Get started

Usdjpyforecast

USD JPY Pullback expected !!!The price has cleared 151 lvl and halting near the resistance 151.950 or 152 as rd fig this resistance is monthly high expected the price to go sideways and make a build up before making the breakout also as decided in the post of DXY, similarly here some fair value area are let behind after strong one side up move 149.700 to 149.550 there is good fvg to trade on thereafter 148.300 148.900 which is little less probable to see upto next week (only there is no breakout above 152 level)
by Jimmy_Rebello
breakdown ?? real or fake usdjpy has been rallying all the way from april and a little bearish move during 6-13 jul 23 now the price has reached almost to the previous high and resistance zone on daily time frame we noticed the price has created the evening star pattern (bearish) and on medium time frame price a made impluse movement seems like liqudity grab and with two candle previous 5-6 candles got overlapped from resistance (bearish) price was forming a flag and pole like pattern and looked failed as price tried to breakout but it got rejected and came back into the zone of flag (bearish) the actual breakdown will occur after the level of 144.500 is taken down it is the higher low swing and closing below this level it will indicated selling pressure and change of trend
Short
by Jimmy_Rebello
USD/JPY the two ways to trade (long and short) logic1. for pullback trader or people on short side will trade based on lower low and lower high formation but price movement on down side is bit slow and steady if price reacts on 2nd poi but, does not break the recent (internal lower low) of 141.500 and makes higher low this make the short trade very choppy mind exhaustion 2. for long side trader price might defend the low of 141.500 well and breaks above the both POI wait for the retracement or let the price complete the chart pattern of CUP AND HANDLE (well the chart pattern is just a assumption do not trade before the completion) My Today's Learning candle CLOSE & pattern COMPELETION is the key
by Jimmy_Rebello
USD/JPY Trade Setup1. Trade pullback ? >>> let price get back to POI for entry with sl above POI (offers good R:R) >>> follow the lower high lower lows pattern >>> exit on price switching to higher low 2. Conservative Trade ? >>> wait for the price to get a DISCOUNTED ZONE (fib 0.5 from recent swing low to high) >>> long on swing making higher low and higher high (avoid entering direct on 0.5 without confluence) (previous trade got out with small SL, then we saw a parabolic upside this is why sl is important)
by Jimmy_Rebello
USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold? USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold? In September of last year, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) made a move in the market to strengthen its currency when it reached 145 against the USD, marking the first such intervention since 1998. This action was taken following the BOJ's decision to maintain an extremely accommodative policy (a policy that is yet to change still). The BOJ intervened once more in October when the yen further plummeted to its lowest level in 32 years, reaching 151.94 against the dollar. At present, investors hold a substantial short position in the yen, valued at $9.793 billion, representing the largest such position in the USDJPY since May 2022. This value has nearly doubled in just the past three months. Notably, former Japanese Vice Finance Minister Eisuke Sakakibara has suggested that the USDJPY could reach 160 before the BOJ intervenes once again. However, the USDJPY has recently built a bit of a buffer between itself and whatever the intervention threshold is for the BoJ. Over the past two trading days, the US dollar has weakened, largely due to remarks made by Federal Reserve officials. These statements have strengthened the belief that the US central bank is nearing the end of its tightening phase. It is widely anticipated that Fed policymakers will implement a rate increase during their upcoming meeting this month, which would set the policy rate range at 5.25% to 5.50%. However, the timing of any subsequent rate hikes remains uncertain. There are questions whether they will raise rates again in September, delay until November, or maintain the current stance and allow inflation to naturally subside over time. Consequently, the US dollar has experienced a decline against the yen, reaching a low of 141.32 yen, the lowest level observed since June 21. Currently, it is down 0.5% at 141.328. This drop follows a decrease of nearly 1.3% seen last Friday when the US nonfarm payrolls for June fell short of market expectations at 209,000.
by BlackBull_Markets