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Weeklymarketsanalysis

An interesting week of short covering.A week to remember the huge gap down and recovery. Tomorrow's expiry is going to influence multiple news. Let's see where the nifty is going to expire tomorrow. key levels to watch out for above the 200EMA and 16750 as the first levels to keep an eye on. down side 16150 and 16000. It was a week to remember because I had been carrying a position Friday. I sold 17200CE and 14900PE at a good premium. Then on Monday, the roller coaster ride began with a huge gap down. I was rolling my CE to 16800 and book profit. Yesterday, I rolled again to 16600CE, PE side. I kept holding on and nifty started moving up. It was a nice move. PE started green. I have a16600 CE side, but it looks like a good position. such a sharp move today the CE shoot up i keep roiling my PE to 15250PE and 15000PE. book profit, but such a sharp move 16600 eat all the profit now at no profit and no loss state. Currently, I have 16600CE and 15700PE. I will have to firefight to adjust the position. Let's see how it ends this week. I am planning to exit the CE only after crossing 15550. I will keep rolling my PE side to 16100 and 16150. Let's see how it is going to end this week. If such an out of the world premium spikes, then I will exit my position with minimal loss.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
The week end on a high.The week ends on a high. i was expected that it would be a tricky expiry, but it could end up with nearly 2%. I haven't done any aggressive position yet, selling premium spike helped me get there. The week ends on a high. I expected that it would be a tricky expiry, but it could end up with nearly 2%. I haven't taken any aggressive positions yet, but selling premium spike helped me get there. Can I hold on to my 17500CE and 15400PE On Thursday, it absolutely melted. I could roll up my position to 16900CE and 16200PE to end the week. Let's keep a close look at the price action. vix on top and nifty in a negative trend. I will make a decision after watching below 16000 and above 16700. I hope everyone has a good week.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
In the next few days, That one guy will manage your portfolio.A day to remember with a 500 point gap down and VIX on the peak. A bloodbath on expiry day The nifty opened near 16500. On the downside, we know 16850 bounced back multiple times. Think about the option seller who entered into a safe position even below that. such a massive premium spike. A day to remember with a 500 point gap down and VIX on the peak. A bloodbath on expiry day The nifty opened near 16500. On the downside, we know 16850 bounced back multiple times. Think about the option seller who entered into a safe position even below that. such a massive premium spike. The nifty is nearly 5% down. While looking at the portfolio, it hurt, but it ended this week and this month on a high. Today's profit was nearly 1%, and this week's ending at nearly 1.5%. I am carrying over my position from Friday. I already booked profit on those positions, and on Tuesday I have 17550CE and 15850PE. But my PE fully melted on Wednesday. I was concerned about my CE 17550 because of the gap up opening and initial 5 minute candle movement. I closed all my positions and booked some losses in CE 17550 at that time. i did not enter in to new position because i was sitting on nearly 0.8% profit Then the Vix fell, the premium melted too fast, and it was a consolidation day. My plan was to take another 0.8+ profit the next day. So I did not enter into any position. Luckily, the trading plan saved me otherwise, I might have ended with a huge loss today. At the initial time, there was a huge premium spike. I entered in at 16000 PE and 16900 CE. It gave a good profit for the day. I left before 2PM. In the coming days, I am looking at the downside of 16170–15950, which is above 16700. Let's see how it's going to end. I hope everyone had a good day.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
NIFTY, the worst day and best day.  Feb 3rd weekHow crazy is this., Last Friday was the worst day since the last 10 months and today is the best day since the last 12 months. This volatile and continued type of movement kills non-directional option sellers. Looking at the chart, the global weakness, the market opened lower and kept moving down. We all know the 16850 level has been respected multiple times. Monday it b.k. and closed just below 16850. Today it opened with a gap up and took support at 17850, a 500 point sharp movement. Let's see if we nifty follow last week's pattern. major level to watch. If close above 17450, the next level to watch is 17600, and if we close below 17200, the next levels to watch are 17100 and 16850. If we close lower than 16850, we could see a larger down move. Also keep an eye on the triangle pattern in the NIFTY Daily time frame. Coming to my option Selling Due to the global weakness, I waited to sell my option at 16850. After 11, it showed trend reversal once it crossed the day high. I entered at 16700PE sharp move, not confident about selling CE because of the high premium spike. At 3.10PM, I entered in to 17850 at a good premium. Right now I have a 16700PE and a 17850CE. My current positions are green. My plan is to hold on to my CE and roll up my PE if the nifty stays above 17400, and if the nifty stays below 17400, I will roll up my CE. If that happens, let's see how it performs this week and after the trending days, expect a consolidation. If that happens, we can hope to end this week on a high.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
COLPAL Weekly AnalysisColgate Palmolive (COLPAL) has been trading in a 7-year long parallel channel and is now at the base of the channel. The stock is also trading near its 200 week moving average (green) for the last few weeks. The stock has never fallen below this 200WMA support in its life. As an example, during the Mar'2020 fall, the stock took support at 200WMA and bounced from there. Further, this time around the stock has bounced for second time this week at this 200WMA support. We can expect this support to hold and build a long position here. A successful reversal may take the stock all the way back to its 1640 resistance zone (highlighted) and possibly beyond. Stop loss below 1375 low.
NSE:COLPALLong
by vipulmehta817
CANFIN HOMES Weekly Trade Opportunity; Parallel Channel setupCan Fin Homes is building a beautiful parallel channel . This channel begins from Fall of 2020, and builds up till date. The stock has given respect to both bands of this channel and continues its journey. Currently the stock is trading near its all time highs of 2017, which it did broke a few weeks back, but faced a strong resistance and retraced. This week can help the stock with its momentum and help it close above this resistance zone . Personally Bullish on this stock. ** I am not a SEBI Registered Advisor. Kindly consult your advisor before taking trade.** Trading Tip: Construct a bullish pennant on 15min chart, it is clearly visible. You can observe that there is a breakout in this TF accompanied with strong volumes. It surely builds a great short term opportunity for the stock! Do LIKE, COMMENT and SHARE if you like this analysis. Thanks.
NSE:CANFINHOMELong
by ParyataK