Wedge
Rising WedgeAs Per the Raising Wedge Pattern if it Breaks Mother Candle Low then Pattern Will be Activated & Breaching the 43390 Level will Confirm the Downside Move, Else if Trades Above Todays High & Closes Above 44391,44500 Level then We Can See 1000 Points Rally. But Pattern is Suggesting the Reversal on Card...And Todays PA & Formation of Candle Giving Support to View..
AMI ORGANICS LTDMarket Cap- 3,613 Cr.
Promoter holding 39.4 %
Stock P/E 48.4
Industry PE 24.9
ROCE 23.7 %
ROE 20.9 %
OPM 19 %
EBIDT growth 3Years 36.5 %
EPS 20.5 vs 19.8 vs 17.1
FII's (Sept 2022 vs June 2022 vs March 2022)
5.76 vs 1.84 vs 2.23
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 43 % CAGR over last 5 years
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 26.5%
Ami Organics Limited is one of the leading research and development-driven manufacturers of specialty chemicals which are primarily chemical components used in fine and agro chemicals. Their key products under the API segment have captured 50-90% of the global market share
With a legacy of 14 years, the Company has developed and commercialized over 450 pharma intermediates across 17 key therapeutic areas since inception and NCE, which are being supplied to over 450 customers in India and 50 countries overseas.
They also have the capacity to manufacture advanced pharmaceutical intermediates and other specialty chemicals on a make-to-order basis. Its R&D team works closely with customers and provides them with cost-efficient and innovative solutions
Some of the regions where Ami Organics has customers are the USA, China, Israel, Japan, Latin America.
The Co.’s client list includes major companies like Laurus Labs Limited, Cadila Healthcare Limited and Cipla Limited, Fabbrica Italiana Sintetici S.p.A, Chori Co. Ltd., Medichem S.A., and many more.
Falling Wedge Breakout In AGS Transact Technologies LtdFalling Wedge Breakout is seen in AGS TRANSACT with volume and the momentum has been seen as well.
Quarter 4 Results are due today i.e. 26th May 2023 but this call is purely on Technicals!
Entry at 58.5 to 59 and Targeting around 73 with Stoploss of 49 to 50 on Weekly Closing is good for a Swing Trade.
Ideally Targets are bigger if we go by Technicals but we are here for swing so a decent returns of 20 to 25% is more than enough.
This is my first post/ idea on Tradingview, if I'm Missing something or anything which can be added to understand better, your comments are most welcome.
Views are Based on Charts, so there's no 100% Surety (There is no 100% Surety of anything)
Thank You!
DISCLAIMER : Contact your Financial Advisor before making any positions, This Post is Purely for Educational/ Learning Purpose & has been given on the Technical Analysis.
FALLING WEDGE BREAKOUTHere I am sharing the daily chart of Sudarshan chemical it is looking that it created a falling wedge pattern now breaking out from that pattern and gives a proper breakout with a good volume jump in it so we can see coming bullishness in this stock for the targets of 423 and 450 in coming sessions stop should be consider below the upper trendline of falling wedge on daily candle basis.
TARGETS
Bandhan bank bouncing from a supportBandhan bank is continuous downtrend and currently, we can see a bounce from its strong demand zone of around 200 levels.
The stock is forming higher lows in smaller time frame.
Looks like a good swing stock for targets of 250 and above. 235 might also act as a small resistance.
Keep in watchlist. Trade as per your own analysis as this idea is shared only for educational purposes.
banknifty 24th may rising wedge and double top bank nifty is forming rising wedge pattern (blank line) and double top (M) green line and there is a strong support trendline. If the support trendline is broken at 43888 level then possibility of reaching 43333 is high. if it takes support at 43888 level then market might retest and try to break all-time high.
Don't be bullish or bearish trade with the market direction.
Buy above 440057(43900 CE) Target 44132,44282,44410,44550.
Sell below 43766 (43800 PE) Target 43579,43465, 43333.
#SIEMENS Rising wedge & hanging man formation Siemens on weekly timeframe is forming a rising wedge formation.
It is also formed at the top of the rising channel in which Siemens has been trading from quite some time, generally such formation are formed as ED formation in EW and can be a signal of truncated 5th in its impulsive wave upmove.
Although, this post doesn't deal in great detail with EW wave marking but an indicative wave counts are marked as well.
Weekly chart is also showing a negative divergence and longs need to be cautious here as I have anticipated it earlier as well (link in related idea section) and since then it hasn't moved up much on upper side.
On daily time frame, the script has formed a "Hanging Man", which is also a bearish reversal pattern and most importantly the candlestick pattern has appeared at ATH. Invalidation level for this pattern is any closing above the high of the hanging man candle and if price start sustaining below and closes below this candle, then it will be a confirmation of this pattern which can drag the price downside.
nifty 19th may W-pattern and failing wedgeNifty is in failing wedge pattern if it sustains above 18210 then possibly it can reach 18414 level and there is another indication of W pattern or double bottom forming if it breaks the same level(18210) then it can reach 18418 level easily. From the Feb speed resistance fan it is taking support at 0.382 level(18110) and if it breaks then 18004 is the next support(0.5 level) and if it takes supports at 18110 level then possibly it can reach 18417 level.
I would suggest being neutral and go with the market direction accordingly.
Buy above 18213(18150 CE) Target 18256, 18304, 18343
Sell below 18106 (18150 PE) Target 18054, 18005, 17942
Trendline Wedge BreakoutPlease look into the chart for a detailed understanding.
Consider these for short-term & swing trades with 2% profit.
For BTST trades consider booking
target for 1% - 2%
For long-term trades look out for resistance drawn above closing.
Please consider these ideas for educational purpose
Clean science falling wedge breakout on weeklyBuy clean science for longerterm
ABOUT
Incorporated in 2003, Clean Science and Technology Ltd is one of the leading chemical manufacturers globally. It manufactures functionally critical specialty chemicals such as Performance Chemicals (MEHQ, BHA, and AP), Pharmaceutical Intermediates (Guaiacol and DCC), and FMCG Chemicals (4-MAP and Anisole).
KEY POINTS
Product Segments & Revenue split FY22
Performance chemicals (70%): 4 key products are MEHQ, BHA, AP and TBHQ.
Geography-wise Revenue Classification
Leading Manufacturer of Green Chemistry
Green chemistry is an emerging focus among manufacturing industries that minimizes pollution at a molecular level and Clean science works on developing eco-friendly and sustainable manufacturing processes of specialty and fine chemicals and is one of the global leaders in its key products including monomethyl ether of hydroquinone, butylated hydroxyanisole, anisole, and 4-MAP, besides in other key products including guaiacol and DCC
Product Application
Company's products include Anisole, MEHQ, Guaiacol, MAP, BHA, Ascorbyl Palmitate. These are used as key starting level materials, as inhibitors or as additives by diverse Industries such as Textiles, FMCG, Agriculture, Personal Care, and many others. Its Key customers include Bayer AG, SRF Ltd, Gennex Laboratories, Nutriad International NV and Vinati Organics.
**International Footprints **
The company supplies its products to manufacturers and distributors in India as well as overseas markets i.e. China, Europe, USA, Korea, Taiwan, and Japan. Bayer AG, Genex Laboratories Limited, Nutriad International NV, SRF Limited, Vinati Organics are a few of its customers. In FY 22, it generated 70 % of revenues through export outside India
Manufacturing Facilities
It has 3 certified production facilities in India strategically located at Kurkumbh (Maharashtra), in close proximity to the JNPT port from where it exports the majority of products. Each facility has an on-site R&D unit, quality control department, warehouse, and effluent treatment system.
CAPEX
In FY22, co. incurred ₹140 Crores, capex towards unit three primarily. All capex was funded from internal accruals. Majority Capex was undertaken at unit three where they commissioned two plants, PBQ and TBHQ, which are newer products. Doubled anisole capacity and increased BHA capacity by 50%. Increased capacities of MEHQ and Guaiacol by 50% and the plant was commissioned in April 2022. They are also in the process of doubling PBQ capacity,completion expected in the second half FY23.
R&D Breakthrough in FY21
The Co. successfully developed key products in HALS series using in-house R&D capabilities and has become the first Indian company to develop HALS series which find application in diverse end industries including polymerization inhibitor, water treatment, paint industry, coatings industry, etc. The company plans to commercialize this product by H2 FY2023.
Revenue Concentration
In FY22, revenue from a single customer accounted for 12.5% of the total revenues.
IPO Details
The Company got listed on Jul 19, 2021, the IPO size of the company was 1546 Cr of which the entire issue was an Offer for sale.
Incorporation of subsidiary
During FY22, co. incorporated a new WOS to manufacture speciality chemicals including the HALS series under the name “Clean Fino-Chem Limited” with an initial Capital of 10 lakhs Subsequently, the Company made additional equity investments of 55 crores in CFCL.
The greenfield Capex on an acquired 34-acre land parcel will be undertaken through this subsidiary.
BankNifty - Unveiling the Magic of Wave Analysis Near ATH-44151Introduction
In the world of financial markets, technical analysis plays a crucial role in understanding market trends and making informed investment decisions. One powerful tool in this domain is wave analysis, which has proven its accuracy time and again. In a recent BankNifty analysis, wave analysis beautifully predicted the index's movements, providing traders with valuable insights. This article will delve into the fascinating details of this analysis, its striking coincidence with the actual market movements, and the subsequent implications for the BankNifty index.
The Coincidence: Wave 5 and the All-Time High on short term
Wave analysis involves identifying patterns and cycles within price movements. In the case of BankNifty, the wave analysis successfully anticipated the index's behavior, specifically focusing on the relationship between Wave 5 and the all-time high (ATH).
Wave 5 is the final impulse wave in Elliott Wave Theory, representing the last leg of the uptrend. As per our last update **BankNifty's- Danger: Is this A Rising Wedge?– Time to Rethink**
Astonishingly, the analysis predicted that Wave 5 would measure 62% of the distance covered by Wave 1-3, precisely at the level of 44085. The BankNifty index then surged slightly above the projected level, reaching 44151.70—a mere 0.10 points shy of the ATH at 44151.80. This near-perfect alignment with the projected level served as a testament to the accuracy of wave analysis.
The Dark Cloud Cover Pattern: A Warning Signal
Building upon the foundation of the initial analysis, the subsequent market movements confirmed the reliability of wave analysis. After hovering just below the ATH, a bearish candlestick pattern emerged, known as the Dark Cloud Cover on daily chart this week. This pattern consists of an opening above the previous day's high or close, followed by a price decline, closing below the midpoint of the prior candle.
The Dark Cloud Cover, observed in the BankNifty index, provided a firm footing to the analysis, indicating that the index was likely to halt temporarily below the ATH of 44151.80. It acted as a warning signal for traders, highlighting the possibility of a reversal or consolidation in the index's upward trajectory.
The Downside Move: A Potential Shift in Sentiment
The subsequent session on May 17th witnessed a follow-up downside move, confirming the analysis's predictions. The BankNifty index slipped from 43950 to 43446, experiencing a significant fall of approximately 500 points. This downward movement hinted at a potential shift in sentiment, as market participants reevaluated their positions and adjusted to the prevailing conditions.
However, it's important to note that the index bounced back from its lows and closed at 43748, indicating that the downside move might not be fully established yet. Traders and investors need to closely monitor future market developments to assess whether this downward momentum will continue or if a reversal could occur.
The Road Ahead
In conclusion, the recent BankNifty analysis using wave analysis techniques has showcased its effectiveness in predicting market movements. The coincidental alignment between Wave 5 and the ATH, followed by the emergence of the Dark Cloud Cover pattern and subsequent downside move, confirms the importance of technical analysis in navigating the financial markets.
As the BankNifty index navigates these critical junctures, traders and investors should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies accordingly. The interplay between technical analysis, market sentiment, and fundamental factors will determine the index's future trajectory.
Thanks for reading.
BankNifty Tidal Wave- Ride or Crash? 15th May 2023Welcome back to another episode of Wave Talks. Bank Nifty's Tidal Wave -Ride or Crash: Index can face a significant shift with the unfolding ending diagonal. Will you ride the wave to profit or crash on the shore? Unfolding wedge pattern
It's time to reconsider Bank Nifty's pattern as it poses a risk. Let us discuss in details price objective & outlook for next few weeks with key & critical levels for better risk management.
Last Idea - BankNifty's Danger -Is this a rising wedge






















