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Trend Analysis

Chumtrades XAUUSD Weekly Key Levels Bias: Still favor BUY with the primary trend, watching for pullbacks to lower levels. Support zones 4307 – 4300 (near-term support, key area to watch) 4260 – 4255 – 4250 (intermediate support) 4178 – 4168 (deep support, strong demand) Resistance zones 4404 – 4413 4445 – 4465 4500 (ATH) Weekly / Intraday scenario Market is likely to trade in a range today. Expected range: Lower bound: 4300 Upper bound: 4513 👉 Overall strategy: Monitor price reaction at support zones, especially 4300 and below.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
CSBBANK : Momentum Breakout with Sector StrengthThis trade is a classic momentum breakout setup. The price had been consolidating in a range since August 2025 and has now broken out with strong volume, indicating fresh participation. The broader finance and banking sector is also showing strength, which adds further confluence to the trade. Additionally, recent sales and EPS growth have been encouraging, supporting the bullish bias from a fundamentals perspective. The only concern is that the price is currently extended from the 20 and 50 EMA, and there wasn’t a very clear basing structure before the breakout. However, considering the overall momentum and sectoral support, this can be managed by allowing some breathing room and using a slightly wider stop loss. Based on this setup, the trade has been initiated with a defined risk of 1%. 📢📢📢 If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly. Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments. Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too. Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
NSE:CSBBANKLong
by Sniper-Traders
one last push🏋🏻 Before we step down, domestic big money sees a window while most global markets are on holiday. Think of it like a child left home alone—they’ll try to clean up the mess by the time you return. Local players are expected to dominate until tomorrow’s first session, with a strong chance of testing a triple top or nudging that level slightly. In the second half, global markets may bring the fire back into the room. Like the kid, attempts to “clean up” won’t fully succeed. Expect major manipulation—money moving between futures and cash, while quietly profiting through options in the background.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by sam-austin
2
NIFTY Analysis for 2nd JAN '26: IntraSwing Spot level🚀Follow GIFTNIFTY Post for NF levels 💥Level Interpretation / description: L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's". Do comment if Helpful . Do Comment for In depth Analysis. ❇️ Follow notification about periodical View 💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
NSE:NIFTY
by DSKF16
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 02-Jan-2026(Timeframe: 15-min | Gap consideration: 100+ points) Key Levels to Track (from chart) Major Resistance Zone (Daily / ATH area): 26,336 – 26,386 Last Intraday Resistance: 26,288 Opening Resistance Zone: 26,160 – 26,182 Opening Support Zone: 26,089 – 26,098 Last Intraday Support: 26,023 Lower Support (Extreme): 25,945 🧠 Context: NIFTY is trading near an important daily resistance for potential new lifetime highs, hence reactions around resistance zones will be crucial. Expect volatility + traps. 🟢 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points) If NIFTY opens above 26,182, it indicates bullish continuation attempt. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Gap-up opens near higher-timeframe resistance often test buyer strength vs profit booking. Only sustained acceptance above resistance confirms continuation. Plan of Action: Avoid trading in first 10–15 minutes to let volatility settle. Sustaining above 26,160–26,182 → bullish bias remains intact. Fresh buying confirmation above 26,288 can push price toward 26,336–26,386. Sharp rejection from 26,336+ zone may trigger intraday pullback. Options traders: Prefer ATM / ITM Call buying or Bull Call Spread after retest & hold. 🟡 2. FLAT OPENING If NIFTY opens between 26,100 – 26,160, market enters a balance / decision zone. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Flat opens usually indicate indecision. Direction is confirmed only after range expansion. Patience is key to avoid whipsaws. Plan of Action: Holding above 26,160 keeps upside open toward 26,288. Failure to cross 26,160–26,182 may result in sideways or pullback. Breakdown below 26,089 increases probability of move toward 26,023. Trade only after clear breakout / rejection with volume. Options traders: Prefer non-directional strategies (Iron Fly / Short Strangle) if range persists. 🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points) If NIFTY opens below 26,089, early sentiment turns cautious. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Gap-downs into support zones often see short covering or dip buying. Selling blindly near support increases reversal risk. Plan of Action: First support to watch: 26,089–26,098. Break & acceptance below 26,089 → downside toward 26,023. Failure to hold 26,023 may drag index to 25,945. Strong bullish candles near supports may offer bounce trades. Options traders: Prefer Put spreads instead of naked puts to control risk. ⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 🛡️ Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade. Avoid over-leveraging near all-time-high resistance zones. Use time-based exits if premium stops moving for 15–20 minutes. Book partial profits at resistance; don’t aim for extremes. Avoid revenge trading on false breakouts. Prefer ATM options or spreads over far OTM buying. 🧾 Summary & Conclusion Above 26,182: Bulls stay active toward 26,288 → 26,336–26,386 Between 26,089–26,160: Market in balance → wait for confirmation Below 26,089: Sellers gain control toward 26,023 → 25,945 Trade price reaction at levels, not emotions or headlines 🎯 Patience + discipline will matter more than aggression on such levels. ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is strictly for educational purposes only. Trading in markets involves risk. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by LiveTradingBox
5
20 JAN 2026 Expiry OutlookNIFTY is heading into the 6 Jan expiry with clear signs of absorption and compression, following a phase of elevated traded volumes without corresponding price damage. This behaviour typically precedes a liquidity-driven test of key reference levels, rather than an immediate directional breakdown. Daily timeframe continues to remain constructive: Both RSI and Stoch RSI are positioned above their respective moving averages, indicating improving momentum. The recent volume expansion (30 Dec → 1 Jan) is significant, and historically, similar volume events have resulted in short-term continuation lasting multiple sessions. Volume Profile POC around 25,900 continues to act as a strong acceptance zone, from where price has responded positively. Bollinger Bands on the Daily TF still leave room for upside, with no signs of exhaustion near the upper band. From a structural perspective, the market appears to be preparing for a retest of the all-time high liquidity zone. Key reference zone 26243–26321 Prior ATH region (23 Sept 2024 ~26280) Gap-up rejection zone from 1 Dec 2025 (~26325) This zone represents unresolved supply and liquidity, which markets often revisit after prolonged acceptance below. Lower timeframe behaviour (context, not contradiction) On the 4H timeframe, RSI and Stoch RSI remain above their MAs but are not expanding, while price has moved sideways despite the highest traded volume since late November. This suggests absorption rather than distribution, placing the 4H RSI-MA in a decision zone. On 1H, 30m and 15m timeframes, momentum has gone through a reset phase, with bearish RSI-MA crossovers and consolidation. Importantly, this has occurred without a structural breakdown, which is typical of pre-expiry compression rather than trend failure. Most realistic expiry path Near-term: - Sideways action or a shallow dip toward 26050–26000, allowing lower timeframes to rebuild momentum. Constructive condition: - Sustained acceptance above 26150 would indicate successful absorption and support formation. Directional attempt: - A move toward 26243–26321 (ATH retest) becomes the logical next objective. Decision point at ATH Acceptance above 26320 (with momentum expansion on 4H) would open the path toward 26500. Rejection from the ATH zone, followed by a loss of 26150 and a bearish 4H RSI-MA crossover, would shift focus back to the 25900 Volume Profile POC. Conclusion This setup favours a process-driven approach rather than prediction. Current price action suggests absorption and positioning, not exhaustion. Unless the 4H RSI-MA decisively breaks down, the market structure supports a reset → build → ATH retest sequence into expiry. Watch momentum resolution at key levels — the market will reveal intent.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by abhijit2294
Nifty: Tight Acceptance at Highs, Strength BuildupTight Acceptance at Highs — Strength Without Urgency NSE:NIFTY is trading just below a key overhead supply zone near the previous high. What stands out is not the price level, but the behaviour. This is another day of acceptance, not rejection. A good hint from the market. Price is holding near the highs without sharp selling. Upper wicks are limited. Ranges are tight. Volume is steady, not climactic. This tells us the market is comfortable here. No rush to distribute. No urgency to chase. That matters. For tomorrow, the market’s task remains straightforward — resolve this compression. Two scenarios have higher probability. Scenario 1: The index dips mildly toward the 26000–26030 zone and buyers step in again. If price stabilizes and holds this base, it confirms strength and keeps the continuation structure intact. Scenario 2: The market opens flat to mildly positive and spends time below the overhead resistance near 26250–26270. Time-based consolidation at highs, without aggressive selling, is a bullish signal. It shows supply is present, but not dominant. The risk scenario to watch: If there is a sharp rejection from the 26250–26270 zone and NIFTY starts sustaining below 25950, then this acceptance can fail and the index may rotate back into a broader range. Intraday bias for tomorrow: Bias remains mildly positive as long as the index holds above 26000 with acceptance. A decisive close above the overhead resistance will attract momentum participation, but until that happens, patience continues to have the edge. This is where many traders slip. They mistake time correction for weakness. They anticipate breakouts instead of waiting for confirmation. Experienced traders understand this phase. Markets often pause near highs to test conviction, not to trap buyers. Sector-wise, NSE:NIFTY_IND_DEFENCE and NSE:CNXAUTO stocks continue to show relative strength. As long as the index remains stable, selective setups in this space remain actionable on dips or clean breakouts. Overall market mood is constructive and controlled. This is still a preparation phase, not an aggressive execution phase. Let price confirm. Let behaviour guide decisions. That’s all for today. Stay aligned with structure, not emotions. Have a focused and profitable tomorrow. 📊 Levels at a glance: Support zone: 26000–26030 Immediate resistance: 26250–26270 Risk level: Below 25950 Bias: Mildly positive, buy on acceptance not spikes Sector focus: Defence, Auto
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Trendxinc
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 01.01.26This is XAUUSD – Gold – on the 1-hour timeframe. The market is clearly in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently in a pullback phase within the trend. This pullback is moving into a strong confluence zone — the descending trendline combined with a fair value gap. This area acts as a high-probability sell zone. Sell limit area: 4330 to 4340. Here, we expect a short-term bullish move to trap buyers, followed by a strong rejection and continuation to the downside. Stop loss: 4353 — a clear invalidation of the setup. Target one: 4300 — a short-term support level. Target two: 4278 — a strong demand zone and trend continuation target. This is a pullback sell strategy. Trade with the trend, not against it. No emotions. No overtrading. Only structure, discipline, and patience.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD 4H Chart technical analysis 🔎 Quick View – XAUUSD 4H Price: ~4320 Trend: Bearish channel intact 🧭 Scenario 1 – Pullback then dump (High Probability) Price bounce karega: 4350–4380 Wahi se rejection milega Sell zone: 4350–4380 SL: 4430 Targets: 4270 4200 4170 🧭 Scenario 2 – Direct Breakdown Agar 4H close 4280 ke niche Sell: 4270–4280 SL: 4340 Targets: 4200 → 4170 → 4100 ❗ Important Abhi jo bounce hoga wo trend reversal nahi, sirf liquidity grab hoga. Real buy tabhi sochna jab 4170–4200 se strong bullish rejection mile. Overall bias: SELL ONLY 📉
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Tradersguruji
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [02/12/2025: Friday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 02nd of December 2026. The day is Friday. (1) Monthly Time Frame: It is the first day of the month. The candle has so far no body formation. The candle is inside the previous month's black paper umbrella or hanging man. The market is flat. There's no price action clarity. Major resistance is 26200. Major support is 26000. The view is indecision. (2) Weekly Time Frame: Price is in the same choppy and sideways range. The present week's candle is bullish with a longer lower wick and a smaller upper wick. The previous week's candle is engulfed by this week's candle so far. Major resistance is 26200. Weak support is 26100. Major support is 26000. The view is indecision to bullish. (3) Daily Time Frame: Today's candle is a perfect black spinning top. It means today's intraday session was indecisive and choppy. Bulls are trapped near 26200, and bears are trapped near 26100. Price gave a closing above the previous day's closing price. Bullishness is still intact. Major resistance is 26200. First support is 26100. Final bullish support is 26000. The view is indecision to bullish. (4) 30-Minute Time Frame: The intraday session is choppy and sideways. Considering the price structure of 2 days, the price has formed a pole and flag pattern. If the price gives a breakout above the level 26200, then bullish continuation will be confirmed. The potential supports are - 26100, 26050, and 26000. The view is indecision to bullish. Bullish Scenario Set-Up: (i) Price sustains above the opening price. (ii) Price must show sustainability above level 26150 for a longer duration (more than 1-2 hours) and show a sign of breaking out level 26200. (iii) Price starts to trade above the level 26200. In this case, previous ATH (26277.35) and level 26300 are possible targets. Bearish Scenario Set-Up: (i) Price sustains below the opening price. (ii) If the price breaks down level 26100, then execute a sharp short trade till level 26050. (iii) If price breaks below the level 26050, then execute a sharp short trade til the level 26000. (iv) In case level 26000 is decisively breached, then execute a confident short trade. In this case, the bearish phase will activate. No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26200 - 26100) Event: No expiry on Friday. No high-impact event. However, the day is Friday (the last day of the week). Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights): (i) The monthly TF bias is indecision. (ii) The weekly TF bias is indecision to bullish. (iii) The daily TF bias is indecision to bullish. (iv) The 30-Minute TF bias is indecision to bullish. (v) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price. (vi) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26200 - 26100). Bulls are trapped at 26200, and bears are trapped at 26100. (vii) There is a higher probability of a bullish move. The bullish bias is intact. So, wait for bullish confirmation. (viii) Execute bullish trade when price sustains above level 26150 for a long time (1-2 hours) and shows promise of breaking out above level 26200. Confident bullish trades are possible when the price decisively starts to trade above the level 26200. (ix) In case, price starts to trade below the level 26100, then short trades can be executed with the first target of 26050. Furthermore, if the price starts to trade below the level 26100, then short trades can be executed with the target of 26000. Remember, these trades should be sharp and short-lived as bullishness will be intact till level 26000. (x) Confident bearish trades are only possible when the price decisively breaks below level 26000. (xi) Trade only when either a bullish/ bearish scenario is activated. Otherwise, don't trade. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity. Be Responsible. NOTE: "Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe." Happy Trading!
NSE:NIFTY
by deep_bhattacharjee_db