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USDJPY

USDJPY: Downward pressure remainsHello dear friends, as expected, our USDJPY pair has declined to the support level at 147.84 and is showing signs of consolidation. In this case, a cup pattern is also forming, and a corrective rally may occur, although it is unlikely to last long as the market is still anticipating an interest rate cut in the near future, which would weaken the USD and limit the recovery of USDJPY. The expected price decline will continue if it reaches the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci level (around 148.700). The target for sellers this time is 146.34. Wishing you happy and successful trading.
Short
by RKarina
USDPJY: Still under heavy downward pressure!Hello dear friends, what do you think about USDJPY? In contrast to its counterparts such as EURUSD and GBPUSD, USDJPY continues to bear the heavy pressure of depreciation, with prices weakening further on Thursday. Currently, this currency pair is trading at the level of 148.50, experiencing a loss of 0.56% for the day. This currency pair continues to face difficulties as the US Dollar weakens amid market expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in their June policy meeting, which is escalating. Looking at the prospects from a technical analysis perspective: This currency pair is on its way to find support at the level of 148.10, and prices may recover from this point. However, the recovery may not last long as the EMA 34 signal has started to reverse and USDJPY has broken through the strong support level at 149.700.
Short
by RKarina
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USDJPY bulls struggle but bears need validation from 149.00USDJPY reverses the first weekly loss in five while printing mild gains around 150.50 early Tuesday. In doing so, the Yen pair seesaws near a three-week-old horizontal resistance surrounding 150.90-151.00. It’s worth noting that the lackluster RSI and sluggish MACD signals suggest further grinding of the quote below the stated key resistance. The bearish momentum, however, appears less likely until the prices stay beyond a convergence of the 200-SMA and a two-month-long rising support line, close to 149.00. Apart from the 149.00 support confluence, January’s high of near 148.80 will also try to challenge the Yen pair sellers before giving them control. Meanwhile, an upside break of the 150.90-151.00 resistance region will allow the USDJPY buyers to aim for the double tops marked during late 2022 and 2023 near 152.00. It should be observed that the Yen pair’s run-up beyond the 152.00 hurdle highlights the 160.00 psychological magnet and the year 1990 peak of around 160.40 for the bulls. In that case, the overbought RSI line and likely adjustments in the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) monetary policy will challenge the pair’s further upside. Overall, the USDJPY pair’s upside momentum runs out of steam but the bearish move is yet to gain acceptance and hence needs validation from the key support of near 149.00, as well as the US/Japan fundamental catalysts scheduled for publishing during this week.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY: SELL OR BUY?Hello dear friends! Today, USDJPY continues to be limited below the resistance level of 150.750 in the early trading hours of the new week. This currency pair is declining due to the decrease in US Treasury bond yields, amid cautiousness and concerns about inflation data in the United States. However, the recent appreciation of the US dollar may limit the downside of USD/JPY as long as the support level of 149.700 is well maintained, thus the possibility of a recovery for USDJPY is still considered high.
by RKarina
USDJPY bulls lack momentum as US, Japan inflation clues loomUSDJPY rose in the last four consecutive weeks even if the US Dollar Index (DXY) snapped a five-week uptrend, amid an increase in the near-term US Treasury bond yields and chatters about a delay in the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) delay in ending the ultra lose monetary policy. It’s worth noting, however, that the technical signals are against the Yen pair buyers as the nearly overbought RSI (14) line joins the bearish MACD conditions. Also challenging the upside momentum is the quote’s retreat from a week-old horizontal resistance around 150.80. Even if the pair crosses the immediate upside hurdle, he previous yearly high of 151.90 and an ascending resistance line from late December 2023, forming part of a rising wedge bearish chart formation near 153.80, will be tough nuts to crack for the bulls. On the contrary, the USDJPY pair’s pullback remains elusive unless the price stays above the lower line of a 10-week-old rising wedge bearish chart formation’s bottom line, close to 149.80 at the latest. Following that, a quick fall to January’s top surrounding 148.80 can’t be ruled out. However, the 100-bar and 200-bar Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) will test the Yen pair bears near 147.10 and 145.00 respectively before directing the quote toward the theoretical target of the rising wedge confirmation, namely around 139.40. It should be It should be observed that the 140.00 threshold and the mid-2023 swing low of near 137.25 act as additional downside filters to watch. Overall, the USDJPY pair lacks upside momentum but the bears need confirmation from the short-term rising wedge chart formation before taking control. Also important are the initial inflation clues from Japan and the US.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY recovers within two-month-old rising wedgeUSDJPY snaps a two-day losing streak early Friday while challenging the previous day’s rising wedge bearish chart pattern’s confirmation. In doing so, the Yen pair justifies an upbeat RSI (14) line, as well as an impending bull cross on the MACD. It’s worth noting, however, that a clear upside break of 150.50 support-turned-resistance becomes necessary to defy the downside signals. Following that, an ascending trend line from January 31, also forming part of a short-term rising wedge near 151.70, will lure the bulls. It’s worth noting that the upper line of a broader rising wedge, close to 152.40 at the latest, appears the last defense of the pair sellers before directing the quote toward the June 1990 swing high of around 155.80. Meanwhile, the USDJPY pair’s failure to cross the 150.50 immediate upside hurdle will drag it back below the 150.00 threshold. In that case, a convergence of the 100-SMA and the aforementioned wedge’s bottom line surrounding 148.40 will be a crucial level to watch for the pair sellers as a clear break of that will open doors for a theoretical fall toward 137.90. During the fall, the 200-SMA level of 147.00, monthly low of near 145.90 and December’s trough surrounding 140.25 will act as intermediate halts. Overall, USDJPY remains on the bear’s radar despite the latest recovery move.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY portrays bullish consolidation, further downside expectedOn Tuesday, the USDJPY pair snapped a two-day winning streak while reversing from a 13-day-old horizontal resistance surrounding 148.80-90. The pullback move also justifies the upbeat RSI and bearish MACD signals. With this, the Yen pair is likely to decline further toward the 50-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) level of nearly 146.60. However, the 100-EMA of 146.20 and the monthly low of 145.90 will challenge the sellers afterward, suggesting another U-turn in the price. In doing so, the quote manages a fortnight-long trading range that consolidates the pair’s gains marked since late December. Meanwhile, USDJPY buyers remain off the table unless they witness a daily closing beyond the aforementioned horizontal resistance of around 148.80-90. Even so, the late November 2023 swing high of around 149.80 and the 150.00 threshold will test the Yen pair’s upside moves. In a case where the bulls keep the reins past 150.00, the odds of witnessing the quote’s run-up toward the previous yearly high of around 151.90 can’t be ignored. Overall, USDJPY remains in the bullish consolidation mode and hence likely witnessing further downside. However, the yields and the US Dollar moves are telling a different story and may test the sellers, which in turn requires caution on the part of the pair traders.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY: Bearish behavior takes advantageHello everyone, what do you think about the USDJPY today? Will it increase or decrease in value? Currently, this currency pair is trading around 146.69 and has lost 0.12% during the day. The level of 147.00 has failed to sustain the current downward trend, and any further price declines are likely to find strong support near last week's low around the 145.65 area. However, additional selling activity may be seen as a new factor for traders to push prices lower and open the door for deeper losses as it adjusts to the 0.618 retracement level and the selling side seeks more opportunities to push the USDJPY down to the 144.800 level.
Short
by RKarina
USDJPY: Continue to reduce as the new week begins!Dear friends, USDJPY started the session today with a slight decline, trading around 147.75 and losing 0.25% throughout the day as it remains in a corrective wave despite its short-term upward trend. In this context, the Japanese Yen attracts some safe-haven flows amid deepening political tensions. The USD maintains stability below its monthly peak and may support USD/JPY. Traders can also anticipate the important FOMC meeting in the face of uncertainty regarding interest rate cuts. Any further price slide is likely to attract buyers near the round figure of 147.00, which would help limit the downside of the USD/JPY pair near the 146.45 area or last week's low level. A convincing break below the following level could shift the short-term trend favorably for bearish traders and push the spot price down to the horizontal support level at 146.700.
Short
by RKarina
USDJPY: Price slippage after a good week!Dear friends, as anticipated, UJ has broken free from its previous short-term recovery trend at 147.80. At the time of writing, the price is trading below the resistance level of 147.45, with immediate support at 147.30. The downward trend is strong as it has been unable to extend its potential for price increase above 148.00. Additionally, the 34-day and 89-day EMA continue to reinforce the bearish momentum of this currency pair. This decline is evident. Currently, the Japanese Yen is attracting some safe-haven flows due to deepening political tensions, while the US Dollar remains weak in anticipation of the Fed's decision. The focus now shifts to the US employment data later in the day. My target after the USDJPY tests the resistance level at 147.66 (which coincides with the testing of the 34-day and 89-day EMA) is a further decline with a target of 147.08, followed by a breakthrough and touch of the final support level at 146.66. Wishing you successful trading!
Short
by RKarina
USDJPY lures bears as FOMC, NFP week beginsUSDJPY makes rounds to 148.00 early Monday as the key week comprising the Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting and the US employment report begins. That said, the Yen pain snapped a three-week uptrend in the last while fading the bounce within a three-week-old triangle. While the hawkish hopes from the Fed and likely firmer prints of the US job numbers seem to tease the US Dollar bulls, hopes of the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) exit from ultra-easy policy and positioning for the US data/events lure sellers. It’s worth noting, however, that the 50-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the aforementioned triangle’s bottom line, respectively near 147.50 and 147.35, could test the bears before welcoming them. Even so, the 200-EMA level of around 146.10, quickly followed by the 146.00 round figure, will act as the final defense of the buyers. Meanwhile, a one-week-old descending resistance line surrounding 148.50 guards immediate recovery of the USDJPY pair. Following that, the previously stated triangle’s top line, near 149.30 by the press time, will be important to watch for the quote’s further upside. In a case where the Yen pair buyers keep the reins past 149.30, the 150.00 threshold and November’s peak of around 151.90 are likely to gain the market’s attention. Overall, the USDJPY pair buyers lack momentum as the top-tier US data/events loom.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPYHello dear friends! Today, USDJPY is trading around 147.66 and is in a corrective wave within its trend, as the currency pair has just experienced a downward breakout from a marked support level. Accordingly, the USD/JPY pair is undergoing a downward trend as market confidence recovers due to expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin implementing interest rate cuts in March. Currently, the probability of this scenario is estimated at around 50:50, indicating the uncertainty of market participants. The USD/JPY pair traded lower near the 147.50 level during the European trading session on Thursday. The price has reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, making this a sensitive moment for sellers to continue their attack once again. In this scenario, the EMA 89 line will be retested and prices may further decline towards 145.500.
Short
by RKarina
USDJPYToday, USDJPY continues its trading around the level of 147.83 and is in the process of forming a triple top pattern. As a result, the Japanese Yen benefits from the hawkish stance of the Bank of Japan on Tuesday, despite the lack of further action. Political tensions and uncertain global economic prospects are not a solid foundation for the safe-haven status of the JPY, which limits the upside potential of the USDJPY currency pair. Regarding the outlook: If the triple top pattern is confirmed, the price is likely to decline further after breaking out of the range and move swiftly towards at least 146.97.
Short
by RKarina
USDJPY fades bounce off 100-SMA on BoJ status quoUSDJPY refreshed its intraday high to 148.55, before retreating to 148.00, as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) matches market expectations of keeping the monetary policy unchanged. In doing so, the Yen pair struggles to keep the late Monday’s recovery from the 100-SMA amid the inactive hours of Tuesday’s trading. It’s worth noting that the hawkish expectations from BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda’s speech and the US Dollar’s consolidation join the nearly overbought RSI conditions to challenge the pair buyers. However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and bottom line of a one-month-old bullish trend channel, around 147.55-45, appears a tough nut to crack for the bears. Should the quote drop below 147.45, it becomes vulnerable to test 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s July-November upside, near 146.40, ahead of revisiting the mid-December peak of around 145.00. Meanwhile, the USDJPY pair’s recovery needs to surpass Friday’s peak of around 148.80 to activate fresh buying. Following that, the 150.00 round figure and the top line of the aforementioned bullish channel, close to 150.50 at the latest, will test the Yen pair buyers. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 150.50, the previous yearly high marked in November at around 151.90 will be in the spotlight. To sum up, the BoJ inaction failed to keep the Yen pair buyers on the board as policymakers in Japan appear fed up with the ultra-easy monetary policy.
by MTradingGlobal