USDJPY
USDJPY retreat appears doubtful beyond 137.30USDJPY remains on the way to posting the second consecutive weekly loss after reversing from the yearly top in the last week. In doing so, the Yen pair justifies the overbought RSI (14) line. However, a six-month-old horizontal support zone near 137.90-85 and the 200-DMA level surrounding 137.30 appear tough nuts to crack for the sellers to retake control. Following that, a gradual south-run toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its May-October 2022 upside, near 136.10 and then to the previous monthly low of around 133.50 can’t be ruled out.
On the contrary, USDJPY recovery needs validation from the yearly latest peak of 140.95, as well as the 141.00 round figure, to convince buyers. It’s worth noting that the 140.00 psychological magnet caps the immediate upside of the Yen pair whereas a convergence of the one-month-old upward-sloping resistance line and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, near 142.15-20, can challenge the quote’s run-up beyond 141.00. In a case where the risk-barometer pair rises past 142.20, the late October 2022 low close to 145.10 will be in the spotlight.
Overall, USDJPY is likely to witness short-term selling pressure but the trend remains bullish until the quote stays beyond 137.30.
USDJPY Swing Downtrend AnalysisTrade Analysis : Swing USDJPY Downtrend
Channel analysis on USDJPY
Trend Identification: Swing Downtrend USDJPY.
Support/Resistance Levels: Identify key levels on the chart for potential entry and exit points.
Price Behavior: Daily Bullish pullback with market structure.
Targets: T1 = 139.00, T2 - 137.50.
Risk Management: Set appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk and protect against adverse price movements.
Confirmation Indicators: Support/Resistance Levels, Higher High, Higher Lows.
Conclusion: Based on the chart analysis of , USDJPY is Downtrend has been identified. Combine this analysis with thorough research and risk management strategies to make well-informed trading decisions. Avoid counter-trend trading. Happy trading!
(Note: Trading is subject to market risk. This is analysis not an trade idea for trade.)
USD/JPY buy idea sharingBased on the information provided, you are planning to enter a trade in the USD/JPY currency pair. Here's an explanation of the trade for publishing:
Trade Details:
- Symbol: USD/JPY
- Entry Price: 139.690
- Target Prices: 139.842 and 140.001
- Stop Loss: 139.582
Rationale for Entering the Trade:
You have decided to enter this trade based on two factors: support at 139.5 and a potential trendline breakout.
1. Support at 139.5:
You believe that the exchange rate of USD/JPY has reached a level of support at 139.5. Support is a price level at which buying pressure is expected to outweigh selling pressure, potentially leading to a price reversal or a bounce. By entering the trade near this support level, you anticipate that the price will move in a favorable direction.
2. Trendline Breakout:
Additionally, you have observed a trendline on the price chart of USD/JPY, and you expect a potential breakout to occur. A trendline is a line that connects consecutive higher lows or lower highs, indicating the direction of the prevailing trend. A breakout refers to a situation where the price moves beyond the trendline, potentially signaling a shift in market sentiment and the continuation of a new trend. Based on your analysis, you believe that the price is likely to break out above the trendline, which has influenced your decision to enter the trade.
Trade Parameters:
- Entry Price: You plan to enter the trade at 139.690, which means you will buy USD/JPY at this exchange rate.
- Target Prices: You have set two target prices for this trade. The first target is 139.842, and the second target is 140.001. These levels represent your profit-taking points, where you aim to sell the USD/JPY and realize gains.
- Stop Loss: To manage potential losses, you have implemented a stop loss order at 139.582. If the price reaches this level, your trade will be automatically closed to limit your downside risk.
Please note that trading involves risks, and this trade should be evaluated in the context of your own trading strategy, risk tolerance, and market conditions. It's essential to conduct thorough analysis and consider other factors such as market news, economic indicators, and overall market sentiment before making trading decisions. FX:USDJPY
Trade Analysis : USDJPY Retracement Trade Analysis : USDJPY UPTREND Retracement
Channel analysis on USDJPY
Trend Identification: Intraday Uptrend Pullback in USDJPY.
Support/Resistance Levels: Identify key levels on the chart for potential entry and exit points.
Price Behavior: Bullish pullback with market structure.
Targets: T1 = 136.500, T2 - 140.00.
Risk Management: Set appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk and protect against adverse price movements.
Confirmation Indicators: Support/Resistance Levels, Higher High, Higher Lows.
Conclusion: Based on the chart analysis of , USDJPY is Bullish retracement has been identified. Combine this analysis with thorough research and risk management strategies to make well-informed trading decisions. Avoid counter-trend trading. Happy trading!
(Note: Trading is subject to market risk. This is analysis not an trade idea for trade.)
USDJPY grinds higher inside five-month-old bearish triangleUSDJPY marked the first negative weekly close in four despite Friday’s gains. Following that, the Yen pair remains inside an ascending triangle bearish chart formation comprising multiple levels marked since early December 2022. That said, the RSI and MACD conditions also signal a continuation of the recent rebound within the stated triangle. With this, the top line of the aforementioned chart formation, close to 137.80 at the latest, gains the market’s attention, a break of which could defy the bearish pattern and can propel prices towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to January 2023 downside, at 142.50. It should be noted that the 140.00 round figure can act as an intermediate halt during the anticipated rise whereas a successful rise past 142.50 won’t hesitate to aim for the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level surrounding 146.70.
Meanwhile, the 100-DMA joins the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level to provide strong short-term support within the triangle around 132.80. Following that, the triangle’s lower line, close to 131.90, will be crucial to watch as a clear break of the same could confirm the theoretical fall towards 121.00. While chasing the said target, the lows marked during January 2023 and May 2022, respectively near 127.20 and 126.30, may act as intermediate halts. However, the USDJPY pair’s weakness past 121.00 could witness multiple supports around the 120.00 psychological magnet.
Overall, USDJPY is likely to decline further as Fed vs. BoJ divergence eases. Though, a clear downside break of 131.90 becomes necessary to convince bears.
USDJPY Head & Shoulder Neckline Breakout level @ 133.0USD/JPY struggles for a firm direction, stuck in a range around 133.00 mark
Growing worries about a deeper global economic downturn drive some haven flows towards the Japanese Yen (JPY), which, along with the prevalent US Dollar (USD) selling bias, act as a headwind for the USD/JPY pair. It is worth recalling that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) trimmed its 2023 global growth outlook on Tuesday, citing the impact of higher interest rates. Furthermore, the mixed Chinese trade data released earlier today adds to worries that the post-COVID recovery in the world's second-largest economy is losing steam.
USDJPY rebound appears unimpressive below 133.80USDJPY reverses the early-month losses by keeping the bounce off a nine-week-old ascending support line. That said, the RSI and MACD oscillators also suggest the gradual building of upside momentum. However, a downward sloping resistance line from early March, around 132.65-70, followed by the 200-SMA level of 133.80, appears short-term key hurdles to challenge the Yen pair buyers before giving them control. Following that, an area comprising multiple levels marked in March, around 135.10-25, could test the north run before signaling the run-up towards the yearly high marked the previous month around 137.90.
On the contrary, USDJPY pullback remains elusive until the quote stays beyond a two-month-old ascending support line, close to 130.90 at the latest. Also acting as short-term key support is the 130.00 round figure. It’s worth noting, however, that the Yen pair sellers need validation from the 129.80-60 region before taking control. In that case, the pair can easily challenge the yearly low marked in February at around 128.00.
Overall, USDJPY lures buyers but the upside momentum remains elusive below 133.80.
USDJPY attracts bullish bias till it stays above 131.00USDJPY marked the first weekly gain in five while luring bulls to cross the 100-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The upward trajectory could also be witnessed by a one-week-long ascending trend channel, as well as a successful break of a downward-sloping trend line from early March. The RSI retreat, however, challenges the Yen pair buyers of late. That said, the 100-EMA and the stated channel’s lower line, respectively around 132.60 and 132.10, restrict the quote’s short-term downside. It should be noted that a three-week-long previous resistance line, around 131.00 by the press time, appears the last defense of the bulls.
On the other hand, the stated channel’s top line, close to 133.90, caps the immediate upside of the USDJPY pair. Following that, the mid-March high of 135.10 and the late February swing low surrounding 135.25-30 can check the pair buyers. In a case where the Yen pair buyers hold the reins past 135.30, the odds of witnessing a fresh Year-To-Date (YTD) high, currently around 137.90, can’t be ruled out.
Overall, USDJPY is back on the buyer’s radar after a four-week absence. The bulls, however, have a bumpy road towards the north.
USDJPY Upward movement Potential with RISK:REWARD 4Symbol USD jPY
Time frame 2 hours
Analysis; Break out from the down Trend movement.
Buy at 131.023 stop loss 130.55 target is 132.8
risk 2 reward ratios 4.8
NOTE: Published Ideas are for ‘’EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY’’ trade at your own risk.
NOTE: RESPECT The risk. SL should not be more than 2% of the capital.
Happy Trading