Wave Analysis
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – October 19, 2025
1️⃣ Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
Daily momentum is showing early signs of bearish reversal.
As mentioned in the previous plan, a daily reversal could occur on Friday or Monday.
The strong bearish D1 candle on Friday reinforces this signal.
If another bearish D1 candle appears on Monday, it will confirm that the main trend for the coming week is likely to turn bearish, pushing D1 momentum toward the oversold zone.
H4 Timeframe:
H4 momentum is preparing to turn upward, suggesting that the initial downside movement on Monday may not be too strong.
A short-term recovery bounce is likely.
However, if this bounce fails to break the previous high and momentum reverses downward again, it will confirm the start of a more stable downtrend.
H1 Timeframe:
H1 momentum is currently in the overbought zone, which indicates a short-term pullback may occur early in Monday’s session.
2️⃣ Wave Structure
D1 Structure:
We can see a strong bearish candle — the largest since the beginning of the uptrend, signaling the first warning of exhaustion.
Together with the D1 momentum reversal, this suggests the yellow wave 3 is likely coming to an end, and yellow wave 4 is starting to form.
In terms of time, wave 4 could take more than a week to complete.
H4 Structure:
A sharp decline has pushed the price back inside the ascending channel, indicating that the extended wave 5 may have already ended.
If confirmed, the market could continue down toward at least the previous blue wave 4 area.
However, because H4 momentum is preparing to rise, a short-term upward correction may occur early Monday.
If this upward move is slow and overlapping, fails to break the previous high, and H4 momentum turns down again, that will confirm the completion of blue wave 5.
H1 Structure:
On the H1 chart, the blue wave 5 from H4 is detailed into five smaller red waves.
The recent steep and fast decline suggests a five-wave bearish pattern, possibly wave 1 of a new downtrend or wave A of a corrective move.
There is also a possibility of a Flat correction, where wave C extends to 1.618 × wave A (as discussed in the October 17 plan).
Overall, the market may present a short-term recovery bounce, providing a buy opportunity early in the week.
3️⃣ Trading Plan
Buy Zone: 4153 – 4151
Stop Loss: 4141
Take Profit: 4193
Alternative Scenario:
If price fails to break below 4193, monitor H1 momentum as it enters the oversold zone and turns upward — that will be a potential buy signal.
In that case, key support areas to watch include: 4243 – 4226 – 4207 – 4194.
Trading Suggestions for BANKNIFTY (28 OCT 2025 PUT 57800)Entry
Long position at 536 INR, up to 3 times.
Stop Loss
Set at 534 INR for each entry.
Profit Targets
1st Target: 548.85 INR
2nd Target: 560 INR
3rd Target: 584 INR
Trend Confirmation
Use the 22-period EMA (around 489.00 INR) to trail profits.
Risk Management
Adjust position size considering lower volatility (-20.25%).
Exit
Partial profit-taking at 1st and 2nd targets; full exit or trailing stop at 3rd target.
Trading Suggestions for BANKNIFTY (28 OCT 2025 CALL 57700)Entry
Long position at 532 INR.
Stop Loss
Set at 529 for max 3 times INR.
Profit Targets
1st Target: 555.00 INR
2nd Target: 580.35 INR
Follow the 22-period EMA (around 532.00 INR) for trend direction.
Risk Management
Adjust position size due to high volatility (+142.25%).
Exit
Partial profit-taking at 1st and 2nd targets; full exit or trailing stop at 3rd target.
“Nifty 50 Intraday Key Levels | Buy & Sell Zones 20th Oct 2025”“ Want to learn more? Like this post and follow me!”
23133 🔴 Above 10m closing Shot Cover Level
Strong resistance — short covering likely above this.
25933 🟠 Below 10m hold PE By level /
Above 10m hold CE by level
25770 🟣 Above 10M hold positive trade view
Below 10M hold negative trade view
Sentiment deciding level — crucial for trend direction.
25620 ⚫ Above Opening S1 10m Hold CE By level
Bullish entry level — CE hold area.
25520 🟠 Below Opening R1 10m Hold PE By level
Below 10m hold PE By Risky Zone Weak zone — PE may strengthen below this.
25138 🟢 Above 10M hold CE By Safe Zone level
Safe bullish zone — CE can be held confidently above.
25120 🔵 BELOW 10M hold UNWINDING level
Breakdown zone — unwinding or heavy selling possible below.
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Intraday Trading PlanObservation
Gold is currently trading near 4263, showing signs of consolidation after a strong upward movement. The structure suggests a potential bullish continuation if support holds, followed by a rejection zone above.
🟢 Buy Zones
Buy 1 (90% Confirmed): Around 4260–4255
→ Early entry for intraday traders with confirmation from candle reversal.
Buy 2 (100% Confirmed): Break and close above 4380–4384
→ Add positions only if candle closes above this level.
→ Stop Loss: 2 points below entry max 3 time sl hit buy algo
🔴 Sell Zone
Sell Target / Rejection Area: 4451.80 – 4417.82
This is a strong supply and rejection zone (marked with red and black lines).
If price reaches here, expect profit booking or reversal.
🎯 Targets
Short-term Target: 4380
Major Target: 4450
SL for Buy: Below 4250
SL for Sell: Above 4460
⚠️ Note
The black line (4417) acts both as a target and rejection level — strong resistance zone.
Trade with strict stop loss and risk management.
Educational purpose only — not financial advice.
BANKNIFTY – Professional Trading Plan for 20-Oct-2025 BANK NIFTY – Professional Trading Plan for 20-Oct-2025 (educational)
Market context and key levels
Reference from your map: Opening Resistance 57,877; Opening Support 57,539; Opening Support box 57,291–57,334; Last Intraday Support 57,022; Last Intraday Resistance 58,118. A wide No‑Trading Zone is marked around 57,600–57,820 where chop risk is high. Bias is constructive above 57,539 with momentum only on acceptance beyond 57,877; sustained loss of 57,334/57,291 hands control to bears. 🚦
GAP UP OPEN (≥ +200 pts)
Educational logic: Strong positive gaps can trap late shorts; wait for acceptance above resistance (time + volume) instead of chasing the first spike. 📈
If open prints around 57,820–57,900 and first 5–15 minutes hold above VWAP/first high, consider a momentum long toward 58,000–58,050; scale partials, then trail for 58,118 (last intraday resistance). Stop below the retest low near 57,780–57,800.
If open jumps near 58,050–58,120, avoid impulsive buys into resistance. Prefer a pullback to 57,930–57,880; go long only on a higher low and reclaim of 57,980 with stop under pullback low; targets 58,050 → 58,118 and extension if breadth improves.
Failure short: Rejection wicks from 58,050–58,118 followed by a 15‑min close back below 57,900. Tactical short to 57,877 → 57,780 → 57,700; cover if 57,980 is reclaimed decisively.
FLAT OPEN (±0–75 pts)
Educational logic: Neutral opens favor range trades around nearby pivots until a breakout confirms with acceptance; avoid chop inside the No‑Trading Zone . ⚖️
Avoid initiating inside 57,600–57,820 unless taking planned scalps; wait for a break and retest.
Breakout long: A 15‑min close and successful retest above 57,877 opens 57,950–58,000; scale out into 58,050–58,118 if momentum broadens.
Breakdown short: Acceptance below 57,539 on retest targets 57,420–57,360; if sellers keep control, extend to the 57,334–57,291 support box. Trail using lower‑highs.
GAP DOWN OPEN (≤ −200 pts)
Educational logic: Negative gaps near support can either trend down (“gap‑and‑go”) or reverse sharply if buyers defend key areas. 📉
Gap‑and‑go short: Open around 57,360–57,320 and failure to reclaim 57,539 on retest → short to 57,334–57,291; take partials in the box; extend to 57,150–57,050 and 57,022 if acceptance stays below 57,291.
Reversal long: Strong rejection from 57,291–57,334 (long lower wicks/engulfing) → long back to 57,480 then 57,539; move stop to breakeven once 57,539 holds.
Bias flip: If price re-enters above 57,700 and sustains, shift to long setups for 57,820 → 57,877; avoid fighting a reclaim day.
Execution checklist
Predefine scenario, trigger (acceptance/retest), invalidation (where the idea is wrong), and first target.
Key decision zones: 57,291–57,334 buyers’ box, 57,539 pivot support, 57,877 resistance, 58,118 major resistance. Trade reactions to zones, not exact ticks.
Use structure-based stops beyond the far side of each zone; scale out at the next pivot and trail to protect gains.
Options risk management tips
Define risk : Prefer debit spreads near decision areas (bull call above 57,877; bear put below 57,539/57,334) to cap tail risk on volatile gap opens.
Size by volatility: Wider expected range → smaller size; don’t oversize because premiums “look cheap.”
Liquidity first: Use near‑ATM, current‑week Bank Nifty options with tight spreads; avoid illiquid deep OTMs that decay quickly in chop.
Confirm before entry: Wait for 5–15 min acceptance or a clean retest hold; be cautious in the first 1–3 minutes unless trading a planned opening drive.
Manage winners: Take partials at first pivot; if IV expands, consider converting naked calls/puts into verticals to lock risk while keeping upside.
Avoid overlap: If structure flips (e.g., reclaim above 57,700 after breakdown), exit losers decisively rather than hedging passively.
Summary
Core map: 57,291–57,334 is buyer defense; 57,539 is the intraday pivot; 57,877 is the gate to upside continuation; 58,118 is the upper resistance. Upside opens on acceptance above 57,877 toward 58,000–58,118, while downside strengthens below 57,539/57,334 toward 57,150–57,022. 🙂
Conclusion
Prepare three plays: continuation long above 57,877, responsive range trades around 57,539/57,700 only with clear edges, and momentum shorts below 57,539/57,334 aiming 57,150–57,022. Execute with strict invalidations, scale responsibly, and adapt quickly if pivots are reclaimed. 📊
Disclaimer: This is an educational plan, not investment advice or a trade recommendation; I am not a SEBI registered analyst .
NIFTY – Professional Trading Plan for 20-Oct-2025 (educationaMarket context and key levels
Reference from your map: Opening/last intraday resistance 25,815; “No‑Trade Zone” 25,698–25,744; Opening Support Zone 25,581–25,597; Last Intraday Support 25,503; Profit‑booking zone near 26,007. The plan focuses on trading acceptance or rejection around these zones and avoiding low‑edge chop inside the No‑Trade box. 🚦
GAP UP OPEN (≥ +100 pts)
Educational logic: Positive gaps can trap shorts; the edge is to wait for acceptance above resistance, not the first spike. 📈
If open prints around 25,780–25,820 and first 5–15 minutes hold above VWAP/first high, consider a momentum long toward 25,860–25,900; partials there, then trail for 25,950–26,007 (profit‑booking zone). Stop below the retest low of 25,770–25,780.
If open jumps near 25,950–26,007, avoid chasing into supply. Prefer a pullback to 25,880–25,840; go long only on a higher low and reclaim of 25,900 with a tight stop under pullback low; targets 25,960 → 26,007.
Failure short: Rejection wicks from 25,880–26,007 followed by a 15‑min close back below 25,820. Take a tactical short to 25,744 then 25,698; cover if 25,860 is reclaimed decisively.
FLAT OPEN (±0–50 pts)
Educational logic: Neutral opens favor range trades around nearby pivots until a breakout with time + volume occurs. ⚖️
Avoid initiating inside the No‑Trade Zone 25,698–25,744 unless playing quick scalps; wait for a break and retest.
Breakout long: A 15‑min close and successful retest above 25,744 opens 25,780 → 25,815; if breadth strengthens, extend toward 25,860–25,900.
Breakdown short: Acceptance below 25,698 on retest targets 25,640–25,600, then 25,597–25,581 (Opening Support). Consider partials into 25,581 and trail for 25,503 if momentum persists.
GAP DOWN OPEN (≤ −100 pts)
Educational logic: Negative gaps near support can either trend down (“gap‑and‑go”) or reverse sharply if buyers defend key zones. 📉
Gap‑and‑go short: Open around 25,610–25,590 and failure to reclaim 25,597–25,581 on retest → short to 25,540–25,520; extend to 25,503 if sellers maintain control. Book partials into 25,503 and trail with lower highs.
Reversal long: Strong rejection from 25,503 with bullish engulfing/hammer and pickup in volume → long back to 25,560 then 25,597–25,598; shift stop to breakeven once 25,597 holds.
Bias flip: If price re-enters above 25,698 and sustains, abandon shorts and prepare for rotation through 25,744→25,780; don’t fight a reclaim day.
Execution checklist
Predefine the scenario, trigger (acceptance or clean retest), invalidation (where the idea is wrong), and first target.
Respect the No‑Trade Zone 25,698–25,744 to reduce whipsaw risk; act only after a clear break and retest.
Use structure-based stops beyond the far side of the zone; scale out at each next pivot and trail to protect gains.
Options risk management tips
Define risk : Prefer debit spreads near decision areas (bull call above 25,744/25,815; bear put below 25,698/25,581) to cap tail risk.
Size by volatility: Wider expected range → smaller position; avoid oversizing because premiums “look cheap.”
Liquidity first: Use near‑ATM, current‑week Nifty options with tight spreads; avoid illiquid deep OTMs that decay fast in chop.
Confirm before entry: Wait for 5–15 min acceptance or a clean retest hold; be cautious in the first 1–3 minutes unless trading a planned opening drive.
Manage winners: Take partials at the next pivot and trail; if IV expands, consider converting naked options into verticals to lock risk while keeping upside.
Avoid overlap: If structure flips (e.g., reclaim above 25,698 after a breakdown), exit losers decisively rather than hedging passively.
Summary
Core map: 25,698–25,744 is a No‑Trade chop box; 25,815 is resistance to beat; 25,581–25,597 is opening support; 25,503 is last intraday support; 26,007 is profit‑booking supply. Upside unlocks on acceptance above 25,744/25,815 toward 25,900–26,007, while downside strengthens below 25,698/25,581 toward 25,503. 🙂
Conclusion
Prepare three plays: continuation long above 25,744/25,815, responsive range trades around 25,698–25,744 only with clear edges, and momentum shorts below 25,698/25,581 aiming 25,503. Execute with strict invalidations, scale responsibly, and adapt quickly if pivots are reclaimed. 📊
Disclaimer: This is an educational plan, not investment advice or a trade recommendation; I am not a SEBI registered analyst .
BANKNIFTY : Professional Trading Plan for 17-Oct-2025BANK NIFTY – Professional Trading Plan for 17-Oct-2025 (educational)
Market context and key levels
Reference map from your chart: Opening Support/Resistance 57,535; Opening Support 57,257; Last Intraday Support 57,175; Buyer’s Support box 57,023–56,957; Overhead resistance 57,887. Trend remains constructive while above 57,175–57,257; momentum continuation requires acceptance over 57,535. 🚦
GAP UP OPEN (≥ +200 pts)
Educational logic: Positive gaps can trap late shorts; the edge is to wait for acceptance above resistance (time + volume) before continuation. 📈
If open lands around or just above 57,535 and first 5–15 minutes hold above VWAP/first high, consider a momentum long toward 57,650–57,720; partial profit there, then trail for 57,820–57,887. Stop below the retest low of 57,500 zone.
If open jumps near 57,800–57,880, avoid chasing into resistance. Prefer a pullback to 57,600–57,535; go long only on a higher low and reclaim of 57,650 with stop below the pullback low; targets 57,820 → 57,887.
Failure short: Rejection wicks from 57,800–57,887 followed by a 15‑min close back below 57,600. Tactical short to 57,535 → 57,400–57,257. Exit if 57,650 is reclaimed decisively.
FLAT OPEN (±0–75 pts)
Educational logic: Neutral opens favor range trades between nearby pivots until a breakout confirms with acceptance. ⚖️
Range buy: Look for reversal signals near 57,300–57,257 with risk below session swing; targets 57,450 → 57,535. Tight risk because mid-range chop is common.
Breakout buy: A 15‑min close and successful retest above 57,535 opens 57,650–57,720; scale out into 57,820–57,887 if momentum broadens.
Breakdown short: Acceptance below 57,257 on retest aims 57,200–57,175; if sellers maintain control, extend to 57,080 then the Buyer’s box 57,023–56,957. Trail using lower‑highs.
GAP DOWN OPEN (≤ −200 pts)
Educational logic: Negative gaps near support can either trend down (“gap‑and‑go”) or reverse sharply if buyers defend key zones. 📉
Gap‑and‑go short: Open around 57,150–57,120 and failure to reclaim 57,175 on retest → short to 57,080 then 57,023–56,957. Book partials into the box; hold a runner only if acceptance stays below 57,023.
Reversal long: Strong rejection from 57,023–56,957 (long lower wicks/engulfing) → long back to 57,175 then 57,257; move stop to breakeven once 57,175 holds.
Bias flip: If price re-enters above 57,257 and sustains, shift to long setups for 57,450 → 57,535. Avoid fighting a reclaim day.
Execution checklist
Predefine scenario, trigger (acceptance/retest), invalidation (where idea is wrong), and first target.
Key decision zones: 57,175–57,257 supports; 57,535 resistance/pivot; 57,887 resistance. Trade reactions to zones, not exact ticks.
Use structure-based stops beyond the opposite side of the zone; scale out at the next pivot and trail to protect gains.
Options risk management tips
Define risk : Prefer debit spreads near zones (bull call above 57,535; bear put below 57,257) to cap tail risk on volatile gap opens.
Size by volatility: Wider expected range → smaller size; avoid oversizing because premiums “look cheap.”
Liquidity first: Stick to near‑ATM, current‑week Bank Nifty options with tight spreads; avoid illiquid deep OTMs that decay fast if rangebound.
Enter on confirmation: Use 5–15 min acceptance or clean retest holds; avoid impulsive trades in the first 1–3 minutes unless pre‑planned opening drive.
Manage winners: Take partials at first pivot; if IV expands, consider converting naked calls/puts to verticals to lock risk while keeping upside.
Event awareness: Watch for midday global cues or bank stock news; if structure flips (e.g., reclaim of 57,257 after breakdown), exit losers decisively rather than hedging passively.
Summary
Core map: 57,175–57,257 is buyer defense; 57,535 is the gate to upside continuation; 57,887 is upper resistance. Upside opens on acceptance above 57,535 toward 57,720–57,887, while downside strengthens below 57,257 toward 57,175 and 57,023–56,957. 🙂
Conclusion
Prepare three plays: continuation long above 57,535, responsive range trades around 57,257/57,535, and momentum shorts below 57,257 with extensions to 57,023–56,957. Execute with clear invalidations, scale responsibly, and adapt quickly if pivots are reclaimed. 📊
Disclaimer: This is an educational plan, not investment advice or a trade recommendation; I am not a SEBI registered analyst .
Part 9 Tradding Master ClassOption Greeks: Measuring Sensitivity
The Option Greeks are metrics that measure how different factors affect an option’s price. The key Greeks include:
Delta: Change in option price relative to the underlying asset’s price.
Theta: Time decay effect.
Vega: Sensitivity to volatility changes.
Gamma: Rate of change of Delta.
Rho: Sensitivity to interest rates.
These Greeks help traders understand risk exposure and manage positions scientifically. For example, a trader might use Theta to manage time decay in short-term options or Vega to hedge against volatility spikes. Mastery of Greeks is crucial for professional option traders who aim for consistency and precision.
Part 8 Trading Master ClassLeverage and Speculation in Option Trading
Options provide leverage, allowing traders to control large positions with small investments. For instance, buying a single call option can represent ownership of 100 shares, magnifying both profits and losses. Speculators use this leverage to capitalize on short-term market moves. However, leverage also increases risk—if the market moves against the position, the entire premium can be lost. Successful speculators use strict risk management, combining analysis of volatility, momentum, and time decay to optimize entries and exits. While leverage makes options attractive, disciplined control is vital to avoid quick capital depletion.
Part 7 Trading Master ClassOption Greeks: Measuring Sensitivity
The Option Greeks are metrics that measure how different factors affect an option’s price. The key Greeks include:
Delta: Change in option price relative to the underlying asset’s price.
Theta: Time decay effect.
Vega: Sensitivity to volatility changes.
Gamma: Rate of change of Delta.
Rho: Sensitivity to interest rates.
These Greeks help traders understand risk exposure and manage positions scientifically. For example, a trader might use Theta to manage time decay in short-term options or Vega to hedge against volatility spikes. Mastery of Greeks is crucial for professional option traders who aim for consistency and precision.
Part 4 Learn Institutional TradingOption Premium and Its Components
The premium is the price paid to acquire an option contract. It consists of two parts: intrinsic value and time value. Intrinsic value reflects the actual profitability if exercised immediately, while time value represents the potential for further profit before expiry. Several factors influence premiums—especially implied volatility (IV), time to expiration, and interest rates. Higher volatility generally increases premiums since potential price swings make the option more valuable. Traders analyze these components using models like Black-Scholes to determine fair value. Understanding premium behavior helps in selecting the right option strategy, whether to buy undervalued options or sell overvalued ones.
COCHINSHIP 1 Month Time Frame 📊 Current Stock Price
Current Price: ₹1,792.00
Daily Range: ₹1,773.00 – ₹1,824.00
52-Week Range: ₹1,180.20 – ₹2,545.00
Market Cap: ₹47,144 Crore
P/E Ratio (TTM): 56.07
Book Value: ₹213
Dividend Yield: 0.54%
ROE: 15.8%
ROCE: 20.4%
Face Value: ₹5.00
VWAP: ₹1,792.00
Volume: 1,101,864 shares traded today
📈 Support and Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: ₹1,773.00
First Resistance: ₹1,824.00
Breakout Resistance: ₹1,844.00 – A breakout above this level could target ₹1,918, ₹1,992, and potentially ₹2,097
DATAMATICS 1 Month Time Frame 📉 1-Month Performance Summary
Current Price: ₹844.55
1-Month Return: Approximately -7.16% to -8.32%
52-Week Range: ₹515.05 – ₹1,120
Market Capitalization: ₹4,991 crore
P/E Ratio (TTM): 23.56
Dividend Yield: 0.59%
Beta: 1.15 (indicating moderate volatility)
📈 Longer-Term Performance
3-Month Return: Approximately +10.7% to +9.58%
1-Year Return: Approximately +41.12% to +42.79%
3-Year Return: Approximately +172.08%
5-Year Return: Approximately +1,065.7% to +1,084.5%
IDBI 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Daily Support & Resistance Levels
Support Levels:
S1: ₹91.43
S2: ₹90.93
S3: ₹90.14
S4: ₹88.93
Resistance Levels:
R1: ₹92.14
R2: ₹92.93
R3: ₹94.14
R4: ₹94.93
These levels are derived from standard pivot point calculations and serve as potential zones where price action may encounter support or resistance.
🔍 Current Price Action
Last Traded Price: ₹91.72 (as of October 17, 2025)
Recent Trend: The stock has been trading below the pivot point of ₹92.80, indicating a bearish short-term trend.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support: ₹91.69 (S1)
Immediate Resistance: ₹94.25 (R1)
Breakout Point: A move above ₹94.25 could signal a potential reversal to the upside.
Part 3 learn Institutional Trading The Role of the Strike Price and Expiry Date
Each option contract includes a strike price and an expiry date. The strike price determines the level at which the asset can be bought or sold, while the expiry date sets the time limit. The relationship between the strike price and the market price determines whether an option is in-the-money (ITM), at-the-money (ATM), or out-of-the-money (OTM). As expiry nears, the option’s time value decreases—a concept known as time decay. Short-term options lose value faster, while long-dated ones retain time premium longer. Successful option traders always monitor how close prices are to the strike and how much time remains to expiry before making or exiting trades.
XAG/USD Technical Analysis (as of October 19, 2025)Current Market Snapshot
The spot price of silver (XAG/USD) stands at 51.91430 USD per ounce, reflecting a sharp decline of -2.3663 (-4.36%) from the previous close of 54.24 in daily time frame. This pullback follows recent record highs near 54.48, driven by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns, but now facing profit-taking and a stronger USD.
Support and Resistance Levels
Immediate support is at 51.44, with a critical level at 50.00 if breached.
Resistance looms at 54 to 57.02.
Chart for your reference
~~ Disclaimer ~~
Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors.
Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading.
This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
BTC AT MAJOR RESISTANCEBTC is consolidating between 107500 and 106400 . something is really cooking . As we could see BTC is consolidating below 50ema , which indicates a bearish trend . But we could also see a probability of bullishness .
Based on our previous entries we are still holding the levels in XRP & ETH .
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – October 18, 2025Today, as of October 19, I would like to share my bearish (short) outlook on Bitcoin.
First Basis — IR BAT (Invalid Reaction BAT)
The core of this analysis lies in the IR BAT pattern, a concept I independently devised.
It is an adaptation of the traditional BAT pattern,
based on the principle that if no valid rebound occurs within a certain period after entering the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone),
the pattern is considered invalid,
and the price tends to move strongly beyond the PRZ in that direction.
Currently, Bitcoin has entered the PRZ zone of the BAT pattern
but is showing sideways and weak movements without any significant buying reaction,
which satisfies the typical bearish scenario conditions of an IR BAT.
Second Basis — 0.2~0.5 Retracement Zone
At present, the chart is positioned within the 0.2–0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone relative to the upper structure.
This area is generally interpreted as a sell-dominant zone in the IR BAT (Invalid Reaction BAT) pattern,
where short-term rebounds are limited and re-declines tend to emerge.
Accordingly, the average target price is set around 102,570 USDT.
Depending on future price developments,
I will provide further updates regarding any changes to this idea and position management strategies.
Thank you for reading.
[SeoVereign] ETHEREUM BEARISH Outlook – October 18, 2025Today, as of October 18, I would like to share my bearish outlook on Ethereum.
This analysis is based on two main factors.
First — Bearish Bat Pattern
Currently, Ethereum is approaching the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) of the Bat pattern.
This area is generally interpreted as a zone where buying momentum weakens
and short-term reversal pressure tends to concentrate.
If the price fails to sustain upward momentum within this PRZ,
a corrective retracement from the overextended zone is likely to occur.
Second — Wave 5 = Wave 1 × 0.618 Ratio Structure
This represents a typical harmonic ratio completion between waves in Elliott Wave Theory,
indicating that the upward momentum is gradually being exhausted.
The current wave structure is nearing this ratio,
suggesting a potential entry into a correction phase along with a short-term upside limit.
Accordingly, the average target price is set around 3,700 USDT.
Depending on future chart developments,
I will continue to provide updates on position management and any changes to this outlook.
Thank you.
USOIL Bullish Wolf Wave Pattern – Explained and Trade PlanThis 1-hour chart of WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) visualizes a classic bullish Wolf Wave pattern. Wave points 1, 3, and 5 form the lower channel, while points 2 and 4 set the upper boundary. Point 5 exhibits a typical overshoot below the 1-3 trendline, confirming a reversal zone. Entry is taken at 57 after confirmation, with stop loss at 56 placed below the recent swing low. Target is projected at 61.26, aligning with the extended 1-4 trendline—this matches classic Wolf Wave target methods. RSI divergence at point 5 further confirms the bullish reversal. This setup provides a high probability trade with clear risk management. Community feedback and alternate views are welcome.
USOIL Near Final Leg USOIL is forming a clear corrective pattern inside a falling channel. Price is currently in the final leg of wave (5) of (C), suggesting one more dip is likely before reversal.
The downside target lies near 5,000–5,200 , where support from the channel base aligns. Once this level holds, a strong bullish reversal is expected, marking the end of the correction and the start of a new upward trend.
Stay Tuned!
@Money_Dictators :)






















