Banks Ready for Next Rally — Nifty Needs to Confirm Itself NSE:NIFTY bounced exactly from our support at 25335, which I mentioned in the last commentary.
At first glance, it looks like a solid recovery, but internally, the momentum still feels weak as the index failed to close above the previous day’s close.
So we need a follow-up move tomorrow to confirm whether this bounce can actually sustain.
For now, I’ll stay sideways until the market confirms its direction.
I’ll be watching the 25550 resistance closely. Only if the market gives a strong close above this level will I consider going long on the index, because above 25550 we could see sharp short covering straight toward 25800.
Support remains at 25335. A drop below this could go very wrong — a fall toward 24700–24600 would then be possible.
NSE:BANKNIFTY , on the other hand, looks much better. Both its intraday and daily structures are bullish, clearly showing that banks may lead the next rally.
It has strong support at 57350 and resistance at 58250. If this support holds through the week, we might see 60300 levels very soon.
Many sector-specific stocks are showing good momentum setups that could perform well next week. Still, treat those bounces as profit-booking opportunities, not long-term holds. We’ll get better setups ahead.
You can trade confidently, but make sure to lock in your profits.
Sector-wise, NSE:CNXFINANCE , NSE:CNXMETAL , and NSE:CNXAUTO Parts stocks look strong for swing trades.
That’s all for the day. Take care and have a profitable week ahead.
📊Levels at a glance:
Nifty Support: 25335 (break = 24700–24600)
Nifty Resistance: 25550 (break = short covering to 25800)
BankNifty Support: 57350
BankNifty Resistance: 58250 (above = rally to 60300)
Bias: Sideways till confirmation
Sectors to watch: Financials, Metals, Auto Parts
Strategy: Trade swings, book profits on bounces
Trend Analysis
My Journal Trade 2 - ETHUSDT LONGThis was a counter trade in a downtrend, low probability and also weekend, however it looked super clean and I took it. Coming to the trade
1. SMT between PDLs b/w ETH and BTC
2. Price tapped into H4 FVG
3. Smt with BTC in the H4 FVG
4. Target a basic 1 to 2 Risk to Reward
So this was a success. A risky one in a downtrend though, took it because it has all the elements of a good trade setup barring the time.
long base bo and forming small base1. Breakout Confirmation With Huge Volume
The chart highlights a slant line breakout accompanied by exceptionally high volume, signaling strong market participation and increased buying interest on the breakout day.
2. Standard Breakout Line Resistance
A standard breakout line is marked, showing price action tested and subsequently surpassed this resistance, confirming a bullish setup.
3. Strong Up/Down Ratio and Relative Strength
The U/D (Up/Down) ratio is 4.25 and RS Rating is 92, indicating strong outperformance compared to the market and buying pressure relative to selling.
4. Healthy Float and Liquidity Metrics
Shares float stands at 2 Crore and the free float market cap is 317 Cr, supporting decent liquidity for trading, while the daily average turnover is 23 Cr.
5. Consistent Financial Growth
Quarterly summary boxes show substantial profit and sales growth, with YoY and QoQ improvements in PAT, Sales, and OPM%, highlighting healthy fundamentals.
6. Technical Breadth And Momentum
The stock maintains high CCI (87) and WCK (85%), and is above key moving averages, while ADR (8.41%) and ATR (6.34%) signal strong price volatility and ongoing momentum.
Suzlon (W): Cautiously Bullish, Pending BreakoutThis is a classic "wait and watch" scenario. The stock is coiling in a major, year-long consolidation pattern, and the pressure is building. A powerful fundamental catalyst (record-breaking results) is now meeting a critical technical resistance, setting the stage for a significant move.
📈 1. The Long-Term Context
- The Run-Up: After hitting its all-time low in March 2020, the stock has been in a massive, multi-year uptrend, which paused in September 2024.
- The Pattern: The stock has been consolidating in a Symmetrical Triangle for over a year. This pattern indicates a period of indecision and contracting volatility—a "coiling spring" before its next major trend.
- The Foundation: The long-term trend remains bullish, supported by an active Golden Cross (50/200 SMA) on both the Weekly and Monthly charts .
🚀 2. The Current Setup (The Decisive Hurdles)
The stock is currently squeezed between two key resistance levels that must be broken:
1. A Short-Term Horizontal Resistance: A minor "lid" formed around ₹59-₹61 .
2. The Primary Angular Resistance: The main, multi-month downtrend line that forms the top of the Symmetrical Triangle.
The stock must first break the short-term horizontal level to gain the momentum needed to challenge the main triangle.
📊 3. Indicators & Catalysts
Conflicting indicators are observed which is the key. This is a classic feature of a consolidation phase:
- Short-Term (Weak): The RSI is down (currently in neutral/sell territory), and the short-term EMAs are not yet in a PCO state . This shows the immediate price action is choppy and lacks momentum.
- Long-Term (Strong): The active Golden Cross on higher timeframes shows the underlying trend is still firmly bullish.
- The Catalyst: The "good results" are a massive fundamental driver. The company just reported its highest-ever quarterly net profit (a 539% YoY increase) and a record 85% revenue jump . This provides a strong fundamental case for the triangle to break to the upside .
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels to Watch
This is a "wait for confirmation" setup.
🐂 The Bullish Case (Two-Step Breakout)
- Trigger 1 (Short-Term): A decisive, high-volume breakout and close above the horizontal resistance (₹61) .
- Target 1: This would likely trigger a quick move to the first target of ₹65 .
- Trigger 2 (Long-Term): A sustained move that breaks the main angular resistance of the triangle.
- Target 2: This confirms the end of the year-long consolidation and opens the door to long-term target of ₹74 .
🐻 The Bearish Case (Breakdown)
- Trigger: If the stock fails to break out (due to weak short-term momentum) and instead breaks the triangle's support .
- Target: The price would likely fall to retest the recent support level, which is the identified zone of ₹51 - ₹53 .
CRYPTO WEEKLY OUTLOOK 10/11/25 - 17/11/25Wassup Lads! So crypto is clearly in a downtrend as of now targeting pending daily sell side liquidity but it's also in a monthly key level that is a fair value gap, so what I am expecting price to do now is take out the pending lows on the daily timeframe on BTCUSDT and inverse the daily fair value gap, this would also cause an SMT Divergence with ETHUSDT signalling a shift in orderflow. So right now it's headed lower.
This is my plan,
1. Sell to the lows
2. Wait for an inversion of the daily bearish fair value gap on BTCUSDT, to confirm a reversal for buys.
Remember to -
1. Manage Risk
2. Do your own research
3. Stay Disciplined
Interarch Stock Breakout Above 4-Month BaseThis TradingView chart highlights Interarch’s significant breakout above a 4-month consolidation base, with the price rallying to ₹2,520.70 (+14.87%). Key moving averages are displayed, and the breakout is supported by positive earnings momentum. The annotation indicates an earnings event driving the move. The chart includes box statistics for financials such as market cap, P/E ratio, and quarterly performance, helping visualize recent company fundamentals and price action context.
GPPL - Bottoming and Trend ReversalThe Setup: Breakout from the Base
GPPL has spent the last year consolidating after a sharp correction from its 2024 high. The chart shows a strong attempt to transition from a corrective phase into a new uptrend (often called a Stage 1 to Stage 2 transition).
The Consolidation: The stock established a wide, multi-month base (roughly between ₹125 and ₹160). This base successfully absorbed selling pressure and built a foundation for the next move.
The Breakout: The recent move has successfully powered the price above the ₹160 overhead supply zone, confirming the breakout from this major base.
The Follow-Through: The price is now trading within a bullish channel (indicated by the blue parallel lines) and is holding its momentum well above the former resistance.
Key Technical Confirmation
Moving Averages: The price is now trading above all key moving averages. Crucially, the short-term MAs (blue and red) have crossed above the longer-term MAs (green and orange), confirming the shift to an uptrend (bullish crossover).
Relative Strength: The Relative Strength line (bottom panel) has turned positive and is visibly trending upward (the green line). This is a vital sign that the stock is outperforming the Nifty and is becoming a market leader.
Volume: The breakout from the base was accompanied by a clear surge in volume, validating the institutional interest behind the move.
The Trade Plan
The trade is a continuation play, betting on the momentum established by the recent breakout.
Entry Signal: Enter around the current weekly close.
Stop Loss (Risk Management): Place a clear, objective stop loss below the key breakout zone, for example, around ₹159 - ₹169. This preserves a strong risk/reward profile.
Target Expectation: The initial target is the Weak High near ₹240. If the stock can clear this historical pivot, the potential is for a strong, sustained run into new All-Time Highs.
Potential Risks & Cautionary Notes
Failed Breakout: The primary risk is if the stock fails to sustain momentum and closes back below the major support at ₹160. This would signal a false breakout and invalidate the current bullish thesis.
Channel Breakdown: A break below the lower trendline of the current channel structure would be an early warning sign of loss of momentum.
Sector Volatility: Port and logistics stocks can be sensitive to trade and global economic figures. Be aware of any macro changes that could affect the sector.
#Disclaimer: This is for educational and observation purposes only and is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
SCI- High-Volume Breakout ContinuationThe Setup: Breakout and Launch Pad
SCI has confirmed a major, high-volume breakout from a multi-year consolidation base. The stock powered through the previous overhead supply zone (the box around ₹240 - ₹250) and is currently consolidating tightly just above this newly established support.
The Breakout: The move above the resistance zone was backed by huge institutional volume, validating the transition into a strong Stage 2 uptrend.
The Launch Pad: The price is currently forming a small, high-tight consolidation (a Flag/Handle) between approximately ₹240 and ₹275. This is a final clearing of supply and provides an ideal, low-risk setup for the next major leg of the trend.
Trend Confirmation: The price is trading above all upward-trending key moving averages, establishing clear dynamic support beneath the price action.
Key Technical Confirmation
Strong Relative Strength: The Relative Strength is decisively positive, confirming $SCIL is a market leader and is strongly outperforming its benchmark.
Volume Spike: The volume on the recent breakout candles is excellent, showing large-scale participation that validates the move.
Structural Integrity: The base is large, deep, and well-formed, suggesting a powerful and potentially long-lasting uptrend.
Trade Plan & Risk/Reward Advice
The advice is to wait for the stock to finish this tight consolidation to achieve the best risk/reward ratio. Buying the breakout from this current tight base minimizes the risk of getting caught in volatility within the range.
Entry Signal: Wait for a decisive weekly close above the current consolidation high (above ₹275). The move must be accompanied by a noticeable increase in volume to confirm the strength.
Stop Loss (Risk Management): Place a clear, objective stop loss below the low of the current tight consolidation box and the top of the initial breakout zone, for example, around ₹245 - ₹255.
Target Expectation: Given the size of the multi-year base, the expectation is for a sustained move into new All-Time Highs. The "Weak High" near ₹375 is the first major psychological hurdle.
Potential Risks & Cautionary Notes
Whipsaw Risk: Do not jump in on an intraday spike. Wait for a confirmed weekly close above ₹275 to avoid a short-term reversal.
Failure to Hold: If the stock reverses and closes decisively below the major support at ₹220, the breakout is invalidated, and the position should be exited immediately.
#Disclaimer: This is for educational and observation purposes only and is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
APL APOLLOW TUBE TARGET 1950 STOPLOSS 1750Apl Apollo tubes strong monthly consolidation from 2023 and high possibility to breakout of 1800 resistance and consecutive monthly closing from the previous month and weekly also. If the weekly close above 1800 then it will go up upto 2400. short term target is 1950
Part 1 Identifying Support and ResistanceWhy Trade Options?
Options serve multiple purposes in modern finance:
Hedging:
Investors use options to protect their portfolios from adverse price movements. For example, a stockholder may buy a put option to guard against a potential price fall.
Speculation:
Traders can speculate on short-term market movements with limited risk and potentially high returns. Buying calls or puts allows traders to profit from expected price directions without owning the underlying asset.
Income Generation:
Selling options (writing covered calls or cash-secured puts) generates regular income through premiums. Many institutional investors use this strategy to enhance portfolio returns.
Weekly analysis BTC with 4R trade ideaLast weeks’ trade has performed well and already moved ~15K points and still going on. Further to this week analysis, we expect good reversal trade from the zone of 89700 to 90385. Still we have ~11k points movement pending to reach to this level. Price would be showing weakness in sell side and reversal pattern. We should patiently wait for entry model and confirmation as price is in sell side.
1. 1D FVG and wick is creating strong cluster of their relevant CE levels.
2. We would see exaction in sell side movement and reversal pattern.
3. RSI will also show oversold or bearish divergence on HTF.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1H/15m) at FVG zone.
6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~4R trade scenario.
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Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
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PCR-basedTradingOption Pricing
Option prices are influenced by several factors, known collectively as the “Greeks.” These variables determine how an option’s value changes with respect to different market conditions.
Delta (Δ): Measures how much an option’s price changes for a ₹1 change in the underlying asset.
Gamma (Γ): Measures the rate of change of Delta.
Theta (Θ): Represents time decay — how much an option loses value as it nears expiry.
Vega (ν): Sensitivity to changes in volatility.
Rho (ρ): Sensitivity to changes in interest rates.
The Black-Scholes model is commonly used to estimate theoretical option prices by combining these factors.
Privi Speciality Chemicals Ltd - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#PRIVISCL trading above Resistance of 3196
Next Resistance is at 4757
Support is at 2166
Here is previous chart:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NMDC 1 Week Time Frame 📝 Key levels to watch
Support: ~₹74 region (short term) → if broken → ~₹69.
Resistance: ~₹78-₹79.
Price of interest: Current trading around ~₹74-₹76 (depending on the source)
✅ What the technicals are saying
a) According to one source, NMDC has a “Strong Buy” rating on daily indicators: RSI ~55, MACD positive, 5-day MA above price, 50-day MA above price — all suggesting bullish bias.
b) Another set of technicals (via Moving Averages & Oscillators) shows a Bearish bias: MACD negative, RSI ~38, SMA(20/50/200) all above current price indicating downward pressure.
c) Support / resistance levels from Charts: Short-term support around ₹74.19, intermediate support near ₹69.44, major support around ₹61.87. Resistance around ₹78.80 to ~₹79.58.
#BankNifty Weekly UpdateThe index is holding strong above the breakout zone 💪 confirming support around 57444 - 57628 .
With sustained strength, #BankNifty looks set for the next breakout towards 58,900 → 62,400 🎯
As long as the ✅ green zone support holds, the 🐂 bullish structure remains intact.
#BankNifty | #BullishTrend | #AllTimeHigh | #TechnicalAnalysis | #PriceAction
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
SUZLON 1 Month Time Frame ✅ Current Price & Context
The stock is trading around ₹ 57.38 on the NSE.
Technical indicators give a mixed but mildly positive bias: Many moving averages show “Buy” signals aside from some longer-term averages.
On a charting site, for short term the support is about ₹ 52.67 and resistance about ₹ 60.40.
🔍 One-Month Timeframe Levels
Here are suggested levels to watch for the next ~4-5 weeks:
Support level: around ₹ 52-53
Resistance level: around ₹ 60-61 (or slightly above)
Intermediate pivot / near‐term area: around ₹ 56-58






















