USDJPY - TRADING AT SUPPORT LEVELSSymbol - USDJPY
USDJPY has encountered support and appears to have staged a false breakdown of the lower boundary of the prevailing local trend. At present, the dollar is strengthening, which could present an opportunity for the currency pair to appreciate. The price is consolidating in a strong support zone, and the fundamental environment has been volatile recently, with a predominant influence from U.S. economic factors. Meanwhile, the prospect of interest rate hikes in Japan has largely been disregarded, with market participants focusing more on economic data from the West.
From a technical perspective, there are two potential triggers on the chart: one signaling a buy and the other signaling a sell. However, given the prevailing upward global and local trends, the preference is to take a long position. Should the currency pair manage to secure a close above the 151.90 - 151.95 range, we can anticipate further upward movement towards the target levels shown on the chart in both the short and medium terms.
Resistance levels: 151.95, 153.70, 154.00
Support levels: 151.00, 149.52
However, if the dollar continues its correction and the bulls fail to maintain the false support breakdown, a price return to 150.95 could trigger a support break, leading to a potential decline towards 148.60
Usdjpyforecast
USDJPY - RETEST OF SUPPORT BREAKDOWN. SELLING AHEAD?Symbol - USDJPY
USDJPY is unable to maintain its uptrend for the time being. Speculation about potential actions from the Bank of Japan is expected to surface. Meanwhile, the US dollar continues to strengthen. The 158.45 level represents a significant resistance formed by bears, who are still exerting pressure on the market. This week, we anticipate active measures from the Bank of Japan, particularly an interest rate hike. While such actions are relatively rare, they could provide strong support for the currency pair. If Japan proceeds with this move, the pair may continue its correction from the 0.5 - 0.7 Fibonacci levels. In this case, key targets could include the zones at 153.25 and 152
Resistance levels: 156.55, 157.22
Support level: 155
A price drop below 155 could trigger aggressive selling. The rate decision in Japan is set for Friday, and until then, the price may remain in a consolidation phase.
USD JPY Pullback expected !!!The price has cleared 151 lvl and halting near the resistance 151.950 or 152 as rd fig
this resistance is monthly high
expected the price to go sideways and make a build up before making the breakout
also as decided in the post of DXY, similarly here some fair value area are let behind after strong one side up move
149.700 to 149.550 there is good fvg to trade on
thereafter 148.300 148.900 which is little less probable to see upto next week
(only there is no breakout above 152 level)
USD JPY trade setup price is reversing from 149.578 without testing resistance which mean a lack of buying liquidity
the following previous green long candles left behind imbalance which have created fair value area
with applying fib to draw the PD area
149 to 148.781 is above discount zone which will hold less impact
whereas 148.500 to 148.300 is the zone where we can look for trade and for the target of 149.995 and stop loss based on risk taking capability
USD-JPY Trade Setupprice is at resistance zone of 151.144 and 151.380
after the recent break of structure there is open order block to restest
also there will be small liquid or inducement zone that need to be triggered
for next upside
150.432 and 150.246 is the buying area
with stop loss of 150 rd figure
and target of 151.500
with risk to reward 1:3
condition to avoid if price reach 151.500 first before coming towards our buying zone then the trade we be cancelled
USD JPY LONGSept #2 Trade :
Risk 0.5%
TP1 = 1:2 RR
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breakdown ?? real or fake usdjpy has been rallying all the way from april and a little bearish move during 6-13 jul 23
now the price has reached almost to the previous high and resistance zone on daily time frame
we noticed the price has created the evening star pattern (bearish)
and on medium time frame price a made impluse movement seems like liqudity grab
and with two candle previous 5-6 candles got overlapped from resistance (bearish)
price was forming a flag and pole like pattern and looked failed as price tried to breakout but it got rejected and came back into the zone of flag (bearish)
the actual breakdown will occur after the level of 144.500 is taken down
it is the higher low swing and closing below this level it will indicated selling pressure and change of trend
USD/JPY the two ways to trade (long and short) logic1. for pullback trader or people on short side will trade based on lower low and lower high formation
but price movement on down side is bit slow and steady
if price reacts on 2nd poi but,
does not break the recent (internal lower low) of 141.500
and makes higher low this make the short trade very choppy mind exhaustion
2. for long side trader price might defend the low of 141.500 well and breaks above the both POI wait for the retracement
or
let the price complete the chart pattern of CUP AND HANDLE
(well the chart pattern is just a assumption do not trade before the completion)
My Today's Learning
candle CLOSE & pattern COMPELETION is the key
USD/JPY Trade Setup1. Trade pullback ?
>>> let price get back to POI for entry with sl above POI
(offers good R:R)
>>> follow the lower high lower lows pattern
>>> exit on price switching to higher low
2. Conservative Trade ?
>>> wait for the price to get a DISCOUNTED ZONE
(fib 0.5 from recent swing low to high)
>>> long on swing making higher low and higher high
(avoid entering direct on 0.5 without confluence)
(previous trade got out with small SL, then we saw a parabolic upside this is why sl is important)
USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold? USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold?
In September of last year, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) made a move in the market to strengthen its currency when it reached 145 against the USD, marking the first such intervention since 1998. This action was taken following the BOJ's decision to maintain an extremely accommodative policy (a policy that is yet to change still). The BOJ intervened once more in October when the yen further plummeted to its lowest level in 32 years, reaching 151.94 against the dollar.
At present, investors hold a substantial short position in the yen, valued at $9.793 billion, representing the largest such position in the USDJPY since May 2022. This value has nearly doubled in just the past three months. Notably, former Japanese Vice Finance Minister Eisuke Sakakibara has suggested that the USDJPY could reach 160 before the BOJ intervenes once again.
However, the USDJPY has recently built a bit of a buffer between itself and whatever the intervention threshold is for the BoJ. Over the past two trading days, the US dollar has weakened, largely due to remarks made by Federal Reserve officials. These statements have strengthened the belief that the US central bank is nearing the end of its tightening phase.
It is widely anticipated that Fed policymakers will implement a rate increase during their upcoming meeting this month, which would set the policy rate range at 5.25% to 5.50%. However, the timing of any subsequent rate hikes remains uncertain. There are questions whether they will raise rates again in September, delay until November, or maintain the current stance and allow inflation to naturally subside over time.
Consequently, the US dollar has experienced a decline against the yen, reaching a low of 141.32 yen, the lowest level observed since June 21. Currently, it is down 0.5% at 141.328. This drop follows a decrease of nearly 1.3% seen last Friday when the US nonfarm payrolls for June fell short of market expectations at 209,000.
USDJPY Upward movement Potential with RISK:REWARD 4Symbol USD jPY
Time frame 2 hours
Analysis; Break out from the down Trend movement.
Buy at 131.023 stop loss 130.55 target is 132.8
risk 2 reward ratios 4.8
NOTE: Published Ideas are for ‘’EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY’’ trade at your own risk.
NOTE: RESPECT The risk. SL should not be more than 2% of the capital.
Happy Trading