Lumax Industries Limited LUMAXIND:- Stock has formed double bottom and w pattern on monthly chart. keep an eye.
Hello traders,
As always, simple and neat charts so everyone can understand and not make it too complicated.
rest details mentioned in the chart.
will be posting more such ideas like this. Until that, like share and follow :)
check my other ideas to get to know about all the successful trades based on price action.
Thanks,
Ajay.
keep learning and keep earning.
Volumespreadanalysis
Wipro breaks out !After a few bearish days, many stocks broke out fro. found bases wipro breaks out of a superb triangle pattern and looks promising
to go upwards.
it is at its bottom and very good chance for a long term trade or even investment based purely on technical analysis
stop loss below the triangles support
and target1:3!!
Keep It Simple
How to Study Price and Wave volume RelationshipHi 👋
In this post I would try to throw some light on the Price & Wave Volume relationship (popularized by late David Weis).
This method may help trades in two ways:
1️⃣Ride the trend
2️⃣Picking the end of a rally
I came across this chart randomly and found that there are a few principles that I can discuss with the help of this chart.
Before reading any further I want to disclose that this technique was not originally developed by me. However, different authors may have different interpretations when it comes to some techniques of discretionary trading. This is a small piece of what I have learnt as a big follower of price action trading.
I don’t want to go for bar by bar analysis here due to time and space constraints, so I have marked a few important places (as numbers in green rectangles) that are important and need to be discussed.
The numbers in white are the cumulative wave volume in crores. This means just keep on adding the volume of each up bar until there is a reversal. I have taken the reversal a 2points on closing basis. Which means I keep on adding the volume until the price closes 2points below the close of the previous bar. The opposite is true for down waves.
🚀 Point1
If you look at the upwave preceding the downwave at point1, it is the sharpest of the rallies from March 2020 lows (scroll back the chart a bit). Also wave volume is the highest (37cr) compared to 10,19 and 18cr on previous upwaves.
At point 1 there is 10cr volume on the downwave, which is the highest on any downwave in the rally from Mar2020 lows. This is an alarming signal that sellers are getting active. But this may not impress us to liquidate our trades as we need further evidence to confirm this weakness.
🚀 Point2
Here we have very high volume accompanied by the widest bar (in the rally) but closing in the middle. These three things confirm here that sellers have stepped in and the stock is weakening.
🚀 Point3
There is a rally back to the highs but this time with lesser volume (29cr compared to 37cr) than preceding rallies. This is our second confirmation that buyers are turning there back at this level, at least for now. This is a sure exit opportunity for investors who bought at the lows.
🚀 Point4
There was a sharp reaction with huge volume of 31cr and very wide bar, closing off of its lows. At this point there is still confusion that the trend has reversed or not. If it was a reversal then there would have been a follow through of 31cr volume on the downside but it is not so. For the next 3 days price sustained above the low of this wide downbar.
🚀 Point5
The sellers again tried to push to the stock down but look at the volume in this wave. Are you getting it now? Its just 13cr instead of 31cr on the last downwave. This infers here that seller are not interested. So if seller are not interested then what will happen? Buyers will take over.
🚀 Point6
The sellers tested the level of 1, 4 and 5 a few more times, buyers holds it and that develops a support. There was a very strong rally (compared to rallies in the last one year) back to the highs and volume is again 23cr which is lesser than volume at previous highs.
Lesser volume could have 2 interpretations – there are less sellers this time and/or buyers are not interested.
🚀 Point7
The stock is back to the support again. But volume on downwaves is much lesser in relative terms. In fact, it decreasing from 13 to 4 and then 2cr (see chart). Where have the sellers gone? They don’t want to sell at the support.
🚀 Point8
Lack of selling leads to buying and eventually to new highs. Notice that there in very less volume at point 8 (only 4cr). This time sellers attempt (5cr) was failed quickly (without hitting support) and new highs were made outside resistance (developed at 2, 3 and 6).
At this stage, when the price is closing outside the resistance, I would expect more volume to come in. More volume at this stage would indicate that buyers are interested but that is not the case here.
🚀 Point9
Point 8 looked like a failed breakout attempt. The price fell back into the trading range (between support and resistance). If I look at volume here, it is 15cr on this downwave. In the immediately preceding fall with 17cr it touched the bottom end of the range but this time with 15cr it is just at the middle of the range. This signifies re-accumulation at point 9.
🚀 Point10
Re-accumulation lead to a rally back into resistance. We have 13cr as of now. Its too early to say, before this upwave ends, but 13cr is less (for me at this point) to push it any further. It seems holding back in the range.
🚀🚀 Final thoughts
This is a very nice and rare example showing both distribution (by the seller at resistance level) and accumulation (by the buyers at support level). Normally the price peeps outside the range on both sides and fails to follow through, until there is a decisive break on either side.
I hope you learnt something new in this post.
Now you can do one thing, press 🚀 to encourage me to write more educational stuff.
Thanks for reading.
KOTAK MAHINDRA BANKOTAKBANK:- over a 1 year kotak bank consolidate in small range. now buying pressure increase. volume increase keep on radar. if hi breaks the resistance level go for long..
You can plan the trade as per your risk appetite now
Hello traders,
As always, simple and neat charts so everyone can understand and not make it too complicated.
rest details mentioned in the chart.
will be posting more such ideas like this. Until that, like share and follow :)
check my other ideas to get to know about all the successful trades based on price action.
Thanks,
Ajay.
keep learning and keep earning.
TVS MOTOR COTVS MOTOR CO:- consolidate for few days. support from important level now will prepare for uptrend.
Please keep strict stoploss here.. its crucial level.
You can plan the trade as per your risk appetite now!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Hello traders,
As always, simple and neat charts so everyone can understand and not make it too complicated.
rest details mentioned in the chart.
will be posting more such ideas like this. Until that, like share and follow :)
check my other ideas to get to know about all the successful trades based on price action.
Thanks,
Ajay.
keep learning and keep earning.
DRREDDYDRREDDY:- stock is in short term uptrend. Currently it's consolidating and a decisive Break Down (most probably) may happen anytime soon
If manages to cross it, may see a rise till 5300 levels to meet the target.
You can plan the trade as per your risk appetite now!!!!!!!
Hello traders,
As always, simple and neat charts so everyone can understand and not make it too complicated.
rest details mentioned in the chart.
will be posting more such ideas like this. Until that, like share and follow :)
check my other ideas to get to know about all the successful trades based on price action.
Thanks,
Ajay.
keep learning and keep earning.
MANAPPURAMMANAPPURAM:- forms cup and handle pattern. if break 111.50 level go for long
Hello traders,
As always, simple and neat charts so everyone can understand and not make it too complicated.
rest details mentioned in the chart.
will be posting more such ideas like this. Until that, like share and follow :)
check my other ideas to get to know about all the successful trades based on price action.
Thanks,
Ajay.
keep learning and keep earning.
HDFCHDFC:- is trading near it's breakout level for the third time. If it is successful in giving the breakout then we can see upper levels soon.
Top and Bottoms: Price and Volume IndicationsHi, I personally look for following scenarios while identifying potential tops and bottoms and it works most of the times.
For tops:
High volume bars with very little progress on the upside
Exceptionally wide bars with very high volume
For bottoms:
High volume bars with little progress on the downside
Exceptionally wide bars with very high volume
This might sound confusing at first instance but it’s a very simple concept. Let us understand with the help of an example.
Adani transmission had a very sharp rally of 125% for approx. four months. But let’s see how this rally ended.
Notice very high volume indicating too much effort but the day had very little progress on the upside. Have you ever thought why this is so? Obviously due to sellers. Someone is stepping on it selling huge in a euphoric rally. This weakened the stocks.
Immediately after few days of this candle the stock made new high accompanied by a Doji. This is the first day in the entire 4month rally that it had a very high volume on a red day. Remember, we already had a weakness discussed above and this one was just a timely addition to this.
The stock lost buying interest after these two events. What may happen if buyers are not interested in a stock? Selling, right? Unfortunately, the reaction was very sharp and halted near a prior resistance level 3000, which is also a 50% retracement of the 4month rally.
Notice very high volume which I have labelled as stopping volume. Wide candles and huge volume again stopped the bearish rally. I won’t buy high volume down bars unless they are tested which it did with a lesser supply. It means that most sellers are out of this stock and not much selling left (at least for now).
The stock has since been trading in a range of 300-400 points. This strength (retests and hold) discussed above may hold the stock above 3000 for a push on the upside.
Do not consider this as a tip. This is just a concept that I wanted to share. Please apply your due diligence before hitting the buy button 😉
Thanks for reading
Now you know what do..hit 🚀🚀🚀 and enjoy trading.
Reliance Breaks Its DownfallReliance has broken past its long term bearish trendline after taking support from its short term bullish trendline
on above average volume.
50EMA has crossed 200EMA giving a
golden cross.
Targets can be take at T1 and T2
Stop loss below the most recent candle
Keep It Simple
Havells is different !!Havells has broken out of a flag with pattern after taking support from the 50ema, Although markets are bearish right now, nifty rests on its 200ema and we may see a bounce back throughout these bearish days where most stocks broke structure and fell sharply, havells maintained and consolidated on
its moving average showing strength
Target: Flags High
Possible Cup & Handle Pattern Breakout in ATUL LTDCup & Handle Formation signs:
1. Volume dry-ups near the lows of the price pattern.
2. Big volume spike on reversal of price pattern.
3. Volume dry-up on the price pull-backs.
4. Improving Relative strength.
5. Tight areas in price pattern under accumulation.
6. Trading above 200 MA
How to trade it?
1. Watch out for Volume percent change on pivot breakout.
2. The day's volume should increase at least 40% to 50% above average.
3. Stoploss below the low of the handle.
Entry - Breakout of Pivot
Stoploss - 8760 (Below low of handle)
Target - 11000 (Depth% of cup)
Would like to thank William J O'Neil for explaining this beautiful pattern.
Thank you
Saurabh Yadav
Reliance Power Ltd (RPOL)153Mvolume Reliance Power Ltd (RPOL) @ 153 Million Volume yesterday strong break out with momentum.
NEWS: Reliance Power to raise up to Rs 1200 crore via debt route from Varde Partners
Strong breakout with volume break out and momentum created in day chart.
Reliance power breakout for long. so strong upside are coming. BUY above 23.30
NEXT TARGET 25.20, 28.35 . Time to go for long, get ready to catch the profit. Thank you.