Embassy Developments Stock Analysis: Bullish Reversal in Sight? This chart of Embassy Developments Limited (EMBDL) showcases a potential shift in momentum, signaling a bullish reversal from its recent downtrend. Here's a closer look at the technical indicators:
Trend Analysis:
The stock is testing a support level around ₹93.50, which has held in the past, suggesting potential for a bullish bounce.
The price is currently near a descending resistance line, showing that the stock is facing pressure but also indicating a potential breakout opportunity once it clears this resistance.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI has been oscillating between the 40 and 60 mark, reflecting periods of overbought and oversold conditions.
Recently, the RSI has moved towards bullish territory, indicating growing buying interest. The last signals (green “Bull” labels) show positive momentum, which could suggest the start of an upward move.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The MACD indicator is showing signs of bullish crossover, with the MACD line (orange) crossing above the signal line (blue), suggesting potential upward momentum in the near future.
The histogram also indicates that the bullish momentum is increasing, further confirming a possible trend reversal.
Key Points to Watch:
Support Zone: The stock is approaching a critical support level near ₹93.50. A bounce from this level could indicate a bullish trend continuation.
Breakout Opportunity: The price is testing the downward resistance trendline. A breakout above this level could trigger a strong upward move towards previous resistance levels around ₹110-115.
RSI & MACD Confirmation: The indicators show growing bullish momentum. A continued increase in RSI above 50 and a sustained positive MACD could confirm a bullish shift in the stock's direction.
Conclusion for Study :
This chart offers an example of how to analyze a stock’s price action, momentum, and trend through RSI, MACD, and support/resistance levels. Understanding how these indicators interact can help in forming strategies for potential entry or exit points in real-time trading scenarios.
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and should be viewed as a study of the stock's technicals.
X-indicator
Long on ZYDUSZYDUS has been forming a good consolidation base since 26th Sep-25.
Price has now started to break out of this base area and if you notice closely on the 1H chart, there has been higher low formations as well.
Daily RSI is attempting a breakout of 50 zone while Weekly RSI is taking support above 50.
Monthly RSI seems strong and is above 60 zone. This indicates good strength.
I have taken long swing position of the stock for a Target to 1160 price which could act as a stiff resistance.
SL - 972 price level.
P.S.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 09.10.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 09.10.2025
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
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📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 09/10/2025
________________________________________
🔹 1. Momentum
D1:
The current momentum is turning downward.
We need to wait for today’s D1 candle to close for confirmation.
➡️ If the daily candle closes bearish, it may mark the beginning of a deep and strong corrective wave.
H4:
H4 momentum is about to enter the oversold zone, suggesting the possibility of:
• A short-term bullish retracement, or
• A sideways consolidation phase before the next major move.
H1:
H1 momentum is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a potential short-term bearish correction ahead.
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🔹 2. Wave Structure
Overview:
In the previous analysis, the COT report indicated that the market is in an overly optimistic phase — a warning sign to stay cautious with long positions or late entries.
D1:
• The yellow wave 5 has already broken above the channel (throw-over), which is a typical sign of a final impulsive phase.
• When wave 5 extends strongly, the following correction (wave 4) often drops sharply, erasing most of the previous gains.
➡️ Therefore, it’s time to prioritize a defensive strategy and avoid chasing tops.
H4:
• Price has moved beyond the upper boundary of the channel, making the exact top of wave 5 hard to pinpoint.
• We should monitor price reaction when it returns inside the channel — if price fails to make a new high when H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, it will likely confirm the completion of wave 5.
H1:
• The wave count has been slightly adjusted compared to the previous plan.
• Within the black wave 5, there is now a clear 5-wave yellow substructure.
• The recent decline has broken below the lower trend channel and the previous wave 4 low — an early sign of a potential wave 5 top.
⚠️ The upcoming correction could be steep and fast, making this an important time to prepare for risk management and trade planning.
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🔹 3. Outlook & Trading Plan
All timeframes (D1 – H4 – H1) are showing an extended wave 5, but there’s still no clear confirmation of a top.
Hence, we should trade cautiously and manage positions tightly.
Currently, price has broken below the lower channel and wave 4 yellow, with a liquidity area near 4038 — this offers a good opportunity to open a small sell position to anticipate a potential reversal.
Trading Plan:
Sell zone (small lot): 4037 – 4039
Stop loss: 4048
Take profit: 3985
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 09/10/2025Nifty is expected to open slightly gap up near the 25,050 zone after yesterday’s mild correction. The index is currently trading within a consolidation range between 24,950 and 25,100, indicating indecision among traders ahead of a possible breakout.
If Nifty sustains above 25,050–25,100 after opening, it may trigger a bullish move toward 25,150, 25,200, and 25,250+. A breakout above 25,250 will likely extend the uptrend toward 25,350–25,450+ levels.
However, if the index slips below 24,950, it could invite short-term selling pressure, dragging prices toward 24,850, 24,800, and 24,750-.
Overall, the bias remains neutral to positive with a slight gap-up opening. Traders should focus on the breakout from the current consolidation zone for directional clarity, maintaining strict stop-loss levels for intraday trades.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(09/10/2025)Bank Nifty is likely to open with a gap-up around the 56,000 level, continuing its bullish tone from the previous sessions. The index is trading within a defined range, with 55,950 acting as immediate support and 56,450 as a key resistance zone.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 56,050–56,100 after opening, it may trigger a fresh upside move toward 56,250, 56,350, and 56,450+. A breakout above 56,450 will further strengthen the momentum and can extend the rally toward 56,750–56,950+.
On the downside, if the index slips below 55,950–55,900, selling pressure may emerge, leading to a decline toward 55,750, 55,650, and 55,550-.
Overall, the bias remains positive with a gap-up opening, but traders should monitor price action near the 56,450 resistance zone. A breakout on either side will decide the next directional move — bullish above 56,450 and bearish below 55,900.
Gold Trading Strategy for 09th October 2025🎯 GOLD INTRADAY SETUP
🟢 BUY Setup:
💰 Buy Above: $4062 (1-hour candle close above this level)
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ $4072
2️⃣ $4082
3️⃣ $4092
🔴 SELL Setup:
💰 Sell Below: $4019 (1-hour candle close below this level)
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ $4009
2️⃣ $3998
3️⃣ $3985
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📉 This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not a buy or sell recommendation. Always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management before trading.
$APT Broke out of Downtrend, AO turning Positive next weekAMEX:APT looks like a strong play for this bull run on Spot and is still in a solid buying range. Historically, it has pumped nearly 300% whenever it consolidated around these levels.
Now with Aptos generating millions in monthly revenue and the #AptosExperience event coming up next week, the setup looks even stronger.
Momentum indicators are also turning positive. We saw a similar pattern with NASDAQ:STRK last week — and you know how that played out this week.
I’ve already stacked a good amount of AMEX:APT and will be adding more if it dips into the 4.5–4.8 zone.
Gold Price Rally Sustains – Market Eyes Next Breakout PointGold (XAUUSD) continues to follow a strong bullish trajectory, confirming consistent market confidence and institutional participation. The chart structure reveals clear liquidity shifts and a steady series of bullish break-of-structure (BOS) points, suggesting that buyers remain in firm control. After a brief consolidation phase, gold resumed upward momentum, supported by sustained volume and steady market sentiment.
The current trend indicates controlled buying pressure rather than speculative spikes, showing the market’s preference for stability as price builds toward higher levels. If momentum maintains its present pace, gold could extend gains in the short term while maintaining its established bullish rhythm across the higher timeframe outlook.
Gold Makes History, Climbs to $4050 Despite Dollar Resilience.Strong Bullish Rally Takes Gold to Historic High $4050
.Dollar Index shows resilience, rises to 98.98
.Gold shows mild retracement consolidating above $4032
.Markets await FOMC meeting minutes.
Fundamental Drivers:
With no news of agreement in Congress for solution in US Government shutdown, political and fiscal uncertainties take centre stage.
Political turbulence in France adds to global concerns already affecting investor sentiments.
Continuous Gold buying by global central banks as well as ETF inflows creating strong structural demand and triggering FOMO driven rally.
Markets abuzz with talks of massive bubble building up in leading stocks and Indices.
Growing expectations of another rate cut by Federal Reserve in this month and also in December.
Safe haven demand causing Gold rush in run to safety boosting prices to record rally.
Technical Drivers:
$4050 acts as minor hurdle which bulls need to clear turning in to support for advance towards next leg higher $4068 followed by $4083 while major upside target sits at 2.618% Fibonacci extension aligned with $4114
Break below immediate support $4032 exposes next support $4015 followed by retracement to $4005-$3995 where buyers are very likely to re engage for renewed bullish rally.
If $3995 fails as support, decline is likely to extend to $3983 below which next downside retracement may reach $3935
What's Most Likely Scenario?
Prevailing momentum is precisely bullish and immediate price action indicates strong bullish bias while oscillators are highly stretched and any positive news of agreement on US Government shutdown will witness quick price correction as these heights are prone to profit booking at the drop of a hat.
High probability that Gold retracement approaches or mitigates $4015-$4005 or even $3995-$3983 support and breakout zone and attracts buyers again to resume main bullish rally retesting $4050 and extending advance towards $4068-$4083 followed by critical resistance $4114
On the flip side, sharp and strong break below $3983 may also indicate sellers intervention pushing prices to lower boundary $3935
“Nifty 50 Intraday Key Levels | Buy & Sell Zones 9th Oct 2025”“Want to learn more? Like this post and follow me!”
25278🔴 Above 10m closing Shot Cover Level
Strong resistance — short covering likely above this.
25178🟠 Below 10m hold PE By level /
Above 10m hold CE by level
25078🟣 Above 10M hold positive trade view
Below 10M hold negative trade view
Sentiment deciding level — crucial for trend direction.
24980⚫ Above Opening S1 10m Hold CE By level
Bullish entry level — CE hold area.
24890🟠 Below Opening R1 10m Hold PE By level
Below 10m hold PE By Risky Zone Weak zone — PE may strengthen below this.
24780🟢 Above 10M hold CE By Safe Zone level
Safe bullish zone — CE can be held confidently above.
24,770 🔵 BELOW 10M hold UNWINDING level
Breakdown zone — unwinding or heavy selling possible below.
Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 9th OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)
Structure: The Sensex is showing a clear rejection from the major supply zone of 82,300 - 82,500. The large red candle on the 4H chart indicates profit-booking and a likely retreat back into the consolidation range. The price broke below the lower trendline of the very steep short-term ascending channel.
Key Levels:
Major Supply (Resistance): 82,300 - 82,500. This remains the critical overhead hurdle and a short-term Order Block (OB).
Major Demand (Support): 81,400 - 81,600. This area, which includes the rising trendline and a prior FVG (Fair Value Gap), is the must-hold zone for the bulls.
Outlook: The trend has shifted to sideways-to-bearish. The market is expected to test the 81,400 - 81,600 support zone.
1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)
Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside. The price broke the immediate swing low and the lower trendline of the ascending channel, confirming the shift to a corrective short-term trend. The market is now trading within a small descending channel.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 82,000 (The psychological level and the middle of the recent bullish candle).
Immediate Support: 81,600 (The major support zone).
15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)
Structure: The 15M chart confirms a clean descending channel since the 82,300 high, marked by lower highs and lower lows. The market closed right at the 81,774 level, indicating bears are in control for the start of the session.
Key Levels:
Intraday Supply: 81,900 - 82,000. This area is the immediate swing high.
Intraday Demand: 81,600.
Outlook: Bearish. A "Sell on Rise" strategy is recommended near 81,900 - 82,000.
📈 Trade Plan (Thursday, 9th October)
Market Outlook: The Sensex has initiated a short-term correction after hitting major resistance. The plan focuses on capitalizing on the continuation of the correction.
Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Justification: The breakdown of the steep channel and the rejection from 82,300 favor continuation toward the next major support.
Entry: Short entry on a successful retest and rejection of the 81,900 - 82,000 zone (upper channel resistance/prior support). Alternatively, short a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 81,600.
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 82,200 (above the immediate swing high).
Targets:
T1: 81,400 (Major FVG support).
T2: 81,000 (Psychological support).
Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal Plan)
Justification: Only valid if TCS results are exceptionally strong, leading to a gap-up or sharp reversal that negates the current selling pressure.
Trigger: A sustained move and close above the major resistance at 82,300.
Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 82,300.
Stop Loss (SL): Below 82,000.
Targets:
T1: 82,600 (Upper resistance).
T2: 83,000 (Psychological target).
Key Levels for Observation:
Immediate Decision Point: 81,600 - 82,000 zone.
Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 81,600.
Bullish Confirmation: A move back above 82,200.
Major Event: TCS Q2 Results. Volatility is expected to be high.
Line in the Sand: 81,400. A break below this would accelerate the correction.
Banknifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 9th OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)
Structure: The Bank Nifty is still in a bullish uptrend, having rebounded sharply from the 54,250 base. However, the price has failed to break the key supply zone of 56,400 - 56,600. The large red candle on Wednesday signals a clear rejection from this zone. The price has dropped below the lower trendline of the very steep short-term ascending channel.
Key Levels:
Major Supply (Resistance): 56,400 - 56,600. This remains the critical overhead hurdle.
Major Demand (Support): 55,400 - 55,600. This area, which includes a short-term FVG (Fair Value Gap), is the next major support.
Outlook: The trend has shifted to sideways-to-bearish for the short term. The market is expected to consolidate or correct towards 55,600.
1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)
Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside. The price broke the immediate swing low and the lower trendline of the ascending channel, confirming the corrective trend. The market is now moving within a newly formed descending channel.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: The upper trendline of the descending channel, near 56,200.
Immediate Support: 55,750 (The recent consolidation base).
15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)
Structure: The 15M chart confirms a clear descending channel since the 56,400 high, marked by lower highs and lower lows. The market closed below the blue EMA, indicating strong bearish momentum.
Key Levels:
Intraday Supply: 56,050 - 56,150. This area is the recent swing high and aligns with the descending channel's upper boundary.
Intraday Demand: 55,750.
Outlook: Bearish. A "Sell on Rise" strategy is recommended near 56,050 - 56,150.
📈 Trade Plan (Thursday, 9th October)
Market Outlook: The Bank Nifty has initiated a short-term correction after hitting major resistance. The plan focuses on capitalizing on the continuation of the short-term downtrend.
Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Justification: The breakdown of the steep channel and the rejection from 56,400 favor continuation toward the next major support.
Entry: Short entry on a successful retest and rejection of the 56,050 - 56,150 zone (upper channel resistance). Alternatively, short a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 55,700.
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 56,300.
Targets:
T1: 55,400 (Major FVG support).
T2: 55,100 (Psychological support).
Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal Plan)
Justification: Only valid if strong buying emerges to reclaim the entire breakdown structure.
Trigger: A sustained move and close above the major resistance at 56,400.
Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 56,400.
Stop Loss (SL): Below 56,200.
Targets:
T1: 56,600 (Major supply zone).
T2: 56,800 (Extension target).
Key Levels for Observation:
Immediate Decision Point: 55,700 - 56,150 zone.
Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 55,700.
Bullish Confirmation: A move back above 56,200.
Major Event: TCS Q2 Results (will heavily influence the market open).
Line in the Sand: 55,600. Below this level, the sellers gain control of the intermediate trend.
Nifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 9th OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)
Structure: The Nifty is showing a clear rejection from the major supply zone of 25,150 - 25,250. The strong red candle on the 4H chart (a potential Shooting Star/Bearish Engulfing pattern) indicates that the bounce phase is likely over, and the market is now retreating back into the consolidation range.
Key Levels:
Major Supply (Resistance): 25,150 - 25,250. This area remains the critical overhead hurdle.
Major Demand (Support): 24,800 - 24,900. This area includes a FVG (Fair Value Gap) and the lower boundary of the recent ascending channel. This is the must-hold zone for the bulls.
Outlook: The trend has shifted to sideways-to-bearish. The market is expected to test the 24,800 - 24,900 support zone.
1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)
Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside. The price broke the immediate swing low after being rejected from the 25,200 level. The index has now broken the lower trendline of the recent ascending channel, confirming the shift to a corrective short-term trend.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 25,100 (Prior consolidation support, now resistance).
Immediate Support: 24,980 - 25,000 (The psychological level and Friday's close area).
15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)
Structure: The 15M chart shows a clean descending pattern since the 25,200 high, marked by lower highs and lower lows. The market closed below the 25,050 mark, indicating bears are in control.
Key Levels:
Intraday Supply: 25,080 (Immediate swing high).
Intraday Demand: 24,900 - 24,950.
Outlook: Bearish. A "Sell on Rise" strategy is recommended near 25,080 - 25,100.
📈 Trade Plan (Thursday, 9th October)
Market Outlook: The Nifty has shifted to a bearish bias after hitting major resistance. TCS Q2 results are due today, which will heavily influence Nifty IT and potentially the entire index. The plan should be reactive to the continuation of the correction.
Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Justification: The breakdown of the ascending channel and the rejection from the major 25,200 supply zone favors a continuation of the correction, especially if TCS results disappoint.
Entry: Short entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 24,980 (breaking the psychological and swing support). Alternatively, short a retest and rejection of the 25,080 level.
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 25,150 (above the immediate swing high).
Targets:
T1: 24,880 (Major FVG support).
T2: 24,800 (Lower boundary of macro support).
T3: 24,700 (Extension target).
Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal Plan)
Justification: Only valid if TCS results are exceptionally strong, leading to a gap-up or sharp reversal.
Trigger: A sustained move and close above the major resistance at 25,250.
Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 25,250.
Stop Loss (SL): Below 25,150.
Targets:
T1: 25,350 (Upper resistance).
T2: 25,450 (Previous high).
Key Levels for Observation:
Immediate Decision Point: 25,080 - 25,100 zone.
Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 24,980.
Bullish Confirmation: A move back above 25,150.
Line in the Sand: 24,800. A break below this would accelerate the correction.