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Trend Analysis

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Daily Chart – Potential Bullish Reversal Above Market Structure BTC experienced a strong downtrend from the October high, followed by a base formation in December. Price is now forming higher lows, suggesting a potential trend reversal or early-stage uptrend. The ascending trendline (dashed blue) indicates growing bullish structure if respected. 2. Support & Resistance Key Support: ~$89,150 (marked level) Psychological zone: $85,000–$88,000 Immediate Resistance: $92,000–$94,000 Major Resistance Target: $100,000–$102,000 (previous breakdown area) 3. RSI (Relative Strength Index) RSI is around 54, moving upward. This shows bullish momentum building, but not yet overbought. Confirms a healthy recovery, not an exhausted move. 4. MACD MACD lines are converging upward. Histogram is improving toward zero → bearish momentum is fading. A bullish crossover would strengthen upside confirmation. 5. Momentum / Volume Selling pressure has clearly weakened. Momentum indicators suggest accumulation rather than distribution. Bias & Outlook Short-term bias: Mildly bullish Confirmation needed: Daily close above $92k with volume Invalidation: Break below $88k would weaken the bullish case
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
NIFTY INFRA PAUSE BELOW RESISTANCE OR NEAR BREAKOUT? 020126pre-breakout compression zone Strong trends pause before they expand Weak trends reverse. The monthly chart is decisively bullish: Strong higher-high, higher-low structure since 2020. Price is well above the 200-DMA equivalent, confirming a primary secular uptrend. Weekly Chart: Absorption or Rejection ? Weekly candles show tight ranges near resistance, not long upper wicks. Moving averages are rising and stacked bullishly. The prior pullback found support exactly where it should — near the rising trend band / cloud support. This looks like a classic “time correction instead of price correction. Lets See How it Evolves. Disclaimer: NOT A BUY / SELL RECOMMENDATION I am not an expert I just share interesting charts here for educational purpose and not to be taken as buy/sell recommendation. Please seek expert opinion before investing and trading as trading/ investing in market is subject to market risks. I do not hold any position in the stock as on date but I may look to take some position with my own Risk Reward matrix.
NSE:CNXINFRALong
by purisonshuf
ADANIENSOL Weekly Bullish Flag BO | Multiple Targets to 1,262.45ADANIENSOL (Adani Energy Solutions Limited) – Weekly Analysis ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 TECHNICAL SETUP Current Price: 1,057.90 (+4.20%) Timeframe: Weekly (1W) Symbol: ADANIENSOL (Adani Energy Solutions Limited) Exchange: NSE Category: Stock / Energy & Infrastructure Sector ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎯 PATTERN ANALYSIS ADANIENSOL demonstrates a STRONG WEEKLY BULLISH FLAG BREAKOUT pattern: ✅ Flag Structure: Clear flagpole followed by tight consolidation in the 1,020–1,050 range ✅ Breakout Confirmation: Price decisively breaking above upper flag boundary on strong weekly candles with increasing momentum ✅ Support Levels: Strong support identified at 1,039.40 with SL at 963.00 for risk management ✅ Volume Profile: Visible volume participation on the breakout confirming institutional interest ✅ Momentum: Sustained bullish momentum with stock now trading above consolidation levels (+4.20% already) ✅ Risk/Reward: Well-defined multi-target setup with excellent risk-reward ratio and extended upside potential The stock shows textbook uptrend characteristics with proper support/resistance relationships, confirming the bullish flag breakout is a continuation pattern with multiple profit-taking opportunities. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📈 PRICE TARGETS (Progressive Levels) 1st Target: 1,113.75 (+5.3% from current) 2nd Target: 1,150.90 (+8.8% from current) 3rd Target: 1,188.10 (+12.3% from current) 4th Target: 1,225.25 (+15.8% from current) 5th Target: 1,262.45 (+19.3% from current) 6th Target: 1,300+ (Extended target zone - additional upside beyond 5th target) These progressive targets represent key resistance zones and profit-taking levels along the uptrend trajectory. Each target should be treated as a potential decision point for scaling profits while maintaining exposure to further upside. The extended target structure suggests strong upside potential with multiple stepping stones for systematic profit realization across the energy and infrastructure rally. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT Entry Zone: 1,039.40 (Breakout confirmation point - primary entry level after flag breakout) Stoploss: 963.00 (Weekly support - critical invalidation level marked as "SL on WCB") Risk/Reward Ratio: Risk (1,039.40 to 963.00) = 76.40 points Reward (1,039.40 to 1,262.45) = 223.05 points R:R Ratio = 1:2.92 (Excellent) Position Sizing: Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade Stoploss is placed BELOW major weekly support level to ensure proper risk containment. Consider scaling in on dips toward the 1,039.40 entry zone for better average entries. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📍 KEY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE Immediate Support: 1,039.40 (Breakout/Buy zone - initial entry opportunity) Secondary Support: 963.00 (Stoploss / Major weekly support - invalidation zone) Resistance 1: 1,113.75 (1st Target) Resistance 2: 1,188.10 (3rd Target - mid-term resistance) Resistance 3: 1,225.25 (4th Target) Major Resistance: 1,262.45+ (5th Target / Extended upside potential) Intermediate Levels: Multiple targets provide stepping stones for profit realization at each resistance level, allowing systematic position management and partial profit booking throughout the uptrend. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔍 FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP – ENERGY & INFRASTRUCTURE STRENGTH ADANIENSOL benefits from strong macro tailwinds in energy and infrastructure sectors: ✅ Renewable Energy Growth: India's accelerated renewable energy adoption and net-zero targets driving demand ✅ Transmission Expansion: Power transmission infrastructure expansion creating growth opportunities ✅ Government Policy: Government support for clean energy and infrastructure development initiatives ✅ Asset Monetization: Strategic asset monetization opportunities supporting valuation expansion ✅ Infrastructure Capex: India's robust infrastructure capex spending cycle supporting energy demand ✅ Margin Profile: Improving operational efficiency and margin profile in energy transmission business ✅ Growth Visibility: Multi-year visibility on revenue and earnings growth from infrastructure expansion This macro backdrop combined with strong technical structure reinforces bullish conviction for trend-following strategies on dips. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎉 TECHNICAL OBSERVATIONS Weekly uptrend remains intact with clear higher highs and higher lows forming Flag breakout on volume confirms institutional participation and buying strength Stock breaking above consolidation levels — a classic sign of strength in energy infrastructure play Breakout from a tight consolidation pattern shows disciplined buying entering the stock Multiple targets (5-6 levels) suggest strong extended upside with multiple resistance zones ahead Proper risk/reward of 1:2.92 offers excellent entry/exit structure for positional traders Support at 963.00 provides good risk management anchor with well-defined stop placement Stock positions itself well for continued upside exploration across multiple target levels Volume profile supports the breakout move on the technical structure Current price action already showing +4.20% gain, confirming momentum initiation ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💡 TRADING STRATEGY NOTES ✓ Wait for weekly close above 1,039.40 before committing to fresh positions (confirmation is key) ✓ Consider scaling entries — don't go all-in at once; build position gradually on any dips ✓ Trail stoploss after each target level is achieved and confirmed on weekly basis ✓ Take partial profits at each resistance level — especially at 1st, 3rd, and 5th targets ✓ Preserve capital: Use strict position sizing and risk management (1-2% risk per trade) ✓ Monitor weekly closes carefully — price action at week-end is crucial for momentum confirmation ✓ Watch for gaps and opening levels — sudden reversals or news-driven moves can invalidate pattern ✓ ADANIENSOL is an infrastructure growth play — suitable for positional traders and growth-oriented investors ✓ The extended target range suggests patience may be rewarded with multi-week uptrend potential ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚠️ CRITICAL DISCLAIMER 🔴 THIS IS TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY 🔴 THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE OR AN INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATION This analysis: Is based on historical price patterns and technical indicators Does NOT constitute investment advice or a buy/sell recommendation Is a personal observation and technical analysis only Should NOT be the sole basis for any investment decision Stock performance depends on multiple macroeconomic factors and energy sector dynamics ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚠️ IMPORTANT RISKS TO UNDERSTAND ✓ Past performance does NOT guarantee future results ✓ Technical patterns can FAIL and trends can reverse suddenly ✓ Market conditions can change rapidly without warning ✓ This analysis is based on historical data only ✓ Stock investments carry significant risk of loss ✓ You may lose your ENTIRE investment amount ✓ This is a technical observation, NOT a guaranteed strategy ✓ Consult a qualified financial advisor before trading ✓ Do your own independent research (DYOR) before investing ✓ Use strict position sizing and risk management always ✓ Energy sector cyclicality can impact valuations and growth ✓ Regulatory changes affecting renewable energy incentives can impact business ✓ Market liquidity and volatility can impact execution and slippage ✓ Economic indicators and quarterly earnings can invalidate technical patterns ✓ Infrastructure project delays can affect revenue recognition and growth ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔴 FINAL RISK ACKNOWLEDGMENT TRADING AND INVESTING IN STOCKS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS. I am NOT a financial advisor, fund manager, or investment professional. This analysis is provided for educational purposes and personal trading observation only. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance. BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT DECISION: ✓ Conduct your own thorough research and due diligence ✓ Understand macroeconomic factors affecting energy and infrastructure sectors ✓ Check government policy trends and renewable energy incentive schemes ✓ Review latest quarterly earnings and project execution metrics ✓ Verify your risk appetite and capital availability ✓ Consult with a qualified, SEBI-registered financial advisor ✓ Only invest capital you can afford to lose completely ✓ Never follow this as a guaranteed strategy or signal ✓ Understand leverage implications if using derivatives or F&O ✓ Extended target ranges require patient capital and disciplined risk management Your investment decisions are YOUR responsibility. Use proper risk management, stop losses, and position sizing always. Only risk capital you can afford to lose. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Trade responsibly. Risk management is paramount.
NSE:ADANIENSOLLong
by raigvivek
NIFTY METAL BREAKS THE CEILING 02-01-2026Decisive Breakout : Nifty Metal has cleanly broken above the 10,250–10,300 resistance zone, a level that previously capped advances. The weekly close near 11,400+ confirms genuine breakout strength, not a false move. Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: Monthly chart shows a sustained series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating a structural uptrend. Weekly chart reflects strong follow-through with wide-range candles — a signature of institutional accumulation. Moving Average Structure: Price is comfortably above all key moving averages, which are positively aligned and rising — a classic sign of a healthy, expanding trend. Momentum (RSI): RSI has shifted into a bullish regime (above 50) without entering extreme overbought territory. This suggests room for trend continuation rather than exhaustion. Risk Framework: Former resistance near 10,250 now becomes immediate support. As long as the index holds above this zone, the trend bias remains firmly positive. Lets See How it Evolves. Disclaimer: NOT A BUY / SELL RECOMMENDATION I am not an expert I just share interesting charts here for educational purpose and not to be taken as buy/sell recommendation. Please seek expert opinion before investing and trading as trading/ investing in market is subject to market risks. I do not hold any position in the stock as on date but I may look to take some position with my own Risk Reward matrix.
NSE:CNXMETALLong
by purisonshuf
NiftyAuto is not breaking out -it is breaking into a new era Viewing this chart through the lens of a long-term trader and investor who has studied multi-cycle breakouts across global markets, the Nifty Auto Index is displaying a textbook secular breakout with powerful multi-timeframe confirmation. The Breakout: Price Action Speaks Loudest The index has decisively broken above the 27,500–27,600 resistance zone, a level that capped price on multiple occasions. On both weekly and monthly charts, price is printing strong-bodied candles near the high, signaling institutional participation rather than retail short-covering. The current close near 28,800 places the index firmly in uncharted territory, which from a technical standpoint implies: No overhead supply — only price discovery. This is the most powerful condition any trend follower or long-term investor can ask for. Monthly Chart (Structural View) Price is well above all key moving averages, which are positively aligned and expanding. The long-term base formed over several years has now resolved upward, indicating a primary (secular) trend reversal, not just a cyclical rally. Volume expansion during the advance confirms accumulation, not distribution. Weekly Chart (Execution View) A clean higher-high, higher-low structure is intact. Pullbacks are shallow and finding support near rising averages — classic trend continuation behavior. Momentum is rebuilding after consolidation, suggesting the breakout is fresh, not exhausted. Risk Structure The former resistance zone around 27,500–27,600 now acts as primary demand support. A deeper structural support lies near 20,100, aligned with long-term moving averages — this defines the ultimate trend invalidation level, far below current prices. Lets See How it Evolves. Disclaimer: NOT A BUY / SELL RECOMMENDATION I am not an expert I just share interesting charts here for educational purpose and not to be taken as buy/sell recommendation. Please seek expert opinion before investing and trading as trading/ investing in market is subject to market risks. I do not hold any position in the stock as on date but I may look to take some position with my own Risk Reward matrix.
NSE:CNXAUTOLong
by purisonshuf
BANKINDIA Weekly Bullish Flag Breakout | Multiple Targets to 181BANKINDIA (Bank of India) – Weekly Analysis ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 TECHNICAL SETUP Current Price: 149.22 (+1.52%) Timeframe: Weekly (1W) Symbol: BANKINDIA (Bank of India Limited) Exchange: NSE Category: Stock / PSU Banking Sector ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎯 PATTERN ANALYSIS BANKINDIA demonstrates a STRONG WEEKLY BULLISH FLAG BREAKOUT pattern: ✅ Flag Structure: Clear flagpole followed by tight consolidation in the 140–148 range ✅ Breakout Confirmation: Price decisively breaking above upper flag boundary on strong weekly candles ✅ Support Levels: Strong support identified at 144.00 with SL at 131.50 for risk management ✅ Volume Profile: Visible volume participation on the breakout confirming institutional interest ✅ Momentum: Sustained bullish momentum with stock now trading above consolidation levels ✅ Risk/Reward: Well-defined multi-target setup with excellent risk-reward ratio The stock shows textbook uptrend characteristics with proper support/resistance relationships, confirming the bullish flag breakout is a continuation pattern rather than a false move. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📈 PRICE TARGETS (Progressive Levels) 1st Target: 150.45 (+0.8% from current) 2nd Target: 156.90 (+5.2% from current) 3rd Target: 163.35 (+9.5% from current) 4th Target: 169.80 (+13.8% from current) 5th Target: 176.25 (+18.1% from current) 6th Target: 181.24 (+21.5% from current) These progressive targets represent key resistance zones and profit-taking levels along the uptrend trajectory. Each target should be treated as a potential decision point for scaling profits while maintaining exposure to further upside. The spacing between targets provides clear decision points for systematic position management. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT Entry Zone: 144.00 (Breakout confirmation point - primary entry level after flag breakout) Stoploss: 131.50 (Weekly support - critical invalidation level marked as "SL on WCB") Risk/Reward Ratio: Risk (144.00 to 131.50) = 12.50 points Reward (144.00 to 181.24) = 37.24 points R:R Ratio = 1:2.98 (Excellent) Position Sizing: Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade Stoploss is placed BELOW major weekly support level to ensure proper risk containment. Consider scaling in on dips toward the 144.00 entry zone for better average entries. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📍 KEY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE Immediate Support: 144.00 (Breakout/Buy zone - initial entry opportunity) Secondary Support: 131.50 (Stoploss / Major weekly support - invalidation zone) Resistance 1: 150.45 (1st Target) Resistance 2: 163.35 (Mid-term resistance / 3rd Target) Major Resistance: 181.24 (6th Target / Final Target) Intermediate Levels: Multiple targets provide stepping stones for profit realization at each resistance level, allowing systematic position management and partial profit booking. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔍 FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP – PSU BANKING STRENGTH BANKINDIA benefits from strong macro tailwinds in PSU banking: ✅ Deposit Growth: PSU banks showing solid deposit growth momentum with CASA ratios stabilizing and improving ✅ Cost of Deposits: Lower-cost deposit mobilization supporting margin expansion opportunities in the sector ✅ Asset Quality: Improving asset quality metrics with NPA reduction initiatives showing consistent progress ✅ Dividend Support: PSU bank dividend yields provide downside cushion and attractive income support ✅ Policy Tailwinds: Government support for PSU banking system and continued credit expansion initiatives ✅ Valuation Appeal: Trading at attractive valuations relative to private sector banks with strong dividend yield support ✅ Credit Growth: Benefiting from broader credit growth acceleration across the economy This macro backdrop combined with strong technical structure reinforces bullish conviction for trend-following strategies on dips. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎉 TECHNICAL OBSERVATIONS Weekly uptrend remains intact with clear higher highs and higher lows forming Flag breakout on volume confirms institutional participation and buying strength Stock breaking above consolidation levels — a classic sign of strength in PSU banking space Breakout from a tight consolidation pattern shows disciplined buying entering the stock Multiple targets suggest strong resistance zones ahead with clear profit-taking structure Proper risk/reward of 1:2.98 offers excellent entry/exit structure for positional traders Support at 131.50 provides good risk management anchor with well-defined stop placement Stock positions itself well for continued upside exploration across multiple target levels Volume profile supports the breakout move on the technical structure ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💡 TRADING STRATEGY NOTES ✓ Wait for weekly close above 144.00 before committing to fresh positions (confirmation is key) ✓ Consider scaling entries — don't go all-in at once; build position gradually on any dips ✓ Trail stoploss after each target level is achieved and confirmed on weekly basis ✓ Take partial profits at each resistance level — especially at 1st, 3rd, and 6th targets ✓ Preserve capital: Use strict position sizing and risk management (1-2% risk per trade) ✓ Monitor weekly closes carefully — price action at week-end is crucial for momentum confirmation ✓ Watch for gaps and opening levels — sudden reversals or news-driven moves can invalidate pattern ✓ BANKINDIA is a PSU bank with strong dividend yield — suitable for positional traders and value-conscious investors ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚠️ CRITICAL DISCLAIMER 🔴 THIS IS TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY 🔴 THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE OR AN INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATION This analysis: Is based on historical price patterns and technical indicators Does NOT constitute investment advice or a buy/sell recommendation Is a personal observation and technical analysis only Should NOT be the sole basis for any investment decision Stock performance depends on multiple macroeconomic factors and banking sector dynamics ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚠️ IMPORTANT RISKS TO UNDERSTAND ✓ Past performance does NOT guarantee future results ✓ Technical patterns can FAIL and trends can reverse suddenly ✓ Market conditions can change rapidly without warning ✓ This analysis is based on historical data only ✓ Stock investments carry significant risk of loss ✓ You may lose your ENTIRE investment amount ✓ This is a technical observation, NOT a guaranteed strategy ✓ Consult a qualified financial advisor before trading ✓ Do your own independent research (DYOR) before investing ✓ Use strict position sizing and risk management always ✓ Interest rate changes can impact banking sector sentiment ✓ Regulatory changes affecting PSU banks can affect valuations ✓ Market liquidity and volatility can impact execution and slippage ✓ Economic indicators and quarterly earnings can invalidate technical patterns ✓ Credit growth slowdowns can impact bank profitability ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔴 FINAL RISK ACKNOWLEDGMENT TRADING AND INVESTING IN STOCKS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS. I am NOT a financial advisor, fund manager, or investment professional. This analysis is provided for educational purposes and personal trading observation only. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance. BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT DECISION: ✓ Conduct your own thorough research and due diligence ✓ Understand macroeconomic factors affecting banking sector ✓ Check interest rate trends and RBI monetary policy outlook ✓ Review latest quarterly earnings and asset quality metrics ✓ Verify your risk appetite and capital availability ✓ Consult with a qualified, SEBI-registered financial advisor ✓ Only invest capital you can afford to lose completely ✓ Never follow this as a guaranteed strategy or signal ✓ Understand leverage implications if using derivatives or F&O Your investment decisions are YOUR responsibility. Use proper risk management, stop losses, and position sizing always. Only risk capital you can afford to lose. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Trade responsibly. Risk management is paramount.
NSE:BANKINDIALong
by raigvivek
SBIN Weekly Bullish Flag Breakout | Multiple Targets to 1,144.10SBIN – Weekly Analysis ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 TECHNICAL SETUP Current Price: 998.95 (+1.44%) Timeframe: Weekly (1W) Symbol: SBIN (State Bank of India) Exchange: NSE Category: Stock / Financial Sector (PSU Banking) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎯 PATTERN ANALYSIS SBIN demonstrates a STRONG WEEKLY BULLISH FLAG BREAKOUT pattern: ✅ Flag Structure: Clear flagpole followed by tight consolidation around 950–980 levels ✅ Breakout Confirmation: Price decisively breaking above upper flag boundary on weekly close above 980 ✅ Support Levels: Multiple support zones identified with strong holding at 965 ✅ Volume Profile: Healthy accumulation visible with volume around 37.8M shares ✅ Momentum: Sustained bullish momentum with consistent weekly closures near upper end of candle range ✅ Risk/Reward: Well-defined multi-target setup with excellent risk-reward ratio The stock shows textbook uptrend characteristics with proper support/resistance relationships, confirming the bullish flag breakout is a continuation pattern rather than a false move. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📈 PRICE TARGETS (Progressive Levels) 1st Target: 1,011.85 (+1.3% from current) 2nd Target: 1,038.70 (+3.9% from current) 3rd Target: 1,065.55 (+6.6% from current) 4th Target: 1,092.40 (+9.3% from current) 5th Target: 1,119.30 (+12.0% from current) 6th Target: 1,144.10 (+14.5% from current) These progressive targets represent key resistance zones and profit-taking levels along the uptrend trajectory. Each target should be treated as a potential decision point for scaling profits while maintaining exposure to further upside. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT Entry Zone: 965.00 (Breakout confirmation point - wait for weekly close at or above this level) Stoploss: 933.00 (Weekly support - critical invalidation level) Risk/Reward Ratio: Risk (965 to 933) = 32 points Reward (965 to 1,144) = 179 points R:R Ratio = 1:5.59 (Exceptional) Position Sizing: Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade Stoploss is placed BELOW major weekly support level to ensure proper risk containment. Consider scaling in on dips toward the 965 entry zone for better average entries. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📍 KEY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE Immediate Support: 965.00 (Breakout/Buy zone - fresh entry opportunity on dips) Secondary Support: 933.00 (Stoploss / Major weekly support - invalidation zone) Resistance 1: 1,011.85 (1st Target) Resistance 2: 1,065.55 (Mid-term resistance / 3rd Target) Major Resistance: 1,144.10 (6th Target / Final Target) Intermediate Levels: Multiple targets provide stepping stones for profit realization at each resistance level, allowing systematic position management. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔍 FUNDAMENTAL CATALYST – PSU BANKING STRENGTH SBIN benefits from strong macro tailwinds in PSU banking: ✅ Deposit Growth: Q2 FY26 whole-bank deposits growing ~9-10% YoY with robust momentum ✅ CASA Strength: CASA deposits up 8%+ YoY; CASA ratio near 39-40%, indicating sticky low-cost deposit base of ₹21+ lakh crore ✅ Asset Quality: Gross NPA near 1.7%, net NPA below 0.5% — reflecting strong credit quality and earnings visibility ✅ Dividend Support: Large-cap dividend yield provides downside cushion and income support ✅ Policy Tailwinds: PSU banking benefits from government structural support and credit growth initiatives ✅ Capital Adequacy: Strong capital position supports further credit growth and shareholder returns This macro backdrop combined with strong technical structure reinforces bullish conviction for trend-following strategies on dips. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎉 TECHNICAL OBSERVATIONS Weekly uptrend remains intact with clear higher highs and higher lows Flag breakout on volume confirms institutional participation and buying strength Stock consolidating at higher levels — a classic sign of strength and accumulation Volume profile shows healthy accumulation pattern with 37.8M shares on latest candle Multiple targets suggest strong resistance zones ahead with no major gaps visible Proper risk/reward of 1:5.59 offers exceptional entry/exit structure for positional traders Support at 933 provides good risk management anchor with tight stops Stock positions itself well for continued upside exploration across multiple target levels ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💡 TRADING STRATEGY NOTES ✓ Wait for weekly close above 965 before committing to fresh positions ✓ Consider scaling entries — don't go all-in at once; build position gradually ✓ Trail stoploss after each target level is achieved and confirmed ✓ Take partial profits at each resistance level — especially at 1st, 3rd, and 6th targets ✓ Preserve capital: Use strict position sizing and risk management (1-2% risk per trade) ✓ Monitor weekly closes carefully — price action at week-end is crucial for momentum confirmation ✓ Watch for gaps and opening levels — sudden reversals or news-driven moves can invalidate pattern ✓ SBIN is a large-cap defensive stock with strong dividend yield — suitable for positional traders and long-term investors ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚠️ CRITICAL DISCLAIMER 🔴 THIS IS TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY 🔴 THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE OR AN INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATION This analysis: Is based on historical price patterns and technical indicators Does NOT constitute investment advice or a buy/sell recommendation Is a personal observation and technical analysis only Should NOT be the sole basis for any investment decision Stock performance depends on multiple macroeconomic factors and banking sector dynamics ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚠️ IMPORTANT RISKS TO UNDERSTAND ✓ Past performance does NOT guarantee future results ✓ Technical patterns can FAIL and trends can reverse suddenly ✓ Market conditions can change rapidly without warning ✓ This analysis is based on historical data only ✓ Stock investments carry significant risk of loss ✓ You may lose your ENTIRE investment amount ✓ This is a technical observation, NOT a guaranteed strategy ✓ Consult a qualified financial advisor before trading ✓ Do your own independent research (DYOR) before investing ✓ Use strict position sizing and risk management always ✓ Interest rate changes can impact banking sector sentiment ✓ Regulatory changes affecting PSU banks can affect valuations ✓ Market liquidity and volatility can impact execution and slippage ✓ Economic indicators and quarterly earnings can invalidate technical patterns ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔴 FINAL RISK ACKNOWLEDGMENT TRADING AND INVESTING IN STOCKS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS. I am NOT a financial advisor, fund manager, or investment professional. This analysis is provided for educational purposes and personal trading observation only. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance. BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT DECISION: ✓ Conduct your own thorough research and due diligence ✓ Understand macroeconomic factors affecting banking sector ✓ Check interest rate trends and RBI monetary policy outlook ✓ Verify your risk appetite and capital availability ✓ Consult with a qualified, SEBI-registered financial advisor ✓ Only invest capital you can afford to lose completely ✓ Never follow this as a guaranteed strategy or signal ✓ Understand leverage implications if using derivatives or F&O Your investment decisions are YOUR responsibility. Use proper risk management, stop losses, and position sizing always. Only risk capital you can afford to lose. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Trade responsibly. Risk management is paramount.
NSE:SBINLong
by raigvivek
BHEL – Weekly Trendline Still in ControlBHEL continues to trade in a strong uptrend on the weekly timeframe, with price respecting the rising trendline and closing near the recent highs around ₹299.50. The series of higher highs and higher lows remains intact, and the latest bullish weekly candle reinforces the strength of buyers along this trendline support As long as the stock holds above this rising trendline and the recent swing low on weekly closing basis, the bias stays positive and dips toward the trendline can be treated as buy‑on‑decline opportunities for positional traders. A clean weekly close below the trendline, however, would be an early signal of waning momentum and a cue to re‑evaluate long positions and tighten risk. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, trading, or financial advice. This is not a buy/sell/hold recommendation. Please do your own research and consult a SEBI‑registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:BHELLong
by raigvivek
2
RBL BANK - Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout (Weekly T/F)Trade Setup 📌 Stock: ASAHI INDIA GLASS ( NSE:RBLBANK ) 📌 Trend: Strong Bullish Momentum 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable) 🎯 Entry Zone: ₹261.00 (Breakout Confirmation) 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹225.00 (Weekly Closing Basis) (-5 % Risk) 🎯 Target Levels: ₹275.40 ₹289.85 ₹304.25 ₹318.65 ₹333.10 ₹347.50 ₹ 361.00 (Final Target) Technical Rationale ✅ Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout - Classic bullish pattern confirming uptrend continuation ✅ Strong Momentum - Daily RSI > 60, Weekly RSI >60 Monthly rsi >60 ✅ Volume Confirmation - Breakout volume 130.71M vs previous day's volume 24.71 ✅ Multi-Timeframe Alignment - Daily and weekly charts showing strength Key Observations • The breakout comes with significantly higher volume, validating strength • Well-defined pattern with clear price & volume breakout • Conservative stop loss at recent swing low Trade Management Strategy • Consider partial profit booking at each target level • Move stop loss to breakeven after Target 1 is achieved • Trail stop loss to protect profits as price progresses Disclaimer ⚠️ This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in equities involves substantial risk of capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your risk appetite, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading outcomes based on this information. What do you think? Are you watching NSE:RBLBANK for this breakout opportunity? Share your views in the comments!
NSE:RBLBANKLong
by raigvivek
2
NTPC – Buy on Dips Near 342 Amid Venezuela RiskOver the weekend, the US launched strikes on Venezuela and captured President Nicolás Maduro, significantly raising geopolitical risk going into Monday’s session. Global markets may open with a risk‑off tone, and some amount of fear or gap‑down reaction cannot be ruled out on the indices. For NTPC, the ₹341–342 area remains an important support zone on the chart. Rather than chasing any opening volatility, the idea is to accumulate on dips toward this band in a staggered manner, as long as price holds above it on a closing basis. Existing investors can consider continuing to hold, using this support as a reference level for risk management instead of reacting to intraday noise. Any sustained break below this zone would invalidate the bullish setup and call for a fresh review of positions. Traders should adjust their position size to account for the higher‑than‑usual headline risk after the Venezuela development. Disclaimer: This post is for educational and informational purposes only and is not investment, trading or financial advice. This is not a buy/sell/hold recommendation. Please do your own research and consult a SEBI‑registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:NTPCLong
by raigvivek
1
Weekly Analysis with buy/Sell scenarios in Gold/XAUUSDAt weekly time frame Gold has shown sharp and strong reversal candle and closing below the low of previous week. This is signifying change in delivery to downside. Monday has created a strong downside side fall and remaining days went in consolidation mode. Consolidation has effect of year end as well. Price has created SIBI at daily time frame. So we can expect a pullback till SIBI and downfall till DOL (Draw on Liquidity). If price breaks new high, we can expect up move towards the levels of 4720 and 4900. We should keep eye on both the scenario. Critical notes. 1. Price may show some consolidation or direct pull back till daily SIBI. 2. If price retraced till SIBI and develop LTF entry model. This may be a good sell scenario. 3. If price breaks and sustains above SIBI and/or all-time high. We may witness further up move till the levels mentioned above. 4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1h/15m) at FVG zone. 6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signaling a high probability and ~8/10R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HareeyMarketMantraah
PIIND: Price Testing a Long-Term Structural Support TrendlineThis chart highlights a well-respected long-term rising support trendline, validated multiple times over several market cycles. Each marked touch shows how price has historically reacted from this structure, confirming its relevance and strength. Currently, price has once again returned to this major structural support after a corrective phase. The decline into support has been orderly, without panic or excessive volatility, suggesting controlled participation rather than distribution. From a pure price-action perspective: Structure remains intact Support is clearly defined Risk is naturally limited near the trendline No indicators are required here. The chart itself tells the story — institutional memory exists at this level, and price behavior around this zone will be more important than any indicator reading. This is a simple, clean, and high-quality structure, best observed with patience and discipline.
NSE:PIINDLong
by siripireddyvenu
SOL set for comeback?BINANCE:SOLUSDT After falling more than 50% from its ATH. SOL seems to found its footing and seems to be set for an up-move based on the following analysis. 1) There's significant volume in 120 to 140 range as seen in the chart below. 2) Volume and footprint shows big orders on 19th Dec which was confirmed again on 26th Dec - as seen from the charts below. The volume delta also confirms this. 19th Dec 26th Dec 3) The 4H trend chart shows a drowntrend break as seen from the chart below
Long
by akchin68
INDHOTEL: Inverse Head & Shoulders within a Contracting TriangleINDHOTEL has been correcting for a prolonged period and is now showing a clear shift in structure. Price has formed an Inverse Head & Shoulders near the lower end of the range, highlighting gradual absorption of selling pressure. At the same time, the broader structure is compressing between a falling trendline (resistance) and rising lows (support), creating a contracting triangle. This phase reflects price digestion after a decline, where volatility narrows and balance builds between buyers and sellers. The recent higher low and steady acceptance above support indicate improving participation from the buy side. Overall, this is a structural recovery attempt inside a compression zone, best observed through price behavior rather than indicators.
NSE:INDHOTELLong
by siripireddyvenu
IDBI (W): Aggressive BullishTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic The stock has confirmed a breakout from a 2-year consolidation phase (₹67–₹107). This move is supported by the highest weekly volume in months . 📈 1. The Chart Structure (The Box Breakout) > The Consolidation: ₹67 – ₹107 range. The stock spent nearly 24 months in this zone, absorbing all supply. > The Breakout: This week's close of ₹114.85 (+13%) is a decisive "Jailbreak." - Significance: Breaking a 2-year base often leads to a trend that lasts for several quarters, not just weeks. 📊 2. Volume & Indicators > Volume Ignition: The 174.74 Million volume is an "Institutional Stamp." It confirms that "Smart Money" is entering to ride the privatization/growth story. > RSI: Rising in all timeframes. The Monthly RSI crossing 60 is a "Super Bullish" signal, indicating the start of a long-term momentum phase. 🎯 3. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The stock is now facing its final "Boss Level" resistance. > 🐂 Bullish Target (The Blue Sky): - The Hurdle: ₹115 – ₹120 . This is a historical pivot. The stock closed right at the edge of this zone. - The Trigger: A weekly close above ₹120 . - Target 1: ₹135 . - Target 2: ₹147 . > 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"): - Immediate Support: ₹107. The breakout level must now act as a rigid floor (Polarity Principle). - Stop Loss: A weekly close below ₹100 would imply the breakout was a "Bull Trap." Conclusion This is a Grade A Turnaround Setup . > Refinement: The stock has cleared the Consolidation (107) but is testing the Historical Resistance (115-120) . > Strategy: The volume suggests the resistance at 120 will likely break. Buy on dips to ₹108-110 or wait for a clear close above ₹120 to go full throttle.
NSE:IDBILong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Torrent Power Ltd Bullish viewTorrent Power has created a 5%+ move followed by change in trend. The stock has closed above EMA21/50 marking it as a bullish sign. With such change in trend there can be 2 scenarios which can exist. Scenarios1: The stock retraces to the demand zome formed at 1318 levels. In such a retracement going long would be a opportunity. Scenario 2: A small daily inside candle if formed on the daily ( inside candle meaning a smaller range candle which has a high low with the range of previous candle), can be an opportunity for break out.
NSE:TORNTPOWERLong
by the_sailor_trader