Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 28, 2025)
🔹 Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
The momentum lines on D1 remain intertwined. When this happens, the trend often continues with candle counts that follow Fibonacci numbers (3, 5, 8…).
Currently, there are around 3 candles, indicating a high probability of a reversal forming soon, possibly today.
H4 Timeframe:
Momentum is rising, suggesting a potential short-term upward or sideways move to push momentum into the overbought zone.
If the market consolidates at this level, once momentum reaches the overbought region, another bearish leg on H4 could still occur.
H1 Timeframe:
Momentum is currently decreasing. Price is closing lower around the liquidity zone at 3994, showing signs of a liquidity sweep.
We expect price to continue moving lower toward the next liquidity zone, in alignment with the short-term bearish structure on H1.
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🔹 Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe:
The overall wave structure remains largely unchanged. Yesterday’s strong bearish candle fits within our prior analysis, confirming that the corrective wave is still in progress.
However, since the D1 momentum lines have already stuck together for about three candles, a potential bullish reversal candle today could mark the completion of this correction.
H4 Timeframe:
The structure has broken the previous low, suggesting that this could be the final leg of wave Y (blue).
Observing the completed 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5 in blue), this corrective leg has now returned to the base of the previous wave 4, achieving both price and time symmetry.
→ A short-term bullish reversal is expected from the current area.
H1 Timeframe:
The prior correction formed a triangle pattern (abcde in red), which has now broken to the downside, developing into a 5-wave sequence (black).
Wave 4 (black) appears completed, and price is likely within the final wave 5 down.
🎯 Target zones for completion of wave 5 (black):
• Target 1️⃣: 3953
• Target 2️⃣: 3927
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🔹 Trading Plan
Scenario 1:
• Buy Zone: 3955 – 3952
• Stop Loss: 3932
• TP1: 4050
Scenario 2:
• Buy Zone: 3939 – 3927
• Stop Loss: 3907
• TP1: 3994
Wave Analysis
NIFTY Analysis 28 october 2025 ,Daily Morning update at 9 amNifty chart shows bounce after profit booking
Market showing signs of short covering at lower levels
Nifty tested 47.2 percent fake. level and bounced
Today Nifty may open near 26010 level
Market likely to move sideways in early session
Consolidation expected above 26000 mark
Watch price action near 26000 for intraday direction
If Nifty crosses above 26010 with volume then buy
First target 26075
Second target 26135
Third target 26203 if momentum continues
Keep stop loss below 25960 for all long positions
If Nifty falls below 25958 then sell on rise strategy active.samjhe ki nahi?
Below 25958 next support 25904
Next support 25840 for intraday traders
If price breaks below 25840 expect more downside pressure
today focus on 26000 zone for confirmation of trend
Indus Towers: Channel Breakout Meets Wave TheoryA simple but powerful concept from classical technical analysis — the channel breakout target — plays out beautifully here.
This idea, also discussed by Dr. Sudhir Dixit in his book on breakout signals, gives traders a disciplined way to estimate post-breakout targets.
After a steady five-wave advance from ₹312.55 to ₹369.55, Indus Towers entered a clean descending channel , forming the corrective Wave 2.
The breakout that followed came with a strong volume surge , confirming a clear shift in trend direction.
Concept Recap
In a channel breakout, the target can be derived by measuring the height of the channel (distance between support and resistance) and projecting it upward from the breakout point.
That gives the 1:1 projection , while stronger rallies often stretch toward 2:1 or 3:1 multiples of that range.
Wave Perspective
Elliott Wave traders can interpret this breakout as the early phase of Wave 3 , which typically extends 1.0 to 1.618× Wave 1 .
In this case, the 1.0× projection aligns near ₹395, while higher targets in the ₹412–₹430 zone fit naturally within Wave 3–5 progression.
Key Chart Highlights
Descending channel breakout — trend shift confirmed
Volume surge validates breakout strength
Wave 3 minimum extension ≈ ₹395
Stop-loss below ₹359 keeps the structure intact
Takeaway:
Even without labeling waves, the logic of a channel breakout offers a structured, rule-based method for identifying profit zones.
Combine it with wave theory, and you transform a simple pattern into a roadmap for impulsive rallies.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Larsen & Toubro: Wave 3 Heating Up — Eye on the Final 5After a clean impulse from ₹2,965 to ₹3,708 (Wave 1) and a extended flat correction to ₹3,405 (Wave 2), Larsen & Toubro has resumed its upward journey in what appears to be an extending Wave 3 .
Structure in Focus
Wave 3 reached the 1.618 × Wave 1 projection near ₹3,969 — an ideal zone for minor profit-taking.
A short-term Wave 4 pullback could unfold toward ₹3,860 – ₹3,795 (Fib 0.236–0.382 retrace).
As long as price holds above ₹3,727 (invalidation) , the structure stays firmly impulsive.
Once Wave 4 confirms, a final Wave 5 rally could target ₹4,180–₹4,250, extending as high as ₹4,300 if momentum persists.
Bigger Picture
L&T remains a heavyweight within the Nifty 50, and its impulsive rhythm may just be the hidden engine powering Nifty’s climb.
If this count plays out, a fresh high in L&T could easily set the tone for the index to follow suit.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Supply-Demand Squeeze: Symmetrical Triangle at the Flip zoneWitness a textbook supply-demand play on the monthly chart of Bharat Wire Ropes Ltd. as price contracts above a major zone conversion! The chart highlights a high-probability symmetrical triangle pattern—marked with a red counter trendline (lower highs) and a green trendline (higher lows).
This powerful squeeze forms right at the intersection of key supply and demand zones.
- Both supply (resistance) and demand (support) have been mapped for clear zone analysis.
- The symmetrical triangle shows classic price contraction
- Red line: Counter trendline connecting lower highs.
- Green line: Trendline connecting higher lows.
Disclaimer:
This Observation / Post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 28-Oct-2025 (Educational)NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 28-Oct-2025
📊 Nifty closed around 25,974, hovering within the No Trade Zone (25,910 – 26,020) after a choppy session. The index is showing signs of indecision as buyers defend lower supports near 25,778, while sellers remain active near the upper resistance zone around 26,151 – 26,208. Tomorrow’s move will largely depend on the opening tone and how prices react to the key levels outlined below.
🟩 SCENARIO 1: GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points Above 26,020)
If Nifty opens above 26,020, it will immediately enter the Last Intraday Resistance / Profit Booking Zone (26,151 – 26,208).
Watch for quick momentum toward 26,151 — this is a critical intraday level where profit booking can emerge.
Sustaining above 26,208 may trigger fresh long entries, extending the move toward 26,331.
Failure to hold above 26,151 could bring the index back to retest the 26,020 breakout level — a healthy pullback zone for intraday traders.
A sustained break below 26,020 will indicate a failed gap-up breakout, turning bias neutral to mildly bearish.
🧠 Educational Insight:
Gap-ups often reflect overnight optimism, but smart traders wait for confirmation candles before chasing prices. The first 15–30 minutes are crucial to determine if the opening gap will sustain or fade.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ Let the first candle close; if Nifty holds above 26,151, long entries can be considered with targets toward 26,331 and stop-loss below 26,020.
🟨 SCENARIO 2: FLAT OPENING (Between 25,910 – 26,020)
A flat start within the No Trade Zone may lead to range-bound and confusing price action early in the session.
Bulls need a clean breakout above 26,020 to shift momentum back toward 26,151 – 26,208.
Bears will regain short-term control if prices slip below 25,910, potentially driving the index toward 25,778.
Avoid trading within this zone as whipsaws are likely due to equal buying and selling pressure.
🧠 Educational Insight:
When markets open flat within a “No Trade Zone,” patience is key. Many traders lose money trying to predict breakouts that never confirm. Let the price show strength before taking a stance.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ Wait for a decisive hourly close beyond 26,020 (for long) or below 25,910 (for short). Trade only post-confirmation with strict stop-loss rules.
🟥 SCENARIO 3: GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points Below 25,910)
If Nifty opens below 25,910, it will shift short-term sentiment bearish, especially if opening occurs near 25,778 or below.
The first support zone lies around 25,778 — expect a possible technical bounce here.
If this support fails, the next target for sellers will be 25,648, where a temporary base could form.
Only a recovery and sustained close above 25,910 would negate the bearish pressure.
🧠 Educational Insight:
Gap-down openings often test traders’ emotions — avoid panic selling at open. Reversal candles around 25,778 can provide high R:R setups for quick intraday longs.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ Consider short positions below 25,778 with stop-loss above 25,910. For a safer play, wait for rejection candles near 25,910 before entering any directional trade.
💡 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
Avoid entering during the first 15–30 minutes after market opens — let volatility settle.
Always define your stop-loss — never risk more than 1–2% of total capital in a single trade.
Prefer deep ITM options for directional plays to reduce time decay.
Avoid trading when price remains in the “No Trade Zone”; capital preservation is priority.
Trail profits dynamically — once your trade achieves 1:1 R:R, secure partial gains.
📘 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
Key Resistance Levels: 26,020 → 26,151 → 26,208 → 26,331
Key Support Levels: 25,910 → 25,778 → 25,648
No Trade Zone: 25,910 – 26,020
🔹 The bias remains neutral within the range, but momentum can quickly shift beyond 26,020 or below 25,910.
🔹 Buy on dips near 25,778 if support holds, and sell on rises near 26,208 if rejection patterns appear.
🔹 Stay flexible — the trend confirmation will only emerge after a decisive breakout beyond the defined zones.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is purely for educational and informational purposes. Please do your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before taking any trading decision.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 28-Oct-2025 (Educational💼 BANK NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 28-Oct-2025
📊 Based on current price behavior, Bank Nifty closed around 58,198, forming a neutral-to-mildly bullish tone while staying within the “No Trade Zone” between 58,030 – 58,343. The market is showing a tug of war between bulls defending the 57,800–57,600 range and bears maintaining pressure below 58,683. Tomorrow’s movement will depend on the opening behavior relative to these crucial levels.
🟩 SCENARIO 1: GAP-UP OPENING (200+ Points Above 58,343)
If Bank Nifty opens with a strong gap-up above 58,343, it will likely test the Late Intraday Resistance Zone (58,614 – 58,683) early in the session.
Watch for a quick move toward 58,683, where sellers are expected to emerge initially.
Only if the index sustains above 58,683 with an hourly close, fresh buying may continue toward 58,877.
If rejection occurs at the resistance zone, expect a pullback toward the 58,343 level — this will act as an intraday pivot.
A sustained break below 58,343 can drag prices toward 58,030, signaling exhaustion in the gap-up rally.
🧠 Educational Insight:
Gap-up openings often invite profit booking as traders square off early gains. Always allow the first 30 minutes for price stabilization before entering directional trades.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ Wait for either a breakout above 58,683 or a retest near 58,343 for better risk/reward setups. Avoid chasing prices during the first candle.
🟨 SCENARIO 2: FLAT OPENING (Near 58,100 – 58,200)
A flat start within the “No Trade Zone” (58,030 – 58,343) may lead to a sideways consolidation early on.
Bulls need a breakout above 58,343 to regain short-term momentum toward 58,614 – 58,683.
Bears, on the other hand, will try to push below 58,030 to extend weakness toward 57,838.
Until the index decisively breaks out of this range, stay patient and avoid impulsive entries.
🧠 Educational Insight:
Flat openings are ideal for range traders — let the market show its hand before committing. Remember, trading within a “no trade” range can lead to false breakouts.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ Wait for a directional confirmation candle beyond 58,343 or below 58,030 with volume support before taking any directional position. Use tight stop-losses and book partial profits quickly.
🟥 SCENARIO 3: GAP-DOWN OPENING (200+ Points Below 58,030)
A gap-down below 58,030 may shift control to the bears, especially if the opening is near 57,800 or lower.
Immediate support lies at 57,838, followed by 57,633 — expect temporary pullbacks from these zones.
If the index sustains below 57,633, downside extension toward 57,124 cannot be ruled out.
For a reversal, bulls need to reclaim 58,030 on an hourly closing basis.
🧠 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs often trigger panic selling, but sharp intraday reversals are also common when supports hold. Observe candle patterns near 57,633 for potential traps.
⚙️ Plan of Action:
→ Aggressive shorts can be considered below 57,633 with a stop-loss above 57,838. For safer entries, wait for a closing confirmation under key support zones.
💡 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
Avoid trading immediately after the opening bell — wait 15–30 minutes for clarity.
Always define your risk: Do not risk more than 1–2% of your capital per trade.
Use deep ITM options for directional plays to reduce theta decay impact.
If the index trades inside the No Trade Zone, stay out — sometimes no trade is the best trade.
Scale out profits — book half at 1:1 risk-reward, trail stop for remaining position.
📘 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
Upside Resistance Zones: 58,343 → 58,614 → 58,683 → 58,877
Downside Supports: 58,030 → 57,838 → 57,633 → 57,124
No Trade Zone: 58,030 – 58,343
🔹 Expect volatility near resistance zones, while dips toward 57,838 – 57,633 may attract short-term buyers.
🔹 Trend confirmation will come only after a sustained breakout beyond the No Trade Zone range.
🔹 Focus on discipline and patience rather than chasing momentum.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to perform their own research or consult a financial advisor before taking any position.
Gold as said on Friday until 4160 not break sell on rise Gold sell on rise recommended until 4160 not break ,
Still no buy signals sell on rise will continue
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Federal Bank: Wave 4 Triangle Near Completion, Wave 5 AheadAfter a clean five-wave impulse from the 2020 low near ₹35.70 to the 2024 peak at ₹220, Federal Bank appears to be transitioning into a larger corrective phase.
Weekly Outlook
The broader structure suggests the start of a 5-3-5 zigzag correction , marked as A–B–C .
Wave A is still unfolding — only Wave 4 of A appears complete, with Wave 5 expected next to finish the first leg of the correction.
Once Wave 5 concludes, price could rebound toward the lower channel trendline to form Wave B, a counter-trend rally within the broader correction.
Thereafter, a deeper Wave C decline may follow, potentially stretching into the ₹149–₹128 zone, which aligns with the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement range of the 2020–2024 advance.
This developing structure reflects a natural pause after a long impulse cycle, with the market now transitioning into a corrective rhythm.
Daily Chart Details
Zooming in, the internal structure of Wave A shows a clear five-wave drop, with Wave (4) evolving as a contracting triangle pattern.
The MA50 has started curling toward the MA200, hinting at a possible bearish crossover — a classical confirmation of trend transition.
If price breaks below the triangle base, Wave (5) could extend toward ₹186–₹178, derived from Wave 1 projected from Wave 4’s end.
The targets will be adjusted once the final (e)-wave of the triangle is confirmed, as a minor uptick remains possible.
A sustained move above ₹206.39 would invalidate the immediate bearish setup and delay the decline.
Conclusion:
Federal Bank’s structure aligns with a typical post-impulse correction, and the interplay between Elliott Wave and moving averages provides a clear framework to track this phase.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Cummins India – Wave 4 Expanded Flat Before New ATHFrom the 2580 low , Cummins India has likely started a new impulse sequence .
Wave 1 unfolded as a Leading Diagonal , confirmed by messy overlaps and volume spikes.
A sharp Wave 2 retracement was followed by a powerful Wave 3 rally to 3900.
RSI has held a rising trendline throughout, supporting momentum.
Now, price action suggests a Wave 4 Expanded Flat :
Wave A dipped from 3900.
Wave B exceeded the high.
Wave C is projected to retrace into the 3737–3637 Fib zone , offering an entry setup.
Trade Plan:
Entry levels: 3737–3637
Stop loss (SL): Below 3419
Target (Tgt): New ATH at 4171+
RSI remains constructive — momentum intact unless the trendline breaks.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
State Bank of India – Breakout, but With CheckpointsWeekly Chart View
State Bank of India has staged a strong breakout above the consolidation zone near ₹835, with weekly RSI showing healthy momentum and no bearish divergence yet. This breakout suggests that Wave 3/C is in progress , keeping the short-term outlook bullish.
Key Observations:
Wave 2/B: The recent sideways move looks like a triangle. While triangles are unusual for Wave 2, they are common in Wave B — raising the possibility that this could be part of a larger corrective flat.
Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance sits at the Wave B high (₹875.45) , followed by the all-time high (₹912). The ATH retest will be critical in determining whether the structure continues impulsively or morphs into a flat.
Support & Invalidation: The breakout remains valid as long as price stays above ₹786.55 (Wave 2/B low). A decisive break below this level would invalidate the current bullish structure and force reevaluation.
Momentum: RSI is supportive, showing strength and no sign of divergence yet.
Summary:
The bias remains bullish in the short term , but this rally will be tested at the higher resistance levels. If the stock pushes through the ATH, we may confirm an impulsive sequence. If not, a 3-3-5 flat could be in play. Either way, this is a key checkpoint zone for SBI.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NFP – Oversold Reversal Setup with Huge Upside PotentialNFP has been grinding lower for months, printing a clean downtrend on the daily chart. But after that sharp flush below 0.035, price snapped back quickly — a classic sign of capitulation followed by smart money accumulation. The structure now looks like it’s trying to carve out a short-term bottom.
The recent bounce off that liquidity zone, combined with a tight consolidation right above support, could be the early stage of a reversal. On setups like this, traders often look for confirmation through higher lows or expanding volume before calling it a true trend change.
The 0.05 region looks like the first meaningful resistance to test if buyers can maintain momentum. With moderate leverage (3–5x) and a clearly defined invalidation level, it’s a risk-managed idea rather than pure speculation.
Let’s see if bulls can build from this base and push toward that 0.05 zone.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 27, 2025)
🔹 Momentum
• D1 Timeframe:
D1 momentum remains clustered, suggesting that a bullish reversal could occur at any time. However, since momentum has not yet separated clearly, short-term downside pressure still exists.
• H4 Timeframe:
H4 momentum is currently declining, meaning that the downtrend could continue. We need to wait for H4 momentum to reach the oversold area and observe the market’s reaction there to determine whether the current drop is complete.
• H1 Timeframe:
H1 momentum is rising slightly, indicating the potential for a short-term rebound. However, since H4 is still in a down phase, any upward movement could face resistance near the 4098 level.
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🔹 Wave Structure
• D1 Timeframe:
Price is currently moving sideways while D1 momentum remains stuck together, signaling a possible upcoming 5-day rally once D1 momentum turns upward into the overbought zone.
o If price fails to break above wave (3) yellow, this move is likely a wave (4) yellow correction.
o Conversely, if price breaks above wave (3) yellow, the current correction may only be a minor wave within wave (3) yellow.
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🔹 Two Main Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario (WXY blue completed):
If the WXY blue corrective structure has finished, the market may start a new wave (5) purple uptrend.
In this case:
• As H4 momentum moves into the oversold area, price should not fall deeply toward 4004.
• A sharp and decisive rebound from that zone would confirm this bullish scenario.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario (Correction still in progress):
If the correction is not yet complete, the H4 decline could continue:
• Price might break below 4004, or at least retest it.
• If that happens, the downtrend could extend toward 3953 or 3927.
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🔹 H1 Structure – Triangle Formation
On the H1 chart, price is consolidating within a contracting triangle, suggesting sideways accumulation with two possible interpretations:
• Scenario 1:
The triangle represents wave X of the WXY black structure.
When H4 momentum reaches the oversold zone and price holds above 4004, we may see an impulsive breakout toward the previous high at 4381, completing a flat correction of wave (4) yellow (D1).
• Scenario 2:
The triangle is wave (4) of wave Y blue, meaning that once completed, price could decline further toward 3953 or 3927 to finish wave Y. After that, a more stable upward wave is expected.
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🔹 Trading Plan
Currently, price remains inside the triangle pattern:
• For experienced traders:
Wait for a breakout of either side of the triangle for direct entry.
• For more conservative traders:
Wait for Buy opportunities near strong support below.
🎯 Buy Zone: 3930 – 3927
🛑 Stop Loss: 3917
🎯 TP1: 4004
👉 If price breaks above 4149, we can look for Buy entries upon breakout, expecting an extended upward move toward 4268 or higher.
GOLD RETRACEMENT BEFORE NEXT LEG DOWN GOLD RETRACEMENT BEFORE NEXT LEG DOWN
Body: 🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Oct 27, 2025
Main timeframe: M30 – H1
Strategy: SMC + Fibo Zone Reaction + OB/Trendline Confluence
1️⃣ MARKET CONTEXT
Price is consolidating after a sharp drop from 4186 → 4058.
Currently, price is trading inside a support trendline + OB BUY ZONE (4058 - 4061), showing signs of demand reaction.
Above, multiple supply zones are stacked (4093 - 4095 / 4114 - 4116 / 4135 - 4137), creating strong short-term resistance layers.
Structure remains bearish, but a corrective leg toward premium zones is likely before any continuation down.
2️⃣ BIAS
Short-term bullish retracement, then sell continuation from premium supply zones.
3️⃣ SCENARIO 1 — BUY SETUP (Short-term retracement)
Entry: 4061 – 4059
SL: 4055
TP1: 4093
TP2: 4114
RR: ≈ 1:4
Note: Only buy if price forms bullish BOS / engulf on M15 from this OB zone (confluence with Fibo 0.786).
4️⃣ SCENARIO 2 — SELL SETUP (Main setup)
Option 1:
Entry: 4093 – 4095
SL: 4100
TP1: 4061
TP2: 4002
RR: ≈ 1:5
Option 2:
Entry: 4114 – 4116
SL: 4120
TP1: 4061
TP2: 4002
RR: ≈ 1:5
If price reaches 4135 – 4137, this is an extreme premium zone (reactive Fibo + previous double top). Expect strong reaction and liquidity sweep before a larger sell-off.
5️⃣ KEY LEVELS
OB BUY ZONE: 4058 – 4061
SELL ZONE 1: 4093 – 4095
SELL ZONE 2: 4114 – 4116
SELL ZONE 3: 4135 – 4137
Liquidity Target: 4002 – 3930
6️⃣ SUMMARY
Wait for reaction at 4058 zone for short-term buy retracement.
Main idea: Sell from premium → Target liquidity below 4000.
Gold 1H – Slight Correction or Bullish Reaccumulation Ahead?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Khang_Trader
📈 Market Context
Gold is currently trading around $4,110/oz as traders digest a mix of macroeconomic signals and shifting expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve’s next moves.
The market focus today centers on U.S. housing-starts and jobless-claims data.
Strong data → could trigger short-term selling pressure on gold.
Weak data → may fuel safe-haven demand, extending the current rally.
Treasury yields remain steady, while dovish rate-cut bets for early 2026 are gaining traction.
Expect liquidity sweeps around session highs/lows before a clear directional move, as institutional traders fine-tune their positioning within the week’s range.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Perspective)
The overall market structure remains bullish, with recent BOS confirming continuation after a prior accumulation phase.
A minor Change of Character (ChoCH) has appeared, signaling a short-term correction — likely a liquidity grab before the next bullish leg.
Liquidity below $4,090-$4,100 has been swept, bringing price into the discount zone near $4,050-$4,080.
A potential re-accumulation zone is forming around that area — buyers should wait for M15/M30 BOS or ChoCH confirmation before entering.
Upside liquidity targets align with the $4,350-$4,380 region — a premium supply zone where sellers may re-enter.
🔴 Sell Setup
Entry: 4378 – 4376
Stop-Loss: 4386
Take-Profit Targets:
1️⃣ 4325
2️⃣ 4260
📌 Only consider this setup if price reaches the supply zone and shows bearish confirmation (BOS/ChoCH on lower timeframe).
🟢 Buy Setup
Entry: 4050 – 4080
Stop-Loss: 4045
Take-Profit Targets:
1️⃣ 4150
2️⃣ 4300
3️⃣ 4350 +
📌 Look for BOS or ChoCH confirmation on M15 before execution. Avoid entering right before U.S. data releases.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
Avoid trading during high-impact news — spreads can widen and cause slippage.
Scale in/out gradually; take partial profits at liquidity zones.
Once structure confirms continuation, trail stop-loss to lock profits.
A clean break below $4,000 would invalidate the bullish continuation scenario — re-evaluate bias if that happens.
Maintain a clear Risk : Reward ratio (ideally 1 : 3 or better).
✅ Summary
Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above $4,000.
Buy zone: 4050-4080 (watch for confirmation).
Sell zone: 4376-4378 (look for reaction and BOS down).
Key invalidation: Below 4000.
Watch U.S. data this session — it will likely dictate short-term volatility and direction.
FOLLOW RYAN FOR MORE USEFUL TRADING IDEAS!!!
City Union Bank – Tight Stop, Wave 3 Setup in PlayDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Elliott Wave Setup
City Union Bank has completed a W–X–Y double zigzag correction into 193.50, with Wave Y equaling Wave W — a classic case of corrective symmetry. From that low:
Wave 1 unfolded as a leading diagonal.
Wave 2 corrected as a running flat, showing underlying strength.
Price is now attempting a breakout, suggesting Wave 3 is underway.
The stop-loss / invalidation is clear: 205.41 , the Wave 2 low. This creates a textbook tight-risk entry point.
Why Wave 3 Matters
Wave 3 in Elliott theory is often the strongest, most extended move. Early signs support this potential:
RSI is holding above mid-50s without new lows → momentum remains bullish.
Volume has dried up during correction but is starting to expand with breakout attempts.
Target zone : 224.6 → 236.5 (1.0–1.618 Fib extensions of Wave 1).
Immediate challenge lies at the 212–214 resistance cluster. A clean break above confirms acceleration.
Trading the Setup
Tight stop: below 205.41.
Potential reward: 20–25 points higher.
Risk/Reward: exactly what traders look for in a Wave 3 entry.
For readers, the bigger lesson is how Elliott Wave provides natural stop placement. By respecting Wave 2 lows, traders can define risk precisely and be positioned for the explosive Wave 3 rally.
The Takeaway
This is not just a bullish call on City Union Bank. It’s a case study in EW discipline:
Use Wave 2 lows as invalidation.
Look for Wave 3 to deliver the reward.
Enter with conviction only when structure + momentum align.
Wave‑C Done? Glenmark Primed for Trend ResumptionGlenmark Pharma (NSE: GLENMARK) – Professional Chart Analysis, Price Path & Trading Advice (educational)
Market structure and thesis
The chart shows a completed impulsive advance into Wave 3, followed by a corrective a‑b‑c decline progressing into the Wave‑4 completion zone 1,698–1,921 that overlaps with a deeper Wave‑C completion band 1,728–1,774 . This clustering of supports, plus a prior change‑of‑character (ChoCH) earlier in the cycle, suggests the correction is maturing and a new advancing leg is probable if price holds above the invalidation.
Candles in the box are showing decelerating downside and overlapping ranges, consistent with late‑stage corrective behavior; a higher low inside 1,74x–1,82x followed by a break of recent swing supply would confirm a trend inflection toward Wave‑5 projections.
Key levels to watch
Demand zones: 1,728–1,774 (C completion), 1,698–1,921 (Wave‑4 box).
Trigger levels: Reclaim and daily close above 1,880–1,900 improves odds; a stronger confirmation is a close above 1,940–1,960 (box top/supply shelf).
Invalidation: Day close below ~1,691 cancels the bullish swing setup and opens risk to lower retracements.
Price movement prediction
Base case (probability favored): Stabilization above 1,74x–1,82x → break and hold above 1,900 → push to Short‑Term T1 ≈ 2,053 , then Short‑Term T2 ≈ 2,187 as supply pockets get cleared. Sustained momentum and broader sector tailwinds can extend toward a mid‑term Wave‑5 objective 2,345–2,410 .
Alternate (bearish): Failure to hold 1,74x–1,80x with a daily close below 1,691 shifts bias to distribution; expect a slide to prior swing supports before a fresh base is attempted. In this path, avoid bottom‑fishing and wait for a new ChoCH and higher‑low structure.
Trade plan ideas
Accumulate in parts: Stagger entries 1,74x–1,82x with a core risk defined by a day‑close stop below 1,691.
Confirmation add: Add on daily close above 1,900–1,920 and again above 1,940–1,960 if volume expands.
Profit taking: Scale 30–40% near 2,05x, another tranche around 2,18x; trail the remainder with a daily/weekly higher‑low stop for a potential run toward 2,35x–2,41x.
Logic and validation checklist
Confluence: Wave‑4 price box overlaps Wave‑C termination band → strong probability of correction end if defended.
Structure: Need a higher low plus break/retest of 1,90x–1,96x to confirm demand dominance.
Momentum: Look for improving RSI/MACD and rising green‑day volume on pushes through supply.
Disclaimer: This post is for education only and not investment advice or a solicitation to buy/sell securities; I am not a SEBI registered analyst .
Is the SPX500 Correction OVER ?Analysed 1Hr chart:
SPX 500 is correcting from around FEB 25th
It has has been correcting in complex ABC pattern
Within last Leg that is C, it has been doing W-X-Y correction.
Will it have one more Z leg ?
YES : If it retraces/does not cross previous high
When this structure will be invalid ?
When a hourly close is below 5096.
What is the road map if the current structure holds good ?
Wave-3 ~6000
Wave-4 Correction , back to 5500 ??
Wave-5 ~6200
Assumption: It follows plotted channel
Times/Shape of pattern will get extended if time correction follows.
Short Term SPX to hit a target of ~6800 post current correctionSPX is in a small time correction phase.
Is the correction ended ?
May not be, for it to prove correction has ended, price should show break out above current short term range.,
What are possibilities ?
a) Price does a break out of current range and flows blue line to ~6800 target
b) Price carries out ABC (RED ABC as marked) and bottom out around ~6200, then rise in impulse to hit a target of ~6800.
When ?
The view is time agnostic, so it may take weeks to months time.
[SeoVereign] ETHEREUM BEARISH Outlook – October 27, 2025Hello everyone,
Currently, Ethereum has re-entered a major resistance zone,
and there is a high probability of a short-term corrective movement emerging.
First Basis — FIBONACCI 1.13~1.272
Ethereum is positioned within the 1.13–1.272 range relative to the upper structure.
This zone is generally recognized as an overheated area of an upward wave,
where selling pressure tends to emerge following the formation of a short-term high.
Second Basis — WAVE.M = WAVE.N × 1.618
The ongoing M-wave shows an extension ratio of approximately 1.618 relative to the previous N-wave.
This represents an overextended structure in wave theory,
which is typically interpreted as a sign of trend exhaustion and potential reversal.
Accordingly, the average target price is set around 3,864 USDT.
This perspective is based on data as of October 26,
and further updates will be provided to refine this outlook as the market develops.
Thank you for reading.
[SeoVereign] SOLANA BEARISH Outlook – October 27, 2025Hello everyone,
This idea presents a bearish (short) outlook on Solana as of October 27.
Currently, Solana has entered a short-term overheated zone,
and we are beginning to observe a gradual inflow of selling pressure.
First Basis — (DEEP) GARTLEY Pattern
Solana is currently located within the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) of a (DEEP) GARTLEY pattern.
This zone is typically recognized as the terminal phase of a short-term upward wave,
where a trend reversal to the downside often occurs due to overbought conditions.
Second Basis — WAVE.M = WAVE.N × 0.786
The ongoing M-wave has formed approximately 78.6% of the length of the previous N-wave,
which represents a classic reversal structure commonly observed within the GARTLEY pattern.
Therefore, entering a short position within this range is considered technically valid.
Accordingly, the average target price is set around 184.97 USDT.
Depending on future price developments,
I will provide further updates on refinements to this idea and position management strategies.
Thank you for reading.
[SeoVereign] RIPPLE BEARISH Outlook – October 27, 2025Hello everyone,
This idea presents a bearish (short) outlook on Ripple (XRP).
Currently, Ripple has reached a major resistance zone following a short-term upward movement,
and from a technical standpoint, a corrective phase is likely to occur.
Basis — BEARISH BAT PATTERN (Alternate Bat Pattern)
Structurally, Ripple has entered the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) of a Bearish BAT Pattern.
This zone coincides with a price range that has historically shown strong selling pressure,
and typically, a downward reversal tends to occur once the pattern is completed.
Accordingly, the average target price is set around 2.3 USDT.
This perspective is based on data as of October 27,
and further detailed updates will be provided depending on future price developments.
Thank you for reading.






















