Brian XAUUSD – Gold breaks bearish channel.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD BREAKS THE DOWN CHANNEL, BUT SUPPLY IS WAITING ABOVE
Gold has finally broken out of the broader descending channel, and this is the most important change on the chart.
For weeks, price was trapped inside a heavy corrective structure. Every rebound was capped by the upper trendline, and sellers continued to control the market from higher value areas.
This time, the reaction is different.
Gold did not only bounce from the lower structure. It broke through the downtrend channel with strong momentum and is now holding above the breakout area. That tells me buyers are no longer waiting passively at the lows. They are starting to reclaim control.
But the move is already extended, and price is now trading near a sensitive zone. This is where the next pullback will tell us whether the breakout is real or only a short-term liquidity run.
Technical structure
On the 3H chart, gold has shifted from a bearish channel into a bullish recovery phase.
The Buyer Hold Zone around 4,330 - 4,355 is now the key area. As long as price holds above this zone, the bullish structure remains alive and buyers can continue building towards the higher supply area.
Below current price, the Pullback Demand Zone around 4,230 - 4,250 is the cleaner reload zone. If gold corrects into this area and reacts strongly, it would confirm that buyers are defending value after the breakout.
The HTF Supply Zone around 4,560 - 4,600 is the major resistance above. This is where sellers may return aggressively if price reaches that area without a deeper reset.
Important zones
Buyer Hold Zone: 4,330 - 4,355
Current support and short-term bullish decision area.
Pullback Demand Zone: 4,230 - 4,250
Main buy-reaction zone if gold corrects deeper.
Major Support Zone: 3,940 - 3,960
Long-term support if the bullish breakout completely fails.
HTF Supply Zone: 4,560 - 4,600
Major higher-timeframe resistance and upside liquidity target.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from Pullback Demand Zone 4,230 - 4,250
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price pulls back into 4,230 - 4,250 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the Pullback Demand Zone or below the local swing low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,330 - 4,355
TP2: 4,430
TP3: 4,560 - 4,600 if buyers keep strong acceptance above value
This setup follows the breakout from the descending channel but avoids chasing price after the strongest move.
Alternative view
If gold holds directly above the Buyer Hold Zone and does not give a deep pullback, buyers can still attempt continuation towards 4,430 first.
But if price loses 4,330 and fails to reclaim it, the market may rotate lower into 4,230 - 4,250 before the next serious decision.
Final view
Gold has made a real structural change.
The downtrend channel is broken.
Buyers have reclaimed higher value.
Momentum is now stronger than it was in previous weeks.
But professional trading is not about chasing the breakout candle. The cleaner opportunity comes from the retest.
If 4,230 - 4,250 holds, gold can continue towards the HTF Supply Zone around 4,560 - 4,600.
If that demand zone fails, the breakout becomes weaker and price may need a deeper reset.
For now, the bias is bullish while gold holds above the reclaimed value structure.
The question is simple:
Will buyers defend the pullback, or is gold already too close to supply? 
Long
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD UPWARD TREND MAINTAINEDBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD HOLDS THE UPTREND BEFORE NFP
Gold is attracting buyers again after the previous pullback, but the market is not completely free yet.
Price is still trading inside a rising structure, supported by the short-term uptrend channel. However, with NFP coming, traders should be careful. Geopolitical risk, inflation concerns, and Fed rate expectations are still supporting the US dollar, which can limit gold’s upside if the data comes stronger than expected.
The chart is bullish, but confirmation still matters.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold is holding above the Buy zone POC around 4,242. This is the key value area where buyers are defending the current structure.
As long as price stays above 4,242, the bullish continuation remains valid and gold can attempt another push towards the recent high around 4,304.
If buyers break above 4,304 with strong acceptance, the next upside extension can continue along the upper trendline.
However, the bearish confirmation support level around 4,223 is the line that should not be ignored. If gold loses this area, the current bullish structure weakens and price may rotate deeper towards the Buy swing zone around 4,163.
Important zones
Buy zone POC: 4,242
Main value support and preferred buy-reaction area.
Bearish confirmation support: 4,223
Key level that decides whether bullish momentum stays alive.
Buy swing zone: 4,163
Deeper support if price breaks below the current structure.
Recent high: 4,304
First major upside target.
Uptrend channel:
Bullish structure remains valid while price respects the channel.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from Buy zone POC 4,242
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price pulls back into 4,242 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the Buy zone POC or below 4,223 if the structure weakens.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,304
TP2: 4,330
TP3: Trail higher only if buyers maintain acceptance above the recent high
This setup follows the current bullish structure, but because NFP is ahead, confirmation is more important than speed.
Final view
Gold is still holding the uptrend, and buyers remain active around the 4,242 POC zone.
But the market is entering a news-sensitive area. If gold holds 4,242 and breaks 4,304, the bullish wave can continue. If price loses 4,223, the market may need a deeper reset before buyers return.
For now, I prefer buying confirmed pullbacks, not chasing the high before NFP.
The trend is bullish.
The risk is news volatility.
The key is whether buyers can defend 4,242.
Would you buy the POC retest, or wait for NFP to clear the direction first? Long 
GOLD SOARS HIGHER, BUT THEBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD EXPLODES HIGHER, BUT THE RETEST MATTERS NOW
Gold has delivered a powerful move, rising sharply after the market started pricing a less aggressive Fed path under Warsh. A weaker US dollar, lower Treasury yields, and softer expectations for future tightening have reduced the opportunity cost of holding gold, allowing buyers to step back in with strength.
The move is impressive, but after a 4% surge, the professional question is not “Is gold bullish?” The real question is: where can buyers reload without chasing the top?
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold has broken strongly above the previous value area and shifted into a clear bullish expansion phase.
Price is now trading around the Buyer Hold Zone near 4,255 - 4,265. This is the first important area where buyers need to defend momentum. If gold holds above this zone, the market can continue building towards the next upside extension.
However, after such a strong vertical move, a pullback would be healthy. The Buy zone around 4,203 - 4,205 is the key reaction area below current price. This is where buyers may reload if price rotates lower before the next push.
The Main Buy Re-entry zone around 4,160 - 4,170 is the deeper support if the market needs a stronger correction.
Important zones
Buyer Hold Zone: 4,255 - 4,265 Current decision area after the strong breakout.
Buy zone: 4,203 - 4,205 Main pullback area for buyer reaction.
Main Buy Re-entry: 4,160 - 4,170 Deeper value support if price corrects harder.
Last Buyer Defense: 4,064 Major invalidation reference if bullish structure fails.
Deep Demand Zone: 4,045 - 4,050 Longer-term demand base below the current bullish structure.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from Buy zone 4,203 - 4,205
Entry: Look for buy positions only if price pulls back into 4,203 - 4,205 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss: Below the Buy zone or below the local pullback low.
Take Profit: TP1: 4,255 - 4,265 TP2: 4,280 TP3: Trail higher only if buyers keep acceptance above the Buyer Hold Zone
This setup follows the current bullish momentum but avoids chasing after the strongest candle.
Final view
Gold has shifted strongly bullish in the short term, supported by weaker USD pressure and softer Fed expectations.
But the chart is extended. The best opportunity is not buying emotion at the top. It is waiting for gold to return into value and watching whether buyers defend the pullback.
If 4,203 - 4,205 holds, gold can continue the bullish wave. If this zone fails, the market may need a deeper reset towards 4,160 - 4,170.
Momentum is bullish. But value still decides the next clean entry.
Would you chase the breakout, or wait for the 4,205 retest? Short 
GOLD WEEK STARTS TRAPPEDBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD STARTS THE WEEK TRAPPED BELOW VALUE
Gold starts the new week consolidating around the 4,050 area after the previous decline. The market is not showing a clean bullish recovery yet. Price is holding above short-term support, but the broader structure still trades under a clear downtrend line.
From a macro view, the US dollar remains pressured by the USD/JPY drop and hopes for Middle East diplomacy. That should normally help gold. But the important detail is this: gold is still struggling to build upside momentum. When positive fundamentals cannot push price higher, the chart deserves more attention.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold is compressing between the Buy zone VAL around 4,033 and the Sell zone POC around 4,105.
The Buy zone VAL at 4,033 is the first support where buyers may try to defend the market. A short-term bounce from this area is possible.
But the main resistance remains the Sell zone POC at 4,105. This zone also aligns with the descending trendline pressure. If gold rebounds into this area and fails, sellers may take control again.
Important zones
Buy zone VAL: 4,033
Short-term support and possible bounce area.
Current price area: 4,050 - 4,060
Middle of the range, not an ideal chasing zone.
Sell zone POC: 4,100 - 4,105
Main resistance and preferred sell reaction zone.
Downtrend line:
Bearish pressure remains active while price trades below it.
Trading scenario
Sell reaction from Sell zone POC 4,100 - 4,105
Entry:
Look for sell positions only if price rebounds into 4,100 - 4,105 and shows clear rejection.
Stop Loss:
Above the Sell zone POC or above the local rejection high.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,060
TP2: 4,033
TP3: Trail lower only if buyers fail to defend the VAL zone
This setup follows the current bearish structure. Gold can bounce first from 4,033, but the stronger decision zone is still higher at 4,105.
Weekly outlook
For the new week, I see gold trapped in a value compression.
If price holds 4,033, a rebound towards 4,100 - 4,105 is possible.
If price rejects from 4,105, sellers can drive gold back lower.
If gold breaks and holds above 4,105, the bearish structure starts to weaken.
Final view
Gold is waiting for direction, but sellers still have the technical advantage while price remains below the downtrend line and below the Sell zone POC.
For now, I do not want to chase the middle.
Let gold reach value.
Let price test 4,105.
Then watch whether sellers defend it again.
Is this a real recovery forming, or just another bounce into resistance? Long 
Brian XAUUSD – Gold closes week under 4,100.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD ENDS THE WEEK BELOW 4,100, SELLERS STILL CONTROL VALUE
Gold closed the week under pressure after failing to reclaim the 4,100 area with real strength. Even though the US dollar weakened earlier after Japanese FX intervention, the recovery in Treasury yields and renewed Fed rate-hike risk kept gold heavy.
This week’s story was clear: gold tried to rebound, but every recovery attempt was capped below higher value. Price is now trading around 4,045, still below the descending daily trendline and still below the main resistance structure.
The market is not showing a clean bullish reversal yet. It is showing a weak consolidation under resistance.
Technical structure
On the daily chart, gold remains trapped below the major descending trendline from the previous highs. This keeps the broader structure defensive.
The first important level above current price is the strong resistance area around 4,175. If gold rebounds into this zone but fails to accept above it, sellers may return again.
Above that, the next major resistance sits near 4,371, while the Sell POC zone remains the larger upper value cap. Unless gold can reclaim those areas with strong acceptance, the broader upside still looks limited.
Below current price, the Strong Support zone around 3,880 - 3,920 is the next major daily support. If this area breaks, the market can rotate deeper towards the Buy zone POC around 3,620 - 3,660.
Important zones
Current price area: 4,045
Gold is still trading below the 4,100 psychological level.
Strong resistance: 4,175
First major resistance if gold rebounds next week.
Higher resistance: 4,371
Next upside reference before the upper sell structure.
Strong Support: 3,880 - 3,920
Main daily support and next downside battlefield.
Buy zone POC: 3,620 - 3,660
Deep value support if the weekly bearish pressure expands.
Sell POC: 4,500 - 4,560
Major upper value resistance and long-term sell cap.
Trading scenario
Sell reaction from strong resistance 4,175
Entry:
Look for sell positions only if price rebounds into the 4,175 resistance area and shows clear bearish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Above the rejection structure or above the local resistance high.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,000
TP2: 3,880 - 3,920
TP3: 3,620 - 3,660 if bearish momentum expands
This setup follows the current daily structure. Gold can rebound, but while price stays below the descending trendline and below higher value, rallies remain vulnerable.
Weekly summary
Gold had another weak week. The market failed to hold above 4,100, Treasury yields jumped, and Fed rate-hike risk stayed alive.
The key technical message is that buyers are still unable to reclaim value. Price is holding above support for now, but the structure remains bearish below the daily trendline.
Final view
Gold is not dead for buyers, but buyers have not proven control yet.
For next week, I will watch whether gold can rebound towards 4,175. If that zone rejects, the next sell wave can open towards 3,900 and possibly the deeper Buy zone POC.
If gold breaks above 4,175 and holds, then the market can attempt a stronger correction towards 4,371.
Until then, the main view remains simple:
Gold is below value.
Trendline pressure is still active.
Rallies into resistance remain the cleaner sell opportunity.
Will buyers finally reclaim 4,175 next week, or will this become another rejection before the deeper move lower? Short 
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD FALLOUT ABOVE 4,100 ASBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD FAILS ABOVE 4,100 AS SELLERS RETURN
Gold remains under pressure during the Asian session after struggling to hold gains above the 4,100 level for two days. This repeated failure tells me buyers are still not strong enough to build real acceptance at higher value.
From a macro view, the US dollar has regained positive momentum after reversing part of its previous decline. At the same time, inflation risk from volatile crude oil prices keeps the possibility of further Fed tightening alive. That continues to pressure gold, especially while the technical structure remains weak.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold rejected from the upper value area and is now trading below the Sell zone POC around 4,105.
This zone is important because it is where sellers started to defend the latest rebound. If price retests 4,105 and fails again, the bearish structure remains active.
Above that, the larger Sell POC around 4,125 is the stronger resistance. As long as gold stays below this zone, any recovery should still be treated as a corrective move.
Below current price, the Buy VAL around 4,050 is the main support. If price drops into this level, buyers may attempt a reaction, but the bigger pressure remains bearish unless gold can reclaim 4,105 with strength.
Important zones
Buy VAL: 4,050
Main lower value support and short-term reaction area.
Current price area: 4,080 - 4,090
Middle zone, not the best place to chase.
Sell zone POC: 4,105
First major resistance and preferred sell-reaction area.
Sell POC: 4,125
Higher Volume Profile resistance and stronger supply zone.
Trading scenario
Sell reaction from Sell zone POC 4,105
Entry:
Look for sell positions only if price rebounds into 4,105 and shows clear bearish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Above the Sell zone POC or above the local rejection high.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,080
TP2: 4,050
TP3: Trail lower only if sellers break the Buy VAL with strong momentum
This setup follows the current bearish pressure after gold failed to sustain above 4,100.
Final view
Gold is still not showing a clean bullish structure.
The key level now is 4,105. If gold cannot reclaim and hold above this zone, sellers remain in control and price can rotate lower towards 4,050.
A stronger recovery only becomes valid if buyers break above 4,105 and later challenge 4,125.
For now, I prefer selling confirmed rebounds rather than buying early into pressure.
Value rejected. Sellers still have the edge. Long 
GOLD rejected above 4,100.BRIAN XAUUSD - GOLD REJECTED ABOVE 4,100 AGAIN
Gold has once again failed to sustain above the 4,100 level, and this rejection is not something to ignore.
This is the fourth time this week that XAUUSD has attempted to break and hold above 4,100, but every single time, acceptance has been rejected. Even after the FOMC volatility, gold is still struggling to maintain higher value, while the US dollar pauses its decline and geopolitical tensions re-emerge following renewed US strikes on Iran.
The key takeaway is simple: gold needs a daily close above 4,100, with RSI holding above 50, to shift momentum back in favor of buyers. Until that happens, every move into higher value remains a potential sell opportunity.
Technical structure
On the H1 timeframe, gold delivered a strong rebound from the lower trendline support, broke above the descending structure, but once again failed to hold above the 4,100 region.
Price is now rotating back toward the Buy zone VAL / FVG around 4,038. This is the most important area on the chart right now. If buyers step in and defend this zone, gold still has room to rotate back toward the upper value area.
Above price, the main resistance remains the Sell zone POC at 4,125. This is the key supply area. If price reaches this level and rejects again, sellers are likely to regain full control of the structure.
Important zones
Buy zone VAL / FVG: 4,038
This is the main buy reaction zone on the current pullback.
Current reaction area: 4,050 – 4,055
Short-term equilibrium after rejection from 4,100.
Sell zone POC: 4,125
Major resistance and high-probability sell reaction zone.
Key invalidation for bearish pressure: Daily close above 4,100
Without acceptance above this level, downside pressure remains intact.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from Buy zone VAL / FVG 4,038
Entry:
Wait for price to reach 4,038 and only consider longs if there is a clear bullish rejection signal.
Stop Loss:
Below the Buy zone VAL / FVG or below the most recent sweep low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,070
TP2: 4,100
TP3: 4,125 (only if momentum and acceptance return strongly)
This is a patience setup. The idea is not to chase price after rejection, but to wait for a clean reaction from a high-probability Volume Profile support zone.
Final view
Gold is still not in a confirmed bullish phase.
Repeated rejections above 4,100 show that buyers are not yet strong enough to establish higher value acceptance. However, the reaction from the lower trendline also confirms that buyers are still active and defending key demand zones.
At this stage, the market is balanced but fragile.
The plan is straightforward: wait for 4,038.
If 4,038 holds, gold can rotate back toward 4,100 and potentially 4,125.
If 4,038 fails, the structure weakens further and sellers may drive price back into lower value territory.
This is a decision point in the market.
Will buyers defend 4,038 once again, or will another rejection from 4,100 finally trigger a deeper breakdown? Long 
GOLD rejected above 4,100.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD REJECTED ABOVE 4,100 AGAIN
Gold has once again failed to sustain above the 4,100 level, and this rejection is not something to ignore.
This is the fourth time this week that XAUUSD has attempted to break and hold above 4,100, but every single time, acceptance has been rejected. Even after the FOMC volatility, gold is still struggling to maintain higher value, while the US dollar pauses its decline and geopolitical tensions re-emerge following renewed US strikes on Iran.
The key takeaway is simple: gold needs a daily close above 4,100, with RSI holding above 50, to shift momentum back in favor of buyers. Until that happens, every move into higher value remains a potential selling opportunity.
Technical structure
On the H1 timeframe, gold delivered a strong rebound from the lower trendline support, broke above the descending structure, but once again failed to hold above the 4,100 region.
Price is now rotating back toward the Buy zone VAL / FVG around 4,038. This is the most important area on the chart right now. If buyers step in and defend this zone, gold still has room to rotate back toward the upper value area.
Above price, the main resistance remains the Sell zone POC at 4,125. This is the key supply area. If price reaches this level and rejects again, sellers are likely to regain full control of the structure.
Important zones
Buy zone VAL / FVG: 4,038
This is the main buy reaction zone on the current pullback.
Current reaction area: 4,050 – 4,055
Short-term equilibrium after rejection from 4,100.
Sell zone POC: 4,125
Major resistance and high-probability sell reaction zone.
Key invalidation for bearish pressure: Daily close above 4,100
Without acceptance above this level, downside pressure remains intact.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from Buy zone VAL / FVG 4,038
Entry:
Wait for price to reach 4,038 and only consider buying if there is a clear bullish rejection signal.
Stop Loss:
Below the Buy zone VAL / FVG or below the most recent sweep low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,070
TP2: 4,100
TP3: 4,125 (only if momentum and acceptance return strongly)
This is a patience setup. The idea is not to chase price after rejection, but to wait for a clean reaction from a high-probability Volume Profile support zone.
Final view
Gold is still not in a confirmed bullish phase.
Repeated rejections above 4,100 show that buyers are not yet strong enough to establish higher value acceptance. However, the reaction from the lower trendline also confirms that buyers are still active and defending key demand zones.
At this stage, the market is balanced but fragile.
The plan is straightforward: wait for 4,038.
If 4,038 holds, gold can rotate back toward 4,100 and potentially 4,125.
If 4,038 fails, the structure weakens further and sellers may drive price back into lower value territory.
This is a decision point in the market.
Will buyers defend 4,038 once again, or will another rejection from 4,100 finally trigger a deeper breakdown? Long 
GOLD rejected above 4,100.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD REJECTED ABOVE 4,100 AGAIN
Gold has once again failed to sustain above the 4,100 level, and this rejection is not something to ignore.
This is the fourth time this week that XAUUSD has attempted to break and hold above 4,100, but every single time, acceptance has been rejected. Even after the FOMC volatility, gold is still struggling to maintain higher value, while the US dollar pauses its decline and geopolitical tensions re-emerge following renewed US strikes on Iran.
The key takeaway is simple: gold needs a daily close above 4,100, with RSI holding above 50, to shift momentum back in favor of buyers. Until that happens, every move into higher value remains a potential sell opportunity.
Technical structure
On the H1 timeframe, gold delivered a strong rebound from the lower trendline support, broke above the descending structure, but once again failed to hold above the 4,100 region.
Price is now rotating back toward the Buy zone VAL / FVG around 4,038. This is the most important area on the chart right now. If buyers step in and defend this zone, gold still has room to rotate back toward the upper value area.
Above price, the main resistance remains the Sell zone POC at 4,125. This is the key supply area. If price reaches this level and rejects again, sellers are likely to regain full control of the structure.
Important zones
Buy zone VAL / FVG: 4,038
This is the main buy reaction zone on the current pullback.
Current reaction area: 4,050 – 4,055
Short-term equilibrium after rejection from 4,100.
Sell zone POC: 4,125
Major resistance and high-probability sell reaction zone.
Key invalidation for bearish pressure: Daily close above 4,100
Without acceptance above this level, downside pressure remains intact.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from Buy zone VAL / FVG 4,038
Entry:
Wait for price to reach 4,038 and only consider longs if there is a clear bullish rejection signal.
Stop Loss:
Below the Buy zone VAL / FVG or below the most recent sweep low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,070
TP2: 4,100
TP3: 4,125 (only if momentum and acceptance return strongly)
This is a patience setup. The idea is not to chase price after rejection, but to wait for a clean reaction from a high-probability Volume Profile support zone.
Final view
Gold is still not in a confirmed bullish phase.
Repeated rejections above 4,100 show that buyers are not yet strong enough to establish higher value acceptance. However, the reaction from the lower trendline also confirms that buyers are still active and defending key demand zones.
At this stage, the market is balanced but fragile.
The plan is straightforward: wait for 4,038.
If 4,038 holds, gold can rotate back toward 4,100 and potentially 4,125.
If 4,038 fails, the structure weakens further and sellers may drive price back into lower value territory.
This is a decision point in the market.
Will buyers defend 4,038 once again, or will another rejection from 4,100 finally trigger a deeper breakdown? Long 
GOLD at value support before movement.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD SITS ON VALUE SUPPORT BEFORE FED VOLATILITY
Gold is still trading under pressure as oil prices rebound after the US intercepted Iranian missiles, keeping Middle East tension and inflation risk alive.
The dollar remains supported because traders are still pricing the possibility of more Fed tightening, with September rate-hike expectations staying elevated. That makes the current gold recovery fragile.
But the chart is now sitting at an interesting location.
Gold is not in premium anymore. Price has already dropped into the lower value area, and the next reaction around support will decide whether this becomes a short-term rebound or another breakdown.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold has been moving lower after failing from the upper value structure.
Price rejected from the POC Retest Zone around 4,075 - 4,080 and is now trading near the VAL Support Zone around 4,020 - 4,025.
This is the key battlefield.
If buyers defend this zone, gold can attempt a recovery towards the POC Reclaim Line around 4,050. But if price fails to reclaim 4,050, the bounce may stay weak and sellers can return from value resistance.
The larger pressure remains bearish while gold trades below the VAH Sell Zone around 4,105 - 4,112.
Important zones
VAL Support Zone: 4,020 - 4,025
Current decision zone and lower value support.
POC Reclaim Line: 4,050
Key level buyers need to reclaim to confirm a stronger rebound.
POC Retest Zone: 4,075 - 4,080
Next resistance if price recovers.
VAH Sell Zone: 4,105 - 4,112
Major upper resistance where sellers may defend again.
Highest peak last week: 4,160 - 4,165
Upper liquidity reference if momentum changes completely.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from VAL Support Zone 4,020 - 4,025
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price holds 4,020 - 4,025 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the VAL Support Zone or below the local sweep low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,050
TP2: 4,075 - 4,080
TP3: 4,105 - 4,112 only if buyers reclaim value strongly
This setup is based on a reaction from lower value. It is not a full bullish reversal yet. The real confirmation comes only if gold breaks and holds above 4,050.
Final view
Gold is still under macro pressure from USD strength, Fed uncertainty, and inflation risk.
But technically, price is now sitting at a value support area where a short-term rebound can appear.
For me, the key is simple:
Hold 4,020 - 4,025, gold can rebound towards 4,050.
Fail to reclaim 4,050, sellers may return.
Break below VAL support, the bearish auction continues.
This is not a place for emotional trading.
Let the Fed volatility come. Let price show acceptance. Then trade the reaction.
Value decides the next move. Long 
GOLD at value support before recovery.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD SITS ON VALUE SUPPORT BEFORE FED VOLATILITY
Gold is still trading under pressure as oil prices rebound after the US intercepted Iranian missiles, keeping Middle East tension and inflation risk alive.
The dollar remains supported because traders are still pricing the possibility of more Fed tightening, with September rate-hike expectations staying elevated. That makes the current gold recovery fragile.
But the chart is now sitting at an interesting location.
Gold is not in premium anymore. Price has already dropped into the lower value area, and the next reaction around support will decide whether this becomes a buying/entry rebound or another breakdown.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold has been moving lower after failing from the upper value structure.
Price rejected from the POC Retest Zone around 4,075 - 4,080 and is now trading near the VAL Support Zone around 4,020 - 4,025.
This is the key battlefield.
If buyers defend this zone, gold can attempt a recovery towards the POC Reclaim Line around 4,050. But if price fails to reclaim 4,050, the bounce may stay weak and sellers can return from value resistance.
The larger pressure remains bearish while gold trades below the VAH Sell Zone around 4,105 - 4,112.
Important zones
VAL Support Zone: 4,020 - 4,025
Current decision zone and lower value support.
POC Reclaim Line: 4,050
Key level buyers need to reclaim to confirm a stronger rebound.
POC Retest Zone: 4,075 - 4,080
Next resistance if price recovers.
VAH Sell Zone: 4,105 - 4,112
Major upper resistance where sellers may defend again.
Highest peak last week: 4,160 - 4,165
Upper liquidity reference if momentum changes completely.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from VAL Support Zone 4,020 - 4,025
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price holds 4,020 - 4,025 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the VAL Support Zone or below the local sweep low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,050
TP2: 4,075 - 4,080
TP3: 4,105 - 4,112 only if buyers reclaim value strongly
This setup is based on a reaction from lower value. It is not a full bullish reversal yet. The real confirmation comes only if gold breaks and holds above 4,050.
Final view
Gold is still under macro pressure from USD strength, Fed uncertainty, and inflation risk.
But technically, price is now sitting at a value support area where a short-term rebound can appear.
For me, the key is simple:
Hold 4,020 - 4,025, gold can rebound towards 4,050.
Fail to reclaim 4,050, sellers may return.
Break below VAL support, the bearish auction continues.
This is not a place for emotional trading.
Let the Fed volatility come. Let price show acceptance. Then trade the reaction.
Value decides the next move. Long 
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD BEARISHBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD UNDER PRESSURE AS USD REGAINS CONTROL
Gold is trading lower for the second consecutive session, pressured by renewed demand for the US dollar. The market is starting the week with a defensive tone as USD holds near a three-week high, supported by rising expectations that the Fed may still deliver another rate hike.
From a macro view, the pressure is clear. The market is now pricing a higher probability of a July rate hike, while September rate-hike expectations remain elevated. This keeps gold vulnerable because higher rate expectations usually reduce demand for non-yielding assets.
The chart is also supporting this pressure.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold has failed to hold above the recent value area and is now testing the VAL Support zone around 4,045 - 4,050.
This is the current decision point. If buyers defend this zone, gold can build a short-term rebound back towards the POC Control Zone around 4,070 - 4,075.
However, the broader structure is still heavy. Price is trading below the descending trendline and below the VAH Resistance area around 4,095 - 4,100. This means any rebound into higher value can still face strong selling pressure.
The Previous HVN Supply around 4,120 - 4,125 remains the strongest resistance above current price.
Important zones
VAL Support: 4,045 - 4,050
Current reaction zone and short-term support.
POC Control Zone: 4,070 - 4,075
Main value test if gold rebounds.
VAH Resistance: 4,095 - 4,100
Key resistance where sellers may return.
Previous HVN Supply: 4,120 - 4,125
Major upper supply zone.
Descending trendline:
Current bearish pressure line.
Trading scenario
Sell reaction from POC Control Zone 4,070 - 4,075
Entry:
Look for sell positions only if price rebounds into 4,070 - 4,075 and shows clear bearish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Above the POC Control Zone or above the local rejection structure.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,045 - 4,050
TP2: 4,030
TP3: Trail lower only if sellers break the VAL Support with strength
This setup follows the current bearish pressure and uses the Volume Profile control zone as the main sell-retest area.
Final view
Gold is still under pressure while USD remains supported by stronger Fed rate-hike expectations.
The key area now is 4,045 - 4,050. If this support holds, gold can rebound short term. But unless price reclaims 4,070 - 4,075 and later 4,095 - 4,100, the structure remains vulnerable.
For now, I prefer selling confirmed rebounds rather than buying early into weakness.
Value is shifting lower. Respect the retest. Long 
GOLD RECOVERS AS BUYERS SUPPORTBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD RECOVERS AS BUYERS DEFEND VALUE
Gold is rising for the second consecutive session, trading around 4,100 during the Asian session. The move is supported by lower oil prices, which help reduce inflation concerns and ease expectations for further Fed rate pressure after the US-Iran conflict paused over the weekend.
This gives gold short-term breathing room. But the chart still needs confirmation from value, not emotion.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold has reacted strongly from the lower support structure and is now trading above the Buy zone POC around 4,050 - 4,055.
This is the key area I am watching. As long as price holds above this zone and respects the rising trendline, buyers still have control of the short-term recovery.
The next major resistance is the Sell zone VAH around 4,130. This is where price may meet selling pressure again. If gold breaks and holds above this zone, the recovery can extend further. If price rejects from there, a pullback back into the Buy zone POC is possible.
Important zones
Buy zone POC: 4,050 - 4,055
Main value support and preferred buy-reaction area.
POC support: 4,005 - 4,010
Deeper support if price loses the current buy zone.
Sell zone VAH: 4,130
Main resistance and next upside target.
Rising trendline:
Short-term bullish structure support.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from Buy zone POC 4,050 - 4,055
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price pulls back into 4,050 - 4,055 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the Buy zone POC or below the rising trendline structure.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,090
TP2: 4,130
TP3: Trail higher only if price accepts above the Sell zone VAH
This setup follows the current bullish recovery structure and uses the Volume Profile support as the main decision zone.
Final view
Gold is recovering well, but the market is approaching an important resistance at 4,130.
For now, the better plan is not to chase the high. I prefer waiting for price to retest the Buy zone POC around 4,050 - 4,055, then watching for buyer confirmation.
If this zone holds, gold can continue towards 4,130.
If it fails, price may rotate deeper towards 4,005 - 4,010.
Trade the retest. Respect the volume zone. Long 
BRIAN XAUUSD – WEEKLY VALUE ANALYSIS OR BUYER SUPPORT?BRIAN XAUUSD – WEEKLY VALUE BREAKDOWN OR BUYER DEFENCE?
Gold is closing the week at a very important technical position.
Across the last few sessions, the market gave us a clean story: gold first recovered from the lower value area, then pushed into higher liquidity, but failed to hold that recovery. Sellers returned from the upper zones, price broke back below value, and now XAUUSD is sitting near the same area where buyers must decide whether they can defend the structure or lose control again.
This week was not a clean one-way move. It was a value test.
Buyers tried to build recovery.
Sellers defended premium.
Now the market is testing the POC again.
Technical structure
On the H2 chart, gold is still moving inside a broader rising structure, but the recent rejection from the Premium Supply Zone around 4,120 - 4,125 shows that sellers are active at higher prices.
Price is now trading near the Buyer Hold / Seller Break POC around 4,045 - 4,055. This is the key zone for the week. If buyers hold it, gold may continue to stabilise inside the trendline structure.
But if price breaks below this POC and fails to reclaim it, the weekly structure becomes weaker. In that case, gold can rotate lower towards 4,021 first, then 3,982, and eventually the Deep Demand Zone.
Important zones
Premium Supply Zone: 4,120 - 4,125
Upper resistance where sellers defended the recovery.
Buyer Hold / Seller Break POC: 4,045 - 4,055
Main weekly decision zone.
Downside liquidity: 4,021
First downside reference if the POC breaks.
Lower liquidity: 3,982
Second downside target if selling pressure expands.
Deep Demand Zone: 3,955 - 3,965
Major lower support if the market fully loses value.
Rising trendline:
The broader recovery structure depends on whether price can stay above this line.
Trading scenario
Sell reaction from Buyer Hold / Seller Break POC 4,045 - 4,055
Entry:
Look for sell positions only if price breaks below 4,045 - 4,055, then retests this POC zone and shows clear rejection.
Stop Loss:
Above the POC zone or above the local rejection high.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,021
TP2: 3,982
TP3: 3,955 - 3,965
This setup is based on a simple Volume Profile idea: if buyers cannot hold the POC, the market can rotate back into lower value.
Weekly view
This week showed that gold is not fully bullish yet.
The recovery from the lows was strong, but the rejection from premium supply tells me sellers are still defending higher prices. The next move depends on whether gold can hold above the current POC decision zone.
If 4,045 - 4,055 holds, buyers still have a chance to rebuild.
If this zone breaks and turns into resistance, sellers take control again.
Final view
Gold is standing on the weekly decision level.
This is not the place to trade emotionally. The chart is asking one question:
Will buyers defend the POC, or will sellers turn this into another breakdown?
For now, I will respect the reaction around 4,045 - 4,055.
Value decides the next move. Short 
BRIAN XAUUSD – Gold breaks value, sellers enterBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD BREAKS VALUE, SELLERS BACK IN
Gold is trading weaker around 4,050 after correcting nearly 2% from the recent two-week high. Even with the US dollar pulling back on tariff concerns and profit-taking, gold is still failing to hold its recovery structure.
That is the important part.
When USD weakness cannot push gold higher, it usually means the chart itself is carrying pressure. Right now, sellers have reclaimed control after the confirmed downside break, while daily RSI weakness keeps the bearish structure alive.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold has broken below the previous recovery structure and is now trading under the Lost POC / Decision Zone around 4,045 - 4,050.
This zone is the first area to watch. If price retests it and fails to reclaim, the breakdown remains valid and sellers can continue pressing lower.
Above that, the Seller Control Zone around 4,115 - 4,120 is the main resistance. This was the area where sellers took control before the breakdown started. As long as gold stays below this zone, any rebound should still be treated as corrective.
Below current price, the next downside reference is around 4,010. If price continues to accept below the lost POC, that area can become the next liquidity target.
Important zones
Lost POC / Decision Zone: 4,045 - 4,050
Current broken value zone and first retest area.
Seller Control Zone: 4,115 - 4,120
Main resistance where sellers are likely to defend.
Downside liquidity: 4,010
Next lower target if gold fails to reclaim value.
Recent high structure: 4,160 - 4,165
Upper reference from the failed recovery move.
Trading scenario
Sell reaction from Lost POC / Decision Zone 4,045 - 4,050
Entry:
Look for sell positions only if price rebounds into 4,045 - 4,050 and shows clear rejection.
Stop Loss:
Above the Lost POC / Decision Zone or above the local rejection high.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,025
TP2: 4,010
TP3: Trail lower only if sellers continue to hold pressure below value
This setup is based on the market retesting broken value after a confirmed downside break. The logic is simple: if gold cannot reclaim the lost POC, sellers keep control.
Final view
Gold is no longer holding the clean recovery structure.
The key level now is 4,045 - 4,050. If buyers fail to reclaim this zone, the next downside path remains open towards 4,010.
A stronger bullish recovery only becomes valid if gold reclaims the lost POC first and later breaks back above the Seller Control Zone.
For now, I prefer selling confirmed retests, not buying early into a broken structure.
Lost value matters. Respect the retest. Long 
Brian XAUUSD – Gold retreats from two-week highBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD PULLS BACK FROM TWO-WEEK HIGH, BUT VALUE STILL HOLDS
Gold is extending its pullback from the two-week high around 4,166, even while the US dollar remains under pressure. That tells me this move is not only about USD weakness. It is also about profit-taking after a strong recovery from the lower value base.
From a macro view, risk around possible Japanese intervention is keeping dollar traders cautious. At the same time, stronger sentiment from US tech earnings and AI infrastructure spending is supporting risk appetite in Asia, which can reduce demand for the safe-haven dollar.
But the chart is still the main guide here. Gold has already moved fast from the lower POC reclaim area into the upper liquidity zone. Now price is cooling down, and the next real test is whether buyers defend value on the pullback.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold rejected from the profit-taking zone near 4,130 - 4,140 after failing to extend cleanly above the two-week high area.
The current pullback is still normal as long as price holds above the key intraday value structure. The zone I am watching is the Buy scalping level around 4,097.988. This is where buyers may try to defend the next reaction.
If this area holds, gold can rotate back towards 4,130 and possibly retest the upper liquidity area. If it fails, price may dip deeper into the 4,075 region before rebuilding.
Important zones
Profit-Taking Zone: 4,130 - 4,140
Current resistance where sellers started to react.
Buy scalping: 4,097.988
Main short-term buy reaction level.
Upper trendline support: 4,075 - 4,080
Deeper support if the first buy zone fails.
POC Reclaim / Buyer Reload Zone: 4,005 - 4,015
Major lower value support if gold loses the recovery structure.
Trading scenario
Buy scalping from 4,097.988
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price pulls back into 4,097.988 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the local pullback low or below the next support structure.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,120
TP2: 4,130 - 4,140
TP3: Trail only if gold reclaims the profit-taking zone with strength
This setup is based on a controlled pullback into value after gold rejected from the upper liquidity area. It is not a blind buy. The reaction must be clear.
Final view
Gold is pulling back from a two-week high, but the bullish recovery structure has not fully broken yet.
The key is whether buyers defend 4,097.988. If they do, the market can attempt another rotation back towards 4,130 - 4,140.
If this level fails, I will not force the buy. Gold may need to test deeper value around 4,075 before the next reaction appears.
For now, the plan is simple: do not chase the high, wait for value, and trade the reaction.
Is this only profit-taking before another push higher, or the start of a deeper correction? Short 
Brian XAUUSD – Gold breaks down channel.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD BREAKS THE DOWN CHANNEL, BUT VALUE STILL DECIDES
Gold is attracting stronger follow-through buying as optimism around US-Iran diplomacy improves short-term sentiment. Price has broken out of the previous descending channel and is now trading above the reclaimed value structure.
However, the macro picture is not one-sided. Higher oil prices are bringing inflation risk back into focus, which keeps Fed rate expectations alive. At the same time, Middle East tension still supports safe-haven demand for the US dollar. That means gold can recover, but the move still needs clean value acceptance.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold has broken above the bearish channel and reclaimed the POC area. This is the first strong sign that sellers have lost control of the immediate structure.
Price is now holding above the POC Reclaim Zone around 4,065 - 4,075. As long as this zone holds, the recovery structure remains valid.
The Buyzone around 4,095 is the nearest support if price pulls back. A reaction from this area can give buyers another chance to push towards the Final Liquidity Target around 4,165 - 4,170.
Below that, the Bulls Reload Base around 4,030 - 4,035 is the deeper support if gold needs a larger pullback.
Important zones
Bulls Reload Base: 4,030 - 4,035
Deeper support if the market pulls back hard.
POC Reclaim Zone: 4,065 - 4,075
Main reclaimed value zone and key support.
Buyzone: 4,095
Short-term buy reaction area.
Final Liquidity Target: 4,165 - 4,170
Main upside target if buyers keep control.
Lowest bottom area: 3,959
Major invalidation reference if the recovery fails.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from Buyzone 4,095
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price pulls back into 4,095 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the Buyzone or below the local pullback low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,130
TP2: 4,165 - 4,170
TP3: Trail only if price accepts above the final liquidity zone
This setup follows the breakout from the bearish channel and uses the reclaimed Volume Profile structure as support.
Final view
Gold is showing a stronger recovery after breaking the down channel, but this is still not a market to chase blindly.
The key is whether price can hold above the POC Reclaim Zone and defend the Buyzone around 4,095. If buyers hold this structure, the next target is 4,165 - 4,170.
If gold loses the reclaimed value zone, the breakout becomes weaker and price may rotate back towards 4,030.
For now, the bullish structure is alive, but the trade still needs confirmation.
Breakout is only the first step. Acceptance is what matters. Long 
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD BEARISH, LOW VALUE AREABRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD IS WEAK, BUT THE LOW VALUE AREA IS NOW THE TRAP ZONE
Gold starts the week struggling around the 4,000 area after recording its biggest weekly decline in six weeks. The broader pressure is still clear: USD demand remains supported by safe-haven flows as the US-Iran conflict extends, while the daily technical setup still leans bearish.
But this is exactly where traders need to slow down.
Gold is weak, yes.
But selling directly into low value is not the same as selling from resistance.
Volume Profile structure
On the H1 chart, price is now trading above the Buy Reaction Base around 4,000 - 4,005 after reacting from the lower buy zone near 3,982.
This area is important because it represents the lower value base of the current profile. If buyers can defend this zone, gold may rotate higher towards the first upper value target.
However, the upside is still limited unless price can reclaim higher liquidity zones with real acceptance. The broader structure remains defensive, so any buy setup here should be treated as a reaction trade, not a full bullish reversal.
Important zones
Buy zone: 3,982
Lower value support and deepest reaction area.
Buy Reaction Base: 4,000 - 4,005
Current decision zone where buyers are trying to defend value.
Bullish Target Zone: 4,075 - 4,080
First major upside target if the rebound continues.
Upper Liquidity Zone: 4,100 - 4,105
Higher resistance where sellers may return strongly.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from Buy Reaction Base 4,000 - 4,005
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price holds above 4,000 - 4,005 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the Buy Reaction Base or below the 3,982 sweep low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,035
TP2: 4,075 - 4,080
TP3: 4,100 - 4,105 only if buyers reclaim value with strength
This setup is based on a Volume Profile reaction from low value. It is not a trend reversal setup. It is a controlled rebound trade from a key value base.
Final view
Gold remains vulnerable while the daily structure stays bearish and USD strength remains supported.
But on the intraday chart, price is now sitting near an important lower value area. If buyers defend 4,000 - 4,005, gold can rebound towards 4,075 - 4,080.
If 3,982 breaks cleanly, the bounce fails and sellers regain control.
The real question this week is simple:
Is gold building a reaction from low value, or is this just another pause before the next breakdown? Short 
GOLD reacting from low, but still bearish.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD REACTING FROM LOW VALUE, BUT HIGHER SUPPLY STILL DOMINATES
Gold is currently bouncing from a lower value area after tapping into the monthly low zone. This move is not a breakout — it is a classic Volume Profile reaction from discounted price, where buyers step in to absorb liquidity.
However, the overall structure still shows imbalance to the downside. The market is not yet accepting higher value, and sellers are still positioned above.
From a macro perspective, USD strength driven by inflation concerns and geopolitical tension continues to weigh on gold. The market is leaning toward a more hawkish Fed narrative, which limits upside potential. This reinforces the idea that the current move is a corrective bounce, not a trend reversal.
Volume Profile structure
On H1, price is attempting to build acceptance above the POC Holding Zone at 3,980 - 3,990.
This zone represents the most traded area after the recent sell-off — a key balance point where buyers are trying to establish control. If price continues to hold above this level, it signals short-term value acceptance and opens the door for a rotation higher.
However, the broader context still shows a bearish channel. This means any move up is likely to be a rotation toward higher liquidity zones, where sellers may re-enter.
Above current price, we have clear low-volume areas leading into resistance zones. These are typical targets for price to move quickly into, but also areas where rejection can occur.
Key Volume Profile zones
POC Holding Zone: 3,980 - 3,990
This is the current value area where the market is trying to stabilize. Holding above this zone = short-term bullish acceptance.
Low Volume Expansion Zone: 4,035 - 4,040
This is the first upside magnet. Price can move quickly into this area due to low resistance, but reaction is expected.
High Supply Zone: 4,075 - 4,080
This is where previous selling pressure exists. If price reaches here, expect strong reaction or rejection.
Bearish Channel Resistance
This is the structural ceiling. As long as price remains inside this channel, sellers still control the higher timeframe narrative.
Trading scenario – Volume Profile approach
Buy only when price confirms acceptance above the POC Holding Zone 3,980 - 3,990
Entry:
Wait for price to hold above 3,980 - 3,990 and show clear rejection of lower prices (absorption, strong bullish candles, or failed breakdown).
Stop Loss:
Below the POC zone or below the recent liquidity sweep.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,035 - 4,040 (low volume target)
TP2: 4,075 - 4,080 (high supply zone)
Important note:
This is a rotation trade from low value to higher value — not a trend continuation setup.
Final view
Gold is currently rotating higher from a discounted zone, but the market has not yet shifted into a bullish structure.
As long as price remains inside the bearish channel, every rally should be viewed as a move into supply, not a breakout.
The real game is not at the bottom — it is at the higher zones where liquidity and sellers are waiting.
Key question:
Will the market accept higher value above 4,040 and push toward 4,080, or will this bounce simply feed sellers for the next leg down? Long 
GOLD SELLING PRESSURE NEARBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD UNDER SELL PRESSURE NEAR POC PIVOT
Gold is facing fresh supply on Thursday as energy-driven inflation concerns keep the market focused on the risk of a more hawkish Fed. At the same time, rising US-Iran tension is supporting safe-haven demand for the US dollar, adding pressure to XAUUSD during the session.
The macro backdrop is not friendly for gold right now. A stronger dollar, inflation risk from energy prices, and weak technical structure are keeping sellers active.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold is trading below the recent Sell Reaction Zone around 4,055 - 4,058 after failing to hold higher value.
Price is now pressing into the POC Pivot Zone around 4,025 - 4,030. This is the current battlefield. If buyers cannot defend this zone, gold may continue rotating lower towards the Deep Demand Zone around 3,982 - 3,986.
The chart still shows bearish pressure. Every rebound is being rejected quickly, and price remains below the main volume resistance.
Important zones
Sell Reaction Zone: 4,055 - 4,058
Main short-term resistance where sellers may defend again.
POC Pivot Zone: 4,025 - 4,030
Current decision zone and key value area.
Deep Demand Zone: 3,982 - 3,986
Major lower support if sellers break the POC zone.
Highest peak of gold: 4,103
Upper reference level if buyers regain strength.
Trading scenario
Sell reaction from Sell Reaction Zone 4,055 - 4,058
Entry:
Look for sell positions only if price rebounds into 4,055 - 4,058 and shows clear rejection.
Stop Loss:
Above the Sell Reaction Zone or above the local rejection high.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,025 - 4,030
TP2: 4,000
TP3: 3,982 - 3,986
This setup follows the current bearish structure and uses the upper Volume Profile resistance as the main sell area.
Final view
Gold is still under bearish pressure while price trades below the Sell Reaction Zone.
The key level now is 4,025 - 4,030. If this POC Pivot Zone holds, gold may attempt a small reaction. But if sellers break it cleanly, the next downside path opens towards 3,982 - 3,986.
For now, I prefer selling confirmed rebounds rather than buying early into pressure.
Trade the retest. Respect the volume zone. Short 
GOLD WEAK BELOW VALUEBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD STAYS WEAK BELOW VALUE RESISTANCE
Gold starts the new week under pressure, trading back near the 4,100 area after continuing last week’s pullback. The market is reacting to renewed tension around Iran, stronger oil prices from Hormuz risk, and a firmer US dollar after the Fed’s inflation warning.
The daily setup still supports a defensive tone. Gold remains below the 21-day moving average, while RSI stays under 50. That means buyers have not regained full control yet.
Technical structure
On the 2H chart, gold is still trading below the main value resistance.
Price is currently trying to recover from the rising trendline area, but the bounce is not strong enough yet. The key zone above is the POC Rejection Zone around 4,090 - 4,095. If price tests this area and fails, sellers can defend again and push gold lower.
The main support I am watching is the VAL Buy Reaction zone around 4,020 - 4,030. This is the lower value area where buyers may attempt a reaction if gold sells down again.
As long as gold stays below the POC Rejection Zone and VAH Resistance, the structure remains weak.
Important zones
VAH Resistance: 4,150 - 4,155
Upper resistance and major sell reaction area.
POC Rejection Zone: 4,090 - 4,095
Main resistance and current value rejection area.
Rising trendline support:
Short-term structure support that buyers are trying to defend.
VAL Buy Reaction: 4,020 - 4,030
Main lower value support and possible buy reaction zone.
Trading scenario
Sell reaction from POC Rejection Zone 4,090 - 4,095
Entry:
Look for sell positions only if price rebounds into 4,090 - 4,095 and shows clear rejection.
Stop Loss:
Above the POC Rejection Zone or above the local rejection high.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,060
TP2: 4,020 - 4,030
TP3: Trail only if sellers break the VAL zone with momentum
This setup follows the current weak structure and uses the Volume Profile resistance as the main sell area.
Final view
Gold is still under pressure despite the small rebound from the trendline area.
For now, the better plan is to watch how price reacts around 4,090 - 4,095. If sellers defend this POC zone, gold can rotate lower towards 4,020 - 4,030.
A stronger bullish recovery only becomes valid if price reclaims 4,095 and later breaks above 4,150 - 4,155.
Trade the retest. Respect the volume zone. Long 
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD RECOVERY IS GAINING MOMENTUM, BUTBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD RECOVERY IS BUILDING, BUT VALUE STILL MATTERS
Gold spent most of this week moving exactly around the same idea: sell pressure first, then wait for price to return into value before looking for the next reaction.
Earlier in the week, gold was weak below the upper value zones. Several posts focused on waiting for price to sell first into lower support areas instead of buying directly at resistance. That view worked because gold repeatedly failed at POC / VAH resistance and rotated back down.
Then price started to stabilize around the lower value base. The main message shifted from chasing sells to watching buy reactions from Volume Profile support. Gold respected the lower zones, built a recovery structure, and is now trading back above the 4,100 area.
Now the H4 chart is showing a more important question:
Is this only a corrective rebound, or is gold preparing for a larger recovery wave?
Technical structure
On the H4 chart, gold has reacted from the Buy VAL area around 3,999 and is now building a recovery structure above the lower value base.
Price is currently trading near 4,120, which is still below the next major resistance at the Sell scalping VAH around 4,173. This means the recovery is improving, but it is not fully confirmed yet.
The key point is that buyers are trying to hold above the recent support structure. If gold continues to defend the 4,100 - 4,120 area, the next upside target can be 4,173.
Above 4,173, the market can open a larger move towards the Sell zone VAL around 4,265 and the Sell zone POC around 4,326.
Important zones
Buy VAL: 3,999
Major lower value support and weekly recovery base.
Current price area: 4,100 - 4,120
Short-term decision zone where buyers need to hold.
Sell scalping VAH: 4,173
First major upside resistance.
Sell zone VAL: 4,265
Next resistance if gold breaks above 4,173.
Sell zone POC: 4,326
Main higher Volume Profile resistance and larger recovery target.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from 4,100 - 4,120
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price holds the 4,100 - 4,120 area and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the local support structure or below the recent swing low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,173
TP2: 4,265
TP3: 4,326 if bullish momentum expands
This setup follows the current recovery structure after gold defended the lower value base.
Final view
This week started with gold under pressure, but the market is no longer sitting at the low. Buyers have started to build a recovery from value.
The main level now is 4,100 - 4,120. If this area holds, gold can continue towards 4,173 first, then 4,265 and possibly 4,326.
But if price fails to hold this base, the recovery becomes weak again and gold may rotate back towards the Buy VAL around 3,999.
For now, the chart is simple: buyers are trying to reclaim value, but they still need confirmation above 4,173.
Would you follow the recovery from here, or wait for gold to break 4,173 first? Long 
BRIAN XAUUSD – Gold recovers, but buyers remain cautious.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD RECOVERS, BUT BUYERS STILL NEED A BETTER VALUE ZONE
Gold has recovered from the weekly low around 4,021, but the market is still trading with caution. Price is bouncing, yet it remains below the main Volume Profile resistance area, which means this recovery is not fully confirmed.
From a macro view, risk-off sentiment is supporting gold after renewed Middle East tension. Reports of IRGC attacks on US military facilities in Bahrain and Kuwait have brought safe-haven demand back into focus. However, the chart is still telling us to stay selective. Gold is recovering, but it is not in a clean breakout structure yet.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold reacted strongly from the lower area and is now testing the POC Resistance zone around 4,110 - 4,117.
This is the first place where sellers may defend. If price fails to accept above this zone, gold can sell first before giving a better buy opportunity.
The area I am watching for the main buy reaction is the VAL Support around 4,040 - 4,045. This is the lower value zone where buyers previously stepped in after the weekly low.
As long as price holds above this VAL support, the recovery structure can remain alive. But if gold breaks below 4,040, the rebound becomes weak again.
Important zones
POC Resistance: 4,110 - 4,117
Current resistance and first sell reaction area.
VAH Resistance: 4,125 - 4,130
Upper value resistance if price pushes higher.
VAL Support: 4,040 - 4,045
Main buy-reaction area after a deeper pullback.
Weekly low area: 4,021
Major downside reference if VAL fails.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from VAL Support 4,040 - 4,045
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price sells down into 4,040 - 4,045 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the VAL Support zone or below the local sweep low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,080
TP2: 4,110 - 4,117
TP3: 4,125 - 4,130
This setup is based on waiting for gold to return into a better Volume Profile support zone instead of buying directly into resistance.
Final view
Gold is recovering from the weekly low, but the current price is already close to resistance.
For now, I do not want to chase the bounce. I prefer letting price sell first into the VAL Support around 4,040 - 4,045, then watching for buy confirmation.
If this zone holds, gold can rebuild the recovery. If this zone fails, the market can rotate back towards the weekly low.
Let price reach value. Then trade the reaction. Long 
