GOLD Weekly Outlook from 16/12 to 20/12/24:GOLD Weekly Outlook from 16/12 to 20/12/24:
Gold has corrected lower this past week as the Dollar and Treasury yields have rebounded as traders are worried that the Fed will cut rates less next year following higher-than-expected manufacturing PPI data, although the odds of a 25bp cut by the Fed in the middle of this week are unchanged.
Currently, selling pressure is still on Gold due to concerns about rising inflation and fewer rate cuts... but fundamentally, if the Fed cuts rates by another 25bp, Gold will become even cheaper and the "opportunity cost" will be even cheaper... so the trend will remain bullish... The decline is just a short-term effect of news and traders' expectations.
This week, traders will receive many important economic data from the US, but the most important is the FED's Interest Rate Decision in the middle of this week... In addition, traders will also pay attention to the Interest Rate Decision of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in the middle of the week, and of the People's Bank of China (PBOC) on Friday. The prediction will be more bullish, if there is a decrease, it is better to Buy...
In today's trading session, Gold has decreased quite a lot and this morning swept down to near the 2,642 - 40 area and then bounced back quickly despite no news... it is predicted that the Buy force has begun to appear to probe the bottom to welcome the FED... Therefore, I will prioritize long-term Buy.
🟢 BUY Scap 2635.x Sl 2632
SL: 2630
TP: 2641 – 2655
🟢 BUY 2620.x Sl 2618
SL: 2614
TP: 2643 – 2655 - 2668
🔴 SELL 2672 – 2674
SL 2677
TP: 2664 - 2655
Vang
Gold Trends Forecast December 11🤑Gold Trends Forecast December 11
✔️ Gold continued its impressive upward momentum during yesterday’s session. This was fueled by investor optimism as China expanded its economic stimulus packages, while geopolitical risks in Syria remain despite opposition forces gaining control over some areas. Notably, there has been no news or economic data strong enough to weaken Gold's upward trend.
✔️ In my view, unless unexpected factors arise—such as controversial remarks from Trump or economic data that shakes the market—Gold is likely to continue its climb. Lower interest rates have made the opportunity cost of holding Gold more attractive, which is the primary reason for its rebound from the 2,5xx and 2,6xx levels. A deep downward reversal should only be considered if the Fed signals a return to interest rate hikes.
✔️ For tonight’s session, the CPI data will be the decisive factor. If inflation figures are favorable, Gold could break above 2,75x or experience a deep correction of 50–70 points. However, I lean toward the scenario of only a slight correction before continuing its rise, thanks to the current bullish sentiment.
My personal strategy is to wait for a minor dip and then re-enter with these targets:
Short-term: 2,700–2,705
Longer-term: 2,710–2,715
In the European session, if Gold holds the 2,6xx range or near 2,69x, a Buy strategy remains viable. Conversely, if prices fall below 2,68x and close below this level, I will reconsider the strategy. From mid-European sessions onward, if prices fail to break the 2,7xx range, I will exit Buy positions and switch to Sell, aiming for 5–10 points.
🟢 BUY 2688.x Sl 2683 Scalp
🟢 BUY 2676 - 2674 SL 2671
🔴 SELL 2620 - 2622 SL 2625 - D1 plan
Gold Trend Forecast This Week (December 9 - December 13)Gold trend is unlikely to decline sharply, although the US Non Farm News was very good, Gold still bounced 264x, when it fell to the price range of 2626 - 2627.
This week, there was quite a lot of news supporting Gold's increase such as: US CPI news may decrease slightly compared to expectations, creating conditions for the FED to continue to reduce interest rates. Central banks such as Canada, Switzerland and Europe ECB continue to cut interest rates next week.
Although the gold market is currently quiet, this could be an accumulation period before a potential price increase. Investors need to closely monitor developments and prepare for future opportunities.
The Central Bank of China announced that it had bought gold again and the war situation in Syria at the end of the week caused gold to have a gap of 15 prices this morning.
Gold Price Forecast
Christopher Vecchio, an expert at Tastylive, said he is neutral on the gold market. He believes that gold prices need to break through the resistance level of $2,725/ounce to create new growth momentum.
Kitco forecasts that gold prices may fluctuate in the range of $2,600-2,800/ounce by the end of 2024. Factors such as the Fed's monetary policy and geopolitical tensions will affect gold prices in the coming time
Good Buy Plan :
Buy 2620 - 2618
SL: 2615
TP: 2635 -2642 -2655 - 2699
or even Buy 2610-2608
SL: 2604
TP: 2618 - 2642- 2699
Gold will decline to 2567.89 if it breaks 2600 (This case is quite low)
Sell Plan:
Sell: 2663
SL: 2668
TP: 2656 - 2652
Sell: 2688 - 2690
SL: 2673
TP: 2674 - 2666 - 2654
Gold Trend Forecast for New Day (December 5) – Rebounds to 2666 🔽Gold prices rose on Wednesday (December 4), after data showed the number of jobs created by the US private sector increased at a moderate pace last month, ahead of a speech by the US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell later in the day and the official jobs report on December 6.
🔽The ADP report showed that the US private sector created 146,000 jobs last month, slightly lower than the forecast of 150,000 jobs increase from economists participating in a Reuters poll.
🔽Gold is seeing a weak reaction today, with a stronger-than-expected impact from the upcoming official US jobs report and if the data shows a weakening number of jobs, that will support gold prices.
🔽Gold seems to be finding strong resistance at 2630
Note: Currently Gold is completely following fundamental news Especially US economic news! Bad News Gold Rises! Good News Gold is down
🔽Currently, Gold has broken 2655 and has a Closed closing level around 2650 and is the second consecutive day that Gold has closed higher than the previous day, so today Kevin will prioritize following Buy Gold
🥰Trading plan:
🔼 Buy Gold: 2636x – 2634x
SL: 2630
Tp: 2644 - 2653 – 2688 – 2720
🔽 Sell Gold: 2663x – 2665x
SL: 2668
TP: 2678- 2665
🫶Note: Set SL tightly for each order, the financial market is full of risks, if you do not set SL, do not place an order.
🫶Wishing everyone a happy and joyful Thursday 🫶
Gold Trend Forecast for Next Week (December 2 - December 6)🕯 Gold Trend Forecast for Next Week (December 2 - December 6)
🔽Last week, gold fell $115 from its peak due to geopolitical and economic reasons, the PCE index increased and the Dollar Index increased sharply, causing the gold market to be distributed by PTCB.
However, the increasing instability in Russia, Ukraine and the continuous violation of the agreement of ISRAEL LEBANON ... still support the Gold Tiger to increase quite positively for next week.
Jobs The closing price of the week's gold price is still above 2650, showing a very large increase in the prospect of gold next week! But before increasing again, gold can still retest the 2645 area, even 2633, to gain momentum for the upcoming increase.
In particular, next week, there will be a lot of US economic news such as:
PMI index for manufacturing and services; employment numbers: ADP, NFP, unemployment rate… Currently, most of the US news is predicted to be better than the previous period! If as expected, this news will have an impact on weakening the USD and be a support for gold!
🥰Trading plan:
🔼 Buy Gold: 2636x – 2634x
SL: 2630
Tp: 2644 - 2653 – 2688 – 2720
🔽 Sell Gold: 2686x – 2688x
SL: 2691
TP: 2678- 2665
🔽 Sell Gold: 2718x – 2720x
SL: 2724
TP: 2705- 2690
🫶Note: Set SL tightly for each order, the financial market is full of risks, if you do not set SL, do not place an order.
🫶Wishing everyone a happy and joyful Sunday 🫶