BankNifty: The Journey Continues Post Mysterious X-Wave (Buy)
Having journeyed with us through the enigma that was the Mysterious X-Wave, you'd be keen to know, "What's next on the horizon for BankNifty?" Having witnessed the roller-coaster oscillations between 43940 and 44779, and having dived deep into the "Magic of Centre Line Reversal," here we present the way forward.
Reassessing the Ground
As you've seen, the significance of the 44000 mark can't be stressed enough. It stands as not only a psychological barrier but also a critical structural support. At the time of penning this update, BankNifty is maintaining its grace above this level at 44065, showcasing its resilience amidst market volatilities.
The Immediate Roadmap
The zone between 43900 - 44000 is paramount. A strong foothold here can act as the springboard for the index. ( Avoid Trades Below 43900 )
1. Initial Target:
If the index continues its momentum and remains adamantly above 44000, our immediate upside target stands at 44178. A decisive push past this can pave the way for higher peaks.
2. The Big Play:
Should BankNifty rise and hold firm between 44180 - 44200, this would be the cue for bullish sentiment. In such a scenario, we are looking at an optimistic run towards 44400 and potentially even further.
To Sum It Up
The next phase of this thrilling journey hinges on these crucial levels. As always, it's imperative to have a tactical approach. Ensure your strategy is tight, stops are in place, and you're ready to pivot based on the index's behavior.
Remember
These levels and strategies are a mere guideline. The dynamic nature of financial markets can sometimes be unpredictable. Always ensure to consult with your financial advisor and make informed decisions.
Disclaimer
Trading in Financial markets is speculative and involves substantial risks, including the risk of loss. Always trade based on the insights and advice from trusted professionals.
Stay Tuned, Ride the Waves, and as always, Listen Closely. Can you hear it?
Warm Regards,
WaveTalks
Wavetalks
Bank Nifty - Magic of Centre Line Reversal & 43940 (WaveTalks)Magic of Centre Line Reversal & 43940
Greetings fellow traders and wave enthusiasts!
Let me take you back to our previous idea.
The Last Idea - Selling only Below 44500
We eyed selling below 44500. However, as markets are full of surprises, it opened gap up above 44500, invalidating our idea. But keen observants would've noticed my comment at 2:15 pm on 24th Aug 2023 warning about a possible trap for the bulls. As foreseen, the index took a nosedive, opening gap down and plummeting almost 500+ points.
Bank Nifty at 11:08 am / 25th Aug 2023
But here's where it gets intriguing: Enter the "Magic of Centre Line Reversal ." If you've drawn a precise parallel channel and ticked the middle line option, you'd have witnessed the fall from 44950 halting very close to the minor support zone at 43940. The day's low was a near-touchdown at 43983. The current price rests at 44065.
With the index teetering close to the 44000 mark, it is pivotal to understand the gravity of this number. This isn't just a figure; it's a significant support zone. A solid hold above this can very well propel BankNifty to levels of 44500+. So, here's the game plan: Strictly plan to buy only if it holds firm above 44000. Remember, battles in trading, like in life, need readiness. Without the right preparation, even the smallest skirmishes can go awry.
Mysterious X-Wave
Diving deeper into the WaveAnalysis, from a wave's perspective, BankNifty is weaving a complex pattern. We identified and decoded the elusive 'Mysterious X-Wave' and reversed our stance right at the pivotal support close to 43940, aiming for 44500+ .
So, are you riding these waves with us? At WaveTalks, we say, "Can you hear it?"
Before we wrap up, a gentle reminder:
Trading in financial markets can be volatile. There's potential for gains, but losses are also part and parcel of the journey. Please venture only based on the advice of your financial consultant.
Disclaimer:
Trading in Financial markets is risky, and one could lose part or all of their invested capital. Always trade based on the advice of your financial consultant.
Best Wishes,
WaveTalks
Tata Coffee - Portfolio Stock : The Final Upside Leg for 275-300This Idea will conclude Part 3 in the stock
Impulsive Leg which started in March 2020 at the Price of 47 shall end close to 300+ in few weeks & months ahead
Tata Coffee. Hope You Enjoyed the Coffee
-Abhishek H. Singh, CMT
BankNifty:Tale of Triumph and Trials,Bulls or Bears-Which Side?Netflix - Scoop
The riveting Netflix web series "Scoop" brought to life a powerful saying from the book **"Behind Bars in Byculla: My Days in Prison" by Jigna Vora**. The line, **"If someone says it’s raining, and another person says it’s dry, it’s not your job to quote them both. Your job is to look out of the window and find out which is true" is a fitting metaphor for our exploration of the BankNifty index.** Here, we don't just parrot what others say, we strive to unravel the truth behind the numbers and the patterns.
**The story began at WaveTalks**. On the 25th of July, 2023
we published an enticing TradingView idea focusing on the BankNifty Index and outlined an **Expanded Ending Diagonal** . For the adventurous risk takers, we pointed towards potential targets:
- First stop at 46155
- A second milestone at 46263
- The final leap to 46369
The narrative took a thrilling twist on the 27th of July, 2023 . The Index raced towards our 3rd target, pausing just short at 46310. Then, it took a breathtaking nosedive, shocking the bulls with a Niagara-like fall from the highs of **46310 to the lows of 45238**.
**Now, traders are left wondering, "What's next?" The markets never sleep, so our story continues...**
**On the larger timeframe-4 Hour Chart**
We're seeing the formation of a tantalizing pattern - a potential rising wedge once again. **But here's the caveat**: **the Index needs to hold its footing at the crucial psychological level of 45525 to bounce back upwards.**
**If we stand firm above 45525**, we're looking at an exciting upward trajectory:
- First target at 45790
- Second target at 46300
- Third target at 46500
- **And if we cross beyond 46500**, we're aiming for a final target between **46900-47000+**, coinciding with the completion of the wedge pattern.
**Here comes the thrilling climax**. **What happens after reaching a new all-time high?**
Brace yourselves as we could see a rerun of the Niagara plunge from the 27th of July, 2023. From the new all-time highs of around 47000, the Index could potentially tumble to 43345, as marked by the menacing black arrow downside.
**WaveTalks** wishes everyone a joyful weekend!
As we delve into the narrative of BankNifty, we ask you - are you siding with the bulls or the bears? Stay tuned for more, and remember, it's not about echoing what others say, it's about understanding what's unfolding in the market.
Bank Nifty - Expanded Ending Diagonal (Trade Only Above 45800)A "Falling Expanded Ending Diagonal" is the most probable pattern which has unfolded so far suggesting there could be exhaustion in selling at current price levels.
Where I could go wrong
If Index fails to hold 45750-45800 zone then this pattern is no more valid & I will avoid buying.
Holding above the 45750-45800 zone, Index can attempt to touch
46155
46263
46369
Thanks
"BankNifty at 44,483: Spotting the Head & Shoulders Pattern Real Time Application Date - 29th May / 30th May 2023
Head & Shoulder has unfolded on 29th / 30th May 2023 for Bank Nifty Index & Neckline is already broken to downside & we are waiting for break below 44250 -which is another key support
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this update is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involves risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. The user assumes all responsibility for their investment actions.
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Chart Pattern - Head & Shoulders
It is a popular chart pattern used in technical analysis to identify potential trend reversals in financial markets. It is named after its visual resemblance to a head with two shoulders. This pattern typically occurs after an extended uptrend and signals a possible reversal to a downtrend.
The Head & Shoulders pattern consists of three main components:
Left shoulder: Forms as the price reaches a peak during the uptrend, followed by a temporary decline.
Head: Subsequent rally with a higher peak compared to the left shoulder.
Right shoulder: Another decline, usually lower than the head but similar in height to the left shoulder.
The pattern is considered complete when the price breaks below the "neckline," which is a support level connecting the lows of the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder. The breakdown below the neckline acts as a confirmation of the pattern and suggests that selling pressure has become dominant.
Here are the key characteristics and implications of a Head & Shoulders pattern:
Reversal Signal:
The Head & Shoulders pattern is a bearish reversal signal, indicating a potential shift from an uptrend to a downtrend. Traders and investors often interpret this pattern as a signal to sell or take short positions.
Volume Confirmation:
Volume analysis plays a crucial role in confirming the validity of the pattern. Generally, higher trading volume is observed during the formation of the left shoulder and the head, while the volume tends to decrease during the right shoulder. A noticeable increase in volume during the breakdown below the neckline adds credibility to the pattern.
Price Target:
The Head & Shoulders pattern provides a price target for the subsequent downtrend. To estimate the target, measure the vertical distance from the neckline to the top of the head and subtract it from the breakdown level. This projected distance is often considered as the potential downside target.
Failure to Confirm:
It is essential to note that not all Head & Shoulders patterns result in a significant trend reversal. Sometimes, the pattern may fail to confirm, and the price might continue its previous uptrend. Traders should always wait for confirmation through the breakdown below the neckline before taking any trading actions.
In conclusion, the Head & Shoulders pattern is a widely recognized and studied chart pattern in technical analysis. Traders and investors utilize this pattern to identify potential trend reversals and make informed trading decisions. However, it is essential to combine this pattern with other technical indicators and analysis techniques to increase the probability of accurate predictions.
BankNifty - Unveiling the Magic of Wave Analysis Near ATH-44151Introduction
In the world of financial markets, technical analysis plays a crucial role in understanding market trends and making informed investment decisions. One powerful tool in this domain is wave analysis, which has proven its accuracy time and again. In a recent BankNifty analysis, wave analysis beautifully predicted the index's movements, providing traders with valuable insights. This article will delve into the fascinating details of this analysis, its striking coincidence with the actual market movements, and the subsequent implications for the BankNifty index.
The Coincidence: Wave 5 and the All-Time High on short term
Wave analysis involves identifying patterns and cycles within price movements. In the case of BankNifty, the wave analysis successfully anticipated the index's behavior, specifically focusing on the relationship between Wave 5 and the all-time high (ATH).
Wave 5 is the final impulse wave in Elliott Wave Theory, representing the last leg of the uptrend. As per our last update **BankNifty's- Danger: Is this A Rising Wedge?– Time to Rethink**
Astonishingly, the analysis predicted that Wave 5 would measure 62% of the distance covered by Wave 1-3, precisely at the level of 44085. The BankNifty index then surged slightly above the projected level, reaching 44151.70—a mere 0.10 points shy of the ATH at 44151.80. This near-perfect alignment with the projected level served as a testament to the accuracy of wave analysis.
The Dark Cloud Cover Pattern: A Warning Signal
Building upon the foundation of the initial analysis, the subsequent market movements confirmed the reliability of wave analysis. After hovering just below the ATH, a bearish candlestick pattern emerged, known as the Dark Cloud Cover on daily chart this week. This pattern consists of an opening above the previous day's high or close, followed by a price decline, closing below the midpoint of the prior candle.
The Dark Cloud Cover, observed in the BankNifty index, provided a firm footing to the analysis, indicating that the index was likely to halt temporarily below the ATH of 44151.80. It acted as a warning signal for traders, highlighting the possibility of a reversal or consolidation in the index's upward trajectory.
The Downside Move: A Potential Shift in Sentiment
The subsequent session on May 17th witnessed a follow-up downside move, confirming the analysis's predictions. The BankNifty index slipped from 43950 to 43446, experiencing a significant fall of approximately 500 points. This downward movement hinted at a potential shift in sentiment, as market participants reevaluated their positions and adjusted to the prevailing conditions.
However, it's important to note that the index bounced back from its lows and closed at 43748, indicating that the downside move might not be fully established yet. Traders and investors need to closely monitor future market developments to assess whether this downward momentum will continue or if a reversal could occur.
The Road Ahead
In conclusion, the recent BankNifty analysis using wave analysis techniques has showcased its effectiveness in predicting market movements. The coincidental alignment between Wave 5 and the ATH, followed by the emergence of the Dark Cloud Cover pattern and subsequent downside move, confirms the importance of technical analysis in navigating the financial markets.
As the BankNifty index navigates these critical junctures, traders and investors should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies accordingly. The interplay between technical analysis, market sentiment, and fundamental factors will determine the index's future trajectory.
Thanks for reading.
BankNifty Tidal Wave- Ride or Crash? 15th May 2023Welcome back to another episode of Wave Talks. Bank Nifty's Tidal Wave -Ride or Crash: Index can face a significant shift with the unfolding ending diagonal. Will you ride the wave to profit or crash on the shore? Unfolding wedge pattern
It's time to reconsider Bank Nifty's pattern as it poses a risk. Let us discuss in details price objective & outlook for next few weeks with key & critical levels for better risk management.
Last Idea - BankNifty's Danger -Is this a rising wedge
BankNifty's- Danger: Is this A Rising Wedge?– Time to RethinkEarlier in The Day - When Magical Level of 43350 Holds
Ending diagonal
Also known as an ending wedge, is a term used in the field of technical analysis to describe a specific chart pattern that signals the end of a trend or price movement. This pattern is characterized by converging trendlines that form a wedge shape and typically consists of five waves, with the third and fifth waves being smaller than the first and second waves.
Rising wedges are bearish reversal patterns that often signal the end of an uptrend, leading to a decline in prices.
Few classic examples from history where rising wedges have occurred, and financial instruments have collapsed:
1. The Dot-Com Bubble (2000):
2. The Global Financial Crisis (2007-2008): A rising wedge pattern emerged in the US housing market and various mortgage-backed securities leading up to the financial crisis.
3. The Crude Oil Crash (2014-2016): Crude oil prices experienced a sharp decline between 2014 and 2016 due to a combination of oversupply and weak demand. A rising wedge pattern was evident in crude oil prices before the crash.
As a trader, it is essential to be cautious and aware of potential risks when trading financial instruments that exhibit rising wedge patterns. Some tips to keep in mind are:
1. Stay informed about market trends and technical analysis patterns to identify potential reversal signals, such as the rising wedge.
2. Keep track of economic data, news, and events that could impact the financial instrument you are trading.
3. Practice proper risk management by using stop-loss orders and position sizing to minimize potential losses.
4. Diversify your trading portfolio to reduce the impact of a single financial instrument's collapse.
5. Remain disciplined and follow your trading plan, ensuring that you do not give in to emotions like fear or greed.
16th March 2023 :Last idea - Truncated Pattern Are Really Explosive : BankNifty
Comex Gold - Are we Ready for Boom (Triangular Pattern)Educational Video : Triangle Pattern Unfolding Realtime
Triangle is an Elliott wave pattern seen during sideways market consolidations, it is composed of 5 corrective sequences. Triangle presents a balance of forces between buyers and sellers, causing a sideways movement that is usually associated with decreasing volume and volatility.
What Next?
Thrust Possible beyond 2015$ & Comex Gold can attempt previous highs of 2075-2078 zone.
Thanks for watching
BankNifty - Navigating The Complex Correction in 39695-39275It was all amazing last few days as we have discussing how bulls could be trapped on the top close to 39695- which is one the key levels in the unfolding triangular correction
Have been student of astrology for last few years, it happened fortunately that I came across my bible book -American Ephemeris 2020-2030 on last Friday 24th March 2023 &
Realised that Moon will be passing through Gemini on 27th March 2023, I quickly updated on Saturday, 25th March about bulls short term trap
Wow!!! I was amazed how this structure unfolded
It is a triangular correction ---------------till the time 39695 -------key level is intact on upside
Trading Strategy
Holding Above 39400 - minor support we look for 39630-39650 touching the falling trendline
Once final leg upside is done & strictly holds below 39695 highs which should not be breached on upside, Index can drop to below targets
39275
Breaking 39275 - we look for 38925/39000
Thanks
Abhishek H. Singh, CMT
Bank Nifty - The Sideways Trap -Outlook for 21st March 2023Index till the time holds below 39699 which was closing high for 17th March 2023 in gap up move tomorrow @ 21st March 2023 & falls 300-400 points down & remains above mini double bottom of 38926 & 38941 then we can have another push upside towards 39699 / 39914 / above 39914 towards 40690's approx.
Thanks for watching the video.
Bank Nifty-Truncated Wave to Halt below 39K-Can it be explosive?Exciting Session on 16th March 2023 unfolded with a temporary bounce from day lows of 38613 towards 39300 approx & a fall back to 38750 approx without making a new low or breaching below 38613 - puts strong case of truncation.
Truncation is rare to happen suggesting that ongoing trend could abruptly halt in between & take a sudden reversal which could be possible case here & even highlighted 2 days back that we are close to the bottoms & looking for decent retracement & targets mentioned in last idea of 14th March 2023.
Thank You & Good Night!
Bank Nifty - Is the Crack for 2540 Points Done!!!After a big fall of 2540 points from 41671 highs as expected in the last video published on 1st March 2023 - Are we done with the current impulse?
Let us check out the simplest method of price confluence which is initial wave = final wave in the impulsive structure
Wow!!! Indeed that's the case as we see over the video.
39132 could be most important low & if correct then index could rally upside for targets mentioned below
41671
42000
43078
Hope you enjoyed the last idea.
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Last Idea
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Bank Nifty - Roller Coaster Ride- Are We Expecting A Big Fall!!!Expiry Week Outlook- A Short Video. Thanks
Impulsive sequence unfolding from the tops of 44151 on 14th Dec 2022. From Budget day - 1st Feb 2023, Index has been doing a roller coaster moves so we need to be careful as next downside trend may start soon once key & critical levels are breached on downside.
Thanks
Auropharma-Portfolio Stock Getting Ready for 1000-Are You Ready?Disclaimer - " This Idea is for Educational Purpose"
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Stock Has Done 6-7 Years of Sideways Correction from 2016 tops of 895 & Getting Ready for Big Impulsive Move Upside Next Holding on the parallel channel bottom & above 400 strictly.
Are You Ready as a Investor. Keep watching next waves for the stock.
In 2016 When I published 1st Idea on Auropharma - The Terminal Thrust & Identified the top as 895
You can check the idea on profile page -
in.tradingview.com
Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any positions.
Bank Nifty - Alternate Bearish Bat (Careful in 41650-41700) SellTraders have to be careful as alternate bearish bat with XA 113% rejection zone lies in 41650-41700 zone.
Once you see market commitments then you may also join the force for downside target as mentioned below
41425
41250
41100
Stops - Avoid Selling If fails to fall from the suggested zone 41650-41700