Divergence Secrets Intrinsic Value and Time Value
An option premium has two parts:
Intrinsic Value
The actual profit you would make if option were exercised now.
Time Value
Extra value based on:
Time left to expiration
Volatility
Market expectations
As expiry gets closer, time value decays—this is why options depreciate faster near expiry.
Trend Analysis
Part 2 Candle Stick Patterns How Put Options Work
Put Buyer
A put buyer expects the price to fall.
If stock is at ₹100 and you buy a Put Option at ₹95 for a premium of ₹4:
If stock falls to ₹80 → Profit
If stock stays above ₹95 → Loss limited to ₹4 premium
Put Seller
Expects price to stay above the strike.
They earn the premium but face large losses if price falls significantly.
Granules India Limited (GRANULES)This is a weekly candlestick chart of Granules India Limited (NSE: GRANULES) from TradingView, spanning ~2006 to late 2025.
Key Highlights
Long-term pattern — The stock spent years in consolidation/base-building phases after early volatility (2006–2012 lows around ₹10–₹50, adjusted for any splits/bonuses).
Multi-year breakouts — Annotated with upward-sloping trendlines and multipliers (3X, 4X, 5X gains post-breakout):
Early breakout from ~₹10 (multi-year base) led to ~5X gains.
Next from ~₹58 (427% gain marked) to higher levels.
Recent "Multi Years Breakout" around ~₹313 (427% again), pushing toward all-time highs.
Current status (as of Dec 26, 2025) — The price is near its peak, around ₹617–₹620 (close to the chart's projected highs of ~₹1,200 or 1,448 in extended targets, but real-time data shows ~₹620).
Performance — Down -5.82% on the latest candle shown, but the overall trend remains strongly bullish with higher highs and higher lows over decades.
Volume — Spikes during breakouts, with average volume ~9–12 million shares recently.
Current Market Context (Dec 26, 2025)
Real-time data indicates the stock trades around ₹616–₹620, near its 52-week high (~₹627–₹628). This aligns with the chart's ongoing multi-year breakout phase, supported by:
Recent positive news (e.g., board-approved fundraising up to ~₹1,462–1,762 crore via warrants, US FDA inspections cleared with minor procedural observations).
Analyst targets ranging from ₹580–₹700.
The chart suggests a classic long-term bullish setup for patient investors, with repeated explosive moves after prolonged bases. However, as with any stock, breakouts can fail or correct sharply—current levels are extended, so watch for support around prior resistance (~₹400–₹500 zones) if momentum fades.
Part 1 Candle Stick Patterns How Call Options Work
Call Buyer
A call buyer expects the price of the underlying to rise.
For example, if a stock is at ₹100, and you buy a Call Option at ₹105 for a premium of ₹5:
If stock goes to ₹120 → Profit
If stock stays below ₹105 → Loss limited to ₹5 premium
Unlimited upside, limited downside.
Call Seller
A call seller (also called a writer) expects price to stay below the strike.
Seller earns the premium but risks unlimited losses if price rises sharply.
XAUUSD H1 – Trading Liquidity During the Year-End SessionXAUUSD H1 – Trading Liquidity During the Year-End Session
Gold remains in a bullish structure, but this is a holiday market with weaker liquidity as many banks are closed. The best approach here is to trade around liquidity and value areas, rather than chasing price during extended moves.
TECHNICAL OVERVIEW
On H1, price continues to respect an ascending channel, moving through expansion and pullback phases.
After the latest strong push, the market is now consolidating and rotating, which typically favours level-based execution.
Momentum remains positive overall, but it is not accelerating aggressively, suggesting selective buying and a higher probability of liquidity sweeps during thin conditions.
PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN PLAN
Buy the pullback at key liquidity zones inside the bullish channel
Buy liquidity zone: 4475 – 4478
Buy POC zone: 4409 – 4412
Technical rationale:
The 4475–4478 area is a near-term liquidity pocket within the channel where buyers often step in during technical pullbacks.
The 4409–4412 region aligns with the Volume Profile POC, a value area where price frequently stabilises and rebalances supply and demand.
Expected price behaviour:
A corrective move into these liquidity zones, followed by a bullish reaction, can set up the next leg higher within the channel structure.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY PLAN
Short-term sell only at the upper boundary as a scalp
Sell zone: 4565 – 4469
Context:
This zone sits near the upper channel boundary where profit-taking is common, especially when liquidity is thin. Any sell idea should be treated as a short-term scalp rather than a trend reversal.
WHY LIQUIDITY-BASED TRADING MATTERS HERE
Holiday sessions can produce irregular flows, sharp spikes, and stop runs
Volume Profile helps define higher-probability execution areas instead of emotional entries
Trading around value and liquidity improves consistency when price action becomes less reliable
FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP AND MARKET SENTIMENT
OANDA traders highlight multiple drivers behind the strength in precious metals, with longer-term projections pointing to further upside for gold and silver next year. The narrative remains supported by safe-haven demand, expectations of easier monetary conditions, and a softer USD tone.
Still, in the short term, the holiday environment can distort price action, making liquidity zones even more important for execution.
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Part 2 Support and Resistance a) Strike Price
The price at which you can buy (call) or sell (put) the underlying.
b) Premium
The cost you pay to buy the option contract.
c) Expiry Date
The last date on which the option is valid. After this, the contract becomes worthless.
d) Lot Size
Options are traded in fixed quantities. One contract represents a specific number of shares or index units.
XAU/USD: Buy now as it accumulates below resistance!◆ Market Context (M30)
Gold prices are maintaining a short-term uptrend. After the previous BOS increase, the market is currently accumulating just below the Resistance area, indicating that buyers are still in control but need more liquidity before expanding the range.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The current structure is still Higher High – Higher Low, with no bearish CHoCH.
• Prices are compressing just below the Resistance Zone ~4,518, indicating the possibility of sweeping liquidity in both directions before a breakout.
• Below exists Buy-side Liquidity + FVG, which is a good support area for the trend continuation scenario.
◆ Key Levels on the chart
• Resistance Zone: ~4,518
• Buy Liquidity: 4,501 – 4,492
• FVG Buy: ~4,465
• Invalid bullish structure: M30 closes below 4,465
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario 1 – BUY pullback (priority)
• Wait for the price to retrace to 4,501 – 4,492 (Buy Liquidity)
• If there is a price holding reaction → continue to BUY according to the trend
• Targets: 4,518 → 4,540+
• SL: below 4,465
➤ Scenario 2 – BUY deep at FVG
• In case the price sweeps more strongly to ~4,465 (FVG Buy)
• This is the last defense area for buyers in the current structure
• Expect a rebound to the old peak area
➤ Scenario 3 – Break & Continue
• If the price breaks decisively above 4,518 and holds
• Watch for a retest to BUY according to the expanding wave
◆ Summary
• Main bias: Bullish.
• Strategy: Buy the dip, do not SELL without a bearish CHoCH.
• Important observation areas: 4,501 – 4,492 – 4,465.
• Break above 4,518 will open a new upward phase.
WAAREE ENERGIESWAAREE Energies | Daily TF | SMC Setup
Price has entered a strong bullish Order Block (Demand zone) after a corrective move.
Clear bearish BOS earlier, but current candles show order flow shift and buying reaction from the OB.
📌 Trade Plan (Pullback Buy):
Buy Zone: 3000–3050
SL: 2880 (Daily close below OB = invalidation)
🎯 Targets:
T1: 3300–3350
T2: 3600–3650
T3: 3850–3900
📊 Logic:
OB respected with strong rejection
Minor structure shift inside demand
Expect pullback → continuation towards supply zones (T1–T3)
⚠️ Note: This is a counter-trend bounce trade. Manage risk strictly. Book partial at T1 and trail SL.
Part 1 Support and Resistance What Are Options?
Options are derivative contracts—their value is derived from an underlying asset such as a stock, index, commodity, or currency.
Each option gives the buyer a right, but not an obligation, to buy or sell the underlying asset at a specific price (called the strike price) on or before a specific date (called the expiry date).
There are two types of options:
Call Options – Gives the right to buy the asset.
Put Options – Gives the right to sell the asset.
You pay a fee to purchase this right. That fee is called the premium.
NIFTY Weekly Map — Post-Close Analysis (23 Dec)NIFTY spent most of today's expiry session testing a critical decision zone and closed inside the upper distribution band, but without acceptance above the higher rail. This keeps the market balanced-to-cautious going into tomorrow.
..................................................................................................................
How to read Model output :
AI Predictive Rail (Upper)
Controlled expansion ceiling. Only a volume-backed acceptance can sustain beyond it
AI Equilibrium / Mid-Equilibrium.
Core balance magnet. Expect repeated rotational returns into this zone
Highest probability stabilization range.
AI Predictive Rail (Lower). Primary downside absorption. First region where selling stops accelerating and begins absorbing.
Outer Zone / Outer Zone+
Expansion buffers. Moves here are tails of auction, not valid directional continuation
Extreme Zones
Terminal exhaustion limits. Where forced positioning finally unwinds
.....................................................................................................................
Key Weekly Levels
Level Price Role
EXT U 26,335 Extreme upside
OZ2 U 26,166 Upper distribution
OZ1 U 26,065 First resistance
PR U 26,000 Major weekly rail
EQ 25,900 Equilibrium (key pivot)
MID 25,855 Mean support
OZ1 L 25,800 First demand
PR L 25,730 Lower rail
OZ2 L 25,630 Lower distribution
EXT L 25,530 Extreme downside
Market Read
Price tested upper distribution (OZ2 U) but failed to hold strength.
Acceptance above 26,000 did not sustain, keeping upside capped.
As long as price stays above EQ 25,900, downside remains rotational, not trend-break.
Loss of EQ → MID opens a mean-reversion leg lower.
Outlook for 24 Dec
Above 26,000 (acceptance) :Push toward 26,065 → 26,166
Between 25,900–26,000 :Choppy balance / fade extremes
Below 25,900 :Pullback toward 25,855 → 25,800
Below 25,800 : Expansion risk toward 25,730 → 25,630
Trading Bias
No chase in the middle
Fade extremes unless acceptance is proven
Trend resumes only on hold above 26,000
BAJAJ AUTO LONG SETUPLogic: BAJAJ AUTO is creating an up flag pattern on the weekly, followed by uptrend on the Daily.
The marked demand is strong setup.
Inspite of the fact that a stronger zone exist below that zone, but with understanding that if prices retrace into the below level the strength might be lost for an upmove.
The zone also is near 21 DEMA level.
Hence considering that and keeping strict SL below the marked level of atleast 10%DATR, long opportunities can be seen.
Nifty Option Trade Nifty
26ooo CE
DEC 2025
CMP 103
SL 90
Tgt 120/140/160
Maintain Strict TSL & SL
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XAUUSD (H1) – Trading Buy LiquidityStay bullish with the rising channel, buy the pullback into liquidity
Quick view
Gold is still moving inside a rising channel. After the strong impulsive push, price is now consolidating / compressing. For today, I’m prioritizing BUY setups at liquidity + trendline retests, while keeping a reaction SELL plan at the premium Fibonacci zone above.
Macro context (why volatility can stay elevated)
Trump signing a record number of executive orders and the growing shift of power towards the executive branch increases policy uncertainty (tariffs, federal cuts, geopolitical moves). In uncertain environments, flows often rotate into safe-haven assets like gold. That said, this kind of headline risk can also move the USD sharply, so the best approach is still: trade the levels, not emotions.
Key Levels (from your chart)
✅ Buy zone Liquidity: 4410 – 4413
✅ Buy trendline retest: 4480 – 4483
✅ Sell zone (Fibo 1.618): 4603 – 4606
Today’s trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
1) BUY scenario (priority)
A. Trendline retest = best structural entry
Buy: 4480 – 4483
SL: below the zone (guide: 4472–4475, adjust on lower TF / spread)
TP1: 4515 – 4520
TP2: 4580 – 4600
B. Deeper liquidity buy (if we get a sweep)
Buy: 4410 – 4413
SL: below the zone (guide: 4402–4405)
TP: 4480 → 4520
Logic: These are the cleanest liquidity areas on the chart. No chasing mid-range — I only act when price returns to the zone and reacts.
2) SELL scenario (reaction only — no chasing)
Sell: 4603 – 4606
SL: 4612
TP1: 4550
TP2: 4483
Logic: The 1.618 premium zone often attracts profit-taking. I only sell if price taps the zone and shows clear weakness on the lower timeframe.
Notes
If price keeps holding the trendline and printing higher lows → BUY bias remains stronger.
If we break the trendline and fail to reclaim it → reduce size and wait for a fresh structure.
Which side are you leaning today: buying the pullback, or waiting for 4603–4606 to sell the reaction?
XAUUSD (H1) – Trading BUY Liquidity Stay bullish with the rising channel, buy the pullback into liquidity
Quick view
Gold is still moving inside a rising channel. After the strong impulsive push, price is now consolidating / compressing. For today, I’m prioritising BUY setups at liquidity + trendline retests, while keeping a reaction SELL plan at the premium Fibonacci zone above.
Macro context (why volatility can stay elevated)
Trump signing a record number of executive orders and the growing shift of power towards the executive branch increases policy uncertainty (tariffs, federal cuts, geopolitical moves). In uncertain environments, flows often rotate into safe-haven assets like gold.
That said, this kind of headline risk can also move the USD sharply, so the best approach is still: trade the levels, not emotions.
Key Levels (from your chart)
✅ Buy zone Liquidity: 4410 – 4413
✅ Buy trendline retest: 4480 – 4483
✅ Sell zone (Fibo 1.618): 4603 – 4606
Today’s trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
1) BUY scenario (priority)
A. Trendline retest = best structural entry
Buy: 4480 – 4483
SL: below the zone (guide: 4472–4475, adjust on lower TF / spread)
TP1: 4515 – 4520
TP2: 4580 – 4600
B. Deeper liquidity buy (if we get a sweep)
Buy: 4410 – 4413
SL: below the zone (guide: 4402–4405)
TP: 4480 → 4520
Logic: These are the cleanest liquidity areas on the chart. No chasing mid-range — I only act when price returns to the zone and reacts.
2) SELL scenario (reaction only — no chasing)
Sell: 4603 – 4606
SL: 4612
TP1: 4550
TP2: 4483
Logic: The 1.618 premium zone often attracts profit-taking. I only sell if price taps the zone and shows clear weakness on the lower timeframe.
Notes
If price keeps holding the trendline and printing higher lows → BUY bias remains stronger.
If we break the trendline and fail to reclaim it → reduce size and wait for a fresh structure.
Which side are you leaning today: buying the pullback, or waiting for 4603–4606 to sell the reaction?
gold and silver spot or mcx update belowWith silver trading above $75.20 the next bull run is anticipated at $77, with a potential ultimate target of $82, provided the price holds above current levels. A drop below $70 could trigger panic selling, and updates will be provided on any profit-booking from higher levels expect75$ to 74-73.50$ . Gold is expected to target $4525 and potentially surge to $4550-70 and $4600 if it holds above support $4460 and $4500. Evening prices are expected to remain stable. MCX gold is predicted to reach 140000-142000, while silver is forecasted to reach 238000-242000
XAU/USD – Bullish trend, focus on Buying the DipMarket Context
Gold remains in a bullish environment, trading within an ascending structure. The recent pullback appears to be a technical retracement after an impulsive move, not a trend reversal.
From a fundamental perspective, expectations of a more accommodative Fed continue to weigh on the USD, keeping gold supported on dips. This backdrop favors trend-following BUY strategies rather than aggressive SELLs.
Technical Structure (H1)
Overall structure remains Higher High – Higher Low
Price is holding above the ascending trendline
No confirmed bearish Break of Structure
Current phase = rebalancing / pullback within uptrend
Key Zones on Chart
OBS BUY Zone: 4,483 – 4,475
Deeper Support: 4,457
Near Resistance: 4,515
Upper Resistance / Target: 4,534
Major Supply: 4,566
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation BUY
Wait for price to pull back into the OBS BUY zone (4,483 – 4,475)
Look for bullish reaction / structure hold on lower timeframes
This zone aligns with demand + trend support
Targets
TP1: 4,515
TP2: 4,534
TP3: 4,566 (expect reaction / profit-taking)
Alternative Scenario
If price breaks above 4,534 with acceptance
→ Expect a push toward 4,566, but avoid chasing at premium
Invalidation
A H1 close below 4,457 would weaken the bullish structure and shift bias to neutral.
Summary
Gold remains bullish as long as structure support holds. The priority is to buy pullbacks at key demand zones, manage risk near resistance, and avoid emotional entries at the highs.
Candle Patterns ExplainedBasics of Candlesticks
A standard candlestick contains:
Body: Difference between open and close
Wicks/Shadows: High and low
Color: Bullish (often green/white) or bearish (red/black)
The structure itself provides signals:
Long bodies → strong momentum
Small bodies → indecision
Long wicks → rejection or strong counterforce
No wick → full control by one side
Understanding this foundation helps interpret every pattern that follows.
XAUUSD – Bullish Channel AnalysisLana stays bullish, waiting for pullbacks to buy 💛
Quick summary
Trend: Clearly bullish, price is moving inside a well-defined rising channel
Timeframe: H1
Current state: Price is near the upper part of the channel, so a psychological reaction near Fibonacci extension is possible
Strategy: No chasing. Lana prefers buying pullbacks into value/liquidity zones
Market context
Gold remains strong into year-end, even as liquidity becomes thinner. The current push higher looks very momentum-driven, and Fibonacci extension areas often act as short-term “reaction zones” before the next directional decision.
On the longer-term side, bold forecasts like Jim Rickards’ view (gold potentially reaching very high levels in 2026) show that bullish sentiment in precious metals is still alive. Still, for Lana, short-term trading must follow structure and zones, not headlines.
Technical view: price inside a rising channel
On the chart, gold is respecting a clean ascending channel, consistently printing higher lows.
Key observations:
The upper Fibonacci extension area around 4603–4607 is a psychological barrier, where a short-term pullback can happen.
The best entries are usually found when price returns to value areas inside the channel, not at the top.
Key levels Lana is watching
Primary buy zone – Value Area (VL)
Buy: 4482 – 4485
This is a value area inside the rising channel. If price pulls back here and structure holds, continuation to the upside becomes more likely.
Deeper buy zone – Liquidity POC
Buy: 4419 – 4422 (POC)
This level shows heavy prior accumulation on the Volume Profile. If year-end liquidity causes a deeper shakeout, this zone becomes a safer area to look for buys.
Trading notes
4603–4607 is a psychological resistance zone — not a place to chase longs.
Only buy when price reaches the planned zone and shows confirmation on the lower timeframe.
With thin liquidity: reduce position size and keep risk tight.
Lana’s note 🌿
The trend is strong, but patience at the right entry matters more than catching every move. Lana follows structure, not emotions.
APLAPOLLO 1 Day Time Frame 🔹 Recent Price Context (Indicative)
The stock is trading around ~₹1,850‑₹1,880 levels (recent session range) with a 52‑week high near ₹1,936 and low near ₹1,273.
📊 Intraday / 1‑Day Key Levels (Support & Resistance)
📈 Resistance Levels
These can act as intraday ceilings where price may stall or reverse:
R1: ~₹1,871‑₹1,875 area
R2: ~₹1,885‑₹1,900
R3: ~₹1,895‑₹1,915
(based on pivot analysis around recent highs/multiple technical sources)
📉 Support Levels
These are levels where price might find buying interest on a dip:
S1: ~₹1,840‑₹1,848
S2: ~₹1,830‑₹1,837
S3: ~₹1,825‑₹1,830
(short‑term pivot supports from multiple intraday pivot estimates)
Notes on pivots (classic & Fibonacci):
Pivot mid‑point often lies near ~₹1,860–₹1,865 on the day.
📍 Intraday Trading Tips
✔ Above the pivot (~₹1,860) → bullish bias for the day
✔ Below the pivot → intraday sellers may dominate
✔ Watch volume spikes at support or resistance for breakout confirmation.
Pivot and MA signals show a positive short‑term trend.






















