OFSS: Setting Up for a Relief Rally?🔍 Introduction
This analysis starts from the 1-hour timeframe, where price action shows signs of exhaustion at the tail end of a 5-wave decline. A classic ending diagonal in wave c, along with bullish RSI divergence, points toward a potential short-term reversal — possibly the start of Wave B in a larger A-B-C corrective structure. We then zoom out to place this setup within a broader W-X-Y correction that began from the 13,220 high.
🕐 1H Chart: Ending Diagonal + RSI Divergence into Key Zone
Following the peak at 9775, price has been declining in what appears to be a ABC zigzag correction. Subwave 5 (within wave c) exhibits ending diagonal behavior, with overlapping internals and weakening thrust. Importantly, RSI has been printing higher lows, diverging strongly against lower price lows — a signal of potential bottoming.
Price is also testing the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level. A decisive breakout above the upper trendline would confirm a likely transition into Wave B.
🟢 Watching closely for a decisive breakout / close above the channel.
📆 Daily Chart: W-X-Y Structure from 13,220 High
Zooming out, ORACLE FIN SERV is unfolding a W-X-Y correction from its 13,220 high:
Wave W completed as a zigzag down to 7038.
Wave X unfolded as a zigzag rally, peaking at 9775. Notably, Wave C of X did not reach 100% of Wave A — signaling internal weakness.
Wave Y is now developing as a red A-B-C structure, with Wave A possibly ending near the 8930 level.
🧠 Conclusion & Key Levels to Watch
Wave A of Y appears to be nearing completion, supported by:
Ending diagonal structure in wave C (1H)
RSI bullish divergence
Price stalling at 1.618 extension
A breakout above the channel could mark the start of Wave B — potentially retracing 38–61.8% of the drop from 9775
📌 This setup offers both short-term and structural clues. I’ll post follow-ups as this unfolds.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
