Eth path should be this for next few daysIn my mind the 1st scenerio could work if sudden fall may be scenerio 2 is work lets see guyz
Trend Analysis
Bank Nifty spot 57876.80 by Daily Chart view - Weekly updateBank Nifty spot 57876.80 by Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Support Zone 56950 to 57350 for Bank Nifty
- Resistance Zone 57800 to 58230 then at ATH 58577.50
- Bank Nifty sustaining between Support and Resistance Zones over 2 weeks
- Bullish Rounding Bottom still in active mode against the weak sentiments in general
Rising Wedge Formation | Bullish Engulfing💹 BSE Ltd (NSE: BSE)
Sector: Financial Services | CMP: ₹2,678.30 | View: Rising Wedge + Bullish Exhaustion Setup
📊 Price Action:
BSE Ltd witnessed a powerful uptrend from ₹2,020 to ₹2,718, supported by heavy institutional participation and strong price momentum.
The stock recently posted a 20-day volume breakout, followed by a bullish engulfing candle, signaling strong buying strength at lower levels.
However, post this rally, the price structure has developed into a Rising Wedge pattern, indicating momentum exhaustion and potential short-term consolidation.
The recent rejection near ₹3,030 swing high suggests supply pressure building at upper resistance zones, aligning with the wedge’s narrowing structure.
💼 HNI Trade Levels (STWP Setup):
Aggressive Entry: ₹2,678–₹2,718 | Stop Loss: ₹2,425
Low-Risk Entry: ₹2,595 | Stop Loss: ₹2,415
The near-term trend remains upward but stretched.
HNI and swing traders should monitor the ₹2,595–₹2,650 zone closely — this area represents both the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the wedge support base.
Sustaining above it will keep the setup active; a breakdown below ₹2,595 could shift the structure into a corrective phase.
📉 Chart Pattern Analysis – Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal Bias):
The current structure represents a Rising Wedge formation, identified by two upward-sloping, converging trendlines.
This pattern often develops after strong rallies, marking the final leg of an existing uptrend before a corrective phase begins.
In BSE’s case, the wedge indicates that buying momentum is weakening as the range tightens, while volumes remain high — a sign of profit booking within strength.
The confirmation trigger for reversal would be a breakdown below ₹2,595. Until then, the structure remains short-term bullish but with an elevated risk of pullback.
A breakdown could potentially extend retracement toward ₹2,525–₹2,450.
📈 STWP Trading Analysis:
Entry: ₹2,678–₹2,718 | Stop Loss: ₹2,425.50
The breakout candle displayed exceptional strength with a 20.3M volume surge against a 5.65M average, confirming institutional footprints and momentum expansion.
The price is currently sustaining above its short- and mid-term EMAs, with trend alignment visible across the daily and weekly timeframes.
Holding above ₹2,644–₹2,595 (critical Fibonacci and structural zone) will maintain the bullish bias, keeping the setup active toward ₹2,783–₹2,888 in the near term.
A sustained close above ₹2,888 could further extend the move toward ₹3,030, whereas a breakdown below ₹2,595 may trigger pattern invalidation and shift bias toward ₹2,525–₹2,450 support zones.
📈 Candlestick Pattern – Bullish Engulfing at Apex:
A Bullish Engulfing Candle formed on 4 Nov 2025, initiating the final upward leg from ₹2,443 to ₹2,718.
While it reflected strong buying enthusiasm, the placement of this candle near the apex of the wedge signals possible buyer exhaustion.
Such engulfing candles late in a trend often act as final thrust candles, marking distribution zones rather than breakout initiation.
This makes it essential for traders to track whether follow-up candles sustain strength or fade under resistance.
📏 Fibonacci Analysis:
From swing low ₹2,021.50 to swing high ₹3,030.0:
61.8% retracement @ ₹2,644 → Key structural support.
50% retracement @ ₹2,525 → Ideal pullback level.
38.2% retracement @ ₹2,406 → Deeper retracement aligned with wedge base.
The stock currently trades near the 61.8% golden zone, making ₹2,595–₹2,644 a crucial area for short-term trend control.
A close below this range may invite a deeper retracement, while sustained strength above ₹2,678 could revive momentum toward ₹2,888–₹3,030.
🧭 STWP Support & Resistance:
Resistances: ₹2,783 | ₹2,888 | ₹3,059
Supports: ₹2,595 | ₹2,525 | ₹2,406
The ₹2,980–₹3,020 range acts as a weak resistance zone, where mild profit booking or supply pressure may emerge if momentum continues upward.
On the downside, the ₹2,020–₹2,070 belt continues to serve as a strong structural support zone, backed by historical accumulation and institutional demand footprints.
📊 STWP Volume & Technical Setup:
Today’s volume stood at 20.3M shares vs 5.65M average, signaling heavy institutional activity and potential position rotation post-breakout.
RSI remains elevated near 69, while Stochastic (90) suggests short-term overbought conditions — hinting at a likely consolidation phase ahead.
MACD continues to stay in the bullish zone but shows flattening momentum, consistent with the wedge’s tightening structure.
Trend Direction: UPTREND (Weakening) | Volume Confirmation: High with Distribution Bias
🧩 STWP Summary View:
Final Outlook:
Momentum: Strong | Trend: Bullish | Risk: High | Volume: High
BSE Ltd remains structurally bullish but technically stretched after a steep rally and volume breakout. The Rising Wedge formation, combined with the Bullish Engulfing near the top, reflects a maturing uptrend with signs of short-term exhaustion. Holding above ₹2,595 keeps the pattern valid, but traders should remain cautious of volatility and potential profit booking as the structure nears completion.
⚠️ Disclosure & Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully
This post is created solely for educational and informational purposes and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a buy/sell recommendation.
I am not a SEBI-registered investment adviser. All views are based on technical analysis and publicly available market data.
Trading involves significant risk. Always apply risk management, follow position sizing discipline, and consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before acting on any trade.
Position Status: No active position in (BSE) at the time of this analysis.
Data Source: TradingView & NSE India
💬 Found this useful?
🔼 Give this post a Boost to help more traders discover structured, professional analysis.
💭 Drop your insights — will BSE’s wedge resolve in continuation or correction?
🔁 Share this with your trading circle to promote disciplined chart-based analysis.
👉 Follow for more institutional-style breakdowns blending price action, structure, and volume logic.
🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.
Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
XAUUSD LOOKING FOR LTF LONGS I'm breakeven out in the last one , I’ll still be actively watching for a lower-timeframe bullish shift during this session.
[long] NIFTY 50 Peak Touch Tone1. Found that proper support zone.
2. Trendline occured very well.
3. Pinbar at trendline.
4. Fibonacci Retracement @ 50%
Results will peak at high marked area.
The calm before the storm… $SCRT is getting ready to flyThe calm before the storm… $SCRT is getting ready to fly
#SCRT is showing a strong technical reversal from its multi-year support, forming a clean accumulation base that signals smart money loading up.
Best Accumulation Zone (IMO): $0.24 – $0.18
Once this range holds, we could see a massive breakout kicking off a new macro bull cycle.
Targets:
$0.64 → $1.40 → $5.13+ 🚀
If momentum builds and the team keeps delivering, $5–$10 is possible in the future. This setup is low-risk, high-reward, but always manage your risk, charts show probability, not guarantees.
Smart accumulation today could turn into huge gains tomorrow.
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always DYOR & manage your risk.
When I called $ZEC at $20, they laughed. Now it’s $662. When I called CRYPTOCAP:ZEC at $20, they laughed. Now it’s $662. Still think I’m crazy?
From our call at $20–$24, CRYPTOCAP:ZEC just went insane: Now at $662 🤯
That’s a massive 3100% GAIN from entry.
I told you legends about that $800 target, and we’re almost there!
Hope you’re counting profits and maybe ordering that new LAMBO already 🏎️
Who believed when I said #Zcash would rise again?
NFA & DYOR
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 07th November 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25650 – 25700 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25875 – 25925 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25350 – 25300 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25150 – 25100 range.
Overall sentiment of the market is sideways to negative and selling is expected if the market reaches near resistance level.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 07th November 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 57900 – 58000 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 58400 – 58500 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 57100 - 57000 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 56600 - 56500 range.
Overall sentiment of the market is sideways to negative and selling is expected if the market reaches near resistance level.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 07th November 2025 NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 27250 - 27300 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 27450 - 27500 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 26850 – 26800 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 26600 – 26550 range.
Overall sentiment of the market is sideways to negative and selling is expected if the market reaches near resistance level.
Banknifty Premium ChartWhat is Option Premium?
It’s the cost of an option contract.
When you buy an option, you pay the premium upfront.
Example: If you buy a Call Option of Reliance ₹2800 at ₹50 premium — you pay ₹50 × lot size.
Who Receives It?
The option seller (writer) receives the premium income immediately when they sell (write) the option.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 07th November 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13500 – 13525 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 13650 – 13675 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 13250 – 13225 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 13100 – 13075 range.
Overall sentiment of the market is sideways to negative and selling is expected if the market reaches near resistance level.
WTI Crude Oil Analysis
WTI is consolidating near $60.00 after recovering from $58.80, forming a short-term ascending structure. However, price is now testing resistance from a descending trendline, with upside capped around $60.20–$60.50. Momentum is mildly bullish but showing mixed signals.
📌 Outlook • Upside: A sustained break above $60.50 could push price toward $61.30. A close above this zone would confirm bullish continuation.
• Downside: Support sits near $59.60. A break below targets $58.98–$58.80. A close under $58.80 signals renewed bearish pressure.
📈 Trend Neutral-to-mildly bullish above support, but capped by descending trendline resistance. Reaction at $60.50–$61.30 is crucial.
🎯 Strategy • Buy dips at $59.60–$58.98, stop below $58.80, targets $60.50 & $61.30.
• Consider short setups if price rejects $60.50–$61.00.
🔑 Key Levels • R2: $61.30
• R1: $60.50
• S1: $59.60
• S2: $58.98
Explain: Candle PatternWhat is a Candlestick Pattern?
A candlestick pattern represents the price movement of an asset (like a stock) during a specific time frame. It shows open, high, low, and close prices in one candle.
Structure of a Candle
Each candle has:
Body: The range between open and close price.
Wick (or shadow): The lines above and below the body showing high and low prices.
Color: Green (bullish – price up) or Red (bearish – price down).
Silver (XAGUSD) AnalysisSilver (XAGUSD) Analysis
Silver is trading near the top of its recent consolidation zone after rebounding from the 47.06–47.80 support area. Price is currently testing resistance at 48.90, aligned with a horizontal barrier and the upper Bollinger Band. While the short-term trend remains bullish, momentum is slowing near this resistance.
📌 Outlook • Upside: A sustained break above 48.90 could drive price toward 49.40. A breakout above 49.40 would confirm bullish continuation toward higher zones. • Downside: Initial support sits at 48.30–48.32 near the rising trendline. A break below could send price toward 47.83, then 47.06. A close under 47.06 turns the short-term bias bearish.
📈 Trend Short-term bullish, supported by higher lows and a rising trendline. Price action around 48.90–49.40 is key — rejection may trigger a corrective pullback.
🎯 Strategy • Buy-the-dip: Long entries near 48.30–47.80 with stops below 47.00, targeting 48.90 and 49.40.
• Aggressive shorts: Watch for rejection patterns near 48.90, targeting 48.30 and 47.80.
🔑 Key Levels • R2: 49.40
• R1: 48.90
• S1: 48.32
• S2: 47.83
Nifty 01 hour : buy on dipsNifty 50 (1-hour chart)
The price is currently taking support near 25,300 and facing resistance around 25,700. The chart shows that buyers are trying to defend the lower zone, which has acted as support before.
After a small bounce, price may again retest near 25,400 before moving higher towards 25,700. This movement will form a short-term range between 25,300 and 25,700.
If price breaks above 25,700 with strong volume, the next upside move can start. But if it breaks below 25,300, more downside pressure may come.
Overall, the market is in a short-term consolidation phase where traders can watch for breakout opportunities from either side.
Suzlon Long1. The stock was in a downtrend phase.
2. A minor pullback or retest is possible, but it’s likely to find support at the trendline.
3. The target is set at 70, with a stop loss placed below the trendline on a closing basis.
4. Given strong fundamentals and assuming market conditions stay stable, the target could be achieved quickly.
Bullish on ASAHIINDIAASAHIINDIA had a brief and sudden correction 2 days ago due to the Quarterly profit not being in line with expectations.
However, today, the stock has recovered from the fall and is trading positively at the high of the day.
This indicates that sentiment is Bullish and this would be a good price to go long on a swing basis.
The higher time frames RSI also indicates bullishness with Monthly RSI & Weekly RSI being above 60 and the Daily RSI being above 50. Again, a good sign of momentum.
This weeks low can be considered as a stop for a Target to 1032 and then trail the stop thereafter. The stock is making new highs.
P.S. Not a recommendation. Please do your own due diligence.
Part 4 Learn Institutional TradingAdvantages of Option Trading
Leverage:
Options allow control over large quantities of an asset with a small investment (premium). This magnifies potential profits.
Limited Risk for Buyers:
When buying options, the maximum loss is limited to the premium paid.
Hedging Capability:
Options can offset potential losses in the underlying portfolio.
Flexibility:
Options can be combined in various strategies to suit market outlooks—bullish, bearish, or neutral.
Multiple Strategies:
Options offer numerous strategies like straddles, strangles, spreads, collars, and iron condors, giving traders the ability to profit in different market conditions.
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading Purpose of Option Trading
Option trading serves three main purposes:
Hedging (Risk Management):
Investors use options to protect their portfolios against adverse price movements. For instance, if you hold a stock, buying a put option acts as insurance—allowing you to sell the stock at a predetermined price even if the market crashes.
Speculation:
Traders use options to bet on future market direction. Options allow traders to gain exposure with limited capital, as the premium is usually a fraction of the asset’s full price.
Income Generation:
Investors can sell (write) options to earn premiums. For example, selling covered calls against owned stocks generates additional income, even if the stock price remains stable.
LTF Breaking Out of Consolidation and ascending triangleNSE:LTF : Breaking Out of Consolidation and ascending triangle with heavy volumes today - Is This the Next Big NBFC Move?
Price Action Analysis:
• Base Formation: Clear sideways movement between ₹160-172 levels
• Breakout Confirmation: Recent breach above ₹172 resistance with volume expansion
• Trendline Break: White descending trendline from December highs decisively broken
• Market Structure: Shift from the consolidation phase to the potential trend resumption
• Time Frame: A six-month base provides a strong foundation for sustained movement
Volume Analysis:
• Current Volume: 5.57M against 20-day average of 15.94M
• Volume Pattern: Accumulation visible during the base formation period
• Support Tests: Volume spikes coinciding with successful ₹160-164 support tests
• Breakout Volume: Adequate but not exceptional - requires monitoring for follow-through
• Distribution Signs: No significant selling pressure visible during consolidation
Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
• Immediate Support: ₹172 (new floor post-breakout)
• Secondary Support: ₹168 (previous resistance turned support)
• Major Support: ₹160-164 (primary consolidation base)
• Critical Support: ₹155 (breakdown level)
Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Resistance: ₹190-195 (measured move target)
• Next Resistance: ₹205-210 (psychological and technical zone)
• Long-term Target: ₹220-225 (extension target)
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
• Aggressive Entry: Current levels ₹183-184 for momentum traders
• Conservative Entry: ₹175-177 on pullback to breakout zone
• DCA Approach: Scale in between ₹175-185 levels
Exit Strategy:
• Target 1: ₹192 (measured move from rectangle pattern)
• Target 2: ₹205-210 (next significant resistance)
• Target 3: ₹220+ (extension target for long-term holders)
Stop Loss:
• Closing Basis: Below ₹170
• Intraday Basis: Below ₹168
• Risk Percentage: 7-8% from current levels
Position Sizing & Risk Management:
Position Sizing:
• Conservative: 1% portfolio risk
• Moderate: 1.5% portfolio risk
• Aggressive: 2% portfolio risk (maximum recommended)
Risk Management:
• Stop Loss Discipline: Strict adherence to ₹170 closing stop
• Position Scaling: Reduce position if breaks ₹175 intraday
• Profit Booking: Book 30% at ₹192, 40% at ₹205
• Trailing Stop: Implement above ₹195 levels
Sectoral Backdrop:
NBFC Sector Positives:
• Credit Growth: NBFC credit growth outpacing bank credit
• Market Share: Gaining share in retail and SME segments
• Asset Quality: Improving collection efficiency post-COVID
• Regulatory Support: Favourable policy environment
Sector Trends:
• Digital Lending: Increased adoption of technology platforms
• Rural Focus: Growing emphasis on semi-urban and rural markets
• Partnership Models: Collaborations with fintech companies
Fundamental Backdrop:
Company Strengths:
• Group Support: Strong L&T Group parentage and backing
• Diversified Portfolio: Exposure across infrastructure and retail segments
• Quality Borrowers: Access to L&T Group ecosystem clients
• Management Quality: Experienced leadership team
Recent Developments:
• Asset Quality: Improving NPA ratios
• Profitability: Better margins and ROE metrics
• Growth Strategy: Focus on profitable growth segments
Risk Factors:
Technical Risks:
• False Breakout: Possibility of returning to the consolidation range
• Volume Confirmation: Need for sustained volume support
• Market Correlation: High beta to financial sector performance
Fundamental Risks:
• Interest Rate Risk: Rising rates impacting lending margins
• Credit Quality: Potential stress in the retail lending portfolio
• Economic Slowdown: Impact on borrower repayment capacity
• Regulatory Changes: Policy shifts affecting NBFC operations
Market Risks:
• Sector Rotation: Money moving away from financial stocks
• Liquidity Concerns: Tightening of wholesale funding markets
• Competition: Increased competition from banks and fintech
My Take:
The technical setup suggests accumulation phase completion with potential for a significant move higher. Follow the Strict Trade Plan as Explained Above.
Keep in the Watchlist.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FOLLOW for more
👍BOOST if you found it useful.
✍️COMMENT below with your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Nifty view for November 2025.In this video, we analyze the technical and market indicators pointing to a strong rally in the Nifty index over the coming weeks. With bullish momentum building, investors can expect fresh upside levels and potential breakout zones. Stay tuned for key support and resistance levels, expert insights, and strategic outlooks to navigate this exciting phase in the market.
The market is witnessing a surge in buyer confidence, marked by smart accumulation and well-timed entries. Rather than chasing momentum blindly, participants are deploying intellectual strategies—identifying key support zones, rotating sectors, and capitalizing on dips. This disciplined approach reflects a mature bullish sentiment, suggesting that the rally is being built on solid footing rather than speculation. With volume backing the moves and broader participation increasing, the bulls appear to be in control, setting the stage for potential upside breakouts in the coming sessions.
The views and opinions expressed in this video are for educational and informational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and this content does not constitute financial advice or recommendations. Viewers are strongly encouraged to consult with a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market investments are subject to risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
Part 2 Ride The Big Moves How Option Prices Are Determined
Option prices are influenced by several factors. The most common model used to calculate the theoretical value of an option is the Black-Scholes Model. The key factors that affect option prices include:
Underlying Asset Price: The higher the price of the asset, the higher the value of a call option and the lower the value of a put option.
Strike Price: The difference between the strike and current market price affects the intrinsic value of the option.
Time to Expiration: The more time left until expiration, the higher the premium (because there’s more time for the option to become profitable).
Volatility: Higher volatility increases option premiums since the chance of large price movement rises.
Interest Rates and Dividends: These can slightly influence option values, especially for longer-term options.
