Nifty 1D Bear Market Technical Analysis (Distribution Phase)- Nifty is currently trading at 22,829.
- Nifty has erased 13.11% from its all-time high of 26,274.
- Ninety percent of social media outlets and broadcasters have stopped their perpetual bullish commentary on Nifty, which they claimed would never stop. The next ten years for India are expected to be very bullish, and Nifty could soon head towards 30,000 following this drop.
- Now, let's focus on understanding what we can expect from this drop and where prices may head in the upcoming days.
- Nifty is about to test the largest liquidity grab it made around 21,285. After that, we may quickly see Nifty rebalance the inefficiencies it creates during this impulsive downward move.
- The level I will be considering for my personal investment is between 18,832 and 19,000.
- The range of 18,000 to 20,000 is likely to be a very strong zone for long-term investments rather than short-term swings, as markets typically move in cycles of accumulation, manipulation, and distribution.
- To fill the gaps, the market rebalances every imbalance, taking out liquidity between candles and heading toward new lows or highs. The market seeks liquidity from Fair Value Gaps; that's how it usually moves.
- We have witnessed a bull market for 2 years now. In my opinion, we are soon going to experience a Distribution phase of 2 years filled with many manipulations and dead cat bounces. Stay cautious and don't miss discounted levels; an index correcting 30% is significant.
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Ethereum 1D Technical Analysis (Bullish Bias X Bull Market)- Ethereum is currently trading at 3166$
- Ethereum has been underperforming Bitcoin for 2 quarters
- Ethereum marks the short term bottom in my opinion and now we can soon see ETH purging above 4000$
- Ethereum is a long waited rally crypto and everybody is waiting for ETH TO OUTPERFORM it will only outperform once it flips the weekly candle above 3700$
- Ethereum is witnessing a huge backlash due to its underperformance one weekly close above 4500$ will help ETH print a new all time high
- Ethereum should make a new all time high by the end of Q1
Bitcoin Dominance 1D Setup - Bitcoin D is currently trading at 58.26%
- Bitcoin D is going to be the biggest indicator to track when Alts will bounce
- Bitcoin D has changed its market structure and can soon shift its bias to bearish once we see a weekly close below 56.18%
- 90% of altcoins are struggling to make a comeback and stay strong for long as BTC D and Bitcoin is outperforming ETH since quite long
- One thing to notice for all Trader/Investors is going to be ETH/BTC pair, ETH/BTC on a weekly TF has already bottomed out and it has recently reacted strong and at the same time TRUMP's inaugural is tomorrow where we can see that Trump has added ETH worth 5Million $
- Ethereum is going to be the biggest indicator clubbed with ETH/BTC USDT D once these start outperforming and USDT D underperforming ETH will print 50-60% and maybe purge a new high and that will lead to an altcoins rally
Bitcoin 1D Commentary and Bull Run Technical Analysis - Bitcoin is currently trading at 99,779$
- Bitcoin kept behaving choppy and the Price Behaviour was very sluggish in January
- We saw BTC printing a candle 4000$, which helped BTC cross 100,000$ after a long time.
- Coming back to the current Price Action of BTC we are currently trading at a crucial zone and if we flip a weekly candle close above 102,686$ then the Market structure will change to Bullish
- However, if we do not close above 102,000$ then we can see BTC revisiting 85,000-90,000$
- Trump's inaugural is due next week and will bring in a lot of volatility.
- I am leaning more on the Bullish side, however, if we don't see supporting Macros then we might have a rough time chopping out and getting distributed the whole month.
Bitcoin Bullish Setup & Volatility Commentary - Bitcoin is trading at 101,702$
- Economic Calendar always helps you refine your bias and understand how the expansion is going to be 90% don't even put stress on this.
- Technically the whole Flash Crash got bought back and what does this depict think psychologically we are witnessing demand whenever BTC dips
- All eyes are on the weekly closing of Bitcoin. If we close above the recent ATH, or above $102,000, it's going to be easy for us to purge way higher.
- While on the downside we can soon see 77,000-84,000$ and that's going to rebalance the price and help to structure become more stronger and valid.
- Manage risk and trade carefully instead of looking for Bitcoin Spot accumulation Ethereum is offering a better Risk to Reward
Bitcoin Bull Run Weekly Update & Commentary - Bitcoin is currently trading at 100,300$
- Bitcoin had a very volatile week where we saw Bitcoin purging 104,000$ and then flash crashing to 90,000$ and after that, we saw another expansion to 98,000$ this showed buyer's interest and limit buys were quite high which pushed the price higher in no time
- Bitcoin was overheated and this flash crash also helped the market to throw high-leveraged traders out of the market resetting the Funding rates
- Technically I see Bitcoins weekly closing is going to very important to understand the coming weeks we need a weekly closing above 100,00 to keep the momentum strong
- Important POIs are going to be 89,000$ and 77,000$
- If you are already holding BTC you can think about locking in 20% gains and rotating the same in ETH, Imo ETH will outperform BTC in the 1st quarter of 2025
DOGECOIN Bull Run Setup- Dogecoin is currently trading at 0.46$
- Doge is the king of meme coins and now highly regarded as Elon Musk's coin
- Doge has a decent upside left and the psychological price of 1$ can soon be achieved
- Technically I see Doge easily purging above 0.60$ and 0.74$ and there's not much resistance to make it drift lower
- Accumulation Zones: 0.37-0.39$
- If you are already holding Doge then you can continue to hold it until it reaches 0.59-0.74$
- Doge under Trumps and Musks governance can surely hit new highs
BRETT Meme Crypto Price Action Bull Run Update- Brett is currently trading at 0.214$
- Brett on base is a very famous Meme and has taken fewer digs recently while other memes were crashing hard
- Technically Brett is consolidating near its all-time High and now looks all set to purge higher it highly depends on how large the infusion is going to be in the memes sector
- I can see 0.16-0.19$ as an extreme accumulation zone for this
- If you are already holding BRETT then I would highly suggest to keep holding until you print 100% at least
BOME Meme Coin Bullish Setup (Crypto Bull Run)- BOME is currently trading at 0.010863
- Bome falls under the meme category and has a huge pending upside. The last meme coin rally was parabolic for many meme coins except BOME where we barely saw it breaching its ATH
- Structurally you need to look at BOME and understand the HTF we have seen 2 higher highs and 2 higher lows no market structure shift to bearish so far
- Big wicks and liquidity raid done now it looks all set to purge above 0.018$
- If you are holding it in the spot you can continue to hold BOME you can easily milk 50-60%
- Always manage risk
DXY Bearish Setup Update - DXY is currently trading at 105.7 and it exactly got rejected from my POI
- DXY looks all set to mitigate 103.8, bringing more upside to all pairs denominated by USD, risky assets like Crypto, and Stocks.
- Watch out for 103.8 and 101.9 to expect another leg up from
- We have a market structure shift from 103.3 if we flip below that on a weekly TF, we might soon see DXY turning bearish.
- DXY can soon show impulsive moves on Monday post bullish commentaries
DXY PARABOLIC SETUP Update- DXY is currently trading at 107.4
- DXY has made a lot of USD-denominated pairs bleed and they are still getting slaughtered
- DXY is currently at a point where there's a lot of limit sell stops above the buy side liquidity
- Once the orders are consumed we might see another round of Impulse up to the marked displacement of 110-111$
- DXY pumping along with the Equity market, Crypto isn't a good sign there's a negative smart money divergence laying that's trapping and sucking liquidity from retail suckers.
- Sit at the sidelines and keep locking in gains until you see DXY flipping its structure to bearish
- Retail pattern traders might get flushed when they call this a double bottom.
Ethereum 5000$ Price Action Commentary and Analysis - Ethereum has been compressing and consolidating within a range for the past six months.
- There are key price levels that need to be surpassed for Ethereum to turn completely bullish. A market structure shift to a bullish trend will occur once we see a weekly close above $3,568.
- Ethereum has been underperforming compared to Bitcoin for an extended period. Now that Bitcoin dominance is declining, liquidity from Bitcoin is expected to flow into Ethereum and other altcoins.
- The outperformance of Ethereum is closely tied to the expansion of scaling solutions, particularly Layer 2 cryptocurrencies like Optimism, Arbitrum, and Matic.
- Ethereum has the potential to outperform Bitcoin in Q1 2025 significantly, and it could happen even sooner due to increasing institutional interest in Ethereum ETFs, which could drive prices above $5,000 and create new highs.
- Ethereum often experiences sharp price movements when it begins to rally; thus, it will be challenging to catch the uptrend once it starts. To monitor its outperformance, keep an eye on the ETH/BTC trading pair. Once a strong base is established, Ethereum could easily yield returns of 200-300%.
- Accumulation Zones: $2,700-$2,900 (conservative order entry targets); $3,165-$3,280 for a 50% size entry.
Bitcoin Bull Run Setup Commentary and Technical Analysis - Bitcoin is currently trading at 97,481 down 2.3% from its recent high
- Bitcoin has huge imbalances printed and the mitigation has not yet happened
- Inefficiencies and Fair Value Gaps left to be tapped: 81,000$ & 77,000$
- Spot Bidding at these zones presents a very conservative entry and one impulsive move can yield 30-40% in a quarter.
- Swinging at these zones from a Risk:Reward perspective is also going to be highly favourable
- This business is all about speculation and condensing macros along, DXY is breaking out huge, moreover, BTC might print 100k or above that's a psychological target for many but don't forget the risk involved in entering here if BTC falls by 20% straight due to a negative catalyst.
- Chicago Mercantile EX gap lays at 77,000$ that can soon get filled
- Ethereum is a better play when compared to BTC.
Bitcoin Dominance Bearish Setup for Crypto Bull Run- Bitcoin Dominance is currently trading at 60.08%
- Bitcoin Dominance is the biggest reason behind ALTCOINS dumping hard since months.
- BTC D market structure will shift bearish once we see a weekly close below 58.57%
- BTC.D under 58% will trigger an impulsive move in Altcoins and that can lead to a huge rally in alts worth 300-500%
- Bitcoin Dominance dumping might also lead to a parabolic shift in ETH/BTC.
- Ethereum and other alts will jump hard only when this dumps, 2 zones I am looking for to expect a reversal from for BTC D is 64 and 72 for a worst case scenario.
AAVE Swing Long Setup Idea For Crypto Bull Run- AAVE is currently trading at $171.
- As a leader in decentralized finance (DeFi), it’s important to position yourself conservatively to maximize your gains with AAVE.
- The price is currently consolidating and compressing near the inefficient gap, so pay attention to its behavior to learn from these repetitive patterns.
- Historically, the price has been rejected from the last swing high before entering a bearish trajectory; we have observed a similar rejection at the same point of interest (POI) recently.
- Now is the time to make conservative entries in the range of $160-$170 and hold for an increase up to $261.
- Recommended Accumulation Zones for Spot Entries: $156-$167.
- Bull Run Targets: $261, $447, $650.
- Timeframe: Hold this position for 2-3 months.
Nifty 1D Update and Bearish Commentary NIFTY 1D Update: Nifty has followed both of my paths, and I await one to follow through. Nifty is in a distribution phase and we will either halt at 23,532 and move up to 24,500 or we will continue to fall to 22,000. Overall bias is bearish and I would recommend staying off stocks unless you see A+ setups
Nifty Trade Setup & Commentary - Nifty is currently trading at 24,148
- Nifty overall structure is at a very crucial point where we have a make or break structure
- Important zone and area to watch for bulls will be 23,813 and if this gets breached or if we see a weekly closing below this I expect Nifty to free fall till 23,200 and then 21,285
- Nifty Demand and POI Zones: 21,285 and 23,200
- Nifty Supply Zones: 25,200
- If Nifty goes upto 25,200 and shows a relief rally dont consider or assume the bull run is back because we need to flip that zone and wait for nifty to make a weekly close above 25,200 if order to turn bullish again
Crypto USDT Dominance Update & Commentary- USDT Dominance is currently trading at 4.61%
- USDT Dominance works inversely with the Crypto Market
- If you see USDT Dominance falling and being bearish then are high chances of crypto moving up impulsively
- Current Market Structure of USDT Dominance looks highly bearish
- We can expect USDT Dom to easily fall down to 4.29% and 3.81%
- These 2 zones are highly going to be important because in between that we will also see some sort of upside retracement followed by more downside moves
- I have drawn more downside zones like 2.45% and 1.90% as well where you can expect USDT Dominance to absolutely get slaughtered and this should mark the local end of bull run.
Ethereum Bull Run Analysis & Commentary - Ethereum is currently trading at 3204$ and has breached all recent swing lows
- Structurally Ethereum looks all set to purge way higher in the upcoming weeks
- Ethereum is up 30% this week for all those faithful holders, ethereum has finally started moving impulsively and all the patience was worth it
- Technically, I see ETH reaching 3400-3600$ soon and post that I would like to see how ETH reacts from that zone.
1) Scenario 1 - Lock in partials around 3400-3600 and deploy the same partials when you see ETH dipping back to fill the FVGs around 2800-3000$
2) Scenario 2 - You let you position run and lock in partials around 4000$ and deploy your gains when you see ETH dipping back to 3500$ and second deploy around 3000$
- My bull run conservative target for Ethereum is 8000$ minimum anything above that is a gift
Bitcoin Weekly TA & Commentary- Bitcoin is currently trading at 79,446$
- Bitcoin has printed a new All Time High today and we can expect this rally to continue until 84,120$ or 89,333$
- Bitcoin is currently carrying a huge parabolic momentum where we can expect large expansions and retractions this week
- From an accumulation perspective you should wait for dip and the point of interest lies at 70,000$ and 73.5k, if you see 70k getting breached then we can see 66,000 coming in play
- If you are already holding Bitcoin and confused where to lock in partials then you can watchout these 2 zones
- 84,120$
- 89,333$
- Lock in partials to roll over the same money in dips to either add BTC or Alts its upto you
SUI ATH Technical Analysis & Commentary- SUI is currently trading at 3$ and printed another new All time high
- SUI is driving a lot of FOMO amongst retailers
- SUI has shown real outperformance when compared to Altcoins
- SUI is currently in a price discovery mode
- Accumulation Zones for Spot Buys: I have drawn 2 accumulation zones that you all can keep your radar on these two zones are highly conservative and efficient in terms of spot buys
- Short Term Targets: 3.5$ and 4.1$
- Note: If you are already holding SUI and if you are in a massive profit start locing in partials and utilize the same money to add in dips. Never leave gains on the table
Bitcoin Bull Run Setup and Retracement Areas - Bitcoin is currently trading at $75,973.
- Donald Trump's victory in the elections is considered great news for crypto traders and investors.
- Many believed that the market had already priced in a Trump win; however, on election day, Bitcoin reached a new all-time high (ATH).
- Bitcoin has created small imbalances and fair value gaps with this recent surge. The $70,514 level appears to be a crucial zone we may revisit soon.
- From an investment standpoint, it's advisable not to rush in; instead, wait for the market to retrace before deploying capital.
- You can place limit spot buys in the range of $70,500 to $72,000.
- Wait for Bitcoin to drop back to the $70,500 level for swing trading.
- Altcoins are still yet to show their impulsiveness, meme coins, RWA, depin, AI are some cryptos that showed good parabolic signs
- Manage risk and wait for a DIP
Nifty Crash Update & Reasons Behind Indian Markets Crashing - Nifty is currently trading at 23,964
- This chart is inverted to understand the bearish bias on a larger timeframe
- Nifty has already topped out, IMO and we will only see Nifty retracing larger and pumping small
- Nifty's point of release was from the zone of 25,214 and the market structure shift to bearish was around 24,753
- We can soon see a pullback towards the upside raiding and grabbing more liquidity and falling further down
- I find Bank Nifty to be strong when compared to Nifty
- Reasons Behind Indian Indices and Nifty Falling
1) FPI Outflows: Heavy Selling by foreign investors reallocating funds to other emerging markets like China, has reduced liquidity and intensified selling pressure.
2) SEBI Derivatives Regulation
3) Market Downgrade
4) Rising Crude Oil Prices
5) Technical Weakness