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Usdjpyforecast

KEY SUPPORT IN FOCUS - CAN USDJPY HOLD THE LINE?Symbol - USDJPY USDJPY is approaching a critical support level amid a prevailing local downtrend. Downward pressure on the US dollar continues to intensify, reinforcing the bearish momentum in the pair. The US dollar index has begun to decline, which is mirrored in the weakening of USDJPY. Selling pressure is gaining momentum, and a local downtrend is clearly forming. The pair is currently testing key support at 144.82. A confirmed break below this level would likely pave the way toward lower support zones at 143.44 and 142.35, Sustained price action below 144.82 may act as a trigger for an extended sell-off. Key Resistance levels: 145.34, 146.07 Key Support levels: 144.82, 143.44, 142.35 Both global and local trends remain bearish. The ongoing decline in the dollar may serve as an additional resistance factor, contributing to further downward momentum. A break and consolidation below the 144.82 support level would likely confirm the continuation of the bearish trend.
Short
by akshit_official
USDJPY- ATTEMPTING TREND REVERSALSymbol - USDJPY CMP - 148.87 The USDJPY is currently in a corrective phase, retesting the previously breached downtrend boundary. The market is attempting to break this trend amidst a broader correction of the US dollar. The dollar is facing significant challenges due to various economic and geopolitical factors in the United States, coupled with persistently high inflation. In light of these conditions, the US dollar Index may continue to experience a deeper correction, as expectations for interest rate cuts could be extended, potentially exerting further pressure on the markets. Earlier, the currency pair attempted to overcome the resistance of the downtrend and succeeded, yet this move alone is insufficient to confirm a trend reversal; additional confirmation is required. Support levels: 148.92, 148.21 Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95 If the bulls manage to maintain support above the 148.92 - 149.5 range, there is a promising opportunity for a potential trend reversal. A move towards the 150.16 resistance level, followed by a breakout and sustained price action above this level, would serve as confirmation of the trend shift.
Long
by akshit_official
USDJPY - POTENTIAL REVERSAL FROM KEY SUPPORT LEVELSSymbol - USDJPY CMP - 147.82 Following a significant decline in USDJPY, The price is approaching a strong support zone which is held since July 2024. The fundamental environment has been volatile recently, with a predominant influence from Trump's tariffs & US economic factors. Given the recent price action near support zone 148.00 - 147.00, there is a possibility that the pair could rebound from this level. The market’s current hesitation near this support zone suggests that the bulls may be preparing to defend this area. The aggressive sell-off in US dollar, while exerting downward pressure, is also at oversold levels & creating a scenario where a potential reversal could take place, supported by the decline of Japanese Yen. Should the price manage to hold above the 147.20 support, it could signal the reversal. From a technical perspective, there are two potential triggers on the chart: one signaling a buy and the other signaling a sell. However, given the prevailing global and local forex trends, the preference is to take a long position. Resistance levels: 148.85, 150.00 Support levels: 147.25, 146.90 At present, the market is in a downtrend, with potential for a counter-trend correction. The direction of the price will depend on the US dollar's performance and upcoming economic news. If the outcome is favorable, the price could potentially reach to 150.00 & 152.15 levels.
Long
by akshit_official
USDJPY - A REBOUND FOLLOWING DOLLAR STRENGTHSymbol - USDJPY CMP - 150.25 USDJPY pair is experiencing an upward movement in line with the performance of the US dollar. A temporary reversal is currently unfolding, driven by domestic political and economic factors in the United States. The price is consolidating in the range of 149.40 - 148.60 after a significant decline. This long-term consolidation is creating a reversal pattern, further supported by the reversal and strengthening of the US dollar. Consequently, the Japanese yen is losing ground. Key resistance is located at 150.30, should the bulls manage to maintain support above this level, there is potential for further price appreciation toward trend resistance in the short to medium term. Resistance levels: 150.30, 150.95 Support levels: 149.40, 149.15 At present, the market is in a downtrend, with potential for a counter-trend correction. The direction of the price will depend on the US dollar's performance and upcoming economic news. If the outcome is favorable, the price could potentially reach 152.30
Long
by akshit_official
USDJPY - RETEST OF RESISTANCE BEFORE FURTHER FALLSymbol - USDJPY The USD/JPY pair has disrupted the previous bullish market structure, with the U.S. dollar currently in a correction phase, which positively impacts the market. The pair is approaching a retest of the trendline that was recently broken, following a strong impulse move. On Thursday, the Japanese yen reached a 10-week high, causing the USDJPY pair to decline to 149.50 This move is attributed to increased demand for safe-haven assets amidst escalating trade tensions, driven by U.S. President Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policies. Additionally, the yen has gained further strength, bolstered by market expectations of a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan, making the currency more attractive to investors. At present, attention is focused on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement resistance zone at 150.95, as well as the previously broken upward support level. Key Support Levels: 149.50, 148.64 Key Resistance Levels: 150.95, 151.40 It is likely that the price will first test the previously broken support zone, now acting as resistance between 150.95 and 151.40, before any potential decline. A false breakout of these critical Fibonacci zones could lead to further downward movement in the pair.
Short
by akshit_official
USDJPY - TRADING AT SUPPORT LEVELSSymbol - USDJPY USDJPY has encountered support and appears to have staged a false breakdown of the lower boundary of the prevailing local trend. At present, the dollar is strengthening, which could present an opportunity for the currency pair to appreciate. The price is consolidating in a strong support zone, and the fundamental environment has been volatile recently, with a predominant influence from U.S. economic factors. Meanwhile, the prospect of interest rate hikes in Japan has largely been disregarded, with market participants focusing more on economic data from the West. From a technical perspective, there are two potential triggers on the chart: one signaling a buy and the other signaling a sell. However, given the prevailing upward global and local trends, the preference is to take a long position. Should the currency pair manage to secure a close above the 151.90 - 151.95 range, we can anticipate further upward movement towards the target levels shown on the chart in both the short and medium terms. Resistance levels: 151.95, 153.70, 154.00 Support levels: 151.00, 149.52 However, if the dollar continues its correction and the bulls fail to maintain the false support breakdown, a price return to 150.95 could trigger a support break, leading to a potential decline towards 148.60
Long
by akshit_official
4
USDJPY - RETEST OF SUPPORT BREAKDOWN. SELLING AHEAD?Symbol - USDJPY USDJPY is unable to maintain its uptrend for the time being. Speculation about potential actions from the Bank of Japan is expected to surface. Meanwhile, the US dollar continues to strengthen. The 158.45 level represents a significant resistance formed by bears, who are still exerting pressure on the market. This week, we anticipate active measures from the Bank of Japan, particularly an interest rate hike. While such actions are relatively rare, they could provide strong support for the currency pair. If Japan proceeds with this move, the pair may continue its correction from the 0.5 - 0.7 Fibonacci levels. In this case, key targets could include the zones at 153.25 and 152 Resistance levels: 156.55, 157.22 Support level: 155 A price drop below 155 could trigger aggressive selling. The rate decision in Japan is set for Friday, and until then, the price may remain in a consolidation phase.
Short
by akshit_official
USD JPY Pullback expected !!!The price has cleared 151 lvl and halting near the resistance 151.950 or 152 as rd fig this resistance is monthly high expected the price to go sideways and make a build up before making the breakout also as decided in the post of DXY, similarly here some fair value area are let behind after strong one side up move 149.700 to 149.550 there is good fvg to trade on thereafter 148.300 148.900 which is little less probable to see upto next week (only there is no breakout above 152 level)
by Jimmy_Rebello
breakdown ?? real or fake usdjpy has been rallying all the way from april and a little bearish move during 6-13 jul 23 now the price has reached almost to the previous high and resistance zone on daily time frame we noticed the price has created the evening star pattern (bearish) and on medium time frame price a made impluse movement seems like liqudity grab and with two candle previous 5-6 candles got overlapped from resistance (bearish) price was forming a flag and pole like pattern and looked failed as price tried to breakout but it got rejected and came back into the zone of flag (bearish) the actual breakdown will occur after the level of 144.500 is taken down it is the higher low swing and closing below this level it will indicated selling pressure and change of trend
Short
by Jimmy_Rebello
USD/JPY the two ways to trade (long and short) logic1. for pullback trader or people on short side will trade based on lower low and lower high formation but price movement on down side is bit slow and steady if price reacts on 2nd poi but, does not break the recent (internal lower low) of 141.500 and makes higher low this make the short trade very choppy mind exhaustion 2. for long side trader price might defend the low of 141.500 well and breaks above the both POI wait for the retracement or let the price complete the chart pattern of CUP AND HANDLE (well the chart pattern is just a assumption do not trade before the completion) My Today's Learning candle CLOSE & pattern COMPELETION is the key
by Jimmy_Rebello
USD/JPY Trade Setup1. Trade pullback ? >>> let price get back to POI for entry with sl above POI (offers good R:R) >>> follow the lower high lower lows pattern >>> exit on price switching to higher low 2. Conservative Trade ? >>> wait for the price to get a DISCOUNTED ZONE (fib 0.5 from recent swing low to high) >>> long on swing making higher low and higher high (avoid entering direct on 0.5 without confluence) (previous trade got out with small SL, then we saw a parabolic upside this is why sl is important)
by Jimmy_Rebello
USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold? USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold? In September of last year, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) made a move in the market to strengthen its currency when it reached 145 against the USD, marking the first such intervention since 1998. This action was taken following the BOJ's decision to maintain an extremely accommodative policy (a policy that is yet to change still). The BOJ intervened once more in October when the yen further plummeted to its lowest level in 32 years, reaching 151.94 against the dollar. At present, investors hold a substantial short position in the yen, valued at $9.793 billion, representing the largest such position in the USDJPY since May 2022. This value has nearly doubled in just the past three months. Notably, former Japanese Vice Finance Minister Eisuke Sakakibara has suggested that the USDJPY could reach 160 before the BOJ intervenes once again. However, the USDJPY has recently built a bit of a buffer between itself and whatever the intervention threshold is for the BoJ. Over the past two trading days, the US dollar has weakened, largely due to remarks made by Federal Reserve officials. These statements have strengthened the belief that the US central bank is nearing the end of its tightening phase. It is widely anticipated that Fed policymakers will implement a rate increase during their upcoming meeting this month, which would set the policy rate range at 5.25% to 5.50%. However, the timing of any subsequent rate hikes remains uncertain. There are questions whether they will raise rates again in September, delay until November, or maintain the current stance and allow inflation to naturally subside over time. Consequently, the US dollar has experienced a decline against the yen, reaching a low of 141.32 yen, the lowest level observed since June 21. Currently, it is down 0.5% at 141.328. This drop follows a decrease of nearly 1.3% seen last Friday when the US nonfarm payrolls for June fell short of market expectations at 209,000.
by BlackBull_Markets