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Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 13th October 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY Index has resistance near 57000 – 57100 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 57500– 57600 range. Banknifty has immediate support near 56200 - 56100 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 55700 - 55600 range. A gap-down opening is expected following the imposition of an additional 100% tariff by the US on Chinese imports effective November 1st. However, buying interest may emerge at lower levels as signals indicate possible finalisation of the India-US trade deal in the coming weeks.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by RKMAURYA
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 13th October 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE Index has resistance near 27075 - 27125 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 27300 - 27350 range. Finnifty has immediate support near 26675 – 26625 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 26450 – 26400 range. A gap-down opening is expected following the imposition of an additional 100% tariff by the US on Chinese imports effective November 1st. However, buying interest may emerge at lower levels as signals indicate possible finalisation of the India-US trade deal in the coming weeks.
NSE:CNXFINANCEShort
by RKMAURYA
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 13th October 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT Index has immediate resistance near 13275 – 13300 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 13425– 13450 range. Midnifty has immediate support near 13025 – 13000 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 12875 – 12850 range. A gap-down opening is expected following the imposition of an additional 100% tariff by the US on Chinese imports effective November 1st. However, buying interest may emerge at lower levels as signals indicate possible finalisation of the India-US trade deal in the coming weeks.
NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECTShort
by RKMAURYA
Momentum & Trend Following Strategies in TradingUnderstanding Momentum in Trading Momentum refers to the rate at which the price of a financial instrument moves in a particular direction. Traders who adopt momentum strategies aim to buy assets showing upward momentum and sell assets showing downward momentum. The underlying assumption is that price trends, once established, tend to persist due to behavioral biases and institutional flows. Key Concepts in Momentum Trading Relative Strength: Momentum traders often compare the performance of an asset against its historical performance or a benchmark. Assets outperforming the market are considered candidates for buying, while underperforming assets may be sold or shorted. Price Rate of Change (ROC): This measures the percentage change in an asset’s price over a specified period, helping traders identify accelerating trends. Moving Averages & Crossovers: Traders use short-term and long-term moving averages to spot momentum. For instance, if a 20-day moving average crosses above a 50-day moving average, it signals upward momentum. Breakouts: Momentum traders look for price breakouts from key resistance or support levels, often indicating the start of a strong directional move. Volume Confirmation: A momentum move accompanied by higher trading volume suggests conviction and increases the probability of trend continuation. Behavioral Rationale Momentum is strongly linked to investor psychology. Behavioral biases such as herding, overconfidence, and delayed reaction to news contribute to the persistence of price trends. Market participants tend to chase rising assets, amplifying momentum, while undervalued or declining assets continue to fall as pessimism dominates sentiment. Momentum Indicators Several technical indicators are widely used in momentum trading: Relative Strength Index (RSI): Measures the speed and change of price movements; helps identify overbought or oversold conditions. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): Identifies trend direction and momentum strength. Stochastic Oscillator: Compares a security’s closing price to its price range over a period, indicating momentum shifts. Rate of Change (ROC): Quantifies the percentage change in price over a specified time frame. Momentum strategies are typically short-to-medium-term, ranging from a few days to several months, depending on market conditions and the trader’s time horizon. Understanding Trend Following Trend following is a broader trading approach based on identifying and riding long-term directional movements in the market. Unlike momentum trading, which focuses on relative performance and price acceleration, trend following emphasizes sustained price movements regardless of speed. Trend followers aim to enter trades in the direction of the prevailing trend and exit when trends reverse. Core Principles of Trend Following Markets Trend More Often Than They Mean-Revert: Trend followers operate on the principle that markets, over medium to long-term periods, exhibit trends in response to macroeconomic factors, sentiment shifts, or institutional positioning. Trading with the Market: Trend following is inherently reactive. Traders wait for clear signals from price movements rather than predicting reversals or tops and bottoms. Risk Management and Position Sizing: Since trends can reverse unexpectedly, risk management is critical. Trend followers use stop losses, trailing stops, and controlled position sizes to protect capital. Time Horizon: Trend-following strategies typically have longer holding periods than momentum strategies, ranging from weeks to months or even years in certain markets, such as commodities or forex. Trend Following Indicators Trend-following strategies rely heavily on technical indicators to identify the direction and strength of trends: Moving Averages: Simple Moving Average (SMA) or Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossovers are common trend signals. For example, a trader may buy when a shorter-term EMA crosses above a longer-term EMA. Average Directional Index (ADX): Measures the strength of a trend regardless of direction; values above 25 often indicate a strong trend. Bollinger Bands: Trend followers use bands to confirm price breakouts or sustained trends. Parabolic SAR: Identifies potential trend reversals and helps with trailing stops. Practical Implementation Step 1: Market Selection Both momentum and trend-following strategies can be applied across multiple markets, including: Equities: Individual stocks or stock indices. Forex: Currency pairs exhibiting strong directional movements. Commodities: Metals, oil, and agricultural products. Cryptocurrencies: Digital assets with high volatility and clear trends. Step 2: Identifying Trends or Momentum For momentum trading, rank assets based on recent performance, RSI, or ROC indicators. For trend-following, analyze price charts for moving average crossovers, trendlines, or ADX confirmation. Step 3: Entry and Exit Rules Momentum Entry: Buy assets showing positive momentum or breaking above resistance; sell or short assets showing negative momentum. Trend-Following Entry: Enter positions in the direction of the prevailing trend after confirmation from moving averages or trendlines. Exit Rules: Use stop losses, trailing stops, or reversal signals to exit positions. Trend followers often ride trends until technical indicators signal a reversal. Step 4: Risk Management Risk management is critical for both strategies: Position Sizing: Determine trade size based on account equity and risk tolerance (e.g., risking 1–2% per trade). Diversification: Spread risk across multiple assets to reduce exposure to a single market. Stop Losses: Protect capital from unexpected reversals. Volatility Adjustment: Higher volatility assets may require tighter risk controls or smaller position sizes. Advanced Strategy Variations Dual Momentum: Combines relative and absolute momentum. Traders invest in assets with the strongest performance relative to others while ensuring they are positive in absolute terms. Trend-Momentum Hybrid: Uses momentum indicators for entry and trend-following techniques for position management. For example, enter on RSI breakout but use moving averages to exit. Sector Rotation: Momentum traders may rotate capital between sectors or asset classes based on relative performance trends. Algorithmic and Systematic Approaches: Many hedge funds implement algorithmic momentum and trend-following strategies using quantitative models, high-frequency data, and machine learning for signal optimization. Performance and Market Conditions Momentum and trend-following strategies tend to perform differently depending on market conditions: Trending Markets: Both strategies excel in strong, directional trends. Trend followers benefit from sustained moves, while momentum traders profit from short bursts of strong performance. Choppy or Sideways Markets: Momentum strategies may generate false signals, while trend-following strategies may suffer from whipsaw losses. Volatile Markets: Momentum strategies can capture rapid gains, but risk management is crucial to avoid large drawdowns. Empirical studies have shown that momentum strategies often produce short-term outperformance in equities and commodities, while trend-following strategies are particularly effective in commodity, forex, and futures markets over the long term. Behavioral and Psychological Considerations Both momentum and trend-following strategies exploit behavioral biases: Herding: Investors tend to follow recent winners, reinforcing momentum. Anchoring: Market participants anchor to past prices, creating delayed reactions that trend followers can exploit. Overreaction: Short-term overreactions create opportunities for momentum trades. Discipline Requirement: Traders must overcome fear and greed, sticking to systematic rules rather than attempting to time reversals. Examples of Momentum & Trend Following Equities: Buying technology stocks outperforming the S&P 500 for the past 3–6 months (momentum) or holding positions until a 50-day moving average crossover signals a reversal (trend-following). Forex: Trading EUR/USD when it breaks above a recent high with increasing volume (momentum) or following a long-term uptrend using EMA crossovers (trend-following). Commodities: Entering oil futures when prices break out from a support/resistance zone (momentum) or riding a multi-month trend using ADX to gauge trend strength (trend-following). Advantages and Limitations Advantages Simplicity: Rules-based approach allows systematic trading. Adaptability: Works across multiple markets and timeframes. Behavioral Edge: Exploits common psychological biases in trading. Scalability: Can be applied to both retail and institutional portfolios. Limitations False Signals: Particularly in range-bound markets, leading to potential losses. Drawdowns: Both strategies can experience significant losses during trend reversals. Market Sensitivity: Performance may degrade in markets with low liquidity or sudden news shocks. Discipline Required: Traders must follow strict rules, avoiding emotional decision-making. Conclusion Momentum and trend-following strategies are pillars of modern trading methodology. While momentum strategies capitalize on short-term price accelerations, trend-following strategies aim to capture long-term directional moves. Both approaches are grounded in behavioral finance principles, technical analysis, and empirical research, making them effective tools for traders seeking systematic, disciplined approaches. The success of these strategies depends on rigorous market analysis, sound risk management, and psychological discipline. While they are not immune to losses, their adaptability across markets, scalability, and historical efficacy make them indispensable in both retail and institutional trading. By combining these strategies intelligently, traders can create robust portfolios capable of profiting in multiple market conditions, harnessing both short-term momentum surges and long-term trends for sustained success.
NSE:KOTAKBANKEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Bank Nifty spot 56609.75 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly updateBank Nifty spot 56609.75 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update - Support Zone 55125 to 55775 for Bank Nifty decently active - Resistance Zone 56950 to 57350 then ATH 57628.40 for Bank Nifty - Falling Resistance Trendline Breakout seems in the making for uptrend - Rising Support Channel stood ground and provided steady positive support - Bullish Rising W pattern done and well sustained by current trending momentum - Support Zone tested and tested over the past full week, indicating probable positive trend
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by PIYUSHCHAVDA
Jubilant Foodworks: Wave 2 Near End?After peaking at ₹796.75, Jubilant Foodworks entered a corrective A–B–C decline, completing Wave 2 near ₹575 — right at the 0.618 retracement of Wave 1. Price has since held above this key support, suggesting the corrective phase may be complete. The setup is now simple: Entry Zone: Around ₹608 (0.5 retracement) Stop-Loss / Invalidation: Below ₹575 Target: Initial confirmation above ₹796, with Wave 3 potential extending higher Momentum check: RSI correctly flagged the earlier bearish divergence between Wave 3 and Wave 5, leading to the current correction. At present, RSI sits near 43, capped by a falling trendline. A decisive breakout in RSI above 50 would provide the green light for Wave 3’s bullish acceleration. If the trendline support holds and momentum follows through, Wave 3 could push well beyond the prior peak at ₹796, opening the door to fresh highs. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:JUBLFOODLong
by WaveXplorer
5
Nestle India eyes breakout after stock split boostTopic Statement: Nestle India’s recent stock split has made the stock more affordable and liquid, as it now approaches key resistance levels with bullish momentum. Key Points: 1. The price recently took strong support at the long-term trendline, resulting in a bullish deflection 2. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1095 also provided crucial support during the recovery 3. The stock is currently attempting a breakout above the 23.6% retracement level at 1207, which could drive it toward its lifetime high at 1389 4. At 1389, the price may form a triple top candlestick pattern, and a successful breakout beyond this level could push the stock to new all-time highs
NSE:NESTLEIND
by yogeshwar
Cupid Price ActionCupid Limited’s stock is trading around ₹158 as of early August 2025, having recently hit new record highs above ₹162. The share price surged over 45% in the past month and is up more than 100% year-to-date, significantly outperforming both its FMCG peers and the broader market. Volatility is high: daily moves of 5–6% are common, and intraday swings have reached as much as 8%. The stock is trading well above all major moving averages, reflecting strong buying momentum. Long-term performance is outstanding: over 1,300% returns in three years and more than 2,100% across ten years. That said, short-term technical signals show that Cupid is “overbought” (very high RSI) and potentially due for a corrective pullback, though robust momentum could drive further gains. The high PE ratio near 104 and price/book around 21 indicate a rich valuation versus historic averages and sector norms. Market capitalization is about ₹4,240 crore. Despite being expensive on most valuation models, the company is seen as fundamentally strong: steady operational performance, minimal debt, and no significant pledged shares. The company’s next earnings announcement is due August 8, and recent market behavior suggests results can drive significant further volatility. Compared to other FMCG names, Cupid’s returns are exceptionally strong while most large and mid-cap sector players (like HUL, Dabur, and Colgate) have posted declines over the past year. Liquidity has increased with heavy volume spikes during rallies, supporting the uptrend. In summary, Cupid is a high-momentum, high-volatility small-cap outperformer exhibiting extraordinary multi-year returns. The stock trades at elevated valuations and, while short-term corrections may occur, its leadership in the sector and technical strength continue to attract aggressive buyers.
NSE:CUPIDLong
by KamalKJoshi
National Aluminium Co. Ltd (NALCO) – 1HMarket Structure: Price is currently in a bullish trend with a clear BOS (Break of Structure) on the 1H timeframe. After showing strong displacement to the upside, the market is expected to retrace into a discount zone before continuing bullish expansion. POI (Point of Interest): A demand zone is identified around ₹214–₹215, aligning with previous structure support and unmitigated bullish order block. Price may revisit this zone to collect liquidity and rebalance inefficiency. Liquidity & FVG Analysis: Liquidity Sweep: Sell-side liquidity below ₹216–₹217 could be targeted next. Fair Value Gap: Exists between ₹216–₹220 — a likely magnet for re-entry before expansion. Scenarios (As per the 3 projected paths): Red Path: Aggressive continuation after shallow retracement — short-term bullish impulse. Purple Path: Controlled pullback and BOS confirmation before bullish leg. Black Path: Deep liquidity sweep into POI (~₹214) followed by a strong reversal. Trade Setup: Entry Zone: ₹214–₹215 (after bullish reaction confirmation). Stop Loss: Below ₹199 (structural invalidation). Target: ₹248+ (premium zone and equal highs). Bias: 🟢 Bullish – Looking for liquidity sweep and continuation to premium range. Confirmation: Wait for a lower timeframe BOS (M15–M5) within POI before entry.
NSE:NATIONALUMLong
by YCGH_Capital