China increase 67% mi Money supply it impacts nagative. ? China’s decision to increase its cash supply by 67% in just one month, reaching $6.76 trillion, raises serious concerns about the state of its economy. Such a massive liquidity injection suggests that the Chinese government is attempting to cover a growing economic hole, likely caused by a combination of structural weaknesses, financial instability, and declining growth.
One of the major factors behind this move is China’s struggling real estate sector, which has been in crisis since the collapse of major developers like Evergrande and Country Garden. The sector, which once contributed nearly 30% to China’s GDP, is now facing a liquidity crunch, falling property prices, and a loss of investor confidence. Additionally, declining consumer demand and a slowdown in industrial production have further weakened economic growth. The rise in local government debt, which is estimated to be in the trillions, has also put pressure on policymakers to inject liquidity into the system.
However, such an aggressive expansion of cash supply comes with risks. Increasing money supply at such a rapid pace can lead to inflationary pressures and potential devaluation of the Chinese yuan. If confidence in China’s financial stability erodes, it could lead to capital outflows, further straining the economy. From a global perspective, this move signals economic distress and could negatively impact worldwide markets. Investors may become cautious about China’s financial health, leading to reduced foreign investments and market volatility.
Overall, China’s sudden cash injection is a sign of deeper economic troubles rather than a sign of strength. While it may provide short-term relief, the long-term consequences could include inflation, financial instability, and a ripple effect on global markets. This move suggests that China may be bracing for a significant economic downturn in the near future.
Wave Analysis
Natural gas sell at 350 SL 365 Target 325, 305How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 11.4% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 21.4% then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 11.4% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking 2nd D 21.4%
Targets :
Target T1 : 28.3% ( early trade if entry at 11.4% )
Target T1 : 35.1% to 38.2%
Target T3 : 50.1% to 53.2%
T3: 61.8% to 65.1% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 21.4% or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 11.4% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point D ( 0% ) .
Target is same as early 21.4% , 28.3 , 35.1 and so on
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
Silver sell now ar 94650-94700 SL 95200 Target 92790-92500How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 11.4% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 21.4% then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 11.4% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking 2nd D 21.4%
Targets :
Target T1 : 28.3% ( early trade if entry at 11.4% )
Target T1 : 35.1% to 38.2%
Target T3 : 50.1% to 53.2%
T3: 61.8% to 65.1% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 21.4% or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 11.4% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point D ( 0% ) .
Target is same as early 21.4% , 28.3 , 35.1 and so on
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
Gold XAUUSD sell at 2915-2916 sl 2932 Target 2877,2852 lHow to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 11.4% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 21.4% then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 11.4% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking 2nd D 21.4%
Targets :
Target T1 : 28.3% ( early trade if entry at 11.4% )
Target T1 : 35.1% to 38.2%
Target T3 : 50.1% to 53.2%
T3: 61.8% to 65.1% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 21.4% or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 11.4% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point D ( 0% ) .
Target is same as early 21.4% , 28.3 , 35.1 and so on
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
database trading**SkyTradingZone** is your go-to source for educational content on trading, covering market insights, strategies, and in-depth analysis. Our goal is to empower traders and investors with knowledge to navigate the markets effectively.
---
# **What is Database Trading?**
**Database Trading** is a systematic approach to trading that involves collecting, analyzing, and leveraging **historical market data** to make informed trading decisions. Instead of relying purely on emotions, gut feelings, or traditional technical indicators, traders use **quantitative data models** to find patterns, optimize strategies, and execute trades more effectively.
---
## **1️⃣ How Database Trading Works?**
📌 **A) Data Collection**
Traders collect **large amounts of historical data** from various sources, such as:
✅ **Price Data** – Open, High, Low, Close (OHLC) of stocks, indices, forex, and commodities.
✅ **Volume & Open Interest (OI)** – Tracks market participation & liquidity in derivatives trading.
✅ **Options Chain Data** – Strike price, Put-Call Ratio (PCR), Implied Volatility (IV), etc.
✅ **Economic Indicators** – Inflation, GDP, Interest rates, and other macroeconomic trends.
📌 **B) Data Analysis & Strategy Development**
Once the data is collected, it is analyzed using **quantitative methods** like:
🔹 **Statistical Analysis** – Finding correlations, standard deviations, and probability distributions.
🔹 **Machine Learning Models** – Training AI to detect price trends and trade setups.
🔹 **Backtesting Strategies** – Testing past market conditions to check the reliability of strategies.
📌 **C) Automated Execution**
After identifying profitable patterns, traders can use **automated trading algorithms** to place trades without human intervention.
---
## **2️⃣ Benefits of Database Trading**
✅ **Removes Emotional Bias** – Trading decisions are purely data-driven.
✅ **Increases Accuracy** – Strategies are backed by historical data, reducing guesswork.
✅ **Optimizes Risk Management** – Identifies stop-loss and take-profit levels based on probabilities.
✅ **Works in Any Market Condition** – Effective in both trending and range-bound markets.
🔹 **Example:** If backtesting reveals that **Nifty 50 has a 78% chance of rebounding after a 5-day decline**, traders can use this data to develop a high-probability trading strategy.
---
## **3️⃣ Steps to Become Profitable in Database Trading**
📍 **A) Learn Data-Driven Trading Tools**
🔹 **Excel/Google Sheets** – For basic data analysis & strategy development.
🔹 **Python & R** – For advanced machine learning and automated trading.
🔹 **Algo Trading Platforms** – Zerodha Streak, AlgoBulls, TradingView Pine Script, etc.
📍 **B) Backtesting Your Strategy**
🔹 Before trading with real money, test your strategies on past data.
🔹 Look for **win rates, drawdowns, risk-reward ratios, and Sharpe Ratio**.
📍 **C) Automate & Optimize Strategies**
🔹 Use **Algorithmic Trading Bots** to execute trades without human error.
🔹 Optimize strategies based on **market conditions & volatility trends**.
📌 **Pro Tip:** The best database traders constantly **update their models** based on new market data to maintain an edge.
---
## **4️⃣ How Database Trading Can Improve Your Profitability?**
✅ **Better Entry & Exit Points** – Analyzing data to find the best trade setups.
✅ **Stronger Risk Management** – Uses historical patterns to minimize losses.
✅ **More Scalable Trading** – Can trade multiple assets at once using algorithms.
🔹 **Example:** If historical data shows that **Reliance stock tends to bounce 2% after touching the 200-day moving average**, a trader can set up an automated buy order whenever this condition is met.
---
## **Final Thoughts – Why Database Trading is the Future?**
🚀 **Database Trading is the next level of professional trading**, used by hedge funds, institutions, and retail traders who want a systematic edge.
📌 **Key Takeaways:**
✅ **Data is more reliable than emotions** – Use numbers, not feelings.
✅ **Automate whenever possible** – It reduces mistakes and improves efficiency.
✅ **Always backtest before live trading** – Past performance isn’t a guarantee, but it helps build confidence.
By mastering **Database Trading**, you can significantly **improve your accuracy, reduce risk, and scale your trading like a professional**! 📈
---
🔹 **Disclaimer**: This content is for educational purposes only. *SkyTradingZone* is not SEBI registered and does not provide financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
What is RSI and How to Use It in Trading ?SkyTradingZone is your go-to source for educational content on trading, covering market insights, strategies, and in-depth analysis. Our goal is to empower traders and investors with knowledge to navigate the markets effectively.
---
# What is RSI (Relative Strength Index) and How to Use It in Trading?
Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most popular momentum indicators used in technical analysis. It helps traders identify **overbought and oversold conditions**, potential reversals, and trend strength.
---
## **1️⃣ What is RSI?**
The **Relative Strength Index (RSI)** is a **momentum oscillator** that measures the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. It oscillates between **0 and 100** and is typically used to:
✅ Identify **overbought and oversold levels**.
✅ Spot **trend reversals and divergences**.
✅ Confirm **the strength of ongoing trends**.
📌 **Formula for RSI:**
\
Where:
🔹 **RS (Relative Strength) = Average Gain / Average Loss** (over a 14-period default setting).
---
## **2️⃣ How to Read RSI?**
📌 **Standard RSI Levels:**
- **Above 70** → Overbought (Possible reversal or correction).
- **Below 30** → Oversold (Possible upward reversal).
- **Between 50-70** → Strong bullish trend.
- **Between 30-50** → Weak bearish trend.
📌 **Custom RSI Settings for Different Trading Styles:**
- **Day Trading:** Use **RSI (7-9 periods)** for quicker signals.
- **Swing Trading:** Use **RSI (14 periods)** for balanced analysis.
- **Long-Term Investing:** Use **RSI (21-25 periods)** for fewer, stronger signals.
---
## **3️⃣ How to Use RSI in Trading?**
### **📍 A) RSI Overbought & Oversold Strategy**
✅ **BUY when RSI < 30** (Oversold) and price shows reversal signs.
✅ **SELL when RSI > 70** (Overbought) and price shows weakness.
🔹 **Example:**
- If **Nifty 50 RSI drops below 30**, wait for a bullish candle or support confirmation before buying.
- If **Reliance RSI crosses above 70**, look for bearish confirmation before selling.
🔹 **Pro Tip:** Avoid blindly entering trades! **Always use RSI with support/resistance levels for confirmation.**
---
### **📍 B) RSI Divergence Strategy (Powerful Reversal Signal)**
**RSI Divergence** occurs when **price and RSI move in opposite directions**, indicating a trend reversal.
📌 **Types of Divergences:**
🔹 **Bullish Divergence (BUY Signal)** – Price makes **lower lows**, but RSI makes **higher lows**.
🔹 **Bearish Divergence (SELL Signal)** – Price makes **higher highs**, but RSI makes **lower highs**.
🔹 **Example:**
- If **Bank Nifty** makes a **new low**, but RSI forms a **higher low**, a reversal to the upside is likely.
- If **TCS stock** makes a **new high**, but RSI forms a **lower high**, a downward correction is possible.
🔹 **Pro Tip:** **Combine RSI divergence with moving averages or candlestick patterns for stronger confirmation.**
---
### **📍 C) RSI Trend Confirmation Strategy**
✅ RSI **above 50** → Indicates a bullish trend (Buy on dips).
✅ RSI **below 50** → Indicates a bearish trend (Sell on rallies).
🔹 **Example:**
- If **HDFC Bank RSI is at 60**, the stock is in an **uptrend**, and buying dips is a good strategy.
- If **Tata Steel RSI is at 40**, the stock is in a **downtrend**, and selling on resistance is better.
🔹 **Pro Tip:** Use RSI with **200-day Moving Average (MA)** to confirm long-term trends!
---
### **📍 D) RSI + Moving Average Crossover Strategy**
✅ **BUY when RSI crosses above 50 & Price is above 50 EMA.**
✅ **SELL when RSI crosses below 50 & Price is below 50 EMA.**
🔹 **Example:**
- If **Infosys RSI moves above 50** and the stock is **above 50 EMA**, enter a **long trade**.
- If **Hindustan Unilever RSI drops below 50** and the stock is **below 50 EMA**, enter a **short trade**.
🔹 **Pro Tip:** This strategy **reduces false signals** and works well in trending markets.
---
## **4️⃣ Common RSI Mistakes & How to Avoid Them**
🚫 **Using RSI Alone** – Always confirm with price action, support/resistance, or moving averages.
🚫 **Buying/Selling Only Based on 30-70 Levels** – RSI can stay overbought/oversold for long periods.
🚫 **Ignoring Divergences** – Divergences signal **high-probability reversals**.
🚫 **Not Adjusting RSI Settings** – Modify RSI based on **trading style (short-term vs. long-term).**
🔹 **Pro Tip:** Combine RSI with **MACD or Bollinger Bands** for stronger trade setups!
---
## **5️⃣ RSI Best Practices for Traders**
✅ Use **RSI Divergence** for **high-accuracy reversals**.
✅ In a **strong uptrend**, RSI can remain **above 50** for long periods – **don’t sell too early**!
✅ In a **strong downtrend**, RSI can stay **below 50** – **don’t buy too soon**!
✅ **Always wait for confirmation** (candlestick patterns, volume, etc.) before entering trades.
---
## **Final Thoughts – RSI as a Powerful Trading Tool**
**Relative Strength Index (RSI)** is a powerful **momentum indicator** that helps traders:
✅ Spot **trend strength** and **reversals**.
✅ Identify **overbought & oversold conditions**.
✅ Enhance trade accuracy when combined with **support/resistance & other indicators**.
Mastering RSI can **improve your trading decisions and profitability** when used correctly. 🚀
---
🔹 **Disclaimer**: This content is for educational purposes only. *SkyTradingZone* is not SEBI registered and does not provide financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY Predictions (wave pattern and Fibonacci study based)Hello everyone,
Nifty Almost bottom done spot 22550 closing before the elections in india now Nifty PE ratio is 20 which looks attractive undervalued. most probably till september-octber 2025 market going to break previous lifetime high its all for study purpose RSI is oversold
BTC#18: BTC plunges, destination and trading opportunities at th🔥 So BTC has corrected. However, how much it has decreased, we will analyze it right away: 🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 Widespread Pessimism, Cryptocurrency Market Plunges Sharply
————
⚫Bitcoin and altcoins plunge: Bitcoin drops nearly 5% to $90,000, Ethereum loses more than 10% in two days, Solana drops 15%, Dogecoin drops 13%.
⚫The market is still affected by the $1.4 billion hack last week. Bybit announces compensation but Ethereum is still under pressure.
⚫Weak market sentiment: Many meme coins collapse, limited capital flows cause altcoins to lose value sharply. Solana under selling pressure as it prepares to unlock $1.72 billion in tokens on March 1.
⚫Crypto-related stocks also plunge: Coinbase down for six consecutive sessions, MicroStrategy down 5.7%, BTC mining stocks fall sharply.
🚀 MicroStrategy continues to buy BTC: The company bought another 20,356 BTC worth $1.99 billion, bringing its total BTC holdings to 499,096 VND (~$33.1 billion).
🛫Forecast: The downtrend may continue if market sentiment does not improve and cash flow does not return to altcoins.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **Frame D**: the bullish structure has been broken and turned bearish. Pessimistic sentiment covers the entire market so it will be difficult to see an immediate recovery
🔹 **H4 frame**: the bearish price structure is more clearly shown. The nearest resistance zone is 93x
🔹 **H1 frame**: the price line is still quite far from the horizontal or diagonal resistance zone, the current price has recovered a bit but the market sentiment is still hesitant about the Fibo 23.6 area as you can see on the chart
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
⛔The current time is not suitable to catch the bottom of BTC, not only the market sentiment is pessimistic but the basic information has not seen any positive news for BTC. We will need to patiently wait for confirmation from the price line
✅ Priority at the moment. Currently is looking for a SELL position following the main trend. The sharp price drop will have a recovery adjustment but pay attention to stick to the price structure and do not be greedy.
💪 **Good luck trading!**
Nasdaq buy at 21230 add more at 21070 sl 20920 Target 21730-780How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st D point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing SL: 11.4% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 21.4% then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 11.4% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking 21.4%
Targets :
Target T1 : 28.3% ( early trade if entry at 11.4% )
Target T1 : 35.1% to 38.2%
Target T3 : 50.1% to 53.2%
T3: 61.8% to 65.1% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 21.4% or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 11.4% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point D ( 0% ) .
Target is same as early 21.4% , 28.3 , 35.1 and so on
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
U(R) Truce on the Way – Nifty: Nervous to Nirvana! ElliottWave
Life and markets share a common truth:
Decisions made at crossroads define the journey ahead. Whether it's turning left or right at an intersection or navigating the ever-changing waves of financial markets, one thing remains constant—preparation is key.
In trading, emotions often cloud judgment. The impulsive, last-minute decisions taken without a backup plan lead to uncertainty, just as a driver who hesitates at a crucial turn may end up lost. If you don’t prepare in advance, you will always be at the mercy of emotions rather than logic.
I’ve always warned about hidden market paths, sharing insights through stocks like BHEL, ONGC, and others that signaled Nifty’s nervousness well before it unfolded. If you ignored the signs or failed to rethink, then neither I nor anyone else can help—because wisdom lies in learning before mistakes become losses.
As someone once said:
👉 If you learn from your own mistakes, you’re intelligent.
👉 If you learn from others’ mistakes, you’re a genius!
Now, coming back to our topic:
The Ukraine-Russia Truce & Nifty’s Grand U-Turn?
The war between U (Ukraine) & R (Russia) seems to be moving towards a truce, but only time will confirm its reality. However, technically, Nifty has been unfolding a wedge pattern since December 2024—a structure known for its time-consuming, overlapping movements across multiple wave degrees.
On January 29, 2025,
I proposed a falling wedge scenario with a key requirement: Nifty must overlap 22,537 to confirm the pattern
Copyright of WaveTalks
By Budget Day (February 1, 2025)
Not only did Nifty hit this level, but it surged to 23,807 on February 5, adjusting the structure to an expanding wedge — a rare phenomenon .
6th Feb 2025 - Expanded Ending Diagonal
Last Wave Pending Downside (One Day Before RBI Policy on 7th Feb 2025)
Copyright of WaveTalks
11th Feb 2024 - What a fall in Expanded Ending Diagonal
Copyright of WaveTalks
What’s Next? The Big U-Turn?
If this pattern completes in the current zone and starts bouncing upwards, we might witness Nifty’s journey from Nervous to Nirvana—a potential upside move towards 25,000, possibly even 26,277 for a new high!
Are We Ready for the Grand Turn?
Just like life, trading is about preparation. Those who anticipate the next wave will ride it effortlessly; those who hesitate will be left watching.
Stay tuned as this unfolds—Catch me with another exciting idea from WaveTalks…
Market Whispers! Can You Hear Them?
Regards,
Abhishek
XAUUSD : Fake Breakout or Trend Reversal ?Gold experienced a sharp decline, briefly breaking below key support levels and hitting a low of $2,896 before rebounding. The sudden drop caused high volatility, but buyers quickly stepped in, pushing the price back toward the previous consolidation zone. It is now trading around $2,925.
Currently, gold is attempting to re-enter the price range of $2,920 - $2,950. If the price fully recovers and trades within this range, it could confirm a fake breakout, signaling that the bullish trend remains intact.
Looking ahead, if gold successfully stabilizes above the lower boundary of this range, we might see another attempt to break above $2,950, potentially aiming for new highs. However, failure to hold above key levels could trigger renewed selling pressure.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $2,895 - $2,924
Resistance: $2,940 - $2,950
Important update - Nifty50 correctionHey Everyone,
I forgot a simple fact that we are viewing the market in Daily time frame
Higher time frame corrections will always mostly result in a Double Three or Triple Three correction, I have seen these happening before and i forgot to add that into my idea generation.
It was good that it popped again in my head.
Last post ( 2 hours back) i posted that 22280 -22240 will be area of reversal for wave C. I still hold on to the same thought....What happens next???? Markets cannot easily go that too after such a good corrective wave formation. Generally markets tend to form 2 or 3 corrections together.
While doing this , market will unfold a complex correction called WXY , 7 Wave structure.
1 ( Wave A) - 2(Wave B) - 3 (Wave C) --- -1st wave (W)
4 (Wave ABC) - 2nd Wave [ This is the connector for both corrections to happen) (X)
5 (Wave A) - 6( Wave B) - 7 (Wave C) --- 3rd Wave (Y)
We may be in the 1st Wave(W) of 3 (Wave C).
Sometimes market might even go for WXYXZ giving a 11 swing corrective structure.
Why I'm telling this is ....if market forms WXY structure, Wave Y will mostly break low of Wave W up to 123% extension of Wave W.
So 22280 -22240 might be low of current Wave W , but not the final low . market can also go more down by 500- 1000 points while completing Wave Y.
Be careful and plan accordingly on how to play the market.
Happy Trading
Cheers!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Nifty view post 26/2Hey Everyone,
Fantastic February month, Market moved 1K points up and 1K points down post our last analysis in unfolding wave 4 and Wave 5 of the final corrective Wave C in ABC pattern started last October. ( waves are labelled on the chart)
New interesting things.
Last post we saw how market fooled 'some' analysts while performing " contracting leading diagonal" in Wave A.
This time, Market is unfolding as an "expanding ending diagonal".
You might remember that i mentioned i will save this for later day and today is the day.
Will keep it simple.....
1) ******* Leading diagonal ***** - Always appears as subdivision of wave 1 in an impulse or subdivision of wave A in a zigzag. ( we saw this in the wave A in a zigzag).
Simply means, either during starting of a rally ( wave 1) or start of a corrective wave (wave A in zigzag)
This we already saw and it was a "contracting leading diagonal".
Wave 1 > Wave 3 > Wave 5
Internal structure - 5-3-5-3-5
2) ***** Ending diagonal****** - Always appears as subdivision of wave 5 in an impulse or subdivision of wave C in a zigzag. ( we are seeing this in wave C now).
Simply means, either during end of a rally ( wave 5) or end of a corrective wave (wave C in zigzag)
....................................................................
Ok, but how did we identify it? Remember , we told Wave 5 target can only be identified once wave 4 is unfolded.
Even though wave 3 is longer than wave 1,
wave 4 had entered into the wave 1 territory which is against Elliot wave principles ( this is because of the budget day relief to Indian markets or whatever the reason). This itself has changed the target of wave 5 .
Internal structure - 3-3-3-3-3
Wave 1 (1321) < Wave 3 (1438) < Wave 5 ( ?????)
with small calculation , based on % increase btw wave 1 and wave 3 , its coming close to 1567 points which gives a target of around ~22246. ( approximate) .
That should complete the final 5th and end of Wave ABC.
Its not happening tomorrow or in next 3 or 4 days, as per Fib time extension may take till March 19th ( this works or not, hence just sharing as side note) But level is important. so some up moves, down moves, sideways are still in cards.
This is just an idea as per market price action, I may be totally wrong, but hey having a view is better than having nothing. :D . Few points here and there is all fine with margin or error.
------Always look any analysis as an area of interest and confirm only based on price action------
Also, I share only few important rules, for others do check online.
Happy Trading
Cheers!!!!!!!!!!!!
Ohh...btw how it will be fooling 'Some' analysts ??
As per Elliot waves
There are three different ways to measure wave 5. First, wave 5 is inverse 123.6 – 161.8% retracement of wave 4. Second, wave 5 is equal to wave 1. Third, wave 5 is 61.8% of wave 1-3.
Since this is a diagonal wave , market will never respect these above levels and leave folks frustrated either by breaking them or never reaching them. In mean time, market will wind up things and start next rally.
Don't miss this bus as this bus not ending till 2027 somewhere ( month will we see later) .
I don't reply often and exact levels are a myth. I use only fib levels to estimate an area of potential reversal.
"Finding levels in market is like finding underwear in the ocean, you always come out naked" ( heard recently somewhere, thought to share).
Happy Shivaratri , Maha kal Blessings to all.
EUR/USD Had to Reverse After Facing 1.0500 ResistanceFX:EURUSD had to turn back when facing the 1.0500 resistance level. The euro’s weakness was mainly due to the strong recovery of the U.S. dollar, despite weak U.S. PMI data. However, this weakness was mitigated as support zones remain strong and active.
As seen on the chart, FX:EURUSD formed a new high, surpassing the previous peak. If this is not a false breakout, the pair has all the necessary factors to push higher in the near future (including an upward trendline, EMA 34 and 89 reversal, and a series of higher highs and higher lows).
However, in the short term, it needs to retest and accumulate more momentum, with support at 1.0460 and 1.0410 providing a crucial foundation.
Looking ahead, we should pay attention to key economic events that may impact FX:EURUSD including economic reports from the Eurozone and the U.S., as well as speeches from ECB and Fed officials. These insights could provide further clues on monetary policy and economic outlook, influencing the pair’s trajectory.
What about you? Do you think EUR/USD can sustain this uptrend?
XAUUSD : Is the Rally Set to Continue ?Hello everyone! It’s great to be back for another discussion on gold prices today.
Currently, gold continues to hold its bullish momentum, trading around $2,950, with a slight pullback that is not a major concern. This uptrend is driven by strong safe-haven demand, as investors remain wary of a global trade war, following President Donald Trump’s new tariff threats. Additionally, central banks continue to purchase gold, further pushing prices higher.
According to Goldman Sachs, gold could reach $3,200 by the end of this year. The primary reason behind this forecast is strong demand from central banks and investors seeking safe-haven assets, amid global economic uncertainty and new U.S. tax policies.
📉 Short-Term Outlook:
On the charts, gold remains capped below the $2,955 resistance level. The metal must break through this level to establish any meaningful upside momentum. Key support levels to watch include the EMA 34 and 89 signals, along with the $2,935 support zone.
💬 What do you think? Can gold continue its rally, or will we see a short-term correction?
What are the price action secrets you need to become profitable **SkyTradingZone** is your go-to source for educational content on trading, covering market insights, strategies, and in-depth analysis. Our goal is to empower traders with knowledge to navigate the markets effectively.
---
# **Price Action Secrets You Need to Become Profitable**
Price action trading is one of the most powerful and reliable trading methods used by professional traders. It focuses on analyzing raw market data, such as price movements, patterns, and market structure, **without relying on indicators**. Mastering price action can significantly improve your trading skills and profitability.
## **1️⃣ Understanding Market Structure – The Foundation of Price Action**
Before applying any strategy, you need to understand the **market structure**, which consists of **trends, support & resistance, and liquidity zones**.
### **Key Market Phases:**
- **Uptrend (Higher Highs, Higher Lows)** – The market moves up, and buying opportunities arise at support zones.
- **Downtrend (Lower Highs, Lower Lows)** – The market moves down, and selling opportunities emerge at resistance levels.
- **Sideways Market (Range-Bound)** – The price consolidates between support and resistance levels.
### **Secret Tip:**
✔️ **Mark swing highs and lows** on the chart to identify trend changes early.
---
## **2️⃣ The Power of Support and Resistance – Institutional Liquidity Zones**
Support and resistance levels are where **big institutional traders** place orders, causing price reversals or breakouts.
### **How to Identify Strong Levels?**
📌 **Look for multiple rejections** – The more times price reacts to a level, the stronger it is.
📌 **Check volume** – High volume near support/resistance confirms institutional activity.
📌 **Consider psychological levels** – Whole numbers like **18,000 in Nifty** or **200 in a stock** act as key levels.
### **Secret Tip:**
✔️ **Avoid weak support/resistance zones** where price has broken through easily in the past.
---
## **3️⃣ Candlestick Patterns – Market Psychology in Action**
Candlestick patterns help you predict future price movements based on **trader emotions**.
### **Must-Know Patterns:**
✅ **Reversal Patterns**
- **Pin Bar (Hammer/Shooting Star)** – Signals trend reversals.
- **Engulfing Candle** – A large candle that engulfs the previous one, confirming strong momentum.
✅ **Continuation Patterns**
- **Inside Bar** – A pause in price action before continuing in the trend direction.
- **Doji** – Indicates indecision, often followed by a breakout.
### **Secret Tip:**
✔️ **Combine candlestick patterns with support/resistance for high-probability trades**.
---
## **4️⃣ Market Traps – Stop Hunting by Smart Money**
Institutional traders manipulate price to trap retail traders. Understanding these traps will help you avoid losses.
### **Common Market Traps:**
🚨 **Fake Breakouts** – Price breaks a key level but reverses immediately.
🚨 **Liquidity Grabs** – Smart money moves price to hit stop losses before reversing.
🚨 **False Trends** – A sharp move in one direction before a bigger move in the opposite direction.
### **Secret Tip:**
✔️ **Wait for confirmation after breakouts before entering a trade**.
---
## **5️⃣ The Art of Trading Breakouts – How to Catch Big Moves**
Breakout trading is profitable but only when done correctly. Most traders **enter too early** and get stopped out.
### **How to Trade Breakouts Like a Pro?**
📌 **Use Volume Confirmation** – A breakout with high volume is more reliable.
📌 **Look for Retests** – Enter after price **retests the breakout level**.
📌 **Avoid Choppy Markets** – Low volatility breakouts often fail.
### **Secret Tip:**
✔️ **Trade breakouts in high liquidity zones (near big institutional orders) for the best success rate**.
---
## **6️⃣ The Secret Behind Trendlines – How Institutions Use Them**
Trendlines help traders **identify trends and dynamic support/resistance levels**.
### **How to Draw Trendlines Correctly?**
📌 **Connect at least 2 major swing points** for validity.
📌 **Use higher timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily)** for stronger trendlines.
📌 **Adjust trendlines if price reacts differently** over time.
### **Secret Tip:**
✔️ **Use trendlines with Fibonacci retracements for high-accuracy setups**.
---
## **7️⃣ Volume & Price Correlation – The Secret of Market Strength**
Price movement without volume is weak and often **leads to false breakouts**.
### **How to Use Volume in Price Action Trading?**
📌 **High volume with a bullish candle** → Strong uptrend confirmation.
📌 **Low volume with a big candle** → Possible manipulation by smart money.
📌 **Spike in volume at support/resistance** → Potential breakout or reversal.
### **Secret Tip:**
✔️ **Avoid trading when volume is too low (e.g., pre-market hours or holiday trading days).**
---
## **8️⃣ Risk Management – The Ultimate Price Action Secret**
Even with the best strategy, you won’t be profitable **without proper risk management**.
### **Golden Risk Management Rules:**
📌 **Risk only 1-2% per trade** – Never risk more than what you can afford to lose.
📌 **Always use a stop loss** – Place it below support (for buys) or above resistance (for sells).
📌 **Use Reward-to-Risk Ratio (RRR) of at least 2:1** – Your target should be **twice the risk**.
### **Secret Tip:**
✔️ **Avoid revenge trading – one bad trade does not define your success!**
---
# **Final Thoughts – Becoming Profitable with Price Action**
Price action trading is **one of the most effective trading strategies** when done correctly. It allows you to **trade like institutions** by following raw market data instead of relying on lagging indicators.
### **Key Takeaways:**
✔️ **Master market structure** to predict trends early.
✔️ **Trade with institutional support/resistance levels.**
✔️ **Use candlestick patterns & volume confirmation for entries.**
✔️ **Avoid market traps by understanding smart money manipulation.**
✔️ **Follow strict risk management rules to stay profitable long-term.**
By mastering these **price action secrets**, you can build a **consistent and profitable trading strategy** that works in any market condition.
---
🔹 **Disclaimer**: This content is for educational purposes only. *SkyTradingZone* is not SEBI registered and does not provide financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
Recent Stock Market Correction – Why are Indian Markets FallingThe Current Market Scenario
The Indian stock market has been on a strong bull run, but in recent months, indices have seen a sharp correction.
🔻 The BSE Sensex has fallen nearly 7.5% since December 2024.
🔻 Mid-cap and small-cap stocks have seen even larger declines, with some losing over 20% in value.
Reasons for the Market Downturn
1️⃣ Foreign Investors Are Pulling Out
FPIs (Foreign Portfolio Investors) have sold large amounts of Indian stocks, shifting money to other emerging markets like China.
A stronger US dollar and rising US bond yields are making foreign investors move out of Indian equities.
2️⃣ Small & Mid-Cap Stocks in Bear Market
Many small and mid-cap stocks rallied too fast in 2023 and are now facing a major correction.
SEBI has also warned against overvalued mid-cap stocks, leading to panic selling.
3️⃣ Pre-Election Uncertainty
With India’s general elections approaching, investors are uncertain about policy stability.
Historically, the market remains volatile before elections.
What Should Traders & Investors Do?
✔️ For Short-Term Traders
Expect higher volatility in the coming months.
Use stop-losses to protect profits.
Focus on high-quality large-cap stocks, as they are more stable.
✔️ For Long-Term Investors
View this correction as a buying opportunity for fundamentally strong stocks.
SIP (Systematic Investment Plans) in mutual funds or ETFs can help navigate market fluctuations.
✔️ For Options Traders
Use hedging strategies like protective puts to manage downside risks.
Trade with reduced leverage until market conditions stabilize.
Final Thoughts & Summary
📌 Religare Takeover – A major financial services company is now under new ownership, offering new opportunities.
📌 SEBI’s Derivatives Market Changes – Stricter regulations aim to protect retail traders but could impact liquidity.
📌 Stock Market Correction – A sharp downturn is driven by foreign investor outflows, small-cap overvaluation, and election uncertainty.
These topics are shaping the future of the Indian stock market, and traders must stay informed to adapt their strategies accordingly.
🔹 Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. SkyTradingZone is not SEBI registered, and we do not provide financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
SEBI’s Proposed Tightening of Derivatives Market RulesWhat is SEBI Trying to Do?
SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India) has proposed stricter regulations on the derivatives market, which includes stock and index futures & options. This move comes amid growing concerns about retail traders losing money due to high volatility and leverage in derivatives trading.
Key Changes Proposed by SEBI
1️⃣ Position Limits for Single Stock Derivatives
SEBI wants to cap the number of derivative contracts traders can hold for certain stocks.
The limit will be based on a stock’s market cap and daily traded volume.
This could reduce speculation and volatility in individual stocks.
2️⃣ Stricter Rules for Index Derivatives
Currently, traders can trade Nifty and Bank Nifty derivatives easily.
SEBI wants to introduce eligibility criteria so only fundamentally strong indices can have derivatives.
This may impact liquidity and the number of available trading instruments.
3️⃣ Pre-Open Trading Session for Futures
Just like in the cash market, SEBI wants a pre-open session for futures.
This could reduce gap-ups and gap-downs, making trading more stable.
Why is SEBI Doing This?
📉 Retail Traders Are Losing Money – Many new traders enter the market without experience, leading to heavy losses in options trading.
📊 Market Stability – Reducing excessive speculation will prevent stock price manipulation.
💰 Foreign Investment Confidence – Stricter rules can attract more institutional investors by making the Indian market more predictable.
How Will This Impact Traders?
✔️ Option Buyers and Sellers: Limited position sizes may reduce liquidity, affecting option pricing and spreads.
✔️ Intraday Traders: Changes in derivatives rules might lead to lower volatility, affecting momentum-based strategies.
✔️ Institutional Investors: Stricter rules could make Indian markets more attractive to foreign investors.
Trading Strategies Post-SEBI Changes
Focus on Cash Market Stocks: If derivative trading becomes restrictive, more money might flow into quality stocks.
Adapt to New Position Limits: Traders should carefully manage risk if new limits are imposed.
Use Hedging Strategies: If index derivatives face restrictions, hedging with ETFs and sectoral indices might become more important.