Wave Analysis
Strong news chain could push gold to retest 4300🟡 XAU/USD – Weekly Trading Plan (Nov 23–29)
SMC – FVG – Supply/Demand – High-Impact News Week
1. Market Context
Gold is sideways in the H4 accumulation structure, forming higher lows along the trendline.
Above are 3 important supply layers:
OLD FVG 1
OLD FVG 2
Large FVG 4220–4300
the price needs to sweep liquidity & hit the supply zone before creating a new direction.
2. Strong News Schedule for the Week
This week has a lot of USD news directly affecting gold:
Tuesday (Nov 25)
Core PPI – Retail Sales – PPI (4 consecutive red news) → strong volatility.
Wednesday (Nov 26)
Unemployment Claims
Durable Goods → Core Durable Goods
GDP q/q – GDP Price Index
Core PCE (most important inflation news of the week)
➡️ This is the decisive day for the trend for the rest of the week.
Friday (Nov 28)
German CPI (affects EUR → USD indirectly)
🎯 News Conclusion:
→ Gold likely to fake move – sweep liquidity before running correctly.
→ Thin SL zones will be continuously hunted.
3. Key Levels (from the chart you sent)
🔻 SELL Zone (Supply – FVG)
4189 – 4191 (Main Sell)
SL: 4195
This is a strong reaction zone for the week.
4132 – 4134 (Sell scalp)
SL: 4138
🔵 BUY Zone (Demand – Trendline – SMC)
4906 – 4904 (main BUY scalp zone in the chart)
SL: 3999
→ This is the only zone clearly marked as BUY in the chart.
Psychological level: 4000 – 3985
If the price falls → strong reaction to form the weekly low.
4. Weekly Trading Scenarios
🅰️ Scenario 1 – Price retraces to supply zone before dropping (most likely)
Price is forecasted to retest 4132–4134 → 4189–4191
After hitting 4190 ± → potential appearance of:
Bearish BOS H1/H4
Strong reversal to 4050 – 4000
🔻 SELL Plan
Sell 4132–4134 (scalp) SL 4138
Main Sell 4189–4191 SL 4195
TP targets:
TP1: 4090
TP2: 4050
TP3: 4000
🅱️ Scenario 2 – Price dips before news then surges (kill liquidity)
If gold is pushed down before PPI/GDP news:
Best BUY zone: 4000 – 3985
Form a low → surge back up to test supply.
🔵 BUY Plan
BUY 4000–3985
SL: 3975
TP:
4050
4100
4130
🅾️ Scenario 3 – If 4200 breaks
If 4200 is broken by a large-bodied H4 candle:
➡️ High probability gold will move up to test large FVG 4250–4300
→ At that point, only look for BUY pullbacks, no more SELL.
Gold Nonfarm: Buy OB 4030, Target Break 4111🔍 Market Context – November 20, 2025
Gold initially dropped nearly 70 pips at the start of the day but quickly rebounded sharply from the 4030–4032 zone, demonstrating strong buying pressure and a refusal to decline further.
The market structure on the H1–H2 timeframe is forming a classic, well-defined Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern—a quintessential bullish reversal pattern—signaling a potential upward expansion if the neckline is successfully broken.
📅 Key News Events Today:
🇺🇸 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
📉 US Unemployment Rate
🏛 FOMC Meeting Minutes
🗣 Speeches by Trump, Barkin, Williams
🧾 Initial Jobless Claims
⚠️ These events could trigger sharp volatility and will determine the confirmation or rejection of the reversal pattern.
📊 Technical Analysis
🛒 BUY SETUP – Primary Priority
✅ Entry: 4030 – 4032
🛡 Stop Loss (SL): 4027
🎯 Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 4039
TP2: 4047
TP3: 4059
💡 Rationale: Price bounced strongly at the OB + SSS zone. This is a crucial technical support area and the base of the Inverse H&S pattern. The objective is to break the neckline to trigger the uptrend.
🔻 SELL SETUP – Short-Term Strategy
📍 Entry: 4093 – 4095
🛡 SL: 4098
🎯 TP:
TP1: 4088
TP2: 4077
TP3: 4060
TP4: 4033
💡 Rationale: This strategy is only applicable if the price forms a false breakout of the BSL zone and reverses. This is an ideal entry point for quick scalping if the market reacts negatively to the news.
🔑 Key Price Zones
Buy Zone (OB + SSS): 4030 – 4032
→ Strong demand zone, the base of the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming the reversal signal if held.
Breakout Neckline Zone: 4101 – 4111
→ The neckline of the Inverse H&S pattern. Breaking this zone will open up opportunities for a sharp rise.
Final Resistance Zone: 4133 – 4140
→ The final target if the breakout is successful and the bullish pattern is confirmed.
✅ Strategy Conclusion
🎯 Main Strategy: Priority is to BUY in the OB zone 4030–4032.
🩸 SELL is only for short-term scalping if there is a signal of rejection at the BSL zone.
🕓 Caution: Be careful entering trades near the Nonfarm news release time—wait for price action to confirm the direction.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 24-Nov-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 24 NOV 2025
(Reference: 15-min chart structure & mapped intraday levels)
Nifty closed near 26,064, sitting just below the Opening Support / Resistance Zone (26,097–26,108).
The recent fall has brought price into a critical region where buyers and sellers will fight for control, making tomorrow’s open highly important.
🔑 Key Levels
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 26,195
🟥 Major Resistance: 26,307
🟧 Opening S/R Zone: 26,097 – 26,108
🟩 Opening Support Zone (Gap-Down Case): 25,973 – 25,992
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 25,940
🟩 Deep Support: 25,813
Below is the complete scenario-wise actionable plan 👇
🟢 SCENARIO 1 — GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points)
If Nifty opens around 26,160–26,210, price immediately tests the Last Intraday Resistance (26,195).
If price sustains above 26,195 for 10–20 mins with strong green candles →
🎯 Upside targets → 26,240 → 26,275 → 26,307
If price rejects 26,195 with long wicks →
Expect correction toward 26,120 → 26,097
A bullish retest at 26,097–26,108 can offer a low-risk long entry.
Avoid chasing the breakout candle—gap-ups near resistance often create bull traps.
📘 Educational Note:
Gap-up trades work best when price forms higher lows immediately after opening. A sideways or weak first 5–15 mins signals exhaustion.
🟧 SCENARIO 2 — FLAT OPENING (Near 26,050–26,100)
This puts price directly inside the Opening S/R Zone (26,097–26,108) — a decision-making region.
A clean breakout above 26,108 with a retest →
🎯 Targets → 26,150 → 26,195
On breakdown below 26,050, expect a drop toward:
➡️ 25,992 → 25,973
Avoid trading inside 26,050–26,108 zone initially; wait for direction clarity.
Best trend trades will come from:
— Breakout → Retest → Continuation
— Support bounce from 25,973–25,992
💡 Educational Tip:
Flat opens often give clean directional plays once the first 15-min candle closes. Patience pays.
🔻 SCENARIO 3 — GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points)
A gap-down into 25,973–25,992 brings price directly into strong support.
If 25,973–25,992 holds with bullish wick rejection →
🎯 Upside targets → 26,020 → 26,063 → 26,108
If price breaks below 25,973, next strong support is:
➡️ 25,940 (Last Intraday Support)
If 25,940 also fails → expect deeper fall toward 25,813
A sharp V-shaped reversal from 25,813 can become the best long trade of the day.
📘 Educational Note:
Gap-downs into major supports often produce intraday reversals—but only after confirming rejection with strong candles.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTION TRADERS 💡
Avoid trading the first 5–10 minutes after open.
Prefer ATM/ITM options for directional moves.
Always predefine your SL—don’t widen it emotionally.
Never average losing trades.
When VIX is low → option buying works better.
When VIX is high → use spreads or hedged selling.
Book profits in parts to lock in gains during reversals.
⚠️ Golden Rule:
Protect capital first—opportunities come every day.
📌 SUMMARY
Bullish above → 26,108
🎯 Targets → 26,150 → 26,195 → 26,240 → 26,307
Bearish below → 25,992
🎯 Targets → 25,973 → 25,940 → 25,813
No-Trade Zones:
— 26,050–26,108 (choppy decision zone)
— 26,175–26,195 (high-risk supply zone)
🧾 CONCLUSION
Nifty sits near a sensitive reversal region.
Tomorrow’s trend depends entirely on how price reacts to:
✔️ 26,108 breakout
✔️ 25,973 support
The safest and highest-quality trades will come from retests, not impulsive entries.
Let the market reveal direction before you act.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This analysis is purely for educational purposes.
Please consult a certified financial advisor before trading or investing.
BANKNIFTY : Trading level and Plan - 24-Nov-2025📊 BANKNIFTY TRADING PLAN — 24 NOV 2025
(Reference: 15m chart structure & mapped intraday zones)
BankNifty closed around 58,851, sitting inside the Opening Support / Resistance Zone (58,747 – 58,729) — a high indecision region.
Price is currently trading below short-term moving averages, indicating intraday weakness unless reclaimed.
Key levels mapped for the day:
🟥 Opening Resistance Zone: 59,064 – 59,135
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 59,309
🟥 Profit Booking Zone: 59,570 – 59,630
🟧 Opening Support / Resistance: 58,747 – 58,729
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 58,487 – 58,559
Below is your complete scenario-wise plan 👇
🟢 SCENARIO 1 — GAP-UP OPENING (200+ Points)
If BankNifty opens around 59,050–59,200, price enters the Opening Resistance Zone (59,064–59,135) directly.
If price sustains above 59,135 for 10–15 mins with strong bullish candles →
🎯 Targets → 59,309 → 59,400 → Profit Booking Zone: 59,570–59,630
If price rejects the 59,064–59,135 zone →
Expect pullback towards: 58,950 → 58,850
The safest long trade comes only after a breakout + retest above 59,135.
Avoid chasing longs at the open — this zone often causes whipsaws.
📘 Educational Note:
Gap-ups near resistance require confirmation. A flat or weak first green candle after a gap-up is often a trap.
🟧 SCENARIO 2 — FLAT OPENING (Near 58,800–58,880)
BankNifty opens inside the 58,747–58,729 indecision band — a key reaction area.
Breakout above 58,880 →
🎯 Targets → 59,064 → 59,135 → 59,309
Break below 58,729 →
Expect decline toward: 58,559 → 58,487
Avoid trading inside the zone until a clear direction emerges.
Best trades:
— Breakout → Retest → Long
— Breakdown → Retest → Short
💡 Tip:
Flat openings are perfect for identifying early trend strength — let the first 15m candle reveal the direction.
🔻 SCENARIO 3 — GAP-DOWN OPENING (200+ Points)
Gap-down below 58,650 places price toward Last Intraday Support (58,487–58,559).
If BankNifty tests 58,559–58,487 and forms strong rejection (long wicks, bullish engulfing) →
🎯 Reversal targets → 58,729 → 58,880 → 59,064
If price breaks below 58,487 with momentum →
Further downside → 58,300 → 58,150
A bounce from 58,487 is a high-probability reversal setup — but only with confirmation.
Avoid averaging on the way down — gap-down days can trend strongly.
📘 Educational Note:
Gap-downs into major support often create the best risk–reward reversals, but only after a tested rejection.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTION TRADERS 💡
Avoid trading during the first 5–10 minutes after the open.
Prefer ATM / ITM options for directional trades to reduce theta decay.
Fix your stop-loss BEFORE entering — never widen SL.
Book partial profits at logical levels; let the remainder trail.
Avoid buying OTM options during sideways markets.
When VIX is high → prefer hedged spreads; when VIX is low → directional buying works better.
Do not overtrade inside no-trade zones.
⚠️ Golden Rule:
Protect your capital first — opportunities come daily, capital does not.
📌 SUMMARY
Bullish above → 59,135
🎯 Targets: 59,309 → 59,400 → 59,570–59,630
Bearish below → 58,729**
🎯 Targets: 58,559 → 58,487 → 58,300
High-Risk No-Trade Zones:**
— 58,747–58,729 (Opening zone)
— 59,064–59,135 (Supply zone unless broken)
🧾 CONCLUSION
BankNifty is trading near crucial support–resistance pivots, and the day’s trend will be dictated by reactions at 58,729 and 59,135.
The most reliable trades will come from:
✔️ Breakout above 59,135
✔️ Breakdown below 58,729
✔️ Reversal from 58,487–58,559 support zone
Stay patient, avoid noise, and let structure guide your entries.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a certified financial advisor before taking trading decisions.
Mastering Technical Analysis1. What Is Technical Analysis?
Technical analysis is a method of forecasting market movement by studying price charts, trading volume, indicators, and patterns. Unlike fundamental analysis—which focuses on earnings, economic data, and intrinsic value—TA assumes that all information is already reflected in the price.
At its core, technical analysis is built on three key assumptions:
1. Market action discounts everything
Every factor—economic data, news, global events—gets absorbed into price.
2. Prices move in trends
Markets do not move randomly. They follow identifiable patterns: uptrends, downtrends, or sideways ranges.
3. History repeats itself
Human behavior, fear and greed, and market psychology create recurring patterns.
These principles allow traders to anticipate moves with probability, not certainty.
2. Understanding Price Structure
a. Dow Theory Basics
Dow Theory forms the foundation of technical analysis:
Market moves in three trends: primary (major), secondary (pullbacks), and minor (small fluctuations).
Trends stay in effect until clear reversal signals appear.
Volume confirms price movement.
b. Market Trends
A trend is the direction in which prices move.
Uptrend: Higher highs (HH) + higher lows (HL)
Downtrend: Lower highs (LH) + lower lows (LL)
Sideways/Range: Price oscillates between support and resistance.
Identifying trends early is one of the biggest advantages for traders.
3. Key Elements of Technical Analysis
a. Support and Resistance
Support is a price level where buying interest dominates. Resistance is where selling pressure appears.
These levels help traders:
Time entries
Set targets
Place stop losses
Breakouts and breakdowns from these levels often indicate major moves.
b. Trendlines and Channels
Trendlines connect the lows in an uptrend and highs in a downtrend. When combined with parallel lines, they form channels, showing strong directional movement.
A break of a trendline often signals trend reversal.
c. Chart Patterns
Patterns form when price movements create recognizable shapes on charts.
Reversal Patterns:
Head and Shoulders
Inverse Head and Shoulders
Double Top / Double Bottom
Triple Tops / Bottoms
Continuation Patterns:
Flags
Pennants
Triangles
Rectangles
Chart patterns reflect collective market psychology and help forecast future direction.
4. Candlestick Patterns
Candlestick charts reveal the emotional story of buyers and sellers. Some common patterns include:
Bullish Patterns:
Hammer
Bullish Engulfing
Morning Star
Piercing Line
Bearish Patterns:
Shooting Star
Bearish Engulfing
Evening Star
Dark Cloud Cover
Combining candlestick signals with support/resistance improves accuracy.
5. Technical Indicators and Oscillators
Indicators help interpret market momentum, strength, and volatility. Although no indicator is perfect, combining a few well-selected ones enhances decision-making.
a. Moving Averages
They smooth out price movement to reveal trends.
Types:
SMA (Simple Moving Average)
EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
Common strategies:
Golden Cross (50-MA above 200-MA)
Death Cross (50-MA below 200-MA)
EMA-based trend trading
b. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI measures momentum and identifies overbought (>70) and oversold (<30) conditions. It also signals divergences, which often precede reversals.
c. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
MACD shows the relationship between two EMAs. Signals include:
Bullish or bearish crossovers
Histogram direction
Divergences
d. Bollinger Bands
These measure volatility. Price touching the upper band suggests overbought conditions; touching the lower band suggests oversold conditions. Squeezes indicate big upcoming moves.
e. Volume Indicators
Volume is essential for confirming trends.
Rising price + rising volume = strong trend
Rising price + low volume = weak trend
6. Multi-Time Frame (MTF) Analysis
Professional traders analyze charts across multiple time frames. For example:
Higher time frames (1D, 1W) show the major trend.
Lower time frames (1H, 15m) show entry opportunities.
A trade is strongest when trends align on multiple time scales.
7. Breakout and Breakdown Trading
Breakouts occur when price moves above resistance with strong volume. Breakdowns occur when price falls below support.
Successful breakout trading requires:
Volume confirmation
Retest of breakout zones
Avoiding false breakouts
8. Risk Management and Position Sizing
Mastering technical analysis is not just about reading charts. The biggest key is managing risk.
Essential rules:
Always use a stop loss
Do not risk more than 1–2% of capital per trade
Use risk-reward ratios (e.g., 1:2 or 1:3)
Trade with discipline, not emotion
Good risk management keeps you in the game long enough to experience compounding success.
9. Trading Psychology
Technical analysis is 30% charts and 70% psychology. Recognize these emotional traps:
Fear of missing out (FOMO)
Overconfidence after profit
Revenge trading after loss
Impatience and overtrading
A disciplined trader follows rules and trusts their strategy.
10. Creating Your Own Trading System
To master technical analysis, create a structured trading system:
Components of a strong system:
Market selection (stocks, indices, crypto)
Time frame (intraday, swing, positional)
Indicators (2–3 maximum)
Entry rules (breakout, pullback, pattern)
Exit rules (target, trailing stop)
Risk-reward ratios
Backtesting to validate performance
A system removes emotional decision-making and boosts consistency.
11. Combining Technical and Fundamental Analysis
While TA is powerful, combining it with fundamental catalysts—earnings, macro trends, sector strength—creates high-probability setups. For example:
Volume breakout + strong quarterly results
Trend continuation + positive economic news
This hybrid approach is used by many successful traders.
12. The Path to Mastery
Technical analysis mastery does not come overnight. It requires:
Chart practice
Backtesting historical data
Studying past cycles
Recording trades in a journal
Reviewing mistakes and refining rules
Over time, patterns become clear, and intuition develops.
Conclusion
Mastering technical analysis is a journey of learning price behavior, practicing chart reading, and developing psychological discipline. By understanding trends, patterns, indicators, and risk management, traders gain the ability to anticipate market moves with greater confidence. TA does not guarantee profits—it improves probabilities. Combined with discipline, patience, and a structured approach, it becomes a powerful skill that can transform your trading performance.
Cryptocurrency as a Digital AssetUnderstanding Cryptocurrency as a Digital Asset
A digital asset is anything stored electronically that can provide value. Examples include images, documents, software, and digital currencies. Cryptocurrency falls within this category but stands apart because it is programmable, transferable, scarce, and secured through cryptographic algorithms.
A cryptocurrency is a digital or virtual currency that uses blockchain technology and cryptography to secure transactions, verify ownership, and regulate the creation of new units. Unlike traditional money issued by governments (called fiat currency), cryptocurrencies are usually decentralized, meaning no single authority controls them.
The idea behind cryptocurrency is to create a trustless system, where people can transact securely without needing banks, payment processors, or intermediaries.
Key Features of Cryptocurrency
1. Decentralization
Most cryptocurrencies operate on a distributed network of computers (nodes) worldwide. Instead of being stored on one central server, the entire ledger of transactions is shared among thousands of participants.
This decentralized nature:
Reduces the risk of manipulation
Prevents single points of failure
Makes the system transparent and censorship-resistant
Bitcoin, for example, is maintained by a network of miners and nodes spread across the globe rather than by any government or corporation.
2. Blockchain Technology
Blockchain is the underlying technology that makes cryptocurrencies possible. It is a chain of blocks, where each block contains:
Transaction data
A timestamp
A cryptographic hash
Once data is added to the blockchain, it becomes nearly impossible to alter, ensuring immutability and security.
Blockchain acts as a public ledger. Anyone can view transactions, but identities are hidden behind cryptographic addresses, offering both transparency and privacy.
3. Cryptographic Security
Cryptocurrencies use advanced cryptography to secure transactions and control the creation of new units. Public-key cryptography ensures that:
You can share your public address safely
Only you can spend your funds using your private key
The private key acts as a digital signature, proving ownership of the asset.
4. Limited Supply and Scarcity
Many cryptocurrencies have a fixed supply, which gives them scarcity—one of the key factors that drive value.
For example:
Bitcoin has a maximum supply of 21 million coins
This scarcity creates a digital form of gold
In contrast, fiat currencies can be printed endlessly, causing inflation. Limited supply helps certain cryptocurrencies hold value over time.
5. Peer-to-Peer Transactions
Cryptocurrency enables direct transactions between users without intermediaries. This:
Reduces transaction fees
Speeds up cross-border payments
Increases accessibility for the unbanked population
A Bitcoin transaction can be sent across continents within minutes, regardless of banking systems or government restrictions.
Types of Cryptocurrencies
Cryptocurrencies can be classified based on their purpose and technology.
1. Bitcoin (BTC) – Digital Gold
Bitcoin was the first cryptocurrency, introduced in 2009 by the anonymous creator Satoshi Nakamoto. Its main purpose is to act as:
A store of value
A medium of exchange
A hedge against inflation
Bitcoin is often referred to as digital gold due to its scarcity and decentralized nature.
2. Altcoins – Alternatives to Bitcoin
Thousands of cryptocurrencies followed Bitcoin, called altcoins. Examples include:
Ethereum (ETH): A blockchain that supports smart contracts and decentralized applications (dApps)
Ripple (XRP): Focused on fast and cheap international payments
Litecoin (LTC): Faster and lighter version of Bitcoin
Each altcoin has unique features or improvements over Bitcoin.
3. Stablecoins
Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies whose value is pegged to stable assets like the US Dollar or gold. Examples:
USDT (Tether)
USDC (USD Coin)
They are widely used in trading and decentralized finance because they reduce price volatility.
4. Tokenized Assets and Utility Tokens
Many blockchains allow digital assets to be created on top of them. These tokens represent:
Access to services (utility tokens)
Ownership in projects (security tokens)
Real-world assets like real estate or stocks
Tokenization expands the use of blockchain beyond currency.
How Cryptocurrency Works as a Digital Asset
1. Creation of New Units
New cryptocurrency units are created in different ways:
Mining: Solving complex mathematical problems (Bitcoin, Litecoin)
Staking: Locking cryptocurrency to validate transactions (Ethereum 2.0, Cardano)
Algorithmic issuance: Based on demand and supply mechanisms
Mining and staking secure the network and process transactions.
2. Storing Cryptocurrency
Cryptocurrencies are stored in digital wallets, which can be:
Hot wallets: Connected to the internet (mobile or desktop apps)
Cold wallets: Offline storage (hardware wallets or paper wallets)
Wallets store private keys, not the coins themselves.
3. Transferring Ownership
A cryptocurrency transaction involves:
Sending funds from one address to another
Verifying the transaction through miners or validators
Adding it to the blockchain
This digital transfer of ownership is secure, fast, and irreversible.
Why Cryptocurrency Has Value
Cryptocurrency holds value due to several factors:
1. Scarcity
Fixed supply creates demand over time.
2. Utility
Smart contracts and decentralized applications give certain cryptocurrencies real-world use cases.
3. Decentralization
People value assets not controlled by governments.
4. Trustless System
Blockchain eliminates the need for middlemen.
5. Global Acceptance
Businesses, investors, and governments are increasingly adopting cryptocurrencies.
Advantages of Cryptocurrency as a Digital Asset
Borderless transactions
Lower fees compared to traditional banking
Secure and transparent system
24/7 market accessibility
High liquidity in major coins
Supports financial inclusion
Cryptocurrencies also introduce entirely new industries:
Decentralized finance (DeFi)
Non-fungible tokens (NFTs)
Web3 applications
Risks and Challenges
Despite advantages, cryptocurrencies face risks:
Price volatility
Regulatory uncertainties
Scams and hacks
Loss of private keys leading to loss of funds
Awareness and proper risk management are essential.
Conclusion
Cryptocurrency, as a digital asset, represents a major shift in how value is created, stored, and transferred. Powered by blockchain technology, it enables decentralized trust, global accessibility, and programmable financial systems that challenge traditional banking models. While it offers immense opportunities, it also requires careful understanding due to its risks and evolving regulatory landscape. As technology matures, cryptocurrency is likely to play an even greater role in global finance and digital ownership systems.
Plan your trades and trade your plan1. Why Planning Matters in Trading
Trading without a plan is like entering a battlefield without a strategy. Markets are unpredictable, influenced by global events, economic data, institutional activity, and trader psychology. Without a plan, emotions such as fear, greed, and impatience take over, resulting in poor decisions.
A well-crafted trading plan helps you:
Reduce emotional decision-making
Identify high-probability setups
Manage risks professionally
Improve consistency
Evaluate and improve your performance over time
Planning creates a roadmap. Instead of reacting impulsively, you follow a set of rules designed specifically for your trading style and risk tolerance.
2. Define Your Trading Goals
Every trader must begin with clear goals. Ask yourself:
Do you want steady short-term gains or long-term wealth building?
Are you trading to supplement income or become a full-time trader?
What is your acceptable level of risk?
Setting goals helps determine the market you trade, your strategy, time commitment, and expectations. For example:
Intraday traders focus on daily volatility and need quick decisions.
Swing traders hold trades for days or weeks.
Positional traders rely more on long-term charts and fundamental strength.
Your trading plan should reflect your goals and lifestyle. If you cannot monitor markets all day, intraday trading is unsuitable; swing or positional trading is better.
3. Choose Your Market and Instruments
Planning involves knowing what you will trade:
Stocks
Indices (Nifty, Bank Nifty)
Commodities (Gold, Crude oil)
Forex
Crypto
Futures & Options
Each market behaves differently. For example, Bank Nifty is highly volatile and suits active traders, while large-cap stocks suit long-term positional trades. By focusing on a specific market, you develop familiarity and improve accuracy.
4. Develop a Strategy
Your trading plan must include a clear strategy with defined rules. A strategy answers:
When to enter
When to exit
How to manage risk
How to manage position size
For example, a simple breakout strategy may include:
Setup: Stock consolidates near resistance
Entry: Buy above breakout candle high
Stop-loss: Below consolidation zone
Target: 1:2 or 1:3 risk–reward ratio
Alternatively, a swing strategy might use:
Moving averages
RSI divergence
Candlestick confirmation
Support/resistance zones
The key is not the complexity of the strategy, but consistency in applying it.
5. Set Clear Entry and Exit Rules
No trade should be taken without predefined rules.
Entry Rules
An entry rule should be objective. Example:
Price closes above 20-day high
Volume is above average
RSI crosses above 50
Trend is supported by higher highs and higher lows
Entry should never be based on rumors, tips, or fear of missing out.
Exit Rules
A disciplined trader exits based on:
Pre-set stop-loss
Target levels
Trail stop-losses
Trend reversals
Exit rules prevent emotional decisions. Even if the market reverses, you stick to your plan.
6. Risk Management: The Heart of Planning
Risk management decides whether you survive in the market. Many traders lose money because they ignore this step.
Key Components of Risk Management
a) Stop-Loss
A stop-loss is mandatory for every trade. It limits the loss when the market moves against you.
b) Position Size
Never risk more than 1–2% of your capital on a single trade.
Example:
If your capital is ₹1,00,000, risk per trade should be ₹1,000–₹2,000.
c) Risk–Reward Ratio
A healthy risk–reward ratio (RRR) ensures long-term success.
Minimum acceptable ratio: 1:2
Meaning: If you risk ₹100, aim to earn ₹200
Good traders focus on trades with high RRR instead of trying to win every trade.
7. Market Analysis Before Entering
Before you take a trade, analyze:
a) Trend
Trade with the trend:
Uptrend → Look for long positions
Downtrend → Look for shorts or avoid longs
b) Support and Resistance
Identify levels where price is likely to react.
c) Volume Analysis
Volume confirms the strength of the move.
d) Chart Patterns
Double bottoms, flags, triangles, and head & shoulders provide high-probability setups.
e) Candlestick Patterns
Hammers, engulfing candles, and dojis offer confirmation signals.
8. Maintain a Trading Journal
A trading plan is incomplete without a trading journal. Record:
Date and time
Entry and exit
Stop-loss and targets
Reason for trade
Emotions before and after
Outcome and learnings
A journal reveals patterns in your behaviour—emotional trades, overtrading, revenge trading—and helps improve performance.
9. Avoid Emotional Trading
Emotions destroy consistency. Common emotional mistakes include:
Fear of missing out (FOMO)
Greed (holding too long)
Fear (exiting too early)
Revenge trading
Overconfidence after a winning streak
Your goal is to follow your plan, not your feelings. With a plan, you avoid impulse trades and maintain discipline.
10. Backtest and Practise Your Trading Plan
Before using real money, test your strategy on historical data. Backtesting helps determine:
Profitability
Accuracy
Maximum drawdown
Risk–reward performance
Paper trading (demo trading) strengthens confidence and skill before risking capital.
11. Review and Improve Your Plan Regularly
Markets evolve. A trading plan should be dynamic.
Review monthly or quarterly:
Win-loss ratio
Average return
Maximum loss
Psychological mistakes
Strategy performance
Adjust your plan when necessary. Improvements may include:
Better entries
Tighter stop-loss
Reduced position size
Using trailing stops
Focusing on fewer, higher-quality setups
12. Final Thoughts: Discipline Creates Success
A well-crafted trading plan is your foundation. Everything else—charts, indicators, and setups—comes secondary. A plan helps you stay consistent, disciplined, and focused. Remember:
You cannot control the market
You can control your behaviour
The most successful traders are not those with the most complex indicators, but those who follow their plan with discipline every single day.
Part 7 Trading Master Class With Experts Non-Directional Strategies
Used when markets are expected to be sideways or volatile.
1. Straddle (Buy Call + Buy Put)
Profit from high volatility in any direction.
2. Strangle
Cheaper version of straddle, using OTM options.
3. Iron Condor
Sell OTM call and put spreads.
Used for stable markets to earn premium.
4. Butterfly Spread
Low-cost strategy for low volatility expectations.
These strategies help traders benefit from volatility, time decay, and neutral price movements.
Part 6 Learn Institutional TradingTypes of Options Strategies
Option strategies are divided into two broad categories:
- Directional Strategies
Used when you expect the market to move strongly in one direction.
1. Long Call
Profit from big upward moves.
2. Long Put
Profit from major downward moves.
3. Bull Call Spread
Buy call + Sell call (higher strike)
Reduces cost and risk.
4. Bear Put Spread
Buy put + Sell put (lower strike)
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading 1. Option Buying Risks
High time decay
Entire premium can be lost
Low probability of profit if market does not move fast
2. Option Selling Risks
Unlimited loss potential
Requires high margin
Needs strong risk management skills
3. Volatility Risk
Changes in implied volatility affect premium prices.
4. Liquidity Risk
Low liquidity leads to poor fill prices.
5. Emotional Risk
Options move fast, causing psychological stress for beginners.
Thus, risk management, position sizing, and discipline are essential.
Gold 4H – Liquidity Plays Ahead of Fed Minutes & PMI Data🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade inside a controlled 4H consolidation as markets brace for a highly event-driven week: U.S. PMI releases, updated Fed guidance, and renewed debates over the timing of future rate cuts.
Recent data has shown mixed momentum — softer employment trends but steady business activity — keeping the dollar volatile and gold reactive near mid-range liquidity.
Institutional flows remain cautious, reducing aggressive positioning ahead of major macro catalysts. This environment typically leads to engineered sweeps on both sides of the range as Smart Money hunts liquidity before revealing direction.
Expect short-term volatility spikes, especially around U.S. session opens and PMI releases.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View)
• Price is navigating a minor bearish structure, forming lower highs while protecting deeper liquidity beneath 4020.
• The recent 4H BOS + corrective pullback suggests the market may generate a liquidity grab toward the discount zone before any strong bullish leg develops.
• A Premium Sell Zone at 4225–4227 sits above resting liquidity, making it an ideal region for stop hunts and short-term distribution.
• The Discount Buy Zone at 4010–4008 aligns with structural reaction points, unmitigated demand, and a liquidity shelf — ideal for accumulation.
• Mid-range liquidity around 4060–4080 may be swept before the market chooses a larger weekly direction.
🟢 Buy Zone: 4010–4008
SL: 4000
TP targets: 4085 → 4120 → 4175 → 4220
Rationale:
• Deep discount zone beneath 4H liquidity
• Confluence of demand + structural mitigation
• High probability of engineered sweep before bullish expansion
🔴 Sell Zone: 4225–4227
SL: 4235
TP targets: 4175 → 4120 → 4060 → 4015
Rationale:
• Premium supply above equal-high liquidity
• Favors stop hunt + distribution before correction
• Aligns with previous 4H rejection and imbalance fill
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS inside each zone before entering — avoid blind entries.
• Expect spreads and liquidity manipulation around news: US PMI, Fed speeches, and data surprises.
• Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact events.
• Scale partial profits at each structural target to secure gains and let runners develop.
✅ Summary
Gold remains trapped in a structured 4H range where Smart Money is likely to sweep one side before delivering a decisive expansion.
Discounted buys at 4010–4008 and premium sells at 4225–4227 remain the highest-probability weekly setups.
Stay patient, respect liquidity, and follow confirmation.
🔔 FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups 🚀
Premium Chart Pattern Understanding Chart Patterns
Every chart pattern represents crowd psychology—fear, greed, uncertainty, accumulation, or distribution. Institutional traders leave their footprint on charts, and patterns help retail traders align with their moves.
Patterns are formed across all time frames:
1-minute charts for scalping
5–15 minutes for intraday
1 hour for swing trading
Daily/weekly charts for positional trading
The bigger the time frame, the more reliable the pattern.
21 Nov 2025 — Nifty’s Long coming to an end? Weekly PostmortemNifty Stance Bullish 🐂
On 12th November, we went bullish after the EMA crossed over. If you observe the price action from 11 AM on 11/11/25 you can notice the massive recovery that came in Nifty.
Even though the EMAs crossed over in the last minute on 11th, the trading system actually gave the signal only during the opening minutes of 12th, Wednesday.
From there, the markets hit a new ATH of 26246 and then cooled off a bit. Actually, we were on track to take out 26400, if we hadn't got that crazy move on S&P500 on 20th Nov. SPX fell 3.49% from its intraday high to intraday low and this really took a toll on Nifty the next day.
Nifty is still long, but the EMAs are converging, which could signal a reversal if we stay flat or drop in points. The nearest supports are at 25906 and 25681, and you may already be aware that we do not have a resistance.
TRIDENT 1 Month Time Frame ✅ What we see
Fundamentals
Current price ~ ₹28.38.
Market cap ~ ₹14,462 cr, P/E ~32.8×, P/B ~3.15×.
ROE quite low (~8-10% range) and growth over past years has been muted.
52-week high ~ ₹40.20, 52-week low ~ ₹23.11.
Recent quarterly figures: sales up modestly; profits under pressure.
Technical / Price context
The share is nearer to its 52-week low than high, which may offer perceived value to some.
Some moving-average crossovers (per reports) flagged “sell signals” in short term.
Short-term return in past month has been very small (~0.64% 1-month return).
NETWORK18 1 Day Time Frame Current Price: ~ ₹ 45.04.
Day’s Range: ~ ₹ 44.89 (low) to ₹ 45.76 (high)
Key Support Level: Around ₹ 44.50-45.00 — if price breaks below this, further downside may open.
Key Resistance Level: Around ₹ 46.50-47.00 — if price breaks above this with volume, upside potential may resume.
52-week range: Low ~ ₹ 39.66, High ~ ₹ 85.39.
Gold at a Crossroads: Up or Down?If we zoom in and carefully observe how the GOLD price is moving, it becomes immediately clear:
The market has just shown a very strong upward impulse, but now something interesting is happening. The price is tightening and forming a small, narrow triangle, which indicates that the market is accumulating energy. In these situations, there are usually two possible directions, but given the clearly bullish context, I feel that a breakout to the upside is much more likely.
What do you think? Do you agree with me?
Leave your thoughts in the comments. And trust me, being part of the TradingView community will help you improve every day as a trader.
Of course, this is not financial advice, just my personal view on the chart.
Dixon Technologies: Watching a Key Reversal Zone AheadDisclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Dixon’s decline is developing as a running flat within Wave 2. Wave A and B are already in place, with Wave B stretching above the Wave A origin, which is typical behaviour when the larger trend is still strong. The final leg, Wave C, is still unfolding.
Inside Wave C, waves (i) through (iv) look complete, and the market appears to be working on wave (v). Momentum has been weakening throughout the drop, which often leads to an ending diagonal in the final wave of a running flat. The structure so far supports that possibility.
The 0.618 retracement near 14,061 is the critical zone for this setup. This level aligns with typical Wave 2 depth and sits right where wave (v) of C can complete. RSI has not yet shown bullish divergence, so a marginal lower low in price, paired with a higher low in RSI, would be the ideal confirmation signal.
If price forms the expected small ending diagonal into the 0.618 level and momentum improves, this would complete the running flat and set the stage for the next bullish sequence.
Summary
Wave 2 forming as a running flat.
Wave C still in progress; wave (v) pending.
Weak momentum favours an ending diagonal finish.
Key reversal zone: 0.618 retracement near 14,061.
Watching for bullish RSI divergence before confirmation.
Gold H1 – Is This Just a Range or a Break Incoming?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (21/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade inside a compressed intraday range as markets react to the latest discussion on whether the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates anytime soon.
According to new reports, policymakers remain cautious, and early rate-cut expectations are fading as inflation progress slows.
This shift pushes USD stronger, increases Treasury yields, and temporarily weakens gold’s bullish momentum.
Key takeaways from the news:
• Fed officials note that inflation is “still not where it needs to be,” reducing the probability of early rate cuts.
• Markets have scaled back expectations for a Q1 cut, keeping USD supported.
• Higher yields → tighter financial conditions → gold struggles to break premium levels.
• Institutions are likely engineering liquidity grabs on both sides before committing to a new directional move.
Price is currently sitting near the 4030–4045 zone, right above discount liquidity, waiting for a catalyst to break out of the short-term compression.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Market Structure:
Gold has completed a clear CHoCH + short-term bearish sequence and is now compressing into the discount zone around 4030.
• Premium Sell Zone (4H Supply):
4128–4130 aligns with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above internal highs.
• Discount Buy Zone:
4030–4028 sits inside the last clean demand zone where a previous sweep occurred.
• Liquidity Map:
→ Buy-side liquidity: above 4128–4135
→ Sell-side liquidity: below 4028–4020
Institutions are likely to sweep one side before delivering direction.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4128 – 4130
• Stop-Loss: 4140
• Take-Profit:
→ 4080 (minor imbalance fill)
→ 4045 (range EQ)
→ 4030–4028 (discount demand retest)
📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15 before entering.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4030 – 4028
• Stop-Loss: 4020
• Take-Profit:
→ 4060 (short-term reaction level)
→ 4095 (inefficiency fill)
→ 4120 (premium retest)
📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4030–4028 pocket and shows bullish displacement from discount.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• USD strength may spike unexpectedly as rate-cut bets fade — reduce position size during volatility.
• Avoid trading inside the 4045–4085 chop zone unless a clean structure break forms.
• Manage trades aggressively once liquidity levels are taken.
• Expect engineered manipulation during low-volume Asian hours.
📝 Summary
Gold is compressing inside a narrow intraday range as markets reassess the likelihood of Fed rate cuts.
SMC structure suggests a two-sided liquidity sweep before a decisive move:
• Sell Zone: 4128–4130 (premium supply)
• Buy Zone: 4030–4028 (discount demand)
Expect classic accumulation → sweep → displacement patterns until macro conditions create a new trend.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
XAUUSD – Where Smart Money Strikes Today🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters today’s session after a period of controlled volatility, with price repeatedly reacting around key liquidity pockets but failing to produce a clean breakout. The M30 structure remains bearish, with price rejecting premium levels and forming consistent lower highs.
Recent Drivers
USD stays firm as markets maintain expectations of a slightly hawkish Federal Reserve
Traders await upcoming mid-week data → low conviction, cautious positioning
Overall sentiment remains neutral — no strong safe-haven pressures
Session Outlook
London Session: Likely to engineer early sweeps into premium supply zones
New York Session: Higher chance of real directional expansion
Bias: Bearish intraday until discount zones trigger a CHoCH (shift of character)
Price is currently inside mid-range, so the safest setups remain at extremes where liquidity is concentrated.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY)
Market Structure
M30 Trend: Lower High → Lower Low sequence
Equilibrium zone: 4068–4085
Inducement layers resting above 4147 and 4081
Liquidity Levels
BSL: Above 4147 & 4081
SSL: Below 4033 & deep liquidity at 3993
Market continues printing engineered wicks, trapping impulsive traders
Imbalances
Bearish FVG: 4147–4148 → perfect for premium scalp sells
Minor imbalance: 4081
Discount inefficiencies near 4033 and 3993 → ideal buy setups
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Strong Logic + Clear Explanation)
4148–4147 ▶️ Premium Liquidity Trap – High-Quality Sell Zone
This area holds an unmitigated bearish order block combined with buy-side liquidity.
Smart Money typically uses this zone to trap breakout buyers before reversing sharply.
4079–4081 ▶️ Secondary Premium Sweep Zone – Fast Rejection Expected
A mini liquidity pool just above equilibrium, designed for early-session stop hunts.
Often triggers sharp intraday reversals.
4035–4033 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Clean Scalping Demand
This zone holds micro-demand + SSL resting below.
Expect low-drawdown reactions ideal for quick intraday buys.
3995–3993 ▶️ Deep Discount Liquidity Pool – High-Probability Reversal Base
A rich accumulation of Sell-Side Liquidity combined with HTF discount structure.
Strong reversal potential if price reaches this level.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (High-Precision SMC Execution)
✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection Sell
Entry: 4148–4147
Stoploss: 4126
TP1: 4135
TP2: 4120
TP3: 4085
Logic: BSL sweep + bearish imbalance fill → sharp sell-off expected.
✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Mid-Range Liquidity Sweep
Entry: 4079–4081
Stoploss: 4087
TP1: 4065
TP2: 4048
TP3: 4033
Logic: Quick liquidity hunt above equilibrium followed by displacement.
✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Intraday Scalping Rebound
Entry: 4035–4033
Stoploss: 4027
TP1: 4048
TP2: 4070
Logic: SSL sweep → micro CHoCH → ideal for fast bullish reaction.
✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Reversal
Entry: 3995–3993
Stoploss: 3987
TP1: 4010
TP2: 4040
TP3: 4070
Logic: Major discount zone + liquidity buildup → strong reversal potential.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
Avoid mid-range trading — only trade at liquidity extremities
Expect London fake-outs; real movement likely in NY
Always wait for M5/M15 confirmation (CHoCH + BOS)
Avoid buying in premium areas; avoid selling in deep discount zones
Follow strict risk management — volatility may spike unexpectedly
🏁 CONCLUSION
Gold continues to hold a bearish intraday structure, favouring premium sell setups at 4147 and 4081.
Discount zones at 4033 and 3993 offer high-probability buy reactions and possible deeper reversals.
Trade with patience. Execute only at liquidity extremes.
Let Smart Money show its trap — then strike with precision.
ERIS 1 Day View 📊 Current Price & Range
Last traded around ₹1,669 – ₹1,672
Today’s observed intraday range so far: Low ~ ₹1,651.6 and High ~ ₹1,679.2.
Previous close was ~ ₹1,669.60.
🔍 Key Technical Levels (1-Day)
Support levels to monitor:
1. ~ ₹1,650 mark – near today’s intraday low (~1,651).
2. A stronger buffer may lie around ₹1,620-1,630, given prior trading zones (though exact MA data not fully pulled).
3. If price breaks decisively below ~₹1,650, the next meaningful lower zone might be nearer the 52-week low area (~₹1,100) but that’s much further away.
Resistance levels to monitor:
1. Immediate resistance near today’s high ~ ₹1,679-1,680.
2. If momentum builds, next resistance around ~ ₹1,700-₹1,720 area.
3. The 52-week high (~₹1,910) remains well above current price and acts as long-term cap.
⚠️ Notes & Caveats
These levels are based on publicly available price ranges today; they do not include detailed moving-average levels or intraday support/resistance lines from charting software.
Always consider external risks: market sentiment, pharma sector news, regulatory updates, earnings surprises for Eris.
Short-term trading involves higher volatility and increased risk; these setups should be used with proper stop-losses and position sizing.






















