PAYTM (One 97 Communications Ltd.) – Technical Outlook & LevelsPAYTM is currently trading near ₹1,344 and remains in a strong upward Elliott Wave structure.
A clean breakout above ₹1,380–1,400 may trigger Wave-3 momentum toward ₹1,850–₹2,000.
Supports at ₹1,300 and ₹1,225 remain crucial for trend continuation, while ₹1,250 acts as an ideal stop-loss for swing setups. Long-term Wave-5 projections suggest a potential move toward ₹2,150–₹2,250.
🎯 Future Target Levels
🔹 Swing Trading Targets
• Target 1: ₹1,420 – ₹1,450
• Target 2: ₹1,550 – ₹1,600
🔹 Position Trading Targets
• Wave 3 Target Zone:
👉 ₹1,850 – ₹2,000 (Fib 1.618–2.0 extension)
• Wave 5 Extended Target:
👉 ₹2,150 – ₹2,250 (Post Wave-4 completion)
🛑 Key Support Levels
• Major Support: ₹1,300
• Intermediate Support: ₹1,225
• Structural Support: ₹1,100 (previous swing-low zone)
📌 Resistance Levels
• Immediate Resistance: ₹1,380
• Next Resistance: ₹1,450
• Major Resistance Zone: ₹1,550 – ₹1,600 (Breakout above this zone can accelerate the Wave-3 rally)
🔐 Stop-Loss Recommendations
Swing Trades
• SL: ₹1,250 (below trendline & previous corrective low)
Positional Trades
• SL: ₹1,180 (below Wave-2 base level)
📌 Thanks a ton for checking out my idea! Hope it sparked some value for you.
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Wave Analysis
SPX – Wave 5 in Progress | Updated Analysis - 06-Dec-2025Continuation of Previous Elliott Wave Outlook (Link Below)
Chart Update Date: 06 Dec 2025
📍 Old Analysis Reference (28 Aug 2025)
In my previous analysis shared on 28 August 2025, I highlighted that the SPX was completing Wave 4 and was expected to resume the upward journey into Wave 5 within the rising channel structure.
🔗 Previous Forecast:
Price respected the projection zone perfectly, holding the 6,500 major support, which confirmed the end of Wave 4 and triggered the beginning of Wave 5.
📈 Current Technical Outlook
The index is now trading back inside the mid-channel region and above the BB mid-line, indicating continuation momentum.
💡 Key Observations
Wave 4 completed at 6,500 support zone
Strong rebound from channel bottom with bullish confirmation
RSI rising from 40–45 range & crossed signal line → bullish momentum shift
Price respecting the rising parallel channel structure
Trading above 20 SMA Bollinger mid-band
🎯 Wave 5 Upside Targets
Target Levels Notes
7,089 First resistance
7,255 – 7,497 Major Fib Cluster
7,600 – 7,734 Primary Wave 5 target
7,900 – 8,000 Extended Wave 5 potential
🛡 Invalidation & Support
Support Zone Comment
6,925 Short-term
6,500 Wave 4 low / structural invalidation
4,800 Long-term macro support
🧠 Conclusion
As long as 6,500 remains protected, the structure strongly favors bullish continuation toward 7,250–7,600 initially and possibly even 8,000.
📌 Bias: Bullish
📌 Invalidation: Close below 6,500
❓ Discussion
Will SPX achieve 8,000 before any major correction?
Share your thoughts below 👇
NIFTY REALTY [CNXREALTY] ABOUT TO GIVE THE BIGGEST RALLY?Technical Setup 🚀
1. Trading in a parallel channel
2. 18-month ROC bottoming out
3. Flag formation on the monthly time frame
4. Multiple cup-and-handle patterns on the daily time frame
5. Breakout expected once it closes above ₹975
6. Short-term target: ₹1,240 (Cup & Handle)
7. Long-term target: ₹1,650 (Monthly Flag)
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Not SEBI-registered ⏐ All views are personal ⏐ Not investment advice
Dixon Technologies: Watching a Key Reversal Zone AheadDisclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Dixon’s decline is developing as a running flat within Wave 2. Wave A and B are already in place, with Wave B stretching above the Wave A origin, which is typical behaviour when the larger trend is still strong. The final leg, Wave C, is still unfolding.
Inside Wave C, waves (i) through (iv) look complete, and the market appears to be working on wave (v). Momentum has been weakening throughout the drop, which often leads to an ending diagonal in the final wave of a running flat. The structure so far supports that possibility.
The 0.618 retracement near 14,061 is the critical zone for this setup. This level aligns with typical Wave 2 depth and sits right where wave (v) of C can complete. RSI has not yet shown bullish divergence, so a marginal lower low in price, paired with a higher low in RSI, would be the ideal confirmation signal.
If price forms the expected small ending diagonal into the 0.618 level and momentum improves, this would complete the running flat and set the stage for the next bullish sequence.
Summary
Wave 2 forming as a running flat.
Wave C still in progress; wave (v) pending.
Weak momentum favours an ending diagonal finish.
Key reversal zone: 0.618 retracement near 14,061.
Watching for bullish RSI divergence before confirmation.
NATIONALUM – Multi-Year Breakout | Wave 5 in ProgressAluminium Sector Strength + Structural Breakout = Long-Term Bullish Setup
National Aluminium (NATIONALUM) continues to show strong momentum, completing a clean Elliott Wave structure with Wave 5 underway on the weekly chart. The stock has broken out of a multi-year resistance structure and is trending strongly with higher highs and higher lows.
Price currently at ₹273.15 with weekly closing strength.
📍 Strong Support Zones
Support - Description
₹242 – ₹255 - Breakout retest zone & major support
₹200 – ₹175 - Wave 4 demand zone
₹132 – ₹66 - Deep support (unlikely unless full cycle reset)
As long as ₹242 / ₹200 / ₹175 holds, bullish continuation expected.
🎯 Upside Targets
Target - Significance
₹316 - Minor resistance
₹350 – ₹391 - Wave 3/4 resistance zone
₹455 – ₹473 – ₹521 - Major Wave 5 projected zone
₹600+ - Extended Wave Projection (if commodity super cycle continues)
A breakout above ₹291–₹316 could accelerate strong upside.
📈 Technical & Wave Observations
🔹 Completed Wave 4 correction perfectly on structure
🔹 Wave 5 extended pattern forming
🔹 Price maintaining above rising MA supports
🔹 RSI remains strong above 70 – indicates high momentum trend continuation
🔹 Breakout from multi-year channel confirms long-term bullish environment
🧠 My View
As long as price is above ₹255 / ₹242, NATIONALUM looks bullish towards:
₹316 → ₹350–₹391 → ₹455 → ₹473 → ₹521 → ₹600+
Long-term investors may hold / accumulate dips.
Trend traders can watch breakout above ₹291–₹316 for march to higher targets.
⚠️ Risk Management
Below ₹242 – short-term weakness
Below ₹200 – trend slows
Below ₹132 – long-term structure invalid
💬 What do you think?
Will Wave 5 hit ₹455–₹521 soon? Comment “521 Target” if bullish 🔥
Previous Analyses:
May 17, 2025
Aug 15, 2024
📌 Disclaimer
Educational technical analysis only. Not investment advice.
IDEA – Strong Accumulation Zone | Multi-Year Breakout Potential Turning Point? Bottom formation visible after long consolidation
Vodafone Idea (IDEA) has spent several years in a broad accumulation zone, building a strong multi-year base structure. Recent weekly price action shows rising momentum, improving RSI, and potential early signs of structural reversal.
Price currently trades around ₹10.80, holding above key trendline support.
📍 Key Support Levels
Support - Importance
₹5.70 - Major structural support / accumulation base
₹4.00 - Secondary support zone
₹2.40–₹2.30 - Long-term bottom & invalidation zone
As long as ₹5.70 / ₹4 / ₹2.30 holds, the bullish view remains intact.
🎯 Upside Target Levels
Target - Significance
₹16.00 - First resistance / breakout trigger
₹19.00 - Major supply zone
₹25.00 - Large breakout above long channel resistance
₹34.00 - Wave 3 / C projection
₹46.00 - Macro resistance
₹55.00 / ₹64.00 - Ultimate long-term targets
A breakout above ₹16–₹19 could accelerate momentum significantly.
📈 Technical & Wave Structure
WAVE Count suggests Wave 3 start is possible
Multi-year accumulation range between ₹3–₹12 nearly completed
RSI improving above 60 suggests bullish strength building
Price consistently holding above trendline since 2023 bottom
Tight base breakout pattern, low-risk accumulation opportunity
🧠 My View
As long as price stays above ₹5.70 / ₹4 / ₹2.30, IDEA has strong chances to move towards:
₹16 → ₹19 → ₹25 → ₹34 → ₹46 → ₹55 → ₹64+
Long-term investors may accumulate on dips and trend traders watch for breakout above ₹16–₹19.
⚠️ Risk Note
Below ₹5.70 – short-term weakness
Below ₹2.30 – long-term bullish structure invalid
💬 What is your view?
Expecting Breakout above ₹16 soon or more consolidation first?
Comment “Breakout” if bullish or “Consolidation” if not sure.
📌 Disclaimer
Purely educational technical analysis. Not investment advice.
USDCAD - Breakout Will Flip the Trend BullishUSDCAD has been sliding inside a well-defined descending channel, completing a full five-wave drop toward the support zone. The structure from the top looks corrective rather than impulsive. That means the downtrend is weakening as it reaches its final leg.
Your count shows Wave 3 finishing at the dashed red line zone, followed by a small Wave 4 bounce, and now the market is pushing into the last Wave 5. This final drop is expected to target the Fibonacci levels near 1.3915 and 1.3895 . Nothing suggests strength until those levels are tested.
The price is still trapped inside the downward channel, and every bounce has been getting sold. That confirms sellers are still in control for now. Wave (C) is close to completion, but buyers haven’t proven anything yet.
The bullish outlook only becomes valid after a clean breakout above the channel. Without that break, any upside move is just noise inside a bearish structure. The breakout must hold with a higher low to confirm a trend reversal.
If the channel breaks decisively, a strong bullish reversal toward 1.40+ becomes possible. The entire structure suggests the downtrend is aging, so a major upside swing is likely once sellers exhaust. Until then, downside targets remain open and caution is necessary.
Stay Tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Part 2 Master Candle Stick PatternBasic Terminology
To understand options properly, several terms must be clear:
1. Strike Price
The price at which the option buyer can buy or sell the underlying.
2. Premium
The price paid by the option buyer to the seller.
Buyers pay the premium; sellers receive it.
3. Expiry
All options have a time limit. On expiry day, the option settles based on the underlying price.
4. In-the-Money (ITM)
Options with intrinsic value.
Example: Call with strike below current price.
5. Out-of-the-Money (OTM)
Options with no intrinsic value, only time value.
6. At-the-Money (ATM)
Strike price is closest to the underlying price.
7. Lot Size
Options are not traded 1 unit at a time. Each contract has a predefined lot size (e.g., Nifty = 50 units).
Part 1 Master Candle Stick Pattern Put Options Explained
A put option increases in value when the price of the underlying asset falls.
Example:
Nifty is at 20,000. A trader buys a Nifty 19,900 Put Option.
If Nifty falls below 19,900, the put option value rises.
Put option buyers expect the price to go down.
Put option sellers expect the price to stay above the strike.
Part 2 Support and Resistance Call Options Explained
A call option increases in value when the price of the underlying asset rises.
Example:
Nifty is at 20,000. A trader buys a Nifty 20,100 Call Option.
If Nifty crosses 20,100 before expiry, the call option gains value and the buyer profits.
Call option buyers expect the price to go up.
Call option sellers expect the price to stay below the strike.
KOTAKBANK 1 Wek Time Frame 📊 Current snapshot
Recent closing price: ~ ₹ 2,154.90 on NSE.
52-week range: Low ~ ₹1,723.75, High ~ ₹2,301.90.
⚠️ What could change this near-term outlook
A close below ~₹ 2,090 could invalidate the bullish view and open up downside toward lower support zones.
Any sharp negative news (macroeconomy, banking sector, global markets) may lead to increased volatility — technical levels matter less during such events.
The stock is still a little below its 52-week high — upside might be limited unless there is fresh positive catalyst (earnings, regulatory change, etc.).
BRITANNIA 1 Week Time Feame 📊 Recent context & fundamentals
The stock is currently around ₹ 5,961.
52-week high / low: ~₹ 6,336 / ~₹ 4,506.
The company recently reported strong Q2 FY26 results — ~23% YoY rise in consolidated net profit, margin expansion, and stable commodity costs.
Overall valuation remains high (P/E ~ 62, high P/B), reflecting premium investor expectations.
✅ What looks favorable in next week
Given recent margin uptick, Q2 earnings beat, and technical strength, there is a moderate chance of continuation toward the ₹ 6,010-6,060 zone if broader market remains stable.
If market sentiment improves (or commodities stay stable), the bias could even push toward ₹ 6,140-6,150 — but that depends on volume support.
XNGUSD (Natural Gas) – Elliott Wave View | Wave 3 in ProgressStrong Bullish Momentum – Price Near Key Breakout Zone
Natural Gas has continued its upward rally, supported by strong momentum and Elliott Wave structure. Price action suggests that we are currently in Wave 3, which typically produces the strongest impulsive move in the cycle.
The recent breakout above major resistance & rising demand signals sustained strength, while RSI remains bullish but slightly overbought—implying short-term pullback possibilities before further upside.
📍 Current Market Position
Trading around $5.13 with bullish continuation structure
Clean breakout above descending trendline resistance
Holding above strong support cluster of $4.70 – $4.50
RSI near 72, showing aggressive buying but close to exhaustion zone
📈 Elliott Wave Projection
Wave count suggests:
Wave 1 completed at $3.70 – $4.00
Wave 2 corrective low near $2.75
Wave 3 in progress, targeting upside expansion
🎯 Upside Target Zones
Target - Comment
$5.60 – $6.00 - Local resistance zone
$6.16 – $6.64 - Wave 3 extension target
$7.20 – $7.60 – $8.30 - Major supply zone / Wave 3 top possible
$10.00 – $11.55 - Final Wave 5 long-term target region
🟦 Key Buy Opportunity Zones (Pullback levels)
Support area - Comment
$4.70 – $4.50 - First dip buying zone
$4.25 – $4.10 - Strong demand base
$3.00 – $2.75 - Wave 2 reference zone / deep correction low
Only a breakdown below $2.75 would invalidate long-term bullish structure.
📊 RSI View
RSI currently at 71.88 (overbought region)
Possible small correction / sideways consolidation expected
Re-entry signals likely on RSI retracement to 45–55 zone
🎯 Trading Strategy (Personal Bias)
Bullish
Buy dips toward $4.70 / $4.50
Add aggressively if price holds $4.10 support
Target $6.00 → $6.64 → $7.60 → $8.30
Bearish invalidation
Close below $2.75
🧠 Conclusion
Natural Gas remains structurally bullish with Wave 3 expansion underway. Short-term corrections should provide strong opportunities to accumulate long positions for larger targets ahead.
💬 What is your view?
Do you expect Wave 3 to extend sharply?
Comment “Extended 3” if bullish or “Correction first” if expecting pullback.
Previous Analyses:
⚠️ Disclaimer
Educational Elliott Wave analysis only — Not investment advice. Manage risk appropriately.
TARIL 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Where TARIL stands now
As of 5 Dec 2025, TARIL shares are trading around ₹236.90 — close to a 52-week low.
Over the past week, the stock has dropped ~12.6%.
The 52-week high remains near ₹650 — so the stock is trading ~63–65% below its peak — implying a major drop over the last year.
📰 Recent Developments (that impact next week)
✅ Positive / Potentially Supportive
The company recently secured a new order worth ₹53.33 crore from Power Grid Corporation of India for HVDC converter transformer and related works — a sign that its business activity is ongoing.
Earlier, there was some relief in sentiment when the stock briefly rebounded (after a prior heavy fall) — showing that some value-buying continues.
⚠️ Negative / Risk-Related
TARIL’s Q2 FY26 results were weak: revenue was nearly flat, EBITDA and PAT margins shrank, and profit dropped YoY.
The stock saw a sharp crash (~30%) after combined pressure of weak earnings and regulatory/reputation concerns (earlier debarment by a major international lender) — which severely dented investor confidence.
Given the drop and volatility, there’s heightened risk that the share could slip further — especially if no fresh favourable orders or news emerge.
IREDA 1 Day Time Frame 📉 Today’s Price Action
Last traded price: ₹ 133.40
Day’s range: ₹ 132.00 – ₹ 137.29
Change vs previous close: – ₹ 3.35 (–2.45%)
📊 Key Context & Technical Snapshot
Metric / Indicator Value / Observation
52-week range ₹ 132.00 — ₹ 234.29
Relative valuation P/E ~ 21.7 ×
Market cap ~ ₹ 37,475 Cr
Recent momentum 1-week: –6.65%, 1-month: –11.66%
Volatility (ATR) ATR (5-day) ≈ ₹ 3.4
Interpretation (short-term / 1-day):
The stock is near its 52-week low zone — so the current level (~₹133) is close to its recent bottom band.
The drop today suggests selling pressure, but the intraday range shows some trading / bounce between ₹132–₹137.
Given the volatility (as indicated by ATR) and recent downward momentum, the stock looks “soft” in the very short term.
Wave (5) Meets a Hanging Man: Trend Fatigue in Bank NiftyBank Nifty has printed a valid Hanging Man at the Wave (5) zone, right inside the 1–1.618 Fibonacci cluster. RSI is flattening near overbought, and the RBI’s Friday rate cut failed to extend the rally. This points to visible trend fatigue.
A reversal, however, will only be confirmed if next week closes below the Hanging Man’s real body.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR).
Options Trading & Greeks1. What Are Options?
Options are derivative contracts that give traders the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset (like stocks, indices, commodities, or currencies) at a preset price (strike price) within a specific period.
There are two major types:
1. Call Option
Gives the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price.
Call Buyer → Bullish
Call Seller → Bearish
2. Put Option
Gives the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price.
Put Buyer → Bearish
Put Seller → Bullish
Options can be bought or sold, creating four basic positions:
Long Call
Short Call
Long Put
Short Put
From these, traders build advanced strategies such as spreads, straddles, strangles, condors, butterflies, etc.
2. Why Trade Options?
Options offer benefits that stocks cannot:
1. Leverage
Small capital can control a large position.
2. Hedging
Protect your portfolio against downside risk (e.g., buying Puts).
3. Income Generation
Sell options regularly (like Covered Calls, Cash Secure Puts).
4. Flexibility & Strategy
Strategies exist for every type of market — trending, sideways, volatile, or low-volatility.
3. How Option Prices Are Determined
An option’s premium is influenced by:
Underlying Asset Price
Strike Price
Time to Expiry
Volatility
Interest Rates
Dividends
All these factors interact continuously and cause option premiums to fluctuate. Traders use Option Greeks to measure these changes and manage risk.
4. Introduction to Option Greeks
Greeks measure the sensitivity of an option’s price to various market factors. Think of them as tools that let you understand:
How much premium will change if price changes
How fast time decay will erode value
How volatility impacts premium
How the option behaves near expiry
The 5 major Greeks are:
Delta
Theta
Vega
Gamma
Rho
Let’s explore each in detail.
5. Delta – The Price Sensitivity Greek
Delta measures how much an option’s premium will change if the underlying price moves by ₹1.
Example:
If a Call option has Delta = 0.60
→ A ₹1 rise in the stock increases the premium by ₹0.60
Interpretation:
Call Delta: 0 to 1
Put Delta: -1 to 0
ATM options → around 0.50
ITM options → higher Delta (~0.70 to 0.90)
OTM options → lower Delta (~0.10 to 0.30)
Uses of Delta:
Predicting premium movements
Position sizing in options (Delta exposure)
Hedging (Delta neutral strategies)
As expiry approaches, Delta of ATM options moves sharply toward 1 or 0.
6. Gamma – The Acceleration Greek
Gamma measures how much Delta will change if the underlying asset moves by ₹1.
If Delta is the speed of movement, Gamma is the acceleration.
Importance:
Tells how unstable or stable your Delta is
ATM options have highest Gamma
Near expiry, Gamma becomes extremely high → risky
Why Traders Watch Gamma:
High Gamma = fast change in Delta → rapid premium movement
Option sellers fear high Gamma because small price moves can cause big losses
Gamma helps traders avoid selling risky options near expiry.
7. Theta – The Time Decay Greek
Theta measures how much an option loses in value every day due to time decay.
Options are wasting assets — they lose value as expiry approaches.
Example:
Theta = -6
→ The option loses ₹6 in premium each day (all else constant)
Key Points:
Theta is negative for option buyers
Theta is positive for option sellers
ATM options lose value fastest
Time decay accelerates in the last 10–15 days of expiry
Why Theta Matters:
Option sellers (writers) love Theta because they profit from time decay.
Option buyers must overcome Theta loss through strong directional moves.
8. Vega – The Volatility Greek
Vega measures how sensitive an option’s price is to changes in volatility.
Volatility is the heartbeat of options pricing. When volatility rises, options become more expensive.
Example:
Vega = 10
→ If IV increases by 1%, premium increases by ₹10
Volatility Impact:
High IV → expensive options
Low IV → cheap options
Vega Behaviors:
Highest for ATM options
Falls sharply near expiry
Impacts long-term options (LEAPS) more than short-term
Why Vega Matters:
Traders use Vega to:
Trade earnings announcements
Trade events (Union Budget, Fed decisions)
Avoid buying overpriced options
Take advantage of IV crush
9. Rho – The Interest Rate Greek
Rho measures sensitivity to changes in interest rates.
Example:
Rho = 5
→ a 1% rise in interest rates increases the premium by ₹5
Rho impacts:
Long-term options
Index options (slightly)
Hardly affects short-term equity options
It is the least important Greek for day-to-day trading but relevant for long-duration positions.
10. How Greeks Work Together
Greeks never work alone. They influence each other and create the real behavior of an option.
Example:
A high Delta ITM option also has low Gamma
An ATM option has high Gamma, high Vega, and high Theta
An OTM option has low Delta, low Gamma, and low Theta
Understanding these relationships helps you choose the right strike and expiry.
11. Practical Applications of Greeks
1. Directional Trading (Delta-based)
Choose high Delta options for directional moves.
Avoid low Delta (far OTM) options → high probability of decay.
2. Income Strategies (Theta-based)
Short Strangles, Iron Condors, Credit Spreads
→ Earn from time decay + low movement
3. Volatility Trading (Vega-based)
Trade before major events (high IV) and exit after IV crush.
4. Risk Management (Gamma-control)
Avoid selling naked ATM options near expiry due to high Gamma risk.
12. Greeks by Different Market Phases
Trending Market
Delta is most important
Use low Gamma (ITM options) for stability
Sideways Market
Theta becomes dominant
Use option selling strategies
High-Volatility Market
Vega spikes → options overpriced
Prefer selling IV (credit spreads, straddles)
Expiry Day
Gamma risk highest
Only experienced traders should trade
Theta is maximum (rapid decay)
13. Why Greeks Matter More in Indian Markets
India’s option market (specially Nifty and BankNifty) is:
Volatile
High participation
Weekly expiries
Strong intraday moves
This makes Greeks extremely important. A 20–50 point move in Nifty can drastically change Delta, Gamma, and Theta. Traders who understand Greeks avoid emotional trading and make data-driven decisions.
14. Conclusion
Options trading is not just about prediction — it is about understanding the forces that shape option prices. Greeks are your tools to measure:
Directional risk (Delta)
Acceleration risk (Gamma)
Time decay (Theta)
Volatility risk (Vega)
Interest rate sensitivity (Rho)
Mastering Greeks helps you:
Select the right strike
Choose the right expiry
Control losses
Optimize returns
Build safe strategies
Trade confidently
Whether you are a beginner looking to understand basics or an intermediate trader trying to refine strategies, knowing Greeks will transform your options trading journey.
Gold 1H – Will 4242 Displace or 4170 Unlock the Next Leg?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (04/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold squeezes into engineered liquidity as Donald Trump signals policy authorization for ultra-compact car production in the U.S., adding risk-on volatility to USD narratives. Markets may front-run sentiment shifts into commodities like gold. Expect fast bilateral sweeps before institutions reveal intent.
On H1, structure toggles between premium supply at 4242–4244 and discount demand at 4170–4168. The next directional leg requires MSS + BOS + displacement confluence.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase = liquidity-rich compression at H1 extremes
Liquidity Zones & Key Triggers
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160
Bias invalidation only via structure break + displacement validation.
Expected Sequence = Sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (unchanged methodology, matching your zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252
Rules:
✔ Zone tap 4243 → bearish MSS/CHoCH (M5–M15)
✔ Clean bearish BOS down + candle displacement
✔ Entry on FVG fill or OB retest after displacement
Targets:
1. 4200 – 4190
2. 4182 – 4176
3. 4170 – 4168
🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160
Rules:
✔ Sweep under 4169 → bullish MSS/CHoCH + BOS up
✔ Displacement candle away from discount
✔ Wick rejection into FVG fill / OB retest confirm
Targets:
1. 4186
2. 4210
3. 4242+
⚠️ Risk Notes
• Both sweeps = traps until BOS + Displacement confirms intent
• No averaging inside compression
• SL = structural invalidation only
• Reduce size during headline-driven spikes
📍 Summary
Two institutional paths today:
• 4243 sweep → bearish MSS/BOS → retest → delivery into 4170
or
• 4169 sweep → bullish MSS/BOS → retest → expansion into 4242+
Trade the structure. Let price narrate the intent. Patience = edge. 🚀
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
Consolidation in Etherium📉 ETHEREUM (ETH) — Key Elliott Wave Update
ETH completed a clear 5-wave advance, followed by a flat correction (small red a-b-c) forming the A-wave.
A sharp recovery built the B-wave, and the subsequent decline unfolded as an ending diagonal C-wave, which has now terminated.
The first drop inside the diagonal was strongly bought, indicating demand at lower levels.
ETH is now consolidating, and the structure is at a decision point:
🔵 Primary View
A new impulse wave may begin from the diagonal termination zone.
🔴 Alternate View
If this is only part of a larger B-wave, ETH could pull back again into a larger C-wave decline before the next major uptrend.
Price action in the coming sessions will confirm which path ETH chooses.
Please like this post if it helps you ,follow me to get updates/
TMPV (Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles) – Elliott Wave AnalysisBuy on Dips Opportunity | Bullish Higher Timeframe Outlook 🚗📈
TMPV has completed a major impulsive rally from Covid lows and is currently in a Wave (2) corrective structure after topping around the 950–1000 zone (projected Wave 1 peak). The corrective move looks controlled and remains within long-term rising channel support.
🔍 Technical Analysis Summary
Elliott Wave Structure
Wave (1) completed near ₹950–1000
Wave (2) correction currently unfolding
Price respected the mid-channel support and is forming a probable bottoming zone
RSI entering oversold reversal territory, similar to previous Wave 2 formations
Once Wave (2) completes, a powerful Wave (3) rally is expected, historically the strongest phase.
🎯 Buy Levels (Accumulation Zones)
Zone & Reason
₹365 - Key structure support / neckline
₹324 - Wave (2) Fibonacci cluster & channel median
₹277 - Extreme dip / demand zone
📌 Buy on dips — strongly supported by analysis.
🛡 Risk Management
Bullish view valid as long as
₹221 holds as the long-term support base
This level aligns with lower channel boundary & 78.6% retracement of previous leg
A weekly close below ₹221 invalidates bullish structure.
📈 Bullish Trigger & Breakout Confirmation
Above ₹450 — strong breakout signal indicating Wave (3) ignition
Above this level TMPV can start aggressive upside movement toward new highs
🧠 Upside Target Projections (Wave 3 & 5)
Target Zone - Area
₹503 – 570 - Wave 3 initial zone
₹677 – 789 - Main Wave 3 target
₹955 – 1070 - Wave (4) zone (retest / consolidation)
₹1234 – 1425 - Final Wave (5) zone
📊 RSI Indicator View
RSI is deeply corrected and entering reversal territory between 32–35
No new lower low on RSI → bullish divergence developing
Indicates weakening selling pressure & potential bottoming
Conclusion
🟢 Primary View: Bullish
Buy on dips towards ₹365 – 324 – 277
Long-term target: ₹1234 – ₹1425
Bullish as long as ₹221 holds
🔴 Alternate Bearish View
Below ₹221, extended correction may continue lower
🚨 Disclaimer
Educational Elliott Wave study only. Not trading/investment advice. Do your own research.
Divergence Secrets Risks in Option Trading
High volatility risk
Time decay for buyers
Unlimited loss for sellers
Gap-up or gap-down opening risk
Liquidity issues in stock options
Wrong position sizing leads to heavy losses
Tips for Option Traders
Always trade with a clear plan: entry, exit, stop-loss.
Avoid trading just before big news events unless experienced.
Track global markets, FIIs, indices.
Manage risk: never risk more than 1–2% of capital per trade.
Learn option Greeks—Delta, Theta, Vega are essential.
Start with buying options; move to selling only after experience.
Avoid low-liquidity contracts.






















