HCLTECH 1D Time frame📍 Current Price Action
HCLTECH is trading around ₹1,464.
Day’s low is near ₹1,458, and high is around ₹1,470.
The stock is consolidating near the upper end of its intraday range.
⚖️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹1,470 – ₹1,475
Next Resistance: ₹1,495 – ₹1,500
Immediate Support: ₹1,450
Strong Support: ₹1,430 – ₹1,420
📊 Indicators
Moving Averages: Short-term MAs (5-, 10-day) slightly lagging, medium-term (20-, 50-day) supportive → trend mildly bullish.
RSI (14-day): Around 66 → showing bullish momentum, approaching overbought.
MACD: Positive, indicating mild bullish bias, but momentum is not extremely strong.
📈 Outlook
If HCLTECH holds above ₹1,450, potential upside toward ₹1,470 – ₹1,495 exists.
A breakout above ₹1,475 could open room toward ₹1,500.
On the downside, a drop below ₹1,450 may test ₹1,430 – ₹1,420 support.
Overall bias: Slightly bullish, but caution near resistance.
Wave Analysis
TCS 1D Time framePrice Action (Daily Chart)
Current price is around ₹3,117 - ₹3,120
Price is consolidating near support zones after a recent upward move.
Candle structure shows buying interest at lower levels, but resistance is capping the upside.
📊 Indicators
Moving Averages (MA):
Short-term MAs (5-day, 10-day) are slightly mixed.
Medium to long MAs (20, 50, 100, 200-day) are in buy zone, showing broader uptrend strength.
RSI (14-day): ~62-65 → indicates mild bullish momentum, not yet in overbought zone.
MACD: Shows positive crossover, momentum favors bulls but losing some strength.
⚖️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹3,135 – ₹3,140
Next Resistance: ₹3,170 – ₹3,200
Immediate Support: ₹3,100 – ₹3,110
Strong Support: ₹3,050 – ₹3,000
📈 Outlook
Short-term sentiment: Neutral to slightly bullish as long as price holds above ₹3,100.
A breakout above ₹3,140 may open room toward ₹3,170–₹3,200.
A breakdown below ₹3,100 may drag price to ₹3,050–₹3,000.
Overall trend on daily timeframe is still uptrend, but near resistance, so caution is needed.
Bitcoin – Trend Update Ahead of PPIBitcoin – Trend Update Ahead of PPI
Hello Traders,
The current scenario for Bitcoin is unfolding in line with expectations, with the uptrend continuing to develop strongly. Price waves are moving with solid volume, and the overall structure is progressing exactly as anticipated.
Key Levels
Price has broken through the 113k zone, confirming that the bullish trend is intact. This move increases the likelihood of completing the final wave of the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern.
The next level to watch is around 116k, where a mild reaction or pullback may occur before the trend resumes higher towards the 121k region.
Special attention should be given to the 117k level, as this marks the potential completion of the inverse head-and-shoulders structure. At this point, price may consolidate before establishing a new primary trend.
Trading View
For now, it remains important to follow the prevailing uptrend. Any shift in price structure will require re-evaluation, and updated strategies should be applied only after clear confirmation.
This is my latest outlook on Bitcoin ahead of the PPI release. I hope this perspective proves useful in shaping your trading approach.
NIFTY 4H Time frame📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹24,976 - ₹25,006
Day’s Range (4H): ₹24,945 – ₹25,008
Previous Close: ₹24,973
Opening Price (4H): ₹24,991
Volume: Moderate
🔑 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: ₹24,945
Next Support: ₹24,900
Immediate Resistance: ₹25,008
Next Resistance: ₹25,050
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near 50-hour and 200-hour moving averages.
RSI (14): 61 – Neutral zone.
MACD: Positive → indicating mild bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term averages suggest neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹25,008 with strong volume could target ₹25,050.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹24,945 may lead to further decline toward ₹24,900.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹24,945 – ₹25,008; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Overall market sentiment.
Economic indicators: interest rates, inflation, RBI updates.
Global cues: US indices, crude oil, and currency movements.
Crypto SecretsChapter 1: The Origins of Crypto and the Myth of Satoshi Nakamoto
One of the greatest secrets in crypto is the true identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the mysterious creator of Bitcoin. The world still doesn’t know if Satoshi was an individual, a group, or perhaps even a government-backed entity. The genius of Bitcoin’s design lies in its decentralization: once launched, it required no central authority.
Hidden truths:
Early adopters hold massive power. Roughly 2% of wallets own more than 90% of Bitcoin’s supply. These "whale wallets" can influence prices more than retail investors ever realize.
Lost Bitcoins are a secret supply reduction. Estimates suggest that 3–4 million BTC are permanently lost (due to lost keys, forgotten wallets, or destroyed hard drives). This means Bitcoin’s real circulating supply is much smaller than its theoretical 21 million cap.
Chapter 2: Blockchain Isn’t as Anonymous as You Think
A common crypto myth is that Bitcoin and other coins provide anonymity. In reality, they offer pseudonymity: your wallet address isn’t tied to your name, but all transactions are permanently recorded on a public blockchain.
Secrets revealed:
Chain analysis firms like Chainalysis and Elliptic track suspicious activity for governments, exchanges, and law enforcement.
Mixers and privacy coins (like Monero, Zcash) emerged to restore anonymity, but regulators are cracking down on them.
Many criminals who thought they could hide using Bitcoin were later caught due to blockchain traceability.
Chapter 3: The Secret World of Crypto Whales
Crypto markets are highly influenced by whales — individuals or institutions holding massive amounts of coins. Unlike stock markets, crypto has fewer regulations against price manipulation.
Whale strategies:
Pump and Dump Schemes: Coordinated buying and selling to trap retail traders.
Stop-loss hunting: Pushing prices down just enough to trigger retail stop-loss orders, then buying at a discount.
Exchange influence: Whales sometimes move coins to exchanges to signal selling pressure, scaring the market.
This explains why crypto price action is far more volatile than traditional markets.
Chapter 4: Hidden Risks in Exchanges and Wallets
Many beginners don’t realize:
“Not your keys, not your coins.”
Secrets of storage:
Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) like Binance, Coinbase, and Kraken hold billions in user funds. But exchange hacks (Mt. Gox, FTX collapse) show that trusting them blindly is risky.
Cold wallets vs. hot wallets: Cold wallets (offline hardware storage) provide maximum security, while hot wallets (online) are easier to hack.
Private key recovery is nearly impossible. If you lose your keys or seed phrase, your crypto is gone forever.
Chapter 5: DeFi — The Double-Edged Sword
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) opened the door to permissionless lending, borrowing, and yield farming. But it also carries hidden risks.
Secrets:
Impermanent loss: A hidden risk for liquidity providers who assume yields are guaranteed.
Smart contract exploits: Hackers regularly find vulnerabilities in DeFi protocols. Billions have been stolen.
Ponzinomics: Many DeFi projects lure users with high yields, but rely on new deposits to pay old ones.
Chapter 6: NFTs and the Psychology of Scarcity
NFTs (Non-Fungible Tokens) exploded in 2021, selling digital art for millions. But the secret behind them isn’t art — it’s scarcity psychology.
Most NFTs don’t hold intrinsic value. Their worth lies in community, hype, and perceived rarity.
Many NFT projects secretly wash trade to inflate volumes and prices.
While 99% of NFTs may fail, a few iconic collections (like CryptoPunks, BAYC) could retain long-term cultural value.
Chapter 7: Crypto Tax Secrets
Many traders ignore the tax side of crypto — often at their own risk.
Crypto-to-crypto trades are taxable events in most countries. Even swapping BTC for ETH can trigger capital gains tax.
Some jurisdictions treat crypto as property, not currency, leading to different tax treatments.
Offshore exchanges and decentralized wallets make it harder for authorities to track, but governments are tightening KYC (Know Your Customer) regulations.
Chapter 8: Insider Trading and Developer Secrets
Another hidden truth: many crypto projects operate like insider playgrounds.
Developers often pre-mine tokens or give themselves massive allocations before launch.
Insider leaks about partnerships, listings, or upgrades often circulate before announcements.
Exchange listings (like Binance or Coinbase) can pump a coin by 30–100% overnight — and insiders often know before the public.
Chapter 9: CBDCs — The Hidden Threat to Crypto Freedom
Central banks worldwide are developing CBDCs (Central Bank Digital Currencies). Unlike decentralized crypto, CBDCs give governments complete control over money.
They can track every transaction in real-time.
They can freeze or confiscate funds instantly.
They can enforce monetary policies like negative interest rates.
The secret fear among crypto enthusiasts: CBDCs could be used to reduce demand for decentralized currencies, forcing people into government-controlled money systems.
Chapter 10: Trading Secrets in Crypto Markets
Successful traders use strategies hidden from most retail participants.
Volume profile analysis: Studying where most trades occur to predict support and resistance zones.
Market structure cycles: Crypto follows phases (accumulation → uptrend → distribution → downtrend).
Derivatives dominance: Futures and options trading now drive much of Bitcoin’s volatility.
Retail traders often fall for FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), while pros accumulate quietly during fear and sell into euphoria.
Conclusion: The True Secret of Crypto
The biggest secret is not about a single coin, strategy, or hack — it’s about mindset.
Crypto rewards those who:
Educate themselves deeply.
Manage risks intelligently.
Stay patient across cycles.
Avoid the traps of hype and fear.
In the end, crypto is a mirror of human psychology — greed, fear, belief, and innovation. The secret is to understand these forces and position yourself wisely.
ICICIBANK 1D Time frame📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹1,406.10
Day’s Range: ₹1,402.00 – ₹1,416.35
52-Week Range: ₹1,186.00 – ₹1,500.00
Previous Close: ₹1,403.90
Opening Price: ₹1,403.70
Market Cap: ₹10.02 lakh crore
Volume: ~81.3 lakh shares
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
RSI (14): 60 – Neutral; no immediate overbought or oversold conditions.
MACD: Positive → indicates bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term moving averages suggest neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹1,416 with strong volume could target ₹1,450.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹1,400 may lead to further decline toward ₹1,375.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹1,400 – ₹1,416; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Market Sentiment: Overall market trend and investor behavior.
Economic Indicators: Interest rates, inflation, and RBI policy updates.
Global Cues: Global market trends, US indices, crude oil, and currency movements.
AXISBANK 1D Time frame📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹1,073.50
Day’s Range: ₹1,069.00 – ₹1,073.20
52-Week Range: ₹934.00 – ₹1,281.75
Previous Close: ₹1,070.10
Opening Price: ₹1,069.00
Market Cap: Approx. ₹3.32 lakh crore
Volume: ~1.65 lakh shares
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
RSI (14): 60 – Neutral; no immediate overbought or oversold conditions.
MACD: Positive → indicates bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term moving averages suggest neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹1,075 with strong volume could target ₹1,090.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹1,065 may lead to further decline toward ₹1,050.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹1,065 – ₹1,075; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Market Sentiment: Overall market trend and investor behavior.
Economic Indicators: Interest rates, inflation, and RBI policy updates.
Global Cues: Global market trends, US indices, crude oil, and currency movements.
NIFTY 1D Time frame📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹24,981
Previous Close: ₹24,960.15
Day’s Range: ₹24,915 – ₹25,035
52-Week Range: ₹21,743 – ₹26,277
Market Cap: Approx. ₹21.5 lakh crore
Volume: ~1.8 crore shares
🔑 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: ₹24,900
Next Support: ₹24,500
Immediate Resistance: ₹25,050
Next Resistance: ₹25,200
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
RSI (14): 65 – approaching overbought zone.
MACD: Positive, indicating bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term moving averages suggest neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹25,050 with strong volume could push Nifty toward ₹25,200.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹24,900 may lead to further decline toward ₹24,500.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹24,900 – ₹25,050; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Broader market sentiment.
Economic indicators such as interest rates and inflation.
Global cues affecting investor confidence.
BAJAJ_AUTO 1D Time frame📊 Current Snapshot
Last Traded Price: ₹9,124.00
Day’s Range: ₹9,117.00 – ₹9,244.00
52-Week Range: ₹8,132.50 – ₹9,490.00
Market Cap: ₹2.54 lakh crore
Volume: 236,411 shares
VWAP: ₹9,186.50
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading above 20-day and 50-day EMAs.
RSI (14): 68.78 – Approaching overbought territory; caution advised.
MACD: Positive at +158.15 – Indicates bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term MAs indicate a neutral to bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹9,244.00 with strong volume could target ₹9,350.00.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹9,117.00 may lead to further decline toward ₹8,900.00.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹9,117.00 – ₹9,244.00; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Market Sentiment: Broader market movements can influence Bajaj Auto's performance.
Economic Indicators: Changes in interest rates or inflation can impact automotive stocks.
Company News: Any announcements regarding Bajaj Auto's financials or strategic initiatives.
TCS 1H Time frameTCS 1-Hour Snapshot
Price is around ₹3,110
Showing small gains in recent sessions
Has been under pressure from broader IT sector weakness, but holding above some short-term support
🔎 Technical Indicators & Trend
Moving Averages (short-term hourly) are slightly below current price → providing support
Medium-term MAs (50-hour etc.) are above → resistance overhead
RSI (hourly) is moderately neutral—neither strongly overbought nor oversold
Trend strength appears modest; no sharp momentum bars or volume spikes indicating breakout
🔧 Support & Resistance Levels (1H)
Support: ~₹3,080–₹3,090 first support zone
Resistance: ~₹3,130–₹3,140 nearby resistance
🧭 Short-Term Outlook
Bullish Case: A break above ~₹3,130-3,140 with volume could push toward ~₹3,160
Bearish Case: If it fails to break resistance and drops below ~₹3,090, possible move toward ~₹3,060
Overall Bias: Slightly bullish to neutral; waiting for confirmation from resistance breakout
RELIANCE 1H Time framePrice Movement (1H Candles)
Reliance is trading around ₹1,381 – ₹1,383.
On the 1-hour chart, candles are showing sideways consolidation between ₹1,375 (support) and ₹1,385 (resistance).
This tells us that buyers and sellers are in balance, waiting for a breakout.
2️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones
Immediate Support: ~₹1,375 → If this breaks, price may slip toward ₹1,360.
Stronger Support: ~₹1,345 – ₹1,340 → A key zone where buyers may return strongly.
Immediate Resistance: ~₹1,385 → A breakout above can open the way to ₹1,395 – ₹1,400.
Major Resistance: ~₹1,415 – ₹1,420 → If crossed, trend becomes strongly bullish.
3️⃣ Indicators (1H View)
20 EMA: Very close to current price, showing consolidation.
50 EMA: Just below current levels, acting as dynamic support.
200 EMA: Much lower, confirming long-term uptrend is intact.
RSI: Neutral (around 50) → market is not overbought, not oversold.
MACD: Flat → no clear momentum yet, waiting for direction.
4️⃣ Trend Explanation
Right now, the 1-hour trend is neutral to mildly bullish.
If Reliance holds above ₹1,375 – ₹1,360, bulls remain in control.
A move above ₹1,385 with volume can trigger a rally toward ₹1,400+.
But if Reliance breaks below ₹1,360, weakness may appear, and the next fall could be toward ₹1,340.
5️⃣ Conclusion (1H Time Frame)
Sideways Phase: Reliance is consolidating in a narrow band.
Bullish Signal: Above ₹1,385 with good buying volume.
Bearish Signal: Below ₹1,375, deeper support around ₹1,360.
Traders should wait for a breakout or breakdown before taking big positions.
SENSEX 1H Time frameCurrent Snapshot
Sensex Last Price: around 81,425
Intraday High (1H): near 81,580
Intraday Low (1H): around
📈 Trend View (1H)
Above 81,580 → 82,000 = bullish momentum likely.
Below 81,225 → 81,000 = bearish sentiment can increase.
Staying between these = sideways consolidation.
📊 Trend & Bias
Above 81,600–82,000 → bullish breakout, upside momentum likely.
Below 81,000 → bearish pressure, possible drift toward 80,500.
As long as price holds higher lows on 1H candles, trend stays mildly positive.
⚠️ Risk Factors
Sudden global news or domestic policy updates may cause sharp reversals.
If volume is weak during up-moves, breakouts may fail.
Overbought conditions on momentum indicators (RSI/MACD) could slow the rally.
NIFTY 1H Time frameSupport: ~24,930 → crucial short-term base
Resistance: ~25,047 → price has tested this zone, rejection possible if it fails to close above
If price decisively breaks above ~25,047, next target is ~25,174
If it drops below ~24,868, downside risk toward ~24,778
🧭 Outlook (1-Hour)
Bullish Case: Hold above ~24,930 → upside toward ~25,047-25,174
Bearish Case: Drop below ~24,868 → weakness toward ~24,778 or lower
Overall Bias: Slightly positive, but price is near resistance and needs good volume or momentum to break above
XAUUSD – Latest Trend UpdateXAUUSD – Latest Trend Update
Hello Traders,
Gold is moving in line with yesterday’s outlook: after a corrective pullback towards 3660, price resumed its decline and is currently trending lower. If this bearish structure is confirmed on the higher timeframes such as H1 and H4, it may signal that a larger corrective phase on the D1 chart has already begun.
Key Levels to Watch
3620: Marked as an important support zone from yesterday, now considered the key level to confirm continued downside.
3630: Aligned with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, where a reaction could occur before the trend direction becomes clearer.
Medium-Term Scenarios
Gold could decline towards 3550, before bouncing higher again – this is the preferred medium-term scenario.
A deeper move towards 3510 is also possible, where liquidity from previous candle wicks may be retested, before the broader uptrend resumes on the daily timeframe.
The reason for favouring this medium-term downside: price has already completed the Fibonacci Extension 2.618, which often signals the potential for a corrective pullback.
Trading Strategy
Observe reactions around 3630 – 3620 – 3610 for potential buy opportunities aligned with the broader bullish structure.
Sell setups should only be considered if price closes firmly below 3620, confirming further downside momentum.
This is my trading plan for gold today. Use it as a reference and feel free to share your own perspective in the comments.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 10, 2025🌀
🔹 Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a bearish reversal → the market may enter a corrective decline, possibly lasting through the end of this week.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward → a short-term recovery could appear today, pushing the indicator into the overbought zone.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is already in the overbought area and turning down → a short-term decline is likely.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
• D1: Price has reached the projected target of wave iii (black). With D1 momentum reversing downward, wave iv (black) may be forming. Since wave ii (black) was relatively long, there is a possibility that wave iv (black) could unfold more quickly.
• H4: Yesterday’s decline may suggest that wave v (purple) has temporarily completed. If this scenario plays out, price could move into a corrective phase toward the wave iv target area. The correction may develop as a Zigzag, Flat, or Triangle.
• H1: Price is consolidating within the liquidity zone 3657 – 3631. With H4 momentum hinting at correction, one possible scenario is sideways movement here to complete wave B, followed by a decline into wave C.
o If price breaks and closes below 3631 → the liquidity zone at 3595 may act as the next support.
o Potential targets for wave C:
3595 (aligned with 23.8% Fibonacci retracement).
Or 3556 – 3528 (aligned with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement).
________________________________________
🔹 Trade Scenarios (for reference only)
• Sell Zone: 3657 – 3659
o SL: 3667
o TP1: 3631
o TP2: 3563
• Buy Zone 1: 3596 – 3594
o SL: 3585
o TP1: 3669
o TP2: 3749
• Buy Zone 2: 3557 – 3555
o SL: 3547
o TP1: 3597
o TP2: 3705
📌 Note: The Sell setup at 3657 should be considered with small position size as it goes against the main trend. If price reaches 3595, this Sell scenario could lose validity.
HUDCO: Bounce or Just a Pause Before More Pain?After topping near ₹353.70, HUDCO has been working its way lower in what looks like a complex W–X–Y corrective structure on the weekly timeframe.
Wave W ended at ₹158.85, completing a sharp three-wave decline.
The subsequent rebound into ₹253.75 unfolded as Wave X, forming a triangle-like structure and stalling right at the resistance zone.
From there, price started its Wave Y decline.
At the current stage:
Price has found temporary support near the 100-week SMA.
Last week’s candle printed a Bullish Engulfing pattern, hinting at a possible Wave (b) bounce in progress.
However, as long as HUDCO trades below the invalidation level of ₹253.75, the broader expectation still favors another leg lower into Wave (c) of Y.
In short, the bounce could provide some relief, but the larger corrective structure may not be complete yet.
Invalidation: Above ₹253.75.
Bias: Bearish until proven otherwise.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
RELAXO SMART MONEY ENTERED UPMOVE EXPECTEDRELAXO SMART MONEY ENTERED UPMOVE EXPECTED
In this one can clearly See the power of smart money, large volume are moving the stock at every point from past
Wave1 Completed on a bigger time frame
Wave 2 Corrective wave retraced approx 0.786 from the top
For Wave 3 confirmation faster impulsive move required , else it may enter further complex correction.
Let's see how it goes this time .
Elliott wave Rocks
Power Finance Corporation – Complex Correction Still in PlayAfter topping out near ₹580, Power Finance Corporation (PFC) has been locked in a prolonged corrective structure. The price action since mid-2023 suggests a triple correction (W-X-Y-X-Z) , with the final leg (Wave Z) now unfolding.
Technical View
Price broke down from a rising channel and is currently retesting the underside of that channel – a classic setup to watch for continuation.
Wave (c) of Z appears to be in progress, keeping the near-term bias tilted bearish unless price crosses above ₹438.35 (invalidation level).
A potential termination zone lies around ₹250–225, aligning with the highlighted support cluster.
RSI is hovering in the mid-40s, showing lack of upside strength and leaning toward further weakness.
Summary
Bias remains bearish while below ₹438.35. A deeper leg into the ₹250–225 support cluster cannot be ruled out before this complex correction completes.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
BEL Stock Trade Above 50 EMABEL Stock show technically strength
If you want to plan a trade in BEL stock here, then we will take entry around 382. Here we will keep Stop loss 370 and the target is around 430 but what is this target, it will take some time. It will not come in 1, 2 or 7 days. What do we have to do in this, we will have to give a month's time. Okay. If you enter the trade, then you must do your analysis first.
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 11-Sep-2025NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 11-Sep-2025
📈 Current Spot: 24,977
🔑 Key Levels:
Opening Resistance: 25,022 – 25,049
Last Opening Resistance: 25,174
Major Resistance: 25,247
Opening Support: 24,927
Last Intraday Support: 24,860
Major Support: 24,778
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points above 25,077)
If Nifty opens above 25,077, it directly enters near the resistance zone 25,022 – 25,049. Early buying pressure may push prices toward 25,174.
If momentum sustains above 25,174, a rally towards 25,247 can be expected, which will act as a strong profit-booking zone.
However, if the index fails to sustain above the opening resistance and slips below 25,049, we may see consolidation or a pullback toward 24,977 – 24,927.
📌 Educational Insight: Gap-ups near resistance often invite profit booking. Traders must confirm sustainability with at least a 15-minute candle close before entering long positions.
🚨 Risk Tip: Avoid chasing calls after a big gap-up; instead, look for retracements near support zones for better risk-reward.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Around 24,950 – 25,050)
If Nifty opens flat within 24,950 – 25,050, the focus should be on the Opening Resistance (25,022–25,049) and Opening Support (24,927).
A breakout above 25,049 can push prices toward 25,174, while a breakdown below 24,927 can drag the index toward 24,860.
If the market trades sideways within 24,927 – 25,049, intraday traders may prefer quick scalps with strict stop-losses.
📌 Educational Insight: Flat openings provide clarity on whether buyers or sellers dominate. Wait for a clear breakout/breakdown to avoid getting trapped in false moves.
🚨 Risk Tip: In a flat open, premiums in options decay faster. Stick to ATM/ITM options with strict SLs to protect capital.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points below 24,877)
A gap-down below 24,877 will bring immediate focus on the key support zones 24,860 and 24,778.
Sustaining below 24,860 increases the probability of further weakness toward 24,778, where buyers may attempt a rebound.
If the index defends 24,860 – 24,778, a sharp short-covering rally toward 24,927 – 24,977 may unfold.
📌 Educational Insight: Gap-downs near strong supports often create oversold conditions, leading to short-covering bounces. Confirmation is essential before entering trades.
🚨 Risk Tip: Avoid aggressive put buying after a gap-down; instead, consider spreads (Bear Put Spread) to reduce time decay risk.
📝 Summary & Conclusion
Bullish above: 25,049 → Targets: 25,174 / 25,247
Neutral Zone: 24,927 – 25,049 (sideways chop likely)
Bearish below: 24,860 → Next support: 24,778
📌 Focus on price action around Opening Resistance (25,022–25,049) and Opening Support (24,927) for directional trades.
💡 Options Tip: Always keep a hedge or reduce position size before major resistance/support to avoid sudden reversals.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Please do your own analysis or consult your financial advisor before taking any trading decision.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 11-Sep-2025BANK NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 11-Sep-2025
(Levels derived from support–resistance pivots and market psychology)
📈 Gap-Up Opening (200+ points above 54,732)
If Bank Nifty opens significantly above 54,732 (Last Intraday Resistance), the sentiment will turn strongly bullish.
Sustaining above this zone can drive momentum toward 54,955 (Major Resistance).
Intraday traders should watch for rejection near 54,955, as this is a psychological supply area.
Any pullback toward 54,732 – 54,643 may act as a retest zone for fresh long entries.
👉 Strategy: Avoid chasing the first candle. Enter long trades only if the price consolidates above 54,732 for 15–30 minutes. Targets: 54,955, with SL below 54,643. Short only if a clear rejection candle forms at 54,955.
📊 Flat Opening (Around 54,466 – 54,566 zone)
A flat open around the Opening Support/Resistance (54,466 – 54,566) indicates indecision.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 54,566, it may build momentum toward 54,732, and then toward 54,955.
If price fails to cross 54,566 and slips below 54,466, weakness may drag it toward 54,319 (Last Intraday Support).
This zone may see choppy moves; patience is key to avoid false entries.
👉 Strategy: Let the first 30 minutes settle. Go long only above 54,566 with targets 54,732 – 54,955. Consider shorts if it trades below 54,466, aiming for 54,319.
📉 Gap-Down Opening (200+ points below 54,266)
If Bank Nifty opens below 54,266, it signals weakness from the start.
Immediate cushion lies at 54,213; a breakdown here may extend to deeper supports near 54,000.
If buyers defend 54,213, a bounce toward 54,319 – 54,466 is possible, but strength must be confirmed.
Sustained trading below 54,213 may trigger panic selling.
👉 Strategy: Look for shorts below 54,213, targeting 54,000. Avoid aggressive longs unless a reversal candle appears near 54,213 with strong volume.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
📊 Avoid taking trades in the first few minutes of volatile openings; let direction settle.
🛑 Always define a strict SL based on levels (prefer hourly candle close for major levels).
💰 Trail SL once trade moves in your favor to secure profits.
🚫 Avoid averaging in options; cut losing trades quickly and re-enter only on clear confirmation.
⚖️ Position sizing should be limited—don’t risk more than 1–2% of total capital in a single trade.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Above 54,732, Bank Nifty targets 54,955, bullish momentum intact.
🔄 Flat open near 54,466 – 54,566 requires patience; breakout/breakdown will define trend.
⚠️ Below 54,213, weakness can intensify toward 54,000.
🕰️ First 30 minutes of price action are critical—observe, then act.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This trading plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Please do your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before taking trades.
Be prepared for a correctionTVS Motors CMP3495
Elliott - the entire swing from the bottom is the 3rd wave and is over. The Box method is clearly demonstrating that the rally is done. From here a deep three wave correction should start.
RSI - thats a clean divergence on the top.
Detrend - the detrend has again reached it extreme.
Composite - the oscillator below its MA by the end of the month will be a confirmation of the weakness in the counter.
Conclusion - traders u need to book profits as this correction can be deep and time taking.