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USDJPY

USDJPY breaks immediate support despite BoJ inactionUSDJPY appears well-set to reverse the previous weekly gains as it reverses from a three-week-old descending resistance line surrounding 141.00. Also adding strength to the downside bias could be the pair’s break of a fortnight-old support line’s break, as well as bearish MACD signals. However, the below 50.0 levels of the RSI challenges the Yen pair as US Dollar bulls flex muscles ahead of the Fed’s favorite inflation clue, namely the Core PCE Price Index. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s recovery remains elusive below 141.00 while the 200-SMA and multiple technical levels marked since June 19 and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the June-July downside together constitute the 142.00-10 area as a tough nut to crack for the bulls. On the contrary, USDJPY sellers need validation from the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement near 139.00 to rule further. Should the Yen pair remains bearish past 139.00, tops marked in March and May around 137.70 and the monthly low near 137.25 will act as the final defenses of the major currency pair. If at all the quote drops beneath 137.25, May’s bottom of near 133.50 and the 130.00 threshold will lure the sellers. Overall, USDJPY is likely to add to the weekly gains but US data appears crucial to watch for clear directions.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY rebound appears overdueUSDJPY dropped in the last two consecutive weeks but ended Friday on a positive note as it bounced off a convergence of the 100-DMA and the 200-DMA. Adding strength to the hopes of recovery is the oversold RSI and the pair’s closing beyond a seven-month-old horizontal support zone, around 137.90-138.20. That said, the 140.00 round figure appears immediate hurdle to cross for the Yen pair buyers to retake control, a break of which needs validation from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of October 2022 to January 2023 downside, near 142.50, to confirm a bullish trend. In that case, the previous monthly high of 145.00 and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of near 146.70 hold the key for the run-up targeting the 150.00 psychological magnet and then toward the last yearly high of near 152.00. Meanwhile, the aforementioned DMA convergence, surrounding 137.00, appears a tough nut to crack for the USDJPY bears. Following that, an ascending support line stretched from mid-January 2023, near 135.30, will act as the last defense of the Yen pair buyers. Should the risk-barometer pair remains bearish past 135.30, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and March’s low, respectively near 133.00 and 129.65, will be in the spotlight. Overall, USDJPY bears seem running out of steam but the road toward the north appears long and bumpy.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold? USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold? In September of last year, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) made a move in the market to strengthen its currency when it reached 145 against the USD, marking the first such intervention since 1998. This action was taken following the BOJ's decision to maintain an extremely accommodative policy (a policy that is yet to change still). The BOJ intervened once more in October when the yen further plummeted to its lowest level in 32 years, reaching 151.94 against the dollar. At present, investors hold a substantial short position in the yen, valued at $9.793 billion, representing the largest such position in the USDJPY since May 2022. This value has nearly doubled in just the past three months. Notably, former Japanese Vice Finance Minister Eisuke Sakakibara has suggested that the USDJPY could reach 160 before the BOJ intervenes once again. However, the USDJPY has recently built a bit of a buffer between itself and whatever the intervention threshold is for the BoJ. Over the past two trading days, the US dollar has weakened, largely due to remarks made by Federal Reserve officials. These statements have strengthened the belief that the US central bank is nearing the end of its tightening phase. It is widely anticipated that Fed policymakers will implement a rate increase during their upcoming meeting this month, which would set the policy rate range at 5.25% to 5.50%. However, the timing of any subsequent rate hikes remains uncertain. There are questions whether they will raise rates again in September, delay until November, or maintain the current stance and allow inflation to naturally subside over time. Consequently, the US dollar has experienced a decline against the yen, reaching a low of 141.32 yen, the lowest level observed since June 21. Currently, it is down 0.5% at 141.328. This drop follows a decrease of nearly 1.3% seen last Friday when the US nonfarm payrolls for June fell short of market expectations at 209,000.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDJPY bulls seem tiring, bears need rising wedge confirmationUSDJPY’s U-turn from an eight-month high has significance for the sellers as it reverses from a convergence of the rising wedge bearish chart pattern’s top-line and a 10-month-old horizontal resistance area. Not only that, but the overbought RSI also suggests the end of a bullish reign. The same signals the Yen pair’s pullback to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the October 2022 to January 2023 downturn, near 142.50. However, the bears need more than that to retake control, which in turn highlights a joint of the 21-EMA and bottom line of the stated wedge, close to 141.90 by the press time. Following that, the 140.00 round figure and March’s peak of 137.90 could become the seller’s favorite. Though, there will be a bumpy road for the Yen pair bears past 137.90 as lows marked in March and in January, respectively near 129.65 and 127.20, will be tough nuts to crack before directing the quote to the rising wedge confirmation’s theoretical target of 130.40 and then to the 130.00 round figure. On the contrary, the USDJPY pair’s run-up beyond the aforementioned immediate resistance confluence, near 145.00-10, could aim for the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 146.70 and then to the late October 2022 peak of around 148.85. Additionally acting as an important upside filter is the 150.00 round figure. It’s worth noting that the RSI conditions can keep challenging the Yen pair buyers on their way to the north while targeting the previous yearly top of around 152.00. Overall, USDJPY is likely to witness fresh downside but a clear break of the 141.90 support is a must for sellers to retake control.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY Downtrend AnalysisTrade Analysis : Swing USDJPY Downtrend Trendline analysis on USDJPY Trend Identification: Swing Downtrend USDJPY. Support/Resistance Levels: Identify key levels on the chart for potential entry and exit points. Price Behavior: Daily Bullish pullback with market structure. Targets: T1 = 143.375, T2 - 143.00. Check for Entry and Stop-loss. Risk Management: Set appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk and protect against adverse price movements. Confirmation Indicators: Support/Resistance Levels, Higher High, Higher Lows. Conclusion: Based on the chart analysis of , USDJPY is Downtrend has been identified. Combine this analysis with thorough research and risk management strategies to make well-informed trading decisions. Avoid counter-trend trading. Happy trading! (Note: Trading is subject to market risk. This is analysis not an trade idea for trade.)
Short
by JagadishSinghR
USDJPY UPTREND SWING ANALYSISTrade Analysis : Swing USDJPY UPTREND Trend analysis on USDJPY Trend Identification: Swing Uptrend USDJPY. Support/Resistance Levels: Identify key levels on the chart for potential entry and exit points. Price Behavior: Daily Bullish pullback with market structure. Targets: T1 = 141.00, T2 - 142.500. Risk Management: Set appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk and protect against adverse price movements. Confirmation Indicators: Support/Resistance Levels, Higher High, Higher Lows. Conclusion: Based on the chart analysis of , USDJPY is Downtrend has been identified. Combine this analysis with thorough research and risk management strategies to make well-informed trading decisions. Avoid counter-trend trading. Happy trading! (Note: Trading is subject to market risk. This is analysis not an trade idea for trade.)
Long
by JagadishSinghR
Mutiny Sends Ruble to Lowest in 15 Months Mutiny Sends Ruble to Lowest in 15 Months In one of the most turbulent trading sessions this year, the Russian ruble reached its lowest point against the US dollar in nearly 15 months on Monday. This decline followed the failed mutiny attempt by The Wagner group’s armed mercenaries over the weekend, which caused significant concern among traders. Initially catapulting to approximately 87 rubles per US dollar, the ruble later recovered some of its losses, settling at around 84.40, down 0.90% against the greenback. The Wagner group, led by troops loyal to their leader, made an unexpected advancement toward Moscow, covering hundreds of miles before eventually reversing course. In a deal struck with the Kremlin, it is reported that the group's leader, Prigozhin, will go into exile in Belarus. This incident is regarded as the most significant challenge to Vladimir Putin's rule and could weaken his leadership. The armed uprising also caused volatility in other markets. The international benchmark, Brent crude, rose by 0.8% to approximately $74 per barrel. The trading volume between the Russian ruble and Tether's USDT nearly quadrupled from $4 million on Saturday to $15 million on Sunday. In other developments, the Japanese yen strengthened by 0.11% against the US dollar, trading at 143.50 per dollar. Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs, Masato Kanda, stated that Japan was not ruling out intervening in the currency markets again. He expressed concerns about the yen's rapid and one-sided depreciation against the dollar. Japan previously intervened in the foreign exchange markets in September and October of the previous year when the yen hit a 32-year low of nearly 152 per dollar.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDJPY bulls want to believe in BoJ’s defense of easy money poliBe it the triangle breakout or the Bank of Japan (BoJ) officials’ dovish signals ahead of the monetary policy announcements, not to forget the Fed’s hawkish pause, the USDJPY pair has all that’s needed to ride north. However, the overbought RSI conditions suggest a gradual run-up with intermediate pullbacks. That said, the aforementioned two-week-old symmetrical triangle’s top line, close to 140.20, appears immediate support for the Yen pair. Following that, the 140.00 round figure and the stated triangle’s bottom line surrounding 139.00 can challenge the pair sellers. It’s worth noting that the buyers are likely to remain unshaken beyond the 200-SMA support of 138.00, a break of which could give rise to short-term setbacks for the optimists. Meanwhile, the 141.00 round figure precedes the latest peak of around 141.50 to guard the immediate upside of the USDJPY pair during its fresh rebound. In a case where the BoJ manages to defend the policy doves, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of its May 16 to June 01 moves, near 141.70, precedes the 142.00 threshold and the 78.6% FE level around 142.55 to challenge the Yen pair bulls. Above all, an upward-sloping support resistance line from early May, at 143.00 by the press time, seems a tough nut to crack for the buyers to crack.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY retreat appears doubtful beyond 137.30USDJPY remains on the way to posting the second consecutive weekly loss after reversing from the yearly top in the last week. In doing so, the Yen pair justifies the overbought RSI (14) line. However, a six-month-old horizontal support zone near 137.90-85 and the 200-DMA level surrounding 137.30 appear tough nuts to crack for the sellers to retake control. Following that, a gradual south-run toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its May-October 2022 upside, near 136.10 and then to the previous monthly low of around 133.50 can’t be ruled out. On the contrary, USDJPY recovery needs validation from the yearly latest peak of 140.95, as well as the 141.00 round figure, to convince buyers. It’s worth noting that the 140.00 psychological magnet caps the immediate upside of the Yen pair whereas a convergence of the one-month-old upward-sloping resistance line and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, near 142.15-20, can challenge the quote’s run-up beyond 141.00. In a case where the risk-barometer pair rises past 142.20, the late October 2022 low close to 145.10 will be in the spotlight. Overall, USDJPY is likely to witness short-term selling pressure but the trend remains bullish until the quote stays beyond 137.30.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY Swing Downtrend AnalysisTrade Analysis : Swing USDJPY Downtrend Channel analysis on USDJPY Trend Identification: Swing Downtrend USDJPY. Support/Resistance Levels: Identify key levels on the chart for potential entry and exit points. Price Behavior: Daily Bullish pullback with market structure. Targets: T1 = 139.00, T2 - 137.50. Risk Management: Set appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk and protect against adverse price movements. Confirmation Indicators: Support/Resistance Levels, Higher High, Higher Lows. Conclusion: Based on the chart analysis of , USDJPY is Downtrend has been identified. Combine this analysis with thorough research and risk management strategies to make well-informed trading decisions. Avoid counter-trend trading. Happy trading! (Note: Trading is subject to market risk. This is analysis not an trade idea for trade.)
Short
by JagadishSinghR
USD/JPY buy idea sharingBased on the information provided, you are planning to enter a trade in the USD/JPY currency pair. Here's an explanation of the trade for publishing: Trade Details: - Symbol: USD/JPY - Entry Price: 139.690 - Target Prices: 139.842 and 140.001 - Stop Loss: 139.582 Rationale for Entering the Trade: You have decided to enter this trade based on two factors: support at 139.5 and a potential trendline breakout. 1. Support at 139.5: You believe that the exchange rate of USD/JPY has reached a level of support at 139.5. Support is a price level at which buying pressure is expected to outweigh selling pressure, potentially leading to a price reversal or a bounce. By entering the trade near this support level, you anticipate that the price will move in a favorable direction. 2. Trendline Breakout: Additionally, you have observed a trendline on the price chart of USD/JPY, and you expect a potential breakout to occur. A trendline is a line that connects consecutive higher lows or lower highs, indicating the direction of the prevailing trend. A breakout refers to a situation where the price moves beyond the trendline, potentially signaling a shift in market sentiment and the continuation of a new trend. Based on your analysis, you believe that the price is likely to break out above the trendline, which has influenced your decision to enter the trade. Trade Parameters: - Entry Price: You plan to enter the trade at 139.690, which means you will buy USD/JPY at this exchange rate. - Target Prices: You have set two target prices for this trade. The first target is 139.842, and the second target is 140.001. These levels represent your profit-taking points, where you aim to sell the USD/JPY and realize gains. - Stop Loss: To manage potential losses, you have implemented a stop loss order at 139.582. If the price reaches this level, your trade will be automatically closed to limit your downside risk. Please note that trading involves risks, and this trade should be evaluated in the context of your own trading strategy, risk tolerance, and market conditions. It's essential to conduct thorough analysis and consider other factors such as market news, economic indicators, and overall market sentiment before making trading decisions. FX:USDJPY
Long
by HUNTSMAN_
1
Trade Analysis : USDJPY Retracement Trade Analysis : USDJPY UPTREND Retracement Channel analysis on USDJPY Trend Identification: Intraday Uptrend Pullback in USDJPY. Support/Resistance Levels: Identify key levels on the chart for potential entry and exit points. Price Behavior: Bullish pullback with market structure. Targets: T1 = 136.500, T2 - 140.00. Risk Management: Set appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk and protect against adverse price movements. Confirmation Indicators: Support/Resistance Levels, Higher High, Higher Lows. Conclusion: Based on the chart analysis of , USDJPY is Bullish retracement has been identified. Combine this analysis with thorough research and risk management strategies to make well-informed trading decisions. Avoid counter-trend trading. Happy trading! (Note: Trading is subject to market risk. This is analysis not an trade idea for trade.)
by JagadishSinghR
2