Hero MotoCorp: Wedge Signals Wave 5 ExhaustionAfter a strong five-wave impulse from ₹3,344 to ₹5,717, Hero MotoCorp appears to have completed a textbook rally, with Wave (5) showing all signs of exhaustion.
The final leg developed into a rising wedge , a common terminal pattern that often precedes short-term pullbacks. Momentum loss is also visible on the RSI , which has been forming lower highs within a descending channel — a classic sign of fading strength.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the advance from Wave 4 (₹4,195) to Wave 5 (₹5,717) aligns closely with the 1.0 Fibonacci projection of internal Wave (1), suggesting a complete internal impulse.
Should a correction unfold, the 0.382–0.5 retracement zone (₹4,810–₹4,530) — measured from the entire rally (₹3,344–₹5,717) — could become a potential accumulation area for the next bullish sequence (Wave 2 or B).
Summary :
Wave 5 likely completed inside a rising wedge
RSI bearish divergence confirms exhaustion
Next potential buy zone: ₹4,810–₹4,530
Structure remains bullish over the long term, but a short-term correction looks due
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Wave Analysis
Part 8 Trading Master Class With ExpertsHow Option Premium Is Determined
The option premium is influenced by several factors, collectively known as the “Greeks.” These include:
Intrinsic Value – The actual value if exercised immediately (difference between market price and strike price).
Time Value – Extra premium paid for the time left before expiration.
Volatility (Vega) – The higher the market volatility, the higher the option premium.
Delta – Measures how much the option’s price changes with a change in the underlying price.
Theta – Indicates how much the option’s value erodes as time passes (time decay).
Rho – Measures sensitivity to interest rate changes.
For example, an option closer to expiry loses time value faster due to Theta decay.
Part 7 Trading Master Class With Experts How Options Work
Let’s take an example:
Suppose you buy a Call Option on Reliance Industries with a strike price of ₹2,500 and pay a premium of ₹50 per share.
If the stock rises to ₹2,600, you can exercise your right to buy at ₹2,500, making ₹100 profit per share (₹2,600 – ₹2,500), minus the premium (₹50). Net profit = ₹50.
If the stock falls below ₹2,500, you will not exercise the option. You lose only the premium of ₹50.
Similarly, a Put Option works the opposite way:
If you buy a Put Option with a strike price of ₹2,500 and the stock falls to ₹2,400, you can sell it at ₹2,500 and make a profit of ₹100 per share minus the premium.
This flexibility makes options a powerful tool for speculation and risk management.
Part 6 Learn Institutional Trading Key Terminology in Option Trading
Before trading options, understanding the terminology is crucial:
Underlying Asset: The financial asset (e.g., Nifty 50 index, stock, commodity) on which the option is based.
Strike Price: The fixed price at which the option holder can buy or sell the underlying asset.
Premium: The price paid by the buyer to the seller for obtaining the rights of the option.
Expiration Date: The date on which the option contract expires.
In-the-Money (ITM): When exercising the option would be profitable.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): When exercising the option would not be profitable.
At-the-Money (ATM): When the market price equals the strike price.
ASHOKA 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Current Context
Latest quoted price: ~ ₹214.86.
Daily technical/oscillator readings: RSI (14) ~ 73.64 → bullish but nearing over-bought territory.
Moving-averages: 5-day ~ ₹199.49; 20-day ~ ₹192.38; 50-day ~ ₹189.35. Price is above all these, which suggests upward momentum.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch (Daily)
From the latest data:
Pivot (classic): ~ ₹210.16.
Resistance levels:
R1 ~ ₹214.66
R2 ~ ₹221.42
Support levels:
S1 ~ ₹203.40
S2 ~ ₹198.90
S3 ~ ₹192.14
Crypto and Digital Asset Regulations in India (Post-2025)1. Early Phase: From Uncertainty to Recognition
The Indian crypto journey began with skepticism. In 2013, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) first issued warnings about virtual currencies like Bitcoin, citing risks of volatility, fraud, and lack of legal backing. Between 2017 and 2018, crypto trading volumes surged across Indian exchanges such as ZebPay and CoinDCX, prompting the RBI to impose a banking ban in April 2018. This prohibited regulated entities from providing services to crypto businesses, effectively stalling industry growth.
However, in March 2020, the Supreme Court of India overturned the RBI ban, ruling that it was unconstitutional. This verdict reopened doors for the crypto sector, allowing exchanges to restart operations. This was a landmark judgment that recognized crypto assets as a legitimate digital commodity, though not yet as legal tender.
2. Post-2021 Developments: Regulatory Consolidation
From 2021 onwards, the Indian government and financial regulators started formulating frameworks to oversee the growing digital asset ecosystem. The focus was on taxation, registration, and consumer protection, rather than outright prohibition.
In Budget 2022, the Finance Ministry took a crucial step by introducing a 30% tax on income from Virtual Digital Assets (VDAs). This was a clear signal that the government acknowledged the existence of digital assets but wanted to regulate them stringently. Additionally, a 1% TDS (Tax Deducted at Source) was applied to crypto transactions exceeding ₹10,000, aimed at tracking transactions and ensuring compliance.
While this tax structure made day trading less attractive, it marked a shift from banning to monitoring. The move was followed by exchanges being required to comply with Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) norms, integrating with India’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU-IND).
3. The Digital India Context: Blockchain Beyond Crypto
India’s broader Digital India initiative has greatly influenced crypto policy. The government recognizes that blockchain technology — which underpins cryptocurrencies — can revolutionize financial inclusion, supply chain management, and public records.
Projects such as the Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), launched by the RBI as the Digital Rupee (e₹) in 2023, have demonstrated India’s willingness to explore regulated digital currencies. The CBDC aims to provide the benefits of digital transactions while maintaining state control over monetary policy.
However, private cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or Ethereum remain outside the legal tender framework — they can be traded, but not used as official currency.
4. Current Regulatory Structure (Post-2025)
As of post-2025, India’s crypto and digital asset framework revolves around four key pillars:
a) Legal Recognition & Definitions
The Virtual Digital Asset (VDA) category covers cryptocurrencies, NFTs (Non-Fungible Tokens), and certain tokenized assets. They are recognized as digital commodities or property, not as money. The term “crypto currency” is deliberately avoided in official documents to emphasize that these are assets for investment, not currency substitutes.
b) Taxation Framework
30% flat tax on profits from digital asset transfers.
1% TDS on each transaction for monitoring purposes.
No offset of losses between different digital assets or against other income.
Gifts in digital assets are also taxable under existing income tax rules.
This framework discourages speculative trading but supports transparency and record-keeping.
c) Regulatory Bodies
RBI (Reserve Bank of India) – Oversees monetary implications and CBDC operations.
SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India) – May regulate tokenized securities or investment contracts.
FIU-IND – Monitors compliance with AML and KYC norms.
Finance Ministry – Leads policy formation and taxation oversight.
d) Exchange & Custody Regulations
Crypto exchanges are now required to:
Register under FIU-IND as “reporting entities.”
Maintain complete transaction and user data for audit purposes.
Ensure compliance with international FATF (Financial Action Task Force) standards.
Implement cold wallet storage and cybersecurity frameworks for asset safety.
5. Investor Protection and Market Discipline
Post-2025, investor protection remains a top priority. Regulators aim to protect retail investors from frauds, Ponzi schemes, and misleading promotions. Exchanges must provide disclosures on risk, volatility, and regulatory uncertainty.
Educational campaigns are being promoted through both government and industry initiatives to help investors differentiate between legitimate projects and scams. The industry also follows self-regulatory codes, inspired by SEBI norms for mutual funds and brokers.
6. India’s Stance on Global Coordination
India has been actively engaging in G20 and FATF discussions to establish global crypto standards. As G20 president in 2023, India pushed for a global regulatory framework to avoid cross-border arbitrage.
In 2025, India’s policies align with the G20-endorsed framework that calls for:
Uniform tax reporting standards (similar to the OECD’s “Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework”).
Common KYC and anti-terrorism financing standards.
Information sharing between nations on suspicious crypto transactions.
This international collaboration helps prevent misuse of crypto for money laundering or terror financing while enabling legitimate innovation.
7. Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) – The Digital Rupee
The Digital Rupee (e₹) represents India’s official foray into state-backed digital assets. Issued by the RBI, it functions like a virtual version of the Indian Rupee, ensuring transparency, traceability, and low-cost transfers.
Key features include:
Pilot use in wholesale and retail segments.
Interoperability with UPI and bank apps.
Programmable transactions for specific purposes (like subsidies or government payments).
The CBDC complements rather than competes with private crypto assets — providing a regulated digital payment option backed by sovereign authority.
8. Emerging Trends: Tokenization and DeFi
India’s next wave of digital asset regulation focuses on tokenized real-world assets (RWA) and Decentralized Finance (DeFi). Tokenization allows physical assets such as real estate, art, or bonds to be represented digitally, creating liquidity and transparency.
However, regulators are cautious about DeFi projects due to the anonymity involved. The focus remains on regulated innovation, where blockchain is used under frameworks ensuring identity verification and financial stability.
9. Challenges Ahead
Despite progress, India faces several challenges:
Tax Burden: The 30% tax and 1% TDS discourage active participation.
Lack of Clear Legal Status: Crypto is not illegal, but not officially legal either.
Banking Hesitancy: Some banks remain cautious in offering services to exchanges.
Regulatory Fragmentation: Multiple agencies overlap in jurisdiction, slowing innovation.
Still, the policy direction is moving toward clarity, control, and co-existence.
10. The Road Ahead
Looking beyond 2025, India aims to establish a Comprehensive Digital Asset Regulation Bill that classifies different asset types (utility tokens, security tokens, stablecoins) and provides guidelines for their issuance, trading, and taxation.
The focus will be on:
Integrating blockchain in public infrastructure.
Encouraging innovation in Web3 and fintech startups.
Aligning with global best practices to make India a regulated digital asset hub.
With its young tech-driven population and strong fintech ecosystem, India has the potential to lead in responsible crypto innovation while maintaining financial sovereignty.
Conclusion
Post-2025, India’s crypto and digital asset regulations reflect a measured and pragmatic approach — not anti-crypto, but pro-regulation. The government acknowledges the transformative power of blockchain while safeguarding against financial risks. Through structured taxation, compliance requirements, and global coordination, India is building the foundation for a transparent, secure, and innovation-friendly digital asset ecosystem.
As policies mature, the country’s focus will likely shift from control to collaboration — enabling India to play a leading role in shaping the future of global digital finance.
Commodity Trading: Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Natural Gas on MCX1. Overview of MCX and Commodity Trading
The Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) was established in 2003 and operates under the regulatory framework of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). It provides a transparent and standardized platform for trading in commodity derivatives, allowing market participants to hedge against price volatility or take speculative positions based on their market outlook.
Commodity trading on MCX includes bullion (gold, silver), energy (crude oil, natural gas), and base metals (copper, zinc, aluminum) among others. Prices are largely influenced by international benchmarks — for example, COMEX for gold and silver, and NYMEX for crude oil and natural gas — since commodities are globally traded and denominated in U.S. dollars.
2. Gold Trading on MCX
a. Importance of Gold
Gold is considered both a precious metal and a safe-haven asset. It acts as a hedge against inflation, currency depreciation, and economic uncertainty. In India, gold also holds immense cultural and investment value, making it one of the most traded commodities.
b. MCX Gold Contracts
MCX offers multiple gold contracts to cater to different categories of traders:
Gold (1 kg)
Gold Mini (100 grams)
Gold Guinea (8 grams)
Gold Petal (1 gram)
Gold Petal (New Delhi)
Each contract differs in lot size and margin requirements, allowing both retail and institutional traders to participate. The price quote is in Rupees per 10 grams, and the underlying is standard gold of 995 purity.
c. Factors Influencing Gold Prices
Global economic data (especially U.S. inflation, employment, and GDP)
US Dollar movement – Gold has an inverse relationship with the USD.
Interest rate changes by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Geopolitical tensions or crises that boost safe-haven demand.
Jewelry demand and central bank reserves.
d. Trading Strategy
Gold trading often combines technical analysis (using trendlines, moving averages, and RSI) with macro fundamentals (like Fed announcements). Traders also track the COMEX gold price and the rupee-dollar exchange rate for near-term movement cues on MCX.
3. Silver Trading on MCX
a. Role of Silver
Silver, often referred to as the “poor man’s gold,” has both precious and industrial uses. It’s widely used in electronics, solar panels, and medical instruments. This dual nature makes silver more volatile than gold.
b. MCX Silver Contracts
MCX offers several contracts:
Silver (30 kg)
Silver Mini (5 kg)
Silver Micro (1 kg)
Silver 1000 (30 kg, 999 purity)
The price quote is in Rupees per kilogram. Silver contracts are physically settled, ensuring price integrity and alignment with physical market demand.
c. Price Influencers
Industrial demand in electronics and solar sectors.
Gold price movement (since silver tends to follow gold trends).
US Dollar and bond yields.
Global supply-demand balances from major producers like Mexico and Peru.
d. Trading Insights
Silver’s high volatility appeals to short-term traders. It responds strongly to global macro news and industrial growth data. Many traders use gold-silver ratio analysis — when the ratio widens, it may suggest silver is undervalued relative to gold, and vice versa.
4. Crude Oil Trading on MCX
a. Significance of Crude Oil
Crude oil is the lifeblood of the global economy — influencing transport, manufacturing, and inflation. As one of the most liquid commodities, it offers dynamic trading opportunities. MCX crude oil prices track NYMEX WTI Crude, adjusted for the INR/USD rate.
b. MCX Crude Oil Contracts
MCX offers:
Crude Oil (100 barrels)
Crude Oil Mini (10 barrels)
Prices are quoted in Rupees per barrel. Contract expiries are aligned with global oil futures.
c. Key Factors Affecting Prices
Global demand-supply balance led by OPEC decisions.
U.S. crude inventory data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Dollar strength and global growth outlook.
Production levels in the U.S. shale industry.
d. Trading Strategies
Crude oil traders closely track weekly U.S. inventory reports, OPEC meetings, and economic indicators like global PMI data. Technical tools like Bollinger Bands and MACD help spot momentum reversals. Traders also hedge exposure against energy price swings using MCX crude futures.
5. Natural Gas Trading on MCX
a. Overview
Natural gas is a crucial energy source used for power generation, heating, and industrial processes. With the rise in clean energy demand, gas trading volumes have been rising sharply on MCX.
b. Contract Specifications
MCX offers Natural Gas (1250 mmBtu) contracts, quoted in Rupees per mmBtu (million British thermal units). Prices track NYMEX Natural Gas futures, with adjustments for INR movements.
c. Price Influences
Weather conditions – cold winters or hot summers drive higher consumption.
Inventory levels in U.S. gas storage.
Production trends from shale fields.
Transition toward clean energy and LNG demand.
Global geopolitical events affecting gas supply routes.
d. Trading Approach
Natural gas prices are highly seasonal and volatile. Traders use weather forecasts, EIA inventory data, and technical tools like support-resistance zones to time entries. Given its volatility, proper risk management and position sizing are essential.
6. Trading Mechanism and Settlement
All commodities on MCX are traded electronically, ensuring transparency. Contracts are margined, meaning traders need only deposit a fraction of the total value (typically 5–10%) as margin.
Settlement can be of two types:
Cash settlement, based on final settlement price.
Physical delivery, for bullion and select metals.
Traders should be aware of expiry dates, daily price limits, and margin requirements to manage positions effectively.
7. Risk Management and Hedging
Commodity derivatives are vital tools for hedgers (like jewelers or oil companies) to protect against adverse price movements. For instance:
A jeweler may short gold futures to hedge inventory.
An airline may buy crude oil futures to fix fuel costs.
Speculators and arbitrageurs add liquidity, but they must apply strict stop losses, technical discipline, and volatility tracking to avoid large losses.
8. Conclusion
Commodity trading on the MCX — particularly in Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, and Natural Gas — offers immense opportunities for profit and portfolio diversification. These commodities are deeply connected to global macroeconomic events, geopolitical developments, and currency movements.
Success in this market requires a blend of technical analysis, fundamental understanding, and emotional discipline. For retail traders, starting with mini or micro contracts and focusing on risk control is key. As India’s participation in the global commodity market expands, MCX remains a vital gateway for investors to tap into the pulse of international trade and energy trends.
Retail Participation Surge via GIFT Nifty & Offshore Derivatives1. Understanding GIFT Nifty: India’s Gateway to Global Trading
The GIFT Nifty, previously known as the SGX Nifty, is a derivative contract based on the Nifty 50 Index, now traded on the India International Exchange (India INX) and the NSE International Exchange (NSE IX), both operating within the GIFT City (Gujarat International Finance Tec-City) in Gandhinagar, Gujarat.
Initially, foreign investors traded Indian index derivatives through the Singapore Exchange (SGX) under SGX Nifty futures. However, in 2023, these contracts migrated to GIFT City under the International Financial Services Centre (IFSC) framework. This move brought trading closer to home while maintaining global accessibility and regulatory efficiency.
The key goal was to make India a global hub for financial services, allowing domestic and international investors to access Indian markets in a transparent, well-regulated, and tax-efficient manner.
2. The Rise of Retail Participation
Retail investors — individual traders investing with their personal capital — have become a dominant force in India’s equity and derivative markets. With the success of discount brokers, digital trading platforms, and the pandemic-era liquidity boom, Indian retail participation in equities reached historic highs.
However, the launch and global accessibility of GIFT Nifty has now extended this participation to international derivative markets. Retail traders who previously traded only on domestic exchanges like NSE and BSE are now able to gain exposure to Nifty futures and options in an international jurisdiction.
Several factors have contributed to this retail surge:
Ease of access via digital platforms and international brokers linked to GIFT City.
Tax benefits under IFSC regulations, including zero capital gains tax for non-residents.
Extended trading hours, allowing participation even when domestic markets are closed.
Low transaction costs and minimal regulatory hurdles for offshore trading accounts.
This convergence has allowed retail investors to trade round-the-clock, hedge positions efficiently, and participate in a globally aligned Indian derivative ecosystem.
3. Offshore Derivatives: Opening Global Avenues for Retail Traders
Offshore derivatives are financial instruments linked to Indian assets but traded outside the domestic market. They provide exposure to Indian equities, indices, or debt without requiring direct ownership of the underlying securities.
Historically, instruments like Participatory Notes (P-Notes) were used by institutional investors. But with GIFT Nifty and IFSC-listed derivatives, even retail traders can participate indirectly in the offshore segment.
Retail access to offshore derivatives offers key advantages:
Diversification: Traders can access multiple markets — from Nifty and Sensex indices to global indices like S&P 500 or FTSE — within a single account.
Leverage benefits: Offshore platforms often provide higher leverage, enhancing speculative and hedging opportunities.
Hedging currency risk: With the availability of USD-denominated contracts at GIFT City, traders can protect against INR fluctuations.
Global exposure: Investors can trade Indian instruments while benefiting from international market standards and liquidity.
4. GIFT City as a Catalyst for Retail Globalization
The establishment of GIFT City IFSC has been pivotal in enabling retail and institutional participation alike. Designed as a global financial hub, it offers infrastructure comparable to international centers like Dubai or Singapore.
GIFT City’s role includes:
Hosting NSE IX and BSE INX, where international versions of Indian indices are traded.
Providing foreign currency settlements, primarily in USD, reducing conversion risks.
Offering tax neutrality and regulatory clarity under IFSCA (International Financial Services Centres Authority).
Attracting both foreign brokers and Indian fintech platforms to serve global retail clients.
For retail traders, GIFT City bridges the gap between domestic markets and global derivatives, creating a seamless ecosystem that encourages participation beyond India’s borders.
5. The Technology Revolution Driving Retail Entry
The surge in retail participation via GIFT Nifty and offshore derivatives is inseparable from the technological revolution in trading. Online trading apps, global brokerage tie-ups, and API-based trading solutions have made it effortless for individuals to access IFSC exchanges.
Innovations such as:
Algorithmic trading and copy trading tools,
Seamless onboarding through digital KYC, and
Integration with global payment systems
have lowered entry barriers and increased transparency.
Moreover, educational content and social media trading communities have empowered retail investors to understand global derivatives and execute sophisticated strategies, including hedging and arbitrage between NSE and GIFT Nifty prices.
6. Extended Market Hours: A New Opportunity Window
One of the defining advantages of GIFT Nifty is its longer trading window. Unlike domestic exchanges, which close by 3:30 PM IST, GIFT Nifty operates from 6:30 AM to 11:30 PM IST, overlapping both Asian and European trading sessions.
This feature allows:
Pre-market trend analysis based on global cues.
Hedging during US market hours when significant macroeconomic data is released.
24-hour access to Indian index movement, which appeals to global retail traders.
Extended hours also enhance liquidity and price discovery, as retail and institutional traders react in real-time to international events.
7. Regulatory Framework & Safeguards
The International Financial Services Centres Authority (IFSCA) governs all activities at GIFT City, ensuring that retail participation occurs within a secure and transparent framework.
Key safeguards include:
Investor protection norms aligned with global standards.
KYC/AML compliance to prevent misuse of offshore accounts.
Transparent margining and settlement processes under international oversight.
This ensures that even as participation widens, market integrity and financial stability remain uncompromised.
8. The Broader Impact on India’s Financial Ecosystem
The retail surge through GIFT Nifty and offshore derivatives has several macro-level benefits:
Increased liquidity: Higher participation enhances market depth and efficiency.
Global visibility: India strengthens its position as an emerging hub for international financial services.
Capital inflows: Offshore participation channels global capital back into Indian markets.
Financial innovation: The expansion encourages the development of new derivative products and cross-border instruments.
This growth aligns with India’s vision of “Viksit Bharat 2047”, where financial markets play a central role in economic globalization.
9. Challenges & the Road Ahead
Despite its promise, the surge in retail participation also brings challenges:
Risk of over-leverage: Many retail traders may lack sufficient understanding of derivative risks.
Regulatory coordination: Balancing domestic SEBI rules and IFSC frameworks requires ongoing alignment.
Market volatility: Increased speculative activity can cause sharp price movements in index futures.
To sustain growth responsibly, financial literacy, risk management tools, and investor education programs must evolve in parallel.
10. Conclusion
The surge in retail participation via GIFT Nifty and offshore derivatives symbolizes India’s integration into the global trading ecosystem. GIFT City has emerged as a transformative gateway, enabling both Indian and global traders to access Indian markets seamlessly.
For retail participants, this marks the dawn of a new era — one defined by borderless access, extended hours, tax efficiency, and technological empowerment. As participation deepens and regulation strengthens, India’s financial markets are poised to become a global benchmark for inclusivity, innovation, and international connectivity.
In essence, GIFT Nifty and offshore derivatives are not just instruments of trading; they are symbols of India’s financial maturity, bridging local ambition with global opportunity.
SCHNEIDER 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Current status
Last traded price: ~ ₹863 (shown on technical summary)
Technical rating (weekly timeframe): “Neutral” in many sources.
On shorter timeframes (daily), many indicators show bullish momentum.
🧮 Key support & resistance levels for the week
Based on available chart-analysis:
Support zone: around ₹810-₹830 region.
Resistance zone: around ₹900-₹915 region.
A pivot/resistance level near ~ ₹867-₹870 was noted for shorter term.
TATACONSUM 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Current Price Snapshot
Last traded around ₹ 1,155.30 on the NSE.
Day’s trading range (approx) ~ ₹ 1,157.20 to ₹ 1,169.40.
52-week range: ~ ₹ 882.90 (low) to ~ ₹ 1,191.20 (high).
🔍 Important Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance: ~ ₹ 1,170-1,190 zone (recent highs near 1,191).
Immediate Support: ~ ₹ 1,140-1,150 (recent price clustering).
Secondary Support: ~ ₹ 1,110-1,120 (if the first support fails).
Major Structural Support: ~ ₹ 1,020-1,030 (in case of deeper correction).
GOLD PULLBACK BEFORE FINAL LEG DOWN🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD)
📅 Date: Nov 04, 2025
📊 Main timeframe: H2 confirmation + M30 execution
🎯 Strategy: SMC + Liquidity Grab + OB Rejection
MARKET CONTEXT
Gold is currently trading around the 3970 zone after a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the M30 timeframe, confirming short-term bearish pressure. On the H2 chart, price remains in a descending channel, forming lower highs since 4128 → 4006, aligning with overall bearish sentiment.
Recent CHoCH signals on M30 indicate that buyers tried to defend the 3980–3970 area twice but failed to sustain momentum. Liquidity was swept below minor lows, suggesting a potential continuation toward deeper liquidity pools near 3960–3955.
KEY LEVELS
SELL ZONE 1: 4025–4027
SELL ZONE 2: 4011–4013
BUY ZONE 1: 3980–3978
BUY ZONE 2: 3970–3968
TRADING IDEA
Current bias: Bearish, expecting a pullback before continuation.
If price retraces to 4011–4027, watch for rejection and BOS on M5/M15 to enter short.
TP1: 3978, TP2: 3960
SL: above 4027 (≈6 points)
Alternatively, if price sweeps liquidity below 3968 and shows strong CHoCH upward, consider scalp long back to 3980–3990, with SL below 3962 (≈6 points).
CONFIRMATION
M30: BOS down confirmed after CHoCH
H2: Resistance zone rejection aligning with trendline + EMA confluence
RSI showing mild bearish momentum, not yet oversold → room for downside continuation
OUTLOOK
As long as price remains below 4027, the bearish structure holds. Watch for liquidity grabs at support zone 3960–3970 before a potential short-term retracement. A clean break above 4030 would invalidate this plan and flip bias to neutral.
📌 Plan Summary
🎯 Sell the pullback at 4011–4027
🎯 TP: 3978 / 3960
🛑 SL: 4027 (6 points)
TESLA Bullish Wave CyclesHi everyone
Welcome to intelligent investor, we provide market insights by synchronising and combining all the price action waves from different time frames and gives you single trend.
If you see different keyword in charts, here is the meaning and an explaining video will be made in some time how to read and trade with these waves charts. Still if you have any query , you can leave a comment, i will be happy to answer your query.
Keyword Mean-
S- Short Term Trend
M- Medium Term Trend
L- Long Term Trend
I- Super Trend
(I)- Multiyear Trend
1,2,3,4,5 are wave bullish or bearish wave count
SC,MC,LC,AA,(AA)- mean consolidation or correction
X/XX- Like a joint in a trend or consolidation.
Part 4 Learn Institutional Trading What Are Options?
An option is a financial derivative contract that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset—such as a stock, index, or commodity—at a predetermined price (called the strike price) within a specified period.
There are two main types of options:
Call Option – gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price before expiry.
Put Option – gives the holder the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price before expiry.
The person who buys an option is called the option buyer or holder, while the person who sells (writes) the option is called the option writer or seller.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | November 04, 2025
🔹 Momentum
D1 timeframe:
D1 momentum has entered the overbought zone — this signals that the bullish momentum is weakening and a potential reversal could occur today or tomorrow.
H4 timeframe:
H4 momentum is currently in the oversold zone and preparing for a bullish reversal. This suggests that the market may produce 4–5 consecutive bullish H4 candles to lift momentum back toward the overbought region.
H1 timeframe:
H1 momentum is also turning upward, indicating that a short-term bullish phase may be forming.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
D1 timeframe:
A WXY corrective structure is forming. Wave W appears to be completed, and the current move is part of wave X.
However, this X wave seems relatively shallow, and with D1 momentum already in the overbought zone, there’s likely only one final upward push left to complete wave X before a possible reversal.
H4 timeframe:
Given that D1 is already overbought, the yellow wave (4) scenario remains the primary outlook.
Still, since H4 momentum is about to turn upward, there’s a high probability of one last upward movement to finish wave X before resuming a downward move.
H1 timeframe:
On H1, price action is forming a red WXY structure for wave X.
Wave W has already completed, and price is currently developing within wave X (red).
Inside this X wave, a black abcde triangle is taking shape, with price currently hovering near the lower boundary (ac line) of the triangle.
• If wave e (black) ends near the ac line, the triangle pattern will be complete → price is expected to break above the upper boundary, triggering an upward continuation as wave Y.
→ This aligns with the bullish reversal signals seen in H4 and H1 momentum.
• Conversely, if price breaks below the ac line and drops under 3927, it would suggest that the purple X wave on D1 has already completed, and the market may resume a downtrend following D1 momentum.
________________________________________
🔹 Trading Plan
• Buy Stop: 4000
• Stop Loss: 3973
• Take Profit 1: 4050
⚠️ Note: The current candle range is quite wide → stop loss is relatively large, so it’s advisable to reduce position size and manage trades carefully.
DALBHARAT : Trading at interesting levelsDalmia Bharat (NSE: DALBHARAT) is showing a completed corrective leg into a demand zone around 2015–2048, with a bullish reversal setup aiming first toward 2,383 and then 2,577–2,660 if the higher swing resumes, while risk is defined by a daily close below 1,774 as invalidation/stop level.
Trend context
Price is in a broader uptrend since March 2025, with a 52-week range of ₹1,601–₹2,496 and the current spot near ₹2,084, indicating a retracement within a still-intact higher timeframe structure typical for mid-cap cement leaders.
Recent sessions show a narrow day range ₹2,070–₹2,100, suggesting compression after a decline from the September high near ₹2,496, which often precedes a directional move from support.
Wave and structure
The drawn count reflects an A–B–C intermediate correction, with wave C terminating into 2015–2048; this aligns with a typical measured correction completing near prior breakout basing zones and liquidity pools around the round ₹2,000 handle.
A change of character after the last impulse down plus a prospective break-of-structure higher would confirm that the corrective B/2 has ended and a new impulsive leg toward prior supply is underway.
Key levels
First buy zone: 1,880–1,920 on deeper wicks, with primary “first entry” emphasis beginning near the low-₹1,9xxs only if retested; this corresponds to the lower end of the highlighted completion area and sits above the invalidation line.
Second buy zone: 2,015–2,048, the active demand band shown on the chart and close to current market price; reactive entries here need confirmation via strong close back above 2,050–2,060.
Targets
Initial target: 2,380–2,385, which matches roughly a 78% retracement of the last downswing and aligns with a visible supply shelf from October; partial profits are prudent here due to overhead resistance.
Secondary target zone: 2,577–2,660, overlapping the prior distribution block below the 52-week high and a logical wave C-to-new-impulse projection; this is the stretch objective if momentum expands and sector tailwinds persist.
Risk management
Invalidation/stop: Daily close below 1,774, which would break the higher low structure and negate the completion thesis of wave C; below this, risk of a larger timeframe correction toward the mid-₹1,700s increases.
For near-term execution, keep risk tight under the intraday swing low of the entry day and trail below higher lows if price accelerates from 2,015–2,048 toward 2,150–2,200, where minor resistance may appear from late-October prints.
Momentum and confirmations
Watch for a decisive close back above 2,100–2,120 with expanding volume relative to the recent 2.1–2.2 lakh shares/day; that would validate demand absorption at the zone and set up the 2,200–2,250 pocket as a fast follow-through area.
A reclaim of 2,250 opens the path to 2,380; failure to reclaim 2,100 and repeated closes below 2,020 would keep the setup tactical and caution against early scaling.
GOLD CONFIRMS SHORT-TERM DECLINE AFTER BREAKING TRENDLINEXAUUSD – GOLD CONFIRMS SHORT-TERM DECLINE AFTER BREAKING TRENDLINE
🪞 1. Overview
🌤️ In the Asian session this morning, gold broke the upward trendline even though the selling pressure wasn't particularly strong.
However, this is the first signal indicating that the short-term trend is leaning towards the sellers.
💬 Currently, the 3996 level is a significant resistance, and the price might retest this area before continuing to decline.
If the price surpasses the FVG at 4007, the trend might temporarily rebound in the short term.
💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
🔸 Market structure: After breaking the trend, the structure temporarily shifts to short-term bearish.
🔸 Liquidity & FVG: Liquidity is drawn to the 3960–3940 area, while FVG 4007 is the first barrier.
🔸 Order Flow: Smart Money may lightly sweep up to the resistance area before pushing the price further down.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Scenarios
💔 MAIN SELL
Entry: 3996 | SL: 4004
TP: 3985 – 3972 – 3948
💢 SELL scalping
Entry: 4007 | SL: 4014
TP: 3998 – 3978
💖 REACTIVE BUY
Entry: 3965 | SL: 3957
TP: 3976 – 3988 – 3999
🌸 DEEP BUY
Entry: 3941 | SL: 3931
TP: 3955 – 3968 – 3988 – 4012 – 4066
🔍 4. Price Levels to Note
✨ 4007 → FVG resistance, short-term trend confirmation area
✨ 3996 → Retest area of the broken trendline
✨ 3965 – 3941 → Strong support area, likely to see reversal reactions
💬 5. Notes & Call for Interaction
⚠️ This is not an investment recommendation, but merely a personal technical perspective following the ICT method.
Observe the price reaction around the trendline carefully before making a decision 💭
If you find this post helpful, please 💛 like – 💬 leave a comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2
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Bharat Forge Ltd – Flat in Formation, Bulls Still in Command
The impulse from ₹919 - ₹1,362 looks complete, and price is now likely carving a 5-3-5 flat correction as Wave 2.
Wave B has already stretched to the prior Wave 1 peak, keeping regular , expanded , and running flat options open.
Wave C could retrace toward ₹1,192 – ₹1,140 — the 0.382-0.5 fib zone — before the broader uptrend resumes.
Sustained volume and RSI momentum continue to support the larger bullish structure.
A breakout above ₹1,395 invalidates the bearish setup.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Godrej Consumer Products: Wave (4) Double Combo Testing SupportWave (4) seems to have evolved as a double combination (W–X–Y), with prices now testing the W–Y trendline support near the 0.618 retracement (~₹1,096).
The structure has been slow and overlapping — typical of a Wave (4) correction.
RSI too rests at channel support , hinting at momentum exhaustion.
A steady hold above this zone could pave the way for Wave (5) , but confirmation is still pending.
Invalidation remains below ₹979.50 .
Strategy:
Watch price behavior near the current support zone. Patience here pays more than prediction.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 04-Nov-2025🔹 NIFTY Trading Plan for 04-Nov-2025
(Based on psychological correction behavior and intraday structure)
Chart Reference Levels:
🟧 Opening Support / Resistance Zone: 25,732 – 25,774
🟥 Opening Resistance: 25,871 – 25,886
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 25,677
🩵 Extended Support Zone: 25,602
❤️ Upside Psychological Target: 26,000
🟢 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above previous close)
If Nifty opens above 25,860, it enters near the Opening Resistance zone (25,871 – 25,886). Monitor how price behaves here — early candles showing rejection or long upper wicks could signal exhaustion and a potential pullback.
Only if Nifty sustains above 25,886 with strong momentum and closes a 15-minute candle above it, bulls could take control for a move towards the psychological mark of 26,000.
In case of a false breakout, prices could retrace back to the 25,774 zone, which may act as re-entry support for dip buyers.
📘 Educational Note: Gap-up days tend to trap retail traders who buy impulsively at the open. Always let the market prove its strength with a confirmed candle close before entering directional trades.
🟠 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (±50 points from previous close around 25,730)
Flat openings near 25,732 – 25,774 indicate equilibrium between bulls and bears. The first half-hour will decide whether this zone acts as support or resistance.
If Nifty sustains above 25,774, it can climb towards 25,871, where sellers might emerge again. Watch for a decisive breakout or rejection at that level.
A breakdown below 25,732 would expose the index to 25,677 (Last Intraday Support). Sustained weakness below that level could extend toward 25,602.
📘 Educational Note: Flat openings allow clear structure formation — ideal for observing whether large players are accumulating or distributing. Avoid rushing; let trend direction confirm itself.
🔴 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below previous close)
A gap-down below 25,650 brings price action directly near Last Intraday Support (25,677) or the Extended Support Zone (25,602). Watch closely for reversal candles or volume divergence in this region.
If Nifty fails to reclaim 25,677, it could extend weakness further, making 25,602 the next critical level where buyers may attempt to defend.
A recovery back above 25,732 after testing these supports may indicate a short-covering opportunity for intraday traders.
📘 Educational Note: Gap-downs are emotional openings. Avoid panic selling; instead, analyze whether the drop is driven by emotion or genuine momentum. Patience during the first 15–30 minutes often saves capital and improves entries.
💡 Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading
Never risk more than 1–2% of total trading capital per position.
Use hourly candle close-based stop-losses to minimize whipsaws in volatile moves.
Avoid chasing far OTM options post 11:00 AM — theta decay accelerates quickly.
If implied volatility (IV) is high, prefer spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put) over naked options.
Always pre-define your exit plan — entry is optional, exit is mandatory.
📊 Summary & Conclusion:
Above 25,886 → Bulls likely to extend toward 26,000.
Between 25,732 – 25,774 → Neutral consolidation zone; trade cautiously.
Below 25,677 → Bearish bias may continue toward 25,602.
In essence, 04-Nov-2025 could be a decision-making day for Nifty — either to confirm strength above the resistance band or to retest lower supports. Let the first 30 minutes establish the tone, then trade with discipline and risk control.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This analysis is shared purely for educational and informational purposes. Traders should conduct their own technical and psychological assessment or consult with a certified financial advisor before executing any trade.






















