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XAUUSD Analysis - Levels and Pridiction#Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - October 27, 2025 Current Market Status: Retracement on Higher Time Frame, Lower Timeframe Bearish Breakdown⚠️ Gold is trading at 4,033.67, having broken down from the previous #consolidation zone. The market has violated key support levels and is now showing clear bearish momentum with multiple technical confirmations. Critical Technical Developments: 1️⃣ Triangle Pattern Breakdown (1H Chart) The 1-hour chart reveals a confirmed triangle #pattern breakout to the downside. After breaking below the triangle support, price attempted a retest of the breakdown level around 4,093-4,144 but was rejected, confirming the pattern's validity. This is a classic bearish continuation signal. 2️⃣ Demand Zone Invalidation A crucial demand level that previously held multiple tests has now been completely invalidated. The chart explicitly notes: "Demand Level to be invalidated to move the Price Further Down" - this condition has been met, opening the path for deeper downside movement. 3️⃣ Minor Trend Shift Level Breach Price has broken below the **Minor Trend Shift Level** at approximately 4,093, confirming a shift from bullish to bearish short-term structure. This level now acts as resistance. Target Zones (High Probability): 🎯 Immediate Targets: - 3,945 - Next support cluster (current proximity) - 3,845 - 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (PRIMARY TARGET) - 3,719 - 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (EXTENDED TARGET) The Fibonacci levels in green boxes, are the key magnetic zones for price action. 📉 Bearish Continuation (70% Probability) Price continues lower toward 3,845, potentially extending to 3,719 if selling pressure intensifies. This move would represent a healthy correction within the broader uptrend from the yearly lows. 📈 Bullish Reversal (30% Probability) Requires reclaiming 4,144 with strong momentum AND holding above it on daily timeframe. Only then would the bearish structure be invalidated. Conclusion: Gold remains in a confirmed downtrend on lower timeframes with clear downside targets visible. The invalidation of demand zones and triangle breakdown provide strong bearish confirmation. Traders should focus on the 3,845-3,719 zone as the primary area of interest for potential reversal setups. Until price reclaims 4,150+, the path of least resistance remains **DOWN**. Risk Management: Use proper position sizing as volatility remains elevated. The 3,845 level will be crucial - watch for buyer reaction there.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by earnwhileulearn
1
[XAUUSD] New Week Scenario: Accumulation Awaiting Drop New Week Scenario: Accumulation Awaiting Drop - Watch for Selling at Liquidity Zone $4195 Hello traders community, The new week begins with XAUUSD (Gold) being "restrained" in a sideways structure. However, don't let this calm deceive you. Technically, this is an accumulation pattern with a clear bearish bias. The market is in "wait" mode, and patience will be the key to catching the next big wave. 📰 MACRO ANALYSIS: TUG OF WAR AHEAD OF FOMC The market is caught between two opposing streams of information: Bearish Pressure: Positive signs of a US-China trade deal are reducing the demand for safe-haven assets, putting pressure on Gold prices. Bullish Support: The weakening USD due to expectations that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates, inadvertently provides some short-term support for the precious metal. Decisive Factor: Traders are "lying low" waiting for this week's two-day monetary policy meeting (FOMC). This will be the main event, determining the medium-term trend of USD and Gold. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: CONTINUATION OF BEARISH STRUCTURE The H1 chart shows a very clear "Sell" scenario: Price Structure: After a strong drop from the peak, the price is moving sideways in an accumulation pattern of a bearish pennant. This is a continuation structure, indicating that the Sellers are "resting" before pushing the price further down. Ideal Sell Zone: The $4195 zone is an extremely strong resistance confluence, marked as "Liquidity strong" on the chart. This is the 0.5 Fibonacci level, the "golden" retracement point of the entire previous decline. This is the old support zone now turned into new resistance. Optimal Scenario: We will wait for the price to pull back to test the $4195 liquidity zone. This is an opportunity for Sellers to enter the market with low risk and high profit potential. 🎯 TRADING PLAN (SELL SETUP) Absolute priority is to Watch for Selling (Sell) in line with the main trend. ENTRY (Sell): $4195 STOP LOSS: $4205 TAKE PROFIT: TP1: $4168-TP2: $4145-TP3: $4122-TP4: $4102 SUMMARY In the context of the market awaiting FOMC news, Gold is likely to make a final "pullback" to the $4195 zone before continuing its downtrend. Be patient and wait for signals at this ideal sell zone. Wishing traders a successful and disciplined new trading week!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
City Union Bank – Tight Stop, Wave 3 Setup in PlayDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. Elliott Wave Setup City Union Bank has completed a W–X–Y double zigzag correction into 193.50, with Wave Y equaling Wave W — a classic case of corrective symmetry. From that low: Wave 1 unfolded as a leading diagonal. Wave 2 corrected as a running flat, showing underlying strength. Price is now attempting a breakout, suggesting Wave 3 is underway. The stop-loss / invalidation is clear: 205.41 , the Wave 2 low. This creates a textbook tight-risk entry point. Why Wave 3 Matters Wave 3 in Elliott theory is often the strongest, most extended move. Early signs support this potential: RSI is holding above mid-50s without new lows → momentum remains bullish. Volume has dried up during correction but is starting to expand with breakout attempts. Target zone : 224.6 → 236.5 (1.0–1.618 Fib extensions of Wave 1). Immediate challenge lies at the 212–214 resistance cluster. A clean break above confirms acceleration. Trading the Setup Tight stop: below 205.41. Potential reward: 20–25 points higher. Risk/Reward: exactly what traders look for in a Wave 3 entry. For readers, the bigger lesson is how Elliott Wave provides natural stop placement. By respecting Wave 2 lows, traders can define risk precisely and be positioned for the explosive Wave 3 rally. The Takeaway This is not just a bullish call on City Union Bank. It’s a case study in EW discipline: Use Wave 2 lows as invalidation. Look for Wave 3 to deliver the reward. Enter with conviction only when structure + momentum align.
NSE:CUBLong
by WaveXplorer
Is the SPX500 Correction OVER ?Analysed 1Hr chart: SPX 500 is correcting from around FEB 25th It has has been correcting in complex ABC pattern Within last Leg that is C, it has been doing W-X-Y correction. Will it have one more Z leg ? YES : If it retraces/does not cross previous high When this structure will be invalid ? When a hourly close is below 5096. What is the road map if the current structure holds good ? Wave-3 ~6000 Wave-4 Correction , back to 5500 ?? Wave-5 ~6200 Assumption: It follows plotted channel Times/Shape of pattern will get extended if time correction follows.
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by jsgadgil
NIFTY heading towards 25500!!As we can see NIFTY started showing rejection exactly from 26000 level which is also a psychological level and had been falling unidirectionally ever since. Further we can't see any eminent SUPPORT but minor supports can be seen on previous swings around 25700 hence despite being weak, we may see temporary green candles for few trading sessions before finally falling towards 25500 levels which is its next psychological level and important SUPPORT and any signs of REVERSAL from this zone can show massive upside so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
NSE:NIFTY
by Kaushalfin
PUNJABCHEM 1 Month Time Frame 📈 1-Month Price Range (September 24 – October 24, 2025) High: ₹1,407.50 on October 17 Low: ₹1,320.30 on October 14 Closing on October 24: ₹1,378.70 📊 Summary Over the past month, PUNJABCHEM has experienced a decline, trading within a range of ₹1,320.30 to ₹1,407.50. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, with the stock trading below key moving averages and a negative MACD. However, the low RSI indicates potential for a rebound if buying interest returns.
NSE:PUNJABCHEMLong
by Knowledgehub
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Trendline Breakout in SAMMAANCAP BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:SAMMAANCAP
by Kapil-Mittal
2
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Trendline Breakout in IDEA BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:IDEA
by Kapil-Mittal
2
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Trendline Breakout in SOUTHBANK BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:SOUTHBANK
by Kapil-Mittal
2
Swing Trading and Positional Trading1. Understanding Swing Trading 1.1 Definition Swing trading is a short-to-medium-term trading strategy where traders aim to capitalize on price swings or fluctuations within a trend. Unlike day trading, which involves buying and selling securities within the same day, swing trading typically involves holding positions for several days to weeks. The main goal is to capture a portion of a market move, whether upward or downward. 1.2 Objectives The primary objective of swing trading is to identify short-term opportunities in the market and profit from them without getting caught in long-term market fluctuations. Swing traders often rely on technical analysis, chart patterns, and market indicators to make decisions. 1.3 Key Strategies in Swing Trading Swing trading involves several techniques to identify profitable opportunities: Trend Trading: Riding the momentum of an existing trend. Traders look for strong upward or downward trends and enter trades in the direction of the trend. Breakout Trading: Identifying key levels of support or resistance and entering trades when the price breaks through these levels. Reversal Trading: Spotting potential trend reversals using candlestick patterns, indicators like RSI (Relative Strength Index), or MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). Momentum Trading: Trading based on momentum indicators and volume spikes that suggest a strong directional move. 1.4 Tools and Indicators Swing traders often use a combination of technical tools and indicators to identify trade setups: Moving Averages: To detect trends and potential reversal points. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: To identify potential support and resistance levels. RSI and Stochastic Oscillators: To spot overbought or oversold conditions. Candlestick Patterns: To identify potential price reversals. Volume Analysis: To confirm the strength of a trend. 1.5 Advantages of Swing Trading Time Efficiency: Requires less constant monitoring compared to day trading. Profit Potential: Captures short-term market swings that can be significant. Flexibility: Can be applied to stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. 1.6 Risks and Challenges Market Volatility: Unexpected news or events can trigger sharp price movements. Overnight Risk: Prices can gap up or down between trading sessions. Requires Discipline: Traders must stick to strategies and avoid emotional decisions. 2. Understanding Positional Trading 2.1 Definition Positional trading is a long-term trading strategy where traders hold positions for weeks, months, or even years. Unlike swing trading, positional trading focuses on capturing major market trends rather than short-term price movements. Traders typically rely on a mix of fundamental analysis and technical analysis to identify long-term opportunities. 2.2 Objectives The main goal of positional trading is to capitalize on large price movements over an extended period. Positional traders aim to ride the primary trend of an asset, ignoring minor fluctuations to avoid excessive trading and transaction costs. 2.3 Key Strategies in Positional Trading Trend Following: Entering positions in alignment with the prevailing long-term trend. Fundamental Analysis: Evaluating company financials, economic indicators, and macroeconomic trends to select assets with growth potential. Breakout and Support/Resistance Analysis: Using long-term chart patterns such as triangles, head and shoulders, or channel patterns to make trading decisions. Moving Average Crossovers: Using long-term moving averages (e.g., 50-day and 200-day) to identify trend direction. 2.4 Tools and Indicators Positional traders focus on long-term technical and fundamental tools: Fundamental Reports: Company earnings, economic data, and geopolitical developments. Long-Term Moving Averages: To detect primary trends. Trend Lines and Channels: For identifying support and resistance zones. Technical Patterns: Such as cup-and-handle, double top/bottom for long-term breakout opportunities. 2.5 Advantages of Positional Trading Less Time-Intensive: Requires minimal day-to-day monitoring. Lower Transaction Costs: Fewer trades reduce brokerage fees. Potential for Large Gains: Capturing long-term trends can result in substantial profits. 2.6 Risks and Challenges Market Corrections: Long-term holdings are susceptible to market corrections. Capital Commitment: Funds remain tied up for extended periods. Patience and Discipline Required: Traders must resist the urge to react to short-term volatility. 3. Risk Management in Both Styles Risk management is vital for both swing and positional trading. Techniques include: Stop-Loss Orders: Placing stop-loss levels to limit potential losses. Position Sizing: Determining the appropriate trade size based on risk tolerance. Diversification: Avoiding concentration in a single asset or sector. Regular Review: Monitoring positions and adjusting strategies as market conditions change. 4. Practical Examples 4.1 Swing Trading Example A swing trader identifies a stock in a strong upward trend with support at ₹500 and resistance at ₹550. The trader buys at ₹505 and targets a sell at ₹545, with a stop-loss at ₹495. Over a week, the stock rises to ₹545, yielding a short-term profit. 4.2 Positional Trading Example A positional trader identifies a technology stock with strong fundamentals and long-term growth prospects. Buying at ₹1,000 with a target of ₹1,500 over the next year, the trader ignores minor fluctuations, focusing on the overall upward trend. Over several months, the stock appreciates steadily, achieving the target. 5. Integrating Both Strategies Some traders combine swing and positional strategies: Hybrid Approach: Holding a core long-term position while taking short-term swing trades on other assets. Hedging: Using swing trades to hedge risks in a long-term portfolio. This approach allows traders to balance risk and reward while leveraging both short-term and long-term opportunities. 6. Psychological Aspects Swing Traders: Must handle short-term volatility, avoid overtrading, and maintain discipline. Positional Traders: Need patience, emotional stability, and a long-term mindset. Emotional discipline and mental resilience are key to success in both trading styles. Conclusion Both swing trading and positional trading offer valuable opportunities in financial markets. Swing trading is ideal for traders seeking short-term profits from market fluctuations, while positional trading suits those aiming to capture long-term trends. Choosing the right strategy depends on individual risk tolerance, time availability, and market knowledge. Mastery of technical analysis, risk management, and psychological discipline is essential for success in either style. Combining insights from both strategies can provide a comprehensive approach to trading, maximizing profits while mitigating risks.
Education
by TechnicalExpress