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YATRA: Spectacular Recovery, Chart of the Week Post Q1 FY26From IPO Disaster to Cup & Handle Breakout: NSE:YATRA Spectacular Recovery Rally May Just Be Getting Started post Strong Q1 FY26 Numbers As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: Chart Pattern Identification: - Primary Pattern: Cup & Handle Formation (Bullish Reversal Pattern) - Cup formation period: March 2024 to May 2025 - Handle formation: May 2025 to July 2025 - Breakout confirmation: August 2025 with strong volume spike Key Price Levels: - IPO Base Level: ₹125-130 (Initial listing range) - All-Time High: ₹194.00 (Early 2024 peak) - Major Support Levels: - ₹118 (Cup base/IPO resistance turned support) - ₹106 (Handle low) - ₹90-95 (Previous resistance cluster) - Major Resistance Levels: - ₹160 (Next logical resistance) - ₹180-185 (Pre-ATH resistance zone) - ₹194 (All-time high) Trend Analysis: - Long-term Trend: Bullish reversal after prolonged downtrend - Medium-term Trend: Strong bullish momentum post-breakout - Short-term Trend: Consolidating after breakout with bullish bias Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Characteristics: - Breakout Volume: Exceptional surge to 134.47M (significantly above average) - Volume Confirmation: Strong institutional participation is evident - Historical Volume Pattern: Low volume during handle formation followed by breakout explosion Volume Spread: - Volume surge indicates genuine breakout with institutional backing - Previous accumulation phase visible during cup formation - Current volume levels suggest sustained interest Key Support & Resistance: Dynamic Support Levels: - Immediate Support: ₹125-130 (Breakout level/IPO base) - Secondary Support: ₹118 (Cup rim level) - Critical Support: ₹106 (Handle low - stop loss reference) Resistance Levels: - First: ₹160 (38.2% retracement from ATH) - Second: ₹180-185 (Pre-ATH consolidation zone) - Ultimate: ₹220-240 (Cup & Handle measured move) Technical Indicators & Patterns: Classical Patterns: - Cup & Handle: Completed with successful breakout - Rounding Bottom: Visible in the cup formation - Ascending Triangle: Formed during handle consolidation Key Technical Observations: - Price action shows strong momentum post-breakout - Previous IPO resistance at ₹125-130 now acting as support - Breakout occurred with a gap-up opening, indicating strong sentiment Sectoral Backdrop: Online Travel Industry Overview: - India Online Travel Market expected to reach USD 23.10 billion in 2025 and grow at a CAGR of 7.76% to reach USD 33.90 billion by 2030 - Online travel booking service market in India expected to reach projected revenue of US$57,924.4 million by 2030 with a CAGR of 10.6% - India's travel industry is valued at $178 billion, fueling economic growth with travel stocks offering lucrative investment opportunities Market Position: - Yatra Online Ltd. was identified as one of the major companies operating alongside MakeMyTrip, EaseMyTrip, and Cleartrip - Strong competitive position in a growing market - Recovery phase post-pandemic showing robust growth trajectory Fundamental Backdrop: Financial Metrics: - Market Cap: 2,223 Crore, Revenue: 900 Cr, Profit: 49 Cr (TTM) - Promoter Holding: 64.46% (Strong management commitment) - Trading at 2.84 times book value at 45.8 times P/E Operational Assessment: - The company has a low return on equity of 2.90% over the last 3 years - Profitability achieved, indicating operational efficiency improvement - Revenue growth trajectory supported by sector tailwinds Growth Lever: - Beneficiary of India's domestic tourism boom - Digital transformation in travel booking - Post-pandemic recovery in the travel sector - The government's focus on tourism development Market Outlook & Catalysts: Positive Catalysts: - Travel & Tourism market in India projected to grow by 8.07% (2025-2029) - Increasing domestic travel penetration - Corporate travel recovery - Digital adoption acceleration Key Risk Factors: - Intense competition from larger players - Seasonal business variations - Economic slowdown impact on discretionary spending - Regulatory changes in the travel sector Key Monitoring Points: - Sustained holding above the ₹125 breakout level - Volume sustainability in the coming sessions - Broader market conditions and sector rotation - Company's Next Few quarterly results and guidance updates. Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes, it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:YATRA
by Karanshah137
6
Crizac Ltd: Breaking Out with Strong FundamentalsCrizac Ltd operates as an asset-light overseas education platform, connecting thousands of student recruitment agents with global universities, primarily in the UK, Ireland, Canada, and other markets. Key Financial Highlights (FY25) Revenue: ₹849 Cr (+60% YoY) PAT: ₹153 Cr (+30% YoY) Operating Margin: ~25% ROE: ~36% | ROCE: ~48% Debt-to-Equity: 0.00x (virtually debt-free) Cash Flow: Strong operating cash flows with modest capex needs Strengths: High growth and returns with minimal capital employed Strong promoter holding (~80%) ensures alignment Diversified agent network (~10,362 registered, ~3,948 active in FY25) Risks: Heavy UK revenue concentration (~95% in FY25) Dependence on top 3 institutions (~53% revenue share) Rising receivable days (~91 days FY25 from 67 days FY24) Technical Analysis Chart Structure On the 1-hour timeframe, CRIZAC had been trading within a downward-sloping channel since mid-July, marked by consistent lower highs and lower lows. The recent price action shows a decisive breakout above the upper trendline of this channel, signaling potential reversal momentum. Key Technical Levels Reversal Zone (Support): ₹311–₹318 Immediate Resistance 1: ₹352 Next Resistance 2: ₹381 Resistance 3: ₹407 Major Resistance 4: ₹450 Interpretation The breakout from the descending channel, with price now sustaining above the ₹318 reversal zone, is a bullish technical signal. If momentum sustains, the stock could test the ₹352–₹381 zone in the short term. A close above ₹381 could open the path toward ₹407 and eventually ₹450. On the downside, failure to hold ₹318 may see the stock re-enter the previous channel, retesting lower supports. Techno-Fundamental View The fundamentals support the breakout story: High ROCE/ROE with debt-free balance sheet Consistent revenue and PAT growth Strong free cash flow generation The technical breakout adds a near-term bullish trigger, suggesting that investor sentiment is aligning with the company’s strong business performance. However, the key to sustaining the uptrend will be: Confirmation of higher volumes on breakout Continued positive earnings momentum in upcoming quarters Any progress on geographic diversification to reduce UK dependency Bottom Line Crizac Ltd is transitioning from a consolidation phase to potential upside momentum, backed by strong operational and financial performance. The breakout above the downtrend channel, coupled with a robust business model, makes the current setup attractive for growth-oriented investors—provided they can tolerate the risks of geographic concentration and post-IPO volatility. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:CRIZAC
by ALICEBLUE
ITDCEM Price Action## ITD Cementation India Limited (ITDCEM) Price Analysis (August 2025) ### Price & Market Metrics - **Current share price:** Around ₹793 (NSE, August 13, 2025). - **Market capitalization:** Approximately ₹13,622 crore. - **52-week range:** ₹467 (low) to ₹944 (high). - **Day's trading range:** ₹762–₹804. - **Recent price change:** Up about 4.5% on the day. - **Average volumes:** About 762,000 shares traded daily in recent periods. ### Returns & Volatility - The stock has seen a strong rebound from lows around ₹467 in the past year to near ₹793 currently. - Price movements recently show moderate volatility within a range of about 5% intraday. - The 52-week high near ₹944 was achieved recently in July 2025. ### Valuation Metrics - Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio: Approximately 33.3, which is moderately high. - Earnings per share (EPS): ₹23.83. - Dividend yield is low at around 0.25%. - The stock currently trades above its 50-day average price (~₹812) and significantly above its 200-day average (~₹612), indicating recent bullish momentum. ### Financial & Business Highlights - ITD Cementation is in the infrastructure sector, focusing on construction and civil engineering. - The company is supported by a solid order book and infrastructure demand growth. - Market sentiment has been positive with institutional investor meetings scheduled mid-August 2025. ### Technical Sentiment - The stock price has recently pulled back slightly from highs but remains strong overall. - Moving averages suggest upward momentum. - Volume patterns indicate active trading and buyer interest. *** ### Summary ITDCEM is trading near its upper range for the year, with a current price around ₹793 and a strong market capitalization above ₹13,000 crore. The valuation is moderately high with a P/E above 30 and EPS near ₹24. Recent price momentum is positive supported by infrastructure sector tailwinds and investor interest. While the stock has experienced some volatility, the technical indicators point to sustained buying at current levels. Dividend yield remains low, consistent with growth-oriented infrastructure companies. Investors should consider valuation moderately stretched but justified by growth prospects and market position. Caution is advised for short-term price swings given past volatility.
ILong
by KamalKJoshi