Trendreversal
PARALLEL CHANNEL + BULLISH HARAMI POWER !BAJAJCON is forming a good parallel channel pattern since last 140+ days. Now the stock is near its support line of the channel. Stock has also formed bullish harami ( japanese candlestick pattern ) which is trend reversal pattern from bearing to bullish. Considering these two good signals, this can be a good long opportunity. Please note that this analysis was done by me only for educational purpose, feel free to share your views/feedback.
LONG-TERM-ACCUMULATION-CHANNEL-BREAKOUT-VOLUME-PROFILEDisclaimer-:
1. Long-Term Bets can be solely made from technical analysis if done correctly. Nonetheless this can be used in combination with Fundamental Analysis . So readers feel free to comment fundamental ideas if any, either in support of long or short, both will be highly appreciated.
2. **FOR WHOM VOLUME PROFILE AND MY METHOD IS A LITTLE NEW OR BLURRY . I WILL SOON PUT UP AN EDUCATIONAL POST WITH DETAILS AND EXAMPLES. WE CAN HAVE A SERIES OF DISCUSSIONS THERE TOO. DO FOLLOW MY ACCOUNT TO GET NOTIFIED.
3. Do ask your questions in the comments if any.
VOLUME-PROFILE-:
Can be used to identify accumulation/distribution regions when we compare the current region volume to previous/historical volume.
During trend-reversal if the previous trend volume is lower as compared to current region volume then high chance that reversal will take place and will face less resistance to previous trend.
By spotting the regions at the right time we can enter and not miss out on the nice trend.
OBSERVATIONS-:
NSE:IBULHSGFIN was in a downtrend. it broke out of the channel whose trendlines have been tested at least 3 times. Thus giving a strong breakout.
Recently it formed a nice triangular pattern and has given a breakout.
The volume of current region is very very high compared to the volume of fall. It means trend -reversal will happen and now accumulation is happening. Moreover as it moves forward it will face weak resistance.
A nice breakout above 300 level will confirm and uptrend may start.
TARGET WITH LOGIC
Since the all the time high level, 1370 , stock has been falling with very low volume . While now the volume of accumulation is too high, so there is a high chance it can reach the all-time high.
ENTRY-:
Above 300 breakout with confirmation. You can also do position sizing .
STOP-LOSS-:
Since 55 is a nice support level so for a long-term bet a conservative and wide stop-loss is essential. In this case since the target is high enough, it makes sense to have a deep stop-loss.
EXIT
Sometimes we have to exit before target. Following can be taken as signs of bearishness-:
1. If there is bearish candlestick pattern in 1W timeframe, stop-loss can be trailed to a nearby support level .(Like Candle Low)
2. If there is RSI Divergence in 1W timeframe, better to exit at close of 1W since afterwards there can be long consolidation or reversal.
3. If the trailing stop-loss is hit, please exit
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**I WILL POST NECESSARY , SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THIS THREAD LIKE ADDITION TO POSITION, EXIT SIGNALS, BREAKOUT ETC.
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NSE:IBULHSGFIN
Trade setup with fibonacci This setup is on daily timeframe.
Stoploss at 0.38 level i.e. below the resistance line of pattern which should act as support now.
If the 0.61 level is break the we will get the confirmation that the trend is changed.
The uptrend will begin and 52 week high will be our major resistance and the target too.
Because it's 52 week high it's strong resistance,
so to go a little safe I will plan the target little below it.
The RR ratio is not that pretty. It's 1.27.
An example of price action analysis with fibonacci.
This post for educational purpose only.
HCLTECH - Bullish ReversalThe last resistance of 900 is acting as new support which has been successfully sustained and retested 3 times.
Again a bullish reversal is seen from 900.
CMP - 945
SL - 900
Target 1 - 1040
Target 2 - 1075
Target 3 - New all time high
If trendline resistance is broken then a new all-time high can be seen which makes this trade great from the perspective of risk to reward.
BANKNIFTY BUY ABOVE 33024.55 with a target of 33953.5 stop loss - 32237 (stop loss on 15 min candle close)
Personally, I don't prefer this huge stop loss but the pattern negotiation point is 32237
Sell at 33954 with a stop loss of 34057.15 (stop loss on 15 min candle close
Personally, I try to short for this trade because the R:R is good in shorting
BULLISH BAT in NATURAL GASOnce it reach at D, reversal can expect
The chart is self explanatory and is for educational purpose
If you agree the idea, support with like
burger kind - bearish move - wait for right opportunity to buy1. may fall till 61% and retrace its trend in upward direction
2. could go down till second support level and reverse
BPCL trend reversalBPCL was in a very clear uptrend from 22nd December... after that yesterday it formed a green candle with small wicks, today it opened gap up but could not retain the price and closed deep into yesterday's body.
The encircled pattern is called Dark Cloud Cover.
As the name suggests, a downtrend is expected after the appearance of this pattern.
You can keep a target of the 200-day exponential moving average.
The stop loss will be the highest high among both the candles forming the pattern.
In this case, the highest high is the high of the first day (green) candle.






















