$BTC UPDATE: 22% DOWN FROM MY SHORT ZONECRYPTOCAP:BTC UPDATE: 22% DOWN FROM MY SHORT ZONE
When Most MoonBoys Were Calling $200K–$500K... I Shared Shorts at $95K-$98K.
Today: Bitcoin Touched $75,500 ✅
Results Without Leverage: +22%
With 5x Leverage: ~100%+ ProfitIf You Followed the Setup and Now Time to Book Profits.
The Trend Was Clear:
→ Bear Flag Breakdown
→ H&S Failure
→ Lower Highs, Lower Lows
This is Why We Trade Structure, Not Hopium.
Risk Management Saved Portfolios.
Stop Losses Kept You in the Game.
Moon Boys Don't Teach You Risk Management.
Charts do.
Always Trade with a Plan. Always manage Risk.
Hope You Saved Capital & Banked Gains.
Not financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.
Trend Analysis
Nifty – Technical Outlook before Budget.Nifty – Technical Outlook
As per the current Nifty weekly and monthly chart analysis, the index is trading within a broad consolidation range between its all-time high zone of 26,300 and the key support area near 25,160. The price structure indicates a flat correction formation as per Elliott Wave theory.
Based on the wave structure and momentum indicators, the ongoing flat correction appears to be in its final stage. Once completed, the market is expected to witness a five-wave downside move, which would mark the next corrective leg in the broader trend.
As per the chart structure, the potential correction from current levels could extend in the range of approximately 6–10%.
On the monthly timeframe, Nifty has formed an Evening Star candlestick pattern, which is a bearish reversal signal and indicates underlying weakness in the market structure.
Budget Session Outlook
During the budget session, Nifty may witness a pullback or bounce toward the 25,650 – 26,063 zone However, this upside is likely to be corrective in nature and may represent Wave 2 of the anticipated five-wave downside structure.
⚠️ Buying should be avoided in this resistance zone, as risk-reward does not favour fresh long positions at these levels.
Shorting Opportunities
Primary short opportunity:
If the index shows rejection or reversal signals in the 25,650 – 26,060 resistance zone , it may provide a favourable setup for short positions.
Confirmation-based short opportunity:
A decisive close below 25,160 (which also coincides with the 200 EMA) would confirm downside strength and offer another high-probability shorting opportunity.
Invalidation Level
This bearish outlook will be invalidated if Nifty closes above 26,350 and sustains above this level, which would negate the current Elliott Wave and corrective structure.
Plan for BUDGET!As we can see we are maintaining ourselves below the trendline which is a sign of weakness and moreover the crash in commodity will affect the Indian markets too so it is likely for Indian a market to remain negative and following the cues THE BUDGET shouldn’t give much impact hence we must trade only if found in demand and supply zones so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone
Expecting audcad sell delivery for buy setupsBetween these two red lines inside weekly+daily imb, the set-up could be find for buys
Why? Price already taken the liquidity above and it possible scenario
shows the probability
of retracement ( where structure shift indicates sellside delivery,
however buys will be
more safer approach fundamentally
and technically both .
Fundamental reason : aud have strong
intrest rate i.e (3.6%)
whereas CAD indicates 2.25%
And Technically it's bullish orderflow .🤝
NIFTY : Detailed trading plan for 01-Feb-2026📘 NIFTY Trading Plan – 1 Feb 2026
(Timeframe: 15-Min | Instrument: NIFTY 50 | For Educational Purpose)
🔑 Key Levels to Track
🔹 25,744 – Higher Timeframe Resistance
🔹 25,524 – 25,567 – Last Intraday Resistance Zone
🔹 25,404 – Opening Resistance
🔹 25,108 – 25,133 – Opening Support (Gap-Down Case)
🔹 25,035 – Last Intraday Support
🔹 24,852 – Major Breakdown Support
🧠 Market Structure & Psychology
NIFTY is currently in a short-term recovery phase after a sharp sell-off, forming a base near lower supports.
However, price is now approaching important supply zones, where sellers may again become active.
👉 Direction for the day will depend on how price reacts near opening levels, not on predictions.
🚀 Scenario 1: GAP UP Opening (100+ Points)
(Opening near / above 25,420)
🧠 Psychology
A big gap up usually reflects short covering + overnight optimism, but higher zones still hold unfilled selling pressure.
🟢 Bullish Plan
🔵 If price sustains above 25,404 on a 15-min close
🔵 Expect move towards 25,524 – 25,567
🔵 Further strength can extend towards 25,744
🔴 Caution Zone
🔴 Rejection near 25,524 – 25,567
🔴 Indicates supply → Expect pullback or consolidation
📌 Why this works
Institutions sell into resistance. Acceptance above resistance confirms real demand, not emotional buying.
➖ Scenario 2: FLAT Opening
(Opening between 25,280 – 25,380)
🧠 Psychology
Flat opens show indecision. Market usually expands after liquidity grab on either side.
🟢 Upside Plan
🔵 Hold above 25,404 → Bias turns bullish
🔵 Targets: 25,524 → 25,567
🔴 Downside Plan
🔴 Breakdown below 25,315 – 25,300
🔴 Weakness towards 25,133 → 25,035
📌 Why this works
Flat opens reward patience. Direction becomes clear only after range expansion.
🔻 Scenario 3: GAP DOWN Opening (100+ Points)
(Opening near / below 25,133)
🧠 Psychology
Gap down creates panic selling, but strong supports attract smart money buyers.
🟢 Bounce Setup
🔵 If 25,108 – 25,133 zone holds
🔵 Expect pullback towards 25,315 → 25,404
🔴 Breakdown Setup
🔴 Clean break below 25,035
🔴 Downside opens till 24,852
📌 Why this works
Supports fail only when demand dries up. Breakdown confirms sellers are in full control.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips (Options Traders)
🟢 Trade only after first 15-min candle confirmation
🟢 Prefer option spreads near resistance/support
🟢 Avoid aggressive buying in high IV zones
🟢 Risk maximum 1–2% capital per trade
🟢 Book partial profits at next logical level
🟢 No revenge trades ❌ Discipline first
🧾 Summary & Conclusion
📌 Market is at a decision-making zone
📌 25,404 & 25,133 are the most important intraday levels
📌 Trade reaction at levels, not assumptions
📌 Confirmation + Risk control = consistency 📈
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is strictly for educational purposes only.
I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Market investments are subject to risk.
PAYTM (One 97 Communications Ltd.) – Technical Outlook & LevelsPAYTM is currently trading near ₹1,344 and remains in a strong upward Elliott Wave structure.
A clean breakout above ₹1,380–1,400 may trigger Wave-3 momentum toward ₹1,850–₹2,000.
Supports at ₹1,300 and ₹1,225 remain crucial for trend continuation, while ₹1,250 acts as an ideal stop-loss for swing setups. Long-term Wave-5 projections suggest a potential move toward ₹2,150–₹2,250.
🎯 Future Target Levels
🔹 Swing Trading Targets
• Target 1: ₹1,420 – ₹1,450
• Target 2: ₹1,550 – ₹1,600
🔹 Position Trading Targets
• Wave 3 Target Zone:
👉 ₹1,850 – ₹2,000 (Fib 1.618–2.0 extension)
• Wave 5 Extended Target:
👉 ₹2,150 – ₹2,250 (Post Wave-4 completion)
🛑 Key Support Levels
• Major Support: ₹1,300
• Intermediate Support: ₹1,225
• Structural Support: ₹1,100 (previous swing-low zone)
📌 Resistance Levels
• Immediate Resistance: ₹1,380
• Next Resistance: ₹1,450
• Major Resistance Zone: ₹1,550 – ₹1,600 (Breakout above this zone can accelerate the Wave-3 rally)
🔐 Stop-Loss Recommendations
Swing Trades
• SL: ₹1,250 (below trendline & previous corrective low)
Positional Trades
• SL: ₹1,180 (below Wave-2 base level)
📌 Thanks a ton for checking out my idea! Hope it sparked some value for you.
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Nifty Metal - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#CNXMETAL trading above Resistance of 11523
Next Resistance is at 15060
Support is at 9968
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where index may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
ETHUSD 45-Min Chart — Counter-Trend Long From Demand After Major
Chart Analysis:
Market Structure:
Ethereum broke decisively below the 2,855 resistance zone, confirming a bearish structure shift. The move down was impulsive, followed by weak consolidation — classic distribution → continuation behavior.
Support / Demand Zone:
Price is reacting around 2,485–2,520, a highlighted demand area. This zone aligns with the first strong base formed after the sell-off, making it a high-interest reaction level.
Current Price Action:
ETH is printing long lower wicks into support, suggesting seller exhaustion and early dip-buying. However, structure is still bearish until a reclaim occurs.
Entry Logic:
The marked entry near ~2,490–2,510 assumes:
Support holds
A short-term higher low forms
Momentum flips on lower timeframes
Upside Targets:
TP1: ~2,690 (range equilibrium / liquidity grab)
TP2: ~2,740 (previous consolidation + minor resistance)
Final Target: ~2,855 major resistance (breakdown origin)
Invalidation:
A clean breakdown and close below 2,480 invalidates the long bias and opens continuation toward lower liquidity.
Bias Summary:
Trade Type: Counter-trend bounce
Risk Profile: Higher risk, higher R:R
Trend Context: Bearish until 2,855 is reclaimed
USDCHF 1W T/F ANALYSIS---
USDCHF 1w t/f analysis----
📊 Market Structure Explanation (usdchf – 1w):-
Centeral structure are a vibrancy (Explanation of Vibrancy structure > this structure are first volume contraction and bended both side also then empulsive move and break it`s self ) \
now this condition breakdown it`s self so we can measure structure of previous marked supply and past on breakdown of top candle so now we have a clear down side direction and we have a buyesh for sell side now we can go with sell side on lower t/f on every retesting :-
BTC 1D UpdateThe Hook: Blood in the streets? Or the opportunity of 2026? 🩸📉
If you’re feeling the heat today, you’re not alone. Bitcoin just took a massive swing, slicing through supports to hit a local low around $80,553. The "Fear & Greed Index" has officially tanked into Extreme Fear (20/100), and the timeline is full of panic.
What’s driving this? It’s a perfect storm: nearly $1 billion in ETF outflows in a single day, combined with the uncertainty of a partial US government shutdown and the buzz around Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Fed Chair.
My Technical Roadmap:
The "Bounce" Target: We are sitting right on a major wick support at $80,559. For a bullish reversal, we need to reclaim $84,478 quickly. If we flip that, the path toward the $90k gap and eventually $94,271 reopens.
The "Pain" Scenario: If this $80k floor gives way, don't try to catch the knife. The next major technical "reloading zone" isn't until $74,458.
The Outlook: Historically, "Extreme Fear" is where the smart money builds their next cycle of wealth. We are shaking out the "paper hands" before the February trend takes over.
The Play: Patience is your best friend right now. Watch the 4H close—if we hold $80k, the "spring" could be massive.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #Web3 #FOMC #BTCDump
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 1st Feb 2026 special trading sessionspecial trading session for budget day.
If NIFTY sustain above 25437/67 then above this bullish then 25527/42 then 25584/95 or 25617 above this more bullish then 25650/71/77/92 or 25716 above this wait more levels marked on chart
If NIFTY sustain below 25256/26 below this bearish then around 25166/51 then 25076/16/11/01 or 24987 below this more bearish below this wait more levels marked on chart
My view :-
"My viewpoint, offered purely for analytical consideration, The trading thesis is: expect both side movements.
This analysis is highly speculative and is not guaranteed to be accurate; therefore, the implementation of stringent risk controls is non-negotiable for mitigating trade risk."
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
BTCUSD 45-Min Chart — Support Reclaim Setup After Sharp Breakdow
Chart Analysis:
Market Structure:
Clear bearish break from the prior range near 87k resistance, followed by a strong impulsive sell-off → confirms a bearish market shift.
Support Zone (Key Area):
Price is reacting around 80,600–81,000, a marked demand/support zone. This is the first meaningful base after the dump.
Current Price Action:
BTC is testing support after a lower high, suggesting sellers are losing momentum. Wicks into support show buying interest, but confirmation is still needed.
Entry Logic:
The marked entry near 80.6k assumes:
Support holds
A bounce + reclaim of minor structure (above ~82k)
Targets:
TP1: ~83.2k (range midpoint / liquidity)
TP2: ~83.7k (previous consolidation)
Final Target: ~87.1k resistance (major supply zone + breakdown origin)
Bias Summary:
Short-term: Tactical long from support
Invalidation: Clean break and close below 80.6k
Overall trend: Still bearish until 87k is reclaimed
Takeaway:
This is a counter-trend long setup — high reward, but only valid if support holds and momentum flips. Conservative traders should wait for a confirmed reclaim above 82–83k before committing.
Ashok Leyland Ltd - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#ASHOKLEY trading above Resistance of 192
Next Resistance is at 289
Support is at 141
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Positional or Longterm Opportunity in Triveni TurbineGo Long @ 506.5 for Targets of 619, 670, 721, and 818 with SL 462
Reasons to go Long :
1. On Weekly timeframe If we draw Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low (A) to the swing high (B) then the stock took support from the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
2. In addition to this, the stock formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern (marked with a orange color) around 0.5 Fibonacci level.
3. Also there is a strong demand zone (marked with a purple color) from which the stock is taking support.
J&KBANK | Under ConsolidationCMP: 104.71
Key Levels
- If Daily candle close above 110 with a good volume, could signal strong upward momentum
- Target: 152
- Stop Loss: 97 (closing basis)
DISCLAIMER: This is solely an observation and should not be considered a trade recommendation. Please conduct your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
AUDJPY : Bulls Defending the Line 106.60 !AUDJPY has undergone a significant correction, sliding from the 109.00 peak down to the 106.20 region. However, the bears have hit a massive roadblock. We are currently seeing a strong reaction from a historical demand zone (105.80 – 106.00), marked by the clear rejections in the shaded circles on the chart.
🔍 The Critical Battleground: 106.00 – 106.60
The price is currently hovering around 106.57. This "buffer zone" between current levels and the demand floor is make-or-break for the next major move.
🚀 The Bullish Scenario (Hold & Bounce)
If buyers can maintain support above 106.60 and consolidate north of the demand zone, we have a clear path for a recovery.
Target: 🎯 108.15
Rationale: Sustained trading above 106.60 confirms that the historical demand is holding and the correction is over.
One more chance is price slides down till 106 and then bounce back above 106.50 which transforms into re-entry.
⚠️ The Bearish Scenario (Break & Flush)
If the bulls lose their grip and the price slides back through the floor, I’ll be switching my bias.
Trigger: A clean break below 105.85.
Target: 🎯 104.80
Rationale: Once 105.80 fails, the historical support flips to resistance, opening the trapdoor for a deeper sell-off.
💡 Summary: I am watching the 106.60 level closely. As long as we stay above it, the outlook remains cautiously optimistic for a move back toward 108+.
Positional or Long-term Opportunity in Piramal PharmaGo Long @ 203.6 for Targets of 229, 244, 259, and 287.1 with SL 186.9
Reasons to go Long :
1. On Weekly timeframe If we draw Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low (A) to the swing high (B) then the stock took support from the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
2. In addition to this, the stock formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern (marked with a orange color) around 0.5 Fibonacci level.
3. Also there is a strong demand zone (marked with a purple color) from which the stock is taking support.






















