Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 04th March 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index closed near 48115 level and Maximum Call and Put Writing near CMP as below in March Month contract:
Call Writing
50000 Strike – 12.06 Lakh
49000 Strike – 10.75 Lakh 48500 Strike – 5.83 Lakh
Put Writing
48000 Strike – 9.53 Lakh
49000 Strike – 7.42 Lakh
47000 Strike – 7.01 Lakh
Index has resistance near 48600 – 48700 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 49000 – 49100 range.
Index has immediate support near 47800 - 47700 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 47100 - 47000 range.
Volatility expected due to imposition of import tariff by US on Canada Mexico and China with effect from 4th March 2025.
Trend Analysis
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 04th March 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index closed near 22955 level and Maximum Call and Put Writing near CMP as below in March Month contract:
Call Writing
23000 Strike – 0.79 Lakh
23200 Strike – 0.71 Lakh
23500 Strike – 0.55 Lakh
Put Writing
23000 Strike – 0.85 Lakh
23200 Strike – 0.64 Lakh
22700 Strike – 0.60 Lakh
Index has resistance near 23075 - 23125 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 23250 - 23300 range.
Index has immediate support near 22850 – 22800 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 22700 – 22650 range.
Volatility expected due to imposition of import tariff by US on Canada Mexico and China with effect from 4th March 2025.
BANKNIFTY 05-02-2025Downtrend Line: Price is struggling to break above the descending trendline.
Resistance Levels:
48,788.65 (Strong Resistance)
48,556.95 (Resistance-2)
48,327.65 (Resistance-1)
Breakout Level: 48,179.40 (Key breakdown level)
Current Price: 48,289.30 (Near Resistance-1)
Support Levels:
48,077.20 (Support-1)
47,893.45 (Support-2)
47,694.95 (Strong Support)
Conclusion:
Bullish Case: A breakout above 48,327.65 could lead to 48,556.95.
Bearish Case: If price rejects at the downtrend line and breaks 48,179.40, a decline to 47,700 is likely.
Currently, the trend favors bearish unless a breakout occurs. 🚨
NIFTY 05-03-2025Downtrend Line: A descending trendline is drawn, showing resistance at lower highs. A breakout above this trendline could signal a reversal.
Resistance Levels:
22,309.60 (Strong Resistance)
22,236.65 (Resistance-2)
22,147.90 (Resistance-1)
Breakout Level: 22,127.80 acts as an important level where a breakout could indicate a bullish move.
Current Price: 22,080.30, trading below the breakout level, indicating weakness.
Support Levels:
22,005.70 (Support-1)
21,963.10 (Support-2)
21,926.10 (Strong Support)
Bearish Projection: A measured move down shows a potential decline of -383.55 points (-1.72%) to the 21,926 level, indicating a bearish target.
Conclusion:
Bullish Case: A breakout above 22,127.80 and the trendline could lead to an uptrend toward 22,147.90 and higher resistances.
Bearish Case: If the price fails to break out and continues downward, it may test 22,005.70 and further support at 21,963.10.
BITCOIN IN TROUBLEBitcoin has closed below critical support zone of 88-90k on the monthly with a massive bearish engulfing. This lead to the break of the uptrend and trend line(green line) that was holding markets since the 70k breakout from downward trend line(red line). Bitcoin also clearly rejected the upward cyclic trend line (pink line) to perfection marking the pico top of this cycle.
The markets have now tested the broken support forming a lower high and heading down.The target for price in this bearish continuation is 68-72k BTC where lies critical support and is most likely a good area of interest for long positions.
XAU#21: Gold is soaring. Will it break the top and trading plan💎 💎 💎 The "bulls" are back as analyzed in the previous article. The price OANDA:XAUUSD has passed the trendline and there is no sign of stopping. Let's plan the next trading FOREXCOM:XAUUSD : 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊Warning of short-term inflation shock: The market is pricing in the US CPI to remain around 3% for the next 7 months, reflecting a sudden increase in inflation. The 25% tax on imports from Canada and Mexico could increase consumer costs, putting pressure on inflation.
🚀Unstable context: US tariffs, war in Ukraine, inflationary pressure ... are causing concerns about an economic recession. This has pushed the gold price up again in the past 2 days.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D frame**: The bullish price structure is still continuing, however, in my personal opinion, this increase is not sustainable.
🔹 **H4 frame**: The key down zone was broken last week and the price has returned to the resistance zone. The price reaction in this area is currently not positive. The bulls are still dominating as the previous H4 was a long-bodied candle.
🔹 **H1 frame**: The current price structure is bullish and there are no signs of a reversal.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
⛔ Although the price is in the resistance zone, the price reaction is weak enough to set up a SELL order. Currently, the fundamental information and short-term price structure are supporting the bulls. However, it should be noted that if the price increases continuously without recovering and breaks the peak once again, we will likely have a correction phase.
✅ BUY positions in the lower area can completely wait for better profits. In addition, when the price finds the support zones below, we can completely wait for the opportunity to establish the next position when the price structure appears in the smaller time frame. Note that
💪 **Wishing you success in achieving profits!**
**SET50 Futures Market Analysis & Trading Plan (March 4, 2025)**
## **SET50 Futures Market Analysis & Trading Plan (March 4, 2025)**
### **Market Overview**
The **SET50 Index Futures (March 2025, TFEX, 1-hour chart, Heikin Ashi)** is currently in a strong **downtrend**, as indicated by several key technical factors:
- **BB 104 0.1 Downtrend Confirmation**:
The price is significantly below the **BB 104 0.1 (Upper: 793.1, Lower: 787.7)**, confirming a **bearish trend**. The slope of the **BB 104 0.1** also indicates a continuous downward movement.
- **Bollinger Bands (BB 20, 0.2) Show Weakness**:
The price is consistently near the **Lower Band (742.3)** of the **BB 20 0.2**, suggesting **selling pressure is dominant**.
- **SMA 104 Trend Confirmation**:
The price has been below the **SMA 104** for an extended period, further validating the **bearish outlook**.
### **Trading Plan (SBD Strategy)**
Given the **downtrend**, the **SBD (SMA 104 + BB + DMI Position Scaling Strategy)** approach will focus on **short trades** rather than long positions.
#### **1. Entry Strategy for Short Trades**
- **Primary Short Entry**:
- If the price pulls back to the **Middle Band (MB) of BB 20 0.2** (approx. **754-759**), this could present a good **short entry** opportunity.
- Confirmation should come from **-DI > +DI** (Directional Movement Indicator) and **ADX above 25** to ensure trend strength.
- **Scaling In Approach**:
- Initial position size based on **SMA 104 slope & DMI alignment**:
- **Strong Downtrend (ADX > 25, SMA 104 sloping downward)** → Open **2/3 of full position**.
- **Moderate Downtrend (ADX < 25, but still below SMA 104)** → Open **1/2 of full position**.
- **Sideways Movement** → Reduce size or wait for better confirmation.
#### **2. Stop Loss & Risk Management**
- **Stop Loss (SL)**:
- **Primary SL**: **BB 104 0.1 (Upper at 793.1)** → If price breaks above, it signals a weakening downtrend.
- **Alternative SL**: A close above **BB 20 0.2 Upper Band (759.3)** could indicate trend exhaustion.
#### **3. Take Profit (TP) Strategy**
- **First TP Target**:
- **Next support level around 730-735**, where potential buyers may emerge.
- **Extended TP Target**:
- If selling pressure remains strong, the next downside target could be **720-725**.
### **Final Thoughts**
This setup aligns well with the **SBD Strategy**, focusing on high-probability **short trades** in a confirmed **downtrend**. The key will be **waiting for a pullback** before entering a **short position**, ensuring risk is managed effectively.
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Gold (XAU/USD) Short Setup - Rejection from Key ResistanceI'm taking a short trade on Gold (XAU/USD) after price rejected a strong resistance zone around $2,922.74. This level has previously acted as support, but now it's serving as resistance after a break and retest. The rejection confirms bearish momentum, making it an ideal short entry.
Trade Details:
Entry: $2,922.74 (Resistance Rejection)
Stop-Loss: $2,929.45 (+6.71 points, 0.23%)
Take-Profit: $2,896.35 (Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.13)
Logic:
Previous support flipped into resistance
Strong rejection wicks at resistance level
Bearish momentum with lower highs forming
Favorable risk/reward ratio (4.13)
Looking for a continuation down toward the $2,896.35 level. Let me know your thoughts on this setup! 📉🔥 #XAUUSD #Gold #Trading #ShortSetup
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold traders SMC trading point ☝️ list time post signals 🚀 Hit sucksfully My target point 2920 ) Now Gold rejected point below 👇 supply zone 2892- 2875 FVG level up trand My target 🎯 point 2961 long Trade 🤝. First take short trend 📈 And buying it)
Key Resistance level 2915 + 2920 + 2956+ 2961
Key Support level 2892 - 2875
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Nifty levels - Mar 05, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
BankNifty levels - Mar 05, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺 Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 💥 Gold Traders Gold 4 Time Frame. Tast diamond zone support level. Close above EMA ) indicator. ) SMC Trading point expect it. Bull 🐂 trend 📈 supply zone 2920 2930. This levels. Expect it selling Arya )
Key Resistance level 2920 + 2930
Key Support level 2852 - 2834
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Breakout & Breakdown Projection for Godrej PropertiesGodrej Properties (GPL) shares may be in focus on Feb 27 after ₹1,000 crore sales at the launch of Godrej Evergreen Square in Pune.
Breakout Scenario (Bullish Projection)
A breakout above ₹2,244 (key resistance level) would indicate strength and could trigger an upward move.
Target 1: ₹2,336 (+6.63% from CMP)
Target 2: ₹2,427 (+10.69% from CMP)
Extended Target (if momentum sustains): ₹2,718 - ₹2,804 (+35.73% from CMP)
Ultimate Target (Swing High FVG): ₹3,015 - ₹3,177 (+50.62% from CMP)
📌 Breakout Strategy:
Enter above ₹2,244, with stop-loss at ₹2,186 (previous resistance).
A breakout with strong volume could lead to ₹2,336 - ₹2,427 quickly. Breakdown Scenario (Bearish Projection)
A breakdown below ₹1,981 (recent bullish FVG support) would suggest further downside.
Target 1: ₹1,903 - ₹1,825 (-4.97% to -8.86% from CMP)
Target 2: ₹1,765 - ₹1,755 (-11.89% from CMP)
Extended Target: ₹1,650 (-17.63% from CMP)
Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a professional before making any investment decisions.
GOING LONG FOR EUR/USD FOR SWING TRADE1. Market Structure & Bias:
Bearish to Bullish Transition: The price was in a clear downtrend but is now forming a possible reversal pattern.
Liquidity Sweep: The price has cleared previous lows, indicating potential accumulation by smart money.
Break of Structure (BOS): A bullish BOS is forming, signaling a shift in momentum.
2. Key ICT Concepts Applied:
Liquidity: The lower red line represents a liquidity zone where stop-losses of retail traders may have been taken.
Order Block (OB): A bullish order block is likely forming in the gray area, which could act as support.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): The price might fill inefficiencies before continuing higher.
GOLD TRDAING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙. Gold Traders Gold 🪙) weekly 1D 4H Time Frame Candle) update. Gold Gold weekly basis analysis setup. Close above. ) and close below)
Weekly Time Frame Candle close above 2887) NEXT targets 2956 ) 1D candle close below 👇 ⬇️ 2873 Next target 2788
weekly TFM
4 TFM
Key Resistance level 2888+ 2940 + 2956
Key Support level 2834 - 2788
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 5th March 25Nifty has been falling continuously for a month. If we look at the structure using price action.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading near the support zone. The market might take support at nearly 22,000 levels. Price is trading far away from the EMA, which shows the market is going to take some pullback to the upside. The market is going to be sideways for some time unless it breaks the Pink trendline to the upside.
Support levels: 21840, 21250
Resistance levels: 22775, 23488, 50 EMA, 200 EMA
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.8, which shows a slightly bullish structure in the market. The market has 22100 as max pain. The market has good PE writing at lower levels; 22000 and 21900 have very good PE writing, which will act as good support in this area.
I am expecting
The market is to be sideways unless it breaks the PINK trendline.
Reason:
RSI = 21 shows a bullish structure. (Weak Bearish -> Bulls might start buying, soon)
Price < EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a good Bearish structure. (Bearish)
PCR = 0.8 indicates a slightly bullish bias direction in the market.
Price < VWAP shows a good Bearish structure in the market.
Verdict: Sideways
Plan of action:
follow the chart levels. You better go with the bound strategy.
WILL THE BULLISH MOMENTUM CONTINUE TODAY?GOLD REVERSING FROM A STRONG DROP – WILL THE BULLISH MOMENTUM CONTINUE TODAY?
Gold experienced a highly volatile session, retracing to fill the GAP and provide liquidity for the lost price data area before rebounding in line with its primary trend. After a sharp drop, BUY momentum gradually returned, closing the daily candle with strong bullish pressure.
Although the ISM Manufacturing PMI data came out positive, it had little impact on the price as market sentiment is currently focused on the new US tariff policies, which could add further pressure on safe-haven assets.
So, will Gold continue its upward momentum today, or is this just a technical correction before further downside? 📉📈 Let's track the key price levels for a well-planned strategy! 🚀
⚡️ KEY PRICE LEVELS TODAY
📌 Resistance: 2892 - 2906 - 2916 - 2930
📌 Support: 2880 - 2872 - 2858 - 2845 - 2835
💎 TRADE SETUP
🔹 BUY ZONE: 2846 - 2844
🎯 TP: 2850 - 2854 - 2858 - 2864 - 2870
⛔️ SL: 2840
🔹 SELL ZONE: 2915 - 2917
🎯 TP: 2910 - 2905 - 2900 - 2896 - 2892
⛔️ SL: 2921
⏳ With no major news releases today, the expected price range is 30 - 35 prices. Stick to TP/SL to protect your account! 🚀💰
Bitcoin (BTC): technical and fundamental analysis.📈 Technical analysis BTC/USDT
After the correction in the cryptocurrency market, a rebound occurred following Donald Trump's post about including not only Bitcoin but also altcoins in the U.S. national reserve. During this rebound, Bitcoin's price retested the key $95,000 level from below—a level that previously served as strong support but has now turned into resistance. However, buyers have not yet gained enough strength to break through it. The main reason for the current decline is the final approval of tariffs on goods from Canada, Mexico, and China.
If the correction continues and sellers manage to push through the $78,000 support level, we expect a further decline toward the 0.78 Fibonacci level and a retest of the support trendline in the $70,000–$75,000 range. Within the Imbalance 1W zone at $70,000–$73,000, there are significant gaps in horizontal trading volumes that need to be filled through consolidations.
For BTC to resume its upward trend, the price needs to reclaim the 200 EMA and consolidate above the $95,000 resistance level. In this case, we expect further growth, with a retest of the psychological $100,000 level, a major resistance block at $105,000–$110,000, and a potential new all-time high.
📉 Bitcoin market global analysis.
On the daily logarithmic chart, Bitcoin’s price has fallen back below the 200-day moving average. As a result, a candlestick pattern of bearish engulfing of the last upward move has formed. If the daily candle closes below the 200 EMA, this would indicate a continuation of the correction and a potential retest of the global support trendline.
During Bitcoin’s rapid rally in November 2024, an Imbalance 1W zone formed in the $70,000–$75,000 range, featuring significant gaps in horizontal trading volumes that need to be filled through consolidations. This zone aligns with the 0.61–0.78 Fibonacci retracement levels.
Once the correction is complete, Bitcoin’s next growth target could be the global trendline, drawn based on the two peaks of the previous growth cycle. A test of this trendline may occur around $120,000, as confirmed by the analysis of large order blocks in exchange order books.
💠 Analysis of liquidity zones and levels
The Fear and Greed Index is in the extreme fear zone - 15.
The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has dropped to $2.71 billion, and the Bitcoin Dominance Index has risen to 61.39.
According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in the order books, the supply and demand zones are located at the following levels:
🟢 Demand zone: 70,000 - 80,000
🔴 Supply zone: 100,000 - 120,000
Levels for long positions:
78,000 - large support block
72,000 - downward trend line of support
70,000 - large support block
Levels for short positions:
100,000 - psychological resistance level
105,000 - large resistance block
110,000 - largest resistance block
120,000 - upward trend line of resistance
📊 Fundamental analysis
The stock and crypto markets experienced a sharp decline after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to impose a 25% tariff on all Canadian and Mexican goods. Yesterday, Trump officially approved new trade tariffs for Canada, Mexico, and China, causing another wave of sell-offs in the U.S. stock market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 both fell by approximately 2% during the day.
However, on March 2, 2025, a post appeared on TruthSocial, where Trump revealed details about the formation of a U.S. Bitcoin reserve. According to him, the initiative will not be limited to BTC but will also include several altcoins: ETH, XRP, SOL, and ADA. Experts anticipate that additional assets, such as LINK, ONDO, and Litecoin (LTC), may be added in the future. The administration plans to freeze the acquired cryptocurrencies for 20 years. Supporters of this initiative argue that over this period, Bitcoin’s price appreciation could help the U.S. pay off its national debt.
Additionally, the White House is preparing to host its first major cryptocurrency summit on March 7, bringing together industry giants and political figures from Trump’s administration. However, critics argue that including altcoins in the crypto reserve raises concerns about potential insider trading by U.S. authorities. Moreover, there are currently not enough votes in Congress to pass these controversial laws.
Bitcoin’s further growth will also depend on Federal Reserve monetary policy and U.S. regulatory decisions. If the government adopts a crypto-friendly stance, BTC’s price could rise. Otherwise, regulatory resistance may lead to a correction.
🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy
We expect increased volatility in both stock and cryptocurrency markets on the following dates:
➤ 7.03, 16:30 - US Cryptocurrency Summit at the White House.
➤ 07.03, 16:30 - U.S. Unemployment Rate (Jan).
➤ 10.03-14.03 - Senate Banking Committee to Vote on Stablecoin Bill.
➤ 12.03, 16:30 - U.S. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI).
➤ 19.03, 22:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision.
➤ 21.03 - SEC to hold first of five roundtables on cryptocurrency issues.
🚀 Statistics of signals from our AI trading indicator:
📈 In February 2025, the price of Bitcoin was in a sideways movement for a long time, then a sharp correction began. Our trading indicator gave 5 signals with the most profitable entry points and minimal risk. Thanks to the latest updates, all signals became profitable, and the built-in anti-flat protection prevented losses from manipulative market movements.
- Total price movement for all signals for the month: + 35.92%
- Maximum price movement for one signal: + 17.89%
- Average price movement for signals: + 7.18%
In addition, I would like to share the forecast of the latest Bitcoin price action by our AI, which not only indicates the direction, but also builds the trajectory of further price movement:
BANK NIFTY - 30MIN CHART - 28febToday BN tapped in OB, it may reverse. Above 48700 it may touch 49000.
If breaks 48500 then it may go towards 48250.
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For learning and educational purposes only, not trading advice. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
#CASTROLINDFundamentals:
* ROCE - 55.2%, ROE - 41.8%. Debt to Equity - 0.04
* EPS / Revenue - has been steadily increasing
* FIIs - Marginal reduction over last 2 quarters
* Retail holding levels have gone up which is not a good sign
* Promoter holding has remained steady mostly
* Domestic instituitions have reduced stake
Technicals:
* Price is forming reverse Head and Shoulder pattern and price is breaking the neckline
* Volumes have subsided indicating silent accumulation by Instituitions and rising only when price goes up
* RVOL is just near increasing, and last two sessions the volume indicates increase in trading
* Relative strength is strong / Momentum indicates steady maintenance / ADR is 4.4% and indicating up move
* Weekly chart shows clear signs of consolidation and 10 WEMA is now making a base to go up
* Price has remained stuck at 23.2% fibo and now trying to move up.
The stock is not that fundamentally sound compared to its peers. However, it is presently giving a very tight entry opportunity.
In this market of gloom, that is the only sector which is trying to shine.
Note - Entry / SL / Target / Position size - Please figure out on your own based on risk appetite
Disclaimer - Your money requires your due diligence! I merely analyze and bring out probabilities. All the best.