BTC Near $100K – Breakdown or Bounce?BTC Near $100K – Breakdown or Bounce?
BTCUSD – Will Bitcoin Hold ₹100K Support Equivalent? Signs of Weakness Amid Global Caution
🧭 Global Market Context
Bitcoin is facing some serious resistance after failing to hold above the $108K zone. And just as Indian markets react to global cues, BTC is showing signs of stress too.
🔺 US bond yields are climbing again – bad news for crypto risk appetite
🧊 Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to attract inflows, but not strong enough to push new highs
💵 The US Dollar (DXY) is gaining strength again as investors flee risk — and that puts pressure on Bitcoin
Add to that the recent institutional sell-off, and it’s clear: BTC may need to “cool off” before another rally.
📉 Technical Picture (1H)
Bitcoin is showing a classic lower-high, lower-low pattern. A clear downtrend is in motion:
Price is below all key EMAs (34/89/200), with every rally being sold off
Important resistance sits at 106,000 – 107,000
Major support levels are now at 102,821, then 101,539, and if pressure continues — 100,419 (₹83+ lakh level for reference)
Momentum indicators like RSI are flat. No strength yet. And without a solid bullish candle from support, buyers may stay away.
🔎 Strategy Plan for Indian Traders
🔻 Short-term SELL Setup
Entry: 106,000 – 107,000
SL: 107,500
Targets: 102,821 → 101,539 → 100,419
🧠 Ideal for short-term traders looking to follow the trend
🔹 Medium-term BUY Setup (only if price reacts from 100K zone)
Entry: 100,500 – 100,800
SL: 99,800
Targets: 102,800 → 104,400 → 106,000
⚠️ Wait for bullish confirmation — avoid bottom fishing blindly
📌 Final Thought
Bitcoin is in a danger zone right now. If it loses grip on $100K support, we may see panic selling from leveraged traders. But this zone also holds opportunity — a strong bounce could spark a fresh rally.
🧘 Trade with patience. Don't chase. Let the market come to you.
USD-BTC
BTC/USD – Daily Trade Plan | 10 May 2025🟢 BTC/USD – Daily Trade Plan | 10 May 2025
"Breakout Incoming? Price Coiling Tighter Near Key Resistance!"
🔍 Market Overview:
Bitcoin has shown strong upward momentum after breaking past the $99,000 mark, reaching a short-term high at $104,269.47. Since then, price has consolidated within a narrowing range. The daily structure remains bullish, but short-term selling pressure is visible — especially ahead of the weekend and macro uncertainty.
🧭 Technical Landscape:
🔺 Resistance Zones:
$104,269.47 – Local top, price has failed to break this level several times.
$105,765 – $106,917 – Previous rejection zone + Fibonacci confluence.
$108,045 – Possible extension target if breakout confirms.
🔻 Support Zones:
$102,301 – Immediate intraday support; likely first retest.
$99,379 – Strong mid-range support, aligned with Moving Average & FVG.
$97,093 – Long-term trendline & high-demand zone.
📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Continuation
If BTC holds above $102,300 and breaks H4 resistance:
🔵 Buy Entry: $102,500 – $102,300
🎯 Targets: $104,000 → $105,700 → $106,900 → $108,000
🛑 Stop Loss: $101,800
📉 Scenario 2: Liquidity Grab & Deep Pullback
If BTC loses $102,300 support, expect a move to collect liquidity around $99K:
🔵 Buy Entry: $97,200 – $97,000
🎯 Targets: $99,000 → $101,000 → $102,500
🛑 Stop Loss: $96,400
⚠️ Key Market Considerations:
🧊 DXY Recovery: Short-term USD strength may cap BTC upside.
🏦 Fed Policy Tone: Remains hawkish. Any USD volatility can shift crypto sentiment.
🔼 Long-Term Trend: Still bullish. Focus on buy-the-dip setups rather than chasing highs.
📝 Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin is entering a coiled zone, awaiting high-volume confirmation. Breakouts or sharp rejections from the current range will decide the next leg.
🚀 Stay patient — Wait for clean candle closes (H4 preferred)
🔒 Stick to your SL/TP — Discipline defines success
💡 Avoid mid-range FOMO. Let price tell the story.





