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Trend Analysis

BHEL – Weekly Trendline Still in ControlBHEL continues to trade in a strong uptrend on the weekly timeframe, with price respecting the rising trendline and closing near the recent highs around ₹299.50. The series of higher highs and higher lows remains intact, and the latest bullish weekly candle reinforces the strength of buyers along this trendline support As long as the stock holds above this rising trendline and the recent swing low on weekly closing basis, the bias stays positive and dips toward the trendline can be treated as buy‑on‑decline opportunities for positional traders. A clean weekly close below the trendline, however, would be an early signal of waning momentum and a cue to re‑evaluate long positions and tighten risk. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, trading, or financial advice. This is not a buy/sell/hold recommendation. Please do your own research and consult a SEBI‑registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:BHELLong
by raigvivek
RBL BANK - Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout (Weekly T/F)Trade Setup 📌 Stock: ASAHI INDIA GLASS ( NSE:RBLBANK ) 📌 Trend: Strong Bullish Momentum 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable) 🎯 Entry Zone: ₹261.00 (Breakout Confirmation) 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹225.00 (Weekly Closing Basis) (-5 % Risk) 🎯 Target Levels: ₹275.40 ₹289.85 ₹304.25 ₹318.65 ₹333.10 ₹347.50 ₹ 361.00 (Final Target) Technical Rationale ✅ Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout - Classic bullish pattern confirming uptrend continuation ✅ Strong Momentum - Daily RSI > 60, Weekly RSI >60 Monthly rsi >60 ✅ Volume Confirmation - Breakout volume 130.71M vs previous day's volume 24.71 ✅ Multi-Timeframe Alignment - Daily and weekly charts showing strength Key Observations • The breakout comes with significantly higher volume, validating strength • Well-defined pattern with clear price & volume breakout • Conservative stop loss at recent swing low Trade Management Strategy • Consider partial profit booking at each target level • Move stop loss to breakeven after Target 1 is achieved • Trail stop loss to protect profits as price progresses Disclaimer ⚠️ This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in equities involves substantial risk of capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your risk appetite, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading outcomes based on this information. What do you think? Are you watching NSE:RBLBANK for this breakout opportunity? Share your views in the comments!
NSE:RBLBANKLong
by raigvivek
2
NTPC – Buy on Dips Near 342 Amid Venezuela RiskOver the weekend, the US launched strikes on Venezuela and captured President Nicolás Maduro, significantly raising geopolitical risk going into Monday’s session. Global markets may open with a risk‑off tone, and some amount of fear or gap‑down reaction cannot be ruled out on the indices. For NTPC, the ₹341–342 area remains an important support zone on the chart. Rather than chasing any opening volatility, the idea is to accumulate on dips toward this band in a staggered manner, as long as price holds above it on a closing basis. Existing investors can consider continuing to hold, using this support as a reference level for risk management instead of reacting to intraday noise. Any sustained break below this zone would invalidate the bullish setup and call for a fresh review of positions. Traders should adjust their position size to account for the higher‑than‑usual headline risk after the Venezuela development. Disclaimer: This post is for educational and informational purposes only and is not investment, trading or financial advice. This is not a buy/sell/hold recommendation. Please do your own research and consult a SEBI‑registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:NTPCLong
by raigvivek
1
Weekly Analysis with buy/Sell scenarios in Gold/XAUUSDAt weekly time frame Gold has shown sharp and strong reversal candle and closing below the low of previous week. This is signifying change in delivery to downside. Monday has created a strong downside side fall and remaining days went in consolidation mode. Consolidation has effect of year end as well. Price has created SIBI at daily time frame. So we can expect a pullback till SIBI and downfall till DOL (Draw on Liquidity). If price breaks new high, we can expect up move towards the levels of 4720 and 4900. We should keep eye on both the scenario. Critical notes. 1. Price may show some consolidation or direct pull back till daily SIBI. 2. If price retraced till SIBI and develop LTF entry model. This may be a good sell scenario. 3. If price breaks and sustains above SIBI and/or all-time high. We may witness further up move till the levels mentioned above. 4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1h/15m) at FVG zone. 6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signaling a high probability and ~8/10R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HareeyMarketMantraah
PIIND: Price Testing a Long-Term Structural Support TrendlineThis chart highlights a well-respected long-term rising support trendline, validated multiple times over several market cycles. Each marked touch shows how price has historically reacted from this structure, confirming its relevance and strength. Currently, price has once again returned to this major structural support after a corrective phase. The decline into support has been orderly, without panic or excessive volatility, suggesting controlled participation rather than distribution. From a pure price-action perspective: Structure remains intact Support is clearly defined Risk is naturally limited near the trendline No indicators are required here. The chart itself tells the story — institutional memory exists at this level, and price behavior around this zone will be more important than any indicator reading. This is a simple, clean, and high-quality structure, best observed with patience and discipline.
NSE:PIINDLong
by siripireddyvenu
SOL set for comeback?BINANCE:SOLUSDT After falling more than 50% from its ATH. SOL seems to found its footing and seems to be set for an up-move based on the following analysis. 1) There's significant volume in 120 to 140 range as seen in the chart below. 2) Volume and footprint shows big orders on 19th Dec which was confirmed again on 26th Dec - as seen from the charts below. The volume delta also confirms this. 19th Dec 26th Dec 3) The 4H trend chart shows a drowntrend break as seen from the chart below
Long
by akchin68
INDHOTEL: Inverse Head & Shoulders within a Contracting TriangleINDHOTEL has been correcting for a prolonged period and is now showing a clear shift in structure. Price has formed an Inverse Head & Shoulders near the lower end of the range, highlighting gradual absorption of selling pressure. At the same time, the broader structure is compressing between a falling trendline (resistance) and rising lows (support), creating a contracting triangle. This phase reflects price digestion after a decline, where volatility narrows and balance builds between buyers and sellers. The recent higher low and steady acceptance above support indicate improving participation from the buy side. Overall, this is a structural recovery attempt inside a compression zone, best observed through price behavior rather than indicators.
NSE:INDHOTELLong
by siripireddyvenu
IDBI (W): Aggressive BullishTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic The stock has confirmed a breakout from a 2-year consolidation phase (₹67–₹107). This move is supported by the highest weekly volume in months . 📈 1. The Chart Structure (The Box Breakout) > The Consolidation: ₹67 – ₹107 range. The stock spent nearly 24 months in this zone, absorbing all supply. > The Breakout: This week's close of ₹114.85 (+13%) is a decisive "Jailbreak." - Significance: Breaking a 2-year base often leads to a trend that lasts for several quarters, not just weeks. 📊 2. Volume & Indicators > Volume Ignition: The 174.74 Million volume is an "Institutional Stamp." It confirms that "Smart Money" is entering to ride the privatization/growth story. > RSI: Rising in all timeframes. The Monthly RSI crossing 60 is a "Super Bullish" signal, indicating the start of a long-term momentum phase. 🎯 3. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The stock is now facing its final "Boss Level" resistance. > 🐂 Bullish Target (The Blue Sky): - The Hurdle: ₹115 – ₹120 . This is a historical pivot. The stock closed right at the edge of this zone. - The Trigger: A weekly close above ₹120 . - Target 1: ₹135 . - Target 2: ₹147 . > 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"): - Immediate Support: ₹107. The breakout level must now act as a rigid floor (Polarity Principle). - Stop Loss: A weekly close below ₹100 would imply the breakout was a "Bull Trap." Conclusion This is a Grade A Turnaround Setup . > Refinement: The stock has cleared the Consolidation (107) but is testing the Historical Resistance (115-120) . > Strategy: The volume suggests the resistance at 120 will likely break. Buy on dips to ₹108-110 or wait for a clear close above ₹120 to go full throttle.
NSE:IDBILong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Torrent Power Ltd Bullish viewTorrent Power has created a 5%+ move followed by change in trend. The stock has closed above EMA21/50 marking it as a bullish sign. With such change in trend there can be 2 scenarios which can exist. Scenarios1: The stock retraces to the demand zome formed at 1318 levels. In such a retracement going long would be a opportunity. Scenario 2: A small daily inside candle if formed on the daily ( inside candle meaning a smaller range candle which has a high low with the range of previous candle), can be an opportunity for break out.
NSE:TORNTPOWERLong
by thesailortraderl
Weekly Analysis NiftyWeekly Analysis - Weekly & daily closed all time high. Delivery changed to bullish on higher time frame. Next delivery level on HTF is 26500. We may witness consolidation in some session and pullback till BISI then further up move if global supports.. Please do follow me if you liked the idea💡... Disclaimer ⚠️: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions ⚠️⚠️.
NSE:NIFTY
by HareeyMarketMantraah
HINDUNILVR: Price compressing inside a falling channelHINDUNILVR has been trading inside a well-defined falling channel, respecting both the upper resistance line and the lower support line multiple times. Each decline within the channel has been met with buying interest near the lower boundary, indicating demand absorption at lower levels. Recently, price formed a rounded base near the channel support, followed by a steady recovery with higher lows. This shows that selling pressure is gradually reducing, while buyers are becoming more active. The current move highlights: Strong respect of channel structure Loss of downside momentum near support Early signs of trend stabilization after a prolonged correction As long as price holds above the recent base and continues to respect the channel structure, the focus remains on how price behaves near the upper channel boundary, which will decide the next phase. This is a good example of how price transitions from correction to consolidation, before any meaningful directional expansion.
NSE:HINDUNILVRLong
by siripireddyvenu
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – Week 2 of January 1. Momentum Analysis Weekly (W1) Weekly momentum is clearly turning bearish, therefore the medium-term primary trend remains bearish. Daily (D1) Daily momentum is preparing to reverse to the upside, which suggests that a corrective bullish move lasting at least several days is likely during this week. H4 H4 momentum is currently bearish; however, this signal was confirmed by the Friday close. Due to weekend market closure and geopolitical risks (US – Venezuela tensions), we will wait for Monday’s market open to observe price behavior before taking action. 2. Elliott Wave Structure Weekly Structure (W1) The strong bearish weekly close, combined with confirmed bearish reversal of W1 momentum, provides additional confirmation that purple wave Y of yellow wave 4 is forming. 👉 Target zones for purple wave Y: - First target: 4072 - Second target: 3761 Daily Structure (D1) The sharp decline from the 4549 area may have completed wave 1 or wave A of the purple wave Y structure. Since D1 momentum is preparing to turn bullish, the market is likely to experience a corrective rebound forming wave 2 or wave B over the next few days. ⚠️ Important invalidation: If D1 momentum reaches the overbought zone and reverses, while price breaks above 4549, then this Elliott Wave count will no longer be valid and must be reassessed. H4 Structure On H4, I am expecting a corrective bullish ABC structure (red) to develop. - Price is currently trading inside a high-liquidity zone at 4317 – 4348, which is considered a strong support area. This is where red wave B is expected to complete. - After that, red wave C is projected to rise toward the upper liquidity zone, specifically around 4471, to complete the ABC correction before the primary bearish trend resumes. Key resistance zones: - 4445 + 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the prior decline + Confluence where red wave C equals red wave A → This will be the first Sell-scouting zone. - 4471 + Boundary between high and low liquidity zones → This is the secondary Sell-scouting zone in our trading plan. 3. Trading Plan Sell Scenario 1 Sell Zone: 4444 – 4446 Stop Loss: 4455 TP1: 4405 TP2: 4348 TP3: 4072 Sell Scenario 2 Sell Zone: 4470 – 4472 Stop Loss: 4490 TP1: 4405 TP2: 4348 TP3: 4072
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Nifty strategy for next week Nifty has had moved between 25900 to 26300 from couple of weeks with decent volumes but it posted higher highs on weekly and daily charts it suggests breakout may occured in the nifty in upcoming week but it should be closed above 26390 levels on daily charts. If nifty closed above 26400 levels the nifty may reached upto 26900 levels in coming days. Nifty may move in positive direction based on budget expectations in the coming days. Nifty strategy to coming week Short nifty@26350 Buy one 26350ce Disclaimer :I am not a Sebi research analyst please take an advise from your financial advisor before investing based on my strategies which are provided by me on this platform Thanking you for supporting me
NSE:NIFTY
by viswanath_ktc
WAITING FOR LONG TRADE ON TCS.TCS is showing signs of strength after consolidating near key support levels, with positive volume buildup and a potential breakout above recent highs. The stock looks poised for an upside move in the near term, supported by improving IT sector sentiment and strong fundamentals. Trade Idea (Long):Entry: Around 3155 (or slightly below current levels for better risk-reward if it dips) Stop Loss: 3078 (below recent swing low to protect against downside) Target: 3356 (next major resistance, offering ~6-7% upside from entry) Risk-Reward: ~1:2.6 (Risk ~77 points, Reward ~201 points) Note: This is my personal view based on technical analysis. Trading involves risk – always use proper risk management, position sizing, and do your own research. Not financial advice.Feel free to tweak it if needed! Good luck with the post.
NSE:TCS
by amarbajaj13
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Trendline Breakout in INFOBEAN BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:INFOBEAN
by Kapil-Mittal
2
SMC Global Securities (W) - Aggressive BullishTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic The stock has confirmed a major structural breakout from a 7-month consolidation phase. The move is supported by the highest weekly volume in months and strong fundamental tailwinds, signaling the start of a new markup phase. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The breakout is fueled by a convergence of events: > Earnings Turnaround: The market is pricing in strong Q3 FY26 numbers. > Aggressive AUM Targets: Management has set a target to nearly double its Mutual Fund AUM to ₹8,000 Cr within a year. This shift towards "recurring revenue" (Wealth Management) commands a higher P/E multiple than traditional broking. 📈 2. The Chart Structure (The Box Breakout) > The Consolidation: A sideways trend. - Context: This consolidation (₹49–₹90) was effectively the market digesting the 1:1 Bonus Issue from late 2025. - Resistance: The ₹90–₹91 level was the "Lid." The stock tested this multiple times in Dec 2025 but failed to close above it until now. > The Breakout: This week's close at ₹92.06 (with a high of ₹94.90) confirms the range shift. - Significance: Breaking a post-bonus consolidation usually leads to a swift 15-20% rally as liquidity improves. 📊 3. Volume & Indicators > Volume Ignition: The 18.26 Million weekly volume is an "Ignition Bar." It confirms that institutions are entering to capture the pre-budget rally. > RSI: Rising in Monthly & Weekly timeframes. The Weekly RSI breaking above 60 is a classic "Range Shift" signal, indicating momentum is now in the driver's seat. 🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The stock is now in "Price Discovery" mode. > 🐂 Bullish Targets (The Extension): - Target 1: ₹105 . - Target 2: ₹130 . > 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"): - Immediate Support: ₹88 – ₹90 . The breakout zone must now act as a floor (Polarity Principle). - Stop Loss: A weekly close below ₹82 would invalidate the bullish view and trap new buyers. Conclusion This is a Grade A Setup . > Refinement: The "Sideways Trend" was actually a "Base Building" phase. > Strategy: The breakout is confirmed. Use any intraday dip to ₹90 to enter/add. The risk-reward ratio targeting ₹130 is highly favorable.
NSE:SMCGLOBALLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
XAUUSD ANALYST H1Short term vision for #Gold (#XAUUSD) 🇺🇸 on the 1-Hour Timeframe Strong Selling Pressure 🔻 It is clear that the pair is close to completing a triangle pattern, which represents a connecting wave labeled as wave X. Only wave (E) remains to be completed, along with a break of a key level to confirm the bearish wave Y, within a larger-degree triangle pattern 🔽. Factors supporting the bearish outlook: A bearish structure composed of a three-wave movement forming wave W. The formation of a continuation triangle pattern in line with the prior trend, representing wave X. 🧐 A break of the key level for this correction supports a bearish move toward 4130.732. 📊 After that, a bullish recovery is expected, at least in an ABC corrective pattern.
FXPRO:XAUUSD
by Santosh_Sisodiya_7477297999