USD INR - ZONES / LEVELS TO WATCH OUT IN SHORT-TERMWeekly update - price consolidating / spending time around the supply zone at 76.20.
Quite likely, the consolidation might continue in the short-term.
Usdinranalysis
USD INR - ZONES / LEVELS TO WATCH OUT IN SHORT-TERM16.04.2022 UPDATE
The slow grinding upmove of the last couple of trading sessions suggests absorption of supply.
USD INR - ZONES / LEVELS TO WATCH OUT IN SHORT-TERMWhat lies ahead in USD INR in the short-term? I have marked zones / levels where one should observe the price action and can, accordingly, set up a trade, long, short of neutral.
USDINR View next expiry viewUSDINR has broken down and then took support with bullish divergence
it has a good resistance of long term EMAs (200 EMA and 50 EMA) also now
Looking at Bollinger bands also it seems they are squeezing... confirming the view of price going sideways
range - between 76 and 75
Recommendation : I am going for monthly expiry short iron butterfly.
As monthly future is trading at 75.93 (round to 76)
My straddle will be of 76 (CE & PE) Sell
and will hedge both up and down with 76.25 CE Buy and 75.75 PE Buy
Risk / Reward for 100 lots : 2000 / 23000
Very good RR ratio
Margin required : 2,07,000 approx...
Plan your Trade ! Trade your Plan !
USDINR rising in silence !!!!USDINR just formed a double bottom pattern which shows that it is not interested in moving beyond 74.15 as a weekly closing basis. USDINR has given a breakout in weekly charts above 75.11 hence it can move towards 76.17.
Below you can see that its RSI moves in band, hence it can move to test RSI upper band.
USDINR facing final resistance before new highFX_IDC:USDINR chart for the post corona fall phase shows that the present level is at;
A) 78.6% Fibonacci extension level from the Feb 2021 bottom
B) Resistance line of upward channel formed since May 2021
The intersection level at 75.96-75.98 is playing as the last resistance point before its move to lifetime high of 77.
USDINR: Breakout and retest done, 75.50 coming?USDINR has broken out of the symmetrical triangle pattern formed on the weekly chart which I had discussed in my previous idea. After that it has done a retest of the pattern trendline and the 20EMA on the daily chart. If we observe a continuation bar forming, as explained on the chart, we could see a retest of 75.50 pretty soon.
Stay tuned for the continuation of the story..
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Manage risk properly and trade your plan.
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#usdinr weekly inverted hammerThe USDINR currency pair charts weekly charts showing an inverted hammer formation at previous resistance zone close by trendline channel top shows the presence of bears and could be potential reversal signal that could possibly mean it is less likely for the currency pair to move to 76 levels and beyond. The dollar index may be facing resistance before 94.7. However the weekly momentum has climbed back to bull zones second time after the cover wave one where first attempt never sustained. The weekly trend is also is bull zones but the ADX strength bent is seen on short term daily charts that is saying that trend strength may be reducing coming days. With the US tapering that could come in soon dollar further strengthen is a threat for those trading short on this with any breakout from the current resistance zone would be ugly. USDINR options strangles can be played if it breaks and hit the next resistance of near 77 levels on November monthly contracts.
USDINR View - Bullish
USDINR has broken out of range after about 20 days.
Good Volume candle
Chart pattern - Triangle Break out
Bull put Spread strategy for next few weeks...
USDINR: Breakout or Breakdown?On the weekly USDINR chart, there is a symmetrical triangle kind of a formation. It has taken about 20 months to form on the chart. This pattern could break on either side. My bias would be on the long side because the overall trend on the weekly and the monthly chart looks definitely bullish. But I would be open to re evaluate the scenario if it breaks the pattern and the trendlines to the down side.
Possible upside long term target: 81
Possible downside long term target: 67
Wait for the breakout and retest on either side, then trade on smaller timeframes.
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Manage risk properly and trade your plan.
Like and follow for more. :)
USDINR - Reversal from ResistanceNote: This is for educational purpose only. Please do not trade in F&O based on this analysis.
There seems to be a bearish reversal from supply zone. Low of current candle is lower than that of previous candle.
SL: ₹ 74.70
USDINR View 27 Aug 2021USDINR in a downtrend channel still as published previously.
Now it is also showing Head and Shoulder pattern if breaks the neckline will give good targets similar to the length from top of head to neckline.
If it fails to break down, then sideways view continued till it breaks upside.
Will look for price action tomorrow and take position of bear call spread if it favors my view.
Happy Trading !!!
USDINR View USDINR finally printed an Evening Star kind of pattern,
taking resistance of a downtrend channel.
Not in any trade this week as I was not very clear with my view.
Now, will take the trade tomorrow, based on price action,
will try to execute bear call spread and will try to sell on a bounce if I get one.
USD/INR preparing to move!Monthly chart for USD/INR formed ascending triangle and looks ready for a potential down move.
Things to consider:
1. Ascending Traingle formation
2. Monthly Resistance
3. Macd & RSI indicating down move
4. Half M formation (could complete to make full M)
How to enter:
1. Review the market conditions as i presented
2. Locate the monthly resistance
3. Take entry on strong down moment on 4 hr tf
ALL THE BEST!
USDINR Strategy deployedUSDINR is stucked between 50 & 200 EMA
Hence, the strategy applied is Short Iron Condor
Sold ATM CE & PE
Bought OTM CE & PE to cover Sold Options / Hedge
Break Even Points
Downside BEP 74.11
Upside BEP 74.64
Max Profit expected : 12%
USDINR Eagle's Eye View USDINR in Channel
Taking Support and Resistances in the channel drawn.
Looks downtrend in near future.
Happy Trading !!!
USDINR View Scenario 1 : Continues the Head n Shoulder breakdown (can you spot Head and Shoulder?) to achieve T1
of Head and Shoulder breakdown target &
200 EMA Support. If breaks further,
then T2 can be achieved which is a support of 2 hammers printed previously.
Scenario 2 : If it does not break and open flat or gapup,
it may consolidate here before breaking down. Range 74.5 - 74.25
Scenario 3 : It may achieve T1 and do a false breakdown of the inclined trend line (& 50 EMA) and again bounce back up.
Look for bullish candle patterns here.
USDINR View USDINR formed a bearish divergence
Carrying a bear call spread for this week's expiry
Sold 75 CE
and Hedged 72.25 CE, buying it.
Long USDINRUSD/INR
FX_IDC:USDINR
CMP - 72.904
Stop - 72.100 on DCB
Expectation -
T1 - 74.500
T2 - 75.770, Review at 74.500
Expected Holding Period - 40 trading days or earlier for T1
View:- Swing
Disclaimer:-
Ideas being shared only for educational purpose
Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing