EURUSD - Down trend - TVP break ScenarioDown Trend is confirmed by ABCD, 'C' being the TVP level for the trend. Which gives the bias to the Down side. However there are two Scenarios that could possibly happen as we see candle '1' has broken the TVP.
Scenario 1 (Green): If candle '1' is broken and given acceptance then we could expect price to move up and break 'A' . Our entry would come on the signal candle of the Pullback.
Scenario 2 (Orange): If candle '1' is broken and given Rejection or Un acceptance price will fall back in tune with the trend. Our entry would be on the signal candle initiating the down leg after the break of candle 1.
TVP
AUDUSD - Trend & TVP Analysis'ABCD' is a Downtrend 'E' being first pullback entry.
Level C indicates Trend Violation Point (TVP) breaking this level and getting accepting above it will violate Trend ABCD and gives new bias for the following trade. Unacceptence of TVP break will give the bias in the direction of the Trend ABCD.
However we can continue to Short the 'pullbacks', to trade in the direction of the Trend ABCD untill TVP (C) is broken and accepted.