In the next few days, That one guy will manage your portfolio.A day to remember with a 500 point gap down and VIX on the peak. A bloodbath on expiry day The nifty opened near 16500. On the downside, we know 16850 bounced back multiple times. Think about the option seller who entered into a safe position even below that. such a massive premium spike. A day to remember with a 500 point gap down and VIX on the peak. A bloodbath on expiry day The nifty opened near 16500. On the downside, we know 16850 bounced back multiple times. Think about the option seller who entered into a safe position even below that. such a massive premium spike.
The nifty is nearly 5% down. While looking at the portfolio, it hurt, but it ended this week and this month on a high. Today's profit was nearly 1%, and this week's ending at nearly 1.5%. I am carrying over my position from Friday. I already booked profit on those positions, and on Tuesday I have 17550CE and 15850PE. But my PE fully melted on Wednesday. I was concerned about my CE 17550 because of the gap up opening and initial 5 minute candle movement. I closed all my positions and booked some losses in CE 17550 at that time. i did not enter in to new position because i was sitting on nearly 0.8% profit Then the Vix fell, the premium melted too fast, and it was a consolidation day. My plan was to take another 0.8+ profit the next day. So I did not enter into any position. Luckily, the trading plan saved me otherwise, I might have ended with a huge loss today. At the initial time, there was a huge premium spike. I entered in at 16000 PE and 16900 CE. It gave a good profit for the day. I left before 2PM. In the coming days, I am looking at the downside of 16170–15950, which is above 16700. Let's see how it's going to end. I hope everyone had a good day.
Weeklymarketsanalysis
Short Term Strong Support and ResistanceAs a simple analysis is here to say that Nifty get regected few times around 17800 upside and from 16800 it taken support, bounced back.
So as a big picture big people are holding these levels. As we see these levels are also having strong open interest in monthly options.
NIFTY, the worst day and best day. Feb 3rd weekHow crazy is this., Last Friday was the worst day since the last 10 months and today is the best day since the last 12 months. This volatile and continued type of movement kills non-directional option sellers. Looking at the chart, the global weakness, the market opened lower and kept moving down. We all know the 16850 level has been respected multiple times. Monday it b.k. and closed just below 16850. Today it opened with a gap up and took support at 17850, a 500 point sharp movement. Let's see if we nifty follow last week's pattern. major level to watch. If close above 17450, the next level to watch is 17600, and if we close below 17200, the next levels to watch are 17100 and 16850. If we close lower than 16850, we could see a larger down move. Also keep an eye on the triangle pattern in the NIFTY Daily time frame.
Coming to my option Selling Due to the global weakness, I waited to sell my option at 16850. After 11, it showed trend reversal once it crossed the day high. I entered at 16700PE sharp move, not confident about selling CE because of the high premium spike.
At 3.10PM, I entered in to 17850 at a good premium. Right now I have a 16700PE and a 17850CE. My current positions are green. My plan is to hold on to my CE and roll up my PE if the nifty stays above 17400, and if the nifty stays below 17400, I will roll up my CE. If that happens, let's see how it performs this week and after the trending days, expect a consolidation. If that happens, we can hope to end this week on a high.
COLPAL Weekly AnalysisColgate Palmolive (COLPAL) has been trading in a 7-year long parallel channel and is now at the base of the channel. The stock is also trading near its 200 week moving average (green) for the last few weeks. The stock has never fallen below this 200WMA support in its life. As an example, during the Mar'2020 fall, the stock took support at 200WMA and bounced from there. Further, this time around the stock has bounced for second time this week at this 200WMA support.
We can expect this support to hold and build a long position here. A successful reversal may take the stock all the way back to its 1640 resistance zone (highlighted) and possibly beyond. Stop loss below 1375 low.
TV18 Broadcast [Daily]Wait for it to retrace to 48/50. Weekly looks exceptionally strong for an up move.
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Market is currently volatile. Trade accordingly.
Happy Trading!
NTPC Breakout Retest Confirmation on WeeklyNTPC broke out of its decade long weekly resistance line in Sep'21. The breakout was supported by push in volume. The stock did a retest of the trend line and has now started its journey toward the direction of the breakout.
Longs may be initiated in 119-137 zone with targets of 155/190. Stop loss below 119.
Breakout at Nifty Media on weekly timeframeNifty Media has given a breakout on weekly time frame after 2019. The chart has crossed up 200 dma recently. Weekly time frame shows a hidde bullish divergence on weekly time frame. My view is bullish for medium term considering the indicators on weekly time frame.
CANFIN HOMES Weekly Trade Opportunity; Parallel Channel setupCan Fin Homes is building a beautiful parallel channel . This channel begins from Fall of 2020, and builds up till date. The stock has given respect to both bands of this channel and continues its journey. Currently the stock is trading near its all time highs of 2017, which it did broke a few weeks back, but faced a strong resistance and retraced. This week can help the stock with its momentum and help it close above this resistance zone . Personally Bullish on this stock.
** I am not a SEBI Registered Advisor. Kindly consult your advisor before taking trade.**
Trading Tip: Construct a bullish pennant on 15min chart, it is clearly visible. You can observe that there is a breakout in this TF accompanied with strong volumes. It surely builds a great short term opportunity for the stock!
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GRSE | WeeklyTechnicals:
1) Consolidation of two years (Stage I).
2) Resistance zone breakout, after two years, with Volatility Contraction Pattern formation (Stage I to Stage II Transition).
3) Breakout supported with Healthy volumes.
4) Momentum indicators giving green signal.
Fundamentals:
1) Almost a Debt free company.
2) Paying out good dividends.
3) Posting good earning results.
Good Stage II (Uptrend) candidate to watch out for!!