BANK NIFTY MARCH MONTH EXPIRY ANALYSISBankNifty Important Levels for March Month Expiry:
=> Naked Buyer Strategy:
CALL Side:
Buy Above: 47040.
Put Stop Loss: 46950.
Targets: 47130, 47203, 47288, 47368 and 47423.
PUT Side:
Sell below: 46800.
Stop Loss: 46880.
Targets : 46720 ,46650, 46570 and 46474.
=> Hedging Strategy:
UP SIDE:
Sell 47300/47400 PUT (Premium price 500-570) & Hedge with 46400 PUT (Premium price 100).
DOWB SIDE:
Sell 46400/46300 CALL (Premium price 550-630) & Hedge with 46430 PUT (Premium price 130).
=> Sell Strangle Strategy:
Sell 46400 CALL and Parallelly Sell 47400 Put.
Note: Do Trading after the Level break and use Strict Stoploss.
TRAP
Breakout Trap (Educational Purpose)Breakout Trap in PENIND
Daily Analysis of PENIND
This is how investers traps in a breakout trap
PENIND has made double bottom patten and as per Double Bottom Pattern analysis the projected target has been reached but the picture is not over yet!!!
Some investers do re-entery in it after it breaks recent resistance level. Same thing happend in PENIND after reaching projected profit it gave breakout to it's recent resistance level and after only 5 trading sessions it fells upto 16% and here is Stop Loss comes into picture. If someone has put a strict Stop Loss in a system he /she may exit the trade as per their Risk to Reward ratio. He/She may end up with only 5%-6% loss. But what if someone has not set Stop Loss in a system he/she may have 16% of loss till the date. That's why stop loss plays very important role in Investing as well as trading. There is also small loophole, the abnormal increased in volume may indicate there may be operators comes into picture to trap the retail traders/investors. As soon as retailers enters into a trade there has sharp fall happened. It may caused by operators have exit their position. This is my view and not a theory.
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Terasoft, observe how punter play with retail MindsTerasoft which grew by 15.8% on Friday supported by 3Million volume, now look at 16th Jul 21 where again 3million of volume came and stock went up and after that it kept going down. I have highlighted these 2 dates 16th Jul 21 & 9th sept 22 along with RSI resistance of same date. As part of technical analysis we are taught that if any breakout happens supported by volume then probability of script going up is high. These are traps to give exit to large players and I wanted to help anyone who was interested in buying this stock. When I looked more about this company on internet then find out below things.
- Company has low interest coverage ratio.
- The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -14.0% over past five years.
- Company has a low return on equity of 1.88% for last 3 years.
- Contingent liabilities of Rs.79.8 Cr.
- Earnings include an other income of Rs.3.25 Cr.
- Company has high debtors of 527 days.
- Company's cost of borrowing seems high
My suggestion would be to look for fundamentals also along with technical/charts specially for Small cap/cash stocks coz its easier to manipulate them than large/mid cap stocks.
NIfty 28 July Expiry PlanNIfty 28 July Expiry Plan...
there is swing from nifty nifty show up momentum
so if market open gap down tomorrow then those buyers
who bought at last swing will get trapped and try to exit
their trade and can take new entry toward sell side
even sellers get start to sell whcch cause panic selling
Indiabulls Housing Financecan they refocus only on generating economic profit
there has been a management change
look at the chart for more details
It's time to add UPL to the Radar.One fundamentally strong stock in the Nifty 50 Technically, it is at a good level. Let's see if there are any breakouts from here. UPL is now nearly 10% lower than its 52-week high. From Sep onwards, it traded in a narrow range. (760H and 676L)Look at the chart now; it is testing the 760 level; let's see if there is an opportunity to the upside. If the Nifty gives a trend reversal, it might influence the stock as well. So keep an eye on it, as well as volume. Be bullish only after crossing the red line.
* If it fails to sustain above 760, we can expect a quick drop in the lower time frame.
A SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE TRAP VARIATIONTriangles are one of the best continuation patterns. They are normally seen in the middle of a trend as the price halts and rebuild energy to resume in the direction of prevailing trend.
In this particular variation shown on the chart, the price breaks against the trend. It would look like as if the pattern is about to fail but the breakdown ends up in a trap. It traps most short sellers on the wrong side of the market at 6. The price then shoots up with strong momentum leaving no choice for the short sellers than to cover their positions. So instead of only breakout buyers at 7, the variation will also trigger buy orders of trapped short traders. Due to large number of buy orders at 7 the price shoots up pretty fast without any major pullbacks.
Its always good to keep such a strong weapons in your quiver and strike whenever the opportunity knocks.
It needs to be pointed here that the pattern will lose its worth as the price drifts closer to the Apex. As a rule of thumb, If the price is beyond 3/4th the length of the triangle, as shown on the chart, the pattern should be traded with caution. If the price has drifted up to the Apex, then ignore the pattern and move on to a next one.
The target for the triangle should be the height of the triangle from 1 to 2. This length measured above 7 will give us the target.
Ex. If the distance between 1 to 2 is 50 points and the breakout 7 happens at say 550, then target will be 550+50 = 600 (just an example). This is a conservative approach. Some trades would like to hold it and trail their stop loss until they get stopped out. It all depends upon one's trading style.
I hope the post would catch your interest.
Do like and comment for more educational ideas in future.
Regards
JJSingh
HDFC chart analysisBullish sentiment for HDFC once it breaks 2600 level of reisitance.
Beware of on going crisis before entering long positions.
Market is sluggish past couple weeks.
TRRRAAAAAP !!!This is how the market traps retail traders. Most professional traders are looking for this kind of trap to get into a trade, again experience is a prominent requirement to spot this and save yourself from the same. Any sudden momentum looks way juicy and lurking to retail trades as it is profitable in real as well but most of them ended up losing money.
Keep looking for such traps and save yourself from the same.
Happy Trading :)
Here is the screenshot of the same trap in 5 mins chart: Chart 1:
Chart 2:https://www.tradingview.com/x/tpEXoRlj/
BNF levels to WATCH ready for trap / ready for another big run for bnf going up with low volume let's see next week how market gone to react according to me it will come down like now go up with less volumes and volumes can also change in coming days so keep this in mind don't do blindly long or short trade with confirmation
Nice Trap: A Trade CommentaryTrading @ 254.70 when the sock came to my notice. Took some intraday support from 253-253.70 and had been consolidating for some time in 254.10 to 254.80. I looked at the daily chart, it was positive uptrend. I looked at the tape. There was huge seller @ 255 which the buyers were absorbing as the stock completed consolidation on 5min. chart. I wanted to take the trade above 254.80 with a stop of 254.10 in mind and target near day's high @ 258.
I got in as the stock broke the consolidation range. It was an aggressive BO trade. But immediately after the stock hit 255.45 past consolidation range, it reverted back to the consolidation area in the next 5 min candle. I was paying a psychological price of not waiting for confirmation.
Stock made a low of 254.15 and took a breath. Bids moved as high as 254.80 before the 255 sellers came back. The number of shares and no. of orders were increasing from 2000s to 3000s at 255 level. But the stock managed to pullback to 254.95 now as I have been writing this commentary live with one eye on the tape :) I know that if it fails this time to move past 255 it ll break 254.
Earlier I missed TataMotors trade which I wanted to sell below 425. I did not place the limit order b'coz I wanted to sell on pullback as there were more buyers in the stock than seller before breakdown and wanted to reassess the situation. But it never pulled back before it hit near 422.
Anyways, NBCC is failing to cross 255 and is coming down. I reduced position @ 254.70. The stock is trading at 254.10 stop level. I did not use hard stop and also there were big buyers at 254 so I waited and decided to get out below 254 only. Stoploss hit.
So was it a wrong trade in a stock which is in uptrend ; Opened with a gap with huge volumes ? Not at all b'coz sometimes the overall market sentiment pulls down an out performer. Its part of game. I may reconsider buying it lately.
Hit like, comment and follow.
Trade safe, be healthy.
Regards
Bravetotrade