HOW MANY BUYER TRAPS BEFORE NEW ATH GOLD ?📈 Analysis of Gold Trading Plan (SMC/Order Flow)
🔍 Current Market Context
Structure: The market has shown a strong bullish trend, marked by a Break of Structure (BOS) and a Liquidity Done Sweep around the ₹4,145 price level.
Liquidity:
The market performed a "First Sweep Here" (initial liquidity grab) after the rally, signaling a readiness for a correction.
The main liquidity target for the upward move (Big Boy Liquidity) is set above the ₹4,240 level.
Recent Price Action: After hitting the peak and the initial sweep, the price experienced a sharp decline, creating a correction zone.
🎯 Proposed Trading Plan
The plan focuses on two main scenarios: a Short-term Sell (SELL SCALP) and a Primary Buy (BUY GOLD).
1. Primary Buy Scenario (BUY GOLD)
This is the main scenario to continue the bullish trend (Long).
Entry Zone: BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124.
This zone is likely a critical Order Block or an unmitigated Demand Zone, positioned just below the previous liquidity sweep and acting as a strong support/Displaced/Fair Value Gap (FVG) area.
Stop Loss (SL): SL 4120.
This stop-loss level protects the long position, placed just below the key entry zone to avoid being shaken out by minor liquidity grabs.
The indicated Stoploss Buyer area (around ₹4,145 - ₹4,150) suggests the price drop might aim to sweep prior buyers' liquidity before bouncing from the ₹4,124 - ₹4,126 zone.
Take Profit (TP): The ultimate target is the Liquidity Limit Big Boy (above ₹4,240).
2. Short-term Sell Scenario (SELL SCALP)
This is a short-term trading opportunity (Scalping) during the corrective move.
Entry Zone: SELL SCALP 4208 - 4210.
This area likely represents a Supply Zone or a bearish Order Block following the sharp drop, where hidden selling pressure resides.
Stop Loss (SL): SL 4212.
This is a very tight stop loss, placed just above the entry zone.
Take Profit (TP): The target is the BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124 area (the primary buy entry zone).
⚠️ Key Considerations
Timeline: This plan requires the price to move according to the predicted scenario (drop to the buy zone before rallying).
Confirmation: Traders should wait for structural confirmation on a lower timeframe (e.g., a Change of Character - CHoCH or a bullish BOS) at the 4126 - 4124 buy zone before entering the trade to improve the probability of success.
Risk Management: Using the suggested Stop Loss (SL) is mandatory for capital protection.
X-indicator
Learn Candle PatternsCandlestick patterns are one of the most important tools in technical analysis, used by traders around the world to understand market psychology, predict price movement, and identify buying or selling opportunities. Each candle on the chart tells a story—who is in control (bulls or bears), the strength of the price move, and the potential reversal or continuation of the trend. When combined into patterns, candlesticks offer powerful signals that help traders make better decisions.
A single candlestick is made of four data points: open, high, low, and close. The body represents the open-to-close range, while wicks (shadows) show the highs and lows. Bullish candles generally close above the open, and bearish candles close below the open. Understanding this basic structure is essential before analyzing patterns.
Candlestick patterns are broadly categorized into reversal patterns and continuation patterns. Reversal patterns indicate a potential change in trend, while continuation patterns suggest the existing trend is likely to continue. These patterns can be single-candle, double-candle, or multi-candle formations.
Premium Chart Patterns Chart patterns are one of the most powerful tools in technical analysis. They visually represent how price behaves over time and help traders understand market psychology, identify trend direction, and predict future price movements. Whether a trader is dealing with equities, commodities, currencies, or indices like NIFTY or BANKNIFTY, chart patterns offer high-probability setups for both intraday and positional trading.
At their core, chart patterns indicate market sentiment—fear, greed, indecision, accumulation, distribution, breakouts, or reversals. When repeated price behaviour forms recognizable shapes on a chart, traders can use them to anticipate the next move. These shapes emerge from support, resistance, trendlines, and consolidation zones.
Broadly, chart patterns are classified into three categories:
Reversal Patterns – Signal a trend reversal
Continuation Patterns – Indicate the trend will resume
Bilateral Patterns – Suggest breakout in either direction
TATASTEEL 1 Week View🔍 Current context
The stock is trading around ₹ 176–177 (as of mid-Nov 2025).
On a weekly basis, technical indicators suggest a mixed to weak bias: for example, on daily timeframes many moving averages and indicators show “Sell” signals.
On the weekly timeframe (Moneycontrol data) the moving averages, MACD, RSI etc are showing outperform (“bullish”) signals.
Key support/resistance pivot levels:
Resistance (Classic) ~ ₹ 185.31, ₹ 189.25, ₹ 194.40
Support (Classic) ~ ₹ 176.22, ₹ 171.07, ₹ 167.13
52‐week high ~ ₹ 186.94, 52‐week low ~ ₹ 122.62
🎯 1-Week Trading Levels & Potential Strategy
Given the above, here are plausible levels and scenarios for the next week:
Upside target: If the stock picks up momentum, a breakout above ~ ₹ 180-185 opens the way toward ~ ₹ 189-190 (resistance).
Downside risk: If weakness persists, a drop below ~ ₹ 176 could test support around ~ ₹ 171–172, and potentially down to ~ ₹ 167.
Key trigger level: The ~ ₹ 176 region is a hinge. Holding above gives chance for upside; failing it shifts the bias downward.
⚠️ Caveats
A 1-week timeframe is quite short; factors such as global steel demand, raw material costs, and domestic policy can impact quickly.
Technicals are only one piece of the puzzle — fundamentals, news, sector dynamics matter.
The conflicting signals (daily weak vs weekly stronger) mean the stock may trade sideways or range-bound in the short run.
JSWSTEEL 1 Day Time Frame 🔍 Key Levels
Support zone: ~ ₹1,175–₹1,158 (some analyses list support at ~₹1,175, ~₹1,168, ~₹1,158)
Immediate resistance zone: ~ ₹1,192–₹1,209 (resistance at ~₹1,192, ~₹1,202, ~₹1,209)
Pivot point (daily-style): ~ ₹1,070.90 (from one pivot table)
📌 My commentary
The chart suggests if the price falls below ~₹1,175–₹1,158, further downside risk may increase in the short term.
On the upside, a breakout above ~₹1,200–₹1,209 could signal upside momentum building.
Because the pivot (~₹1,070) is significantly lower than current prices in many analyses, it may be less relevant for very short-term trades but still a longer-term structural reference.
PSU BANK AVAILABLE AT FAIR VALUATION NOW: BREAKOUT IN CANARABANkAmong Indian PSU banks, Canara Bank currently stands out as available at a fair valuation, with a low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 6.6 and a price-to-book (P/B) value near 1.1, which makes it attractive compared to peers. Bank of India and Union Bank of India also screen as fairly valued, both hovering around P/E ratios of 6.3–6.9 and similar P/B multiples.
Notable PSU Banks for Fair Valuation
* Canara Bank: P/E 6.6, P/B 1.1, with strong return on equity (ROE) and return on assets (ROA), making it a value pick in current market conditions.
* Bank of India: P/E 6.9, P/B close to 1, and intrinsic value estimates within reasonable bounds for current prices.
* Union Bank of India: P/E 6.3, P/B 1.1, delivering consistent profit growth and maintaining attractive valuations.
Market Sentiment
With PSU banks reporting strong profit growth in recent quarters, the sector overall offers valuation support, but bottom-up stock selection remains vital. Canara Bank and Bank of India are currently among the most fairly valued, making them stand out for investors seeking value in the PSU banking segment.
For a long-term perspective, review each bank's NPA ratios, consistent profitability, and any recent regulatory changes that could impact valuations.
Part 9 Trading Master Class With Experts What Are Options?
Options are financial contracts that give a trader the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a fixed price (called the strike price) before or on a specific date (called the expiry).
The underlying asset could be a stock, index, commodity, or currency.
Because options provide choice (whether to exercise or not), they are called “options.”
There are two main types:
Call Option – gives you the right to buy at a fixed price.
Put Option – gives you the right to sell at a fixed price.
In both cases, you pay a premium (price of the option). This is the maximum loss for option buyers.
Gold Maintains Bullish Structure Despite 4245 Rejection We have seen a sharp rejection from the 4245 level yesterday, forming a red candle . However,. Gold found solid support at the weekly R3 level around 4147 and managed to close above it, which is a significant technical development. Currently, we're witnessing a strong recovery rally on lower tf that suggests the bulls aren't ready to give up just yet.
When we zoom in to the daily timeframe, yesterday's downward move appears to be just a normal bearish candle rather than a trend reversal signal. The key factor supporting this view is that price was trading well above the weekly R3 level throughout the session. In a healthy uptrend, these kinds of pullbacks are quite normal and often provide opportunities for fresh entries. The overall bullish structure on the daily chart remains intact, which gives me confidence that this isn't the beginning of a major correction.
Looking at the current setup, the first critical support level at 4140-4150. This zone has proven its importance multiple times, and as long as price holds above this area, I'm maintaining a bullish bias. A daily close below 4140-4150 would be the first warning sign that we might be heading back into consolidation territory. That scenario would require a reassessment of the trend direction.
However, if gold continues to respect the 4140-4150 support zone and builds on today's recovery momentum, we could see price pushing toward higher levels in the coming sessions. The bulls have shown their presence at key support areas, and with the daily structure still favoring upside, the path of least resistance appears to be upward for now.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 14.11.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 14.11.2025
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
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📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
BTC is forming a 3R sell scenario.....BTC is in downtrend in daily timeframe and shown sniper delivery, now it is in pullback mode. We may anticipate a good short term trade around 102000 RDRB level
1. Price is continuously crating BOSs..
2. Sniper deliver is already done and price is pulling back slowly.
3. RSI has already shown bearish divergence on hourly TF.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone.
6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 14/11/2025Nifty is expected to open flat near the 25,880–25,900 zone, keeping price action inside the same tight range as yesterday. The index is currently trading near an important resistance cluster, so early candles may remain choppy and sideways until a clear directional move develops.
If Nifty sustains above 26,000, upside strength can continue toward 26,150, 26,200, and 26,250+. A breakout above 26,000 will act as the primary confirmation for long positions, indicating fresh buyer momentum.
On the downside, if the index slips below 25,950–25,900, a short setup may get activated toward 25,850, 25,800, and 25,750-. This zone has acted as support earlier, so a breakdown may lead to a quick intraday slide.
Overall, with a flat opening and no gap advantage for either side, Nifty remains in a reaction zone. Traders should wait for a decisive move above 26,000 or below 25,900 to catch a clean trend. Use strict SL as volatility may rise around resistance levels.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(14/11/2025)Bank Nifty is likely to open flat near the 58,350–58,400 zone, keeping price action inside the same range as yesterday. The index continues to hover around a key resistance–support cluster, so initial movements may remain sideways until a clear breakout or breakdown appears.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 58,450–58,500, upside momentum may build toward 58,550, 58,850, and 58,950+. A breakout above 58,550 will be the stronger confirmation for buyers, opening room for a broader upward move.
On the downside, if the index slips below 58,450–58,400, a short opportunity activates toward 58,250, 58,150, and 58,050-. A clean breakdown below 58,400 can trigger intraday profit-booking or a deeper pullback.
Overall, with a flat opening and no major gap expected, Bank Nifty remains in a reactive zone. Traders should wait for a decisive move above 58,550 or below 58,400 to catch trending momentum.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 14th November 2025⭐ NIFTY Intraday Levels (15-Min Candle Strategy)
🟢 BUY Setup
📈 Buy Above: ₹25,991
⏱️ Condition: Price must close above the high of the 15-min candle
🎯 Targets: ₹26,025, ₹26,055, ₹26,080
🔴 SELL Setup
📉 Sell Below: ₹25,785
⏱️ Condition: Price must close below the low of the 15-min candle
🎯 Targets: ₹25,750, ₹25,700, ₹25,650
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not SEBI registered.
These levels are shared only for educational and informational purposes.
Trading involves high market risk. Please do your own analysis and consult a certified financial advisor before executing any trades.
Gold Trading Strategy for 14th November 2025⭐ GOLD Intraday Levels (30-min Candle Strategy)
🟢 BUY Setup
📈 Buy Above: $4,230 (30-min candle close above the high)
🎯 Targets:
$4,240
$4,250
$4,260
🔴 SELL Setup
📉 Sell Below: $4,143 (30-min candle close below the low)
🎯 Targets:
$4,133
$4,123
$4,113
⚠️ Disclaimer
This information is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading in commodities, forex, and indices involves substantial risk. Always do your own analysis or consult with a certified financial advisor before taking any trade. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
USDJPY Vulnerable to Deep Pullback After Wave 5USDJPY has completed a full 5-wave rising structure inside a clear wedge pattern, which usually signals exhaustion. The final Wave (5) shows weakening momentum, and price is beginning to slip below the wedge support — an early sign that the trend may be reversing. This suggests the pair is likely entering a deeper corrective decline, potentially retracing toward 150 or lower in an impulsive A-B-C move. In simple terms: uptrend looks tired → wedge breakdown could trigger a strong downside correction.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
ECOSMOBLTY: Potential Reversal SignalsThe daily chart of ECOSMOBLTY indicates early signs of a possible bullish reversal following a prolonged bearish trend. Recent price action suggests renewed buying interest, supported by multiple technical factors.
The stock has rebounded from a long-term support level near ₹191 , accompanied by higher-than-average trading volume. This combination often signals increased market participation and potential trend reversal.
A bullish crossover on the MACD has been observed on the daily timeframe. This momentum-based indicator often suggests a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment when confirmed by price and volume.
The RSI has moved above 62, indicating strengthening bullish momentum. While not yet in overbought territory, this level reflects improving trend strength.
There is a notable supply zone around ₹257 , which may act as an interim resistance. Price could consolidate or retrace near this level before attempting further upward movement.
Immediate Resistance: ₹257 (potential supply zone)
Major Resistance: ₹295 (historical level based on prior price action)
Support Zone: ₹191 (long-term support and invalidation level for bullish setup)
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Market participants should conduct independent research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin: A case of confidence and patience | FX ResearchAs we continue to emphasize, any bouts of weakness in the crypto market still look like pullbacks within a broader and constructive medium and longer term uptrend. In our view, any tone of negative sentiment appears misplaced when viewed against price action that continues to reward investors who treat these pullbacks as opportunities rather than threats.
We have highlighted the 50-week simple moving average as the first meaningful support for Bitcoin. Since breaking above this level in 2023, the market has not closed a week below it. The pattern repeated itself this past week, and we’re seeing similar price action again. From here, we’re looking for the next important higher low, with the outlook strengthened by another weekly close above the 50-week simple moving average.
We are also watching this week’s high in Bitcoin, just under 107,500. A break above that level would set the foundation for a broader rebound across the crypto complex. Seasonality also works in crypto’s favour despite a slow start to Q4. Historically, Q4 has delivered strong performance, and this year’s backdrop of accelerating adoption, regulatory progress, and continued institutional development reinforces the potential for a strong finish to the year.
Macro conditions are becoming more supportive as Fed rate expectations tilt back toward the dovish side, while the US government shutdown comes to an end. Risk appetite has also been buoyed by renewed buying interest in US equities, adding another supportive factor for crypto.
Ultimately, it comes down to confidence and patience. The stage remains set for a robust run into year end, one that could take Bitcoin and ETH to fresh record highs. Even if this outlook proves unreliable and Bitcoin continues to break down, we struggle to see weakness extending much below 90,000, with the market likely to build long exposure at what many would view as highly attractive levels.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
BTC - Turned Bearish ?This unexpected longer US shutdown followed by another un expected temporary solution till Jan 2026 is causing panic in US market. These days Trump and his network moving the market as they want. And anything are possible these days by him. BTC has very strong Buyer network including ETFs, Strategy and other non stop accumulators. Its Golden time to buy Bitcoin at every dips since they have non stop flow of funds. But price drop un stoppable since margin issues cause weak hands to get liquidated. when 25X group gets liquidated then its huge sell off and it will take time to buy back the liquidity so SL kills all weak hands. But where is the Bottom. Cant predict because US shutdown has not got solution atleast for a year. Upcoming US data all expected to be slightly negative putting pressure on markets to be on sell side. Its all in the hands of Trump and his network or other banks who planned all these. I never seen a temporary solution for US shutdown in the past. At sending markets to the levels they want first big players will accumulate and then make policy move to move markets to up again.... Its sure bad news for Bitcoin Bulls planning for 130+ levels... It will come in 2026 but need to be loving and money management in SIP into Bitcoin will give rich returns in 2026
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | November 13–14✅From the 4H chart, gold reached a recent high of 4245.10 before encountering clear resistance and pulling back. The upper Bollinger Band (4234.51) acted as a strong rejection zone, and the price has since retreated toward the 4200 level.
Currently, gold is consolidating between 4190–4210, with short-term moving averages (MA5 at 4204.33, MA10 at 4180.59) forming a potential narrow convergence zone. The MA20 (4150.72) provides additional dynamic support below.
This suggests that while the broader trend remains bullish, the short-term structure has entered a minor correction phase after the sharp rally.
If gold stabilizes above 4175–4180, the medium-term bullish outlook remains intact. A break below that zone could open the way toward 4150–4140, whereas a rebound above 4215–4220 could signal renewed upside momentum.
✅On the 1H timeframe, gold shows a short-term pullback structure after testing 4245. The price has broken below the short-term moving averages (MA5 4207.15, MA10 4220.06), and the Bollinger midline (4211.97) now acts as immediate resistance.
The candles indicate a loss of upward momentum, and the MACD is turning flat, confirming a short-term correction pattern. Support lies around 4179–4185, aligning with the lower Bollinger Band.
If this support holds, we may see a technical rebound toward 4210–4225. However, failure to defend 4175 would likely trigger deeper retracement toward 4150.
Overall, gold is consolidating within a healthy pullback after a strong run-up, and a base-building phase may precede another bullish leg.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4215 / 4235 / 4245
🟢 Support Levels: 4175 / 4150 / 4138
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 If gold rebounds to 4215–4230 and shows rejection, consider light short positions, targeting 4180–4160, with a stop loss above 4248.
🔰 If gold pulls back to 4175–4185 and holds, consider buying on dips, targeting 4215–4240.
📈 Summary:
Gold remains in a broader uptrend, but short-term charts show correction and consolidation pressure after hitting 4245.
Focus on the 4175–4230 range — buy on dips near support and take partial profits near resistance.






















