BANK NIFTY ANALYSIS: Strong BullishMonthly analysis:
1) Trend identify: HH & HL- Bullish (M trend)
2)Monthly RSI: HH & HL - Bullish signal
RSI brek low but price does not break low- its a bullish ( Failure swing)
Weekly analysis:
1) Channel has broken & RSI is bullish above 50
2) previous week candle is closed above.
Daily analysis:
1) Break I H&S pattern with GAP UP
RSI is shifted from beraish to bullish
Traget Height of neck line (57700)
Open Interest: 56k massive PUT writting & SC on CALL side . and also long buildup CALL side - WE are strong bullish on BK
Trend Analysis
Gold 1H – Will CPI Repricing Push Gold Into FVG Reversal?Gold on the 1H timeframe is reacting near 3,928 after a clean structure break and buildup toward the premium zone 3960–3958, where liquidity remains above recent highs. Market structure shows a bullish impulse leg forming, but engineered sweeps at premium supply are likely before continuation. The defined FVG buy zone around 3840–3842 marks discount territory for potential re-entry if price retraces deeper.
From the macro side, gold is consolidating as traders brace for this week’s U.S. CPI data and renewed Treasury yield volatility. The dollar’s firm tone and cautious risk sentiment following stronger U.S. job figures are keeping gold capped near short-term supply. Still, geopolitical tensions and central-bank demand continue to provide underlying support, reinforcing the buy-on-dip narrative toward year-end.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3960–3958 (SL 3967): Premium liquidity sweep zone targeting retracement toward 3940 → 3900.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3840–3842 (SL 3833): Discount demand and FVG mitigation aligned with higher-timeframe support. Upside targets 3860 → 3880 → 3900+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Sweep at 3960–3958
• Entry: 3960–3958
• Stop Loss: 3967
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3940
• TP2: 3920
• TP3: 3900
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Mitigation at 3840–3842
• Entry: 3840–3842
• Stop Loss: 3833
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3860
• TP2: 3880
• TP3: 3900+
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains liquidity-driven within a mid-range structure. Expect engineered sweeps into 3960–3958 before deeper pullbacks into discount demand near 3840–3842. Tactical bias favors fading rallies at premium while preparing to join the continuation move from discount FVG support if CPI-related volatility clears the liquidity pools.
Gold Price Analysis — XAU/USD (Daily)Overview:
Gold has staged an impressive rally, climbing from the 3,200–3,300 area to the 3,870 region within a strong bullish structure. Price action shows higher highs and higher lows, signaling continued demand from buyers. 🚀
Technical Outlook:
• Trend: Both the medium- and long-term trends remain bullish, with price above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
• Momentum: Strong upward momentum confirmed by MACD histogram expansion and RSI hovering near overbought territory (~70).
• Key Levels:
⚠️ Resistance: ~3,900 (psychological & structural level).
✅ Support: 3,400–3,600 zone.
Trading Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation:
• Enter on pullbacks to support (3,600–3,700).
• Targets: 3,950–4,000.
• Use trailing stop to secure profits.
2️⃣ Rejection at Resistance (~3,900):
• Look for bearish candlestick patterns (pin bar, engulfing).
• Short-term correction toward 3,400–3,200.
• Stop-loss above 3,920 to manage risk.
3️⃣ Breakout Play:
• If price closes above 3,900 decisively with volume, expect continuation toward 4,100+.
• Ideal for breakout traders with risk managed via tight SL below breakout candle.
Risk Management:
⚠️ Do not risk more than 1–2% per trade.
✅ Use trailing stops to lock in gains.
💡 Accept losing trades early; capital preservation is priority.
Conclusion:
🎯 Bias remains bullish while above 3,600. Traders should monitor the 3,900 level closely — a breakout could extend the rally, while rejection could trigger a corrective pullback.
New ATH: Shutdown Fuels Gold's Seventh Straight WinHello, traders!
Gold just sealed its seventh consecutive weekly gain, boss, with futures hitting a whopping $3,908.9/oz. This rally is powered by growing tension over the US Government Shutdown and the solid expectation of a Fed rate cut (97% chance in October, no less!).
Fundamentals & Outlook: Pure Safe-Haven Rally
Political Instability: The prolonged Shutdown is a proper bullish driver now. It's delaying key economic reports, creating huge uncertainty, and attracting big safe-haven capital flows.
Rate Cut Certainty: The market is absolutely banking on a Fed rate cut, giving massive support to non-yielding Gold.
Technicals & Trading Strategy: Focus on $3867
The weekly buying power is super strong. Gold is holding steady near the $3900 mark. The $3867 level is our critical line, bhai; if the price stays above it, the potential for new ATHs remains very high.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3902, $3912, $3922, $3942
Support: $3867, $3855, $3839, $3792
Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management):
BUY ZONE 1: $3867 - $3865
SL: $3857
TPs: $3875, $3885, $3895, $3905, $3915
BUY ZONE 2: $3839 - $3827
SL: $3824
TPs: $3847, $3857, $3867, $3877, $3887
SELL ZONE 1: $3902 - $3904
SL: $3912
TPs: $3894, $3884, $3874, $3864
SELL ZONE 2: $3942 - $3944
SL: $3952
TPs: $3934, $3924, $3914, $3904
What's your view? Will the US political drama help Gold finally break past $3900 next week? Tell me below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Shutdown #Fed #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #GoldRush
Heromotoco - Reversal in the making Heromotoco - Reversal in the making
Fundamental Outlook
Almost debt free D/E ratio is 0.04, High ICR (85)
PE of 19.23, IND PE is 45.12, 0.4X of Industry PE, inexpensive stock
PEG of 2.52, reasonable
ROE = 23.67%
ROCE = 31.15% , ROCE 5yrs = 25.06%
Sales growth = 8.3%, Sales Growth 5 yrs =6.94%
Profit growth = 16.06%, Profit Growth 5 yrs = 7.64%
Promoter holding at 34.74%, stable over the years
Cumulative FII/DII holding above 50%
Public holding < 10%
Very less public holding, continually decreasing, signalling strong hand holding
Technical Outlook
CMP : 4234
On Weekly charts ,
Stock has experienced a significant downtrend and seems to be bouncing off 3500-3600 levels
RSI(weekly)=53
On daily charts
LTP > EMA21 > EMA63 < EMA200
Relative strength and momentum on 20 day time period is improving.
RS = 99, relatively weak strength compared to Nifty 500
Momentum = 101, relatively better momentum compared to Nifty 500
RSI (daily) = 70 , overbought zone
Chart Patterns
On weekly charts ,
Stock is beginning to form a rounding bottom pattern.
Industry Outlook
Sector/Industry - Automobiles/2-3 Wheelers
Nifty auto is a leading index compared to other sectoral indices in the past 20 days.
Nifty Auto has formed a W pattern/double bottom in the recent past and is recovering appreciably.
Continuing momentum should take the Index past recovery to bullish phase
Latest Q4 Results
Mar 2025
NSE:HEROMOTOCO
QOQ
👉Revenue drops -2.83% to 9970
👉EBITDA rose 1.69% to 1441
👉EBITDA Margin rose 0.64% BPS to 14.45%
👉Net Profit rose 5.51% to 1169
👉EPS rose 4.84% to 58.06
YOY
👉Revenue rose 3.67% from 9617
👉EBITDA rose 9.17% from 1320
👉EBITDA Margin rose 0.73% BPS from 13.73%
👉Net Profit rose 23.97% from 943
👉EPS rose 24.14% from 46.77
Fundamentals
👉Stock PE is 19.23
👉Stock EPS is 218.94
👉Dividend announced of Rs.65
Growth
👉2 year Revenue CAGR is 9.46%
👉2 year Profit CAGR is 25.00%
👉2 year EPS CAGR is 24.78%
👉2 year Price CAGR is 30.29%
Disclosure 1 - Invested
Disclosure 2 - Not SEBI Registered
Disclosure 3 - This is Not investment advice. Treat it as educational
AUDNZD – Intraday Short Setup🟢 AUDNZD – Intraday Short Setup
🔹 Timeframe: 15 min
🔹 Setup Type: Rally-Base-Drop (Supply Zone Rejection)
🔹 Entry Zone: 1.1333 – 1.1344
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 1.1345
🔹 Target: 1.1290 (1:3 RR)
🔹 Market Structure: Lower high forming with bearish momentum continuation
💡 Analysis Insight:
Price tapped into the identified supply zone and showed rejection wicks. Expecting short-term bearish move towards the previous low zone around 1.1290.
📉 Bias: Bearish until 1.1345 breaks cleanly.
📅 Date: 6 Oct 2025
Beautiful 6R BTC trade scenariosBTC is forming both buy and sell side trades as the price is in critical zone. BTC will possibly give us both side good trades. We need to wait for price getting into right zones.
1. Currently price is moving around daily and 4H gradient levels.
2. 125275 level is creating a gradient cluster of both 1d and 4h time frame. Which may give us a good sell side trade if price show clear reversal signals.
3. There is an 1hour iFVG if price takes liquidity of it, most probably it will touch gradient cluster level and good sell scenario may be confirmed.
4. There are several SIBIs which may be target for it and further buy side reversal trade.
5. Buy side reversal trade may be good trade as overall BTC order flow is upside.
6. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVGs and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
7. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and 5.5R trade scenario.
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Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
BSE - Cash Trade Always SAFEBSE CMP 2100
SL CLB 1800 for aggressive Traders
buy dips till 1800 & SL CLB 1650 for Safe Traders
expected tgts 2450-2650-2850 & More
⚠️ Note: Stick to levels, follow discipline & use TSL (Trailing Stop Loss) once targets start approaching.
Let’s stay hopeful that the move continues as per our expectations! 📈
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Long positions on LTIM - Swing or PositionalLTIM is looking like it's going to be a good performer in the IT space.
While the overall IT index seems to be bottoming out, LTIM has been quietly consolidating in a good zone after correction since Dec 2024
The stock is currently at a good buying zone and near the long term trend line.
I have taken long position on the stock for an initial Target of 6000 price.
SL is 5000 price.
P.S. Not a recommendation. Pls do your own due diligence.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 06.10.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 06.10.2025
RTF: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
SBI Cards : Double Bottom Breakout Ignites Bullish MomentumSBI Cards and Payments has given a strong bullish breakout from a well-defined double bottom pattern on the daily chart, indicating bullish potential
The price has crossed above the neckline zone, confirming the breakout strength. The structure suggests that buyers have regained control, and momentum indicators are supporting further upside.
Currently, the stock is showing sustained strength above its short-term moving averages, and the breakout candle has closed decisively above resistance.
Based on the pattern height and measured move projection, the next potential target comes around the ₹904 price level. Any retest towards the neckline could offer a fresh buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward setup.
Key Levels:
Support: 845
Resistance: 904
Trend Bias: Bullish above 840
Conclusion:
The technical breakout from the double bottom pattern points towards renewed upward momentum in SBI Cards. A sustained move above 860–870 can accelerate the rally towards the 904 zone in the short term.
Buy TIINDIA | Swing Trading | Sep 1, 2025 Intraday Candle Spike🛒 Trade Snapshot: TIINDIA
- Buy Date: 30-Sep-2025
- Buy Price: ₹3125.00
- Quantity: 7
-Setup Reference: Sep 1, 2025 intraday candle spike
- Chart Context: Intraday spike from Aug 04 acted as hidden demand
- Confirmation: Price held above spike origin with strength
⏳ Exit Plan: Time-Based Strategy
- Exit Window: Within 14 calendar days from entry
- Exit Logic: Time-based, not price-based
- Core Belief: Time is the primary driver of my setups
- Why Time Matters:
- Price may fluctuate, but lifecycle setups mature within a defined time
- Avoids emotional bias tied to targets or stop-losses
- Keeps discipline intact across all trades
- Execution Rule: Trade will be closed regardless of price action once the time threshold is hit
🔍 Real Trades 💸 Real Capital 📘 Fully Journaled
Every setup shared here is executed live with my own funds—no simulations, no hindsight.
#TimeBasedTrading
#SwingTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 6, 2025)
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🔹 1. Momentum
D1 Timeframe
• Daily momentum is currently declining, with both lines starting to converge inside the overbought zone.
• Today is a critical day:
o If the daily candle closes strongly bullish, price may extend the upside for another 2–3 days.
o If the daily candle closes bearish, momentum will continue to decline, suggesting the correction may extend further.
➡️ Therefore, today’s daily close will be important to determine the mid–term trend direction.
H4 Timeframe
• H4 momentum lines are stuck together in the overbought zone, indicating a potential reversal could happen at any moment.
H1 Timeframe
• H1 momentum is turning upward, but since it’s already near the overbought area, the current push may not be sustainable.
➡️ A short-term pullback is likely to occur within the next 1–2 H1 candles.
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🔹 2. Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe
• On the daily chart, price has broken above 3877, which is the second target of the yellow wave 5.
• Given the strong move, this could simply be a liquidity sweep, not necessarily the end of wave 5 yet.
➡️ We need to observe the daily close to confirm whether momentum continues to weaken or stabilizes.
H4 Timeframe
• After a 3-wave ABC correction (in blue), the price is now moving within purple wave 5.
• Based on the current price channel, two possible targets for purple wave 5 are:
o 🎯 Target 1: 3923
o 🎯 Target 2: 3986
H1 Timeframe
• The structure shows a 5-wave pattern (in black) inside purple wave 5.
• The 0.618 projection of wave 5 has already been reached near 3926, which also aligns with the 0.382 retracement level of the H4 structure — creating a strong confluence zone suitable for a potential short setup.
• If price closes decisively above 3926, it may continue to extend toward 3986.
➡️ In that case, it’s better to wait for a clear reversal signal near 3986 rather than shorting too early.
________________________________________
🔹 3. Trading Plan
📍 Setup:
• Sell Now: 3925 – 3926
• Stop Loss: 3936
• Take Profit: 3899
📌 Safer Option:
Wait for a bearish H1 confirmation candle before entering the trade.
⚠️ Note:
This is a potential topping phase, so it’s essential to manage positions carefully — avoid loose stop losses or unprotected exposure.
Bharti Airtel: Structure Analysis & Trade PlanStock: Bharti Airtel Limited (BHARTIARTL) - NSE
Timeframe: Daily (D)
Current Price: ₹1,896.70
1. Market Structure & Chart Pattern Analysis
Observation: The stock has been locked in a clear Rectangular Consolidation (or Sideways Range) since late July 2025, after posting a significant high. This is a crucial area of re-accumulation or distribution before the next major move.
Range High / Resistance (Supply Zone): ₹1,950 to ₹1,970. This area has consistently capped price attempts (marked by red arrows).
Range Low / Support (Demand Zone): ₹1,840 to ₹1,860. This area has provided strong institutional demand (marked by green arrows).
Current Price Action: The most recent daily candle showed a bullish bounce, confirming interest near the mid-to-lower portion of the range, reinforcing the demand below ₹1,860.
2. ICT (Smart Money) Interpretation
In a consolidation, Smart Money Concepts (ICT) focus on trapping traders at the extremes (liquidity sweeps) before expanding price.
Liquidity Pools:
Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): Sits above the high of the range at ₹1,970. A breakout move will aim to sweep this liquidity.
Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Sits below the low of the range at ₹1,840. This is the prime target for a stop-hunt before a potential strong reversal to the upside.
Optimal Trade Zone: The support zone from ₹1,840 to ₹1,860 acts as a prime institutional demand zone. A high-probability long setup involves entering near this low, specifically waiting for a quick wick/sweep below ₹1,840 and a reclaim of the range.
Market Structure Shift (MSS): The larger MSS will only occur with a decisive daily close above ₹1,970 (bullish) or below ₹1,840 (bearish).
3. Swing Trade Plan (BHARTIARTL)
We must prepare for two main scenarios: trading the range and trading the breakout.
Scenario A: High Probability Range Trade (Long)
This setup anticipates a continuation of the bounce off the recent demand.
Action : BUY (Anticipating push to range high)
Entry Zone. : ₹1,860−₹1,880 (Closer to the support is better, but a push above ₹1,900 might signal immediate strength.)
Stop Loss (SL) : Below ₹1,830 (Must be placed below the SSL/Range Low to protect against an invalidation of the consolidation structure).
Target 1 (T1) : ₹1,930−₹1,950 (Mid-range resistance).
Target 2 (T2) : ₹1,970 (Range High / BSL).
Scenario B: Breakout Trade (Long - Requires Patience)
This setup initiates only after the consolidation is clearly broken to the upside, signaling the start of the next large trend wave.
Action : BUY (Positional/Expansion)
Entry Zone. : Breakout & Retest of ₹1,970. Wait for a decisive Daily candle close above ₹1,970, then enter on the retest of ₹1,970 acting as new support.
Stop Loss (SL) : Below ₹1,920 (Place below the last significant swing low of the previous range).
Target : ₹2,100−₹2,200 (Measured move from the consolidation box).
Risk Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis based on chart patterns and institutional concepts for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you are responsible for your own capital. Always adhere to strict risk management principles.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 06/10/2025Nifty is expected to open flat near the 24,900 level, indicating a balanced sentiment between buyers and sellers after recent positive momentum. The index is currently hovering close to its upper consolidation zone, and today’s session will be crucial to determine whether it breaks above resistance or faces selling pressure.
A sustained move above 24,950–25,100 could trigger a strong upside rally toward 25,150, 25,200, and 25,250+, marking a potential continuation of the recovery trend. On the downside, a rejection from the upper band may lead to a pullback toward 24,850, 24,800, and 24,750 levels.
Overall, the short-term outlook remains cautiously bullish as long as Nifty holds above the 24,750 support zone. Traders should focus on breakout confirmations from the current consolidation range to capture directional intraday moves.
NIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
BANKNIFTY Levels for TodayHere are the BANKNIFTY’s Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(06/10/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat around the 55,550 level after a strong rally in the previous sessions. The index has been consolidating near the resistance zone, indicating that today’s move could decide the next short-term direction.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 55,550–55,600, it may resume its upward momentum, opening the path toward 55,750, 55,850, and 55,950+. A breakout and close above 56,000 will further strengthen bullish sentiment and attract fresh buying interest.
On the downside, immediate support lies at 55,450–55,400. A breakdown below this range may lead to a corrective dip toward 55,250, 55,150, and 55,050-. Traders should watch for a breakout or breakdown from this consolidation zone before initiating directional trades.
Overall, the sentiment remains cautiously positive with a flat opening, but traders are advised to wait for confirmation before taking aggressive positions.