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CHOLAFIN Technical & Trade AnalysisCHOLAFIN Technical & Trade Analysis 1️⃣ Price Action CHOLAFIN surged +4.31% to close at ₹1,583.10, marking a strong bullish candle on the daily chart. Price action shows a clean breakout attempt, with momentum reclaiming higher zones. The stock is now eyeing ₹1,662 → ₹1,737 → ₹1,845 as upside targets, while support holds near ₹1,536 – ₹1,490 – ₹1,463. Key Levels: 🔴 Resistance: 1,609 | 1,635 | 1,681 🟢 Support: 1,536 | 1,490 | 1,463 ________________________________________ 2️⃣ Volume Analysis Breakout is strongly backed by heavy volume. On breakout day, traded volume stood at 3.34M shares, almost 3.89× its 20-day average (1.15M shares). Such abnormal activity indicates institutional participation, confirming this is not a random spike but a move with strong backing. ________________________________________ 3️⃣ Technical Indicators ✅ RSI: 65 → Bullish but not overbought yet ✅ MACD: Daily & Weekly bullish crossover confirmed ✅ CCI: 152 → Shows overbought momentum, supports trend ✅ Stochastic: 97 (Daily) → High momentum zone, short-term overheated ⚡ Multi-timeframe View: Daily & Weekly bullish, Monthly still sideways → Good for swing traders, long-term investors should stagger entries ________________________________________ 4️⃣ Trade Setup 📈 Daily Closing Basis Trade Entry: ₹1,588.20 SL: ₹1,513.77 Target 1: ₹1,662.63 Target 2: ₹1,737.06 ⚖️ Risk–Reward: ~1:2 | Momentum strongly in favor 📊 Swing Trade Setup Entry: ₹1,588.20 SL: ₹1,489.40 Target 1: ₹1,687 Target 2: ₹1,785 🚀 Higher potential: ₹1,845 (Fib extension) Intraday Pullback level: 1560 Swing Pullback level: 1577 ________________________________________ 5️⃣ Investment Outlook 📈 Bullish Case – Why CHOLAFIN may go up Strong bullish candle with massive volume (3.89× avg.) RSI breakout with MACD crossover Sectoral momentum in NBFC/finance space Strong support zone near 1,490–1,460 ensures limited downside 📉 Bearish Case – Watch out for Overheated stochastic (near 97) may cause short-term pullback Resistance around ₹1,681–1,735 is critical supply zone Broader market weakness could stall momentum ________________________________________ ⚡ Final Outlook Momentum: Strong | Trend: Bullish | Risk: Low | Volume: High ________________________________________ 💡 Learning Note This setup is a classic high-volume breakout trade → when price action, RSI, MACD, and volume align, probability of success is high. NBFC sector plays like CHOLAFIN can deliver strong short-term swing moves when backed by 3–4× volume spikes. ________________________________________ 📈 Chart Pattern Analysis CHOLAFIN on the daily timeframe has given a Double Bottom / Inverse Head & Shoulders–type breakout, a classic bullish reversal setup. The two key lows were formed near the ₹1,470–1,490 zone, showing strong demand absorption at that level. The neckline breakout came around ₹1,544–1,550, confirmed with a big green candle and 3.89× average volume, which validates institutional participation. This breakout indicates that sellers failed to push the stock lower twice, and buyers have now taken control, shifting momentum firmly to the upside. Based on the pattern projection and Fibonacci extensions, the upside potential extends towards ₹1,684 → ₹1,760 → ₹1,800, aligning with the 1.0 and 1.272 Fib levels. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data. Trading — whether in stocks or options — carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes exceed the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results. If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works — practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are experienced, always assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering trades. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any real trading decision. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge full responsibility for your trades and investments. 💬 Found this useful? 🔼 Give this post a Boost to help more traders discover clean, structured learning. ✍️ Drop your thoughts, questions, or setups in the comments — let’s grow together! 🔁 Share with fellow traders and beginners to spread awareness. 👉 “If you liked this breakdown, follow for more clean, structured setups with discipline at the core.” 🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience. Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
NSE:CHOLAFINLong
by simpletradewithpatience
LT - Technical & Trade Analysis📊 Larsen & Toubro (L&T) – Technical & Trade Analysis ________________________________________ 1️. Price Action L&T has displayed a powerful bullish move, closing at ₹3,667.80 (+2.28%) with a strong green candle on the daily chart. The price has broken above the neckline at 3,649, which coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, confirming a bullish reversal from recent lows. With this breakout, the stock is now well-placed to test higher levels at ₹3,731, ₹3,802, and eventually ₹3,931, while key support zones remain intact near ₹3,615 – ₹3,535. This price action clearly indicates a shift in momentum from weakness to strength. Key Levels: 🔴 Resistance: 3696.83 | 3725.87 | 3777.73 🟢 Support: 3615.93 | 3564.07 | 3535.03 ________________________________________ 2️. Volume Analysis The bullish breakout is strongly validated by volume data. On the breakout day, L&T recorded a traded volume of 2,928,060 shares, which is more than 2.38 times its 20-day average volume (1,376,896 shares). Such a significant spike in activity signals institutional buying and strong market participation, a hallmark of reliable breakouts. A VolX reading of 2.38 highlights that the move is not a random uptick but a surge backed by heavy accumulation, adding conviction to the ongoing rally. ________________________________________ 3️. Technical Indicators The technical setup offers multiple confirmations for the bullish bias. The yellow-tagged highlights show that the stock has given an RSI breakout, MACD crossover, Bollinger Band breakout, bullish VWAP signal, and a BB squeeze release, all pointing towards the start of a momentum expansion phase. Additionally, the multi-timeframe indicator table on the top right reinforces this view: Stochastic and CCI are bullish across daily and weekly timeframes, while the MACD is bullish on daily and weekly but still bearish on the monthly, hinting at some caution for long-term investors. Meanwhile, RSI at 61 signals healthy strength without yet entering overbought territory. Together, these indicators align to support the short-term bullish momentum in L&T. ________________________________________ 4. Latest Update Larsen & Toubro (L&T) has been in the spotlight recently with a series of significant developments. The company’s Heavy Civil Infrastructure vertical secured a “significant” order worth ₹1,000–2,500 crore from NPCIL for the Kudankulam Nuclear Power Project (Units 5 & 6) in Tamil Nadu, while it also bagged a major contract from NHSRCL to construct 156 km of ballastless track for the Mumbai–Ahmedabad bullet train corridor. On the flip side, L&T has expressed its intent to exit the Hyderabad Metro Phase I operations citing financial and operational challenges and confirmed it will not participate in the Phase II expansion. Financially, the company posted nearly 30% YoY profit growth in Q1FY26, supported by strong execution and a robust order book, further boosted by these fresh wins. Meanwhile, Chairman S. N. Subrahmanyan highlighted long-term succession planning and clarified remarks on work culture that recently drew public debate. ________________________________________5. Investment Outlook 📈 Bullish Case – Why L&T could go up Breakout above neckline with volume confirmation RSI & MACD both turning positive on Daily Strong support zone at 3615–3560 ensures limited downside Sectoral rotation into infra/engineering plays could fuel upside 📉 Bearish Case – Potential downside risks Heavy resistance around ₹3,731–₹3,777 (previous supply zone) If it fails to hold above ₹3,649, profit booking may drag it back to ₹3,585 / ₹3,535 Macro headwinds (interest rate or project delays) could stall the momentum ⚡ Momentum Case – Short-term Trading Edge Current move shows "Buy Today – Sell Tomorrow" setup Entry @ ₹3,674, SL @ ₹3,590.44, Target 1: ₹3,757.56, Target 2: ₹3,841.12 Risk Reward is favorable, supported by strong bullish volume ________________________________________ 📅 Short-term vs Long-term Perspective Short-Term (Swing Trade): Strong bullish case, momentum intact, low risk with clear entry/SL/targets. Medium-Term (1–3 months): Stock can test ₹3,900–₹4,000 zone if momentum sustains. Long-Term: Monthly MACD still bearish; investors should add gradually only above ₹3,800+ confirmation. ________________________________________ 📝 STWP Trade Analysis 📊 Daily Closing Basis Trade Entry 3,674, SL 3,590.44, T1 3,757.56 (R:R 1:1), T2 3,841.12 (R:R 1:2). 📊 Swing Trade Setup Entry 3,674, SL 3,545.40, T1 3,802.60 (R:R 1:1), T2 3,931.20 (R:R 1:2). Pullback level for Intraday Traders: 3643 Pullback level for swing Traders: 3585 ________________________________________ Final Outlook Momentum: Strong | Trend: Bullish | Risk: Low | Volume: High ________________________________________ 💡 Learning Note This setup demonstrates the power of combining price action, Fibonacci levels, and volume confirmation. A bullish breakout above the neckline with heavy volume plus indicator alignment is one of the most reliable swing trade setups. Double Bottom breakouts with neckline retests + volume confirmation are among the highest probability setups in technical trading ________________________________________ 📈 Chart Pattern Analysis L&T on the daily timeframe has given a Double Bottom Pattern breakout, a classic bullish reversal setup. The two bottoms were formed near the 3,535–3,560 zone, showing strong demand absorption at that level. The neckline breakout came at 3,649, confirmed with a big green candle and 2.38× average volume, which validates institutional participation. This pattern indicates that sellers failed to push the stock lower twice, and buyers have now taken control, opening the path for higher targets. Based on the pattern projection, the upside potential extends towards 3,802 → 3,931, aligning with the Fibonacci extension levels. ⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data. Trading — whether in stocks or options — carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes exceed the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results. If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works — practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are experienced, always assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering trades. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any real trading decision. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge full responsibility for your trades and investments. 💬 Found this useful? 🔼 Give this post a Boost to help more traders discover clean, structured learning. ✍️ Drop your thoughts, questions, or setups in the comments — let’s grow together! 🔁 Share with fellow traders and beginners to spread awareness. 👉 “If you liked this breakdown, follow for more clean, structured setups with discipline at the core.” 🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience. Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
NSE:LTLong
by simpletradewithpatience
1
“Aegis Logistics | 20x Volume Breakout Signals Fresh Upside MomAegis Logistics Ltd (CMP: ₹758.90 | +8.07%) 🔎 Technical Outlook: Aegis Logistics witnessed a 20-day volume breakout with an extraordinary 20X spike in price-volume activity, signaling strong market participation. The stock formed a powerful bullish candle, indicating robust momentum and accumulation interest. The breakout above recent consolidation zones suggests the potential for a trend continuation if follow-up buying sustains. ________________________________________ 📈 Key Levels: Entry Zone: ₹774 Stop Loss: ₹700.25 Support Levels: 715.5 / 672.1 / 642.85 Resistance Levels: 788.15 / 817.4 / 860.8 Major Resistance Zone: ₹946 – ₹995 ________________________________________ 🎯 Upside Targets: Target 1 → ₹847.75 Target 2 → ₹921.50 Target 3 → ₹995.25 Target 4 → ₹1,069 ________________________________________ ⚡ Why Bullish? 20-Day & 52-Week Volume Breakout confirmation RSI, Stochastic & MACD supporting bullish bias on daily & weekly charts Strong momentum candle near breakout zone Rising interest seen from institutional volumes ________________________________________ 📢 Summary: Aegis Logistics is entering a high-momentum zone. Sustaining above ₹774 can trigger multi-level rallies toward ₹921–₹1,069 in the coming sessions. However, a dip below ₹700 will negate this bullish structure. 📰 Latest News Aegis Logistics shares surged ~10% in a single day, driven by strong volumes. It was the stock’s highest single-day gain since March. Trading volume hit a four-month high (~31 lakh shares) much above its 20-day average. Business Today The stock exceeded its 50-day moving average around ₹724, touching resistance zones around ₹763 to ₹772 (100- & 200-day moving averages). Business Today Additional longer-term news: The joint-venture Aegis Vopak Terminals (AVTL) is planning a ₹2,800 crore IPO to reduce debt and fund expansion; Aegis Logistics has ~50.1% stake in that JV. The Economic Times Also, an in-principle approval for a new LPG siding (rail facility) at Panambur (New Mangalore Port) for AEGIS Vopak was granted by Palakkad railway division. This could improve LPG logistic flows. The Times of India 📈 Investment Outlook Aegis Logistics delivered a strong 20-day volume breakout (VolX ≈ 20x) with a sharp bullish candle. Technical momentum plus upcoming catalysts like the JV IPO and new LPG siding approval are fueling sentiment. ________________________________________ 📈 Bullish Case – Why the stock could go up High-volume breakout (20x average) signals institutional accumulation. Momentum indicators: RSI 63, CCI 177, Stochastic 86 – still bullish. Sustaining above ₹774 can open upside toward ₹847 – ₹921 initially, then ₹995 – ₹1069. Positive news: JV IPO plans and LPG siding approval provide structural growth drivers. 📉 Bearish Case – Potential downside risks Resistance near ₹788 – ₹817 may trigger profit booking. Failure to sustain above ₹774 could lead to correction back toward ₹729 – ₹715. Sectoral risks: energy/logistics costs, regulatory delays may hurt sentiment. ⚡ Momentum Case – Short-term Trading Edge 20x volume + bullish MACD on daily and weekly = strong near-term edge. Bollinger Band breakout adds volatility momentum. Holding ₹774 may fuel a rally toward ₹847 – ₹921 in 2–5 sessions. 📅 Short-term vs Long-term Perspective Short-term (1–2 weeks): Test of ₹847–₹921 likely; supports 729–715 are critical. Long-term (1–3 months): Sustained breakout plus IPO news flow can re-rate stock higher toward ₹995–₹1069. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data. Trading — whether in stocks or options — carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes exceed the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results. If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works — practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are experienced, always assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering trades. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any real trading decision. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge full responsibility for your trades and investments. 💬 Found this useful? 🔼 Give this post a Boost to help more traders discover clean, structured learning. ✍️ Drop your thoughts, questions, or setups in the comments — let’s grow together! 🔁 Share with fellow traders and beginners to spread awareness. 👉 “If you liked this breakdown, follow for more clean, structured setups with discipline at the core.” 🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience. Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
NSE:AEGISLOGLong
by simpletradewithpatience
Explosive Volume Breakout StocksHello Traders! Today’s session we have an explosive breakout on record volumes. The setup is not only backed by price action but also confirmed by multiple technical indicators such as RSI, Bollinger Bands, SuperTrend, VWAP, and BB Squeeze. Let’s decode this in detail 👇 ________________________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________________ JBM Auto Ltd (NSE: JBMA) CMP: 712.95 (+13.92%) Breakout: Strong 52-week volume breakout with momentum Key Supports: 660 / 608 / 571 Key Resistances: 749 / 785 / 838 Setup Explanation JBM Auto delivered a powerful bullish breakout candle backed by 20x volume against its average, confirming strong accumulation. The stock has broken a long-term downtrend with a surge in momentum. This looks like a technically strong breakout setup as per chart patterns, but risks remain. The chart highlights multiple bullish signals: RSI breakout ⚡ shows renewed strength. Bollinger Band breakout 📊 signals volatility expansion. Bullish SuperTrend & VWAP align with upward momentum. BB Squeeze Off 🔥 confirms the end of consolidation and beginning of a trending move. As long as the stock holds above 697–712, momentum is likely to extend towards higher resistances, with 843 as a near-term swing target. A sustained close below 607 would negate the bullish structure. Latest Update – JBM Auto (JBMA) JBM Auto is buzzing after its subsidiary JBM Ecolife Mobility secured a $100 million investment from IFC, marking IFC’s largest e-mobility funding in India. The capital will accelerate deployment of over 1,400 electric buses across multiple states, boosting JBMA’s already strong ₹12,900 crore order book. The stock surged ~9–11% on record volumes as the news reinforced confidence in India’s EV and green mobility push. While momentum is strong, analysts also flag elevated valuations, thin margins, and execution risks, making it important for traders to watch key levels closely. Investment Outlook & Conclusion Bullish Case – The stock has given a 52-week breakout with 20x average volumes. If momentum sustains, it may attempt levels of ₹749 → ₹785 → ₹815 → ₹838 → ₹843. Bearish Case – A sustained slip below ₹622 could weaken the structure and open downside risk. Momentum Case – Current price action with heavy volumes indicates a short-term momentum phase. However, this is a high-risk, high-reward scenario suitable only for aggressive swing setups. Perspective – Short-term structure is positive, while long-term outcomes will depend on execution of EV bus orders, government policy support, and maintaining profitability margins. 📊 STWP Trade Analysis – JBM Auto (JBMA) 👉 In my chart study, I have marked ₹732.80 as an entry level with ₹621.95 as an invalidation level. 👉 If the stock dips towards ₹627–607 (Pullback Zone), I will treat it as a conservative re-entry with tighter risk. Invalidation Level: A sustained move below ₹607 will negate my bullish view. ⚠️ This is my swing trading approach as long as supports hold, shared only for learning how I structure trades. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. ________________________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data. Trading — whether in stocks or options — carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes exceed the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results. If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works — practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are experienced, always assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering trades. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any real trading decision. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge full responsibility for your trades and investments. 💬 Found this useful? 🔼 Give this post a Boost to help more traders discover clean, structured learning. ✍️ Drop your thoughts, questions, or setups in the comments — let’s grow together! 🔁 Share with fellow traders and beginners to spread awareness. 👉 “If you liked this breakdown, follow for more clean, structured setups with discipline at the core.” 🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience. Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
NSE:JBMALong
by simpletradewithpatience
1
Explosive Volume Breakout StocksHello Traders! Today’s session was packed with action as several midcap names showed explosive breakouts on record volumes. These setups are not only backed by price action but also confirmed by multiple technical indicators such as RSI, Bollinger Bands, SuperTrend, VWAP, and BB Squeeze. Let’s decode them in detail 👇 1️ Greenpanel Industries Ltd (NSE: GREENPANEL) CMP: ₹322.15 (+18.09%) Breakout with Heavy Volumes Key Supports: ₹288 / ₹254 Resistances: ₹341 / ₹361 / ₹395 🔑 Strong 52-week breakout with bullish follow-through. Sustaining above ₹288 could keep the momentum alive. The stock witnessed a 52-week volume breakout, supported by a strong bullish candle that confirms aggressive buying interest. The RSI has broken out, highlighting fresh momentum, while the Bollinger Band breakout shows volatility expansion after a period of consolidation. Alongside this, the Bullish SuperTrend and VWAP indicators confirm trend alignment with volume, suggesting institutional participation. Interestingly, the BB Squeeze turning off signals that the low-volatility phase has ended, and the stock may now enter a trending move. ________________________________________ 2️ Indoco Remedies Ltd (NSE: INDOCO) CMP: ₹308.60 (+11.47%) RSI Breakout + Volume Expansion Key Supports: ₹280 / ₹252 Resistances: ₹334 / ₹360 / ₹388 🔑 Open = Low + strong bullish candle. Short-term traders may keep an eye on ₹280 as support. Indoco Remedies also recorded a powerful 52-week volume breakout, signaling accumulation at higher levels. The RSI breakout validates the momentum shift, while the “open = low” pattern reflects intraday buying from the very start of the session. The Bollinger Band breakout points to volatility expansion, and the Bullish SuperTrend along with VWAP confirms that both trend and volume are favoring the bulls. Additionally, the BB Squeeze compression breakout shows that the stock has just moved out of a tight consolidation, opening the doors for a strong upside continuation. ________________________________________ 3️ Piccadilly Agro Industries Ltd (NSE: PICCADIL) CMP: ₹723.80 (-13.58%) Strong Bullish Candle on Massive Volumes Key Supports: ₹660 / ₹598 Resistances: ₹765 / ₹806 / ₹869 🔑 Despite closing off highs, volumes indicate institutional interest. Watch ₹660 as a key level. Piccadilly Agro displayed a strong bullish candle backed by exceptional volumes, which suggests fresh interest from market participants. The RSI breakout supports the strength of the momentum, while the Bollinger Band breakout indicates that the stock has entered a new volatility phase. Both Bullish SuperTrend and VWAP confirm that the price move is well-supported by trend-following and volume-based systems. With the BB Squeeze off, the compression phase has ended, further confirming the possibility of an extended rally if key supports hold. ________________________________________ 4️ SMS Pharmaceuticals Ltd (NSE: SMSPHARMA) CMP: ₹300.55 (+12.14%) 52-Week Volume Breakout Key Supports: ₹273 / ₹247 Resistances: ₹319 / ₹339 / ₹365 🔑 Stock showing bullish momentum with multiple indicator confirmations. A close above ₹319 may trigger the next leg. SMS Pharma registered a 52-week volume breakout combined with short-term bullish momentum, indicating a strong change in trend. The RSI breakout highlights renewed momentum, and the Bollinger Band expansion reflects volatility returning after consolidation. The Bullish SuperTrend and VWAP are both in sync with the buyers, suggesting sustainable strength. The BB Squeeze turning off is another confirmation that the quiet phase is over, and the stock could witness directional movement. Overall, multiple indicators align to suggest that this breakout has solid backing from both price and volume action. ________________________________________ 💡 Technical Takeaway: When volume expansion aligns with RSI, Bollinger Bands, and SuperTrend confirmations, breakouts have higher chances of sustaining. Always track key support levels for validation. ⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data. Trading — whether in stocks or options — carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes exceed the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results. If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works — practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are experienced, always assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering trades. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any real trading decision. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge full responsibility for your trades and investments. 💬 Found this useful? 🔼 Give this post a Boost to help more traders discover clean, structured learning. ✍️ Drop your thoughts, questions, or setups in the comments — let’s grow together! 🔁 Share with fellow traders and beginners to spread awareness. 👉 “If you liked this breakdown, follow for more clean, structured setups with discipline at the core.” 🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience. Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
NSE:GREENPANELLong
by simpletradewithpatience
Technical View – Gold Futures (MCX)Trend: Sharp rally extended, but now showing pause with doji candles at the top. Volume: Trendline breakout earlier came with strong participation; latest candles show reduced conviction. Momentum: RSI near 74 → overbought, but stabilizing. MACD still positive, histogram flattening → signs of momentum cooling. Support Levels: ₹107,250 (short-term EMA), ₹105,200 (swing support). Bias: Rally intact, but risk of sideways/consolidation phase unless fresh volume confirms continuation.
MCX:GOLD1!Short
by Punit190
The Power of Trendline Angles : My Full time trading ExperienceBreaking Down Three Critical Trendline Structures - A Complete Analysis Structure 1: The Power of Steep Angles (Primary Focus) The first structure showcases what I consider the gold standard of trendline breakouts. Notice how the trendline is significantly tilted/slanted rather than following a gradual 45-degree angle. Compressed Energy Release: Steep trendlines act like coiled springs, storing tremendous buying/selling pressure that explodes upon breakout Key Observation: The resistance level (marked as 'R') held price down multiple times before the decisive breakout. Once broken, this level immediately flipped to become strong support (marked as 'S')—a textbook example of polarity flip dynamics. Structure 2 & 3: Valid but Secondary Setups While structures 2 and 3 represent legitimate continuation-based trendline breakouts, they pale in comparison to the explosive potential of Structure 1. However, they still qualify as CT (Continuation Trend) based breakout structures and shouldn't be ignored entirely Remember: Not every trendline break deserves your attention. Focus on steep angles, exceptional volume, and clear flip confirmations for the highest probability setups. The market rewards patience and precision over frequency. Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider seeking advice from a qualified financial advisor, and trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
NSE:PRECAMLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
2
Granules India: Critical Descending TriangleGranules India Limited presents a descending triangle pattern on the weekly chart. The price has moved from the established support zone near ₹440-450 and is currently challenging the resistance trendline around ₹492.25. This movement appears with a marked increase in trading volume, highlighting the level where buyers and sellers are most active. Pattern Character A descending triangle pattern is identified by a series of lower highs against a stable support base. Granules India’s recent action displays persistence at support and upward momentum toward resistance. The volume expansion indicates notable participation during the current move. Chart Observation Price action above the triangle’s resistance can indicate a change in the prevailing sentiment if confirmed by continued volume. The current structure and market activity are being closely watched by participants for further development. No forecast or recommendation is made within this post.
NSE:GRANULESLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
Exide Industries Ltd (EXIDEIND) – Breakout MomentumPrice Action CMP: ₹396–400 (Aug 29, 2025) Stock is consolidating near highs after strong rally. Trading above 20 / 50 / 200 EMAs → confirms bullish structure. Resistance: ₹405–410 (breakout zone) Support: ₹389 → ₹385 → ₹365 (weekly base) Upside Targets: 🎯 T1 = ₹430 🎯 T2 = ₹475 🎯 T3 = ₹535 (extended swing target) Invalidation: Close below ₹385 → caution; below ₹365 → setup weakens. Indicators & Momentum RSI (14): ~62 → bullish, not extreme yet. ADX: Strength building → supports continuation. MFI: Above 70 → strong money inflow, but watch overbought. MACD: Mixed; short-term pauses possible. 🧭 Trading View Bias Bias: Bullish above ₹389 Short-Term: ₹405 → ₹430 Medium-Term: ₹475 → ₹535 Caution: Sustained close below ₹385 shifts bias neutral. Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis for educational purposes only—not financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence before trading.
NSE:EXIDEINDLong
by Vijay_Trade
COLPAL - RSI Breakout + Bollinger Band Breakout📊 COLPAL – Technical & Educational Snapshot Ticker: NSE: COLPAL | Sector: 🪥 FMCG CMP: ₹ ▲ (as of 20 Aug 2025) Rating (for learning purpose): ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Pattern Observed: 📈 RSI Breakout + Bollinger Band Breakout COLPAL is showing strong bullish momentum supported by multiple technical indicators. The presence of a strong bullish candle, along with an RSI breakout at 61, highlights healthy buying pressure. A Bollinger Band breakout and BB Squeeze-Off indicate rising volatility and the possibility of a continuation move. The Bullish SuperTrend adds further confirmation, while momentum indicators (MACD bullish, CCI at 223, Stochastic at 96) signal strong near-term strength. 📊 Momentum Snapshot: Momentum indicators are aligned on the bullish side. While Stochastic shows overbought conditions, strong volume-backed momentum often sustains until key resistance levels are tested. 📊 Volume Check: 🔹 Current Volume: 1.01M 🔹 20SMA Volume: 710.56k ✅ 💥 Significantly above average – confirms strong institutional / broad-based buying interest! 💡 Interpretation: When volume is well above the 20-period average, it strengthens the reliability of a breakout. It shows that the move is not just retail-driven but likely supported by larger participants. Breakouts with high volume tend to sustain better compared to low-volume moves. 💡 Learnings: Breakouts with Bollinger Band expansion often lead to strong follow-through moves. RSI + MACD confirmation together strengthen trend reliability. High CCI & Stochastic values show strong momentum but also highlight the importance of monitoring for pullbacks. Defining pullback and invalidation levels helps in disciplined trade management. Key Levels: Resistance: 2393 | 2429 | 2492 Support: 2293 | 2229 | 2193 Pullback Area: 2294 Invalidation Level: Close below 2193 STWP Trade Setup: Entry (Long): Above 2365 Stop Loss: 2262 or below Reference Levels: 2467 | 2569 ⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data. Trading — whether in stocks or options — carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes be larger than the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results. If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works — practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are an experienced trader, remember to assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering any trade. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any real trading decision. By reading, watching, or engaging with this content, you acknowledge that you take full responsibility for your own trades and investments. 💬 Found this useful? 🔼 Give this post a Boost to help more traders discover clean, structured learning. ✍️ Drop your thoughts, questions, or setups in the comments — let’s grow together! 🔁 Share with fellow traders and beginners to spread awareness. ✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for beginner-friendly setups, price action insights & disciplined trading content. 🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience. Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
NSE:COLPALLong
by simpletradewithpatience
PERSISTENT – Bullish Engulfing + RSI Breakout📊 PERSISTENT – Technical & Educational Snapshot Ticker: NSE: PERSISTENT | Sector: 💻 IT Services CMP: ₹ ▲ (as of 20 Aug 2025) Rating (for learning purpose): ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Pattern Observed: 📈 Bullish Engulfing + RSI Breakout PERSISTENT is displaying strong bullish momentum across multiple technical indicators. The presence of a strong bullish candle with Open = Low, combined with an RSI breakout, highlights aggressive buying pressure. A Bullish Engulfing pattern further supports the continuation bias. Meanwhile, the Bollinger Band Squeeze-Off suggests increased volatility with a likely breakout on the upside. Together with a volume-supported move, these signals indicate strength in the trend. 📊 Volume Check: 🔹 Current Volume: 628.85k 🔹 20SMA Volume: 604.21k ✅ 💥 Above average – confirming genuine buying interest! 💡 Learnings: Bullish engulfing + Open=Low candles often signal strong buyer dominance. RSI breakouts are stronger when paired with above-average volumes. Bollinger Band squeeze-offs frequently precede powerful directional moves. Defining pullback areas and invalidation levels helps structure risk management. Key Levels: Resistance: 5410 | 5475 | 5580 Support: 5240 | 5135 | 5070 Pullback Level: 5284 Invalidation Level: Close below 5008 STWP Trade Setup: Entry (Long): Above 5370 Stop Loss: 5173 or below Reference Levels: 5566 | 5763 ⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data. Trading — whether in stocks or options — carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes be larger than the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results. If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works — practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are an experienced trader, remember to assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering any trade. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any real trading decision. By reading, watching, or engaging with this content, you acknowledge that you take full responsibility for your own trades and investments. 💬 Found this useful? 🔼 Give this post a Boost to help more traders discover clean, structured learning. ✍️ Drop your thoughts, questions, or setups in the comments — let’s grow together! 🔁 Share with fellow traders and beginners to spread awareness. ✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for beginner-friendly setups, price action insights & disciplined trading content. 🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience. Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
NSE:PERSISTENTLong
by simpletradewithpatience
UNOMINDA - Possible Breakout with Bullish Candle📊 UNOMINDA – Technical & Educational Snapshot Ticker: NSE: UNOMINDA | Sector: 🚗 Auto Components CMP: ₹1,149.80 ▲ (as of 16 Aug 2025) Rating (for learning purpose): ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Pattern Observed: 📈 Possible Breakout with Bullish Candle + RSI/Bollinger Band Confirmation 🔑 Key Reference Levels (For Learning) Resistance Zones: 1150 – 1165 – 1179 – 1204 Support Zones: 1125 – 1100 – 1085 Reference Pullback Zone: 1068 Risk Reference Zone: 1011 Potential Upside Zones (Educational Projection): 1255 → 1387 → 1456 → 1556 📌 Technical Observations ✅ Bullish candle near resistance ✅ RSI momentum breakout above 64 ✅ Bollinger Band expansion → volatility visible ✅ Supertrend in bullish territory ✅ Bollinger Band Squeeze → potential directional move 📊 Volume Analysis The move was supported by 1.86M volume vs 787.43K (20-SMA) — more than 2× above average. Such spikes are often studied as signs of institutional participation and momentum strength. ⚠️ Still, follow-through in price action and sustained close above resistance are essential to avoid false breakouts. 📝 STWP Trade Analysis (Educational Illustration Only) 1️⃣ Breakout Illustration Go Long: 1154/above Stop Loss (Learning Reference): 1064/below 2️⃣ Conservative Pullback Illustration Go Long: 1149.80 – 1154 zone Stop Loss (Learning Reference): 1133/below 3️⃣ Low-Level Pullback Illustration Go Long: 1145/above Stop Loss (Learning Reference): 1122/below (Note: These are structured as learning case studies of how swing setups may be visualized by traders. Not trade calls.) 📌 Summary (Learning View Only) UNOMINDA provides a good case study in breakout + pullback strategies. Key lesson: Watch for confirmation above resistance or behavior near pullback zones. Such structures can be useful when studying swing setups. Note: A possible breakout with a bullish candle supported by RSI strength and Bollinger Band expansion often signals the start of momentum. However, traders typically wait for volume confirmation and sustained close above resistance to validate the move, as false breakouts are common near key levels. ⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data. Trading — whether in stocks or options — carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes be larger than the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results. If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works — practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are an experienced trader, remember to assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering any trade. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any real trading decision. By reading, watching, or engaging with this content, you acknowledge that you take full responsibility for your own trades and investments. ________________________________________ 💬 Found this useful? 🔼 Give this post a Boost to help more traders discover clean, structured learning. ✍️ Drop your thoughts, questions, or setups in the comments — let’s grow together! 🔁 Share with fellow traders and beginners to spread awareness. ✅ Follow @simpletradewithpatience for beginner-friendly setups, price action insights & disciplined trading content. 🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience. Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
NSE:UNOMINDALong
by simpletradewithpatience
APOLLOHOSP - TECHNICAL ANALYSIS________________________________________________________________________________ 📈 Apollo Hospitals Enterprises Ltd. (APOLLOHOSP) – TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📆 Date: June 28, 2025 | Timeframe: Daily Chart 🔍 For Educational Purposes Only ________________________________________________________________________________ 📊 Structure Overview • Pattern: Rounded "W" Base Breakout • Breakout Level: ₹7,324 • Current Price: ₹7,308.50 (pullback after breakout) • Volume: 523.58K vs avg. 456.66K – confirming breakout strength • Trend Bias: Bullish (as long as price sustains above ₹7,176–₹7,043) ________________________________________________________________________________ 📌 Key Zones 🔺 Top Range Resistance: ₹7,545.35 📛 Possible Supply Zone: ₹7,545.35–₹7,345.20 | SL: ₹7,553.15 🟧 Consolidation Zone: ₹6,750–₹7,300 🟩 Demand Support: ₹7,176 / ₹7,043 / ₹6,969 🔻 Bottom Support Range: ₹6,001 (long-term demand base) Resistance Levels: • ₹7,382.5 • ₹7,456.5 • ₹7,589.0 Support Levels: • ₹7,176.0 • ₹7,043.5 • ₹6,969.5 ________________________________________________________________________________ 🧠 Technical Signals ✔️ Rounded W pattern breakout ✔️ Bollinger Band expansion (BB Squeeze OFF) ✔️ RSI around 62 – showing strength ✔️ SuperTrend & VWAP supportive during breakout ✔️ Sectoral tailwind: Hospitals gaining traction in current market narrative ________________________________________________________________________________ 🎯 STWP Educational Trade Plan (For Study Only) • Entry (Breakout Retest): ₹7,324 • Stop Loss: ₹6,989 • Risk: ₹335/share • Position Size: 50 shares • Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1 | 1:2+ 📌 Setup Logic: Volume-backed W Breakout + Consolidation Range Break + Sector Strength ________________________________________________________________________________ ⚠️ Cautionary Notes • Breakdown below ₹7,043 = weakening structure • If price gets rejected at ₹7,456, sideways action likely • Always track volume + RSI for divergence signs ________________________________________________________________________________ 📢 Disclaimer This is a study-based chart analysis shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. The author is not SEBI-registered. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making any investment decisions. ________________________________________________________________________________ 💬 Your Turn: Do you think ₹7,545 will break or will price revisit ₹7,000 first? 👇 Drop your view or chart in the comments — let’s grow together! ________________________________________________________________________________ STWP | Learn. Trade. Grow. ________________________________________________________________________________
NSE:APOLLOHOSPLong
by simpletradewithpatience
HINDUSTAN UNILEVER LTD – Technical Analysis________________________________________ 🧠 HINDUSTAN UNILEVER LTD – Technical Analysis Ticker: NSE: HINDUNILVR | Sector: FMCG Current Price: ₹2,521.20 ▲ (+3.44% on July 31, 2025) Technical View: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Chart Pattern: Volume-Driven Range Breakout ________________________________________ Latest News & Developments Hindustan Unilever (HUL) reported strong Q1 FY26 results, with standalone net profit rising 7.6% YoY to ₹2,732 crore and consolidated profit up ~6%. Revenue grew ~4–5% YoY, aided by a rural demand rebound and volume-led gains in home care and beauty segments. While demand recovery is still gradual and margin guidance has been trimmed, the company is ramping up investments for future growth. A key structural change includes the demerger of its Kwality Wall’s ice-cream business by FY26-end. Leadership transition is also underway, with Priya Nair set to take over as CEO & MD from August 1, 2025. Shares surged 3.5% on July 31 to ₹2,521.85, outperforming the market. ________________________________________ Technical Analysis & Chart Pattern Hindustan Unilever Ltd (HUL) has broken out above a key resistance zone of ₹2,440–2,445 on the daily chart, supported by strong volume and a bullish candle. This move ends the prior consolidation phase between ₹2,136–2,602. Momentum indicators such as RSI (~70), MACD, and moving averages show a bullish bias. If the price sustains above ₹2,500, the stock may trend toward resistance levels at ₹2,573, ₹2,625, and ₹2,702. Key support levels lie at ₹2,445, ₹2,368, and ₹2,316. ________________________________________ Trade Analysis (SEBI-Compliant | Educational Purpose Only) As per the chart structure, the stock has shown a breakout above the ₹2,440–2,450 zone on strong volume, currently near ₹2,521. If momentum sustains, potential price zones to watch are ₹2,575–2,625 in the near term and ₹2,700+ in the medium term. A logical risk level could be around ₹2,395 or near the breakout point of ₹2,440. ________________________________________ Technical & Sentiment Snapshot The stock recently broke out with strong volume, indicating accumulation post-consolidation. A pullback toward ₹2,440–2,430 may test the breakout zone, while a move to ₹2,360–2,316 could signal range re-entry. Sustained trade above ₹2,500–2,520 may indicate trend continuation. Market participants are watching volume behaviour on dips and potential sentiment shifts under new leadership. Key risks include broader market weakness, margin pressures, and rural/urban demand trends. ________________________________________ Educational Insight for Learners A classic breakout occurs when a stock trades within a defined range (support and resistance) and then moves sharply beyond that range with strong volume. To identify such setups, observe the range boundaries, wait for a confirmed close outside the range, and ensure volume rises on the breakout. Entry is ideally near the breakout, with a stop just inside the range and targets based on the range height. The recent price action in HUL aligns well with this rectangle breakout concept — a valuable pattern for learners to study. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclaimer & Educational Note This content is strictly for educational and research purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor, and no buy/sell recommendations are being provided. All insights are based on personal analysis and experience and are not financial advice. 📘 This setup illustrates how combining price action (candlesticks), support/resistance zones, volume, and indicators like RSI or MACD can help build conviction in trades. However, trading—especially in derivatives like options—involves high risk, and losses can exceed the initial investment. 👉 Always do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered advisor before taking any position. 👉 Use strict risk management and only trade with capital you can afford to lose. The author assumes no liability for any losses incurred. By engaging with this content, you agree to these terms. ________________________________________ 💬 Found this helpful? Drop your thoughts, questions, or insights in the comments below ⬇️ — let’s learn together! 🔁 Share this post with your trading friends and community — help them discover clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning. ✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for clear setups, educational content, and a no-nonsense approach to price action, supply-demand zones, and risk-managed trades. 🚀 Trade with patience. Trust your charts. Stay clear-headed. Because the goal is not just to trade — it's to trade better. Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊 ________________________________________
NSE:HINDUNILVRLong
by simpletradewithpatience
BLUE STAR LTD - Technical Analysis | Triangle Pattern ________________________________________ 📊 BLUE STAR LTD – Beginner-Friendly Technical & Fundamental Snapshot Ticker: NSE:BLUESTARCO | Sector: Consumer Durables CMP: ₹1,827.50 ▲ (+3.23%) (as of August 7, 2025) Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Technical View: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Neutral-to-Positive (Educational Purpose Only) ________________________________________ 🔍 What’s Happening on the Chart? BLUE STAR has formed a Symmetrical Triangle – a pattern where price moves within narrowing highs and lows 📉📈 This indicates consolidation and usually results in a strong breakout or breakdown. 📦 Triangle Range: ~₹1,616 to ₹1,922 👉 Current price is testing the upper edge — a breakout could be brewing! ________________________________________ 🕯️ Candle & Indicator Analysis (Simplified) Here’s what the chart and indicators show: EMA 200 Crossover: ✅ Bullish signal – price is trading above its 200 EMA RSI (~60): 🔼 Showing strength – not yet overbought Stochastic (~92): 🚀 Near overbought – buyers in control MACD: ⚠️ Still bearish – momentum confirmation is pending VWAP: ✅ Aligned with bullish bias — suggests institutional support 📊 Volume Breakout: 🔺 Volume surged to 1.57 million, almost 3x the average of ~525.73k — a strong sign that big players may be stepping in as price nears breakout levels. 🧠 Trading Insight: The chart looks bullish but still needs confirmation. Watch for a proper breakout above the triangle with volume. ________________________________________ 📰 Recent News & Sentiment Update Q1 FY26 Results (as of June 30, 2025): 📈 Total Income: ₹2,998.32 Cr (↑ 3.8% YoY) 💰 Net Profit: ₹122.23 Cr (Source: Company Filings & Analyst Coverage) Sentiment: ✅ Positive: Modest earnings growth, analyst support ⚠️ Caution: Target cut by some analysts — signals mixed expectations ________________________________________ 🧭 Support & Resistance Levels 📌 Resistance Zones (Upside watch): R1: ₹1,866 R2: ₹1,904 R3: ₹2,112 (measured move target) 📌 Support Zones (Downside watch): S1: ₹1,750 S2: ₹1,680 S3: ₹1,616 (triangle base) ________________________________________ 🔍 How to Trade a Symmetrical Triangle A symmetrical triangle is a neutral pattern. The breakout confirms direction: – Above = potential upside 🟢 – Below = potential downside 🔴 📈 If Bullish Breakout Happens (above ₹1,860): ✅ Wait for a candle close above ₹1,860 with volume 🎯 Possible Price Zones: ₹2,000 → ₹2,165 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹1,750 (below triangle support) 📉 If Bearish Breakdown Happens (below ₹1,680): ✅ Wait for close below ₹1,680 🎯 Possible Price Zones: ₹1,500 → ₹1,375 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹1,750 (above triangle resistance) ________________________________________ 🧠 STWP’s Educational Trade Idea (Not a Recommendation) 🎯 Long watch above: ₹1,839 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹1,719.50 📈 Risk-Reward Idea: Minimum 1:1; ideally aim for 1:2+ ________________________________________ 🔰 Trading Notes ✅ Always use stop losses ⏳ Be patient — wait for confirmation, not assumption 🚫 Don’t chase green candles or panic in red ones 📚 Trade based on structure, not emotions 💼 Risk only 1–2% of your capital per trade 🎯 Target minimum 1:1.5 Risk-to-Reward ratio ________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclaimer (Read Carefully) This post is for educational and informational purposes only. The author is not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. No buy or sell recommendations are being made. All views are based on chart patterns, publicly available data, and personal learning experience. Trading involves risk. Losses can exceed your investment. Always consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making financial decisions. By engaging with this content, you agree to these terms. ________________________________________ 💬 Was this useful? Drop your thoughts, questions, or setups in the comments below ⬇️ — let’s grow together! 🔁 Share this post with fellow traders and beginners to spread clean, structure-based learning. ✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for beginner-friendly setups, price action insights, and disciplined trading content. 🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience. Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊 ________________________________________
NSE:BLUESTARCOLong
by simpletradewithpatience
KAYNES TECHNOLOGY IND LTD – Technical Analysis________________________________________ 🧠 KAYNES TECHNOLOGY IND LTD – Technical Analysis Ticker: NSE:KAYNES | Sector: EMS & Semiconductors Current Price: 6,172.00 ▲ (+9.5% on July 31, 2025) Technical View: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge Breakout ________________________________________ 📈 Technical Overview 🔹 Chart Pattern Formed: Falling Wedge Breakout with extremely high volume confirmation 🔹 Breakout Zone: 6,000–6,050 🔹 Momentum Signals: — RSI breakout above 60 — Strong bullish candle with rising volume — VWAP and SuperTrend aligned bullish 🔹 Support Trendline Held on multiple touchpoints 🔹 Breakout Candle marked by heavy institutional volume ________________________________________ 📰 Key Fundamental Developments ✅ Q1 FY26 PAT up ~50% YoY to 74.6 Cr ✅ Gross margin expanded to 41%, EBITDA margin to 16.8% ✅ Strategic acquisitions from Fujitsu (85 Cr domestic + 118 Cr JV with L&T) ✅ Strong order book visibility (~7,400 Cr) ✅ Raised 1,600 Cr via QIP to fund growth ________________________________________ 📊 Sentiment Analysis Sentiment: ✅ Positive — Strong earnings beat and margin expansion — Global expansion through Fujitsu JV — Bullish commentary from major brokerages — Institutional confidence via QIP and upgrades ________________________________________ 🔼 Resistance Levels 6,400 – Immediate breakout target 6,834 – Top of consolidation range 7,285 – Medium-term resistance (historic supply zone) 🔽 Support Levels 5,970 – Breakout retest zone 5,700 – Structure base 5,170 / 4,864 – Deep support for longer-term invalidation ________________________________________ 📌 What’s Catching Our Eye 🔹 Volume spike confirms genuine breakout 🔹 RSI, SuperTrend, VWAP – all flashing bullish 🔹 Back-to-back bullish closes after a 10 day contraction breakout 🔹 Volume & price action aligned across multiple timeframes ________________________________________ 👀 What We’re Watching For 🔸 Follow-through momentum toward 6,400+ 🔸 Whether breakout holds above 5,970 in coming sessions 🔸 Semiconductor line execution progress 🔸 Margin trends in upcoming quarters ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risks to Monitor ⚠️ Rich valuations (~130x P/E) – limited room for disappointment ⚠️ Execution risk on new lines and acquisitions ⚠️ Global slowdown in electronics & macro headwinds ⚠️ Any delay in semiconductor segment scale-up ________________________________________ 🔮 What to Expect Next 🔹 Retest of breakout zone (~6,000–6,050) possible 🔹 If held, expect momentum toward 6,400–6,800 🔹 Sideways consolidation likely if volumes taper 🔹 Strong close above 6,400 could initiate fresh uptrend leg ________________________________________ 📈 Strategy Insight (For Educational Purposes Only) — Aggressive Traders: Watch level of 6284 — Momentum Traders: Watch 6,050 retest for low-risk entry — Risk Management: Position sizing + Capital risk – as per individual preference ________________________________________ 💬 Why It’s On Our Watchlist Kaynes blends EMS scale with high-margin ODM design and semiconductor upside. Rare in India’s listed space. Strong revenue visibility, global expansions, and balance sheet strength make it a high-conviction long-term story. ________________________________________ 📉 If Price Comes Down… 5,700–5,800 is a critical support zone. Breakdown below this with volume = trend weakness. 5,400 is final demand zone before structural damage. ________________________________________ 🪙 Educational Insight for Learners This chart is a real-world example of a falling wedge breakout confirmed by volume. The key takeaway: price alone is not enough—watch volume, RSI, and structure. Never chase momentum without a plan. Always pair conviction with discipline. ________________________________________ 🚨 Reminder: No stock is a “sure thing.” Use proper risk management. Stay rational when others get emotional. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read Carefully): This content is shared strictly for educational and research purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and no buy or sell recommendations are being made. All views expressed are based on personal market analysis and experience. They are not intended as financial advice. Trading — especially in derivatives like options — involves significant financial risk. Losses can exceed your initial investment. 👉 Always do your own research and consult a certified SEBI-registered advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. 👉 Use proper risk management and only trade with capital you can afford to lose. The author assumes no responsibility or liability for any trading losses incurred from acting on this content. By engaging with this material, you agree to these terms. ________________________________________ 💬 Found this helpful? Drop your thoughts, questions, or insights in the comments below ⬇️ — let’s learn together! 🔁 Share this post with your trading friends and community — help them discover clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning. ✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for clear setups, educational content, and a no-nonsense approach to price action, supply-demand zones, and risk-managed trades. 🚀 Trade with patience. Trust your charts. Stay clear-headed. Because the goal is not just to trade — it's to trade better. Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊
NSE:KAYNESLong
by simpletradewithpatience
DMART – A Clean Case Study in Patience & Price Action________________________________________ Ticker: NSE: DMART Sector: Retail – Supermarkets & Hypermarkets Market Cap: ≈ ₹2.78 lakh crore (approx as of July 30, 2025) Current Price: ₹4,281.40 (up ~7% on July 30, 2025) Technical Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ ________________________________________ 📢 DMart (Avenue Supermarts) Update – July 30, 2025: If you’re a new investor tracking India’s retail space, DMart just gave us a masterclass in how market sentiment can flip fast — and why fundamentals still matter. In its Q1 FY26 results, DMart reported a modest 2% profit growth (₹830 cr), despite a solid 16% jump in revenue. This raised concerns among analysts about tight margins and intensifying competition, especially from fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) and quick-commerce players. Not surprisingly, the stock dipped around 2.6% post-results. But fast-forward to late July, and the narrative flipped. On July 30, DMart shares surged 7–8% intraday, marking their biggest rally since March, after announcing the opening of its 426th store and laying out a bold expansion plan. The market cheered the company’s strong growth visibility and confidence in its value-retail model. CEO Neville Noronha emphasized the importance of store additions, digital scaling via DMart Ready, and the company’s resilience in a competitive landscape. On the digital front, online grocery sales grew 21% YoY to ₹3,502 cr in FY25 — a good sign of consumer shift — though losses widened as DMart expanded into new cities. What’s the takeaway? For learners, this is a great example of how stocks don’t move just on earnings, but on future guidance, strategy, and investor confidence. DMart may not have wowed with profits this quarter, but its long-term vision still packs a punch. ________________________________________ 📉 Technical Analysis | Chart Pattern: Potential Breakout Brewing: DMART has been consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart since April 2025 — a classic setup that often signals a big move ahead. On July 30, the stock showed signs of life with a strong 7% gain and a 5× volume spike, which usually reflects institutional accumulation and rising trader interest. 🔍 But here’s the key insight: Despite the surge in volume, the price has not yet convincingly broken above the triangle’s upper trendline. This means there’s no valid price breakout yet — only a volume-based alert. For newer traders, this is a great example of why volume alone isn't enough. A true breakout needs a strong candle closing above the pattern, preferably with follow-through buying. ________________________________________ 🔼 Key Resistance Levels to Watch: ₹4,403 – Recent swing high and immediate target if breakout confirms ₹4,526 – April top and near-term bullish milestone ₹4,728 – Long-term resistance if momentum builds up post-breakout 🔽 Important Support Levels: ₹4,078 – Breakout support zone and first pullback entry area ₹3,876 – Base of the triangle, also a structural support ₹3,753 – Deeper support, invalidation point if breached ________________________________________ 🧭 Strategy Insight for New Traders: This is a textbook case of a "breakout watchlist" setup. With strong bullish indicators — RSI > 60, MACD crossover, Supertrend flip, and a BB Squeeze breakout setup — the chart is preparing for a move. But confirmation is key. ✅ Wait for a clear breakout above the trendline with sustained volume ✅ Avoid chasing the move too early — breakout traps are common ✅ If the breakout confirms, ₹4,403 and ₹4,526 become logical targets ✅ A retest toward ₹4,080 could offer a low-risk long entry if supported by volume ________________________________________ 🧠 Pro Note for Beginners: A breakout isn’t just about price jumping — it’s about structure, confirmation, and follow-through. Think of volume spikes as the "whispers" before the market makes a bold statement. ________________________________________ 🔍 Fundamental Analysis: If you’re just starting out in stock market investing, DMART offers an interesting case study—a well-run retail company with strong fundamentals and a clear growth story. As of July 2025, DMART has shown solid performance, especially in revenue growth, while keeping debt levels incredibly low. In Q1 FY26, the company posted standalone revenues of ₹15,932 crore—up 16.2% YoY—highlighting strong consumer demand and steady growth momentum. Over the full FY25, consolidated revenue rose nearly 17% YoY, reflecting DMART’s consistent top-line performance. However, while revenues are rising fast, margins have seen slight compression. PAT (net profit) for FY25 stood at ₹2,707 crore with a PAT margin of 4.6%, down from 5% a year earlier. DMART’s earnings per share (EPS) is growing steadily too—₹41.61 in FY25, up ~7% from last year. But with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of ~96x, the stock trades at a steep premium compared to peers, signaling that the market has high expectations for its future growth. One of DMART’s biggest strengths is its minimal debt—the company operates with almost zero leverage, giving it exceptional financial flexibility. It also generates healthy free cash flows from its core retail operations, though its online grocery venture (DMart Ready) is still in the investment phase, posting losses as it expands. From a valuation standpoint, DMART is expensive, no doubt. But investors are paying for its scalability, low-risk model, and disciplined management. With 415 stores across India and consistent quarterly additions, the company continues to grow organically while maintaining a lean balance sheet. 🔔 Bottom Line for Beginners: DMART is a financially strong and well-managed company with proven business fundamentals. But with a very high valuation and slowing profit growth, new investors should be cautious. It may be wise to watch for better entry points or wait for earnings to catch up with the price. For long-term investors with patience and a high-quality bias, it could still be a worthy contender—especially if margins and digital growth improve. ________________________________________ 📈 DMART Chart Study – Educational Swing Trade Example: Disclaimer: This is an educational post intended to help new traders understand breakout setups. This is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any stock or security. Always consult your registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions. If you're learning how swing trades work, this DMART daily chart setup from July 30, 2025, offers a great example of how price action, volume, and key levels can come together. It’s a practical case study to understand the breakout trading concept. ________________________________________ 🛠️ Trade Structure (For Educational Purposes) Reference Entry Price: ₹4,324.00 Reference Stop Loss: ₹3,925.85 Risk-Reward Scenario: Approx. 1:1, with potential extension to 1:2+ (based on hypothetical higher target) ________________________________________ 🔍 Key Chart Observations: ✅ Breakout Candle Formation: A strong bullish candle closed near its high — a typical sign of price strength. ✅ Volume Confirmation: Volume surged to 3.39 million shares, which is over 4× the daily average — often seen in breakout moves. ✅ Price Range Context: • Support/Base Zone: Around ₹3,340 • Initial Target Zone: ₹4,557.70 ________________________________________ 📘 Educational Insights: 🔴 Risk-Reward Perspective: At the observed entry level, the risk-to-reward ratio was near 1:1 — not ideal for most strategies. A more efficient trade setup might occur on a pullback or with a more distant target. 🔄 Retest Possibility: If the price retraces to ₹4,150–₹4,200 with lower volume, that zone could serve as a reference for learners exploring re-entry setups (purely for study). 🧠 Capital Risk Planning: Risk management is crucial. Avoid risking more than 2–3% of total trading capital on any single idea, no matter how strong the pattern looks. ________________________________________ 📌 Beginner Learning Point: Breakout trading is more than just chasing big candles. A proper breakout setup usually involves volume surge, clear consolidation range, and defined risk management. Learning to combine these elements is key to developing trading discipline. ________________________________________ 🧾 Why I’m Watching DMART — A STWP Perspective for Beginner Investors: One of the best lessons I’ve learned in my investing journey is this: It’s better to buy a great business at a fair price than a fair business at a great price. And when I look at DMART (Avenue Supermarts Ltd.), I see the foundation of a truly great business — even if the price isn’t quite right just yet. ________________________________________ 🛒 A Business Anyone Can Understand: DMART isn’t chasing trends or building flashy tech. It’s focused on something much simpler — and far more reliable: selling everyday essentials. Groceries, home goods, basics — the things people need no matter what. And they do it efficiently, consistently, and affordably. That simplicity, when executed well, is a major strength. ________________________________________ 🧱 A Strong, Repeatable Model: What really impresses me is their cost discipline. DMART owns many of its stores, keeping rental costs low. They avoid unnecessary frills and instead focus on efficiency and tight operations. The result? A cost advantage that’s tough for others to beat. Even though retail has thin margins, DMART’s model is scalable, profitable, and built for the long haul. ________________________________________ 👨‍💼 Led by a Trusted Name: The company is backed by Radhakishan Damani — a man known for his patience, clarity, and capital discipline. He’s not in a rush to make headlines. He’s building something durable. And when you find great leadership combined with a focused business model, that’s a rare combo worth watching. ________________________________________ 📉 Why This Stock Is on My Watchlist? In one word: Valuation. DMART often trades at 80–100 times earnings — which is expensive, even for a wonderful business. As an investor, I’d rather wait for a better deal than rush in and overpay. Great businesses can still turn into poor investments if you don’t get the price right. So for now, I’m staying patient. ________________________________________ 📈 If the Price Comes Down… If the market turns pessimistic or earnings grow into the valuation, DMART will be high on my buy list. Here’s why: ✅ A clean, debt-light balance sheet ✅ A brand people trust ✅ A scalable, cost-efficient model ✅ A long growth runway in India’s retail sector ✅ And thoughtful, no-drama leadership ________________________________________ 🪙 Final Thought for New Investors: As Warren Buffett says, “Time is the friend of the wonderful company and the enemy of the mediocre.” DMART, in my view, is a wonderful company. I’d love to own it — but only when the price is right. Until then, I’ll keep watching, learning, and staying patient. (Of course, one could consider buying a small quantity now and adding more on dips — a strategy that balances quality with prudence.) ________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read Carefully): This content is shared strictly for educational and research purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and no buy or sell recommendations are being made. All views expressed are based on personal market analysis and experience. They are not intended as financial advice. Trading — especially in derivatives like options — involves significant financial risk. Losses can exceed your initial investment. 👉 Always do your own research and consult a certified SEBI-registered advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. 👉 Use proper risk management and only trade with capital you can afford to lose. The author assumes no responsibility or liability for any trading losses incurred from acting on this content. By engaging with this material, you agree to these terms. ________________________________________ 💬 Found this helpful? Drop your thoughts, questions, or insights in the comments below ⬇️ — let’s learn together! 🔁 Share this post with your trading friends and community — help them discover clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning. ✅ Follow @simpletradewithpatience for clear setups, educational content, and a no-nonsense approach to price action, supply-demand zones, and risk-managed trades. 🚀 Trade with patience. Trust your charts. Stay clear-headed. Because the goal is not just to trade — it's to trade better. Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊
NSE:DMARTLong
by simpletradewithpatience