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Wave Analysis

Gold 1H – Will the Breakout from Range Sustain?Gold on the 1H timeframe has broken out of its previous consolidation range and is now testing a premium supply zone near 3828–3826. The structure shows a clear BOS after the range, supported by strong bullish momentum. However, engineered liquidity sweeps remain likely before the market establishes sustained direction. From the macro side, today’s headlines highlight persistent inflation worries and a stronger U.S. dollar as traders anticipate upcoming remarks from Federal Reserve officials. Geopolitical tensions in energy markets have also underpinned safe-haven flows, adding volatility to gold price action. This alignment of macro drivers and technical liquidity pools suggests two tactical scenarios: fading rejections at supply while preparing to buy dips into the defined demand zone. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL GOLD 3828–3826 (SL 3835): Premium supply zone with upside liquidity sweep potential, offering downside targets at 3810 → 3790 → 3775. • 🟢 BUY GOLD 3757–3759 (SL 3750, Demand Zone): Discount demand area aligned with BOS, with upside targets at 3765 → 3780 → 3795+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Supply Rejection (3828–3826) • Entry: 3828–3826 • Stop Loss: 3835 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3810  TP2: 3790  TP3: 3775 🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Mitigation (3757–3759) • Entry: 3757–3759 • Stop Loss: 3750 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3765  TP2: 3780  TP3: 3795+ ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Gold remains volatile after breaking out of consolidation. Expect engineered sweeps into both supply and demand zones before directional clarity develops. With macro headlines keeping the dollar firm and inflation risks alive, traders should watch for sharp intraday reversals: • Fade supply rejections if momentum stalls at 3828–3826. • Buy dips into demand if liquidity is swept cleanly around 3757–3759. The broader narrative supports a two-sided strategy until the Fed provides clearer guidance.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
TCS – Bearish Outlook Intact, But a Wave B Bounce in Play?Chart Structure (Weekly) TCS has been locked in a corrective decline since the 4592.25 peak. The latest fall into the historical support cluster (near 3056–2890) completed a five-wave structure within wave A. From here, a bounce toward wave B is possible, with resistance around 3350–3600. Bullish trigger: RSI shows a bullish divergence (price made a lower low, RSI made a higher low). Upside potential: A move towards the 3350 resistance zone. Downside risk: If support fails, the next major level sits near 2292 — aligning with a larger wave C. So the long-term outlook remains bearish, but a short-term bounce looks probable. Fundamental Headwind Adding to the technical picture, the looming H1-B visa fee hike is a structural negative for Indian IT companies. TCS, Infosys, and peers with heavy US revenue exposure could see margin pressure in the quarters ahead. This reinforces the larger bearish bias, making any bounce counter-trend in nature. Illustrative Option Play – Bull Call Spread For those looking to play the short-term bounce while limiting risk, one way is to structure a bull call spread: Buy 3000 CE (Oct Expiry) at ₹42.1 Sell 3040 CE (Oct Expiry) at ₹31.25 Lot size: 175 Net Cost: ₹1,899 Max Profit: ₹5,101 (~26%) Max Loss: ₹1,899 (~10%) Breakeven: 3011(4%) Reward/Risk: 2.7 (Note: Prices are as of EoB 29th September 2025. This is only an example to demonstrate risk-managed structures. Not a trade recommendation.) Summary Long-term: Bearish, with risk of a wave C drop toward 2292. Short-term: Bounce into wave B likely, targeting 3350–3600. Strategy: A bull call spread provides a clean, limited-risk way to play this bounce, while respecting the larger bearish setup. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:TCS
by WaveXplorer
AUDCAD besrish ( Sell )📌 Trade Plan (AUDCAD) Sell Limit (Entry Zone): 0.91514 0.91493 Stop Loss (SL): Just above the marked “Caution” zone (around 0.91680–0.91700 area). Take Profit (TP): TP Liquidity: 0.90767 --- 📌 Why Sell? Price retesting supply zone (Caution area). Wyckoff distribution + UTAD test confluence. Sell limit aligned with imbalance/fair value gap. Liquidity resting below recent lows (target 0.90767). 📌 News Support CAD strength outlook from recent economic data. AUD pressured by weaker commodity demand. High-impact news could trigger liquidity run to downside.
Short
by Bang2bang
Why MSFT Could Be a Smart Pick in 2025?MSFT has bullish signals from the multiple moving averages, RSI and volume analysis. However, wave principle asks evidence from the buyers. The wave count suggests that the corrective wave (B) is ongoing, and bears will control the final wave of the primary wave 3. Wave C will start falling nearby the supply zone and high of the 2nd wave of wave intermediate wave A. Wave C can fall up to 476 which will be the strength for wave primary wave 5. As per the chart, breakout above 540 will be a good signal for bulls to take charge back. Zones: Supply zone: 538 - 528 Demand zone: 482 - 476 I will update the chart and details shortly.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Money_Dictators
2
Extended Inverted Head & Shoulders Structure in Price ActionThis chart features an extended inverted head and shoulders pattern, illustrating how these classic formations can significantly vary in length and shape across timeframes. The left and right shoulders frame a deeper head, while the neckline is not strictly horizontal but angled, reflecting real market dynamics. Observing these variations enhances one’s ability to identify patterns in imperfect conditions. Key aspects include the evolving symmetry between the shoulders, the consistency of the head’s depth, and the interaction of price with the neckline angle. This post encourages traders to look beyond textbook structures and develop a refined eye for authentic technical setups, emphasizing pattern recognition without predicting price direction. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
NSE:REDINGTONLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
Info Edge India – Wedge in Wave X, Bearish Continuation in PlayAfter topping near 1825.80 , price has been locked in a W–X–Y double zigzag : Wave W ended at 1157.00 with an ending diagonal. The bounce into 1550.00 formed a wedge-like structure , completing Wave X . From there, Wave Y kicked off with a leading diagonal in Wave A down to 1287.10 . The recovery into 1437.80 looks like a completed Wave B , capped by trendline resistance. As long as price stays below 1437.80 , the bias is bearish with downside potential into: Target 1 : 1174.90 (equality with Wave A) Target 2 : 1012.45 (1.618 extension of Wave A) RSI remains capped under 50 with its own trendline resistance, supporting continuation of bearish momentum rather than reversal. Invalidation: Above 1437.80 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NAUKRIShort
by WaveXplorer
Silver holding buy trade from 46.70 , upside target 48.40Silver holding buy trade from 46.70 upside target 48.40 then we will see new ATH How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 12.3% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold mcx we are holding buy from 113700 ,1600 points profit runnWe are holding buy trade from 113700 from Friday closing , upside target 3855,3910 on comex How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 12.3% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold holding buy trade from 3760 , upside target 3855,3910We are holding buy trade from 3760 , upside target 3855,3910 Levels on chart How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 12.3% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Copper holding buy trade from 946 , 11 points profit running,Copper holding buy trade from 946 ,next target 960,975 Levels provided on chart How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 12.3% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
MCX:COPPER1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Crude sell Trade given at 5780 5630-5560 next target Crude sell given at 5780 holding sell trade, downside target 5630,5560 How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 12.3% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Short
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
“Nifty 50 Key Levels & Trade Zones – 30th Sept 2025” “Follow me and like this post for more learning tips!” Key Levels from the Chart 24,890 – Above 10M Closing Shot Cover Level 24,820 –Above 10M Hold CE by Entry Level Below 10M Hold PE by Risky Zone 24,722 –Above 10M Hold Positive Trade View Below 10M Hold Negative Trade View 24,590 –Above Opening S1 10M Hold CE by Level Below Opening R1 10M Hold PE by Level 24,470 –Above 10M Hold CE by Level Below 10M Hold PE by Level 24,370 –Above 10M Hold CE by Safe Zone Level Below 10M Hold Unwinding Level
NSE:NIFTYLong
by mayuraj_820
Part 2 Master Candle Stick Pattern1. Option Writing – Risks and Rewards Option writing (selling) is when traders collect premium by selling calls or puts. Advantage: Time decay works in your favor. Risk: Unlimited (naked call writing is extremely risky). Best Use: Done with hedges, spreads, or adequate margin. 2. Options vs. Futures While both are derivatives, they differ: Futures: Obligation to buy/sell at a future date. Options: Right but not obligation. Risk/Reward: Futures = unlimited risk/reward. Options = asymmetric risk/reward. Use Case: Futures for directional moves, options for hedging or volatility plays. 3. Option Trading Psychology Option trading is not just numbers—it’s also psychology. Fear of missing out (FOMO) leads traders to buy expensive options in high IV. Greed causes holding onto losing trades too long. Discipline is key in cutting losses quickly and following position sizing rules. 4. Risk Management in Option Trading Without proper risk management, options can blow up accounts. Key principles: Never risk more than 1–2% of capital per trade. Avoid naked option selling without hedge. Use stop-loss orders or mental stop levels. Diversify across strategies. 5. Option Trading in India – NSE Context In India, options on Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, FinNifty, and individual stocks dominate volumes. Weekly Expiries: Bank Nifty & Nifty weekly expiries have huge liquidity. Retail Participation: Has grown massively due to low margin requirements. Risks: SEBI has warned about high losses in retail options trading. 6. Real-World Applications of Options Options are not just speculation tools—they serve critical functions: Hedging portfolios of mutual funds, FIIs, DIIs. Insurance companies use options to balance risks. Commodity traders hedge against price swings. Global corporations hedge forex exposures. 7. Conclusion – The Power and Danger of Options Options are double-edged swords. They allow traders to: Leverage capital effectively. Hedge risks in uncertain markets. Create income through systematic strategies. But they also carry dangers: Time decay eats away value. Over-leveraging leads to account blow-ups. Misjudging volatility can destroy trades. Thus, option trading should be approached with education, discipline, and respect for risk. A beginner should start small, learn spreads, and focus on risk control rather than chasing quick profits.
NSE:TATASTEELEducation
by SkyTradingZone
3
Part 1 Master Candle Stick Pattern1. Long Call Strategy – Betting on Upside One of the simplest option strategies is buying a long call. Traders use this when they are bullish but want to risk less capital than buying the stock outright. Maximum Loss: Limited to premium paid. Maximum Profit: Unlimited (stock can theoretically rise infinitely). Best Case: Strong bullish move in underlying. Worst Case: Stock stagnates or falls, premium decays to zero. 2. Long Put Strategy – Profiting from Downside Buying a long put is the bearish counterpart to a call. It gives downside protection or speculative profit. Maximum Loss: Premium paid. Maximum Profit: Stock can fall to zero. Use Case: Protecting stock portfolios (hedging). 3. Covered Call Strategy – Income Generation In a covered call, an investor owns the underlying stock and sells call options against it. Purpose: Generate extra income through premiums. Risk: Stock may rise above strike, forcing the seller to sell shares. Advantage: Provides downside cushion via collected premium. 4. Protective Put – Insurance for Portfolio Buying a put option while holding stock acts like insurance. Example: If you own Reliance at ₹2500 and buy a put at ₹2400, your maximum downside risk is capped. Benefit: Peace of mind in volatile markets. Cost: Premium, just like an insurance policy. 5. Spreads – Controlling Risk and Cost Spreads involve combining two or more option positions. Examples: Bull Call Spread: Buy lower strike call, sell higher strike call. Bear Put Spread: Buy higher strike put, sell lower strike put. Advantage: Lower premiums, defined risks. Disadvantage: Capped profits. 6. Straddles and Strangles – Playing Volatility When traders expect big moves but are unsure of direction: Straddle: Buy one call and one put at the same strike and expiry. Strangle: Buy OTM call + OTM put. Profit: Large move in either direction. Risk: Market remains stagnant, premiums decay. 7. Iron Condor and Iron Butterfly – Income from Range-Bound Markets Advanced strategies like Iron Condor and Butterfly Spread allow traders to profit in low-volatility environments. They involve selling both calls and puts to collect premium, betting that prices stay within a certain range. These strategies are popular among professional traders who trade based on time decay (Theta). 8. Role of Volatility in Option Pricing Volatility is the lifeblood of options. Implied Volatility (IV): Market’s forecast of future volatility. Historical Volatility (HV): Actual past movement. Rule: When IV is high, options are expensive. When IV is low, options are cheap. Trade Insight: Buy options in low IV and sell/write options in high IV.
NSE:BANKNIFTY1!Education
by SkyTradingZone
4
Part 2 Support and Resistance1. Introduction to Option Trading Options are one of the most versatile financial instruments available in the world of trading. They are derivatives, meaning their value is derived from an underlying asset such as stocks, indices, commodities, or currencies. Unlike buying or selling the underlying asset directly, options provide traders with the right, but not the obligation, to buy (call option) or sell (put option) the asset at a predetermined price (strike price) within a specified time period (expiration). Options are unique because they allow traders to leverage small capital into larger potential gains, manage risk with hedging strategies, and create income through option writing. At the same time, they carry high risk when misused, particularly due to time decay, volatility fluctuations, and complex pricing models. 2. The Basics of Options: Calls and Puts The two fundamental building blocks of option trading are Call Options and Put Options: Call Option: Gives the buyer the right to buy an asset at a fixed strike price before or on the expiration date. Traders buy calls if they expect the price of the asset to rise. Put Option: Gives the buyer the right to sell an asset at a fixed strike price. Traders buy puts if they expect the price of the asset to fall. Example: If stock XYZ is trading at ₹100, a call option with a strike price of ₹105 expiring in one month gives the buyer the right to buy the stock at ₹105. If the stock rises to ₹120, the option becomes profitable. Conversely, a put option with a strike of ₹95 would benefit if the stock fell below ₹95. 3. Understanding Option Premiums An option buyer pays a premium to acquire the rights. This premium is determined by several factors: Intrinsic Value: The actual in-the-money value (e.g., if stock is ₹120 and strike price is ₹100 call, intrinsic value = ₹20). Time Value: The extra value based on time remaining until expiration. Longer time = higher premium. Volatility: Higher expected price fluctuations increase premiums. Interest Rates & Dividends: Play a minor but measurable role in pricing. This pricing is mathematically modeled by the Black-Scholes Model and Binomial Option Pricing Model. 4. European vs. American Options Options differ in terms of when they can be exercised: European Options: Can be exercised only at expiration. American Options: Can be exercised any time before expiration. Most index options in India are European style, while stock options in the U.S. are often American style. 5. The Greeks – Risk Measurement Tools To manage option risk, traders rely on Option Greeks, which quantify how premiums move with changes in price, volatility, and time: Delta (Δ): Sensitivity of option price to changes in underlying price. Gamma (Γ): Rate of change of Delta. Theta (Θ): Time decay effect on options. Vega (ν): Sensitivity to volatility changes. Rho (ρ): Sensitivity to interest rate changes. Understanding Greeks is like having a navigation map for option strategies.
NSE:INFYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
4
Divergence SecretsPart 1: Factors Affecting Option Pricing Option pricing is dynamic, influenced by multiple factors: 1. Intrinsic Value Difference between underlying price and strike price. 2. Time Value Longer time to expiry = higher premium due to uncertainty. 3. Volatility Higher volatility increases probability of profit → higher premium. 4. Interest Rates Affects call and put pricing slightly, more relevant in long-term options. 5. Dividends Expected dividend reduces call price but increases put price. Popular Models: Black-Scholes Model: Pricing for European options. Binomial Model: Pricing for American options. Part 2: Option Strategies for Beginners Beginners can start with simple strategies: Long Call: Buy call, bullish view, limited risk. Long Put: Buy put, bearish view, limited risk. Covered Call: Own stock + sell call → generate income, moderate risk. Protective Put: Own stock + buy put → hedge downside. Tip: Always define your risk and target before trading. Part 3: Advanced Option Strategies For experienced traders, multi-leg strategies can maximize returns: Straddle: Buy call + buy put (same strike & expiry) → profit from volatility. Strangle: Buy OTM call + OTM put → cheaper than straddle, still bets on volatility. Vertical Spread: Buy & sell calls (or puts) at different strikes → limit risk & reward. Iron Condor: Sell OTM call + buy further OTM call, sell OTM put + buy further OTM put → profits in range-bound markets. Butterfly Spread: Combine calls or puts to profit near a strike price with limited risk. Key: Advanced strategies reduce risk or cost but require precise market view. Part 4: Risk Management in Option Trading Options are powerful but risky. Effective risk management is critical: Limited vs Unlimited Risk: Buyers have limited loss (premium), sellers can face unlimited loss. Position Sizing: Never risk more than 1–2% of trading capital on a single trade. Hedging: Use protective puts or spreads to reduce downside. Stop Loss: Predefine maximum loss. Volatility Awareness: High IV → expensive options; low IV → cheap options. Part 5: Option Trading in Indian Markets In India, NSE (National Stock Exchange) is the primary platform. Key points: Instruments: Nifty, Bank Nifty, Stocks (F&O). Lot Size: Defined per contract; standard for indices & stocks. Expiry: Weekly, monthly, quarterly. Regulation: SEBI regulates, ensures margin & settlement rules. Example: Nifty current level: 25,000 Buy Nifty 25,100 CE (call) Lot size: 50 → Pay premium × 50 Settlement: Cash-settled for indices. Physical delivery possible for stock options. Part 6: Tips for Success in Option Trading To trade options successfully: Learn Before Trading: Understand Greeks (Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega, Rho). Start Small: Focus on a few stocks or indices. Track Volatility: Higher IV → cautious buying. Plan Exits: Define profit and loss targets. Diversify Strategies: Mix spreads, protective puts, and hedges. Stay Updated: News, earnings, and macro events affect premiums. Paper Trade: Practice virtual trading before risking real capital. Mindset: Option trading is about probability, not certainty. Patience and discipline are key.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
6
LiamTrading – Gold: Wave 5 isn't over yet...Gold: Wave 5 isn't over yet, awaiting ABC corrective wave According to Elliott Wave perspective, gold is currently in wave 5 and no clear reversal signals have appeared. Once wave 5 is completed, a reasonable scenario would be entering the ABC corrective phase. Technical Analysis The current price range remains in an uptrend, supported by the medium-term trendline. Key resistance – support zones are identified based on Fibonacci, Volume Profile, and strong psychological levels. RSI indicates gold is approaching the overbought region, hence short-term Sell orders (scalping) around the peak area might offer an advantage. Trading Plan Reference Sell: 3840 – 3842, SL 3846. This is a strong resistance zone, prioritise scalping if the downward reaction lacks strength. Buy: 3783 – 3785, SL 3779, TP 3800 – 3818 – 3838. Large liquidity Buy: 3740, SL 3733, expecting a strong reaction from this area due to previous accumulation volume. Important Note Early in the week, there are often numerous political – economic news causing noise, which might unexpectedly push gold up. The resistance zones 3840–3850 are strong psychological levels, observe reactions before making decisions. For short-term trading, adhere closely to the plan, while flexibly adjusting when price paths change to maintain an advantage. In summary, wave 5 is still developing and trading opportunities mainly focus on key resistance – support zones. Traders need to manage risks well, patiently wait for confirmation, and remain flexible to adapt to fluctuations. The DXY index fell around 97.95 on Monday, extending the decline into the second session as the risk of a US government shutdown weakens market sentiment and investors await a series of important economic data to be released this week. Wishing you successful trading, follow me and the trading community!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX