“Aegis Logistics | 20x Volume Breakout Signals Fresh Upside MomAegis Logistics Ltd (CMP: ₹758.90 | +8.07%)
🔎 Technical Outlook:
Aegis Logistics witnessed a 20-day volume breakout with an extraordinary 20X spike in price-volume activity, signaling strong market participation. The stock formed a powerful bullish candle, indicating robust momentum and accumulation interest.
The breakout above recent consolidation zones suggests the potential for a trend continuation if follow-up buying sustains.
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📈 Key Levels:
Entry Zone: ₹774
Stop Loss: ₹700.25
Support Levels: 715.5 / 672.1 / 642.85
Resistance Levels: 788.15 / 817.4 / 860.8
Major Resistance Zone: ₹946 – ₹995
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🎯 Upside Targets:
Target 1 → ₹847.75
Target 2 → ₹921.50
Target 3 → ₹995.25
Target 4 → ₹1,069
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⚡ Why Bullish?
20-Day & 52-Week Volume Breakout confirmation
RSI, Stochastic & MACD supporting bullish bias on daily & weekly charts
Strong momentum candle near breakout zone
Rising interest seen from institutional volumes
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📢 Summary:
Aegis Logistics is entering a high-momentum zone. Sustaining above ₹774 can trigger multi-level rallies toward ₹921–₹1,069 in the coming sessions. However, a dip below ₹700 will negate this bullish structure.
📰 Latest News
Aegis Logistics shares surged ~10% in a single day, driven by strong volumes. It was the stock’s highest single-day gain since March. Trading volume hit a four-month high (~31 lakh shares) much above its 20-day average. Business Today
The stock exceeded its 50-day moving average around ₹724, touching resistance zones around ₹763 to ₹772 (100- & 200-day moving averages). Business Today
Additional longer-term news: The joint-venture Aegis Vopak Terminals (AVTL) is planning a ₹2,800 crore IPO to reduce debt and fund expansion; Aegis Logistics has ~50.1% stake in that JV. The Economic Times
Also, an in-principle approval for a new LPG siding (rail facility) at Panambur (New Mangalore Port) for AEGIS Vopak was granted by Palakkad railway division. This could improve LPG logistic flows. The Times of India
📈 Investment Outlook
Aegis Logistics delivered a strong 20-day volume breakout (VolX ≈ 20x) with a sharp bullish candle. Technical momentum plus upcoming catalysts like the JV IPO and new LPG siding approval are fueling sentiment.
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📈 Bullish Case – Why the stock could go up
High-volume breakout (20x average) signals institutional accumulation.
Momentum indicators: RSI 63, CCI 177, Stochastic 86 – still bullish.
Sustaining above ₹774 can open upside toward ₹847 – ₹921 initially, then ₹995 – ₹1069.
Positive news: JV IPO plans and LPG siding approval provide structural growth drivers.
📉 Bearish Case – Potential downside risks
Resistance near ₹788 – ₹817 may trigger profit booking.
Failure to sustain above ₹774 could lead to correction back toward ₹729 – ₹715.
Sectoral risks: energy/logistics costs, regulatory delays may hurt sentiment.
⚡ Momentum Case – Short-term Trading Edge
20x volume + bullish MACD on daily and weekly = strong near-term edge.
Bollinger Band breakout adds volatility momentum.
Holding ₹774 may fuel a rally toward ₹847 – ₹921 in 2–5 sessions.
📅 Short-term vs Long-term Perspective
Short-term (1–2 weeks): Test of ₹847–₹921 likely; supports 729–715 are critical.
Long-term (1–3 months): Sustained breakout plus IPO news flow can re-rate stock higher toward ₹995–₹1069.
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⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully
The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data.
Trading — whether in stocks or options — carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes exceed the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results.
If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works — practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are experienced, always assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering trades.
Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any real trading decision. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge full responsibility for your trades and investments.
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Trend Analysis
Gold 1H – Retail Sales Impact Before FedOn the 1H chart, Gold is holding near 3,682 after showing a clear Break of Structure. Liquidity is now seen both above the premium resistance at 3,700 and below the Fair Value Gap demand around 3,669–3,667. With U.S. Retail Sales data due at 19:30 IST today, intraday volatility is expected, but overall positioning is still cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later this week. Traders can look for liquidity sweeps towards premium levels before retracements into demand zones.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,700 – 3,698 (SL 3,707): Premium resistance likely to trigger rejection towards 3,690 → 3,680 → 3,670.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,669 – 3,667 (SL 3,660): Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracements, targeting 3,680 → 3,690 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,641 – 3,639 (SL 3,632): Deep discount support, targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,685+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,669–3,667)
• Entry: 3,669 – 3,667
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Targets:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,690
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone before New York session begins.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Sweep (3,641–3,639)
• Entry: 3,641 – 3,639
• Stop Loss: 3,632
• Targets:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,685+
👉 A good risk-to-reward opportunity if price sweeps stops below structure before Retail Sales release.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,700–3,698)
• Entry: 3,700 – 3,698
• Stop Loss: 3,707
• Targets:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,680
TP3: 3,670
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium supply before fading lower.
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🔑 Strategy Note
While Retail Sales data may bring short-term price swings, market attention is focused on the Fed. Smart Money is likely to trap both sides of liquidity: fading premium near 3,700–3,698 while accumulating buys at 3,669–3,667 and 3,641–3,639. Trade with smaller positions and confirm with H1 closes before entries.
Positional or Long-term Opportunity in Piramal PharmaGo Long @ 203.6 for Targets of 229, 244, 259, and 287.1 with SL 186.9
Reasons to go Long :
1. On Weekly timeframe If we draw Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low (A) to the swing high (B) then the stock took support from the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
2. In addition to this, the stock formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern (marked with a orange color) around 0.5 Fibonacci level.
3. Also there is a strong demand zone (marked with a purple color) from which the stock is taking support.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(16/09/2025)Bank Nifty is likely to witness a flat opening, with price action expected to be range-bound around key levels. Traders should closely watch intraday movements for directional clarity.
On the upside, strength will be visible only if Bank Nifty sustains above 55,050, which can open the way for higher targets at 55,250, 55,350, and 55,450+. Until then, upside momentum may remain capped.
On the downside, a short trade can be considered around 54,950–54,900, with targets placed at 54,750, 54,650, and 54,550-. A deeper breakdown below 54,450 will intensify selling pressure, dragging the index toward 54,250, 54,150, and 54,050-.
Overall, Bank Nifty is in a neutral to cautious zone with a flat start. Traders should wait for confirmation near breakout or breakdown levels before entering fresh positions, while managing trades with strict stop-losses.
Nifty Index (Research for 16 Sep Expiry)NIFTY is running from supportive trendline. ..PCR has also come in favour of CE( ie indicating that CE buyers/ Put sellers are showing their strength. Coming expiry will probably closes in green
Nifty CMP-25114
expecting Targets- 1) 25220 ,
2) 25330 ,
3) 25420
Intraday Support- 25025, 25980
Major support (I think we won't need it in this expiry) - 24750
ADANIPOWER | Buy & Sell Setup | 15 Sep 2025 – 23:00 IST ADANIPOWER | Buy & Sell Setup | 15 Sep 2025 – 23:00 IST
Buy Zone: 667.05 – 647.05
Sell Zone: 641.55 – 640.05
Scenario : Buy
Entry: 647.00
Stop Loss: 639.20
Targets:
TP1 → 666.80
TP2 → 681.00
Analysis:
From Buy Zone (667.05 – 647.05) creates possibilities for a buy move.
Scenario 2 : Sell
Entry: 639.20
Stop Loss: 659.00
Targets:
TP1 → 620.00
TP2 → 601.50
TP3 → 583.50
Analysis:
From Sell Zone (641.55 – 640.05) creates possibilities for a sell move.
Stay alert on updates here.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This idea is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own analysis before making trading decisions.
Reliance Industries – Short-Term Bounce, Bigger Zigzag UnfoldingWave Structure
The decline from the all-time high at 1608.80 to 1114.85 unfolded in a clean 5-wave impulse. Rather than a completed W–X–Y correction, this is best viewed as Wave A of a higher-degree zigzag (5-3-5).
The subsequent rally into 1551 was a clear 3-wave move, marking Wave B . With this structure, the larger Wave C is now favored to be unfolding to the downside.
Current Setup
The drop from 1551 is impulsive, not corrective, which supports the case that Wave C is already in progress.
Price is testing the MA200 and printed bullish RSI divergence (higher lows on RSI vs. lower lows on price), suggesting near-term exhaustion.
This favors a short-term Wave 2 bounce before further downside unfolds.
Outlook
Short-term (bullish): Relief rally toward 1390–1420 possible as Wave 2 plays out.
Medium-to-long term (bearish): Once Wave 2 completes, downside is expected in Wave 3–4–5 of C, with potential targets revisiting 1100 or lower.
Invalidation: A sustained break above 1551 negates the bearish outlook and would suggest the correction has already ended.
Summary
Short-term: Bounce likely.
Big picture: Bearish zigzag not yet complete.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 16.09.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 16.09.2025
RTF: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
Friends, please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Samvardhana Motherson International (NSE: MOTHERSON) – Rising BrTechnical Setup (1D Chart)
• Stock is trending higher for the 7th straight day, up ~3% to ₹107.8, and trading volume accelerated (~44 M shares)
• Price has broken above a key horizontal resistance around ₹107–108 (purple zone) and is now supported by an upward-sloping trendline connecting recent swing lows (~₹70 → ₹90 → ₹100)
• Next target zone lies near ₹115–120, followed by all-time high resistance around ₹144–145
Catalysts & Fundamentals
• Management reiterated its Vision 2030—targeting aggressive growth through auto and non-auto segments, including assembling cars by 2030
• FY26 plans: allocating 70% of ₹6,000 cr capex into non-auto verticals to diversify revenue streams
• Q4/FY25 financials: revenue grew ~8% YoY, but PAT dropped ~23%, weighed by rising expansion costs
• Strategic expansion underway: pursuing $2B acquisition of Marelli, though facing opposition from hedge fund Strategic Value Partners
Outlook & Expectation
Momentum remains bullish, with the strong breakout and support at ₹107–108. Short-term pullback is plausible if profit-taking appears, with support levels near ₹104–105 (pivot) and ₹100. If the breakout holds, price could test the ₹115–120 zone in the coming weeks. Watch for volume confirmation and any developments around the Marelli acquisition or diversification execution.
BTC Price Action: Bulls vs BearsBTC Price Action: Bulls vs Bears
Bitcoin has shown a gradual recovery after a prolonged corrective phase, with market structure leaning toward a constructive buildup. Fundamentally, sentiment is influenced by global macro conditions—investors are watching U.S. monetary policy signals, while stable demand from institutions and long-term holders continues to provide a supportive backdrop. On-chain activity remains steady, with balanced exchange inflows and outflows suggesting no extreme directional pressure in the near term.
From a technical perspective, the market has shifted momentum from bearish flows into a developing bullish sequence. The recent break of structure on the 4H timeframe highlights strengthening upside intent, though price is still moving within a broader accumulation phase. Current flows suggest the possibility of a short-term dip for liquidity before continuation to higher levels, aligning with the overall constructive weekly outlook.
GBPUSD Ready for Expansion After Liquidity GrabThe market has been trading within a broad range, characterized by multiple liquidity grabs on both highs and lows. Each sweep has been followed by sharp reactions, confirming active smart money positioning. Recent price action shows a strong recovery after a downside liquidity sweep, indicating accumulation and rebalancing of orders.
The structure is now transitioning into a bullish leg. The short-term projection suggests a potential engineered dip to collect liquidity before a continuation to the upside. This aligns with the current market cycle of accumulation → expansion.
GOLD LONG IDEA AT BOTTOM 1400PIPS IN NONFARM
BUY GOLD 3314 +900PIPS
BUY GOLD 3344 +500PIPS
📊 Today’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) – USD
Average Hourly Earnings m/m:
✅ 0.3% (same as forecast and previous).
→ Wage growth is steady, no extra inflation pressure.
Non-Farm Employment Change:
❌ Actual: 22K vs Forecast: 75K vs Previous: 79K
→ Job creation has fallen sharply, showing slowdown in the US economy.
Unemployment Rate:
✅ Actual: 4.3% (as expected, higher than 4.2% previous).
→ Labour market conditions are getting weaker, unemployment rising.
🔎 Market Impact
US Dollar (USD):
Weak NFP data is negative for the dollar.
Higher unemployment increases chances of the Fed cutting rates earlier.
Gold (XAU/USD):
Positive for gold: Weak USD supports higher gold prices.
If the Fed turns dovish, safe-haven demand for gold will strengthen.
Gold may gain strong momentum on expectations of rate cuts.
Equities:
Wage inflation is stable, so no fresh inflation worries.
Equity markets may take it positively as Fed could soften policy.
📌 Key Takeaway
NFP weak → Bearish USD
Gold bullish, upside momentum possible
EUR, GBP likely to gain on USD weakness
Equities may stay supported
Gold 4H Outlook – Buy the Dip or Fade the Drop?On the 4H timeframe, Gold is consolidating just below 3,600 after a strong bullish rally. The current structure shows price pausing near premium levels, with liquidity building both above 3,600 and below 3,530. This indicates engineered sweeps are likely before the next major move.
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (4H):
🔼 Buy Zone 3,572 – 3,574 (SL 3,565): Fresh demand zone at intraday discount; potential continuation level.
🔽 Sell Scalp Zone 3,530 – 3,526 (SL 3,537): Short-term supply/pivot area; scalp opportunity if rejection happens.
📍 Liquidity Magnet 3,603 – 3,605: Upside imbalance area likely to get filled.
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Zone Reaction
Entry: 3,572 – 3,574
Stop Loss: 3,565
Take Profits:
TP1: 3,585
TP2: 3,595
TP3: 3,605
👉 Demand block in line with bullish order flow. Watch for a liquidity sweep and rejection to fuel trend continuation.
🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Short-Term Reaction
Entry: 3,530 – 3,528
Stop Loss: 3,537
Take Profits:
TP1: 3,520
TP2: 3,510
TP3: 3,500
👉 Intraday supply/pivot area. Best suited for quick scalp trades against the trend, targeting downside liquidity.
🔑 Strategy Note
Overall bias stays bullish, but intraday shorts can work for scalping purposes. The cleaner setup is to buy from 3,572–3,574 for continuation towards 3,600+. Smart money may attempt a liquidity sweep at 3,530 before pushing higher.
Maruti Suzuki: Strong Breakout and Key Support Levels – Sept 25The Maruti Suzuki India Limited chart displays a strong upward trend with recent price action indicating a potential consolidation or pullback after a significant rally.
Technical indicators highlight important support and resistance levels, overall momentum.
Price Action & Trend
1.The price has recently surged from around ₹13,200 to a high of ₹14,754, reflecting a robust bullish move over the observed period.
2. Candlestick patterns show a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, typical of a sustained uptrend.
3. The current price is ₹14,749, slightly below the recent high, suggesting short-term profit booking or consolidation after an aggressive rally.
Volume & Signals
1.Volume has spiked during breakout points, providing confirmation for the bullish run. A recent decline in volume may suggest waning momentum or a period of consolidation.
2.The Stochastic or RSI-like oscillator is currently at 16.82, which is in the oversold territory. This could hint at an imminent reversal or a bounce if buyers regain control.
Buying Levels -
Above all time high and targets could be placed around 15,500 and 18,000.
#swingtrading
#volumeburst
#autosectorstocks
This is just a analysis and not to be considered as buy or sell. Do your analysis before taking any positions.
Happy trading.
Gold Futures (MCX) – Breakout Towards Upper ChannelDescription:
Gold Futures (MCX) has broken out of the 100–102k consolidation zone and is trending inside a strong ascending channel. Price is approaching the upper channel resistance near 110–112k, while supports lie at 108.6k and 107.4k.
Liquidity in MCX gold contracts remains healthy, supported by strong ETF inflows, central bank buying, and expectations of Fed rate cuts. While the broader structure stays bullish, short-term consolidation or pullbacks may occur near the channel top.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 110k–112k (upper channel)
Support: 108.6k / 107.4k, major zone 100–102k
Bias: Bullish above 100k
How to make Vodafone Idea a multibagger by 2026-2027After consolidating heavily at the bottom IDEA is finally moving up, We can plan for a long term view for insane profits, it will take months though. If your view is short just keep looking for bullish inside candle after a retracement and enter or Look out for good options CE setups in intraday for the next year or so, You can ride using 20 and 50 SMAs.
I'm gambling on the path(shown in arrows) it might take to reach jackpot, Remember holding that long will be a BUMPY ride, there might be deep retracements, expert traders will add more on those, Noobs will end up panicking and sell on the low of retracements and regret later. We also might see a couple of months long consolidations. If you are happy with the TG1, TG2 gains, you can book early and enter again when a good bullish setup forms.
OR this plan will fail miserably but its worth trying ;)
Entry at CMP or around 7
SL at 5.95
Targets 10, 18, 40 and beyond..
Anant Raj (Daily Timeframe) - Potential BreakOut candidate ??Following a downtrend that began in January 2025, Anant Raj has been in a sideways consolidation phase since May 2025. After several failed breakout attempts from this range, the stock demonstrated significant buying interest today, surging +10.53% on substantial volume.
While this move is positive, a cautious approach is recommended as the short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have not yet registered a bullish positive crossover. The price action in the coming sessions will be critical for confirmation.
A sustained breakout above the consolidation channel could pave the way for further upside, with a potential short-term target of ₹667.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 16.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 1H Buy Projection (16.09.25). Here’s a breakdown of the key points from your analysis:
🔹 Chart Analysis
Support & Resistance
Support S1: Around 3678 zone.
Minor Resistance Breaked: Price broke above the 3680 resistance area.
Resistance R1 (ATH): Around 3692 – 3696 area.
Entry & Stoploss
Current price: 3683.63
Stoploss: Below 3676 level.
Risk Zone (Red Area): Price should not break below this zone for the buy setup to remain valid.
Target Levels
Target Price 1: ~3688
Target Price 2: ~3692–3696
Indicators
Stochastic Oscillator (top indicator):
Showing a bullish crossover (green line crossing above red), suggesting upward momentum.
RSI (bottom indicator):
Turning upward from 64.47, showing renewed buying pressure.
🔹 Projection
The setup is bullish with expected upward movement from 3683 → 3692 → 3696+.
The chart suggests a possible pullback and continuation before reaching higher targets.
As long as 3680 support holds, momentum favors the upside.
Maruti Suzuki . Multi time frame analysisThe price is forming a very narrow range consolidation between 15300 and 15360 in the one-hour time frame. The price can give a breakout from here or test the trend line before moving up.
In the daily time frame, we can see double top resistance around the 15370 and 15388 zones.
Using this analysis, when we look at the 15-minute chart, safe entry will be when the price sustains above the double top or during a pullback when the price takes support around 15200.
Scenario 1: Buy above 15390 with the stop loss of 15330 for the targets 15440, 15490, 15540, 15590, and 15660.
Scenario 2: Buy above 15200 with the stop loss of 15140 for the targets 15260, 15320, 15380, 15440, and so on.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.