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US Government Shutdown Sends Gold Flying HigherWhat's Happening With Gold? Gold continues recording new high despite monthly RSI reading of 89-90 signalling extremely overbought conditions and casual pullbacks are attracting buyers on any dip towards value areas resuming higher high and higher low structure which is precisely bullish. Disappointing ADP numbers keep dollar under pressure and Gold gets substantial support as bond yields remain neutral or dull. Recent record high of $3895 witnessed a minor pullback to $3852 which was quickly absorbed by buyers retesting $3893 today and prices stand at striking distance of record high. What's Driving the Bullish Rally? Fundamental Drivers: The US government shutdown and fiscal stress has caused global concerns triggering increased bets for risk off sentiments driving investors for higher Gold prices on safe haven buying. Continued Dollar Weakness below critical resistance 98 is supportive for dollar denominated Gold reducing opportunity cost of holding the non yielding asset. Sticky Inflation makes Gold a preferred hedge against inflation as store of value. Geo political concerns across Europe, mid east keep safe haven demand strong and boost Gold prices further. Robust buying by major Central Banks create further structural demand for Gold as several central banks continue increasing Gold in reserve than dollar and no central bank selling Gold despite record high prices. Any surprise hawkish message from the Fed members or strong economic data can cause a pullback in Gold prices while any dovish tone by Fed will further boost Gold prices. Technical Drivers: Technical structure is still bullish favouring further continuation supported by price stability above immediate support $3852 and moving within a strong ascending bullish parallel channel as seen on the 4 hourly chart while further bullish extension requires strong break and stability above immediate resistance $3898 which targets next leg higher $3914 followed by $3934 Overbought conditions on Monthly RSI reading 89-90 urges caution on heights as break below crucial support may trigger profit booking pressure, especially if some news about potential agreement on US shutdown strengthens dollar and treasury yields. If Gold breaks below $3872, expect a retest of $3860-$3858 while break below $3852 will expose $3845 followed by $3830-$3820
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SunilKumarDixitSKCharting
13
NASDAQ: Webbull Corporation - Long Setup, Reversal SignWebbull Corporation shows signs of a potential long opportunity after forming a Bullish reversal pattern (falling wedge) on the daily chart. Price respecting a trendline, and Volume spurt on last trading session. signaling Bullish momentum. hinting at a possible uptrend initiation. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate support at $12.56 (immediate low) Trade Plan: Enter long above $13.50 on confirmation of bullish candle close. Stop loss above $12.60 to limit risk. Target $18.00 as per falling wedge rule, or trail stop as price moves above. Disclaimer : Risk management is crucial. so keep position sizing appropriate. This analysis is intended for educational purposes and not financial advice.
NASDAQ:BULLLong
by misalraj
Wave Pattern Identified This is an ideal pattern found after a Breif Bull Run in the Market These type of patterns repeat themself on all time factors This cycle is Weekly Price & Time cycle I have left side explained how the pattern of 3 Stroke will look like in Text Book and on real time You can witness one movement of 3 stroke pattern is complete Expect an Pull back move before heading for final Retest of Primary Trend on weekly time frame This is education content Good luck
NSE:TCS
by ShreeKrishna_F
Nifty 50 – Wave 2 Correction and the Confluence ZoneDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. After bottoming at 21,743.65 in March 2025, Nifty launched a strong impulsive rally that topped at 25,669.35, marking Wave 1 of a new higher-degree advance. Since then, price has been moving inside a downward-sloping channel , forming what appears to be a Wave 2 correction. The subdivisions so far suggest a W–X–Y structure : Wave W ended at 24,337.50. Wave X topped at 25,448.95. Wave Y is now unfolding, with (a) in place, (b) potentially in progress, and (c) likely still pending. To assess possible completion zones, Fibonacci retracements of Wave 1 offer key checkpoints: 0.382 retracement at ~24,160, aligning with the channel base. 0.5 retracement at ~23,699, a deeper but still acceptable Wave 2 target. This channel + fib confluence provides a meaningful area where Wave 2 could terminate, setting the stage for the next bullish leg — Wave 3. Key Levels: Resistance : 25,450 – 25,670 (breakout here invalidates the immediate Wave 2 scenario). Support : 24,160 (0.382 fib and channel base). Deeper support : 23,700 (0.5 fib). Alternate scenario: If price continues sideways without decisive weakness, the correction may evolve into a triangle for Wave 2 instead of a W–X–Y. Takeaway: As long as price respects the channel and fib zones, Wave 2 remains corrective in nature. A sustained break higher would open the path for Wave 3 — the next impulsive advance.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WaveXplorer
Prakash Ind (D) - Coils in Major Triangle Pattern, Nearing ApexPrakash Industries is currently in a prolonged consolidation phase, trading within a large Triangle pattern that has been forming since September 2023. This pattern typically acts as a continuation of the prior trend, which in this case was a strong uptrend that began in April 2023. The stock is now approaching the apex of this triangle, suggesting a significant price move could be imminent. The key boundaries to watch are: - A formidable long-term resistance trendline dating back to January 2008 . This level has triggered several "fake breakouts" in the past. - A strong support trendline established since September 2023. Outlook: A Breakout Awaits Confirmation The stock is likely to remain range-bound in the immediate short term. A decisive move will only occur upon a breakout or breakdown from the existing pattern, which must be confirmed by a significant increase in trading volume. - Trading Range: Within the current pattern, the stock could oscillate between the upper resistance near ₹187 and the lower support level around ₹160 . - Breakout Scenario 📈: A sustained breakout above the multi-year resistance on high volume would signal a continuation of the primary uptrend. - Breakdown Scenario 📉: Conversely, a breakdown below the support trendline would invalidate the bullish continuation thesis and could lead to a significant correction.
NSE:PRAKASH
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 2/10/2025🔎 ________________________________________ Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is preparing to reverse → this signals that the bullish trend is becoming very weak. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward → today we may see a recovery move, with price either rising further or moving sideways to push H4 momentum into the overbought zone. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the overbought zone → the recovery continues for now, but once H1 reverses inside the overbought zone, the next downward move may begin. ________________________________________ Wave Structure • D1 timeframe o Price reached the second target yesterday. o Momentum on D1 is showing signs of reversal → if today closes with a bearish candle, it may confirm that the yellow wave 5 top has been completed. o In that case, a 3-wave correction on D1 will unfold. o The duration of this correction will likely be longer than the previous yellow wave 2 and wave 4 corrections. • H4 timeframe o A downward move has completed, and momentum is turning upward. o If H4 enters the overbought zone without creating a new high, it provides strong evidence that the purple wave 5 has been completed. o The current structure shows the confluence of multiple wave 5s, fulfilling the condition of an ending diagonal triangle:  Features: new highs and new lows are created, but they become progressively smaller, forming a rising triangle.  Once completed → a sharp decline is expected. • H1 timeframe The structure is noisy, so we consider 2 scenarios: Scenario 1 – Black wave 5 has already completed o Price is currently in a corrective structure. o Combined with H4 momentum reaching the overbought zone and reversing:  If price fails to break above 3897, then: 1. Price drops from the current level 3866 → toward 3830. Then retraces back to 3865 → this offers a very good shorting opportunity. 2. Price rallies to 3885 → but only if H4 momentum is in the overbought zone and starts to weaken → this also provides a great short setup. Scenario 2 – Price breaks the high o In this case, we consider the possibility of an ending diagonal triangle, combining channel structure and H4 momentum to find the short entry. ________________________________________ Trading Plan • Although we already have potential targets, placing limit orders at this stage is not effective. • The key condition to wait for: H4 momentum must reach the overbought zone and reverse → that will provide a clearer and safer entry. • I will update the entry point once H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, to avoid the same situation as yesterday: correct wave direction, but wide volatility caused stop-loss hits.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Record: Shutdown 'Blinds' the Fed Hello, traders! Gold shows absolutely no sign of slowing down, closing the October 1st session at $3,866.66/oz, while futures contracts hit a record high of $3,897.50/oz. The precious metal has climbed nearly 50% year-to-date and just set its 39th record high this year! Fundamental Analysis: Shutdown Risk Hits at the Worst Time While government shutdowns usually have a minor impact, the timing of this one is critical: Delayed Jobs Data: The crucial jobs report (scheduled for Oct 3rd) will be postponed. This uncertainty will leave the market and the Fed 'blind' regarding the economy's health just weeks before the next policy meeting, triggering strong demand for safe-haven assets (Gold). Threat of Staff Cuts: President Trump threatened to use the shutdown to cut "a lot of" federal employees, escalating tensions beyond typical closures and increasing political instability. Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy Gold accelerated past the $387x region during the US session, confirming the upward momentum is still very strong. However, the market is prone to more "Stop Loss hunting" (liquidity sweeps). Continue to Prioritize Buy, but manage SL carefully due to wider price swings. Resistance: $3887, $3895, $3904 Support: $3870, $3854, $3843 Suggested Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY ZONE Zone: $3870 - $3868 / SL: $3860 TP: $3878 - $3888 - $3898 - $3908 SELL ZONE (High Risk) Zone: $3903 - $3905 / SL: $3913 TP: $3895 - $3885 - $3875 Gold is running on a foundation of fear. Do you think the $3900 mark will be breached this session? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #GovernmentShutdown #TradingView #FinancialMarkets #RecordHigh
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Developing Monthly bias How to build bias for any month ? Building Monthly Bias with CPR 1. Identify the Central Pivot Range (CPR) for the month • CPR is the average price level for the month. • It remains constant throughout the month and acts as the balance point. 2. Mark Key Levels: • Above CPR: Previous Monthly High, R1, R2 (resistances). • Below CPR: Previous Monthly Low, S1, S2 (supports). 3. Interpretation: • Price generally oscillates between these ranges. • CPR provides the “fair value” of the market for the month. • The supports and resistances mark the extremes. 4. Bias Formation: • If price sustains above CPR → bullish bias. • If price sustains below CPR → bearish bias. • If price hovers around CPR → sideways / neutral bias. 5. Trading Psychology: • Avoid being overly bullish when prices are near upper extremes. • Avoid being overly bearish when prices are near lower extremes. • The CPR itself gives a strong indication of directional bias. 👉 In short: CPR = Balance Point; R1/R2 = upper boundary; S1/S2 = lower boundary. Price oscillates within this band, giving us a practical monthly bias.
NSE:NIFTY1!
by spvijay
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis October 2Hello It's a Bitcoin Guide. If you "follow" You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections. If my analysis was helpful, Please click the booster button at the bottom. This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart. The bottom left shows yesterday's long position re-entry point, $116,914.7, indicated by a purple finger. We will continue with the trend-following strategy. *Red finger movement path: Long position strategy 1. $118,668.2 long position entry point / Stop loss price if the green support line is broken 2. $119,161.2 long position primary target -> Target prices in order from the top to the miracle level If the strategy is successful, the first section is the long position re-entry point, and a new high is reached after the great breakout. The second section is the final long position entry point. If the green support line is maintained until the second section, it will become an upward sideways market. If the light blue support line holds through the weekend and next week, it could continue to rise as it's a mid-term uptrend line. Please keep this in mind. Bottom -> I've left up to three sections. You can check the prices of the major support and resistance lines above and below the section I've left or by dragging. Please use my analysis as a reference only. I hope you operate safely, with a principled trading strategy and stop-loss orders in place. Have a nice holiday until next Friday. I'll be back on Friday. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
Tata Steel – Consolidation Breakout with VolumeAfter weeks of sideways price action, Tata Steel has broken out of its consolidation phase with a powerful surge in volume. The breakout candle not only cleared the consolidation range but did so with conviction — volume spiked to multi-week highs, confirming participation. If price holds above the breakout zone, immediate resistances are lined up at ₹170 and ₹178. Trade Plan Entry on retest near ₹165.8. Target: ₹178. Stop-loss: ₹162.4. Invalidation A close below ₹162.4 would weaken the breakout narrative and invalidate this setup. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:TATASTEELLong
by WaveXplorer
1