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NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 15-Dec-2025📊 NIFTY – TRADING PLAN FOR 15 DEC 2025 (Rewritten & Improved) Price closed near 26,014, exactly at a midpoint where both buyers and sellers showed activity. Your directional arrows indicate: Green arrows → Areas where buyers are expected to step in strongly; ideal long setups after confirmation Red arrows → Areas where sellers take control after buyer exhaustion; ideal short setups after breakdown & retest Orange arrows → Areas where price is indecisive; avoid trading until breakout or breakdown 🚀 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points) 1. If Nifty opens between 26,093 – 26,138 • This region reflects a hesitation zone, as shown by the orange arrows. • Buyers and sellers are both active; market is likely to range. • No trade here until market shows clear direction. • Watch for: – A breakout above 26,138 → follow the green arrow path, buyers take control → Targets 26,257 → 26,294. – A rejection from 26,138 and fall below 26,093 → follow red arrow path, sellers gain momentum → Target 25,947. 2. If market opens above 26,138 • According to the green directional arrows, buyers are ready to continue the rally. • Best trade: – Wait for a minor pullback into 26,138 area – Enter long on bullish confirmation • Target zone remains 26,257–26,294. • Ideal for option buyers due to direction clarity. 3. If gap-up opens only slightly above 26,014 but below 26,093 • The chart arrows show mixed direction — no strong trend yet. • Wait for confirmation. • Only trade after: – Break and retest above 26,093 (long) – Break below 25,947 (short) ⚖ 2. FLAT OPENING (around 26,000) 1. Price moves into 26,093 zone first (orange arrows) • This is a stalling region — price may oscillate, offering no clear setup. • Avoid trading until breakout or breakdown. • Once direction is chosen: – Above 26,093 → follow green arrows → long opportunity – Below 25,947 → follow red arrows → short opportunity 2. If 25,947 holds strongly after open • Buyers are showing interest exactly where the green arrows begin. • Good long setup after a higher-low or bullish candle pattern. • Targets: 26,014 → 26,093 → 26,138. 3. If price rejects 26,093 and turns down sharply • This is aligned with first red arrow structure. • Short only when price breaks 25,947 with momentum and retests. • Targets: 25,885 → 25,771. 📉 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points) 1. Opening near 25,885 • Your green arrows show this as a strong buyer reaction zone. • Expect a possible reversal or stabilisation. • Long setup only after: – Wick rejections – CHoCH / BOS – Retest of intraday level • Upside targets: 25,947 → 26,014 → 26,093. 2. If 25,885 breaks and price fails retest • This confirms the red arrows' downward continuation path. • Best short entry: – Break – Retest – Confirmation candle • Targets: 25,771. 3. If price opens directly near 25,771 • This is where the strongest fight occurs before the market chooses direction — shown by mixed arrows. • Avoid immediate entry. • Only trade once: – Strong reversal appears (long) – Or level breaks and confirms (short) 🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT FOR OPTIONS TRADERS 1. Avoid trading the first 5 minutes, especially on gap days. 2. SL must be based on SPOT price, not premium. 3. Follow arrow direction strictly: – Green arrows → Consider CE / long futures – Red arrows → Consider PE / short futures – Orange arrows → Avoid trades completely 4. Do not buy far OTM options during consolidation. 5. When in profit, trail SL — especially near 26,138 & 26,257 resistance. 6. Respect max loss limit: stop for the day if you hit 1–2% capital loss. 📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION • Green arrows = Buyer strength zones → Best long setups with good R:R. • Red arrows = Short continuation zones → Ideal areas to short after breakdown confirmation. • Orange arrows = No-trade areas → Wait for breakout; don’t force trades. • Above 26,138, bullish momentum increases. • Below 25,947, bearish continuation strengthens. • Profit booking expected at 26,257–26,294. This plan aligns exactly with the direction suggested by your arrows and provides a clean, professional decision-making framework. ⚠ DISCLAIMER I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is only for educational purposes. Trade using your own analysis and risk management.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
1
Tech Mahindra: Structure Still Favors One More Upside LegPrice action from the ₹1383.60 low has unfolded as a clean impulsive sequence, with Waves (1), (2), and a strong Wave (3) already in place. The advance was supported by clear volume expansion , validating the impulsive nature of the move. Momentum also peaked during Wave (3) , with RSI reaching overbought levels — a classic third-wave signature . Following the Wave (3) high near ₹1595.70 , price has transitioned into a corrective phase. The decline is best interpreted as Wave (4) in progress , with only the (a),(b) legs formed so far. The structure continues to respect the typical Fibonacci retracement zone , keeping the broader bullish setup intact. A final (c) leg is still expected before Wave (4) can be considered complete. Importantly, the higher-degree context does not materially alter the forward expectation . Whether the move from ₹1383.60 marks the start of a fresh impulsive advance , or represents the internal Wave C of a larger corrective pattern unfolding as a five-wave structure, the current setup continues to favor one more upside leg — Wave (5) . That said, patience remains key . Focus remains on identifying a proper Wave (4) termination before anticipating continuation higher. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:TECHMLong
by WaveXplorer
DIOGONAL BREAK DOWN OF ETHERIUMETHUSD – Ending Diagonal Completed, Wave 5 Reversal Underway Ethereum has completed a classic ending diagonal at the top of Wave (5), and the structure has now broken down exactly as expected. Price action showed: Clear loss of momentum near the upper diagonal boundary A final push that failed to extend impulsively A sharp reversal candle confirming the breakdown Retracement into the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci zone This behavior aligns perfectly with Elliott Wave guidelines for an ending diagonal termination. As long as ETH stays below the breakdown zone, the market opens room toward: 3029 (0.5 retracement) 2965 (Fib 1.0) 2929 (0.618 retracement) Please like this podt if it helps you,folloe me to get updates
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by bijoy2526
1
GOLD 4H | Liquidity Harvest Done… Now the Slide BeginsPrice engineered liquidity above the previous swing high and immediately delivered a sharp rejection, confirming a buy-side liquidity grab and the start of distribution. Structure has now shifted bearish with a clear BOS from the premium zone. I’m expecting a mitigation leg before continuation lower. The draw on liquidity sits inside the 4100–4080 demand imbalance, which aligns with unmitigated bullish orders from the prior accumulation phase. If 4100 fails to hold on mitigation, the next liquidity pools rest at: 4022 (clean sell-side pocket) 3998 (final downside liquidity target)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by YCGH_Capital
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – Week 3 of December 2025 1. Momentum Weekly (W1): Weekly momentum is approaching the overbought zone. There is a high probability that in the coming week, W1 momentum will enter the overbought area and start showing signs of a bearish reversal. Daily (D1): D1 momentum is currently in the overbought zone and preparing to turn down. We need confirmation from a clear bearish D1 candle. Once confirmed, the market is likely to enter a corrective move lasting approximately 4–5 days. H4: H4 momentum has already turned bearish. However, it still needs around 2–3 more H4 candles to reach the oversold zone, indicating that short-term downside momentum remains intact. 2. Elliott Wave Structure Weekly Timeframe (W1) On the weekly chart, wave X (purple) appears to be in its final phase. Price is currently trading near the base of wave W, suggesting a high probability that this structure is forming a flat correction. Key characteristics of a flat pattern: - Price can retrace back to the origin of wave W. - It may even exceed the W low/high and create a marginal new extreme. - However, this breakout is typically limited before price reverses to complete wave Y. In the current context, weekly momentum has not yet confirmed a bearish reversal. Therefore, the possibility of one final upward push in wave X cannot be ruled out before a larger decline begins. Daily Timeframe (D1) On the daily chart, wave X (purple) is developing as an ABC structure. At present: - The red wave C has already completed a 5-wave internal structure. - Price is now trading within the green wave 5 of wave C. With D1 momentum already in the overbought zone, there is a high probability that green wave 5 is nearing completion. Once this wave ends, price is expected to decline to form wave Y. However, an important caution remains: - D1 momentum has not yet confirmed a bearish reversal. - Therefore, attempting to catch the exact top of wave X carries risk. - As discussed on the weekly timeframe, flat corrections can allow price to equal or slightly exceed the wave W level before reversing. H4 Timeframe Looking more closely at the H4 structure: - The 5-wave sequence (1–2–3–4–5 in green) within the red wave C has completed. - Wave 5 reached its projected target near 4334, after which price started to decline sharply. H4 momentum still requires 2–3 candles to reach oversold conditions, suggesting: - The current bearish leg still has room to extend. - The most probable scenario is a continuation lower toward the POC zone (green line) around 4215 – 4187, followed by a corrective bounce. If this scenario unfolds: - The current decline is likely forming wave 1 down of a new 5-wave structure for wave Y. - The subsequent recovery would be wave 2, typically unfolding as an ABC corrective move. - This wave 2 rally would provide a high-probability sell opportunity, especially if H4 momentum rebounds into the overbought zone again. 3. Key Notes & Risk Awareness One critical point to emphasize: - Weekly momentum is preparing to enter the overbought zone and potentially reverse. - Daily momentum is already overbought. - This momentum confluence suggests that the coming decline could be more extended, aiming to push weekly momentum back toward oversold conditions. In practice, weekly momentum often requires multiple oscillations (commonly around three reversals) to complete a full corrective cycle. Therefore: - Patience is essential during this phase. - Avoid prematurely adopting a long-term bullish bias. - Always wait for price action confirmation. This analysis represents a directional warning and scenario planning only. All expectations must be confirmed by real-time price behavior. 4. Conclusion For the upcoming week, the primary bias favors a bearish corrective phase. Detailed trading plans (entries, stop loss, and targets) will be updated daily as new price data becomes available.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
2
Nifty Analysis for Dec 15, 2025Wrap-up: Nifty breaks and sustains above 25908. Therefore, b is completed at 25693 and now, Nifty will head towards its final wave c of wave y of wave 5 but before that it will retest the breakout level of 25908. What I’m Watching for Dec 13, 2025 🔍 Sell nifty only intraday if it breaks and sustains below 26012 SL 26057 for a target of 25922-25904-25887. Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ChartMasteryHQ
7
A high prob reversal zoneHindzinc CMP - 564.25 Elliott- the entire rally is a complicated one. The second abc rally is done and has come to an important resistance zone on the chart. Hence the probability that its the end of wave B is very very high. Fibs- the rally has halted at fib confluence at 571. Pivot- the current zone is a pivot on the chart and hence we know its a high prob reversal zone. Conclusion - With the rest of the stocks in the sector showing reversal, the prob that this rally is done and it will reverse from here is very very high.
NSE:HINDZINC
by singh17vivek
2
XAUUSD Technical Analysis (1H Timeframe)📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis (1H Timeframe) 🔹 Trend Overview Overall Bias: Bullish Price continues to trade in a higher high–higher low structure Strong trend continuation with no confirmed reversal pattern yet 📈 Indicator Analysis EMA / VWAP Band Price is holding above the EMA–VWAP band, indicating sustained buying pressure Pullbacks into the band are being respected → trend-following environment Supertrend (10,3) Supertrend remains green Acts as a dynamic support around 4340 Trend remains valid as long as price stays above this level RSI (14) RSI near 65 Bullish momentum without overbought conditions Indicates scope for further upside before exhaustion Volume Volume is stable with no major sell-off spikes Confirms healthy bullish participation, not a distribution phase 🧱 Key Price Levels Support Zones 4340 – 4342 → VWAP / Supertrend support 4324 – 4328 → Intraday demand & structure support 4306 – 4310 → Deeper correction zone (trend defense area) Resistance Zones 4350 – 4355 → Immediate intraday resistance 4370 – 4385 → Bullish extension / breakout targets 🎯 Trade Outlook Bullish Continuation Scenario (Preferred) Buy on pullbacks toward 4340 – 4342 Invalidation below 4324 Upside targets: 4355 4370 4385 Short-Term Correction Scenario If a 1H candle closes below 4324: Expect a retracement toward 4306 Overall trend remains bullish unless 4290 breaks 🧠 Conclusion Gold remains firmly bullish on the 1H timeframe. Momentum favors dip-buying, with buyers defending key dynamic supports. Only a sustained break below 4324 would weaken the current bullish structure.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by carlos_fx2
2
Derivatives Trading SecretsMastering Leverage, Risk, and Market Psychology Derivatives trading is often seen as a complex and high-risk area of financial markets, reserved only for professionals. However, when understood correctly, derivatives can become powerful tools for profit generation, risk management, and strategic positioning. The real “secrets” of derivatives trading are not hidden formulas or insider tricks, but a deep understanding of leverage, disciplined risk control, market structure, and trader psychology. This article раскрыts the core principles that successful traders consistently apply to gain an edge in derivatives markets. Understanding the True Nature of Derivatives Derivatives are financial contracts whose value is derived from an underlying asset such as stocks, indices, commodities, currencies, or cryptocurrencies. Common derivatives include futures, options, and swaps. The first secret of derivatives trading is recognizing that these instruments amplify both opportunity and risk. Because derivatives often require only a margin instead of full capital, traders gain leverage. This leverage magnifies profits, but it also magnifies losses with equal force. Many beginners focus only on potential returns and overlook how quickly losses can accumulate. Successful traders, on the other hand, treat derivatives as precision instruments. They understand that derivatives are not investments in the traditional sense but tactical tools designed for specific objectives such as hedging, speculation, or arbitrage. Leverage Is a Double-Edged Sword One of the most important derivatives trading secrets is knowing how to use leverage responsibly. High leverage is attractive because it allows traders to control large positions with relatively small capital. However, excessive leverage is the primary reason most derivative traders fail. Professional traders rarely use maximum leverage. Instead, they calculate position size based on acceptable risk per trade, usually limiting losses to a small percentage of total capital. They understand that survival comes first. In derivatives trading, staying in the game long enough is more important than chasing extraordinary gains in a single trade. The secret lies in controlled leverage—using just enough to enhance returns while maintaining enough margin to withstand normal market volatility. Risk Management Is the Real Edge If there is one universal truth in derivatives trading, it is that risk management matters more than strategy. Many traders spend years searching for the perfect setup while ignoring basic risk principles. Successful traders think in probabilities, not certainties. They define risk before entering a trade by setting stop-loss levels, understanding margin requirements, and planning exit strategies. They also account for gap risk, volatility spikes, and event-driven movements such as earnings, economic data, or policy announcements. Another key secret is consistency. Instead of risking large amounts on a few trades, disciplined traders risk small, repeatable amounts over many trades. This approach allows the law of large numbers to work in their favor. Volatility Is a Friend, Not an Enemy In derivatives markets, volatility is not something to fear—it is something to understand. Futures and options traders, in particular, thrive on volatility. The secret is not predicting direction alone but understanding how volatility impacts pricing. Options traders focus heavily on implied volatility, time decay, and volatility cycles. They know when to buy options during low volatility and when to sell or structure spreads during high volatility. Futures traders adjust position sizes based on volatility to avoid being shaken out by normal price swings. Rather than avoiding volatile markets, experienced traders adapt their strategies to changing volatility conditions. Market Structure and Liquidity Matter Another often-overlooked secret is the importance of market structure. Liquidity, bid-ask spreads, open interest, and contract specifications play a major role in derivatives trading success. Highly liquid contracts such as index futures or major stock options offer tighter spreads and smoother execution, reducing trading costs. Professionals prefer liquid markets because they allow quick entry and exit without significant slippage. They also pay attention to rollover dates in futures contracts and changes in open interest to gauge market sentiment and participation. Understanding how institutions operate within derivatives markets provides insight into price behavior that retail traders often miss. Timing Is More Important Than Prediction Many traders believe success depends on predicting market direction accurately. In reality, timing and execution matter far more. Even a correct market view can result in losses if entries and exits are poorly timed. Derivatives trading secrets include waiting for confirmation, trading with the trend, and aligning multiple time frames. Traders often enter positions when momentum aligns with broader market structure, rather than trying to catch tops and bottoms. Patience is a hidden advantage. The ability to wait for high-probability setups separates professionals from impulsive traders. Psychology Determines Long-Term Success The most powerful secret in derivatives trading lies in the trader’s mindset. Fear, greed, overconfidence, and revenge trading are responsible for most losses. Because derivatives move quickly, emotional mistakes are amplified. Successful traders develop emotional discipline. They accept losses as part of the business and do not attach ego to individual trades. They follow predefined rules even after a series of losses or wins. Keeping a trading journal, reviewing mistakes, and focusing on process rather than outcome are common habits among consistently profitable derivatives traders. Adaptability Is Essential Markets evolve, and strategies that work today may fail tomorrow. Another critical secret is adaptability. Professional traders continuously monitor market conditions and adjust their strategies accordingly. They know when to be aggressive and when to step back. They also understand that no single strategy works in all market environments. Trend-following strategies perform well in strong directional markets, while range-bound strategies work better during consolidation phases. Flexibility and continuous learning keep traders aligned with the market rather than fighting it. Conclusion Derivatives trading secrets are not about shortcuts or guaranteed profits. They are about mastering leverage, respecting risk, understanding volatility, and maintaining psychological discipline. Derivatives offer immense potential, but only to those who approach them with preparation, patience, and professionalism. By focusing on risk management, controlled leverage, market structure, and mindset, traders can transform derivatives from dangerous instruments into powerful tools. In the end, the true secret of derivatives trading is not predicting the market—but managing yourself within it.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Master Your Trading MindsetThe Psychological Edge Behind Consistent Market Success In the world of trading, strategies, indicators, and market knowledge are important, but they are not the ultimate deciding factors between success and failure. The true differentiator is mindset. Many traders enter the markets believing that mastering technical analysis or finding a perfect strategy will guarantee profits. Over time, they discover a hard truth: trading is less about predicting the market and more about controlling oneself. To master your trading mindset is to build emotional discipline, mental clarity, and psychological resilience that allow you to perform consistently in an uncertain and often stressful environment. Understanding the Role of Mindset in Trading Markets are driven by human behavior—fear, greed, hope, and panic. As a trader, you are not just analyzing price charts; you are also participating in a collective psychological game. Every decision you make is influenced by emotions, whether you realize it or not. A strong trading mindset allows you to observe these emotions without being controlled by them. Instead of reacting impulsively to market noise, you respond logically based on your trading plan. Many traders fail not because their analysis is wrong, but because their emotions interfere at critical moments. They exit winning trades too early due to fear, hold losing trades too long due to hope, or overtrade after a loss in an attempt to recover quickly. Mastering your mindset means recognizing these emotional traps and building habits that protect you from them. Discipline: The Foundation of a Strong Trading Mindset Discipline is the backbone of successful trading. It means following your trading plan consistently, regardless of recent wins or losses. A disciplined trader understands that no single trade defines success. Instead, success comes from executing a proven process repeatedly over time. Without discipline, even the best strategy becomes useless. Traders often break rules when emotions rise—moving stop losses, increasing position size impulsively, or entering trades without proper confirmation. A strong mindset keeps discipline intact, reminding you that long-term survival is more important than short-term excitement. Managing Fear and Greed Fear and greed are the two dominant emotions in trading. Fear can stop you from entering good trades, cause premature exits, or lead to hesitation. Greed, on the other hand, pushes traders to overtrade, take excessive risk, or ignore exit signals in the hope of bigger profits. Mastering your mindset involves finding balance. You must accept risk as a natural part of trading and become comfortable with uncertainty. Losses are not failures; they are business expenses. When you truly accept this, fear loses its grip. Similarly, controlling greed requires understanding that markets will always provide opportunities. Missing one trade is insignificant compared to protecting your capital and confidence. Developing Emotional Resilience Trading is emotionally demanding. Drawdowns, losing streaks, and unexpected market moves are inevitable. Emotional resilience is the ability to stay focused and confident despite these challenges. Traders with strong resilience do not let a losing streak damage their self-belief or push them into revenge trading. Resilient traders review losses objectively, learn from mistakes, and move forward without emotional baggage. They understand that confidence should come from process, not outcomes. When you trust your system and execution, temporary setbacks no longer feel personal. Patience and the Art of Waiting One of the most underrated skills in trading is patience. Markets do not offer high-quality opportunities all the time. Many losses occur simply because traders feel the need to be active. A strong trading mindset embraces waiting as a strategic advantage. Patience means waiting for clear setups, proper risk-reward conditions, and favorable market environments. It also means letting trades play out according to plan instead of interfering emotionally. In trading, doing nothing is often the most profitable decision. Building Consistency Through Routine A professional mindset treats trading as a business, not a gamble. This requires routine and structure. Pre-market preparation, post-trade reviews, journaling, and regular performance evaluation are essential habits. These routines create mental stability and reduce emotional decision-making. A trading journal, in particular, is a powerful tool for mindset development. By recording not only trades but also emotions and thoughts, you gain awareness of psychological patterns that affect performance. Over time, this self-awareness leads to better emotional control and consistency. Letting Go of Perfection Perfectionism is a hidden enemy in trading. Many traders constantly search for flawless entries, zero losses, or a “holy grail” strategy. This mindset creates frustration and unrealistic expectations. The reality is that losses are unavoidable, and even the best traders are wrong frequently. Mastering your trading mindset means accepting imperfection. You focus on probabilities, not certainty. Your goal is not to win every trade, but to manage risk effectively and let your edge play out over a series of trades. Confidence Rooted in Preparation True trading confidence does not come from recent profits; it comes from preparation and experience. When you have a clear plan, tested strategy, and defined risk rules, confidence naturally follows. This confidence allows you to execute trades without hesitation or emotional conflict. Overconfidence, however, is dangerous. A strong mindset maintains humility, respecting the market at all times. Confident traders trust their skills but never underestimate risk. Long-Term Thinking and Growth Finally, mastering your trading mindset requires a long-term perspective. Trading success is a journey of continuous learning and psychological growth. Every market phase, win, and loss contributes to your development as a trader. Instead of focusing solely on profits, focus on becoming a better decision-maker. When your mindset improves, results follow naturally. Trading then becomes not just a way to earn money, but a discipline that builds patience, self-control, and emotional intelligence. Conclusion To master your trading mindset is to gain the most powerful edge in the markets. Strategies may change, markets may evolve, but psychological strength remains timeless. By developing discipline, managing emotions, building resilience, and thinking long-term, you transform trading from a stressful struggle into a structured, professional pursuit. In the end, the market is not your biggest challenge—you are. When you master your mindset, consistent success becomes possible.
NSE:INDIAVIXEducation
by TechnicalExpress
WOCKPHARMA 1 Day Time Frame 📌 Live Current Price (Approx) ≈ ₹1,341 on NSE (latest available market data) 📊 📈 Daily Pivot & Support/Resistance Levels (Today) Using standard pivot calculation (based on previous day range) — reliable for 1D intraday view: 🔹 Pivot Point (PP): ~ ₹1,360.07 🔹 Resistance Levels: R1: ₹1,401.93 R2: ₹1,443.87 R3: ₹1,485.73 🔹 Support Levels: S1: ₹1,318.13 S2: ₹1,276.27 S3: ₹1,234.33 🧠 Alternate Intraday Levels (from technical screener) Pivot Speed Levels R1: ~ ₹1,353.53 R2: ~ ₹1,365.87 R3: ~ ₹1,381.13 S1: ~ ₹1,325.93 S2: ~ ₹1,310.67 S3: ~ ₹1,298.33 🔍 Intraday Price Range (Observed Today) Day’s Low: ~ ₹1,323 Day’s High: ~ ₹1,350+
NSE:WOCKPHARMALong
by Knowledgehub
NBCC 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Daily Levels (1D Timeframe) Current approximate price: ~₹108-110 on NSE (recent session data) 📈 Resistance Levels R1: ~₹108.7–110.3 (intraday pivot/Bollinger & near recent highs) R2: ~₹112.3 (upper BB) R3: ~₹113+ & above recent short-term zone highs Important psychological/near-term resistances to watch: ~₹112–115 area (previous consolidation zone). 📉 Support Levels S1: ~₹106.3–106.9 (near pivot S2/Bollinger) S2: ~₹105.3 (pivot S3 area) S3: ~₹98–100 (broader confirmed support from recent ranges) Below ~₹105, structure weakens toward the ~₹98 area, which has acted as support in prior daily ranges.
NSE:NBCCLong
by Knowledgehub
Natural gas updated levels, if 395&400 break then uptrend startParameter Data Data Asset Name Natural Gas Futures (MCX) Price Movement 🟨 Technical Bounce/Mild Bullish (₹381.2 / +1.25% Live) Current Trade 🟥 SELL ON RISE (Focus on short-term technical resistance) SMC Structure 🟥 Bearish Order Flow (कीमतें 20-DEMA से नीचे हैं) Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Supply/Trap Zone at ₹390 – ₹400 (Previous support turned resistance) Probability 🟥 60% (for trend continuation down after the bounce) Risk Reward 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟥 Moderate-Low (मौसमी मांग में कमी के कारण) Max Pain 🟨 ₹380-₹390 (Options chain data suggests concentration here) DEMA Levels 🟥 Bearish (Price settled below 20-DEMA - ₹411.40) Supports 🟥 S1: ₹372.70 (Day's Low/Immediate), 🟥 S2: ₹360 (Previous Swing Low), 🟥 S3: ₹342.20 (Key Structural Support) Resistances 🟩 R1: ₹390 (Immediate/Psychological), 🟩 R2: ₹411.40 (20-DEMA/Major), 🟩 R3: ₹440 (High Volume Zone) ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI Below 50 / MACD Bearish Crossover (Momentum Weak) Market Depth 🟨 Neutral-Bearish (Initial bounce is being met with selling pressure) Volatility 🟥 Very High (Recent weekly decline was largest in three years) Source Ledger 🟩 Official MCX Live Feed, EIA Inventory Data & Choice India (Citing weather, inventory, and technical targets) OI 🟨 Neutral (Overall OI is volatile/indecisive) OI Change (Net) 🟨 Mixed/Neutral (Dec contract OI fell -9%, while Jan/Feb increased) PCR 🟥 0.45 (22 Dec Expiry - Extreme Call Writing/Bearish Bias) VWAP 🟥 Bearish (Price is attempting to move up, but struggling against daily average - FILLED_VWAP) Turnover 🟩 High (High volume confirms strong trading activity/liquidation) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Focus on weather/inventory) IV/RV 🟥 High IV (Implied Volatility is high due to uncertainty/risk) Options Skew 🟥 Bearish Skew (Call premiums are high, reflecting strong downside fear/hedge) Vanna/Charm 🟥 Negative Gamma (Volatility and whipsaws are expected) Block Trades 🟥 Short-Side Dominance (Liquidation pressures continue) COT Positioning 🟥 Long Liquidation (Speculative net long positions have reduced sharply) Cross-Asset Correlation 🟨 Low to Neutral (Price is primarily weather-driven, not macro-driven) ETF Rotation 🟥 Outflows (Capital moving out due to weak outlook) Sentiment Index 🟥 30 (Fear) OFI 🟥 Negative (Net selling flow dominates the rise) VWAP Bands 🟥 Price Trading Below Lower Band (Confirmation of downtrend) Rotation Metrics 🟥 Lagging (Underperforming the energy complex) Market Phase 🟥 Contraction/Correction (Sustained fall after the peak) Yield Curve Slope 🟩 Steepening (Overall pro-growth, but ignored by NatGas due to unique fundamentals) DXY/USDINR Bias 🟨 Neutral (Weather is the main driver) POC (Point of Control) 🟥 ₹400.00 (High volume node from the previous peak, now acting as resistance) Key Retracement 🟥 ₹395 - ₹410 (50% Retracement of the recent sharp drop)
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 15-Dec-2025📊 NIFTY – TRADING PLAN FOR 15 DEC 2025 Nifty closed near 26,037, just above a key support band (Opening Support: 25,979–26,015) and below a series of overhead resistances. The session will heavily depend on how price reacts at: Opening Support Zone: 25,979 – 26,015 Opening Resistance: 26,093 Last Intraday Resistance: 26,179 Major Upside Target: 26,266 Opening Support (Gap-down case): 25,873 Last Intraday Support: 25,771 Let’s break down every opening scenario. 🚀 1. GAP–UP OPENING (100+ points) A gap-up above 26,130–26,150 shows strong bullish intent. 1. If Nifty opens above 26,093 but below 26,179 • Market opens directly inside resistance. • Do NOT chase long immediately. • Wait for either: – Breakout above 26,179, followed by retest → Long toward 26,266. – Rejection at 26,179, falling back under 26,093 → Short toward 26,015. 2. If Nifty opens above 26,179 • Strong bullish continuation. • On a retest of 26,179, a long becomes high-probability. • Targets: 26,220 → 26,266. • Book partial profits in the final target zone. 3. If gap-up is between 26,015–26,093 • Price opens slightly above support and may retest the zone. • If 26,015–25,979 holds → Long toward 26,093 → 26,179. • If 26,015 breaks with momentum, move to caution; market becomes vulnerable to deeper pullbacks. ⚖ 2. FLAT OPENING (near 25,980–26,030) A flat open near support allows clearer early structure. 1. If 25,979–26,015 holds as strong support • Watch for bullish rejection candles or higher lows. • Long setups valid toward 26,093 → 26,179. 2. Break above 26,093 with a retest • Confirms directional strength. • Target becomes 26,179 → 26,266. 3. If price rejects 26,093 early and falls back • Sideways consolidation may form inside the orange zone. • Only short when 25,979 breaks convincingly. • Downside targets: 25,873 → 25,771. 📉 3. GAP–DOWN OPENING (100+ points) Expected gap-down region: 25,930–25,850. 1. If opening is near 25,873 (Gap-down Support) • Avoid shorting blindly; it’s a strong demand zone. • Look for reversal patterns (wick rejections, CHoCH). • If confirmed → Long toward 25,979 → 26,015. 2. If opening falls below 25,873 • Market enters weak territory. • Next support is 25,771 (Last Intraday Support). • A retest of 25,873 after breakdown → Short toward 25,771. 3. If 25,771 also breaks • Trend turns bearish for the session. • Expect extended downside movement; avoid bottom fishing. • Trail SL aggressively if short. 🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT GUIDELINES FOR OPTIONS TRADERS 1. Avoid trading first 3–5 minutes, especially on gap days (IV distortion). 2. Keep SL based on spot levels, not premium fluctuation alone. 3. Prefer ATM/ITM options for directional trades — better risk control. 4. Do NOT average losing positions — cut losers quickly. 5. Avoid deep OTM options unless using them for hedging. 6. Book partial profits at intermediate levels to lock in gains. 7. If VIX rises sharply → favor option selling with hedges. 8. Maximum daily loss limit = 1–2% of capital. Stop trading once hit. 📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION • Bullish bias only above 26,093, with confirmation above 26,179. • Upside target zone: up to 26,266. • Neutral/choppy zone: 25,979–26,093. Confirm structure before entering. • Downside risk: Below 25,979, real weakness begins. • Major supports for reversal: 25,873 and 25,771. Stay patient, avoid emotional trades, and trade only on confirmation. ⚠ DISCLAIMER I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be treated as investment advice. Always conduct your own analysis and follow strict risk management.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox