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SAMMAAN Capital: Trendline Breakout, Chart of the weekFrom Housing Finance Giant to NBFC Phoenix: Why NSE:SAMMAANCAP Breakout Could Signal a Multi-Bagger Opportunity. Let's Analyse in the Chart of the Week. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: Overall Trend Structure: - The stock has been in a prolonged downtrend from its recent high of ₹260 in early 2022 - A major capitulation event occurred in July 2024, creating a panic low at ₹79.38 - Since the July 2024 low, the stock has formed a clear accumulation phase with higher lows - Recent price action shows a strong breakout from a descending trendline that acted as resistance since early 2024 - Current price at ₹165.03 represents a 107% rally from the lows, indicating strong momentum recovery Candlestick Patterns & Momentum: - The most recent weekly candle shows a massive bullish engulfing pattern with a substantial body, suggesting strong buying conviction - Price has cleared multiple resistance zones with authority, indicating institutional accumulation - The breakout candle shows no upper wick, demonstrating aggressive buying and a lack of selling pressure at higher levels - Consecutive green candles in recent weeks suggest sustained buying interest - The price action exhibits characteristics of a potential trend reversal from bear to bull phase Moving Averages & Dynamic Support: - Price has reclaimed all major short-term moving averages - The stock is now trading above its 50-week moving average - A golden cross formation appears imminent as shorter-term MAs cross above longer-term MAs - Previous resistance zones are now expected to act as support on pullbacks Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Profile: - Massive volume spike on the latest breakout candle (462.74M vs average 86.92M) - approximately 5.3x the average volume - This represents the highest volume since early 2022, indicating significant institutional participation - Volume during the accumulation phase (July 2024 - September 2025) was relatively subdued, typical of smart money accumulation - Previous high-volume events coincided with panic selling in 2022 and mid-2024 - Current volume expansion during upward movement is a classic sign of breakout validity Volume-Price Correlation: - The price-to-volume ratio shows a healthy correlation during the recent rally - Higher volume on up days compared to down days indicates bullish sentiment - The massive volume breakout suggests this move has strong institutional backing - No signs of distribution (high volume on down days) at current levels Volume Analysis Inference: - The 5x volume expansion confirms a genuine breakout rather than a false move - Smart money appears to be entering positions aggressively - Retail participation is likely to increase given the media coverage and the F&O ban lifting - Volume profile supports continuation of the uptrend in the near-term Key Support & Resistance Levels: Major Resistance Zones: - R1 (Immediate): ₹175-180 - Minor psychological resistance - R2 (Near-term): ₹200-220 - Previous consolidation zone and descending trendline confluence - R3 (Major): ₹240-260 - Recent high zone with significant supply potential - R4 (Psychological): ₹300 - Round number psychological barrier Major Support Zones: - S1 (Immediate): ₹150-155 - Recent breakout level, now acting as support - S2 (Strong): ₹135-140 - Multiple touch points and previous resistance turned support - S3 (Critical): ₹113-120 - Horizontal support zone with high volume node - S4 (Ultimate): ₹100-105 - Major accumulation zone and swing low area Key Price Levels to Watch: - Breakdown level to watch: ₹145 (invalidation of bullish setup) - Pivotal zone: ₹135-140 (must hold for bullish continuation) - Stop-loss zone for longs: Below ₹130 Base Formation & Pattern Recognition: Primary Base Structure: - The base shows characteristics of a "Stage 1" accumulation base as per the Weinstein methodology Secondary Patterns Identified: - Descending Channel: From January 2024 to September 2025, the stock traded within a falling channel - Breakout Pattern: Recent weekly candle broke above the descending trendline resistance with authority - Double Bottom: A smaller double bottom formation exists at the ₹100-105 level (June-July 2025) - Higher Low Sequence: Since the July 2024 bottom, the stock has made consistent higher lows - ₹79, ₹100, ₹130, ₹135 Pattern Implications: - The quality of base formation (15 months) indicates strong institutional accumulation Technical Indicators Assessment: Trend Indicators: - Price trading above descending trendline for the first time in 18 months - Structure shifted from lower highs/lower lows to higher highs/higher lows - Breakout above multi-month resistance confirms trend reversal - Weekly timeframe showing a clear momentum shift Volatility Indicators: - Recent expansion in price range indicates increasing volatility - Volatility expansion during upward movement is a bullish characteristic - ATR (Average True Range) is likely expanding, providing better trading opportunities Diversification Rules: - Maximum NBFC/Financial sector exposure: 15-20% of portfolio - Since Sammaan Capital is an NBFC, ensure other NBFC holdings don't exceed the sector limit - Correlation check: Avoid overweight in stocks moving in tandem - Rebalance if a single position grows beyond 10% due to appreciation Risk Management Framework: Technical Risk Factors: - Breakout failure risk: 30% probability of pullback to ₹140-150 - False breakout risk: Volume sustenance needed for confirmation - Resistance rejection risk: ₹220 zone has strong supply potential - Trend reversal risk: Any weekly close below ₹130 invalidates the bullish thesis - Volatility risk: NBFC stocks prone to sudden regulatory/news-driven moves Risk Mitigation Strategies: - Never invest more than planned position size, even if the setup looks perfect - Use limit orders instead of market orders to avoid slippage - Don't average down if SL is hit - accept loss and re-evaluate - Keep a 30% cash reserve for better entry opportunities - Use trailing stops religiously once in profit - Maintain a trading journal to track decisions and learn from mistakes Portfolio Risk Constraints: - Maximum drawdown tolerance: 20% on this position - Overall portfolio heat: Not more than 4-5% at risk across all open positions - Correlation check: If market corrects 5%, financial stocks may correct 7-8% - Sector concentration: Limit NBFC exposure even if multiple opportunities arise - Black swan provision: Always keep an emergency exit plan Risk Monitoring Checklist: - Daily: Check if price respects support zones - Weekly: Review volume patterns and trend integrity - Monthly: Reassess fundamental drivers and news flow - Quarterly: Deep-dive into earnings, asset quality, regulatory changes - Event-driven: Monitor RBI policies, interest rate decisions, sector news Exit Risk Management: - Never hold through a major support breakdown, hoping for recovery - If SL hit, stay away for 2-3 weeks before re-entry consideration - Avoid revenge trading after the stop-loss trigger - Book partial profits at predetermined levels - don't get greedy - If the target is achieved faster than expected, evaluate for signs of exhaustion Sectoral Analysis - NBFC & Housing Finance: NBFC Sector Overview: - NSE:SAMMAANCAP is a mortgage-focused non-banking financial company (NBFC) regulated by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and rated 'AA' by CRISIL and ICRA - The NBFC sector has witnessed consolidation over the past 3 years post-COVID disruptions - The regulatory framework has tightened with the RBI implementing scale-based regulations - A favourable policy environment exists with a stable macroeconomic backdrop - Housing finance remains a priority sector with government's push for affordable housing Current Sector Dynamics: - Interest rate cycle appears to be stabilising after aggressive hikes in 2022-2023 - Credit growth in retail segments (housing, LAP) remains robust at 15-18% YoY - Asset quality concerns have moderated across the NBFC sector - Competition is intensifying with banks offering competitive home loan rates - Digital transformation and fintech partnerships reshaping distribution Sector Growth Drivers: - India's housing demand remains strong, driven by urbanization and nuclear families - Under-penetrated mortgage market compared to developed economies (10% vs 50-70% mortgage-to-GDP) - Government schemes like PMAY (Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana) support affordable housing - The Loan Against Property (LAP) segment is growing as businesses seek growth capital - Co-lending arrangements between NBFCs and banks gaining traction Sector Headwinds: - Asset-liability management challenges for smaller NBFCs - Rising cost of funds impacting margins - Regulatory compliance costs are increasing - Competition from banks with lower cost of funds - Economic slowdown risks impacting borrower repayment capacity Regulatory Environment: - RBI's scale-based regulation framework implemented in October 2022 - Enhanced monitoring of large NBFCs (asset size >₹10,000 crore) - Stricter provisioning and capital adequacy norms - Focus on corporate governance and risk management frameworks - Recent F&O ban lifting indicates regulatory confidence restoration Fundamental Analysis: Business Model & Operations: - Incorporated in 2005, registered and regulated by the National Housing Bank (NHB), engaged in providing home loans, loans against property, corporate mortgage loans, lease rental discounting, and residential construction finance - The company has adopted an asset-light business model with a differentiated origination strategy and proven co-lending execution across affordable housing and MSME segments - Operates with co-lending partnerships - had 10 bank partnerships as of September 2024, with plans to increase to 12 by March 2025 - Product portfolio: Home Loans, Loan Against Property (LAP), Construction Finance, Lease Rental Discounting Financial Performance Analysis - Market capitalization: ₹13,670 crore; Revenue: ₹8,947 crore; Current year profit: -₹1,800 crore - The company has delivered poor sales growth of -8% over the past five years - Q1 FY26: Reported profit of ₹334 crore on total income of ₹2,400 crore; For FY25, posted loss of -₹1,807 crore on total income of ₹8,676 crore - Recent profitability turnaround visible in quarterly results suggests business stabilization - The company has a low interest coverage ratio, indicating higher financial leverage Recent Corporate Developments: - Abu Dhabi's IHC (International Holding Company) approved preferential allotment to buy 43.5% stake for ₹8,850 crore through Avenir Investment RSC Ltd, paving the way for IHC to assume promoter status - This massive foreign investment indicates strong confidence in turnaround story - Company rebranded from Indiabulls Housing Finance to Sammaan Capital to shed legacy issues - Credit ratings upgraded by S&P and Moody's changed outlook to 'positive' from 'stable'; retained AA/Stable rating from CRISIL and ICRA - F&O ban recently lifted, signalling renewed market confidence Asset Quality & Risk Metrics: - Assets Under Management of ₹12,777 crore as of September 2024 - Shift towards an asset-light model, reducing balance sheet risk - Co-lending partnerships diversify risk and improve capital efficiency - Need to monitor gross NPA and net NPA trends in upcoming quarters - Provisioning coverage ratio and capital adequacy ratio are key metrics to watch Valuation Metrics: - PE ratio currently at 0, indicating the company was loss-making in the recent period - Market cap growth of 3.48% the last 1 year - recent rally not fully reflected in this data - Price-to-Book ratio likely attractive given low valuation during the distress period - Current valuation at ₹165 offers asymmetric risk-reward if turnaround sustains - Comparable NBFCs trading at 1.5-3x book value; Sammaan could rerate as profitability improves Management & Corporate Governance: - Company underwent significant management changes post-rebranding - Abu Dhabi's IHC taking promoter status brings international credibility - Focus on transparent reporting and governance improvements post legacy issues - Strategic shift to asset-light model shows adaptive management Competitive Position & Market Share: - Competes with players like HDFC Ltd, LIC Housing Finance, PNB Housing, and Bajaj Housing Finance - Differentiated strategy focusing on emerging geographies and affordable housing segment - Co-lending model provides a competitive advantage in a capital-constrained environment - Brand recall is still building after rebranding from Indiabulls Key Strengths: - Strong rating from CRISIL and ICRA (AA/Stable) indicates a robust credit profile - ₹8,850 crore investment by Abu Dhabi's IHC validates business potential - Asset-light model reduces capital requirements and improves ROE potential - Regulatory compliance and risk management frameworks strengthened - Experienced in affordable housing and MSME lending segments Key Concerns & Risks: - Historical loss of ₹1,800 crore in FY25 raises sustainability questions - Poor revenue growth of -8.08% over 5 years indicates business challenges - A low interest coverage ratio suggests vulnerability to interest rate volatility - Ongoing investigations related to past operations remain overhang - Execution risk in scaling up co-lending partnerships - Asset quality deterioration risk if economic conditions weaken Integrated Technical-Fundamental Outlook: Confluence Factors Supporting Bullish Thesis: - Technical breakout coinciding with fundamental catalysts (IHC investment, F&O ban lifting) - Volume expansion confirming institutional interest aligning with ₹8,850 crore IHC investment - 15-month base formation suggesting strong accumulation by informed investors - Credit rating upgrades provide fundamental validation to the technical setup - Quarterly profitability turnaround supporting higher valuation rerating Scenario Analysis: Bull Case Scenario - IHC investment successfully closes and brings operational improvements - Asset quality remains stable, and profitability is sustained in the upcoming quarters - Co-lending partnerships expand as planned, driving AUM growth Base Case Scenario - Business stabilises with moderate growth in AUM and profitability - Volatility remains elevated due to sector and stock-specific news Bear Case Scenario - Asset quality deterioration or operational challenges emerge - IHC deal gets delayed or faces regulatory hurdles - Technical breakdown below ₹145 leads to retest of ₹120-130 zone - Macro headwinds (RBI policy tightening, economic slowdown) impact the sector - Exit recommended if the weekly close is below ₹130 Critical Events to Monitor: Next 3 Months: - Completion of IHC preferential allotment and fund infusion - Q2 FY26 earnings (October/November 2025) - profitability sustainability check - Any regulatory updates or clarifications on past investigations - Technical retest of ₹150-155 support zone and price reaction Next 6 Months: - Q3 FY26 earnings showing consistent profitability - Expansion of co-lending partnerships (target 12 banks) - AUM growth trajectory and disbursement trends - NPA trends and provisioning coverage - Technical breakout above ₹220 resistance Next 12 Months: - Full-year FY26 results demonstrating turnaround completion - Market share gains in affordable housing and LAP segments - ROE and ROA improvement trends - PE multiple rerating towards industry average Recommended Action Plan: - Allocate 4-6% of portfolio with strict stop-loss discipline - Book partial profits - Trail remaining position - Monitor quarterly results and credit metrics religiously - Re-evaluate thesis if any fundamental red flag emerges My 2 Cents: The chart presents a textbook example of a turnaround setup with a well-defined 15-month base formation, decisive breakout on exceptional volume (5.3x average), and a clear risk-reward structure. The combination of descending channel breakout and momentum shift from lower lows to higher highs creates a compelling technical narrative. NSE:SAMMAANCAP represents a high-risk, high-reward turnaround play backed by credible fundamental catalysts. The ₹8,850 crore investment by Abu Dhabi's IHC provides a strong validation of intrinsic value. The transition to an asset-light model, credit rating upgrades, and return to quarterly profitability suggest the worst may be behind. However, the legacy of past losses, low interest coverage, and ongoing investigations warrants cautious optimism and strict risk management. Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:SAMMAANCAPLong
by Karanshah137
3
XAUUSD H4 – WAITING FOR NFP, TRADING WITHIN PRICE CHANNEL Hello trader 👋 Gold continues to hold within the H4 rising price channel, but buying momentum has clearly weakened after yesterday's sharp drop. The price reaction at the lower trendline indicates that selling pressure is not yet strong enough to break the structure, yet the market's hesitation reflects a wait-and-see attitude for the NFP data and a series of important US news tonight. In the European session, the price might move slowly and frustratingly – typical for a Friday – before potentially exploding in the US session. Therefore, the sensible strategy now is short-term trading within the channel, adapting to each small wave on the M5–M15 timeframe. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3,874 – 3,876 (Sell entry) Near Support: 3,794 – 3,795 (Buy scalping zone) Deep Support: 3,760 (Important Buy zone) ⚖️ Trading Scenarios 🔴 Short-term Sell Scenario: Entry: 3,874 – 3,876 SL: 3,885 TP: Expecting break of lower trendline → 3,79x – 3,76x 🟢 Buy Scalping Scenario: Entry: 3,794 SL: 3,785 TP: 3,820 → 3,835 → 3,855 → 3,876 → 3,890 🟢 Deep Buy Zone Scenario: Entry: 3,760 SL: 3,750 TP: 3,782 → 3,795 → 3,810 → 3,825 📊 General Outlook Main Trend: Gold remains in an upward channel, but buying strength is waning and the risk of a breakdown is present. European Session: Slow fluctuations, prone to “whipsaw” → prioritise short-term scalping. US Session: NFP news might create strong waves, breaking the price channel → traders need to closely monitor reactions around 3,794 and 3,760 to decide on the next buy or sell move. 📌 Conclusion: Before NFP, gold remains in an upward channel but technical factors suggest a possible correction. Sensible strategy: Short sell at 3,874–3,876, or buy around support 3,794 – 3,760 depending on price action. Manage capital tightly, as the US session will determine the next major direction. Follow my journey as I share trading experiences with you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Regulatory & Policy Developments1. Introduction to Regulatory and Policy Developments At the core, regulation refers to rules and directives issued by governing bodies to control, manage, or guide the conduct of businesses, markets, and economic participants. Policy, on the other hand, represents a broader framework of principles, strategies, and guidelines that guide decision-making in government, financial institutions, and corporations. Key Objectives of Regulations and Policies Market Stability: Regulations prevent market volatility and systemic risk, ensuring investor confidence. Consumer Protection: Policies safeguard consumers from fraudulent practices, misleading information, and financial exploitation. Transparency and Accountability: Regulatory frameworks require disclosure of financial information, promoting trust in institutions. Economic Growth and Innovation: Policies can stimulate sectors, attract investments, and encourage innovation through incentives or guidelines. Risk Management: Regulations manage risks in banking, finance, and corporate sectors, reducing chances of crises. Regulations and policies are intertwined, often evolving with changing economic environments, technological advancements, and societal needs. Their impact is felt across every segment of the economy, from financial markets and corporate governance to labor markets and international trade. 2. Historical Evolution of Regulatory and Policy Frameworks Global Perspective The evolution of regulations globally has been shaped by crises, technological advancements, and policy reforms. Key milestones include: Early 20th Century: Following financial panics like the 1907 crisis in the U.S., regulatory mechanisms emerged to stabilize markets. The Great Depression (1929): The collapse of stock markets led to the Securities Act of 1933 and Securities Exchange Act of 1934 in the United States, establishing the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission). Post-War Era: Economic rebuilding prompted regulatory frameworks focusing on industrial development, labor rights, and social welfare. Late 20th Century: Globalization and technological progress led to reforms in trade, banking, and securities markets. Post-2008 Financial Crisis: The crisis highlighted risks in financial derivatives, complex banking products, and inadequate oversight, resulting in stringent reforms like Dodd-Frank Act (USA) and Basel III (Global Banking Standards). Indian Regulatory History India’s regulatory and policy framework has evolved gradually to balance growth and stability: Pre-Independence: Limited formal regulations; trade largely unregulated with colonial economic policies. Post-Independence Era (1947-1990): Emphasis on industrial licensing, import substitution, and financial control through entities like RBI, SEBI, and IRDAI. Economic Liberalization (1991 Onwards): Liberalization, privatization, and globalization (LPG reforms) spurred regulatory modernization. Recent Decades: Introduction of Goods and Services Tax (GST), Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC, 2016), and fintech regulations reflects India’s adaptation to global standards. 3. Types of Regulatory and Policy Developments Regulations and policies vary across sectors, targeting specific objectives. Broadly, they can be classified into the following categories: a. Financial Market Regulations Securities Regulations: Governing stock exchanges, mutual funds, IPOs, and listed companies. Example: SEBI regulations for market intermediaries and investor protection. Banking and Finance Regulations: Ensuring capital adequacy, liquidity, and prudent lending. Example: RBI’s Basel III implementation for Indian banks. Insurance and Pension Policies: Protecting policyholders and promoting long-term savings. Example: IRDAI regulations for insurance products. b. Corporate Governance Policies Disclosure Requirements: Mandating periodic reporting of financial statements. Board Composition and Ethical Standards: Ensuring accountability in corporate management. Fraud Prevention Measures: Detecting and preventing insider trading and market manipulation. c. Trade and Economic Policies Industrial Policies: Encouraging investment and promoting priority sectors. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Regulations: Defining limits and approvals for international investments. Export-Import Policies: Facilitating global trade and ensuring balance-of-payments stability. d. Technological and Digital Regulations Data Protection Policies: Protecting consumer privacy and personal information. Example: Personal Data Protection Bill (India) Fintech Regulations: Governing digital payments, cryptocurrencies, and blockchain adoption. Cybersecurity Policies: Ensuring safe digital infrastructure in banking and corporate sectors. e. Environmental and Sustainability Policies Environmental Regulations: Reducing carbon emissions, pollution, and promoting clean technologies. Sustainability Reporting: Mandating ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) disclosures by corporates. Renewable Energy Incentives: Policies promoting green energy and sustainable investments. 4. Key Regulatory Developments Globally a. United States Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform (2010): Post-2008 financial crisis reform aimed at reducing systemic risk. Sarbanes-Oxley Act (2002): Strengthened corporate governance and transparency after corporate scandals (Enron, WorldCom). Federal Reserve Policies: Monetary regulations influencing liquidity, interest rates, and bank supervision. b. European Union MiFID II (2018): Financial market transparency, investor protection, and trading standards. GDPR (2018): Comprehensive data protection and privacy regulations. EU Sustainable Finance Regulations: ESG disclosures, green finance taxonomy, and risk assessments. c. Asia-Pacific China’s Financial Market Reforms: Liberalization of stock exchanges, fintech regulations, and digital currency issuance. Japan’s Corporate Governance Code (2015): Focused on board independence, shareholder rights, and sustainable growth. 5. Key Regulatory Developments in India a. Financial Market Reforms SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India) Regulations IPO norms, insider trading prevention, mutual fund oversight. Emphasis on investor protection and market integrity. RBI Banking Reforms Basel III norms, asset quality review, and digital banking initiatives. Insurance Sector IRDAI’s solvency regulations and customer grievance redressal frameworks. b. Corporate Governance and Compliance Companies Act 2013 Mandates board independence, audit committees, CSR activities, and disclosure norms. Insider Trading Regulations Strengthened to deter market manipulation and unethical practices. c. Trade and Economic Policies FDI Policy Reforms Liberalized norms across sectors, including defense, telecom, and retail. GST Implementation (2017) Unified indirect tax system improving ease of doing business. Make in India Initiative Policy to boost domestic manufacturing and attract global investors. d. Technology and Digital Regulations Fintech and Digital Payments NPCI (National Payments Corporation of India) overseeing UPI, digital wallets, and payments security. Cryptocurrency Policy RBI and government regulations balancing innovation with risk containment. Data Privacy and Protection Draft bills addressing consumer data security and corporate responsibilities. e. Environmental and ESG Policies Mandatory CSR Reporting Companies above a threshold must allocate profits for social development. Green Finance Policies Encouraging investment in renewable energy, clean technology, and sustainable infrastructure. Carbon Emission Norms Industries must comply with emission limits, promoting low-carbon technologies. 6. Impact of Regulatory and Policy Developments a. Positive Impacts Market Confidence and Stability Strong regulations reduce uncertainty, attracting both domestic and foreign investments. Consumer Protection Policies prevent exploitation, fraud, and unfair practices. Promoting Innovation Incentives and supportive policies encourage startups, fintech, and green technology. Global Integration Alignment with global standards boosts international trade and capital inflows. b. Challenges and Limitations Regulatory Overreach Excessive compliance costs can stifle small businesses. Lag Between Policy and Implementation Enforcement gaps often reduce effectiveness. Technological Disruption Rapid fintech, AI, and blockchain developments require constant regulatory adaptation. Global Uncertainties Trade wars, geopolitical tensions, and international regulatory divergence can impact domestic policies. Conclusion Regulatory and policy developments are essential pillars of modern economies. They ensure market stability, protect consumers, foster innovation, and integrate domestic economies with the global framework. The landscape of regulations is continuously evolving, influenced by crises, technological advancements, and societal needs. Countries like India are modernizing their regulatory architecture to promote transparency, efficiency, and sustainability while balancing growth and innovation. Looking forward, the key to effective regulation lies in adaptability, technology integration, and a balance between control and freedom. Policymakers, regulators, businesses, and investors must collaborate to ensure a robust framework that fosters economic growth, protects stakeholders, and prepares the economy for future challenges. Regulatory and policy development is not just a compliance exercise—it is a strategic enabler for sustainable and inclusive economic progress.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by TechnicalExpress
LiamTrading – Gold Plan: Wide Range + US Politics Exert PressureLiamTrading – Gold Plan: Wide Range + US Politics Exert Pressure Gold continues to fluctuate within a wide range as market sentiment is heavily influenced by news from the United States. On 3rd October, the US Senate is expected to re-vote on the temporary budget bill. If it fails, the federal government could shut down, extending into the next week. This will undoubtedly have a significant impact on safe-haven flows, making gold more sensitive to key technical resistance zones. 📊 Technical Analysis – Chart H1 Gold is moving within a wide sideways structure, oscillating around strong resistance – support zones. Fibonacci Resistance + Psychological level around 3878–3881 → suitable for short-term Sell scalping. Confluence support (Retest + Volume) around 3828–3830 → ideal zone to watch for Buy, expecting a recovery wave. The larger trend still leans towards an increase, however, in the short term, the market will experience several liquidity sweeps. 🎯 Trading Scenario Sell (short-term – prioritise on M15): Entry: 3878–3881 SL: 3886 TP: 3860 – 3855 – 3840 – 3822 – 3810 Buy (retest support + volume): Entry: 3828–3830 SL: 3822 TP: 3845 – 3860 – 3877 – 3890 📌 Conclusion Today's range is quite wide, suitable for scalping according to psychological resistance zones. Short-term Sell at Fibonacci resistance points. Buy when price retests confluence support with volume. Political news from the US will be a catalyst causing significant gold volatility, so it's crucial to maintain disciplined capital management. 👉 Keep a close watch on the scenarios, I will update regularly as the market experiences new movements.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
1
XAUUSD – Prioritise Sell After Breaking Trendline Hello Traders, Gold has experienced a strong upward movement for several consecutive days, but currently, the market is showing significant reversal signals. The upward trendline on H4 has been broken, confirming the weakening buying momentum. In the medium term, the preferred scenario will be selling rather than continuing to chase buys. Basic Context The US Treasury has just repurchased an additional 2 billion USD in bonds, raising the total repurchase this week to 4.9 billion USD. This move indicates an effort to stabilise the bond market but also reflects significant pressure on the USD and the US financial situation. In the short term, the injection of additional bond liquidity makes gold's movement more unpredictable, and the trendline break at this time is an important warning signal. Technical Perspective Breaking the upward trendline → confirms a structural change. MACD signals weakening, with buyers losing clear strength. The 3865 – 3868 zone is a beautiful resistance retest point to Sell. If the price falls deeply, the support zones around 3830 – 3810 – 3790 will be the next targets. Today's Trading Scenario Sell (main priority): Entry: 3865 – 3868 SL: 3875 TP: 3855 – 3832 – 3810 – 3790 Buy Scalping (counter-trend – high risk): Entry: 3803 – 3805 SL: 3795 TP: 3822 – 3835 – 3850 Conclusion Gold has broken the trendline, prioritising Sell in the short and medium term. News from the US bond market further emphasises the risk of instability, making counter-trend Buy moves suitable only for short-term Scalping. Follow me for the earliest updates on scenarios as price paths change.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
LiamTrading – INTRADAY TRADING SCENARIO When we look at the global financial landscape, an interesting picture emerges: Equities – All Time High (ATH) Housing Prices – ATH Bitcoin – ATH Gold – ATH Money Supply – ATH National Debt – ATH CPI Inflation – averaging 4% per year since 2020, double the Fed’s “target” Federal Reserve – continuing rate cuts this month Clearly, easy money combined with inflationary pressure is a powerful driver pushing gold to new historical levels. This makes buying with the trend more reasonable than ever. 📊 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart Gold is moving within a well-defined upward channel. Volume Profile highlights the POC around 3840–3850, a key zone to watch for scalping buys. The VAL coincides with the rising trendline near 3820–3822, offering strong confluence for medium-term buys. If price breaks above 3895 to confirm a new ATH, trend-following buys remain the priority. Key resistance: 3913–3915, suitable for short-term scalping sells. 🎯 Trading Scenarios Buy scalping: 3845 | SL 3839 | TP 3856 – 3870 Buy zone (main): 3820 – 3822 | SL 3816 | TP 3832 – 3845 – 3860 – 3875 – 3890 Sell scalping: 3915 – 3913 | SL 3920 | TP 3900 – 3885 – 3872 – 3860 Buy breakout: If price breaks ATH 3895 and confirms, continue buying with the trend → Open targets towards 3915+ 📌 Conclusion Gold remains in a strong uptrend, both fundamentally and technically. Short-term pullbacks are simply opportunities to add to buy positions. However, traders should watch the immediate resistance zones to optimise entries. 👉 This is my personal outlook on XAUUSD, not financial advice. Follow me to stay updated with the latest daily gold scenarios 🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Persistent hovers near support after volatile swingsTopic Statement: Persistent has seen a roller coaster price action this year and is now stabilizing near key technical and psychological support zones. Key Points: 1. The stock is taking support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 4951, a level it continues to hold 2. This support zone aligns with the barrier of 5000, reducing the likelihood of a breakdown 3. The price is also very close to a long-term trendline, adding structural strength to the current support 4. Currently trading below the 50-day EMA, the stock offers a strong investment opportunity at these levels based on past behavior
NSE:PERSISTENTLong
by yogeshwar