635.000) TP1: 4,583.426 (First internal liquidity target) TP2: 4,565.584 TP3: 4,519.549 (Buy zone liquidity) Scenario 2: Breakdown below Buy zone liquidity (4,519.549) If price fails to pull back and instead drops to close decisively below the 4,519.549 Buy zone liquidity, gold will continue its aggressive expansion lower. Entry: confirmed break and close below 4,519.549 SL: above the most recent lower high (broken support) TP1: 4,500.000 (Psychological round number) TP2: 4,480.000 Scenario 3: Immediate rebound from Buy zone liquidity If gold sweeps lower first, tapping the 4,519.549 Buy zone liquidity with a strong bullish reaction, buyers may initiate the corrective pullback to hunt the upper liquidity. Entry: bullish confirmation from 4,519.549 SL: below the immediate sweep low TP1: 4,565.584 (Strong liquidity) TP2: 4,583.426 (Strong liquidity) TP3: 4,631.745 (Sell zone OB) Key Levels to Watch 4,631.745 → Primary Sell Zone OB / Major structural resistance 4,583.426 → Strong liquidity / Upper inducement target 4,565.584 → Intermediate liquidity / Trendline sweep target 4,519.549 → Buy zone liquidity / Immediate short-term support Conclusion Gold's H1 structure is heavily dictated by institutional sell programs. The market is currently engineering liquidity, trapping buyers at the 4,519.549 zone while leaving obvious inducement levels above. As long as price remains below the dynamic trendline and the critical 4,631.745 Order Block, the overarching order flow remains strictly bearish. For TradingTips members, maintaining a sell-on-rally approach into premium supply zones remains the highest probability strategy.

Long

Gold Technical Analysis (XAU/USD) - H6 Timeframe GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (XAU/USD) – H6 TIMEFRAME Market Overview Gold is currently trading around $4,531, following a sharp correction from the recent peak near $5,350. Although short-term macro fundamentals such as a stronger US dollar, expectations of tighter monetary policy, and geopolitical tensions are weighing on gold, the current technical structure suggests early signs of constructive recovery. 1. Current Market Structure Medium-Term Trend Gold remains within a medium-term bearish trend, evidenced by: A descending trendline extending from the March high A sequence of lower highs However: Structural Shift Signals Price is beginning to form a higher-base consolidation zone after the sharp decline This indicates buyers are gradually absorbing selling pressure and defending support levels This may represent the early stages of a trend reversal or, at minimum, a sizeable technical rebound. 2. Liquidity Zone Analysis Buy-Side Liquidity The chart highlights a major buy-side liquidity area between: $4,650 – $4,720 This zone represents: A concentration of short-term highs Potential institutional liquidity accumulation before a bullish expansion Sell-Side Liquidity A notable sell-side liquidity pool sits lower around: $4,150 – $4,200 Should current support fail: This becomes the likely downside liquidity target for sellers 3. Key Resistance Levels Target 1: $4,727 First resistance level of the recovery structure Aligns with recent breakout / swing high zone A break above would signal a short-term bullish structural shift Target 2: $4,895 Strong medium-term resistance Historical reaction zone with multiple prior rejections Target 3: $5,048 Extended bullish objective Also coincides with retest of the broader descending trendline 4. Primary Technical Scenarios Bullish Scenario (Preferred) If price holds above the $4,450 – $4,500 support zone: Expectations: Consolidation completes Price rallies towards: $4,727 A confirmed breakout above this level opens upside to: $4,895 Extended target: $5,048 Confirmation Signals: H4/H6 candle closes above $4,727 with strong volume Break of the short-term descending trendline Bearish Scenario If price breaks below $4,450 support: Risks: Current consolidation structure invalidated Market likely seeks lower liquidity Downside Targets: $4,300 Then $4,150 – $4,200 5. Fundamental Overlay Despite improving technical signals, several macro factors continue to pressure gold: Key Headwinds: Persistent Inflation Reinforces expectations for higher-for-longer interest rates Tighter Monetary Policy Outlook Reduces appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold US Dollar Strength Makes gold less attractive globally US–Iran Tensions Supporting the USD’s safe-haven demand in the near term rather than gold 6. Overall Assessment Short-Term Bias: Neutral to Bullish Medium-Term Bias: Bearish Trend Intact, but Reversal Base Forming Trading Preference: Favour buying confirmed breakout strength rather than pre-emptive bottom-picking

Long

by LA_Trader_Fx

XAUUSD H6: Gold Below 4600 – Market Awaits XAUUSD H6: Gold Struggles Below 4600 – Market Awaits Direction Gold starts the week with a cautious tone as price continues to trade below the 4600 level, reflecting a market that is still under pressure but not yet ready to break down decisively. The current structure suggests a phase of re-accumulation or redistribution, where both buyers and sellers are testing control. This makes the upcoming sessions particularly important in defining the short-term direction. Fundamental backdrop From a macro perspective, gold is facing increasing headwinds. Major central banks, led by the Federal Reserve, are shifting toward a more hawkish stance due to renewed concerns about inflation. The risk of energy-driven inflation, fueled by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, is keeping markets cautious. Higher inflation expectations reduce the attractiveness of gold, as a non-yielding asset, especially when interest rates are expected to stay elevated for longer. This explains why gold is seeing selling pressure despite not collapsing — the market is adjusting, not panicking. Technical structure on H6 Looking at the H6 chart, gold is still trading within a corrective structure after a strong selloff. Price recently formed a reaction low and is attempting to build a higher low, but the structure remains incomplete as long as it stays below resistance. Key technical observations: Price is consolidating around 4600, a key psychological and structural level Market is forming a potential base, but lacks bullish confirmation Lower highs are still present, indicating sellers remain active The broader structure still points to a range-to-corrective phase, not a clear trend Above current price, a short-term supply zone is capping the upside, while below, a liquidity pocket remains open if support fails. Liquidity & structure perspective (ICT view) From an ICT perspective, the market is currently positioned between: Sellside liquidity above (previous highs / supply zones) Buyside liquidity below (recent lows / weak support) Price is likely to seek liquidity before committing to a directional move. This means: A push higher may occur to tap into liquidity above before reversing Or a sweep below current lows may happen first to collect liquidity before any meaningful rebound The current structure supports a two-sided market, where both scenarios remain valid until a key level breaks. Key levels to watch 4600 → pivot level (current price reaction zone) 4650 – 4700 → short-term resistance / supply 4800 → next upside objective if breakout confirms 4400 – 4450 → downside support / liquidity zone 5347 – 5416 → higher timeframe sellside liquidity (long-term target) Trading scenarios Bullish scenario – Recovery continuation If buyers manage to hold above current support and reclaim 4600 with strength, gold may continue building a higher low structure. A breakout above resistance could open the path toward 4800, where the next liquidity pool sits. → Confirmation needed: Strong bullish reaction Break and hold above resistance Shift in short-term structure Bearish scenario – Continuation of pressure If gold fails to hold above support and continues to reject below 4600, the current recovery attempt may fail. This would expose the downside toward 4400, where deeper liquidity sits. → Confirmation needed: Weak bounce / rejection from resistance Break of current support Continuation of lower highs Neutral scenario – Consolidation phase Gold may also continue to range between support and resistance, especially ahead of key macro events. This would create a choppy environment where liquidity is built on both sides before a larger move. Conclusion Gold is currently trading in a decision zone on the H6 timeframe. While price is holding above support, it remains capped below 4600, keeping the market in a fragile balance. The broader tone is still cautious, influenced by a more hawkish macro environment and reduced demand for safe-haven assets. At this stage, the market is not trending — it is preparing. The next clear move will depend on whether price can reclaim resistance or break below support. Until then, this remains a reaction phase where patience and confirmation are key.

Long

XAUUSD Weekly Outlook: Gold above major demand level.XAUUSD Weekly Outlook: Gold holds above major demand as market balances between recovery and pressure Gold enters the new week on the Daily chart in a transitional phase, holding above a key demand zone while still trading beneath a heavy supply structure formed in the previous breakdown. The broader macro backdrop is softening safe-haven demand. Easing tensions around the Middle East, alongside signals of potential de-escalation between the US and Iran, have reduced immediate risk sentiment. That shift is also reflected across precious metals, where both gold and silver have seen reduced defensive inflows. But as always, the chart is leading the decision-making. Technical Structure From a higher timeframe perspective, gold remains inside a corrective structure after failing to sustain above the 5,100–5,160 supply zone. The rejection from that area triggered a strong downside move, which eventually found support near the 4,370–4,400 demand zone. Since then, price has been stabilizing and forming a short-term base, suggesting that sellers are losing some momentum at lower levels. However, the market has not yet shifted back into a bullish structure. Price is currently trading below the 4,800 supply / sell-side liquidity zone, which continues to cap any recovery attempts. This zone is critical. As long as gold remains below it, the broader structure stays corrective rather than trending higher. At the same time, the 4,370–4,400 area remains the foundation of the current market. It is the key level that buyers must defend to prevent a deeper continuation to the downside. So the structure is clear: price is holding above major support near 4,370–4,400 recovery attempts are capped below 4,800 higher timeframe remains corrective breakout is required for directional clarity Key Technical Levels Major Resistance: 4,780–4,800 This is the primary supply zone. A reclaim here is needed to confirm a stronger recovery phase. Upper Resistance: 5,100–5,160 This is the higher timeframe supply zone and long-term liquidity area. Major Support: 4,370–4,400 This is the strongest demand base on the chart. It defines whether the current structure can hold or break lower. Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Hold support and reclaim 4,800 If buyers defend the 4,370–4,400 zone and push price back above 4,800, the market may transition into a broader recovery phase. In this case, gold could rotate toward the 5,100 resistance area. Scenario 2 – Continue consolidation below resistance Gold may remain trapped between 4,400 support and 4,800 resistance, forming a wider consolidation structure while the market waits for a stronger catalyst. Scenario 3 – Break below 4,370 If support fails, the structure weakens significantly and opens the door for a deeper downside continuation beyond the current range. Market Insight From my perspective, gold is currently sitting in a decision zone on the higher timeframe. The market is no longer in aggressive decline, but it has not yet reclaimed enough structure to confirm a bullish reversal. The balance between 4,400 support and 4,800 resistance will define the direction for the coming week. For now, the message is simple: hold support, and gold can continue building reclaim resistance, and recovery becomes credible lose the base, and downside pressure returns This is a market that requires patience. Direction will come from structure, not assumption.

Long

by LA_Trader_Fx

XAUUSD near 4,600 as gold consolidates.XAUUSD trades near 4,600 as gold compresses between liquidity resistance and deeper support structure Gold remains trapped in a compressed structure on the 6H chart, with price hovering near the 4,600 region while broader market pressure continues to build beneath a heavy resistance ceiling. The wider macro backdrop is still contributing to uncertainty across commodity-linked markets. Recent reports showing a sharp decline in overseas aluminum production, driven largely by output cuts in the Middle East, continue to reinforce concerns around supply disruption and industrial instability. While this is not a direct driver for gold alone, it adds to the broader defensive tone currently surrounding commodities and global risk sentiment. At this stage, however, the chart is leading the narrative. Technical Structure From a technical perspective, XAUUSD is trading inside a corrective range after failing to reclaim the upper resistance structure near 4,798. The market has been gradually compressing lower from the mid-April highs, creating a sequence of weaker rebounds and lower reactions across the short-term structure. What stands out now is the growing pressure between the upper liquidity zone and the deeper support base near 4,330. The current structure suggests that gold is attempting to stabilize around the mid-range, but buyers still lack confirmation. Every rebound attempt so far has struggled to break through resistance, which keeps the broader recovery structure incomplete. The 4,798 zone remains the primary upside barrier. If buyers manage to reclaim that area, the market could rebuild momentum and shift back toward a stronger recovery phase. On the downside, the most important structural support sits near 4,330, marked as the major buy-side demand zone on the chart. If price rotates lower into that region and fails to hold, the broader bearish continuation structure becomes significantly stronger. So the structure is relatively clear: price remains capped below 4,798 current movement still reflects corrective pressure 4,330 is the key support base holding broader structure reclaiming resistance improves recovery potential losing support would expose deeper downside continuation Key Technical Levels Immediate Resistance: 4,798 This is the main liquidity resistance zone. Buyers need to reclaim this area to improve the broader technical outlook. Mid-Range Structure: around 4,600 This is the current compression zone where price is attempting to stabilize. Major Support Zone: 4,330 This is the strongest support structure on the chart. It is the key demand area keeping the broader market from slipping into a deeper bearish phase. Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Hold above current structure and reclaim 4,798 If buyers regain momentum and push back above resistance, gold may transition from corrective consolidation into a broader recovery phase. Scenario 2 – Continue ranging below resistance This is the ongoing compression scenario. Price may continue rotating between support and resistance while the market waits for stronger directional confirmation. Scenario 3 – Break lower toward 4,330 If downside pressure increases and current structure weakens further, gold may rotate into the deeper support base near 4,330. Scenario 4 – Lose 4,330 support This is the broader bearish continuation scenario. A failure at the major support zone would significantly weaken the higher-timeframe structure. Market Insight From my perspective, gold is still trading inside a corrective environment rather than a confirmed recovery trend. The key level remains 4,798 on the upside and 4,330 on the downside. Between those two zones, the market is still searching for direction. For now, gold is holding structure, but buyers still need confirmation before the recovery case becomes credible again.

Long

by LA_Trader_Fx

XAUUSD | Gold Testing Key Support – Buying XAUUSD | Gold Testing Key Support – Bullish Continuation Still in Play? Gold remains resilient despite short-term corrective pressure, supported by steady physical demand as Indian gold prices edged higher again on Wednesday. From a technical perspective, XAUUSD is currently trading within a well-defined corrective descending structure after its recent impulsive rally — suggesting the market may be preparing for the next expansion phase rather than a full reversal. Technical Outlook Price is now approaching a critical support/demand region around 4560–4580, an area where buyers previously stepped in aggressively. This zone aligns with: Local liquidity resting below recent lows Descending channel support Prior intraday demand imbalance Bullish Scenario A liquidity sweep below support followed by strong reclamation would provide confirmation that smart money is absorbing sell-side pressure. Upside objectives if support holds: 4700 – Initial resistance 4780 – Mid-range supply 4900+ – Expansion target/breakout continuation Invalidation A decisive breakdown and close below 4540 would weaken the bullish structure and open room for deeper retracement. Analyst Bias Bullish above demand. Current pullback appears corrective unless sellers produce structural breakdown. In trending markets, corrections create opportunity — not panic. Are bulls preparing for the next leg higher, or is a deeper retracement coming first?

Long

by LA_Trader_Fx

XAUUSD slides to buy-side base as gold XAUUSD slips toward the buying side base as gold trades under descending resistance on the 3H chart Gold is starting the session with a softer tone on the 3H chart, as price continues to trade below the descending trendline while gradually rotating back toward the 4,500–4,530 buying side support zone. The broader backdrop remains slightly heavier as physical gold prices in India also moved lower, reflecting weaker short-term sentiment in the metal. That does not control the chart on its own, but it does align with what price action is already showing: momentum has slowed, recovery has lost some strength, and gold is now testing whether buyers can still defend structure from lower support. At this stage, the chart matters more than the headline. And the chart is showing a market drifting lower inside a still-corrective structure. Technical Structure From a technical perspective, XAUUSD remains capped by a descending resistance line that has been controlling the broader recovery attempts from mid-April. Price has already failed to reclaim the upper 4,834–4,845 selling side band, and that rejection has kept the market from shifting into a stronger recovery phase. Since then, gold has started to lean lower again, with price now moving back toward the 4,500–4,530 buying side zone. This area is important because it is the nearest structural base on the chart. If buyers defend it well, gold may stabilize and attempt another rebound into resistance. If not, the current recovery structure weakens further and the market risks extending the correction. The key point here is that gold is not breaking down aggressively yet, but it is also not trading with enough strength to challenge the upper resistance zone again without first proving demand at support. Above price, the 4,834–4,845 area remains the first resistance layer that matters. If gold rebounds from support and reclaims that zone, the broader upside path toward the 5,000 buying side liquidity area becomes more credible. So the structure is relatively clear: price is still trading below descending resistance the upper 4,834–4,845 zone remains the main recovery barrier the 4,500–4,530 area is now the key support base holding that support keeps rebound potential alive losing it would weaken the recovery structure further This keeps gold in a cautious phase. The market still has support beneath it, but it has not yet shown enough strength to regain control. Key Technical Levels Near Support: 4,500–4,530 This is the immediate buying side zone on the chart. It is the main support base that buyers need to defend to keep the recovery structure intact. Trendline Resistance: descending cap above price This is the dynamic resistance controlling the current structure. As long as gold stays below it, upside remains limited. Selling Side Resistance Zone: 4,834–4,845 This is the first major resistance area. A clean reclaim here would improve the short-term outlook and strengthen the rebound case. Buying Side Liquidity Zone: 5,000 area This remains the broader upside objective if gold can recover through resistance and rebuild momentum. Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Hold 4,500–4,530 and rebound This is the stabilization scenario. If buyers defend the current support zone, gold may attempt a new recovery leg from the base. In that case, the market would likely rotate back toward the descending resistance and then the 4,834–4,845 area. Scenario 2 – Reclaim 4,834–4,845 This is the stronger recovery scenario. If gold rebounds and pushes back above the selling side band, the chart starts to shift away from corrective weakness and back toward broader upside continuation. That would bring the 5,000 liquidity zone back into focus. Scenario 3 – Lose 4,500–4,530 This is the weakening structure scenario. If support fails with clear downside acceptance, the current recovery view becomes less credible. That would suggest the market is no longer stabilizing, but slipping into a deeper corrective leg. Market Insight From my perspective, gold is still trading inside a recovery structure, but that structure is under pressure. The most important area right now is 4,500–4,530. As long as that zone holds, buyers still have a valid base to work from. But the market will only look stronger again if it can reclaim the descending resistance and push back through 4,834–4,845. For now, this is a chart that still has upside potential, but it needs support to hold first. Without that, the recovery starts to lose credibility.

Short

by LA_Trader_Fx

Updated

XAUUSD H6: Gold awaits breakout this week XAUUSD H6: Gold Waits for a Breakout Week Gold is starting the week in a more constructive position on the H6 chart, supported by improving sentiment as hopes around US-Iran peace talks weigh on the US Dollar. At the same time, softer oil prices are easing inflation concerns and slightly reducing pressure for a more aggressive Fed path, which is giving gold room to stabilize ahead of the next key catalyst. Still, with FOMC risk approaching and price stuck inside a defined range, this remains a market that requires patience rather than early conviction. Fundamental backdrop The current macro tone offers short-term support for gold. A softer Dollar environment, helped by optimism around geopolitical negotiations, is reducing part of the pressure that had previously weighed on precious metals. Lower oil prices are also helping calm inflation expectations, which may limit the urgency for a more hawkish Fed stance. That said, this support is not yet strong enough to confirm a full bullish breakout. With the market waiting for the upcoming FOMC meeting, gold may continue trading inside its current range until a stronger catalyst arrives. Technical structure on H6 The H6 structure is shifting into a consolidation phase with a slight bullish recovery tone. Price is currently moving sideways between 4694.610 support and the 4800–4853.400 resistance region. This range has become the key battlefield for the week. Buyers have managed to defend the lower area, while sellers are still capping price near the upper band. The rising internal channel from the late-March recovery is still intact, which tells us the rebound structure has not fully broken down. However, the market has also struggled to clear the highlighted resistance zone around 4853.400, which keeps gold trapped in a wait-and-see phase. Above that, the major upside draw remains the sell-side liquidity zone near 5200, but that scenario only becomes relevant if buyers can first break and hold above the current ceiling. On the downside, 4498.428 remains the deeper buy-side liquidity zone, while 4128.863 is the broader weekly support if the market loses its current recovery structure. What order flow is suggesting Order flow currently suggests hesitation, not commitment. Buyers are still defending the lower range. Price is holding above the rising recovery structure. Sellers remain active below 4853.400. The market is likely to stay range-bound until FOMC or another major catalyst forces expansion. This keeps both sides in play, but for now the chart still slightly favors a recovery attempt as long as support continues to hold. Trading scenarios Scenario 1: Gold holds support and breaks higher If price continues to hold above 4694.610 and reclaims 4853.400 with acceptance, gold may extend higher toward the next liquidity target. Entry: confirmed break above 4853.400 SL: below the reclaimed resistance zone TP1: 5000 TP2: 5200 sell-side liquidity This is the bullish continuation scenario if buyers finally push the market out of consolidation. Scenario 2: Sideways trading continues before FOMC If gold keeps holding above support but cannot break 4853.400, price may remain trapped in a short-term range. Entry: only on clear confirmation at range extremes SL: outside the range TP: opposite side of the range / intraday reaction levels This is the most balanced scenario while the market waits for fresh direction. Scenario 3: Support breaks and gold rotates lower If price loses 4694.610 decisively, the recovery structure may weaken and open the way toward deeper support. Entry: confirmed break below 4694.610 SL: above broken support TP1: 4498.428 TP2: 4128.863 This would signal that buyers have lost control of the current rebound leg. Key levels to watch 4853.400 → key resistance / breakout trigger 4800 area → upper range pressure zone 4726.995 → current market pivot 4694.610 → key support 4498.428 → buy-side liquidity 5200 → major upside liquidity zone Conclusion Gold begins the week with a mildly constructive tone, supported by a softer Dollar backdrop and easing inflation pressure, but the H6 chart still shows a market trapped inside a defined range ahead of FOMC. As long as 4694.610 holds, buyers still have a chance to challenge 4853.400 and push higher toward 5000 and potentially 5200. For now, though, this is still a breakout market, not a trend market. The key for this week is whether gold can finally clear resistance, or whether the current sideways structure turns into another delayed rejection.

Short

XAUUSD above 4,670, gold targets 4,740, 4,770.XAUUSD holds above 4,670 as gold targets 4,740 and 4,770 this week Gold starts the week with a firmer technical tone after regaining balance above the 4,670 support area on the 3H chart. The early break in lower-timeframe structure has already been tested, and for now, price is showing that buyers are still willing to defend the near-term floor rather than surrender it. That makes this week less about chasing momentum and more about whether gold can keep building above support without losing structure again. At this stage, the chart matters more than the noise. And the chart is showing a market that is trying to transition from short-term stabilization into a more constructive recovery leg. Technical Structure From a technical perspective, gold has already reacted positively after testing the 4,670 support zone, which is now the key level holding the current bullish intraday structure together. That area matters because it acts as the immediate base for the latest rebound attempt. As long as price remains above it, the market still has room to rotate higher and challenge the next resistance layers. Once a support level is tested and respected after a structure break, the focus usually shifts to whether price can extend cleanly into the next supply zone. In this case, the first level that matters is 4,740, followed by 4,770 if momentum continues to build. The broader 3H chart also shows that gold is still trading under a descending resistance line from the previous swing structure. That means the market is improving in the short term, but it is not yet in full breakout territory. Buyers are gaining traction, but they still need to prove they can push through resistance instead of simply bouncing inside a wider corrective range. Above that, the chart highlights a larger buy-side liquidity zone around the 5,000 region. That is not the immediate target for the start of the week, but it remains the broader upside reference if gold can continue holding its current base and build through the intermediate resistance layers first. So the structure is currently clear: 4,670 is the key short-term support 4,740 is the first resistance test 4,770 is the next upside layer if momentum expands holding above support keeps the bullish intraday structure alive losing 4,670 weakens the current recovery view and forces a reassessment of direction This keeps gold constructive for the start of the week, but still dependent on confirmation. Key Technical Levels Support: 4,670 This is the most important short-term floor on the chart. As long as price holds above it, the rebound structure remains valid. First Resistance: 4,740 This is the first upside checkpoint. A clean push into this area would confirm that buyers are extending control from the current base. Second Resistance: 4,770 If gold clears the first resistance zone, this becomes the next level where price may pause, consolidate, or face fresh reaction. Broader Liquidity Zone: 5,000 area This is the higher-timeframe upside reference shown on the chart. It remains relevant only if the current bullish structure continues to develop through the week. Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Hold above 4,670 and push into 4,740 This is the preferred opening scenario for the week. If buyers continue defending 4,670, gold may extend higher into the first resistance area near 4,740. That would confirm that the recent support retest has held and that the market is still building upward from the current base. Scenario 2 – Consolidate around 4,740 before extending to 4,770 This is the constructive continuation scenario. Gold may reach 4,740, pause, and then build sideways before attempting the next move higher into 4,770. That would fit a healthy market structure where momentum expands in stages rather than in one straight move. Scenario 3 – Fail back below 4,670 This is the invalidation scenario. If price loses 4,670 with clear downside acceptance, the current recovery structure weakens materially. That would suggest the recent upside is no longer holding and that the market may need to reset into a new short-term directional phase. Market Insight From my perspective, 4,670 is the line that defines the week. As long as gold holds above that support, the structure still favors a push toward 4,740 first, and potentially 4,770 if buyers maintain momentum. But this is still a market trading inside a broader technical framework, not a fully confirmed breakout. That is why support matters more than excitement here. For now, gold is holding structure well enough to keep the upside path active, but the recovery remains valid only while 4,670 continues to hold.

Long

by LA_Trader_Fx

XAUUSD near 4,709 on H12 as gold XAUUSD holds around 4,709 on H12 as gold enters a decisive weekly structure zone Gold is closing the week in a technically important position on the 12-hour chart, with price stabilizing around 4,709 after recovering from the sharp selloff seen in late March. What stands out on this timeframe is that gold is no longer trading in a clean impulsive move. Instead, it is now sitting inside a broader structural decision zone, where the market is testing whether the recent rebound is strong enough to continue higher, or only a temporary retracement inside a larger corrective trend. For the weekly view, this matters. The chart is no longer asking whether gold can bounce. It is asking whether gold can reclaim structure. Technical Structure On the H12 chart, price is currently reacting around the 0.5 retracement zone near 4,680–4,710, which is acting as the immediate pivot area for the new week. This zone is important because it sits in the middle of the recent recovery structure and also aligns with a horizontal reaction band that price has already respected several times. As long as gold continues to hold around this area, the rebound remains technically alive. But the structure is still incomplete because price is trading below the broader descending trendline drawn from the February–March highs. That descending trendline remains one of the most important references on the chart. It continues to define the upper pressure line of the broader correction, and until price can break and hold above it, gold is still technically trading under larger-frame resistance. Above current price, the first major upside zone comes in near 5,150–5,180, which is marked as the upper supply area around the 0.236 retracement region. That is the zone buyers would need to reclaim to confirm that the current rebound is evolving into a broader structural recovery. Below current price, the support base starts around 4,400–4,250, where the market may try to rebuild if weakness returns. Under that, the chart projects a much deeper downside extension toward the 3,650 target area, which is the broader bearish objective if the current rebound fails and the weekly structure turns lower again. So from a structural perspective, the message is clear: gold is holding above the mid-retracement pivot near 4,700 price is still trading below the higher-timeframe descending trendline reclaiming 5,150–5,180 would strengthen the bullish recovery case losing the current support structure could reopen downside into 4,400, and potentially 3,650 later on This keeps the H12 chart balanced, but only on the surface. Underneath that balance, the market is still trading inside a larger corrective framework. Key Technical Levels Immediate Pivot Zone: 4,680–4,710 This is the main short-term structure level on H12. As long as price holds around this area, the rebound remains active into the new week. Trendline Resistance: around 4,950–5,050 This descending trendline is still capping the broader recovery structure. It remains the main dynamic resistance on the chart. Major Recovery Zone: 5,150–5,180 This is the main upside supply area. A clean break into this zone would suggest that buyers are regaining control on the higher timeframe. Support Zone: 4,400–4,250 This is the deeper structural floor if current price loses the mid-range support. It is the first major downside area where the market may attempt to stabilize again. Broader Bearish Target: 3,650 This is the deeper downside projection on the chart if the correction expands and the higher-timeframe rebound fully fails. Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Hold 4,680–4,710 and build toward trendline resistance This is the constructive weekly scenario. If gold continues to hold above the current pivot zone, price may keep building upward and challenge the descending trendline again. That would keep the rebound structure intact and shift focus toward the 5,150–5,180 recovery zone. Scenario 2 – Break trendline resistance and reclaim 5,150–5,180 This is the stronger recovery scenario. If buyers manage to break above the trendline and push firmly into the upper supply zone, the chart would start to shift from corrective rebound into broader structural recovery. That would be the first real sign that the larger downtrend pressure is fading. Scenario 3 – Lose 4,680 and rotate back toward 4,400–4,250 This is the weak-structure scenario. If the current pivot area fails, the rebound starts to lose credibility. In that case, gold may slide back into the deeper support zone, where buyers would need to defend structure again. Scenario 4 – Fail at support and reopen the 3,650 downside path This is the broader bearish scenario. If the deeper support base cannot hold, the H12 structure opens the way for a much larger corrective extension. In that case, the 3,650 zone becomes the next major downside objective on the chart. Market Insight From a weekly perspective, gold is not in a confirmed bullish continuation. It is in a retest phase inside a larger corrective structure. That is why the 4,680–4,710 area matters so much going into the new week. As long as price remains above it, the rebound still has room to extend. But the larger structure will not truly improve unless buyers can challenge and reclaim the descending trendline, followed by the 5,150–5,180 resistance zone. For now, the H12 chart suggests that gold still has recovery potential, but it is not yet free from broader downside risk. The market is holding structure, but it still needs confirmation before that recovery can be trusted on a weekly basis.

Short

by LA_Trader_Fx

XAUUSD: H4 rebound, but weekly bearish.XAUUSD: H4 technical rebound, but weekly downside pressure is not over yet Gold is recovering as hopes of renewed Iran negotiations help keep risk sentiment relatively supported. At the same time, lower US Treasury yields and a softer US Dollar are also providing short-term support for gold prices. However, from Kelly’s perspective, the current move on the H4 timeframe still looks more like a technical recovery within a broader bearish structure than a confirmed shift into a sustainable bullish trend for the week ahead. Technical structure on H4 On the H4 chart, gold is reacting around the 4,650–4,700 area, which is an important support zone and also a key decision point for the short-term structure. After the sharp decline seen earlier, price has managed to rebound, but so far the move has not been strong enough to break decisively through the descending resistance line above. What stands out is that gold is still trading inside a broader descending channel, while the current rebound has only lifted price back into a technical reaction area rather than genuinely restoring bullish trend structure. That suggests buying interest is present, but not yet strong enough to change the weekly picture. Key H4 levels to watch: 4,650–4,680: near-term support and current reaction zone 4,800–4,950: upper resistance area and supply zone 3,450: deeper liquidity zone if downside pressure returns strongly Elliott Wave view From an Elliott Wave perspective, the current structure still fits the idea that gold is trading in a wave 4 corrective rebound following the previous strong decline. If that count remains valid, then the current recovery would be corrective in nature before the market attempts a wave 5 decline to complete the broader structure. This reading also aligns well with the chart itself: price is rebounding, but it remains below the major descending resistance area, and there is still no decisive breakout strong enough to invalidate the bearish count. For Kelly, that matters, because a genuine bullish reversal would usually require price to reclaim resistance and hold above it with acceptance. At the moment, gold is still only rebounding within overhead pressure. Fibonacci and liquidity structure From a Fibonacci perspective, the chart still leaves room for an extension towards the 1.618 area, which overlaps with the deeper liquidity zone near 3,450. Although that is not necessarily an immediate short-term target, it does suggest that the larger bearish structure may not yet be fully complete. On the other side, the current support zone around 4,650 is still acting as a temporary holding area. If this zone continues to hold, gold may be able to extend its technical rebound into the early part of next week. But if that area gives way, downside pressure could expand more quickly. What matters for the week ahead From a broader weekly perspective, gold is currently being pulled by two opposing forces. On one hand, expectations around possible renewed Iran negotiations, together with a weaker US Dollar and lower US yields, are supporting the short-term rebound. On the other hand, traders remain cautious because previous rounds of negotiations have failed before, which means uncertainty has not disappeared. For Kelly, that means headlines may be supporting the rebound, but the H4 structure and the broader weekly structure still do not confirm a bullish reversal. If gold can hold above the 4,650–4,680 zone, the rebound may extend towards 4,800 and possibly even the higher resistance region near 4,950. If price loses the current support area instead, the wave 5 bearish scenario would become more convincing and the market could return to a broader downside path during the remainder of the week. Kelly’s view For Kelly, this is not yet a chart strong enough to call a bullish reversal on H4. The current recovery has support from headlines and short-term flow, but structurally gold is still trading inside a defensive pattern with major resistance still overhead. As long as price cannot break above and hold beyond the key H4 resistance zone, the preferred read remains the same: gold is still in a technical rebound within a broader bearish structure, and the final downside wave may not be finished yet. Conclusion In the short term, gold is being supported by a weaker US Dollar, softer Treasury yields, and hopes of renewed Iran negotiations. That is helping price recover on the H4 chart and defend the important 4,650–4,680 support zone. However, from a broader weekly technical perspective, gold has not yet broken out of its larger bearish framework. In Elliott Wave terms, the current move still fits better as a wave 4 correction, while the risk of a wave 5 decline remains in place if upper resistance continues to hold. The rebound is real. But to change the weekly trend, gold still needs more than a technical bounce on H4.

Short

by Kelly_Koou_Gold

XAUUSD drops below 4,683 as gold declines.XAUUSD breaks below 4,683 as gold loses short-term support and shifts focus toward the Fibonacci demand zone Gold is trading with a weaker tone on the 2H chart as price slips below the 4,683 support area and starts leaning more clearly into a bearish corrective structure. The broader backdrop is also adding pressure. Spot gold prices in India moved lower into Friday, reflecting a softer tone in the metal overall. That does not define the chart by itself, but it does support what price action is already showing: momentum has cooled, support is being tested, and the market is no longer trading from a position of short-term strength. At this stage, the chart matters more than the headline. And the chart is showing a structure that is starting to lose balance. Technical Structure From a technical perspective, XAUUSD has now moved back under the 4,683 zone, which was acting as an important short-term support layer. Once price starts trading below a level like this after repeated pressure from above, the structure usually shifts from neutral compression into downside continuation risk. The rising trendline that supported the earlier recovery phase has also come under pressure. Price is no longer holding cleanly above that structure, which tells us buyers are losing control of the rebound that built through the first half of the month. This matters because once trendline support and horizontal support begin to weaken together, the market often rotates into the next deeper demand area rather than immediately recovering. That next area is the 4,585 Fibonacci buy zone, which stands out as the first major downside support on the chart. This zone is important because it is the first place where the market may attempt to stabilise after losing the current floor. If gold finds demand there, the decline may slow into consolidation. If not, the structure opens room for a deeper extension lower. On the upside, the 4,800 area remains the key recovery ceiling. That zone marks the broader sell-side cap and also defines the level buyers would need to reclaim before any stronger recovery case starts to rebuild. So the structure is now quite clear: price has slipped below 4,683 the rebound trendline is weakening the next major downside focus sits near 4,585 recovery remains limited while price stays below 4,800 This keeps gold in a vulnerable phase. The market has not yet reached full downside acceleration, but the chart is increasingly favouring bearish continuation unless support can be rebuilt quickly. Key Technical Levels Resistance: 4,800 This is the main recovery barrier on the chart. Gold needs a strong reclaim above this zone before the broader structure can shift back toward recovery. Broken Support / Near Resistance: 4,683 This area was acting as short-term support and has now been lost. If price stays below it, the market remains under downside pressure and any rebound may struggle to gain traction. Fibonacci Buy Zone: 4,585 This is the first major downside demand area. It is the most important retracement zone on the chart if current weakness continues. Lower Extension Area: below 4,585 If the Fibonacci support fails to hold, the chart opens room for a broader downside continuation beyond the current correction. Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Reclaim 4,683 and stabilise above it If buyers manage to recover 4,683 and hold above that area, the immediate downside pressure starts to ease. That would suggest the breakdown is not yet fully accepted and the market may return to short-term consolidation. Scenario 2 – Stay below 4,683 and rotate into 4,585 This is the bearish continuation scenario. If price remains capped below former support, gold may continue sliding toward the 4,585 Fibonacci buy zone, where the next meaningful reaction may appear. Scenario 3 – Hold 4,585 and attempt a rebound If the Fibonacci demand zone attracts fresh buying interest, the market may stabilise and attempt a technical rebound. Even then, recovery would still need to deal with 4,683 first before any stronger upside case can form. Scenario 4 – Break below 4,585 If sellers gain clear acceptance below the Fibonacci support zone, the correction becomes deeper and the broader downside structure opens further. Market Insight Gold is no longer trading like a market in healthy recovery. It is trading like a market that has lost a key support layer and is now drifting toward deeper retracement support. From my perspective, 4,683 is now the level that defines short-term weakness. As long as price remains below it, the structure stays under pressure. The next area that matters is 4,585, where the market will need to prove whether buyers still have enough strength to rebuild. On the upside, 4,800 remains the level that would need to be reclaimed before the bearish tone starts to fade. For now, the breakdown below support makes the downside case more credible while price continues to trade beneath the former structure.

Short

by LA_Trader_Fx

XAUUSD capped below 4,737; gold price stagnant.XAUUSD remains capped below 4,737 as gold tests trendline support and Fibonacci downside structure Gold is trading in a technically important area as price continues to rotate just below the 4,737 resistance zone on the 2H chart, while the broader structure starts to lean heavier on the downside. The fundamental backdrop is also adding pressure. Fresh supply expectations into Thursday, continued concern around Hormuz-related risk, and inflation-driven expectations for a less dovish Fed are keeping pressure on non-yielding metals. That does not mean gold collapses immediately, but it does reinforce the bearish side of the current technical structure. At this stage, the chart matters more than the noise. And the chart is showing a market that is still holding, but increasingly under pressure. Technical Structure From a technical perspective, XAUUSD is trading below a clear sell-side ceiling near 4,737, and that level remains the main cap on any short-term recovery attempt. Price is still sitting around the rising trendline support, but the structure no longer looks clean. The recent rebound has lost momentum, and the market is now compressing between resistance above and weakening support below. That usually matters, because when price keeps failing under the same resistance zone, the probability of a deeper corrective move starts to increase. The chart also keeps the downside Fibonacci path in focus. If the trendline and near-term support fail to hold, the first major downside level comes in at the 4,589 Fibonacci buy zone. That is the first area where buyers may attempt to stabilize the market again. If that zone fails to provide enough support, the broader technical structure opens toward 4,419, which stands out as the deeper downside objective and the next major support layer on the chart. So the structure is clear: 4,737 remains the main resistance the rising trendline is still holding price for now loss of support exposes 4,589 deeper weakness opens room toward 4,419 This keeps gold in a vulnerable position. The market has not fully broken down yet, but the bearish structure is becoming more credible while price stays capped under resistance. Key Technical Levels Resistance: 4,737 This is the main sell zone on the chart. As long as gold remains below it, buyers have not regained short-term control. Trendline / Near Support: 4,640 area This is the structural floor supporting the current rebound phase. A break below this area would weaken the chart noticeably. Fibonacci Buy Zone: 4,589 This is the first major retracement support if the current structure gives way. It is the first downside level that matters in the bearish continuation scenario. Major Support: 4,419 This is the broader technical objective if selling pressure extends and price breaks through the Fibonacci support area. Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Reclaim 4,737 If buyers manage to push price back above 4,737 and hold above that area, the immediate bearish pressure starts to weaken. That would suggest the market is stabilizing rather than accelerating lower. Scenario 2 – Hold 4,640 but stay below 4,737 This is the consolidation scenario. Gold may continue rotating between resistance and support without immediate breakdown. In that case, the structure remains fragile, but not yet fully bearish. Scenario 3 – Lose 4,640 and rotate into 4,589 If the trendline support and nearby floor fail, the next technical move likely shifts into the 4,589 Fibonacci zone. That would confirm that the current rebound structure is no longer strong enough to hold. Scenario 4 – Break below 4,589 If sellers keep control below the Fibonacci support, the broader downside path opens toward 4,419, where the next major structural reaction may appear. Market Insight Gold is no longer trading like a market in clean recovery. It is trading like a market sitting under resistance while support is slowly being tested. From my perspective, 4,737 remains the line buyers need to reclaim before any stronger recovery can be taken seriously. Until that happens, the structure continues to favor downside pressure. As long as 4,640 holds, the market can still delay the breakdown. But if that floor gives way, the chart opens the path toward 4,589, with 4,419 below as the deeper downside level. For now, the bearish case remains stronger while price stays capped beneath resistance.

Short

by LA_Trader_Fx

Updated

XAUUSD H1: Weak rebound, increased risk below.XAUUSD H1: Weak Rebound, Bigger Risk Below Gold is still trading under short-term pressure on the H1 chart after failing to reclaim the 4755–4760 sell liquidity zone. The latest White House support for Jerome Powell to remain temporarily in place, if Kevin Warsh is not approved in time, adds another layer of uncertainty around the Fed and may keep rate expectations unstable in the near term. Fundamental backdrop This matters for gold because policy uncertainty often delays clear directional conviction. If the market remains unsure about the Fed’s leadership and the path of future rate decisions, gold may continue reacting sharply around key liquidity and technical zones rather than building a clean trend immediately. Technical structure on H1 The short-term structure remains bearish. Price is still holding below the 4755–4760 sell liquidity zone, which keeps sellers in control for now. Recent rebounds have been corrective only, with no strong bullish displacement to suggest a meaningful reversal. The next important support is 4658.786, marked as the key downside pivot on the chart. If this level gives way, gold may extend lower into the broader 4600 sell-side liquidity zone, where a stronger reaction could develop. On the upside, 4827.788 remains the major OB resistance. As long as price stays below that level, the broader recovery case remains limited. What order flow is suggesting Order flow still leans bearish in the short term: sellers remain active below 4755–4760 rebound strength is still weak liquidity below 4658.786 remains attractive deeper support sits around 4600 This keeps gold vulnerable to another leg lower unless buyers can reclaim the nearest resistance zone with stronger momentum. Trading scenarios Scenario 1: Rebound into resistance, then downside resumes If gold rebounds into 4755–4760 but fails to break above it, sellers may continue pressing lower. Entry: bearish rejection from 4755–4760 SL: above the local high TP1: 4700 TP2: 4658.786 TP3: 4600 Scenario 2: Breakdown below 4658.786 If price closes decisively below 4658.786, the downside may extend into the 4600 liquidity zone. Entry: confirmed break below 4658.786 SL: above broken support TP1: 4625 TP2: 4600 Scenario 3: Sweep 4600, then rebound If gold trades lower first and sweeps liquidity around 4600, buyers may step in for a corrective rebound. Entry: bullish confirmation from 4600 SL: below the sweep low TP1: 4658.786 TP2: 4700 TP3: 4755–4760 Key levels to watch 4755–4760 → sell liquidity resistance 4700 → intraday pivot 4658.786 → key support 4600 → sell-side liquidity / reaction zone 4827.788 → major OB resistance Conclusion Gold remains under pressure while trading below the nearest sell zone. The current uncertainty around Fed leadership may keep price reactive, but technically the market still looks vulnerable to a move toward 4658.786 and possibly 4600 if support fails. For now, buyers need a stronger reclaim of resistance to shift the short-term tone.

Long

XAUUSD H1: Gold Liquidity Hunt – Technical Analysis XAUUSD H1: Gold Liquidity Hunt – Technical Correction Preceding Further Downside Gold is currently printing a corrective rally following a sharp decline from recent highs. From an ICT perspective, price is gravitating toward areas of imbalance (FVG) to seek liquidity before potentially resuming its short-term bearish market structure. Fundamental Backdrop The market sentiment on April 22, 2026, is largely dictated by the resilience of the US Dollar Index (DXY). Rising Yields: The US 10-year Treasury yield remains elevated around the 4.26% handle, maintaining direct pressure on non-yielding assets like Gold. Wait-and-See Approach: Investors are closely monitoring US-Iran diplomatic developments and upcoming PMI data. The absence of new "safe-haven" catalysts leaves Gold vulnerable to bearish dominance in the near term. Technical Structure on H1 Overall Structure: On the H1 timeframe, Gold has executed a clear Bearish Market Structure Shift (MSS) by breaching prior support levels. Price is currently in a "retracement phase," moving back into Premium zones for potential redistribution. Sell Zone FVG (~4,790 – 4,800): This Fair Value Gap (FVG) was created during the previous impulsive sell-off. This is the primary "Point of Interest" (POI) where institutional sellers are expected to be positioned. Buy Zone Liquidity (~4,700 – 4,720): This area aligns with an old Order Block (OB) and serves as Sell-side Liquidity (SSL). The recent long-wick rejection here suggests buyers are attempting to stabilize the price for a short-term corrective bounce. What Order Flow is Suggesting Current Order Flow indicates a "Sell on Rallies" environment: Price has swept the internal range liquidity at the lows and is currently grinding higher in a low-resistance liquidity run. Buyers are attempting to push price toward the Sell Zone FVG to fill the imbalance. However, the diminishing volume on this ascent suggests this is merely a corrective "breather" rather than a trend reversal. Trading Scenarios Scenario 1: Bearish Rejection at FVG (Primary Scenario) Price retraces into the 4,790 – 4,800 FVG zone and prints a bearish confirmation (SMT divergence or a 5m/15m MSS). Entry (Short): 4,790 – 4,800 Stop Loss (SL): Above 4,820 (The -OB high) TP1: 4,750 TP2: 4,720 (Buy Zone Liquidity) TP3: 4,680 (Targeting the swing low) Scenario 2: Liquidity Sweep of the Highs Price pushes past the FVG to hunt the buy-stops sitting above the -OB (~4,820 – 4,830) before a sharp reversal. Entry: Wait for a liquidity grab followed by a displacement back below 4,810. SL: Above 4,845 TP: 4,720 Key Levels to Watch 4,820 – 4,835: Major Resistance (-OB); the "line in the sand" between a continuation and a structural shift to bullish. 4,790 – 4,800: Premium Sell Zone (FVG). 4,720: Critical Support (Buy Zone / Liquidity). 4,660: Deeper psychological and technical support target. Conclusion & Personal View Gold is currently caught in a "retracement trap." Under the ICT lens, this rally is likely designed to engineer liquidity for Big Boys to reload Short positions. Advice: Patience is key. Wait for price to reach the 4,790 - 4,800 cluster. Avoid "FOMO" buying into this corrective move. Unless price can reclaim and close firmly above the 4,830 level, every rally should be viewed as an opportunity to hunt for Short setups. Note: Gold remains highly volatile. Always adhere to strict risk management protocols.

Long

XAUUSD D1: Gold encounters new supply, but the XAUUSD D1: Gold Faces Fresh Supply, but the Broader Pullback Still Lacks Full Bearish Control Gold is seeing renewed selling pressure in the Asian session, but the downside still looks limited for now. Price is reacting below a key daily resistance area, while the broader structure continues to trade inside a corrective phase rather than a fully confirmed bearish reversal. Fundamental backdrop The macro picture remains mixed for gold. Rising inflation concerns are supporting US Treasury yields and helping the US Dollar stay firm, which is creating pressure on gold in the short term. That explains why fresh supply is appearing whenever price pushes into higher zones. At the same time, expectations that the Fed may still move towards rate cuts later on are preventing the Dollar from becoming too strong. This is important because it keeps downside pressure on gold from turning into a one-way selloff. In other words, gold is under pressure, but it is still receiving support from the softer medium-term rate outlook. Technical structure on D1 Overall structure On the daily chart, XAUUSD is still trading inside a broader corrective structure after the strong rally and sharp rejection from the highs. The current rebound from the lower area has improved short-term sentiment, but price is still struggling below the overhead supply and fair value gap region. This tells us the market is trying to recover, but buyers still need stronger acceptance above resistance before a larger bullish continuation can be trusted. 4,700–4,800: current decision zone The market is now trading inside an important decision area around 4,700–4,800. This zone is significant because it sits near the middle of the current recovery path. If buyers can continue holding price above this region, the rebound remains valid and the market can keep building towards higher resistance. If price starts losing this area more clearly, the current recovery would begin to weaken. 4,900–5,000: FVG resistance The key resistance overhead is the 4,900–5,000 FVG zone. This is the most important near-term supply area on the chart. It is also where sellers are likely to stay active unless buyers can break through with stronger momentum. As long as gold remains below this zone, the recovery still looks corrective rather than impulsive. 4,600: first support On the downside, 4,600 is the first level to watch if the current pullback continues. This area is important because it is the nearest support under the market and may become the first place where buyers try to stabilise price again. 4,350–4,400: deeper support zone If the market loses the current structure more decisively, the next important support comes in around 4,350–4,400. This is the stronger demand area on the chart and the zone where buyers would likely need to react more clearly to prevent a deeper bearish extension. What order flow is suggesting Order flow suggests that sellers are still active below the upper supply zone, but buyers have not fully given up control of the broader recovery attempt. So for now: sellers are defending the 4,900–5,000 resistance area buyers are still trying to hold the market above the current recovery base and the structure remains balanced between another push higher and a deeper pullback This keeps gold in a sensitive but still tradable structure. Trading scenarios Scenario 1: Pullback stays limited and recovery resumes If gold continues to hold above the current decision zone and buyers step back in, price may retest the upper FVG resistance. Entry: around 4,680–4,720 on bullish confirmation SL: below 4,600 TP1: 4,850 TP2: 4,900 TP3: 5,000 Scenario 2: Rejection below FVG, then deeper correction If price fails again below the 4,900–5,000 area and momentum fades, the market may rotate lower into support. Entry: near resistance on bearish rejection SL: above the rejection high TP1: 4,700 TP2: 4,600 TP3: 4,350–4,400 Scenario 3: Breakdown below current base If gold loses the current recovery structure and closes clearly below support, the correction may deepen further. Entry: below 4,600 on confirmed weakness SL: above the broken support TP1: 4,450 TP2: 4,350–4,400 Key levels to watch 4,700–4,800 → current decision zone 4,900–5,000 → FVG resistance 4,600 → first support 4,350–4,400 → deeper support zone Conclusion Gold is facing fresh supply again, but the downside still looks contained while the broader recovery structure remains alive. The stronger Dollar and higher yields are adding pressure, yet softer expectations around the Fed are still helping gold avoid a full bearish breakdown. Lana’s view: gold is still in a corrective recovery phase. As long as price holds above support, another retest of resistance remains possible. But unless buyers reclaim the 4,900–5,000 zone with authority, rallies may continue to face selling pressure.

Short

XAUUSD D1: Gold Bullish Weekly XAUUSD D1: Gold Holds a Constructive Weekly Structure While Buyers Defend Support Gold is entering the new week with the broader daily structure still leaning constructive. Even though price is not yet in a clean breakout phase, buyers continue to defend the key support base, which keeps the upside scenario active as long as the market remains above the current demand region. Fundamental backdrop The latest macro tone remains supportive for gold, but not in a straight-line way. Growing optimism around a lasting ceasefire between the US and Iran is helping risk sentiment stabilize, and that has reduced part of the panic-driven demand for the US Dollar. A softer Dollar naturally gives gold more room to stay supported. At the same time, the bullish case is still being moderated by inflation concerns. Any instability around energy flows and the Strait of Hormuz keeps inflation risk alive, which can prevent the Dollar from weakening too aggressively. That is why gold is holding firm rather than accelerating vertically. For now, the backdrop is constructive for gold, but price still needs technical confirmation to turn that support into a stronger expansion leg. Technical structure on D1 Overall structure On the daily chart, XAUUSD remains inside a broader bullish framework after recovering from the lower structural base. Price is trading above the main support region and continues to build around the mid-to-upper part of the current range, which shows that buyers have not lost control. This is important because the market is no longer behaving like a breakdown structure. Instead, it is acting more like a pause inside a broader recovery path, with the next move depending on whether buyers can push price back into higher liquidity. 4,380: key structural support The first major level to watch is 4,380. This is the most important support zone on the chart right now. As long as gold continues to hold above this area, the broader bullish structure remains valid and buyers still have a strong foundation for another leg higher. If this support fails decisively, the structure would weaken and the market could shift into a deeper correction. 4,750 – 5,050: recovery zone The next important upside area is around 4,750–5,050. This is the first recovery band that buyers need to reclaim with more authority. A stable move through this zone would confirm that the market is moving beyond a simple rebound and back into a stronger continuation phase. 5,556 – 5,633: major upside target Higher up, the chart highlights 5,556–5,633 as the next major bullish objective. This remains the premium target zone if buyers continue defending support and momentum improves through the intermediate resistance layers. 3,920: deeper liquidity support Below the market, 3,920 remains the deeper sellside liquidity zone. This is the larger structural support area and the line that would matter more if the market loses the current recovery base. What order flow is suggesting Order flow still favors buyers on the higher timeframe, but the market needs continuation, not hesitation. So for now: buyers are still defending the structure above 4,380 the broader recovery remains valid while price holds that base and the next clearer upside confirmation comes if gold starts expanding back through the 4,750–5,050 recovery zone This keeps the weekly outlook constructive, but still dependent on support holding firm. Trading scenarios for this week Scenario 1: Support holds and gold extends higher If gold continues to defend 4,380 and builds stronger bullish candles from current levels, price may extend higher into the next recovery zone. Entry: around 4,400–4,450 on bullish confirmation SL: below 4,300 TP1: 4,750 TP2: 5,050 TP3: 5,556–5,633 Scenario 2: Pullback before continuation If price fails to break higher immediately, gold may revisit support first before attempting another upside move. Entry: on a bullish reaction from support SL: below the local swing low TP1: 4,750 TP2: 5,050 Scenario 3: Breakdown below support If gold closes decisively below 4,380, the bullish structure would weaken and the market could rotate lower into deeper liquidity. Entry: below 4,380 on confirmed breakdown SL: above the broken support TP1: 4,100 TP2: 3,920 Key levels to watch 4,380 → key structural support 4,750–5,050 → intermediate recovery zone 5,556–5,633 → major upside target 3,920 → deeper sellside liquidity Conclusion Gold still holds a constructive daily structure heading into the week. The softer Dollar backdrop and improving diplomatic sentiment are helping buyers stay active, while inflation-related uncertainty is keeping volatility elevated rather than allowing a one-direction move. Lana’s view: as long as gold remains above 4,380, the broader bullish structure stays valid. This week still favors a supportive-to-bullish outlook, with the next meaningful upside confirmation coming if price starts reclaiming the 4,750–5,050 zone.

Short

XAUUSD H4: Gold maintains recovery above support.XAUUSD H4: Gold Holds Recovery Above Support, but Buyers Still Need a Clear Break Higher Gold is trying to stabilize after the latest pullback, and the broader H4 structure still leans constructive while price remains above support. Even so, the market is not in full breakout mode yet. Buyers are holding the recovery base, but the next move depends on whether gold can reclaim the upper resistance zone with stronger momentum. Fundamental backdrop The macro tone is mixed rather than fully bullish. Hopes of progress on the geopolitical front have reduced part of the defensive demand that previously pushed gold sharply higher. At the same time, the US Dollar is not collapsing, which is limiting upside follow-through in bullion. That leaves gold in a more balanced environment: the bigger structure is still supported, but the market now needs technical confirmation rather than relying only on headlines. Technical structure on H4 Overall structure On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is still trading above the recent recovery base after rebounding strongly from the late-March lows. Price has pulled back from the latest highs, but the structure is still not broken. For now, this looks more like a controlled retracement inside a recovery phase than a confirmed bearish reversal. 4,811: near-term resistance The first key level overhead is around 4,811. This is the immediate resistance zone where gold is currently struggling to extend higher. A sustained move above this area would strengthen the recovery structure and shift attention back towards higher liquidity. 4,657 – 4,580: key support zone The most important support area remains 4,657 – 4,580. This is the zone buyers need to defend if they want to keep the current recovery leg intact. As long as price holds here, gold still has room to build another push higher. 4,497: deeper support floor Below that, 4,497 remains the stronger structural floor. If the market rotates lower into this area, buyers would still have a chance to rebuild. But a clean break below it would weaken the recovery outlook significantly. 5,220 – 5,246: higher upside target If buyers regain momentum and reclaim near-term resistance, the next major upside objective remains 5,220 – 5,246. This is the premium zone on the chart and the area where gold would likely face a more meaningful reaction again. What order flow is suggesting Order flow shows that buyers have not lost control, but momentum has slowed. So for now: buyers are still protecting the recovery structure above support sellers are trying to cap price below the recent high and the next directional move depends on whether gold can hold the pullback zone and build fresh upside momentum Trading scenarios Scenario 1: Support holds and gold resumes higher If price stabilizes above 4,657 – 4,580, gold may attempt another move back towards resistance and then the higher target zone. Entry: around 4,600 – 4,650 on bullish confirmation SL: below 4,540 TP1: 4,811 TP2: 4,900 TP3: 5,220 – 5,246 Scenario 2: Deeper pullback develops If gold fails to hold the current support zone, the market may extend lower into the stronger base. Entry: below 4,580 on confirmed weakness SL: above the broken support TP1: 4,497 TP2: lower support if selling pressure expands Key levels to watch 4,811 → immediate resistance 4,657 – 4,580 → key pullback support 4,497 → major support floor 5,220 – 5,246 → higher upside target Conclusion Gold is still holding a constructive H4 recovery structure, but buyers now need a cleaner push through resistance to confirm the next upside leg. The market remains supported above the current base, yet momentum has become more selective as diplomacy hopes reduce some of the panic bid. Lana’s view: this is still a pullback inside a recovery structure, not a confirmed bearish reversal. If buyers defend support, gold can build higher again. If support breaks, the market may need a deeper correction before bullish momentum returns.

Long

XAUUSD H4: Gold Retraces From Highs XAUUSD H4: Gold Pulls Back From Highs, but the Broader Recovery Structure Still Holds Gold is losing some short-term momentum after failing to hold above the recent high, but the broader H4 structure is not broken yet. Price is now reacting below resistance while still trading above an important support base, which keeps the current move in a pullback phase rather than a confirmed reversal. Fundamental backdrop The near-term tone for gold has turned more balanced. Hopes that tensions in the Middle East could ease have reduced part of the safe-haven demand that had supported gold earlier. That is one reason why the US Dollar has found some relief and why gold has stepped back from the weekly high area. At the same time, inflation pressure remains a relevant theme, which is limiting any deeper USD weakness. This keeps gold from accelerating higher in a straight line. In short, the macro picture is no longer strongly one-sided: geopolitical optimism is cooling bullish pressure, while inflation risks are still preventing a clean bearish shift. Technical structure on H4 Overall structure On the H4 chart, XAUUSD remains inside a recovery structure after rebounding from the late-March low. However, price is now stalling below the upper liquidity zone and pulling back into a key support region. This matters because the market is no longer in breakout mode. Instead, gold is testing whether buyers can keep the broader recovery intact through a healthy retracement. 4,811: immediate resistance The first level to watch is around 4,811. This is the nearest resistance pivot and the area where the market is currently struggling to regain momentum. As long as gold remains below it, upside pressure stays limited and the move can continue to look corrective. A stronger recovery above this zone would be the first sign that buyers are ready to retest higher liquidity again. 4,657 – 4,580: key support zone The most important support area now sits between 4,657 and 4,580. This is the zone where the current pullback needs to stabilise if the broader recovery is going to remain valid. It also aligns with the recent reaction area on the chart, making it the first meaningful defence line for buyers. If gold holds here and prints a stronger reaction, another upside leg remains possible. 4,497: major support base Below that, 4,497 remains the stronger structural support. A move into this level would suggest the pullback is becoming deeper, but it would still be the first major zone where buyers may try to rebuild momentum. If this support breaks decisively, the bullish recovery structure weakens significantly. 5,220 – 5,246: higher upside target If buyers regain control and price pushes back through resistance, the next major upside objective remains 5,220 – 5,246. This is the upper premium zone on the chart and the area where gold would need to prove stronger continuation. What order flow is suggesting Order flow shows that bullish momentum has slowed, but buyers have not fully lost control. So for now: sellers are capping price below the recent high buyers still have an important support base underneath the market and the next directional move depends on whether gold holds the current pullback zone or loses it This keeps the structure balanced between a healthy retracement and a deeper correction. Trading scenarios Scenario 1: Support holds and gold resumes higher If price stabilises above 4,657 – 4,580 and buyers step back in, gold may attempt another push toward the recent highs. Entry: around 4,600 – 4,650 on bullish confirmation SL: below 4,540 TP1: 4,811 TP2: 4,870 TP3: 5,220 – 5,246 Scenario 2: Deeper pullback develops If gold fails to hold the current support zone, price may extend lower into the stronger base. Entry: below 4,580 on confirmed weakness SL: above the broken support TP1: 4,497 TP2: lower support if selling pressure expands Key levels to watch 4,811 → immediate resistance 4,657 – 4,580 → key pullback support 4,497 → major support base 5,220 – 5,246 → higher upside target Conclusion Gold has lost some short-term momentum after failing near the weekly high, but the broader H4 recovery structure is still holding while support remains intact. The next move now depends on how price reacts inside the 4,657 – 4,580 zone. Lana’s view: this is still a pullback inside a recovery structure, not a confirmed bearish reversal. If buyers defend support, gold can recover again. If support breaks, the market may need a deeper correction before bullish momentum returns.

Long

Updated

Gold Steady on Defensive Flow Gold Holds Firm as Defensive Flow Meets Bullish Structure Gold remains supported despite a mixed macro backdrop, with price still trading inside a broader ascending structure rather than showing signs of a full bearish reversal. Recent market sentiment has been shaped by conflicting drivers. On one hand, geopolitical risk around the Strait of Hormuz has helped keep the US dollar supported, which naturally limits upside acceleration in gold. On the other hand, hopes for diplomacy with Iran and softer expectations around further Fed tightening have prevented the dollar from gaining too much control. That balance is keeping gold in a corrective phase rather than pushing it into a deeper sell-off. From a technical point of view, XAUUSD is still respecting its rising channel, even though momentum has cooled near the upper half of the structure. After testing the higher area around 4,818, price rotated lower, but the decline so far looks more like a controlled retracement than a structural breakdown. Technical map The first key area to watch is the 4,774–4,790 region. This is the nearest resistance cluster and the zone where price is currently being capped. If gold remains below this band, short-term upside may stay limited and the market could continue to drift lower inside the channel. Below that, 4,715 stands out as the major intraday support. This level is important not only from a structure perspective, but also because it sits close to the lower boundary of the current bullish framework. A reaction from this area would keep the broader bullish idea intact and suggest that buyers are still defending value on dips. Scenario outlook Bullish scenario: If price holds around 4,715 and buyers step back in with enough strength, gold could rotate higher towards 4,774 first, then 4,790, with 4,818 remaining the next upside level to retest. Reclaiming the resistance cluster would be an early sign that the current pullback is ending and the broader uptrend is ready to resume. Alternative scenario: If price continues to reject below 4,774–4,790, the market may extend lower towards 4,715 before any stronger reaction appears. Even then, this would still fit a corrective move inside the larger bullish channel unless support gives way decisively. Key levels Resistance: 4,818 Near-term cap: 4,790 Reaction zone: 4,774 Major support: 4,715 Final view For now, gold is not collapsing under pressure. It is simply correcting within a bullish structure while the market processes a complicated macro picture. As long as the lower support remains intact, pullbacks still favour reaction-based buying setups over aggressive bearish continuation. The main focus is whether price can stabilize above support and rebuild enough momentum to reclaim the 4,774–4,790 zone. If that happens, the path back towards 4,818 becomes much more realistic. What matters here is not the noise between levels, but how price behaves when it reaches them.

Short

by Cecilia_Jane_Trader

Updated

Gold Declines From Four-Week High Gold Pulls Back From a Four-Week High, but the Structure Still Favors Recovery XAUUSD is easing from the recent high, though the broader rebound structure has not broken yet. Gold is trading slightly softer after touching a fresh four-week high near 4,871 in early Asian trading. The pullback is not surprising. After a strong recovery leg, buyers are pausing as the market starts to price in the possibility that the upcoming US-Iran talks could produce progress towards a peace agreement. That shift matters. When diplomacy appears to have a chance, the immediate safe-haven premium in gold tends to cool. That is exactly why price is stepping back from the highs. But the downside is also being limited by another factor: uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s next move is still keeping the US dollar from gaining stronger traction. As long as the dollar cannot fully recover, gold remains supported on dips rather than falling into a clean bearish reversal. Technical Structure From a technical perspective, gold is still trading inside a recovery structure, even though momentum has slowed near the recent highs. The chart shows that price is now reacting around the 4,817 area after failing to extend directly higher. The first support band comes in around 4,568–4,585, which is also marked as the current sell zone retest area. If price starts losing that structure, the next downside path opens towards the lower Fibonacci extensions around 4,400 and then the deeper 4,200 zone. That said, the broader picture is not bearish yet. The market is still holding above the key recovery base, and as long as buyers continue to defend dips above the lower structure, the current pullback can still be treated as a reset inside a larger rebound rather than a full reversal. Key Price Zones Immediate Resistance: 4,817 This is the current cap after the latest push higher. Gold needs to reclaim and hold above this area to restore stronger upside momentum. Sell Zone / First Support: 4,568–4,585 This is the first technical support band now in focus. If buyers defend it, the recovery structure remains valid. Lower Support: 4,400 area If the first support gives way, this becomes the next downside level to watch. Deeper Downside Zone: 4,200 area This is the broader support region if the correction extends further. Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Hold 4,568–4,585 and recover again This is the constructive scenario. If buyers defend the current support band, gold may stabilize and attempt another push back towards 4,817 and potentially beyond. Scenario 2 – Break support and correct deeper This is the more defensive path. If price loses 4,568–4,585 with clear downside acceptance, the correction may extend towards 4,400, with deeper room into 4,200 if selling pressure accelerates. Scenario 3 – Reclaim the high and resume the rebound If gold quickly regains strength above the recent high zone, the market would confirm that the pullback was only temporary profit-taking rather than the start of a broader retracement. Market Insight Gold is no longer in a clean impulsive rally. It is now in the part of the move where headlines and expectations start to matter more. Peace-talk optimism is reducing part of the safe-haven premium, but dollar weakness is still stopping the metal from rolling over decisively. That leaves the chart in a balanced but still constructive position. From my perspective, the key question is simple: does gold hold the 4,568–4,585 area, or does the correction deepen from here? For now, the message is clear: gold is pulling back from strength, but unless support starts breaking decisively, the broader structure still looks more like a recovery under pressure than a completed reversal.

Short

by LA_Trader_Fx

Updated

XAUUSD D1: Gold Remains Bullish XAUUSD D1: Gold Holds the Broader Bullish Structure, but Next Week Still Depends on Support Reaction Gold enters the new week with the broader daily structure still leaning bullish, even though price is not yet in a fully impulsive expansion phase. The chart shows that XAUUSD continues to trade above a major structural support zone, while buyers are trying to protect the recovery path toward higher liquidity above. The key question for next week is not whether gold still has upside potential in the bigger picture, but whether buyers can keep defending the current support base strongly enough to maintain momentum and drive price back into the higher premium zones. Fundamental backdrop The macro backdrop remains supportive for gold, but not without limits. Fresh optimism around diplomacy with Iran has weakened the US Dollar and helped gold attract stronger buying interest again. At the same time, uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s next rate path is also reducing support for the Dollar, which creates a more constructive environment for XAUUSD. However, the bullish case is not completely open. Inflation risks linked to instability around the Strait of Hormuz are still preventing a deeper Dollar selloff, and that is one of the reasons gold is not moving in a straight line. In other words, the broader backdrop supports gold, but the market still needs technical confirmation for the next expansion leg. Technical structure on D1 Overall structure On the daily chart, gold remains inside a broader bullish framework after reacting strongly from the lower support region. Even after the recent pullback, price is still holding above the major structural floor near 3,920, which keeps the higher-timeframe trend intact. The current structure suggests that gold is in a rebuilding phase rather than a breakdown phase. As long as the market continues to print higher support above the lower base, the path toward another upside leg remains open. 4,380: key structural support The first major level to watch is 4,380. This is the most important short-term support on the chart and the current line that buyers need to protect. If price holds above this area, gold can still build another recovery leg and continue rotating higher inside the broader bullish structure. If this level breaks decisively, the daily structure would weaken and the market could slide back toward the deeper support zone. 4,750 – 5,050: intermediate recovery zone The next area to watch on the upside is around 4,750–5,050. This is the first meaningful recovery band and the area where price would need to stabilise if buyers want to regain stronger momentum. A sustained move through this region would improve the structure significantly and confirm that the current rebound is not just corrective. 5,556 – 5,633: major upside target Higher up, the chart clearly marks the 5,556–5,633 region as the next major target zone. This is the upper premium area and the main bullish objective if the current support continues to hold. If gold reaches this zone, it would confirm that buyers have fully reasserted control over the broader daily structure. 3,920: deeper sellside liquidity Below the market, 3,920 remains the deeper sellside liquidity zone. This is the larger structural support and the area where the broader long-term bullish framework would be tested more seriously if current support fails. What order flow is suggesting Order flow still favours buyers on the higher timeframe, but the market is now at a stage where support needs to be respected carefully. So for now: buyers still hold the broader structure above 4,380 the market remains capable of building a fresh upside leg and the next clearer bullish continuation comes if price starts expanding away from support with stronger momentum This keeps the weekly outlook constructive, but still dependent on how price reacts around the current support base. Trading scenarios for next week Scenario 1: Support holds and gold continues higher If gold continues to defend the 4,380 region and prints a stronger bullish reaction, the market may extend higher into the recovery zones above. Entry: around 4,400–4,450 on bullish confirmation SL: below 4,300 TP1: 4,750 TP2: 5,050 TP3: 5,556–5,633 Scenario 2: Pullback before recovery If price fails to break higher immediately, gold may revisit support first before attempting another upside move. Entry: on a bullish reaction from support SL: below the local swing low TP1: 4,750 TP2: 5,050 Scenario 3: Breakdown below support If gold closes decisively below 4,380, the recovery structure would weaken and price could rotate lower toward deeper liquidity. Entry: below 4,380 on confirmed breakdown SL: above the broken support TP1: 4,100 TP2: 3,920 Key levels to watch 4,380 → key structural support 4,750–5,050 → intermediate recovery zone 5,556–5,633 → major upside target 3,920 → deeper sellside liquidity Conclusion Gold still holds a constructive daily structure heading into next week. The broader backdrop remains supportive as a softer Dollar and geopolitical uncertainty continue to underpin demand, but the market still needs price confirmation through support defence and renewed upside expansion. Lana’s weekly view: as long as gold remains above 4,380, the broader bullish structure stays valid, and next week still favours the possibility of another push higher toward 5,050 and potentially 5,556–5,633 if momentum strengthens.

Long

Updated

Gold recovery continues; market outlook uncertain.Gold Recovery Holds, but the Market Still Needs to Break Higher XAUUSD is recovering well, though the next buying/entry leg still needs stronger confirmation. Gold continues to rebound from the sub-4,650 area reached earlier, and the latest move shows that buyers are still active as the market tries to rebuild structure. The recovery is also being supported by the broader macro backdrop. Although the US-Iran peace talks failed over the weekend, markets still appear to believe that diplomacy is not completely off the table. That has helped limit aggressive safe-haven demand for the dollar. At the same time, uncertainty around the Fed’s next rate decisions is keeping the US dollar from gaining stronger traction. That matters for gold. When the dollar loses momentum and rate expectations become less certain, the metal usually finds more room to recover. Technical Structure From a technical perspective, gold is trying to extend its rebound inside an improving short-term structure. Price has already recovered from the recent low and is now stabilizing around the 4,770 area. The chart shows a clear framework: 4,650–4,700 is the near-term support zone protecting the current rebound the first major upside target comes in near 4,800 above that, the broader resistance and liquidity zone sits around 5,370–5,412 as long as price remains above the rising recovery structure, the upside bias stays valid This means the market is no longer trading in a weak corrective phase. It is recovering. But the recovery still needs continuation through resistance before the bullish case becomes fully convincing. Key Price Zones Immediate Support: 4,650–4,700 This is the first zone holding the rebound together. If buyers continue defending it, the structure remains constructive. First Upside Test: 4,800 This is the nearest resistance and the first level that needs to be cleared to strengthen the recovery. Major Sell Zone: 5,370–5,412 This is the broader upside liquidity area and the more important resistance ceiling on the chart. Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Hold support and continue higher This is the constructive path. If gold stays above the current recovery base, price may extend through 4,800 and continue building towards the higher liquidity zone. Scenario 2 – Pull back first, then recover again This is also realistic. The market may retrace slightly after the recent bounce. But as long as price holds above the 4,650–4,700 support area, that pullback would still look corrective rather than bearish. Scenario 3 – Lose support and weaken the recovery If gold drops back below the current support structure, the rebound would lose momentum and the upside case would be delayed. Market Insight Gold is in a better position than it was a few sessions ago, but the market is still not fully free of resistance. The weaker dollar tone and uncertainty around Fed policy are helping the metal recover, yet buyers still need to prove they can turn this rebound into a cleaner upside continuation. For now, the message is clear: gold is recovering well, support is holding, and as long as the current base remains intact, the market still has room to push higher.

Long

by LA_Trader_Fx

Updated

Select market data provided by ICE Data Services. Select reference data provided by FactSet. Copyright © 2026 FactSet Research Systems Inc.Copyright © 2026, American Bankers Association. CUSIP Database provided by FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. SEC fillings and other documents provided by Quartr.© 2026 TradingView, Inc.

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