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Trend Analysis

Gold 1H – Fed Week: Liquidity Sweeps Before FOMCGold on the 1H timeframe is range-bound around 3,643 after a series of ChoCH/BOS prints. Liquidity is stacked above the intraday buy zone at 3,658–3,656 and higher at 3,676–3,678, while discount liquidity sits near 3,615–3,613. With markets pricing a possible Fed cut this week and the dot-plot in focus, expect engineered spikes into premium followed by mean reversion before any sustained move. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,676 – 3,678 (SL 3,683): Premium resistance for an engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,665 → 3,655 → 3,645. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,658 – 3,656 (SL 3,651): Intraday demand within prior consolidation targeting 3,665 → 3,670 → 3,675+. • 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,615 – 3,613 (SL 3,610): Discount demand at the base of structure targeting 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Intraday Reclaim (3,658–3,656) • Entry: 3,658 – 3,656 • Stop Loss: 3,651 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,675+ 👉 Look for a sweep into the zone and an H1 close back above 3,656 to confirm order-flow continuation. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount Sweep (3,615–3,613) • Entry: 3,615 – 3,613 • Stop Loss: 3,610 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,645  TP3: 3,655+ 👉 High R:R if liquidity runs into protected demand before the New York session. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Sweep to Resistance (3,676–3,678) • Entry: 3,676 – 3,678 • Stop Loss: 3,683 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,655  TP3: 3,645 👉 Expect a stop-run above recent highs into premium; invalidate on a firm H1 close above 3,683. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Into Fed week, smart money often runs both sides of the book. Bias today favours: discount buys at 3,658–3,656 and 3,615–3,613, and a premium fade at 3,676–3,678. Use reduced size, wait for structure confirmation, and avoid holding through any unexpected Fed headlines or USD spikes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
2
Banco India (Daily Timeframe) - Potential ATH ??Banco India remains in a dominant long-term uptrend that started in June 2020. After a brief corrective downtrend from November 2024 to April 2025, the stock entered a sideways consolidation phase. Today, the stock decisively broke out of this consolidation range with a surge of +12.84% on significant volume , signaling strong buyer commitment & a new All Time High (ATH) . This bullish move is further supported by short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which are in a positive crossover state. If this upward momentum is sustained, the next potential price target is the ₹850 level. Conversely, a failure to hold the breakout could see the price retrace to support near the ₹530 level. Price-action is what matters !!
NSE:BANCOINDIALong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | September 15✅ Fundamental Analysis 🔹 Fed Rate Cut Expectations The Federal Reserve is almost certain to cut rates by 25 basis points in September, which is the market consensus. The recent rally in gold has been primarily driven by “rate cut expectations” rather than purely safe-haven demand. As the rate decision approaches, market volatility is expected to increase. 🔹 Geopolitical Risk Support Ongoing global geopolitical risks continue to provide additional safe-haven support, keeping gold prices within a strong range. 🔹 “Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact” Logic Before the rate decision: Market sentiment dominates, with gold maintaining a high-level bullish consolidation. After the rate decision: If the rate cut is delivered and Powell does not sound excessively dovish, a short-term pullback could occur on “sell the fact” behavior. ✅ Technical Analysis 🔸 From a structural perspective, gold broke out of a four-month consolidation range and formed a strong unilateral uptrend, reaching as high as $3674. Based on the principle of “the longer the base, the higher the move,” the trend remains strong, with no clear topping signal yet. However, the rapid rise has caused short-term overextension, suggesting a need for technical correction. 🔸 On the 4-hour chart, the current candles are trading near the Bollinger Band midline (around $3640), showing balanced forces between bulls and bears. The narrowing Bollinger Bands indicate a consolidation phase. A strong breakout above the upper band ($3660) could lead to a retest of $3675–3680. The MA5, MA10, and MA20 are converging, showing that the market is waiting for a directional breakout. As long as prices hold above MA20 ($3640–3620), the bullish structure remains intact. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3657–3660 / 3675–3680 🟢 Support Levels: 3625–3630 / 3605–3610 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 Short-Term Idea: Focus on buying on dips near the 3625–3630 support zone. Light short positions may be considered if the price stalls near 3657–3660. 🔰 Medium-Term Idea: If gold breaks and holds above 3675–3680, the rally could extend toward 3700 or even new highs. If it falls below 3620–3610, a deeper correction may unfold, targeting 3595–3580. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MarketSage_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 15/09/2025 1. Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the oversold zone. At the beginning of next week (Monday), D1 may officially enter the oversold area and start reversing upward. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is also approaching the oversold zone and preparing to reverse. This opens the expectation of a bullish move within the next 1–2 sessions. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining, so there may be one more short-term drop to push H1 into oversold conditions before a potential reversal. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Price is still within wave iv (black). In terms of time, wave ii (black) took 7 daily candles to complete. According to the principle of alternation, waves 2 and 4 often differ in nature. With D1 momentum about to reach oversold, there is a high probability that wave iv (black) is near completion. • H4 timeframe: Price is moving sideways, which is consistent with the characteristics of wave iv. If in the next session H4 momentum reverses upward and reaches overbought while price still fails to break above 3657, then the corrective structure may evolve into a triangle or a double three (WXY). • H1 timeframe: An ABC corrective structure seems completed, but instead of rallying, price continues to consolidate within the liquidity block at 3657 – 3631. This suggests a more complex structure is unfolding, either a triangle or a WXY combination. With D1 momentum heading into oversold, the expected downside range is 3631 – 3595, which also aligns with the nearest high-liquidity zones on the chart. ________________________________________ 3. Price Zones & Targets • Breakout level: o 3657 → A strong candle close above this level would confirm a buy signal. • Support / Buy zones: o 3631 – 3632 → Possible bottom of the current correction. o 3593 – 3596 → Scenario if wave iv develops into a WXY structure. • Wave v (black) target: o Projection: 3709 (main target). ________________________________________ 4. Trading Plan 1. Buy Breakout 3657 o SL: below breakout candle o TP: 3709 2. Buy Zone 3632 – 3630 o SL: 3622 o TP: 3709 3. Buy Zone 3596 – 3593 o SL: 3585 o TP: 3709 ________________________________________ 👉 Summary: Both D1 and H4 momentum are approaching oversold, signaling that wave iv (black) may soon complete. The preferred strategy is to wait for confirmation at liquidity zones (3631 – 3595), or for a strong breakout above 3657, to join the next bullish wave v (black) targeting 3709.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Anant Raj (Daily Timeframe) - Potential BreakOut candidate ??Following a downtrend that began in January 2025, Anant Raj has been in a sideways consolidation phase since May 2025. After several failed breakout attempts from this range, the stock demonstrated significant buying interest today, surging +10.53% on substantial volume. While this move is positive, a cautious approach is recommended as the short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have not yet registered a bullish positive crossover. The price action in the coming sessions will be critical for confirmation. A sustained breakout above the consolidation channel could pave the way for further upside, with a potential short-term target of ₹667.
NSE:ANANTRAJLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
2
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 16th September 2025 expiry special If NIFTY sustain above 25069/82 above this bullish then 25102/112 above this more bullish 25131/141/151 or 25178/84 last stop then wait If NIFTY sustain below 25069/61 below this bearish then 25054/48 then 25038/29/14 strong level below this wait My view :- My analysis is for your study and analysis only, also conside my analysis could be wrong and to safegaurd the trade risk management is must, Lot of levels are very close so market will give very small movements, if market has to breaks the levels then only we will see some major spikes, in short market will be on option writers side so options buyers be careful. Overall view is Sell on rise and may be flat to negative closing. Consider some buffer points in above levels. Please do your due diligence before trading or investment. **Disclaimer -  I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk. Thank you.
NSE:NIFTY
by PrashantTaralkar
1
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 15, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 15, 2025: Weekly trend outlook, gold still has enough conditions for the possibility of continued price increases. Basic news: After surpassing the 3670 USD/ounce mark, the highest level in history, the gold price has entered a correction phase, in the context of the market focusing on monitoring the policy moves of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). According to CME's FedWatch tool, investors are almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the margin to 4 - 4.25%. However, the scenario of the Fed cutting 50 basis points is still considered, because this could cause the USD to plummet and push gold to skyrocket. Technical analysis: The sideway range of 3600 - 3660 is still holding. Currently, we will wait for trading points at the 2 edges of the sideway range, but the priority is still mainly trading according to the trend. Important price zones today: 3600 - 3605 and 3660 - 3665. Today's trading trend: Sideway. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3600 - 3602 SL 3597 TP 3605 - 3615 - 3635 - 3665 - OPEN. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3618 - 3620 SL 3615 TP 3623 - 3630 - 3650 - 3665. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665 SL 3668 TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630 (small volume). Wish you a new week of safe, effective and profitable trading.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tieeggsly
Nifty 50 – Bearish Engulfing at 25,150, Eyes on FedNifty rallied into the 25,150 zone and immediately met resistance. The daily chart printed a bearish engulfing candle , a textbook reversal signal after a short-term rally. From a pure price-action perspective, this suggests caution as bulls lose momentum at a key supply zone. However, context matters. The Fed interest rate decision on 17th Sep night is the big catalyst ahead. Until then, markets may prefer to stay rangebound rather than commit to a direction. Derivatives data backs this: Heavy Call OI at 25,100–25,200 creates resistance. Strong Put OI at 25,000 provides support. With PCR near 1.0, the bias leans neutral-to-cautious. In short: the bearish engulfing is valid, but expiry flows (16th Sep) and the Fed decision (17th Sep night) will decide whether this turns into a deeper pullback or gets invalidated by a breakout.
NSE:NIFTY
by WaveXplorer
Railtel (Weekly Timeframes) - Is the trend reversing?After a sustained downtrend since July 2024, Railtel is showing signs of a potential trend reversal , evidenced by the formation of higher lows since March 2025. Today, the stock exhibited significant bullish momentum, opening with a gap-up and closing with a 6.70% gain on substantial volume . This move is supported by short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) which are in a bullish positive crossover state. The price is now at a critical juncture, testing a long-term horizontal resistance line. A decisive breakout above this level is essential for further upside. If successful, the next major obstacle will be the descending trendline that rejected a breakout attempt in June. Keep a watch on this one !!
NSE:RAILTEL
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
1
Sensex Structure Analysis and Trade Plan: 16th September4-Hour Chart (Swing Context) Trend: Ascending channel formation after a prior downtrend. Key Zone: Approaching the 81,900-82,100 supply zone. Previous Break: Impulsive leg broke above 81,200, now acting as potential demand. Bias: Bullish momentum, but within a significant resistance zone. 1-Hour Chart (Intraday Context) Structure: Clear higher highs & higher lows (bullish structure). Support: 81,200 level (former resistance turned demand) showing strong bounces. Current Action: Consolidating below the 81,900-82,100 supply. BOS: Confirms buyer dominance, but upside liquidity appears to be thinning. 15-Minute Chart (Execution View) Action: Sideways consolidation below 81,800. OB: Order block around 81,100-81,200 acts as support buffer. FVG: Minor FVGs in 81,300-81,350 zone may offer intraday support. Channel: Price respecting the ascending channel boundaries. Trade Plan (16th September) Bullish Scenario Entry: Buy on retracement near 81,100-81,200 demand zone (OB + structure support). Targets: TP1: 81,500 (intraday liquidity) TP2: 81,900-82,000 (supply zone top & channel resistance) Stop Loss: Below 81,000 (channel bottom & invalidation). Bearish Scenario Entry: Short on rejection of 81,900-82,100 zone with strong bearish signal (e.g., engulfing). Targets: TP1: 81,300 (potential FVG fill) TP2: 81,100-81,200 (major demand zone/OB) Stop Loss: Above 82,100. Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish. Expecting a potential pullback to 81,100-81,200 before a move towards the 81,900-82,100 resistance. Caution: If 81,100-81,200 fails, expect downside acceleration towards 80,800-80,600.
BSE:SENSEXLong
by BhardwajVipin
BankNifty Structure Analysis and Trade Plan: 16th September4-Hour Chart (Swing Context) Trend: Ascending channel formation after a prior downtrend. Key Zone: Approaching the 54,900-55,100 supply zone. Previous Break: Impulsive leg broke above 54,600, now acting as potential demand. Bias: Bullish momentum, but within a significant resistance zone. 1-Hour Chart (Intraday Context) Structure: Clear higher highs & higher lows (bullish structure). Support: 54,600 level (former resistance turned demand) showing strong bounces. Current Action: Consolidating below the 54,900-55,100 supply. BOS: Confirms buyer dominance, but upside liquidity appears to be thinning. 15-Minute Chart (Execution View) Action: Sideways consolidation below 54,950. OB: Order block around 54,550-54,600 acts as support buffer. FVG: Minor FVGs in 54,700-54,750 zone may offer intraday support. Channel: Price respecting the ascending channel boundaries. Trade Plan (16th September) Bullish Scenario Entry: Buy on retracement near 54,550-54,600 demand zone (OB + structure support). Targets: TP1: 54,850 (intraday liquidity) TP2: 54,900-55,000 (supply zone top & channel resistance) Stop Loss: Below 54,450 (channel bottom & invalidation). Bearish Scenario Entry: Short on rejection of 54,900-55,100 zone with strong bearish signal (e.g., engulfing). Targets: TP1: 54,700 (potential FVG fill) TP2: 54,550-54,600 (major demand zone/OB) Stop Loss: Above 55,100. Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish. Expecting a potential pullback to 54,550-54,600 before a move towards the 54,900-55,100 resistance. Caution: If 54,550-54,600 fails, expect downside acceleration towards 54,300-54,100.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by BhardwajVipin
Nifty Structure Analysis and Trade Plan: 16th September 4-Hour Chart: Trend Context: The market has been in a strong uptrend, but recent action shows consolidation. Price is nearing a significant overhead resistance. Key Resistance: The zone around 25,150 - 25,250 has been a strong area of selling pressure. Key Support: The area between 25,000 - 25,070 is crucial. This was previously resistance broken to the upside and is now being tested as support, also coinciding with the lower boundary of an ascending channel. Observation: Price is consolidating within this range, indicating a potential decision point. 1-Hour Chart: Intraday Structure: The 1-hour chart confirms the sideways consolidation. Bullish momentum appears to be waning as price struggles to push higher. EMA (20): Currently hovering around 25,051, acting as a dynamic intraday pivot. Price has recently been trading around or below it. Liquidity: Expect buy-side liquidity above the resistance zone (25,150 - 25,250) and sell-side liquidity below the support zone (25,000). Summary of Key Dynamics: Nifty is at a critical juncture, squeezed between strong resistance and a support zone that also forms the lower edge of an ascending channel. The coming session will likely dictate the short-term direction. Trade Plan - Nifty 50 (16th September 2025) Bullish Scenario: Entry Triggers: A confirmed hold and bounce from the 25,000 - 25,070 support zone, showing bullish strength. A decisive, sustained break and close above 25,150. Target Levels: 25,100 (immediate target on bounce) 25,150 - 25,250 (major resistance zone) 25,300+ (potential extension if resistance breaks cleanly) Stop Loss: For entries around support: Below 25,000. For breakout entries: Below 25,100 or the low of the breakout candle. Bearish Scenario: Entry Triggers: A clear breakdown and sustained trade below the 25,000 - 25,070 support and the ascending channel. A strong bearish rejection at the 25,150 - 25,250 resistance zone. Target Levels: 24,950 (psychological level) 24,900 (previous key support) 24,800 - 24,850 (lower demand zone) Stop Loss: For breakdown entries: Above 25,050 or the recent high formed before the breakdown. For rejection entries: Above the high of the bearish rejection candle at resistance. 🎯 Bias for 16th September 2025 Neutral to Cautiously Bearish in the Short Term. The market is consolidating at a key resistance. A breakdown below 25,000 would signal immediate weakness. Conversely, a firm break and hold above 25,150 would rekindle bullish sentiment. The reaction at the 25,000 - 25,070 support will be the primary determinant of intraday direction.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by BhardwajVipin