Canara Bank daily chartThe chart pattern Upward Parallel channel is seen .
Price is hovering around 20 and 50 EMA. Near term (next few days): Expect consolidation around 150–156.
A breakout above 156.80 could target 160–162, while a drop below 150 might lead to testing 148.
Key levels:
Support: 150 / 148.
Resistance: 156.80 / 160.
The View: If Price keeps hovering around moving avgs. consolidation is expected .More than average buying must be seen for price to move above in parallel channel.
X-indicator
Bharat Electronics Limited Weekly Chart
4 EMA Analysis: The stock is trading above the 21, 55, 100, and 200 EMAs(Red, Blue, Green & Orange respectively) indicating a bullish trend. The EMAs are also in a positive alignment, suggesting a strong uptrend.
Volume Analysis: The breakout was supported by healthy volume expansion, validating the move. There's no major selling pressure visible near the breakout zone.
RSI Indicators: The RSI has crossed 60, reflecting healthy strength without signs of exhaustion.
Based on these indicators, the technical analysis suggests:
The trend is bullish, with buyers maintaining control above key demand zones.
The stock is likely to continue its uptrend, with potential targets at ₹460-₹480 (positional).
Support levels to watch: ₹428 - ₹420.
Further prediction:
A daily close above ₹422 could trigger stronger moves, opening room for fresh highs.
If the resistance holds, there could be a retest towards ₹340-₹360, followed by an uptrend.
Keep an eye on the volume and RSI for any signs of exhaustion or reversal. Majorly trend looks positive .
Colgate Palmolive Analysis* The primary trend of the stock is bullish, although prices witnessed a bearish retracement for over a year (Sep 2024 - Oct 2025)
* Since strong Q3 earnings (Oct 2025), a bullish pull-back could be seen, and prices rose more than 16.5% in over +3 months
* Recently prices tested fib level 0.618 (86.67) and started consolidating between fib level 0.618 & 0.50.
* Today's strong earnings results of the company for Q4 might drive the stock prices higher.
* The stock is expected to open with a gap-up near the Entry zone, and rise higher towards the Target area
Technical Indicators
- The prices are existing at the support of the 21 EMA
- A hidden bullish divergence is also visible, driving prices higher
Q4 & Annual Earnings
- Colgate-Palmolive beat estimated earnings by 4.0%, reporting an EPS of $0.95 versus an estimate of $0.91.
- Revenue was up $286.00 million from the same period last year.
- EPS, although beat estimates, but fell 106% from the previous quarter, and turned negative for the quarter
- EPS for the financial year also fell 25% to $2.63 from $3.51
XAUUSD (Gold) – 4H Chart Analysis (Short & Clear)XAUUSD (Gold) – 4H Chart Analysis (Short & Clear)
Market Structure
Overall strong uptrend intact (higher high–higher low).
Recent move shows sharp rally → profit booking / pullback.
Current price ~5127, bounced from below 5000 area.
Key Levels
Resistance:
5250–5280 (minor)
5450–5600 (major supply zone / previous top)
Support:
5050–5000 (important demand zone)
4850–4800 (strong swing support)
Price Action Insight
Big red candles after top = healthy correction, not trend reversal yet.
Last candle shows rejection from lows → buyers still active.
As long as 5000 holds, bias remains bullish.
Buy-side View
Buy on dip near 5050–5000 with confirmation.
Safer buy if market reclaims & holds above 5200.
Targets (short-term): 5250 → 5400
Targets (swing): 5500–5600
Bearish Scenario (Only if)
Clean 4H close below 4950 → deeper correction possible
Downside then: 4850 → 4700
Conclusion
📈 Trend = Bullish
🔁 Phase = Pullback / consolidation
🧠 Best strategy = Buy dips, avoid panic selling
Part 2 Intraday Institutional TradingBest Practices for Retail Traders
1. Start with Buying Options
Risk is limited.
2. Prefer ATM or Slight ITM
Better stability, realistic probability.
3. Avoid Holding Overnight
Unless you understand IV, theta, and event risk.
4. Track Implied Volatility
Buy when IV is low, sell when IV is high.
5. Use a Trading Plan
Entry levels
Stop loss
Target
Position size
6. Don’t Chase Cheap OTM Options
They expire worthless most of the time.
Advance Trade Setup - KSCLKaveri Seed Company Ltd
BSE : 532899
NSE : KSCL
💡 Liked the idea?
Then don’t forget to Boost 🚀 it!
Comments are Most Welcome
Techincal Setup Details
LTP 818.00
VRVP
RSI
LinReg
VRVP :
The Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP) indicator, often referred to as VPVR, displays trading volume by price rather than time, specifically for the visible chart area. The Value Area High (VAH) is the upper boundary of the price range where a significant percentage (default 70%) of volume occurs, acting as a crucial resistance or support level.
Significance of VAH:
Resistance : When prices are below or approaching the VAH, it often acts as resistance, signaling a potential pullback.
Support : In an upward trend, a breakthrough above the VAH can signal a continuation, turning the former VAH into support.
Trading VAH with VRVP:
Range Trading : If the price is within the VAH (Value area High) & VAL (Value area Low), it suggests a range-bound market. Sellers often enter near the VAH.
Trend Identification : A price moving well above the VAH indicates strong bullish sentiment, while price staying below the VAH suggests bearish sentiment.
RSI :
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator ranging from 0 to 100 that measures the speed and change of price movements to identify overbought (>70) or oversold (<30) conditions. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals or corrections.
Linear Regression Channel :
The Linear Regression Indicator (LRI) is a technical analysis tool that fits a straight line, known as the "least squares regression," to a specific number of price bars (e.g., closing prices) to identify the current trend. It plots the final, predicted value of this regression line, acting as a responsive, noise-filtering alternative to moving averages that indicates where price "should" be
Purpose: Identifies trend direction, potential reversals, and acts as dynamic support/resistance
I've extended the Indicator/Lines on the Right so that when the actual reversal happens, it easy to go with the flow, will be a Helping hand.
In the Current Scenario # KSCL
VAH is @ 740
Price has Broken LinReg Lower Deviation # Channel Broken, which means we can expect further weakness
RSI is @ 30 odd with Bearish signal still ON
Why this idea is Titled as ADVANCE TRADE SETUP, because we must understand that further weakness is expected & we also need to know well in advance whats the BEST possible price to enter for a Decent RR Ratio
LTP stands @ 818
once its below 760 mark, start adding in tranches till 690 Levels
There is one important point that needs to be highlighted.
KSCL operates in the seed business, which is largely driven by the monsoon cycle.
If you look at its balance sheet, you’ll notice a clear revenue swing around June, and historically, the stock price also reacts during the March–June quarter.
As of now, we are nearing the end of January.
Till mid-March, we may get opportunities to accumulate the stock near the above-mentioned best buy zone.
Once the position is in place, the idea is to hold for an upswing, which could range between 40% to 80%, and possibly more.
Stop-loss (closing basis):
• ₹620 / ₹590
Important Note:
This idea is being shared well in advance.
All price levels mentioned are assumptions and expectations, meant only for guidance.
Actual prices may vary by ±10% to 15%.
Members are advised to act based on real-time market behavior and their own judgment.
Plan patiently. Execute with discipline.
For more insights & trade ideas,
📲 Visit my profile and hit Follow
Warm regards,
Naresh G
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
💬 Comment below if you want me to analyse any stock for you 🔍
Part 4 Institutional VS. Technical1. Delta
Measures how much the premium changes with a ₹1 move in the underlying.
Call delta: +0.0 to +1.0
Put delta: –0.0 to –1.0
High delta = faster premium movement.
2. Gamma
Measures how fast delta changes. Used to evaluate momentum and risk.
3. Theta
Measures time decay—how much premium decreases as expiration approaches.
Sellers benefit from theta.
Buyers lose value daily.
4. Vega
Measures sensitivity to implied volatility (IV).
Higher IV → higher premium.
5. Rho
Impact of interest rates (less important for short-term traders).
XAUUSD 30 MIN T/F ANALYSIS---
📊 Market Structure Explanation (Gold – 30 Min)
The price show heavy selling so we can measure recent top supply and copy it
after retesting we can measure from retesting top and past previous supply and match current supply so supply will be completed --
🔍 What the market can do next:
Scenario 1 – Pullback / Reversal (Needs Confirmation):
For any meaningful reversal to occur, the market must first show clear bullish candlestick confirmation.
This includes patterns such as:
bullish engulfing candles
Strong rejection wicks (lower shadows)
morning star formations
Consecutive bullish closes
Short lower-wick rejection candles showing bullish pressure
Without these bullish structures, any upside move should be treated as a temporary pullback, not a reversal.
Scenario 2 – Continuation:
If sellers stay strong and bullish confirmation does not appear, price can break down this zone and continue lower with another impulsive bearish move.
Scenario 3 – Range formation:
Market may form a small sideways structure near this level before choosing a clear direction.
🧭 Summary:
The trend is bullish, but price is at a sensitive support zone.
Reversal is only valid if bullish candlestick patterns and bullish pressure appear.
Otherwise, the structure favors continuation or short-term consolidation before the next move.
TDPOWERSYS 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Live/Intraday Summary (Today’s Trading)
• Current price: ~₹735 – ₹745* (showing a strong upside on the day).
• Day’s high: ₹767.95.
• Day’s low: ₹642.30.
• Previous close: ₹676.90.
• Range (1‑day): ₹642.30 – ₹767.95.
• Volume: Several million shares traded (indicating active intraday participation).
• Circuit limits: Upper ₹812.25 / Lower ₹541.55.
📈 Intraday Price Behavior (1‑Day Chart Insight)
Although I can’t draw the live chart, major market data sources show the stock rising significantly above its previous close, with intraday volatility spanning over ₹125+, suggesting strong buying interest today.
🔎 What this means for your 1‑day view
The stock opened lower near ₹661 and trended up strongly, testing higher intraday levels toward ₹767+ — a bullish intraday range.
Today’s range and levels are useful for intraday support/resistance as:
• Support: ~₹640 – ₹660 (earlier day lows).
• Resistance: ~₹760 – ₹770 (near today’s high).
⚠️ Notes
• Market prices intraday change rapidly — data above reflects the latest available snapshot for today’s session.
• If you’re planning trades, check real‑time charts from your broker or a live market platform (e.g., NSE/BSE or charting tools like Chartink).
Trump speaks tonight — Gold at decision point.Market Context (H1–H4)
Gold remains in a broader bullish structure, but short-term price action has shifted into a decision phase after rejecting ATH. The sharp drop created a displacement leg, followed by a corrective bounce — typical post-event behavior.
Structurally:
HTF trend is still upward (ascending channel intact)
No confirmed HTF bearish reversal yet
Current move looks like rebalancing, not trend failure
Fundamental Context
Trump’s speech tonight is the key volatility trigger
Any geopolitical / USD-impacting rhetoric can cause:
A liquidity sweep before direction
Or a direct continuation if risk-off sentiment returns
Market is likely positioning → expect fake moves before clarity
Technical Breakdown
ATH: recent distribution, not yet reclaimed
FVG (upper): potential reaction zone for sellers if price rallies
Mid Zone (~5090–5120): short-term decision / balance area
Strong Demand (~4980–5000): HTF buy zone, aligns with trendline & prior BOS base
Trading Scenarios (If–Then)
If price holds above 5090–5120 → look for continuation into FVG, then ATH test
If price sweeps below 5090 but reclaims → classic liquidity grab → BUY continuation
If price breaks and holds below 5000 (H1 close) → deeper pullback, bullish bias pauses (not flips yet)
Key Takeaway
This is not the place to chase.
Trade reactions, not headlines.
Let Trump speak → let liquidity show → then follow structure.
Bias: Bullish continuation unless strong demand fails.
Gold Rejected at High – Sellers Take Control🔴 What the chart is saying NOW
Big rejection from 5600
Sharp breakdown below 5500
Structure shifted from bullish flag → bearish continuation
Current price ~5196
Lower high + lower low = trend flip intraday
This is distribution → breakdown, not a dip-buy anymore.
🧠 Market Bias (important)
Below 5250 = Sell on rise
Bulls invalidated for intraday
Only bounce trades, no blind buys
✅ If you want a FRESH TRADE idea (optional)
Sell below 5230
Targets: 5150 → 5080
SL: 5285
PFC 1 Day Time Frame 📌 Current Live Context (Daily)
📊 Approx Live Price: ~₹377‑₹379 (today’s trading range: ₹376 – ₹384) on NSE intraday quotes.
📈 Daily Pivot / Support & Resistance (Reliable Levels)
🔹 Pivot / Reference Zone
Central Pivot (CPR) ~ ₹386.8 area — key reference point for bias (above = bullish bias; below = bearish).
🚀 Resistance Levels (Upside)
R1 ~ ₹390–₹392 — initial resistance near current zone.
R2 ~ ₹394–₹398 — next supply zone.
R3 ~ ₹402–₹406 — stronger resistance on daily view.
Above ₹400 reinforces bullish structure and opens potential next targets up if breakout sustains.
🛑 Support Levels (Downside)
S1 ~ ₹382–₹386 — near‑term support zone (first buyer interest).
S2 ~ ₹378–₹381 — lower support region on daily pivots.
S3 ~ ₹370–₹376 — deeper support zone if price weakens.
Daily bias turns bearish if price closes clearly below the S2/S3 range (~₹378–₹376).
🔎 Quick Technical Bias Notes
Since current price (~₹377‑₹379) is below the pivot/CPR (~₹387), short‑term bias leans slightly bearish to neutral unless bulls reclaim pivot with volume.
A daily close above ~₹398‑₹400 could shift view bullish toward ~₹402+ and beyond.
Part 3 Institutional VS. TechnicalHow Option Premium Works
The premium is the price of the option. It has two parts:
1. Intrinsic Value
The real value if exercised today.
For calls:
Intrinsic = Spot Price – Strike Price
For puts:
Intrinsic = Strike Price – Spot Price
2. Time Value
Extra value due to remaining time before expiration.
Options with more time left are more expensive because:
There’s more chance the trade will go in your favor.
Volatility increases the uncertainty (and potential profit).
Part 2 Institutional VS. TechnicalWhat Are Options?
Options are derivative contracts whose value is derived from an underlying asset—such as stocks, indices, commodities, currencies, or ETFs. There are two basic types of options:
1. Call Option
A call option gives you the right to buy the underlying asset at a fixed price (called the strike price) within a specified period.
Traders buy calls when they expect price to rise.
Profit increases as the underlying price moves above the strike price.
2. Put Option
A put option gives you the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price within a specified period.
Traders buy puts when they expect price to fall.
Profit increases as the underlying price moves below the strike price.
Every option has two key components:
Strike Price: The price at which the asset can be bought/sold.
Expiration Date: When the option becomes invalid.
SAMMAANCAP 1 Month Time Frame 📈 Current Snapshot (as reference)
Last traded / recent price around ~₹147 – ₹151 on NSE (varies with intraday moves).
52‑week range: ~₹97 – ₹192.9.
🔑 1‑Month Key Levels – NSE Pivot, Support & Resistance
Monthly Pivot Levels (short‑term framework):
These come from pivot analysis that captures intermediate trend areas over the past sessions — useful for 1‑month traders.
📍 Pivot Reference (Monthly)
Pivot (central reference): ~₹146‑₹147
This is the main gravity level — above it suggests bullish bias; below implies bearish bias in the short term.
🛑 Resistance Levels (Upside)
These are zones where price may face selling pressure if it rallies:
R1: ~₹155 – ₹157
R2: ~₹164 – ₹165
R3: ~₹173 – ₹175
Resistance areas represent possible profit‑taking or reversal zones near recent reaction highs.
🧱 Support Levels (Downside)
These levels may act as demand zones if price corrects:
S1: ~₹137 – ₹138
S2: ~₹128 – ₹130
S3: ~₹120 – ₹122
Below S1, sellers may dominate, with deeper support closer to S3 in an extended correction.
⚠️ Note
These levels are derived from pivot and technical data (not financial advice). Market news/events (e.g., legal developments, earnings) can quickly shift short‑term trend dynamics, so use stops and risk management if trading.
DIXON 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Current Price Snapshot (Daily)
Latest traded price: ~₹10,300 – ₹10,460 approx on NSE/BSE (mid-day range).
Today’s price range: ₹9,835 (low) – ₹10,843 (high).
52-week range: ₹9,835 – ₹18,471.
Bias: The stock remains below key short-term averages (e.g., 20/50/100-day EMAs), indicating a bearish daily trend until price successfully closes above resistance levels.
📈 Daily Pivot & Technical Levels (1-Day Time Frame)
🔹 Pivot Point (Daily Centre)
• Pivot: ~₹10,276 – ₹10,496 (central reference for today’s bias)
🚧 Resistance Levels (Upside)
1. R1: ~₹10,496 – ₹10,500 (1st resistance zone)
2. R2: ~₹10,656 – ₹10,660 (daily push-back region)
3. R3: ~₹10,876 – ₹10,880 (higher barrier)
👉 A sustained daily close above ~₹10,500–₹10,650 is needed to reduce near-term bearish momentum.
📉 Support Levels (Downside)
1. S1: ~₹10,116 – ₹10,120 (initial support)
2. S2: ~₹9,896 – ₹9,900 (secondary cushion)
3. S3: ~₹9,736 – ₹9,740 (deeper support)
👉 Breach of ₹9,900 and then ₹9,740 could expand downside risk on the daily chart.
💡 Quick Trading Reference — Today
Bullish bias resume only if price closes above:
✔️ ₹10,500 (initial breakout)
✔️ ₹10,650+ (confirmation of relief rally)
Bearish pressure sustained while below these:
⏬ ₹10,116 → first downside target
⏬ ₹9,896 – ₹9,740 → strong support zones
IDEA 1 Day Time Frame📈 Current Snapshot (Daily)
📍 Approx Price Range Today: ₹10.00 – ₹11.00 per share (indicating recent heavy trading and a bounce)
📍 RSI (Daily): ~38.5 – showing slightly weak momentum but not deeply oversold yet
📍 50 / 100 / 200 DMA: ~₹10.58 / ₹9.94 / ₹9.34 – price around these averages suggests mixed consolidation near crucial pivot zones
🔑 1-Day Key Levels (Pivots)
✔ Pivot Point
Pivot: ~ ₹9.98 → Daily balance point (trend bias flips above / below)
🟢 Support Levels
S1: ~ ₹9.75 → 1st immediate support
S2: ~ ₹9.46 → secondary support zone
S3: ~ ₹9.23 → lower daily support
👉 Below ₹9.23 — increased bearish risk on intraday breakdown.
🔴 Resistance Levels
R1: ~ ₹10.27 → first resistance
R2: ~ ₹10.50 → near daily average resistance
R3: ~ ₹10.79 – ₹11.00 → stronger daily resistance & psychological level
👉 Sustained move above ~₹10.50-₹10.80 can shift short-term bias toward recovery.
📌 Important Context (Market News)
Today’s market action showed a strong positive catalyst: Vodafone Idea shares surged ~13% to ~₹11.36 on Jan 30 2026 after management revealed a large turnaround plan including ₹45,000 cr capex strategy and AGR relief news — indicating significant bullish sentiment shift.
Recent fundamentals: Q3 loss narrowed and ARPU increased, which supports sentiment.
These news catalysts can influence price reaction at key technical levels, so combine them with the pivot levels above for better context.
GOLD FUTURERS :Shooting star Candle shows exhaustion Buy on DipsGOLD Futurers : It has formed a Shooting Star at resistance shows exhaustion at higher levels. Expect a pullback towards 158000-151000.
Trend for Gold MCX remains bullish, but a Shooting Star at resistance signals a short-term pullback
As per Fib retracement and EMA Levels i will be a buyer at the following levels 1. At Between 10 EMA: 157,735-20 EMA: 150,960 zone -part
2.At 50% Fib retracement levels of around 1,39,000-Aggressive buy
For educational purpose only)
Two Very Different Futures for Bitcoin Two Very Different Futures for Bitcoin 🔥
Don’t skip this one - the monthly chart decides
Bitcoin is approaching a critical decision zone on the monthly timeframe — one that could shape market behaviour well beyond short-term volatility.
From a structural and macro lens, a few developments stand out clearly:
1. Major supply has been swept, suggesting late-stage participation at higher levels
2. The long-term monthly trendline has been decisively broken
3. Price retested the broken trendline and has since started to roll over — a classic structural shift
4. A clearly defined demand zone between 48K–64K now sits below current price
5. This zone aligns with the 50-period EMA, strengthening it as a potential reaction area
Two macro-consistent paths emerge from here:
Scenario 1 (Higher probability):
Bitcoin retraces into the 48K–64K demand zone, finds support near the 50 EMA, and then resumes its broader bullish trajectory — eventually targeting liquidity above prior all-time highs (~125K).
This would represent a structural reset within a larger bullish cycle, consistent with historical behaviour during expansionary phases.
Scenario 2 (Lower probability, higher impact):
Bitcoin tests the same demand zone but fails to hold, leading to continued downside and a deeper move toward the long-term trendline low near ~18K.
This outcome would likely require a material macro trigger — tighter global liquidity, regulatory shocks, or a broader risk-off event. Less probable, but not dismissible.
Sharing this as a macro-structural study, not a directional call.
Analysis only. Not investment advice.






















