BankNifty at Crossroads: Will 52,600 Hold the Bulls?As per our last update via comment: “Bulls will remain strong if the index holds above 52,600.”...
5th December 2024
The rising trendline halted the index at 53,888.
6th Dec 2024
Post-RBI policy today, the index again paused near the rising trendline.
The big question
Will the buying zone of 52,500-52,600 come into play again?
And if it does, will it hold that zone?
“If the index revisits the 52,500-52,600 zone and holds, will you dare to miss the opportunity to ride the bulls again?”
Market Whispers! ...Can You Hear Them?
Regards,
WaveTalks
Abhishek
Wavetalks
BankNifty - 900 Points Bounce - Leading Diagonal Scenario ?As we discussed on 1st Dec 2024, an upside move towards the recent high was anticipated. If the recent high holds...then what?
I'm glad to see we got a strong 900+ points bounce in Bank Nifty Index since Monday, 2nd Dec 2024. This aligns exactly with our weekend discussion.
Elliott Wave Analysis (Advanced School of Thought)
This could be a classic market scenario to include in my upcoming book. If the index halts below 52760, we might be witnessing a Leading Diagonal Scenario:
From the highs of 52760's
Referencing the bible book of Elliott Wave by Frost & Prechter (Page 41, Figure 1-21):
Snapshot captured at 11;49 am / 3rd Dec 2024
Leading Diagonals occur at the start of a decline.
They can retrace up to 99.99% but cannot exceed 100%, which would be 52760 in this case.
Current Scenario:
A Leading Diagonal appears to be forming from the highs of 52760.
It has retraced until today's high of 52748.
Can This Be a Double Top and Leading Diagonal Scenario at 52760?
Line in the Sand (Stop Loss):
The index cannot cross above 52760. If it does, the pattern is invalidated, and we’ll need to reassess.
Market Whispers! ...Can You Hear Them?
Regards,
WaveTalks
Abhishek
BankNifty, Nifty, Gold & Bitcoin - Maha Bounce!In last week's video, we anticipated significant moves across BankNifty, Nifty, Gold, and Bitcoin, all aligning with NDA+ victory in the Maharashtra Assembly elections. Here’s a quick recap and what to watch next:
BankNifty: What's Next?
- The index could face resistance in the 51650-51950 zone as a Bearish Shark pattern unfolds along with falling channel resistance.
- If a gap-up move brings BankNifty into this resistance zone and it holds below 52000, it could present an opportunity to sell.
- Key Alert: If the index breaks above 52000, the Bearish Shark pattern becomes invalid, as it would breach the falling channel.
- In case of a gap-up opening at 51650-51950, be cautious of a sharp drop towards the 50950-51000- first target zone downside
- Further downside could extend to 50350-50550 if 50900 support breaks.
Gold: A $100+ Upside Move
Gold delivered a remarkable bounce, gaining over $100 + as discussed last week.
Bitcoin: Nearing $100,000
Bitcoin is on the verge of a monumental milestone, heading close to the $100,000 mark—a notable achievement since last week's prediction.
Stay sharp as we enter this critical week. Watch for the levels discussed, and remember to trade with caution. Let’s see how these setups play out!
Market whispers! Can You Hear Them?
Have a great week ahead!
Best regards,
WaveTalks
Bitcoin - Irregular Triangle heading for 100,000 USD Target ?As discussed in yesterday's video, we're expecting a thrust in Bitcoin towards the 100K USD mark. Will this milestone become a reality soon? 🚀💰
Irregular Triangle
An Irregular Triangle has beautifully unfolded, setting the stage for an upside thrust as per Elliott Wave Theory. This pattern, characterized by its distinct higher highs and lower lows within corrective waves, signals the breakout wave.
From a wave perspective:
- The ABCDE structure of the triangle suggests a classic consolidation phase is complete.
- The upward thrust aligns with the typical post-triangle behavior, often extends strongly in the direction of the trend.
Regards,
WaveTalks
Abhishek
Disclaimer
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All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
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BankNifty -E Wave or Explosive Wave - 1000+ Point RallyAs we discussed in the last idea .... Magical support zone gave us 1000+ point rally so far -which is part of Wave-E as per Elliott Wave Triangle
#elliottwave #waveanalysis #endingdiagonal #fallingwedge #trianglecorrection #trianglewave #correctivewaves
WaveTalks Snapshot
Last Idea - Elliott Wave Triangle: The Black 2024 Effect
Regards,
WaveTalks
Abhishek
Elliott Wave Triangle: The Black 2024 Effect Elliott Wave Triangle: The Black 2024 Effect – The Calm Before the Breakout
The Endless Loop of Black (2024) Movie and BankNifty
In Black (2024 ), a couple is trapped in a never-ending time loop, going over the same path again and again. The BankNifty Index seems to follow a similar pattern, moving in waves that repeat familiar highs and lows. This strange similarity pulls us in, as both the movie and the market seem to be on a path that’s both puzzling and exciting.
A Powerful Journey Through Time
Black (2024) is more than just a movie—it’s a story about love, destiny, and time’s unbreakable cycles. With powerful direction, the movie takes us on a deep journey, revealing hidden truths with each loop. In the same way, BankNifty’s wave-like patterns give moments of clarity, only to change direction again, much like a never-ending dance in the market.
Could the U.S. Election Be Fueling This Pattern?
BankNifty’s cycle might also reflect the high stakes of the U.S. Presidential Election . With Kamala Harris and Donald Trump neck-and-neck in the race, the market feels the tension of this intense battle. BankNifty is forming an Elliott Wave Triangle – a pattern that traps traders in a similar loop of ups and downs, mirroring the suspense and energy of the election.
Elliott Wave Triangle: The Calm Before the Breakout
The Elliott Wave Triangle pattern is a consolidating formation that shows up when the market is preparing for its next big move. It forms a series of back-and-forth waves, typically in five parts (A-B-C-D-E), creating a narrowing structure like a triangle. This pattern often appears before a strong breakout, either up or down, signaling that traders should be ready for a significant shift in the trend. The Elliott Wave Triangle is like a pause before the market's next direction, building energy before it makes a decisive move.
Caution: Don’t Be Fooled by the Stability
What looks stable may actually be unpredictable. A fall below 50194 (last reached on October 7) could spark a quick drop towards 49500-49600 . If BankNifty slips below 49500 , it could fall even further, aiming for 47800-48000 .
Short Term Wave Structure
Short Term Support Zone for Wave-D to Halt & Take Support is 51000-50800 - Getting Support could make it bounce upside towards falling trendline connecting Wave A & Wave-C which might bring end to Wave-E , Once wave-E gets completed …Larger trend & more violent wave will start.
Alternate Wave Path - A-B-C-D1-E1
If gap is breached below 50800..Index can drop to 50500-50600 zone as support zone & follow wave path D1 & later E1
The Black Loop in BankNifty: Are You Ready?
Just like the thrilling loops in Black , these market waves might seem familiar yet hide surprises at every turn. Market Whispers, can you hear them? The Black Loop in BankNifty captures both the thrill of the U.S. election and the mystery of Elliott Wave patterns. As both the story and the market cycles unfold, only those who are ready can avoid getting stuck in the loop.
#elliottwavetriangle #black2024 #correctivestructure #wavetalks #correctivewaves #trianglebreakout
Regards,
WaveTalks
Abhishek
HDFC Bank / BankNifty - The Giant Cracks & Index Melts 4000 +Disclaimer:
This is for informational purposes only and is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or products.
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Recap from 25th Sep 2024
Giant Crack Alert: BankNifty’s drop from 54,467 on 26th Sep 2024 to 50,194 by 7th Oct 2024 got its hint from the HDFC idea published on 25th Sep. When a giant like HDFC cracks, imagine the shockwaves across the entire index!
HDFC - Will it take U-Turn from 1800 — Indeed It was giant crack from 1788
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Short Term
Strong Support Zone
50900-51000 - Avoid taking any buy or long positions below 51000 . Safe Traders to Buy if Index crosses above 51356 & holds above. Risky Traders can look for buying opportunities until Index holds above 51000 or drops close to 51000
Minor Resistance
51925 - 52050 is the minor resistance zone so any bounce upside holding 51000 can halt in this zone & crossing above 52100 - It can push towards strong resistance zone 52900-53100
Strong Resistance
52900-53100
Wishing You A Happy & Prosperous Diwali 2024
From WaveTalks
Abhishek
Maruti - Up, Up & Away in the 5th Wave Above12555 Disclaimer:
This is not a solicitation to buy or sell; please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions
As discussed earlier on 1st Sep Idea, Maruti’s performance above 12555 was critical. Now, the stock is pushing Up & Up & Away with new highs beyond 13680 in sight.
Will it break the upper trendline and complete the highly anticipated Wave 5 in the Elliott Wave Structure ?
Last Idea - 1st Sep 2024 : Maruti Suzuki - Will it fly Above 12555
Regards,
WaveTalks
HDFC - Will it take U-Turn ? - Close from 1800 Disclaimer:
Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell.
WaveTalks - Market Whispers! Can you hear them?...........
Will the Giant Take a U-Turn after achieving all the targets 1555 was the first in the series ....
Possible Reasons for Next Expected Move
Possible Double Top at 1794 ( Will be valid until holds below 1800)
Pattern Thrust from 1630's - Key level
Elliott Wave - Corrective Sequence could be completed from the support zone 1375 - 1390 to 1800 approx highs .or about to end .mentioned in the connecting 1st idea published on 27th Jan 2024 - The Bullish Gartley
Bullish Gartley Idea ( 1375 - 1800..) - 1st Idea of the Series in Jan 2024
Enjoying Target 1 - 1555 in April 2024
Nifty at 26000 - We are almost close to 27600's Target ...Can we achieve the dream run or we correct & later push towards
From WaveTalks
Good Night
Bank Nifty - Explosive 800+ Points MoveDisclaimer:
The content provided here is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Always do your own research or consult with a professional advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. WaveTalks is not responsible for any losses that may occur as a result of reliance on this information.
WaveTalks - Market Whispers! Can you hear them?
The insights are fascinating, and when combined with old-school analysis, it becomes a lethal combination – as you witnessed today in the markets.
Bank Nifty: Bhelpuri Analysis at its Best!
What you saw unfold today was a result of a bhelpuri analysis. To simplify, this powerful move started with a Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern right at the bottom of the historical level (50939-50950), as highlighted in the last update combined with Wave Analysis
Last Idea - Enjoyed 1350+ Points
Today, Bank Nifty surged by 850+ points, nearly achieving our third target, falling short by just 150 points. But no worries, the magic in today’s waves was undeniable.
Key Psychological Level :
Bank Nifty is now approaching the 52000 mark. If it breaks past this level, we could witness an even more explosive move.
Caution Near 52000 :
However, if it struggles at 52000, caution will be necessary as we approach this critical threshold.
Nifty: Major Surge Across Indices
While Bank Nifty stole the show with its remarkable 850+ point leap, Nifty also saw a significant rally, jumping 490 points in a single day! This synchronized movement in the indices is a testament to the power of blending Wave Analysis with traditional methods.
Bank Nifty - Enjoyed1350 points from 51700+ What Next?Last Time Holding 50939 ...Which was wave-a of the triangle while moving upside & we achieved 51700 target
Explore the latest Bank Nifty Analysis with WaveTalks
Finally ...What A Fall from 51700 to 50300's as expected ...Index dropped & bounced
Last Idea - 51700 - Is this Short Term Top
We are here again at crucial historical level 50939 / 50950...If Index holds above this level..can we bounce again upside towards 51350 / 51450 & crossing 51700+ this time it can jump towards 52000
BankNifty ( Elliott Wave) - Will 51700+ Be The Short Term TopDisclaimer:
This is not a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. Please consult your financial advisor.
Explore the latest Bank Nifty analysis with WaveTalks. Will 51700+ be the short-term top? Discover insights and potential market moves as we decode the whispers of the market. Stay informed with WaveTalks - Market Whispers!
Let's Jump In ...
As discussed in the last idea published on 29th August, it was suggested that holding the 50938 / 50939 critical level, Index can make new highs beyond 51404 which is very much possible. The market tested traders' patience on Friday, 30th August, and continued to do so on Monday, 2nd September, and even on 3rd September, with many feeling the urge to give up. However, bulls were fortunate as a last-minute explosive move took BankNifty from 51400 to 51750—a 350-point jump towards the end of the session.
Now, with U.S. markets trading in deep red, with major indices like S&P, Dow, and Nasdaq all down more than 1%, the big question arises: Has the BankNifty pattern we’ve been discussing since last week finally completed? Are we about to fall below 50939, potentially slipping down to the 50300 support level?
Only time will reveal the answers to these questions.
Maruti Suzuki - Will it fly Above 12555 Disclaimer:
This is not a solicitation to buy or sell. Consult your Financial Advisor before trading.
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As discussed earlier on 19th Aug ...Above 12555 ...Will Maruti Make An Attempt to Fly & Will it reach the upper trendline & make new highs beyond 13680
Will it Complete One of the Most Important ElliottWave Structure & Its pending Wave 5 on Upside
What Level You Should Avoid Trading ? So Many Questions But Only time Know's the Exact Answer
Catch Me in Next Episode of WaveTalks- Market Whispers! Can You Hear Them? ....
BankNifty - Is this An Ending Diagonal at Tops 51404WaveTalks ...Market Whispers! ...Can You Hear Them?
Disclaimer:
This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell. Please consult your financial advisor
As discussed this morning......catching the wave 4 bottoms & watching 5 unfolding in back to back ups & downs with a minor halt at 51251 have we unfolded an ending diagonal at the tops of 51404
Wave 4 Bottoms this morning close to 51000 as discussed
Wave 5 - Is this an ending diagonal unfolded at the current high of 51404
Last Idea Published - Tower Bottom Unveiled
We started this wave sequence close to 49651 discussed in the last idea - Tower Bottom Pattern
Regards,
WaveTalks
BankNifty -Tower Bottom Unveiled: Bulls Magical SpellWaveTalks - Market Whispers! Can You Hear Them?...
August 13th: The Bulls' Last Stand
As we approached August 13th, 2024, the market was rife with tension. With stops being hit left and right, I made it clear at 12:55 pm in the last post that the bulls weren’t giving up without a fight. It was a crucial moment—one where patience and strategy were key. The market flirted with disaster, yet I advised holding the line, suggesting that the critical level… would be our stronghold.
August 14th: The Calm Before the Storm
The following day was a test of nerves. The market kept everyone guessing, moving in unpredictable waves. But I didn’t waver. I updated my social media followers, pointing out that while the expected gap-up didn’t materialize, it was a blessing in disguise. Why? Because it set the stage for an even bigger opportunity. I highlighted that crossing 49,960 could trigger an upside move for safe traders , while risk-takers should stay alert as some kind of accumulation happening close to 49654.
August 16th: The Magical Spell Unfolds
Post-Independence Day, on August 16th, the market delivered a performance that was nothing short of magical. It was as if the entire week had been leading up to this moment. The day began with a gap-up ( Instead of green big candle it was gap up equivalent to bullish green tower required for Tower bottom patter with accumulation in between), and after briefly retracing to the 49,870s, Bank Nifty launched into a powerful rally, surging past 50,500. This move confirmed the formation of a Tower Bottom pattern—a bullish candlestick formation that signaled the beginning of a new uptrend- is it a new up trend or some relief to bulls, only time knows -what next?
The Tower Bottom: A Bullish Reversal
This Tower Bottom pattern wasn’t just any signal; it was the market’s way of announcing that the accumulation phase at 49,654 had reached its tipping point. With this pattern confirmed, the path to 50,800+ became clearer than ever. The market, as I’ve always said, is a battlefield where only the swift and the strategic survive. Those who heeded the call to cut losses quickly if the key levels broke were well-prepared for this bullish reversal.
The Road Ahead: 50,800+ in Sight
With the Tower Bottom pattern in play, Bank Nifty is now set on a course towards our first target of 50,800+. This move is a testament to the power of technical analysis, patience, and unwavering discipline. The market has shown its hand, and for those who were ready, the rewards are already being reaped.
This was not just a trade—it was a lesson in precision, timing, and understanding the subtle cues of the market. The week may have been truncated, but the gains were anything but small. Keep your eyes on the prize as we approach our next milestone, for the journey is far from over.
Regards
WaveTalks
BankNifty - Bullish Shark Sitting on Rising Parallel Channel11:38 am / 13th Aug 2024
Last - 50325
The Bank Nifty chart showcases a Bullish Shark Harmonic Pattern forming within a rising parallel channel . The pattern suggests a potential bullish move, provided that the price holds above the crucial level of 50149 , which should act as a strict stop loss for any long positions.
If the bulls can defend this key level, there is a strong possibility that the index could aim for the upper target zone around 50800+ levels . The alignment of the Shark pattern with the rising channel supports this bullish outlook.
Traders should monitor the price action closely, as maintaining the channel's support is critical for uptrend to start next & reach the target area close to 51000 -which is very important psychological level & Strong supply zone.
What is Supply Zone ? -Try & Ask these questions to yourself - get the answer, get the move & enjoy your week.
Regards,
WaveTalks
Gold Elliott - 5 Waves to top 2488 - Tower Top Candlestick
Recent Performance Update
As per the last idea published, we saw a significant bounce of $184 following the post-triangle analysis.
Last Idea on Gold
Clear 5-Wave Structure from 2304 Bottoms
Yellow metal has unfolded a clear 5-wave structure from the bottoms of 2304 to 2488 & reversal candle is unfolding from the tops of 2488.
Reversal Candle in Play
The Bearish Tower Top is a reversal candlestick pattern typically observed at the top of the trend which can be seen unfolding in the current scenario at the tops of 2488.
Bearish Tower Top Candlestick Pattern
A strong bearish candle has taken out the lows of the last few candlesticks while going up, which can be a strong signature unfolding in favor of the bears.
Bearish Signature Unfolding at 2488 Tops
Slipping below 2465, Gold has key and minor support at 2406 lows. Once the lows of 2406 and 2400 support zone are breached, Gold can slip down to important levels at 2355 and 2305 lows.
From WaveTalks
Abhishek
Nifty Reaches 24,500 Target: Elliott Wave Analysis Disclaimer:
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Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell.
WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them?
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General Election 2024: Impact on Nifty
The 2024 General Election resulted in a clear victory for the existing NDA government, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi securing a third term. This political stability had a positive impact on the Indian market index, Nifty.
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Pre-Exit Poll Movement
Before the election results were declared, we proposed an outlook for Nifty to reach 24,500 as a pre-exit poll objective. This prediction was published on TradingView as "Pre-Exit Poll Outlook - Bulls above 22,400 " on 31st May 2024.
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Achievement of Target
Following the election results, Nifty saw a significant rise from the lows of 21,281 on June 4, 2024, and successfully reached our proposed target of 24,500 on July 12, 2024. However, there was a knee-jerk reaction as the index failed to surpass the 400-seat mark announced during the election campaigns, leading to some volatility when the actual results were declared on June 4, 2024.
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Unfolding Structure: The Leading Diagonal
Since early March 2024, we have been discussing the potential for an explosive upside based on a leading diagonal pattern, also known as a Rising Wedge in traditional analysis. This Elliott wave pattern typically indicates a bullish trend, especially in the context of the 2024 General Election. We believed in the bullish scenario and termed it the "Leading Diagonal," expecting significant market movement.
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Why I Believe in Wave Analysis
As a Wave Analyst, my journey began with a curiosity about the market's patterns and behaviors. Eight years ago, in 2016, I started writing for TradingView and was given an opportunity to look into India Business for the brand during its early expansion years in India. On a personal front, I progressed to learn the nuances of wave analysis and started applying them to publicly traded liquid financial instruments. The results were astounding, providing 90-100% accuracy in the analysis. The science behind wave analysis is robust, but it does come with the limitation of alternate views if the price breaches the cardinal rules. More details on this will be discussed in my upcoming book on wave analysis (no ETA available at the moment).
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Pattern Analysis
Rising Wedge:
Often seen as bearish or bullish from a traditional technical analysis point of view, Elliott Wave analysis goes one step further by identifying the pattern's nature as bullish or bearish and can complement the unfolding events.
General Election 2024:
The election acted as a catalyst for the bullish trend.
Patience Rewarded:
Participants who held their positions since October 2023 are now reaping the benefits.
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Future Outlook
Key Psychological Level: 24,500
Nifty holding above the 24,500 level is crucial. If the index continues to bounce above this level, we anticipate the bull run to persist.
Target: 27,620
Our next target is 27,620, where the current rising wedge in Wave-1 should travel 162% of the minimum distance if this is to be Wave-3.
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Additional Insights
Reliance Long Term:
Nifty Explosive Series Episodes Starting Comex Copper:
These episodes as published on TradingView earlier, hinted at an explosive Nifty to unfold and how Dr. Copper’s move supported the outlook. This should be discussed as a different branch of technical analysis called Intermarket relations in my book, suggesting a strong bullish sentiment.
In conclusion, the political stability from the 2024 General Election has propelled Nifty into a strong bullish trend, with a key psychological level at 24,500 and a future target of 27,620.
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Regards From WaveTalks
Abhishek
Bitcoin - Classic Flat-Screaming for 72000 Target Upside
Elliott Wave Flat Sequence with Wave C Ending Diagonal
In Elliott Wave Theory, a flat sequence typically consists of three waves: A, B, and C. The pattern is generally labeled 3-3-5, indicating the wave structures.
Wave A: A corrective three-wave move.
Wave B: Another three-wave corrective move, often retracing Wave A by 90% or more.
Wave C: A five-wave move, which can unfold as an ending diagonal.
An ending diagonal in Wave C indicates a slowing momentum, often signaling a reversal. The ending diagonal structure usually forms a wedge pattern, tapering towards the end. This setup is crucial for identifying potential turning points in the market.
Buying Trigger Above
66457
Target
71993
From WaveTalks
Abhishek
Bandhan Bank -Potential Breakout in Progress (Upside Target-430)
I suggested somewhere that market participants should start looking at this stock and hold it in their portfolio with an upside trigger of 265 and a final target of 430, to be reviewed later.
No surprise – the stock has started moving from our desired zone of 155-175. What a low 169 . Will it cross 265 and later 430? Only time will tell.
Pattern: Falling Wedge (Similar to Adani Wilmar as discussed earlier)
Such patterns swiftly move towards its starting point. In this case it is 430
From WaveTalks
Abhishek
Gold’s Fall Halt at 2305-The Choppy Trap-Bullish Bias
Gold’s Fall Take A Halt Close To 2305-The Choppy Trap-A Weekly Bullish Bias
Gold Price Tracking US Treasury Bond Yields
This week, gold prices have closely tracked the movements in US Treasury bond yields. The previous decline in gold prices has paused in 2285-2305 support zone amid a modest weakness in US Treasury bond yields.
18th June 2024 - Running upside for 2358 Target
Equity Markets and Indian Elections
Global equity markets have extended their rally, gaining momentum particularly from the results of the Indian general election. The election unfolded in favor of the existing government NDA, leading to Prime Minister Narendra Modi securing a third term as declared a clear winner in the General election 2024 which went for more than a month. This political stability has propelled the Indian market index, Nifty, which saw a significant rise from the lows of 21,281 on June 4, 2024, closing the session at 23,562 on June 18, 2024 but saw a knee jerk reaction as it failed to surpass its 400 seat remark made by the existing party fellows. Going forward, A pause and potential correction below the 23,350-23,400 range for Nifty could support a short-term rally in gold prices.
Technical Analysis of Gold
Yellow Metal has been doing sideways since its all time of 2453.7 USD as of 20th May 2024.
Support Zones
Technically, gold has a strong support zone between 2,285 and 2,300, which has been acting as a bounce pad for the yellow metal.
Harmonic Bullish Pattern
An unfolding harmonic bullish Gartley pattern, has been observed close from the support zone of 2285-2305 zone. Gold prices have reached a few upside targets for the harmonic pattern, encountering resistance at the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) based on a 2-hour calculation at 2,345. This level is crucial for further movements.
Wave Analysis
Yellow metal could be doing a choppy sideways correction & could unfold as a triangular correction yet to be confirmed & needs further price inputs. since its sideways move from 2448.8 as of 12th April 2024.
Trading Strategies
Plan A
Trigger: Faces resistance in the 2,395-2,405 USD zone
Target: Potential drop to the 2,345-2,355 USD zone for a short-term correction
Getting resistance in 2395-2405 - Harmonic Bat Pattern will become active for targets suggested in Plan A
Plan B
Long-Term View:
Trigger: Crosses above 2,405 USD, a critical level
Target: Push towards the all-time high (ATH) of 2,450 USD
Conclusion
Gold's price movements are intricately linked with US Treasury bond yields and global market dynamics, including political developments. Investors should watch the key technical levels for India Nifty, getting a pause for equity indices could boost the upside potential of yellow metal in next few sessions and should employ appropriate trading strategies as discussed to capitalize on potential market movements. The trading strategies suggested above offer a structured approach to navigating gold's price action in the current market environment.
Don't Miss This Stock: Reliance's Bright Future- Elliott Wave Disclaimer:
Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell.
WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them?
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Stock Overview:
Since January 1996, Reliance stock started an impulsive rise from ₹12.95, unfolding a series of 1-2, 1-2 waves. Currently, Primary Wave ③ (blue) is in progress and has a long way to go. This wave is subdivided into green bracket waves (1), (2), (3), and (4), with wave (4) forming a triangle. Now, we are in bracket wave (5) (green).
Current Wave Structure:
Wave (5) (green) is subdividing into Yellow waves:
Yellow Wave 1 completed at 3024.90
Yellow Wave 2 (one leg could be completed or complete wave 2 could be ended at ₹2718 on June 4th, post-election results)
Upcoming Targets:
Wave 2 completion is confirmed once Reliance surpasses ₹3050. Targets are:
₹3500
₹4025 (162% of Yellow Wave 1, which peaked at ₹3024.90)
Why Add Reliance to Your Portfolio:
Stock bounced sharp upside from 2718 lows = 200 DEMA (White line)
Potential to hit new highs.
Expected to reach ₹4000 and later ₹5000 in the coming months and years.
Conclusion:
Reliance shows strong upward potential. Including this stock in your portfolio could yield significant returns. Let’s review the progress in a few months. Have a great Sunday!
Visual Summary of Waves:
1. Primary Wave ③(blue) unfolding
2. Bracket wave (5) (green) in progress
3. Yellow Wave 1 completed at 3024.90 highs
4. Yellow Wave 2 completed at ₹2718 ( alternate -only one part in wave 2 completed at lows of 2718 & wave 2 can be confirm complete once it crosses above 3050 highs)
Key Levels:
Break above ₹3050 confirms next targets
Targets: ₹3500, ₹4025, ₹5000
Plan accordingly and stay tuned for updates.
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From WaveTalks
Abhishek