Trend Analysis
Gold Trading Strategy for 06th January 2026🟡 GOLD (XAU) INTRADAY TRADING SETUP 🟡
📈 BUY SETUP (BULLISH SCENARIO)
🟢 Buy Trigger:
➡️ Buy above the HIGH of the 1-Hour candle
➡️ Candle must CLOSE above 4456
🟢 Entry Confirmation:
✔️ Strong 1H candle close above resistance
✔️ Buyers showing strength above 4456
🎯 Buy Targets:
🥇 Target 1: 4468
🥈 Target 2: 4479
🥉 Target 3: 4492
🛑 Suggested Stop Loss:
🔻 Below 1-Hour candle low / as per risk management
📉 SELL SETUP (BEARISH SCENARIO)
🔴 Sell Trigger:
➡️ Sell below the LOW of the 30-Minute candle
➡️ Candle must CLOSE below 4412
🔴 Entry Confirmation:
✔️ 30-Min candle close below support
✔️ Sellers dominating below 4412
🎯 Sell Targets:
🥇 Target 1: 4400
🥈 Target 2: 4385
🥉 Target 3: 4372
🛑 Suggested Stop Loss:
🔺 Above 30-Minute candle high / as per risk management
⚠️ IMPORTANT TRADING RULES
✅ Trade only after candle close
✅ Follow strict stop loss
✅ Avoid over-trading
✅ Use proper position sizing
📌 DISCLAIMER
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only.
⚠️ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
⚠️ Trading in Gold involves high risk.
⚠️ Please consult your financial advisor before taking trades.
⚠️ I am not responsible for any profit or loss.
XAUUSD Structure, Zones & Price BehaviourGold is transitioning from a corrective bearish phase into a developing bullish recovery. Earlier price action shows a clear bearish trendline, formed after rejection from the 4550 major resistance, which triggered strong selling pressure. This decline remained controlled and eventually slowed near the 4260–4290 demand zone, where buyers stepped in with strength.
The reaction from this demand zone marked a key shift in sentiment. Price began forming higher lows, followed by a decisive Break of Structure above the prior internal resistance around 4380–4400. This BOS confirms that bearish momentum has weakened and buyers are now gaining short-term control.
During the impulsive recovery, a visible Fair Value Gap was created near 4330–4360, highlighting an imbalance caused by aggressive buying. This area may act as a potential buy-on-dip zone if price revisits it, provided overall structure remains intact. Another layer of support sits near 4400, which now acts as a flip level after previous resistance.
On the upside, price is currently consolidating below 4470–4485, where minor profit-taking is visible. A clean hold above this region opens the path toward the 4550 resistance, which remains the most important supply level on the chart. A rejection from that zone could lead to consolidation, while acceptance above it would signal broader bullish continuation.
Overall structure is shifting bullish, supported by demand reaction, BOS confirmation, and healthy pullbacks.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and uncertainty.
BTCUSD Price Structure & Key LevelsBTCUSD is showing a clear recovery after an earlier corrective decline. Price found strong buying interest around the 86,000–86,500 zone, where selling pressure weakened and the market began forming higher lows. This behaviour signalled a shift in control from sellers to buyers.
The bullish shift was validated once price achieved a Break of Structure above previous resistance. Following this move, BTCUSD continued to build a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming an active bullish trend. The upward movement is supported by impulsive candles, while pullbacks remain shallow, indicating stable momentum rather than distribution.
During the rally, multiple Fair Value Gaps were left behind, created by strong directional movement. Key demand areas are visible around 91,200–90,800 and further below near 89,200–88,800. These zones may attract buyers again if price retraces, as they represent areas of price imbalance.
On the upside, price is reacting near the 94,200–94,400 resistance band, which aligns with prior highs and short-term liquidity. A sustained hold above this zone may allow continuation toward the 96,000 region, while rejection here could lead to a healthy pullback into previous demand without changing the overall trend.
In summary, the market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the most recent higher low, with attention on reactions at highlighted support and resistance levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and uncertainty.
btc analysis🔍 Market Structure
Overall bias: Short-term bullish, medium-term range / corrective
Price has formed higher highs & higher lows from the recent bottom → ascending trendline respected
Currently price is testing a major supply / resistance zone (blue zone)
📌 Key Zones
🔵 Resistance / Supply Zone (Important)
~4455 – 4465
This zone previously caused a strong sell-off
Price is now reacting + consolidating here → decision point
🟢 Support Zone
~4395 – 4410
Strong demand + trendline support
Breakdown below this weakens bullish structure
📐 Fibonacci Insight
Price already achieved 1.618 extension (~4459)
This level often acts as:
Profit booking area
Reversal or consolidation zone
📈 Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation (Preferred if breakout)
Conditions:
Strong 15-min candle close above 4465
Retest & hold above resistance
Targets:
4480
4500
4525 – 4550 (measured move / fib extension)
📌 Bias stays bullish only above 4410
❌ Bearish Rejection (Likely if no breakout)
Signs:
Long upper wicks
Bearish engulfing / rejection candle at resistance
Break below trendline
Targets:
4410
4395
4370
4340 (deeper pullback)
This matches the red projected path you’ve drawn.
🧠 Smart Trading Plan (Intraday)
Aggressive longs: Only on clean breakout + retest above 4465
Safe shorts: Rejection pattern + trendline break
No trade zone: Middle of range (4420–4445)
⚠️ Risk Notes
Gold is news-sensitive (USD, yields, risk sentiment)
Avoid over-leveraging near major supply zones
Wait for confirmation candles, not prediction
🔑 Summary
📈 Trend: Short-term bullish
🚧 Location: Major resistance
🎯 Decision point: 4465 breakout OR rejection
🧠 Best action: Wait → react → manage risk
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 06-Jan-2026📘 NIFTY Trading Plan for 6-Jan-2026
(Timeframe: 15-min | Gap consideration: 100+ points)
Key Levels to Track (from chart)
Upper Resistance / Extension: 26,483
Last Intraday Resistance Zone: 26,386 – 26,412
Opening Resistance: 26,316
Opening Support / Resistance Zone: 26,202 – 26,244
Lower Support: 26,041
🧠 Market Context: NIFTY has recently shown strong upside momentum, but price is now reacting near a major supply zone. Expect volatility, false breakouts, and profit booking unless levels are clearly accepted.
🟢 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens above 26,316, it indicates bullish intent but inside a heavy resistance cluster.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Gap-ups near resistance often attract smart money selling. True continuation happens only if price accepts above resistance, not just spikes.
Plan of Action:
Avoid trades in the first 10–15 minutes; let volatility settle.
Sustaining above 26,316 keeps price biased toward 26,386–26,412.
Acceptance above 26,412 opens path toward 26,483.
Repeated rejection from 26,386–26,412 signals profit booking / pullback.
Options traders: Prefer Bull Call Spread or ATM Call with trailing SL near resistance.
🟡 2. FLAT OPENING
If NIFTY opens around 26,202–26,316, expect a range-bound and tricky session initially.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Flat opens inside a broad zone reflect indecision. Direction emerges only after a range expansion.
Plan of Action:
Above 26,316 → bullish bias toward 26,386–26,412.
Failure near 26,316 keeps market sideways.
Break below 26,202 shifts bias toward 26,041.
Wait for 15-min candle close + volume confirmation before entering.
Options traders: Iron Fly / Short Strangle (light quantity) works well if range persists.
🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens below 26,202, sentiment turns cautious.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Gap-downs into support often cause panic selling early, followed by either short covering or continuation. Confirmation is key.
Plan of Action:
First level to watch: 26,202–26,244 zone.
Sustaining below 26,202 increases downside probability toward 26,041.
Strong bullish reaction near 26,041 may give intraday bounce trades.
Avoid aggressive shorts near support without confirmation.
Options traders: Prefer Bear Put Spread over naked puts to manage risk.
⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 🛡️
Limit risk to 1–2% of capital per trade.
Avoid over-trading near major resistance zones.
Use time-based exits if premium stops moving for 15–20 mins.
Book partial profits early; trail the remainder.
Prefer ATM options or spreads in volatile sessions.
No revenge trades after SL hit.
🧾 Summary & Conclusion
Above 26,316: Bulls active, but expect resistance near 26,386–26,412
Between 26,202–26,316: Choppy zone → patience required
Below 26,202: Weakness toward 26,041 possible
Trade price reaction, not prediction 🚦
Discipline > aggression in resistance-heavy markets.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Markets involve risk; please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 06th January 2026NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 26425 – 26475 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26600 – 26650 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 26075 – 26025 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25900 – 25850 range.
Uptrend momentum is expected as the global market has absorbed the US abduction of the Venezuelan President.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 06th January 2026NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 60450 – 60550 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 60950 – 61050 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 59650 - 59550 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 59150 - 59050 range.
Uptrend momentum is expected as the global market has absorbed the US abduction of the Venezuelan President.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 06th January 2026 NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 28075 - 28125 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 28300 - 28350 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 27625 – 27575 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 27400 – 27350 range.
Uptrend momentum is expected as the global market has absorbed the US abduction of the Venezuelan President.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 06th January 2026NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 14075 – 14100 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 14225 – 14250 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 13850 – 13825 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 13700 – 13675 range.
Uptrend momentum is expected as the global market has absorbed the US abduction of the Venezuelan President.
Gold comex booked 90 points profit, now holding buy again 4440Parameter Data
Asset Name/LTP Gold Comex (GC, Feb 2026 FUT) LTP: $4,457.00
Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (Daily & 4H Chart)
💰 Current Trade BUY ON DIPS Active. T1: $4,485, T2: $4,525, SL: $4,380.
📈 Price Movement 🟩 +2.94% (+$127.40). Day High: $4,466.80. Low: $4,355.40.
🌊 SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish: Strong Break of Structure (BOS) upside. Demand zone at $4,380.
🌊 Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟩 Liquidity: Bears trapped at $4,350 breakout. Next Liquidity: $4,500 (Psychological).
💰 Probability 85% (Bullish - War News dominating all other factors)
💰 Risk Reward 1 : 2.5
💰 Confidence ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Very High)
💰 Max Pain 🟩 Bullish: $4,350 (Price has squeezed significantly above Max Pain).
📈 Trend Direction 🟩 Bullish: Vertical Uptrend. Price > All Major EMAs.
📊 DEMA Levels 🟩 Bullish: Price >> DEMA 20 ($4,404) & DEMA 50 ($4,368).
📈 Supports (Technical) S1: $4,400
📈 Resistances (Technical) R1: $4,466 (Day High)
📊 ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 Bullish: RSI (14): 63.44 (Room for upside). ADX: 36.5 (Strong Trend).
🌊 Market Depth 🟩 Bullish: Aggressive hitting of the Ask price.
⚠️ Volatility (ATR) 🟥 High: ATR (14): $15.78. Intraday range > $110.
⚠️ Source Ledger 🟩 Verified: Barchart, Investing.com, CME Group (Jan 5, 2026 Live Data).
🌊 Open Interest (OI) 🟩 Long Buildup: OI +3,387 Contracts (Fresh buying confirmed).
🌊 PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟩 1.28 (Bullish; Puts expensive due to crash protection demand).
🌊 VWAP 🟩 Bullish: Price ($4,457) > VWAP ($4,428).
🌊 Turnover/Volume 🟩 High: 173,756 Contracts traded (Institutional Activity).
📊 Harmonic Pattern 🟩 Bullish: "Three White Soldiers" on Daily Chart.
🌊 IV/RV 🟥 Rising: Implied Volatility elevated; Option premiums expensive.
🌊 Options Skew 🟩 Bullish: Call Skew active (Upside calls bidding higher).
🌊 Vanna/Charm 🟩 Positive: Vanna flows supporting the rally.
🏛️ Block Trades 🟩 Active: Large block trades noted at $4,420 level.
🏛️ COT Positioning 🟩 Bullish: Managed Money Net Longs at multi-month highs.
🔗 Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Positive: Silver (+4.7%), Oil (+1.5%), DXY (+0.15%).
🏛️ ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows: Heavy inflows into GLD and IAU.
💰 Sentiment Index 🟩 Extreme Greed: "FOMO" kicking in among retail & funds.
🌊 OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟩 Bullish: Positive Delta Divergence.
🌊 Delta 🟩 Positive: Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) breaking highs.
🌊 VWAP Bands 🟩 Bullish: Price riding the +2 SD Band.
🔗 Rotation Metrics 🟩 Risk-Off: Capital fleeing Equities -> Gold/Bonds.
🌊 Market Phase 🟩 Expansion: Price discovery mode.
🌊 Gamma Exposure 🟩 Positive: Dealers chasing upside, buying futures to hedge.
🔗 Intermarket Confirmation 🟩 Bullish: Silver > $76.00; Platinum > $2,260.
⚠️ Upcoming Event Risk 🟥 High: US ISM Services Data & War Updates.
Copper holding buy from 1289 , 1320, 1345,1360 target Parameter Data
Asset Name/LTP Copper MCX (Jan 2026 Futures) LTP: ₹1,299.50
Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (Daily & 4H Chart)
💰 Current Trade BUY ON DIPS Active. T1: ₹1,320, T2: ₹1,345, SL: ₹1,280.
📈 Price Movement 🟩 +0.96% (+₹12.40). Day High: ₹1,320.00. Support S1: ₹1,288.
🌊 SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish: Trend continuation confirmed. Order block at ₹1,270 acting as demand.
🌊 Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟨 Liquidity: Buy stops resting above ₹1,320 (Day High). Trap: Bears trapped below ₹1,285.
💰 Probability 74% (Bullish - Supply Disruptions outweigh Demand concerns)
💰 Risk Reward 1 : 2
💰 Confidence ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High)
💰 Max Pain 🟨 Neutral: ₹1,280 (Price trading above Max Pain)
📈 Trend Direction 🟩 Bullish: Higher Highs and Higher Lows on 4H chart.
📊 DEMA Levels 🟩 Bullish: Price > DEMA 20 (₹1,282) & DEMA 50 (₹1,265).
📈 Supports (Technical) S1: ₹1,287.00 (Prev Close)
📈 Resistances (Technical) R1: ₹1,320.00 (Intraday Resistance)
📊 ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 Bullish: RSI (14): 64.0 (Healthy momentum). ADX: 30.5 (Trend Strengthening).
🌊 Market Depth 🟩 Bullish: Buyers absorbing supply at ₹1,298.
⚠️ Volatility (ATR) 🟥 High: Daily Range expansion (~₹24.00 range today).
⚠️ Source Ledger 🟩 Verified: Economic Times (Jan 5), TradingEconomics (Chile Strike News).
🌊 Open Interest (OI) 🟨 Consolidation: OI -0.43% (14,109 contracts). Short covering observed.
🌊 PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟩 1.07 (Neutral to Bullish; Support building at 1300 Strike).
🌊 VWAP 🟩 Bullish: Price (₹1,299.50) > VWAP (₹1,295.03).
🌊 Turnover/Volume 🟨 Moderate: 2,951 Lots traded (Steady participation).
📊 Harmonic Pattern 🟩 Bullish: "Dragon" pattern breakout targeting ₹1,340.
🌊 IV/RV 🟥 Rising: IV at 17.99% (Options becoming expensive).
🌊 Options Skew 🟩 Call Skew: OTM Calls (1320/1350) seeing higher premiums.
🌊 Vanna/Charm 🟨 Neutral: Flows stabilizing after the morning surge.
🏛️ Block Trades 🟩 Active: Buying interest noted in Feb contracts (Rollover).
🏛️ COT Positioning 🟩 Bullish: Commercials hedging against supply squeeze.
🔗 Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Positive: Highly correlated with Silver (+4%) and LME Copper.
🏛️ ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows: Copper Miners (COPX) seeing fresh capital.
💰 Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed: Driven by "Scarcity Narrative" (Chile Strike).
🌊 OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟩 Bullish: Aggressive hitting of the Offer.
🌊 Delta 🟩 Positive: 0.70 (Good proxy for global moves).
🌊 VWAP Bands 🟩 Bullish: Price testing the +1 SD Band.
🔗 Rotation Metrics 🟩 Leader: Industrial Metals outperforming Energy.
🌊 Market Phase 🟩 Markup: Trend continuation after brief consolidation.
🌊 Gamma Exposure 🟩 Positive: Dealers long gamma above ₹1,300.
🔗 Intermarket Confirmation 🟩 Bullish: AUD/USD (Proxy) rising; Asian markets strong.
⚠️ Upcoming Event Risk 🟥 High: Updates on Chile Strike Negotiations (Tomorrow).
Gold mcx today booked 2300 points profit upmove will continue Parameter Data
Asset Name/LTP Gold MCX (Feb 2026 Futures) LTP: ₹1,37,881
Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (Daily & 4H Chart)
💰 Current Trade BUY ON DIPS Active. T1: ₹1,38,500, T2: ₹1,40,000, SL: ₹1,36,200
📈 Price Movement 🟩 +1.56% (+₹2,120). Breakout R1: ₹1,38,280. Support S1: ₹1,36,300.
🌊 SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish: Strong Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside. Demand zone raised to ₹1,36,800.
🌊 Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟩 Bullish: Liquidity grabbed at ₹1,35,500 yesterday. Next liquidity target: ATH ₹1,40,400.
💰 Probability 78% (Bullish continuation due to Geopolitical Tension)
💰 Risk Reward 1 : 2
💰 Confidence ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Very High)
💰 Max Pain 🟩 Bullish: ₹1,36,000 (Price trading significantly above Max Pain)
📈 Trend Direction 🟩 Bullish: Primary Trend is UP. Price > 20, 50, 200 EMA.
📊 DEMA Levels 🟩 Bullish: Price >> DEMA 20 (₹1,36,100) & DEMA 50 (₹1,35,400).
📈 Supports (Technical) S1: ₹1,36,300 (Day Low)
📈 Resistances (Technical) R1: ₹1,38,280 (Day High)
📊 ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 Bullish: RSI (14): 68.5 (Strong Momentum). ADX: 34 (Trending). +DI > -DI.
🌊 Market Depth 🟩 Bullish: Buyers dominating (65% Bid Volume).
⚠️ Volatility (ATR) 🟥 High: Range expansion (Daily Range: ~₹2,000).
⚠️ Source Ledger 🟩 Verified: Upstox, LiveMint, Markets Insider (Jan 5, 2026 Data).
🌊 Open Interest (OI) 🟩 Long Buildup: Price Up + OI Up (Fresh buying).
🌊 PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟩 1.32 (Bullish Sentiment; Put writing at ₹1,36,000 strike).
🌊 VWAP 🟩 Bullish: Price (₹1,37,881) > VWAP (₹1,37,590).
🌊 Turnover/Volume 🟩 High: 9,710 Lots traded (Strong participation).
📊 Harmonic Pattern 🟩 Bullish: "ABCD" pattern extension targeting ₹1,39,200.
🌊 IV/RV 🟥 Rising: Implied Volatility up due to War News.
🌊 Options Skew 🟩 Bullish: Call Skew active (Calls trading at premium).
🌊 Vanna/Charm 🟩 Positive: Dealers hedging long deltas, supporting dips.
🏛️ Block Trades 🟩 Active: Large buy orders executed near ₹1,37,000.
🏛️ COT Positioning 🟩 Bullish: Managed Money increasing Net Longs.
🔗 Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Positive: Silver (+4.5%), Crude Oil (+1.5%), DXY (+0.2%).
🏛️ ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows: Major inflows into Gold BeES and GLD.
💰 Sentiment Index 🟩 Extreme Greed: Fear of War driving "Panic Buying".
🌊 OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟩 Bullish: Net Buying Pressure sustained.
🌊 Delta 🟩 Positive: Cumulative Delta (CVD) making new highs.
🌊 VWAP Bands 🟩 Bullish: Price testing +2 SD Band (Momentum).
🔗 Rotation Metrics 🟩 Risk-Off: Equities lagging, Commodities leading.
🌊 Market Phase 🟩 Markup: Strong Trending Phase.
🌊 Gamma Exposure 🟩 Positive: Dealers are long gamma, dampening volatility on dips.
🔗 Intermarket Confirmation 🟩 Bullish: Comex Gold > $4,400; Silver > $76.
⚠️ Upcoming Event Risk 🟥 High: Venezuela Updates (Live) & US Jobs Data (Friday).
XAUUSD GOLD Analysis on(05 Jan 2026)#XAUUSD UPDATEDE
Current price - 4454
If price stay below 4485, then next target 4405,4350 and 4305 and above that 4520
Plan;If price break 4454-4470 area,and stay below 4455,we will place sell order in gold with target of 4405,4350 and 4305 & stop loss should be placed at 4485
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | January 5-6✅ 4-Hour Chart (H4) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Overall Structure: Rebound Completed – Entering Major Resistance Zone
Price has rebounded strongly from the 4274 bottom and has now recovered into the 4445–4455 major resistance area.
The market has entered a high-level decision zone.
➡ Current structure: End of rebound + Upper boundary of the medium-term downtrend channel
2️⃣ Moving Averages: Bullish Repair Completed, But Entering Dense Resistance
MA5 / MA10 / MA20 have realigned into a short-term bullish structure.
However, MA50 remains above and forms a medium-term resistance band (around 4440–4460).
➡ The upside belongs to a structural resistance zone.
3️⃣ Bollinger Bands: Riding Upper Band, Momentum Slowing
Price is trading near the upper Bollinger Band,
and the upper band has started to flatten.
➡ Momentum is entering a slowdown phase with increasing pullback risk.
✅ 1-Hour Chart (H1) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Structure: Rising Wedge → Pressure Reaction Zone
A clear rising wedge has formed on the short-term chart.
The previous high at 4455 failed to break, showing rejection.
➡ This is a high-level bearish reaction structure.
2️⃣ MA Structure: Short-Term Bullish Momentum Weakening
MA5 / MA10 are flattening and turning.
Price has begun to fluctuate below MA5.
➡ Short-term momentum is weakening.
🔴 Resistance Levels:
4440 – 4460 (Core resistance)
4480 – 4500 (Trend-reversal threshold)
🟢 Support Levels:
4405 – 4400
4385 – 4380
4345 – 4335
📌 Gold Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Strategy 1 — Short from High Levels (Main Strategy)
📍 Sell Zone: 4450 – 4460
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 4405
TP2: 4385
TP3: 4345 – 4335
Reasons:
• Upper boundary of medium-term downtrend channel
• Confluence of H4 MA50 & upper Bollinger Band
• H1 rising-wedge reversal completed
• Bullish momentum is clearly weakening
🔰 Strategy 2 — Buy on Deep Pullbacks (Secondary / Counter-Trend)
Only when price pulls back into the strong support zone and shows clear stabilization:
📍 Buy Zone: 4345 – 4335
🎯 Targets: 4380 / 4400
✅ Trend Summary
• Market is currently at the end of a rebound within a medium-term downtrend
• 4440–4460 is a structural resistance zone
• Upside space is limited while downside retracement momentum is building
• Main rhythm: Sell on rallies and follow the pullback trend
🔥 Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
HAL - Trading Within Descending Channel💹 Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (NSE: HAL)
Sector: Defence | CMP: 4526
View: Corrective Bias within Descending Channel | Early Mean-Reversion Attempt
HAL continues to trade within a well-defined descending channel on the daily timeframe, with price respecting both the falling supply line and the lower demand boundary over multiple months, confirming a controlled corrective structure rather than trend breakdown. The recent test of the lower channel base near the 4200 zone has resulted in a reactionary rebound, forming a higher low on the immediate swing and indicating demand absorption at the channel bottom. The ongoing move reflects a mean-reversion attempt toward the channel midpoint, with price currently stabilising around the 4520–4550 region. Volume behaviour remains contained, suggesting structural repair rather than an aggressive trend reversal, and any meaningful shift from corrective to recovery would require sustained acceptance above the channel midpoint.
From a support–resistance perspective, HAL remains below multiple overhead supply zones. Immediate resistance is observed near 4575, followed by 4623 and 4702, with the 4900–5000 zone acting as a major institutional supply area. On the downside, 4448 acts as the nearest short-term support, followed by 4369 and 4321, while the 4200–4250 zone remains the key daily accumulation band; a breakdown below this region would materially weaken the structure. Overall, price remains range-bound between reactive support and strong overhead supply, keeping the environment patience-driven.
Momentum conditions are improving but still developing. The latest price action shows a decisive bullish candle alongside a favourable EMA structure shift, while volatility has begun to expand following prior compression. RSI remains in a healthy zone, trend strength is moderate, and the move is supported by above-average volume, indicating genuine participation rather than a low-quality bounce. Relative performance versus the benchmark remains positive, suggesting underlying leadership despite the corrective phase.
From an STWP analytical framework, the level around 4544.90 is tracked purely as a reference derived from recent momentum expansion, while the 4340–4380 zone continues to act as the primary risk reference supporting the structure. On the upside, 4790–4950 aligns with prior supply reactions, with higher swing reference zones visible beyond 5130. Internally, sentiment remains constructive with an upward bias, strong but developing momentum, elevated participation, and higher risk due to proximity to reaction zones, reinforcing the need for structure-led observation over prediction.
Derivatives data reflects a disciplined bullish bias, with call-side participation dominating near the ATM region and put positioning remaining defensive. Price–OI alignment, healthy liquidity, and moderate-to-low implied volatility favour controlled directional exposure, though continuation remains conditional on follow-through, given sensitivity to time decay near key levels.
From a demand–supply lens, the 4429–4342.60 zone stands out as the key daily demand area preserving structural stability, while 4788–4857 remains the primary daily supply zone. Intraday demand is layered at 4426–4410.50 (strong), followed by 4393–4385, and 4367–4342.60 (strong). Intraday supply emerges at 4548–4584, with higher resistance near 4585–4601.90. Any healthy pullback would ideally retrace into these demand zones with price stability and contraction; sustained acceptance below the daily demand zone would signal structural weakness.
Final Outlook:
Momentum: Strong (Developing) | Trend: Upward Bias | Risk: High | Volume: High
ETHUSD | Premium Zone Reaction After Impulsive Rally (SMC Short Market Context
Ethereum has delivered a strong impulsive move to the upside, breaking previous structure and expanding aggressively from the discount region. Price is now trading inside a higher-timeframe premium zone, where distribution is likely to occur.
This area aligns with smart money profit-taking after a strong expansion phase.
Technical Confluence
Strong bullish displacement from HTF demand
Price now trading above equilibrium (premium)
Reaction near previous supply / imbalance zone
Loss of momentum at highs → signs of exhaustion
Ideal area for mean reversion / pullback
Trade Plan
Bias: Short (counter-trend, mean reversion)
Entry: From premium / supply zone
Stop Loss: Above premium high (invalidation)
Targets:
TP1: Equilibrium (50% retracement)
TP2: Previous demand / imbalance zone
Risk-to-reward remains favorable due to elevated entry location.
A strong candle close above the premium zone will invalidate the short bias and indicate continuation of bullish expansion.
Disclaimer: only for educational purpose.
my entry: 3188.91
sl: 3239
tp: 3050 to 3080
DowJones (DJI) IntraSwing Levels for 05th-06th Jan 2026 (2:30 amDowJones (DJI) IntraSwing Levels for 05th-06th Jan 2026 (2:30 am)
👉🏽 Useful to Tally / Recognize for Next day NIFTY Fut Trade Plan & Market Movement.
👉🏽 Screen shot of "Dow Future (DJI) IntraSwing Levels for 05th-06th Jan 2026 (2:30 am)"
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
Netweb: Breakout and retest playOn weekly chart, it is observed that netweb had broken out with high relative volume in the month of september 2025. Stock ran up on higher volumes. Since 2 months stock corrected to the same previous resistance levels which may now act as support.
This can be a breakout and retest trade. The volumes on correction are relatively very low which suggests a routine correction in uptrend and not downfall. All these observations suggest further upside in stock. Today might be the start of new upleg as on daily chart today’s volume was relatively very high.
So all in all keep netweb in your watchlist for long trade.






















