Note: This is for educational purpose only.
There seems to be a bearish breakout in USDINR with ultra high volume. However, RSI is below 30 which indicates oversold. Don't aggressively short this pair. There is a possibility of some bounce back before the next down fall.
74.66, 75.22, 75.47 three higher lows breaking out from long consolidation pushing price extremely higher highs.
Reasons:
1. Nifty fall and gain
2. consolidation break out and pullback
3. bullish divergence on oscillators
4. Bullish structure.
A small slow pullback to 75 and then drop below today's low to 74.50 noted.
Reasons:
1. Rsi divergence
2. Price closing lower low
3. Price following a downward slope parallel channel
4. There's a 50 and 618% retracement at 75.00
Check Jpyinr idea here link down below
Finally, That long consolidation pattern broke out and the price seems to respecting 75.84 level which crucial to maintain further up move.
if it happens taking support at 75.84 then 77 and 78 on the way.
Reasons:
1. Price broke out the long consolidation pattern Triangle, pennant .
2. Keeping in that RSI still deviating but price structure is still bullish .
3....
I'm having bearish sentiment.
Reasons.
1. Usdinr at lifetime high.
2. Rsi strong bearish divergence.
3. price is in a consolidation triangle zone.
Question is, which way? I'm seeing probability is downside as per ordinary theory.
As observed the USDINR pair has curved out and formed a bottom followed by a drop. The INR has then depreciated against the greenback breaking out from the consolidation phase. However the RBI's intervention can act as a strong resistance for the USDINR from spiking upwards. In the last 2 trading days as the Dow has fallen by ~14%, this has not had a major impact...
TREND ANALYSIS & TRADE SETUP
Follow Chart Instruction.
Do not be Hurry for entry.
Wait for Proper Entry Setup.
Buy/Sell with Best Risk Reward.
Educational Chart Only.
You can Comment and ask the TREND ANALYSIS of any STOCK/SCRIPT/INDEX/FOREX.
Wait for entry setup, if available then Long/short.
R:R is 10 to 12 times.
USDINR is moving in a wedge.
Longs can be added on closing basis after break of upper line.
SHORTS can be added on closing basis after break of lower line.
Not advisable to take positions on inside the wedge.
Will update more on any significant moves.
Date: 10/09/2019
This is the 3H chart.
Your positions are your own sound decisions. I am not responsible...
as the Indian equity market little revive usdinr will retrace somewhere around 70.50 and 70.32.
Confluences & Reason:
1. Bearish Rsi divergence on the daily time frame.
2. Pattern rising wedge broke out to the downside.
3. pivot level fib 38% and 50% retracement price at 70.32.
With a sudden rise in USDINR and little Consolidation is going on. One can buy at the current levels of 71.50-71.55 for the target of 72.45-72.50.
With an SL of 70.70-70.76 for the September month.
it seems an ending diagonal has formed and a bear divergence on the rsi can favor a bearish dip. it might open a new door to big players accumulate but if price really holds 70.65 and 70.32. otherwise it will drive into bearish trend. following long time frame usdinr does not look it will enter into bear trend certainly as usdinr having no favorable sentiment. ...
Hi, we saw USDINR's 2018 move from 68.31 to 74.48 and now we are on the same phase of market cycle from 1 august to october 10. 2018. I'm expecting same market cycle in 2019 along with other three INR pairs EURINR, GBPINR, and JPYINR. do your maths.
I'll keep updating when I see new opportunity. Thanks!
Be neutral. empty your brain. learn and unlearn. abandoned...
