MCX 1 Day View Last traded price: ₹9,738.50 on 17 Nov 2025 (approx)
Previous day close: ~ ₹9,666.50
Day high so far: ~ ₹9,786.00
Day low so far: ~ ₹9,640.00
52-week high: ~ ₹9,786.00, 52-week low: ~ ₹4,408.15
One-Day Time-Frame Level Observations
The price is very near its recent all-time/52-week high (~₹9,700+), so there may be resistance around the recent high zone (~₹9,700-9,800).
It has already had an intraday high around ~₹9,744 today, so any breakout beyond that may open upside potential; conversely, dropping below the intraday low (~₹9,439) may indicate weakness.
Given its high valuation (P/E ~70.8x according to recent data) and that the stock is at a high level, one might be cautious of a pull-back risk or consolidation.
Caveats & Things to Keep in Mind
The data is near real-time (delayed seconds/minutes) but market conditions can change quickly, especially in volatile segments.
Even though the one-day frame gives a useful short-term view, longer-term fundamentals (earnings, growth, regulatory risk) matter for sustainability.
For example: Recently MCX had a system outage / capacity-breach that drew regulatory attention.
Also, brokerage views differ: One report noted a lower target for MCX despite the high latest price.
Wave Analysis
Investing in Shares in the Indian Market1. Understanding the Indian Stock Market
India’s stock market is primarily operated through two major exchanges:
(a) National Stock Exchange (NSE)
The NSE is the largest exchange in terms of volume. It introduced electronic trading in India and is home to major indices such as Nifty 50, Nifty Bank, Nifty IT, and others.
(b) Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE)
One of the oldest exchanges in Asia, the BSE hosts indices like the Sensex, BSE Midcap, and BSE Smallcap.
Both exchanges are regulated by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), which ensures transparency, investor protection, and fair trading practices.
2. What Are Shares?
Shares represent ownership in a company. When you invest in shares, you:
Become a part-owner of the business
Benefit from the company’s growth through capital appreciation
Receive dividends, if declared
Get voting rights in some cases
Share prices fluctuate due to demand and supply, economic conditions, company performance, global news, and market sentiment.
3. How to Start Investing in Shares in India
(a) Open a Demat Account
A Demat (Dematerialized) account stores your shares electronically. It is essential for buying and selling equities in India.
Major brokers include:
Zerodha
Groww
Angel One
Upstox
ICICI Direct
HDFC Securities
(b) Open a Trading Account
Connected to your Demat account, this is used to place buy/sell orders on the exchange.
(c) Link a Bank Account
Funds are transferred from your bank to the trading account to execute transactions.
(d) Complete KYC
AADHAR, PAN, mobile number verification, and e-signature are mandatory parts of the KYC process.
Once these steps are completed, you can begin investing through your broker’s app or platform.
4. Ways to Invest in the Indian Stock Market
(a) Direct Equity (Buying Individual Stocks)
This means selecting individual companies for long-term investment based on research.
(b) Mutual Funds / Equity SIPs
Investors who prefer passive management often choose mutual funds such as:
Large-cap funds
Mid-cap funds
Small-cap funds
Index funds
Thematic funds
SIP (Systematic Investment Plan) allows regular monthly investments.
(c) ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds)
ETFs track an index like Nifty 50 and trade like stocks. They offer low costs and diversification.
(d) IPOs (Initial Public Offerings)
Investors can apply for shares of companies when they list for the first time.
5. Types of Shares in India
By Market Capitalization
Large-cap: Stable, established companies (Reliance, TCS, HDFC Bank)
Mid-cap: Growing companies with higher potential
Small-cap: High-risk, high-reward companies
By Sector
Banking and Finance
IT and Technology
Pharma
FMCG
Metal and Energy
Auto
Infrastructure
Telecom
Each sector performs differently depending on macroeconomic cycles.
6. Why Invest in Shares?
(a) Wealth Creation
Over long periods, equities offer the highest returns compared to gold, real estate, or fixed deposits. For example, Nifty 50 has delivered around 14–15% annualized returns over 20 years.
(b) Beat Inflation
Inflation reduces money’s purchasing power. Equity returns typically outpace inflation, helping preserve and grow wealth.
(c) Dividends and Bonuses
Investors may receive dividend income, bonus shares, and stock splits.
(d) Ownership and Transparency
India’s markets are well-regulated, ensuring transparent transactions and investor protection.
7. Risks of Investing in Shares
Stock investment is rewarding but comes with risks:
(a) Market Risk
Share prices move up and down due to market sentiment, global cues, and economic changes.
(b) Company-Specific Risk
Poor management, low earnings, fraud, or competition can affect a company's share price.
(c) Liquidity Risk
Some shares, especially small caps, may have fewer buyers, making it hard to sell quickly.
(d) Economic and Geopolitical Risk
Events like elections, wars, oil price fluctuations, and global recession impact Indian markets.
Managing risk through diversification and research is essential.
8. Fundamental vs. Technical Analysis
Investors use two main methods to pick stocks:
(a) Fundamental Analysis
Focuses on a company’s core financial health. This involves studying:
Revenue and earnings
Profit margins
Debt levels
Cash flow
Competitive advantage
Management quality
The goal is to buy companies undervalued relative to their intrinsic value.
(b) Technical Analysis
Helpful for short-term trading. It focuses on:
Price charts
Chart patterns
Support and resistance
Indicators like RSI, MACD, moving averages
Traders use technical analysis to time entry and exit points.
9. Long-Term vs. Short-Term Investing
Long-Term Investing (Wealth Building)
Investing with a 5–10+ year horizon helps benefit from compound returns. Historically, holding quality stocks over long periods reduces risk and maximizes growth.
Short-Term Trading
Includes intraday, swing trading, options trading, and futures. While it offers quick profits, it is high risk and requires discipline and advanced market knowledge.
10. Taxes on Shares in India
Short-Term Capital Gains (STCG)
15% tax if shares are sold within 1 year.
Long-Term Capital Gains (LTCG)
10% tax on gains above ₹1 lakh for shares held beyond 1 year.
Dividends
Taxed at the investor’s slab rate.
11. Key Tips for Stock Market Investors
✔ Invest regularly (SIP method)
✔ Diversify across sectors and market caps
✔ Focus on fundamentally strong companies
✔ Avoid panic selling during corrections
✔ Do not follow rumors or tips blindly
✔ Keep a long-term perspective
✔ Review your portfolio annually
✔ Understand risk appetite before investing
12. Common Mistakes to Avoid
Investing without research
Over-trading for quick profits
Lack of diversification
Emotional decisions
Ignoring risk management
Putting all savings into stocks
Conclusion
Investing in shares in the Indian market offers a powerful opportunity to build long-term wealth. With a robust regulatory framework, digital trading platforms, and a rapidly growing economy, India provides a fertile environment for equity investment. While market fluctuations and risks exist, informed decision-making, disciplined investing, and a long-term approach can significantly enhance the probability of success. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced investor, the key lies in continuous learning, patience, and choosing the right companies aligned with your financial goals.
Crypto Asset Secrets: Fundamental Dynamics, Structural Realities1. Liquidity Is the Real Power in Crypto
The biggest secret in crypto markets is that price is controlled by liquidity, not popularity.
Most newcomers focus on:
News
Social media hype
Project fundamentals
Influencers
But markets move when large buyers or sellers enter low-liquidity environments. Liquidity gaps can produce:
Rapid pumps
Flash crashes
Stop-loss hunts
“Wick” volatility that destroys leveraged positions
A coin with a $500 million market cap can still move violently if daily trading volume is thin. In crypto, the book depth (available orders) matters far more than market cap.
Key point:
Low liquidity = high manipulation potential.
2. Whales Shape Most Major Market Moves
In stock markets, institutions dominate. In crypto, large holders—“whales”—play an even bigger role.
Whales can:
Move prices by placing large buy/sell walls
Trigger liquidation cascades
Create fear or euphoria with timed transactions
Exploit precise liquidity zones around funding cycles
Their strategies include:
Spoofing (placing fake orders to influence sentiment)
Wash trading (creating artificial volume)
Accumulation/distribution cycles
Stop-hunting via sudden volatility
Blockchain transparency exposes whale movements, but interpreting them correctly is an art.
Secret:
Following whale wallets often reveals market direction before retail sees it.
3. Market Makers Quietly Control the Order Flow
Market makers (MMs) provide liquidity to exchanges, but they also shape price behaviour.
Their influence includes:
Maintaining spreads
Absorbing buy/sell pressure
Moving price to areas with highest liquidity (liquidation zones)
Hedging risk across spot, futures, and options
In crypto, many market makers act with more flexibility than traditional finance because regulation is looser.
MMs often engineer:
Range-bound price action
Breakouts toward liquidity pools
Sudden volatility to rebalance exposures
Secret:
If you watch where liquidity pools form (using heatmaps or liquidation charts), you can anticipate MM moves.
4. Most Altcoins Inflate Through Token Unlocks
The majority of altcoin investors don’t know that token unlocking schedules dilute price over time.
Even strong projects follow emission schedules:
Team vesting
Private sale unlocks
Ecosystem incentives
Liquidity injections
These can release millions of tokens into circulation—sometimes monthly or even weekly.
This creates constant sell pressure.
Secret:
You must study tokenomics before touching an altcoin. Fully diluted valuation (FDV) is often more important than current price.
5. Centralized Exchanges Have Enormous Hidden Power
Crypto is marketed as decentralized, but trading is 90% dependent on centralized exchanges (CEXs).
Exchanges control:
Order books
Liquidation engines
Funding rates
Front-end data feeds
Risk management algorithms
Sometimes, exchanges:
Adjust leverage availability
Close off withdrawals during volatility
Run maintenance at “mysterious” times
Remain opaque about reserves
Some even act as market makers for their own platforms.
Secret:
Understanding exchange mechanics is essential. The exchange is always the house—and the house rarely loses.
6. Liquidation Cascades Move the Market More Than News
Crypto futures markets have massive leverage (up to 100x), causing forced buying and selling when prices hit certain levels.
The hidden force: liquidation engines.
When many traders are long with high leverage:
Price drop → forced sell orders
Forced sell orders push price down more
More traders get liquidated
A cascade forms
This also happens with shorts during squeezes.
This explains why crypto often moves:
10% in minutes
Without any news
At perfectly predictable liquidity levels
Secret:
Liquidation maps show where cascades may occur. Price often hunts these zones.
7. On-Chain Data Reveals the Truth Behind the Charts
Traditional markets hide data. Crypto exposes everything on-chain:
Wallet holdings
Exchange inflows/outflows
Long-term holder behaviour
Staking metrics
Miner activity
Smart contract interactions
If you know how to read:
NVT ratio
MVRV
Exchange reserves
Realized price bands
Whale accumulation patterns
…you can detect real momentum before price reacts.
Secret:
Charts lie. On-chain data doesn’t.
8. Narrative Cycles Drive Altcoin Seasons
Every major rally has a narrative:
DeFi Summer
NFT Boom
Layer-1 Wars
Meme coin mania
AI tokens
Real-world assets (RWA)
Liquid Staking Tokens (LST)
Investors rotate money from one narrative to the next. These narratives often appear months before the public notices.
Smart investors track:
Developer activity
Ecosystem funding
Partnerships
VC trends
Secret:
Narratives drive capital flows. Capital flows drive price.
9. Most Crypto Gains Happen in Short Bursts
Studies show that less than 10 trading days per year often produce the majority of bitcoin’s returns.
Reasons:
Halving-driven supply shocks
Macro cycles
FOMO waves
Short squeezes
Liquidity gaps
Missing just a few days can mean missing the entire bull run.
Secret:
The market rewards patience and punishes overtrading.
10. Security Is the Most Overlooked Crypto Secret
Most people focus on price, not protection. Yet the fastest way to lose everything is through:
Phishing attacks
Private key leaks
Smart contract exploits
Rug pulls
Exchange hacks
Proper security includes:
Hardware wallets
Multi-sig accounts
Avoiding suspicious sites
Using separate wallets for risky assets
Secret:
In crypto, custody = control. If you don’t own your keys, you don’t own your coins.
11. Macroeconomic Cycles Still Control Crypto
Despite its futuristic image, crypto reacts strongly to:
Interest rates
Liquidity conditions
Bond yields
Dollar strength
Risk-on/risk-off cycles
Bitcoin behaves like a high-beta macro asset.
When global liquidity expands, crypto thrives.
When liquidity contracts, crypto bleeds.
Secret:
Crypto is free-spirited, but not independent from global finance.
12. The Halving Cycle Is Not Magic—It’s Economics
Bitcoin halvings reduce new supply by 50%.
This supply shock:
Reduces miner selling pressure
Alters long-term market psychology
Triggers new speculative phases
This creates 4-year boom-bust cycles.
It’s not magic—it’s simple scarcity economics mixed with human behaviour.
Secret:
Halving cycles still matter because supply psychology still matters.
Conclusion
The real “secrets” of crypto assets are not mystical or hidden behind paywalls. They are the deeper forces—liquidity mechanics, whale behaviour, on-chain transparency, tokenomics, exchange power, and macro cycles—that quietly dictate market structure.
Understanding these truths transforms how you see the market:
You stop chasing hype.
You learn to track liquidity.
You interpret whale moves.
You anticipate volatility.
You understand risk.
Crypto is still evolving, still volatile, and still experimental. But with knowledge of its inner workings, you gain clarity in a market where most remain confused.
Zero-Day Option Trading (0DTE)1. What Are Zero-Day Options?
A Zero-Day option is simply a regular option contract on its expiration day. Because U.S. indices like the S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (NDX) and ETFs like SPY, QQQ now have multiple expirations per week—and SPX has daily expirations—traders can access 0DTE opportunities every single trading day.
Key Characteristics
No time left → options decay extremely fast.
Highly sensitive (high gamma) → small price changes lead to large premium moves.
Very cheap or very expensive depending on proximity to strike.
Used for intraday speculation and hedging.
Cash-settled index options (like SPX) avoid assignment risk.
Because of the intense speed and leverage, 0DTE trading is often compared to day trading with derivatives on steroids.
2. Why 0DTE Became So Popular
a. High Leverage
A trader can control thousands of dollars of market exposure for a very low premium. For example, a deep out-of-the-money SPX option might cost only a few dollars but can balloon 10×–30× if the index rallies quickly.
b. Immediate Results
Traders don’t wait weeks or months—profits or losses occur in minutes or hours.
c. High Liquidity
Because major indices have huge participation, 0DTE options have:
fast fills,
tight bid–ask spreads,
minimal slippage (especially on SPX).
d. Attractive to Both Retail and Institutions
Retail traders seek quick profits.
Institutions often sell 0DTE options for income due to rapid theta decay.
3. Understanding the Mechanics
a. Time Decay (Theta)
Theta is at maximum on expiration day. Options lose value rapidly, especially after midday.
A call option worth $4 at 10:00 AM might be worth $1 by 1:00 PM—even if price hasn’t moved.
b. Gamma Exposure
Gamma determines how fast delta changes. On 0DTE:
delta moves extremely fast,
a 5-point SPX move can flip an option from worthless to highly profitable instantly.
c. Volatility’s Impact
Implied volatility (IV) plays a crucial role:
High IV → higher premiums, more unpredictable movement.
Low IV → cheaper premiums, easier theta decay for sellers.
Understanding the interplay of theta, gamma, and IV is the core of 0DTE expertise.
4. Types of Traders in 0DTE Markets
1. Buyers (Directional Traders)
They seek big intraday moves and are willing to risk small amounts for the chance of large returns. Suitable for:
breakout traders,
news-event traders,
momentum scalpers.
2. Sellers (Income Traders)
They benefit from:
rapid premium decay,
mean-reversion behavior.
These traders often sell:
spreads,
iron condors,
credit put spreads (CSP),
credit call spreads (CCS).
Institutions typically dominate this side because selling naked options carries unlimited risk.
5. Popular 0DTE Trading Strategies
1. ATM Straddle (High-Volatility Bet)
Buy both a call and a put at-the-money. Profit if the market makes a large move in either direction.
Used for:
major economic announcements (CPI, FOMC, NFP)
index breakout or breakdown days
Risk: Expensive strategy and requires big movement to break even.
2. OTM Strike Buying (Lottery Ticket Style)
Buying cheap far OTM calls or puts that cost very little. They can explode in value if the index rallies quickly.
Pros:
High reward-to-risk
Small capital required
Cons:
Very low probability of success
Most expire worthless
3. Credit Spreads
Selling an option and buying another further OTM for protection.
Example: Sell 5000 put, buy 4990 put (bull put spread).
Pros:
Higher probability of profit
Defined risk
Benefit from time decay
Cons:
Low reward-to-risk ratio
Must manage risk tightly
This is one of the most popular ways institutions use 0DTE.
4. Iron Condor
Sell OTM call spread and OTM put spread simultaneously. Profit if price stays within a range.
Pros:
High win rate
Income-style strategy
Cons:
Vulnerable to sharp moves
Quick adjustments needed
5. Directional Scalping With Options
Buying short-term scalp options (ATM or near ATM) for a few minutes to ride intraday momentum.
Best for:
Price-action traders
VWAP, support–resistance levels
Trend-following
Risk: Requires excellent timing and discipline.
6. When Traders Use 0DTE Options
1. News Events
0DTE options are extremely popular during:
Federal Reserve announcements (FOMC)
Inflation reports (CPI, PCE)
Jobs data (NFP)
Earnings of major tech companies (for QQQ, NDX)
These events cause large intraday swings—ideal for fast movers.
2. Expiration Day Index Movements
SPX often moves erratically around expiry due to dealer hedging flows.
3. Intraday Trend Days
When markets show clear momentum, 0DTE buyers can ride strong sweeps.
7. Benefits of Zero-Day Option Trading
1. Limited Risk (for Buyers)
Maximum loss is the option premium.
2. High Potential Returns
0DTE buyers can see:
50% profit in minutes,
200%+ intraday,
occasional 10×–30× moves.
3. Flexibility for Any Market Condition
Trend days → buy calls or puts
Range days → sell condors
Volatile days → buy straddles
0DTE offers something for every style.
8. Major Risks of 0DTE Trading
1. Extremely Fast Time Decay
Even correct directional trades can lose money if price moves too slowly.
2. Emotional Pressure
0DTE trading requires:
instant decision-making
tight stop-loss discipline
ability to handle rapid price swings
Many traders overtrade due to adrenaline.
3. Liquidity and Slippage (During News)
Although normally liquid, bid–ask spreads can widen by 5× during major announcements.
4. Margin Risk for Sellers
Selling naked 0DTE options can cause:
huge losses,
margin calls,
account blow-ups.
Beginners should avoid naked selling entirely.
9. Best Practices for Safe 0DTE Trading
Always trade with defined risk (spreads or small-position buying).
Set time-based rules (e.g., exit all trades by 3:15 PM).
Avoid trading during the first 5–10 minutes of market open due to volatility.
Wait for direction—don’t guess the first move of the day.
Use stop-loss and take-profit rules.
Avoid revenge trades.
Track win rate, average gain, and average loss.
Avoid over-leveraging—capital preservation is key.
10. Who Should Trade 0DTE Options?
Suitable for:
Experienced traders
Price-action and volatility traders
Traders comfortable with fast decision-making
Not suitable for:
Beginners
Traders with emotional discipline issues
Anyone relying on hope instead of strategy
0DTE trading is best when you have strong knowledge of technical analysis, option Greeks, and intraday market behavior.
Conclusion
Zero-Day option trading is one of the most powerful and exciting forms of modern trading. It offers unmatched leverage, fast-paced decision-making, and profit potential that few financial instruments can match. However, it is equally dangerous without discipline, strategy, and risk management.
For traders who understand price action, volatility, and the Greeks, 0DTE can be a highly rewarding tool. For others, it can quickly lead to significant losses. Mastery comes from practice, data-driven decision-making, and emotional control. If used responsibly, 0DTE options can enhance both income and directional trading strategies in today’s fast-moving markets.
ASTRAL 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Recent Price Snapshot
Latest closing around ₹1,460-₹1,470.
Daily range on latest day: High ~ ₹1,508, Low ~ ₹1,460.
52 week high ~ ₹1,867, 52 week low ~ ₹1,232.
🔍 Key Levels for the 1-Day Timeframe
Support Levels
Around ₹1,440–₹1,450: Recent lows touched ~1,445.
Further support nearer the 200-day SMA (~₹1,417) as per technical data.
Resistance Levels
Immediate resistance near ₹1,508 (recent high).
A stronger resistance zone around ₹1,520-₹1,550 (recent swing highs).
Price Action & Trend
The stock is trading above its 200-day average (~₹1,417) but the upward momentum appears weak.
On short term RSI/MFI metrics: MFI appears elevated (suggestive of some overbought behaviour).
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 3, November)
1. Momentum
W1 Timeframe
W1 momentum is preparing to turn upward. This suggests that within 1–2 weeks, weekly momentum may reverse, potentially starting a medium-term bullish phase lasting 4–5 weeks. It also signals that the current bearish trend may weaken next week.
D1 Timeframe
D1 momentum has already turned downward, so the primary expectation for next week remains bearish.
H4 Timeframe
H4 momentum is turning upward, meaning that on Monday we may see a corrective bounce or sideways movement before the downtrend resumes.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure – W1
Price is still in a corrective phase, likely forming wave 4 of the larger cycle.
This wave count remains valid as long as price closes above 3746.
If price closes below 3746, the entire structure must be reassessed.
________________________________________
3. Wave Structure – D1
Wave 4 is unfolding as a W–X–Y (purple) combination.
Friday’s strong decline confirms that D1 momentum has reversed downward, suggesting that purple wave X is complete and price is now developing purple wave Y.
Targets for Wave Y (purple):
• Target 1: Equal to wave W → 3746
• Target 2: 1.618 × W, a very deep zone
o If price reaches this deeper zone, the structure may no longer represent yellow wave 4, and the count must be re-evaluated.
________________________________________
4. Wave Structure – H4
With Friday’s sharp decline, waves (1) and (2) in blue are temporarily labeled.
The decline is steep, clean, and non-overlapping — all characteristics of a 5-wave impulsive structure, supporting the expectation that purple wave Y will also unfold as a 5-wave decline rather than a triangle. Further confirmation is needed next week.
Given the target at 3746, wave (3) is expected to extend. The current pullback remains valid as long as price does not exceed 4211, which still fits as wave 2 within wave (3).
________________________________________
5. Monday Pullback Zones
H4 momentum indicates a likely bullish correction early next week. Two key resistance zones:
Zone 1 – 4096
“This zone aligns with the 0.382 retracement from blue wave (2) to the current low at 4046. It is also an ideal wave (4) zone if price peaks here before continuing downward.”
Zone 2 – 4145
“This level corresponds to the previous wave (1) in blue. If price reaches this zone, the pullback may represent wave 2 within wave (3). I will update this scenario in more detail on Monday.”
________________________________________
6. Conclusion
The main trend remains bearish.
I expect price to reach the 3746 target for purple wave Y next week, aligning with the projected timing shown by the two vertical blue lines on the H4 chart, while D1 momentum moves into oversold territory.
When price reaches this zone and W1 momentum fully turns upward, it may signal the beginning of a new medium-term bullish trend.
TRENT : Right Time to Catch Wave?
### 🧠 Chart Context & Wave Overview
The chart of TRENT LTD (Daily Timeframe) displays a strong Elliott Wave corrective setup , where price action seems to have completed an extended retracement (113%–127%) of the previous swing low .
This zone often marks the final leg of a correction and can lead to the start of a fresh impulsive rally — possibly Primary Wave 5 .
📊 Key Observations:
* Price is consolidating inside the Extended Retracement Zone (₹4,249–₹4,357) .
* Intermediate Wave (a-b-c) structure looks complete.
* Breakout above the long-term trendline (Wave 2–4) will confirm bullish reversal.
---
### 📚 Educational Insights
💡 Extended Retracement Zone (113%–127%):
When corrections go beyond the usual 61.8%–78.6% retracement, it often represents an “overshoot flush” — a zone where weak hands exit and institutional buyers enter.
📘 Elliott Wave Psychology Recap:
Wave 4 corrections tend to be complex and deep , but they provide the last strong entry opportunity before the final impulsive move (Wave 5).
🔁 Character Change in Price Action (ChoCH):
A ChoCH above recent highs indicates the first structural shift — confirming that sellers are losing control and accumulation may be underway.
---
### 🎯 Projection & Price Prediction
* 🟢 Primary Support / Entry Zone: ₹4,249 – ₹4,357
* ⚙️ Extended Retracement Base: ₹4,012 – ₹4,261
* 🔴 Stop-Loss (Closing Basis): Below ₹3,929
* 🎯 First Upside Target: ₹5,850 – ₹6,059
* 🚀 Second Target: ₹7,471
Once the structure confirms reversal above ₹4,600–₹4,750, the probability for a Wave 5 impulse toward ₹7,400+ increases substantially.
---
### 💡 Trading Strategy (Educational Purpose Only)
📈 Entry Plan:
Watch for bullish reversal signals (Hammer / Bullish Engulfing / Double Bottom) in ₹4,250–₹4,350 zone.
Aggressive traders can accumulate early with SL below ₹3,929.
Conservative traders can wait for confirmation above ₹4,700.
🎯 Targets:
• Target 1 → ₹5,850 – ₹6,059
• Target 2 → ₹7,471 (Extended Wave projection)
⚖️ Risk Management:
• Risk only 1–2% per trade 💰
• Avoid aggressive averaging during corrections
• Wait for structure + volume confirmation before scaling
---
### 🧩 Educational Takeaways
✅ Extended retracement zones often represent strong demand and accumulation phases.
✅ A ChoCH or structure breakout gives early reversal confirmation.
✅ Wave 5 rallies are often sharp and impulsive — rewarding patient traders.
✅ Combining Elliott Wave + Fibonacci + Price Action improves accuracy and timing.
---
### 📊 Summary & Outlook
TRENT LTD is holding firm within its extended retracement base (₹4,250–₹4,350) , signaling exhaustion of sellers.
A breakout above the trendline resistance could trigger a strong Wave 5 impulse toward ₹5,850 initially and ₹7,400+ eventually.
Patience and confirmation remain key to capturing this move effectively. ⚡
---
### ⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst .
This analysis is purely for educational and informational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trading positions.
SENSEX : Trading levels and plan for 17-Nov-2025📊 SENSEX TRADING PLAN — 17 NOV 2025
(Timeframe Reference: 15-Min Chart)
Chart Summary:
Sensex closed around 84,654 , showing a recovery from the recent lows but still within a mixed-to-cautious phase. The price currently hovers near 84,730 (Opening Resistance / Support Zone) , suggesting a tight equilibrium between buyers and sellers.
Immediate resistance is placed at 85,081 (Gap-Up Opening Resistance) , followed by 85,437 (Last Intraday Resistance) . On the downside, supports lie near 84,231 (Opening Support) and 83,800 (Last Intraday Support) .
The overall bias remains neutral to bullish as long as the index holds above 84,231 . A breakout above 84,730 could push the index toward higher zones, whereas a failure to hold 84,231 may invite a deeper retracement.
Key Zones to Watch:
🟩 Support Levels: 84,231 / 83,800
🟥 Resistance Levels: 84,730 / 85,081 / 85,437
⚖️ Bias Zone: Between 84,231 – 84,730 (Consolidation area, watch for breakout confirmation)
---
🟢 Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens around or above 85,000 – 85,100 , it will directly enter the Gap-Up Resistance Zone (85,081) . This could attract early profit-booking as the price approaches the upper resistance levels.
If Sensex sustains above 85,081 for 15–20 minutes with strong bullish candles, targets open toward 85,300 – 85,437 .
If price rejects 85,081 with visible upper wicks or doji candles, a pullback toward 84,730 – 84,600 could occur.
Avoid immediate long entries on the gap-up — wait for price to retest 85,000 – 85,050 for confirmation of support.
A strong sustained move above 85,100 may indicate fresh buying momentum for the day.
💡 Educational Note:
When a market gaps up near resistance, emotions drive early buying. But true confirmation comes only when the breakout is sustained with rising volume. Patience after the open often reveals whether bulls truly have control.
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🟧 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Around 84,600 – 84,700 Zone)
A flat opening near 84,730 would place Sensex right inside the equilibrium zone. Such opens usually result in initial range-bound movement before breakout direction appears.
Avoid trading within 84,600 – 84,730 in the first 15–20 minutes; allow market structure to form.
If price sustains above 84,730 , upside targets open toward 85,081 – 85,437 .
If the price breaks below 84,600 , weakness may pull it toward 84,231 .
Look for volume-backed breakouts — confirmation candles (close outside the range) are critical before entries.
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings test patience. Avoid predicting direction inside consolidation zones — instead, let price action show its hand. Real traders act on confirmation, not anticipation.
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🔴 Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens near 84,200 – 84,300 , it will test the Opening Support (84,231) . A further slip below this could extend weakness toward 83,800 (Last Intraday Support) .
If price stabilizes and forms bullish candles (hammer or engulfing) near 84,200 – 84,250 , a pullback toward 84,600 – 84,730 can be expected.
If breakdown below 84,231 occurs with volume, next support to watch is 83,800 .
Avoid panic shorting after a gap-down; instead, wait for a retest near 84,400 – 84,450 for safe entries with better risk-reward.
Declining volume on red candles near supports often signals seller exhaustion — use this as an early reversal clue.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs often trigger emotional selling, but seasoned traders focus on price structure. Watch how the market reacts near key supports — rebounds from strong zones often give high-probability intraday setups.
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💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS:
Do not trade immediately after market open — the first 15 minutes are for observation, not execution.
Keep trade risk limited to 1–2% of total trading capital .
Use ATM or slightly ITM options for directional trades — they provide better delta and lower time decay impact.
Avoid trading deep OTM options unless momentum is clear — these lose value quickly.
Always place a stop-loss ; never hold losing positions hoping for reversal.
Trail your stop once the trade moves 30–40 points in your favor — protect your profits.
If the day turns range-bound or choppy, step aside. The best traders are also the best at not trading.
⚠️ Golden Reminder:
Capital preservation is your first job. Surviving to trade tomorrow is more important than winning every trade today.
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📈 SUMMARY:
🟧 Neutral Zone: 84,600 – 84,730
🟥 Resistance Zones: 85,081 / 85,437
🟩 Support Zones: 84,231 / 83,800
⚖️ Bias: Bullish above 84,730 | Bearish below 84,231
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📚 CONCLUSION:
Sensex sits at a crucial juncture, consolidating between 84,231 – 84,730 . A breakout above 84,730 could fuel a rally toward 85,437 , while a breakdown below 84,231 may drag the index to 83,800 .
For 17 Nov, focus on confirmation over anticipation. Let volume and price action lead your decisions. The key is to remain objective — not bullish or bearish, but responsive.
📊 Remember: You don’t need to trade every move; you need to trade the right one with discipline.
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The analysis shared here is purely for educational and informational purposes . Please conduct your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 17-Nov-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 17 NOV 2025
(Timeframe Reference: 15-Min Chart)
Chart Summary:
Nifty closed around 25,916 , maintaining a balanced but cautious structure ahead of the new trading week. The index currently trades near the Opening Support / Resistance Zone (25,874 – 25,952) , which is a key “no-trade” area as highlighted on the chart.
Immediate resistance lies at 26,042 – 26,082 (Opening & Last Intraday Resistance Zone) , while strong support exists near 25,663 – 25,689 (Opening & Last Intraday Support Zone) .
The index currently shows a neutral-to-slightly bullish undertone as long as price sustains above 25,874 . A breakout above 25,952 can trigger an upmove toward 26,082 – 26,218 , while a breakdown below 25,874 may lead to short-term weakness toward 25,680 – 25,466 .
Key Zones to Watch:
🟩 Support Levels: 25,689 / 25,466
🟥 Resistance Levels: 25,952 / 26,082 / 26,218
⚖️ No Trade Zone: 25,874 – 25,952 (avoid trading until breakout confirmation)
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🟢 Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (100+ Points)
If Nifty opens around or above 26,020 – 26,050 , it will directly test the Last Intraday Resistance Zone (26,042 – 26,082) . A strong gap-up near resistance often attracts early profit booking or sideways consolidation before directional clarity emerges.
If the price sustains above 26,082 with a strong bullish candle and volume confirmation, upside targets open toward 26,180 – 26,218 .
If price faces rejection at 26,082 (long upper wicks or doji patterns), expect a pullback toward 25,952 – 25,874 .
Traders should avoid buying calls immediately after a gap-up; instead, wait for a retest of the 26,042 zone for better confirmation.
Sustained momentum beyond 26,100 will confirm strength and can lead to intraday trend continuation.
💡 Educational Note:
Gap-ups near major resistance zones often trap impulsive traders. The best approach is to let the market test and confirm whether the breakout is genuine or just a liquidity trap. Watch for rising volume with closing candles above the breakout level for confirmation.
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🟧 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Around 25,880 – 25,920 Zone)
A flat opening within the No Trade Zone (25,874 – 25,952) indicates indecision. The price may spend the first 15–30 minutes moving sideways as buyers and sellers battle for control.
Avoid trading inside this range — it’s a “neutral zone” with no clear edge.
If price breaks and sustains above 25,952 , bullish continuation can take Nifty toward 26,082 – 26,218 .
If price breaks below 25,874 , weakness may extend toward 25,689 – 25,466 .
Wait for a strong 15-min candle close beyond the range for confirmation — don’t pre-empt the breakout.
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings near key levels require patience. Most false breakouts occur when traders enter without confirmation. Wait for candle structure and volume validation before committing. Strong moves often follow after consolidations — let the direction emerge naturally.
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🔴 Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (100+ Points)
If Nifty opens around 25,700 – 25,750 , it will directly test the Opening & Last Intraday Support Zone (25,663 – 25,689) . This zone will be critical for bulls to defend — a breakdown below could open room for deeper correction.
If reversal patterns (hammer, bullish engulfing) appear around 25,680 , expect a bounce toward 25,874 – 25,952 .
If the price fails to hold 25,663 , next support lies near 25,466 — which can act as a short-term target zone for sellers.
Avoid chasing short trades at the open; instead, wait for a pullback toward 25,850 – 25,880 to initiate low-risk entries.
Volume divergence (falling volume with declining price) near support is often a sign of selling exhaustion — watch closely for reversals.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-down openings are often ruled by emotions — panic selling and fear dominate. Experienced traders look for structure, not emotion. Reversal signals near major supports usually offer high reward-to-risk setups once panic subsides.
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💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS:
Avoid entering trades in the first 15 minutes of market open — IV spikes and volatility whipsaws can distort option prices.
Use only 1–2% of total trading capital per position. Focus on longevity, not short-term aggression.
Prefer ATM or slightly ITM options for better delta exposure and lower time decay impact.
Always set a stop-loss — trail it once the trade moves 30–40 points in your favor.
Book partial profits at nearby supports/resistances — protect gains and avoid greed traps.
Do not average losing positions; instead, accept small losses and preserve capital for better setups.
⚠️ Golden Rule: Avoid overtrading in choppy or low-volume conditions — professional traders focus on quality, not quantity.
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📈 SUMMARY:
🟧 No Trade Zone: 25,874 – 25,952
🟥 Resistance Zones: 26,082 / 26,218
🟩 Support Zones: 25,689 / 25,466
⚖️ Bias: Bullish above 25,952 | Bearish below 25,874
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📚 CONCLUSION:
Nifty remains at a decisive inflection point near 25,900 . The day’s directional tone will depend on how price reacts around the No Trade Zone (25,874 – 25,952) . Sustained breakout above 25,952 could trigger a move toward 26,218 , whereas a breakdown below 25,874 may pull the index toward 25,680 – 25,466 .
For intraday traders, patience will be the most valuable skill on 17 Nov. Let price confirm before execution — impulsive entries near range zones often lead to losses.
📊 Remember: Markets reward patience and discipline — clarity always follows confirmation.
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The analysis shared here is purely for educational and informational purposes . Please do your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 17-Nov-2025📊 BANK NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 17 NOV 2025
(Timeframe Reference: 15-Min Chart)
Chart Summary:
Bank Nifty closed around 58,540 , maintaining a balanced yet volatile structure. The index is currently trading near its Opening Resistance Zone (58,672 – 58,718) , while immediate support lies near 58,382 . Below this, the next key zone is Last Intraday Resistance turned Support (58,057 – 58,105) .
The price structure suggests a neutral-to-slightly bullish tone as long as the index sustains above 58,382 . A breakout above 58,718 may open the path toward 58,871 , while a breakdown below 58,382 can trigger a slide toward 58,100 .
Key Zones to Watch:
🟩 Supports: 58,382 / 58,100
🟥 Resistances: 58,718 / 58,871
⚖️ Bias Zone: 58,382 – 58,672 (Consolidation / No Trade Zone until clear breakout)
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🟢 Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (200+ Points)
If Bank Nifty opens around or above 58,740 – 58,800 , it will directly enter or open above the Opening Resistance Zone (58,672 – 58,718) . Such a start could attract aggressive buying, but traders must be cautious of early profit booking near the Last Intraday Resistance (58,871) .
If price sustains above 58,718 for 15–20 minutes with strong bullish candles and volume, expect continuation toward 58,871 .
If momentum sustains beyond 58,871 , the next possible target zone is 58,950 – 59,000 .
If the index fails to sustain above 58,718 and forms rejection candles, a pullback toward 58,540 – 58,382 could occur.
Avoid chasing the gap-up; instead, wait for a retest of 58,718 — a breakout confirmation followed by retest offers the best low-risk entry.
💡 Educational Note:
Gap-ups near resistance often attract emotional buying from retail traders. Smart traders wait for confirmation of strength. Sustained price action above resistance with high volume signals institutional participation, while failure to hold levels hints at profit booking.
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🟧 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Around 58,400 – 58,500 Zone)
A flat opening near the Opening Support (58,382) would keep Bank Nifty within a narrow consolidation range. This zone often becomes a “no trade” area until a clear breakout or breakdown confirms direction.
Avoid trading within 58,382 – 58,672 early in the session — this is a neutral consolidation zone.
If price breaks above 58,672 with strength, expect bullish momentum toward 58,871 .
If price breaks below 58,382 , weakness could extend toward 58,100 .
Watch for volume confirmation — breakout without volume can lead to false signals.
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings test a trader’s patience. Most false trades occur when traders act before confirmation. Wait for volume-backed direction to emerge. Consolidation breakouts tend to be powerful once the direction is clear — discipline pays better than early entry.
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🔴 Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (200+ Points)
If Bank Nifty opens around 58,200 – 58,250 , it will open below the Opening Support (58,382) . Such a move will test buyer strength and may invite early selling pressure.
If the index holds near 58,200 – 58,100 and forms bullish reversal candles (like hammer, morning star, or bullish engulfing), a recovery toward 58,382 – 58,540 could follow.
If price fails to hold above 58,100 , expect further downside toward 57,950 – 57,880 .
Avoid panic shorting after a big gap-down — instead, wait for a pullback toward 58,300 – 58,350 to initiate trades with defined risk.
Falling volume on red candles indicates selling exhaustion — this can be the first hint of reversal setups.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-down openings often trigger emotional selling. Experienced traders analyze whether the move is driven by real weakness or short-term panic. Watch candle structures and volume shifts at support zones — they reveal market intent better than speculation.
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💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS:
Avoid taking trades during the first 15–20 minutes of the session — IV (Implied Volatility) spikes can distort option premiums.
Never risk more than 1–2% of your total trading capital in a single trade.
Prefer ATM or slightly ITM options for directional trades — avoid deep OTM unless it’s a confirmed momentum breakout.
Trail your stop-loss once your trade moves 30–40 points in your favor — this protects profits.
Book partial profits at key zones like support/resistance levels and let the rest ride with a trailing SL.
Avoid averaging losing positions — focus on capital preservation first.
---
📈 SUMMARY:
🟧 Neutral Zone: 58,382 – 58,672
🟥 Resistance Zones: 58,718 / 58,871
🟩 Support Zones: 58,382 / 58,100
⚖️ Bias: Bullish above 58,672 | Bearish below 58,382
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📚 CONCLUSION:
Bank Nifty is poised for a breakout move after recent consolidation. The price action around 58,382 – 58,672 will define the day’s direction. A sustained breakout above 58,718 can lead to strong upside momentum toward 58,871 – 59,000 , while a breakdown below 58,382 can pull prices toward 58,100 .
Patience, confirmation, and discipline remain the core edge for intraday traders. Avoid early trades during uncertain openings — wait for direction to align with volume and momentum.
📊 Remember: Trading is a game of probability, not certainty. Consistency in execution and risk control builds long-term success.
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The analysis above is shared purely for educational and informational purposes . Please conduct your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Leading Diagonal Formation in TIINDIACMP: 3067
TF: Daily
The current structure exhibits a leading diagonal from the lows and it could be Wave 1 of a new impulse or wave A of a corrective rise.
In either case, we are looking at one more high past the recent swing high at 3414.
Although we are looking at a 10% move on the upside, this move too will follow an ABC rise. Hence, be cautious if you are considering to trade through derivatives.
The invalidation level for this view is break of 2772
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
How Counter Trendlines and Parallel Channels Reveal Price StructThe CT (Counter Trendline) as the prime technical feature. The red CT line distinctly marks recurring lower high rejections, shaping significant supply pockets and creating low-liquidity price zones at every inflection point.
Each touch validates the CT’s relevance, highlighting how price is repeatedly capped at these lower highs before reversing downward.
Overlaying this, a hidden parallel channel (dotted white lines) frames the swing movement. The channel not only encapsulates price but also serves as a running test of trend strength: each upper boundary touch confirms resistance, while bottoms act as support.
Notably, more hits at the upper parallel line than the base typically signal rising underlying bullish energy, especially when accompanied by the green trendline’s upward momentum.
No breakout, no prediction—just objective structure. The parallel channel and trendlines, when mapped carefully, elevate clarity on price balancers, guidance zones, and the ongoing duel between support and rejection.
Observe how these formations reveal crowd psychology and liquidity placement without forcing a directional view.
Premium Chart Patterns Premium chart patterns are high-quality technical structures that show where big money is entering or exiting, helping you predict future moves with strong accuracy. These patterns are widely used in swing trading, intraday trading, and positional trading.
Below, you’ll find the top high-probability premium patterns, along with how to trade them.
PLTR US🌎Palantir: Rocket Growth vs. Sky-High Valuation. Which Will Outweigh the Other?
The quarterly results are very strong, but investors face significant risks. Let's break it down.
🚀 Strengths:
Explosive revenue: $1.18 billion (+63% YoY), EPS: $0.21. Both metrics beat expectations.
Brighter-than-expected future: Q4 guidance ($1.33 billion) and 2025 guidance (~$4.4 billion) are significantly higher than consensus.
Commercial: 121% YoY growth in the US. This is the company's main driver.
Sales are strong: Closed contracts worth $2.8 billion. The client base grew to 911 companies (+45%).
Super-efficient: Revenue +63%, while headcount is only up 10%. An operating margin of 51% is fantastic.
AI is the fuel: Products like AIP are accelerating adoption, and customers are switching en masse to the Palantir platform.
⚠️ What's scary: Risks and "buts"
The price is sky-high: A P/S ratio of 110+ is nonsense, even for a growing company. Market cap is growing faster than revenue.
The model predicts a collapse: Under optimistic scenarios (40% annual growth), the fair price could be tens of percent lower than the current one.
Share dilution: Share-based compensation (SBC) eats up 24% of revenue—a huge amount. Insiders are actively selling.
Shorted a billion: The legendary Michael Burry bought put options on 5 million shares, betting against PLTR. He believes the AI sector is inflating.
Vulnerability: Business is concentrated in the US, creating regulatory and macro risks. Europe is experiencing stagnation.
Part 9 Trading Master Class with Experts In-the-Money, At-the-Money, Out-of-the-Money
Call Options
ITM: Market price > strike
ATM: Market price ≈ strike
OTM: Market price < strike
Put Options
ITM: Market price < strike
ATM: Market price ≈ strike
OTM: Market price > strike
OTM options are cheap but risky.
ITM options are safer but cost more.
Part 8 Trading Master Class with Experts Time Decay (Theta): The Silent Killer
Time decay works against option buyers and in favor of sellers.
As expiry approaches, the time value decreases.
Even if the price stays the same, the option loses value daily.
Weekly options lose value much faster than monthly options.
This is why many professional traders prefer option selling—because time decay works in their favor.
Part 7 Trading Master Class With Experts Option Pricing: Why Premium Changes
Premium is the price paid by the option buyer. It depends on:
1. Intrinsic Value
Value if exercised today.
2. Time Value
More time → more chances of profit → higher premium.
3. Volatility (IV – Implied Volatility)
When volatility increases, option premiums rise.
4. Supply & Demand
High demand increases option prices.
5. Interest Rates & Dividends
These have minor impact but still matter for pricing models.
Part 6 Learn Institutional Trading Why Trade Options?
Options are extremely popular because they offer:
1. Leverage
You can control a large position using a small amount of money (the premium).
Example: Buying a stock may cost ₹1,00,000, but a call option may cost only ₹3,000.
2. Hedging
Investors use options to protect their portfolios from losses during market corrections.
3. Income Generation
Option sellers generate regular income through premium collection strategies.
4. Flexibility
You can build strategies that make money in rising, falling, or sideways markets.
Part 4 Learn Institutional Trading Two Sides of an Option Trade
Every option contract involves two parties:
a. Option Buyer
Pays a premium (price of the option)
Limited risk (only the premium paid)
Unlimited profit potential in some cases
b. Option Seller (Writer)
Receives the premium
Limited profit potential
Higher risk (sometimes unlimited)
Option buyers purchase potential, while sellers sell that potential in exchange for premium income.
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading What Are Options?
Options are derivative contracts, meaning their value is derived from an underlying asset. The underlying asset may be stocks, indices, commodities, currencies, ETFs, or even cryptocurrencies.
There are two main types of options:
Call Option – Gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy the underlying asset at a specific price before a specific date.
Put Option – Gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to sell the underlying asset at a specific price before a specific date.
The specific price is called the strike price, and the last day the contract is valid is the expiry date.
LGEINDIA 1 Hour Time Frame 📌 Current & near-term standing
1. Last close: ₹ 1,617.80 (approx) — down ~3.31% for the day.
2. Today’s trading range: about ₹1,590 (Low) to ₹1,645.20 (High).
3. 52-week range: roughly ₹1,581.10 (Low) to ₹1,749.00 (High).
🕒 Hourly / Intra-day timeframe
If by “hour time-frame” you mean intra-day trading / hourly context, here are a few tips and caveats:
Detailed hour-by-hour data is not shown in the sources I reviewed (they show daily ranges).
The stock’s intra-day range (today) implies volatility: L ~₹1,590, H ~₹1,645.20. That gives about ~₹55 swing.
For an active trader, watch key levels: around ₹1,590 (today’s low) and ~₹1,645 (today’s high) as short-term support/resistance zones.
Because the stock is near its 52-week low side (~₹1,580), any intra-day drop near that mark may draw attention.






















