Gold Trading Strategy for 09th December 2025🟡 GOLD ($XAU/USD) TRADING PLAN
📈 BUY SETUP (LONG)
Condition:
Go long above the high of a 1-hour candle closing above $4208.
✔️ Entry Trigger
Wait for a 1H candle to close above $4208.
After the close, place a buy stop order slightly above the candle high to confirm momentum.
🎯 Targets
TP1: $4218
TP2: $4232
TP3: $4244
🛡️ Suggested Stop-Loss
Below the breakout candle low (ex: $4196–$4190 depending on candle size).
Maintain at least 1:1.5 RR for safety.
📊 Trade Logic
Breakout of $4208 confirms bullish strength.
Above this zone, the market has clean upside liquidity towards the 4218/4232/4244 levels.
📉 SELL SETUP (SHORT)
Condition:
Go short below the low of a 30-minute candle breaking below $4171.
✔️ Entry Trigger
Wait for a 30-min candle to close below $4171.
Set a sell stop order slightly below the candle low to avoid fakeouts.
🎯 Targets
TP1: $4160
TP2: $4148
TP3: $4135
🛡️ Suggested Stop-Loss
Above the breakdown candle high (ex: $4182–$4188 depending on 30m candle size).
📊 Trade Logic
Breakdown below $4171 signals bearish continuation.
Space to fall cleanly up to 4160/4148/4135 liquidity levels.
🔄 TRADE MANAGEMENT TIPS
🕒 Check for major news before trades (e.g., FOMC, CPI, NFP).
🧩 Use trailing stop once TP1 hits.
📉 Avoid trading in low-volume hours.
📏 Maintain consistent position sizing (risk 1–2% max per trade).
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This is not financial advice.
Trading Gold ($XAU/USD) or any financial instrument involves significant risk.
Always do your own research, manage your risk, and trade only with money you can afford to lose.
X-indicator
Maruti - Compression Setup Near Resistance💹 Maruti Suzuki India Ltd (NSE: MARUTI)
Sector: Automobiles | CMP: 16187 | View: Compression Setup Near Resistance
STWP Support & Resistance – MARUTI
Resistances: 16264 | 16311 | 16426
Supports: 16102 | 16017 | 15940
While the above levels highlight the nearest technical markers, the chart shows that the broader resistance band between 16264–16426 is relatively weak, marked by shallow rejection wicks and limited seller follow-through, suggesting only mild supply overhead. On the downside, the support pockets around 16102–16017 and the deeper zone near 15940 appear structurally stronger, backed by prior accumulation and repeated stabilization attempts that show institutional interest absorbing dips. This configuration reflects a market in compression near resistance, where buyers are defending declines but have yet to demonstrate strong breakout conviction; sustained movement above 16264 may improve momentum, while failure to hold 16017 could shift short-term control back to sellers.
STWP Volume & Technical Setup – MARUTI
MARUTI continues to display a tightly coiled structure, reflecting clear price compression and controlled volatility as the stock trades within a contracting range after a series of higher-lows and overlapping candles. The volume profile remains within normal distribution, with no abnormal spikes, signalling that institutional participation has been steady but not aggressive. Momentum indicators show a mixed landscape — RSI stabilizing in the mid-zones, MACD maintaining a neutral-to-slightly positive crossover profile, and CCI oscillating around its mean — collectively suggesting that the stock is preparing for a decisive move rather than trending with strength. Compression metrics, such as narrow-body candles and tightening ranges, indicate that liquidity is positioning but not yet committed, while the BB bands remain moderately tightened, hinting at a potential volatility expansion trigger. Despite this consolidation, the broader structural undertone leans mildly bullish, supported by the trend strength seen in prior legs and the stock’s ability to hold above key support pockets even after intraday profit-booking phases. Overall, MARUTI’s setup resembles a pre-breakout equilibrium phase where buyers and sellers are evenly matched, and a clean breakout or breakdown candle will determine the next directional impulse.
STWP Summary View
Final Outlook: Momentum: Developing|Trend: Mildly Bullish|Risk: Moderate|Volume: Normal
The overall MARUTI derivatives landscape reflects a broadly bearish environment observed across intraday, short-term swing, volatility, buildup, ATM structure, strategy alignment, smart-money behaviour and straddle characteristics, where the prevailing trend remains down and sentiment stays negative, with an STWP Edge Score of 6.4/10 indicating a moderate yet structured setup that requires disciplined sizing rather than aggressive positioning. The frequently referenced strike throughout the analysis is the 16200 level, where the PUT (delta -0.46) recorded an LTP of 229.15 after a 19.63% gain, supported by volume expansion of 15.5% to 6363 contracts and a mild IV rise to 16.2%, while open interest dropped sharply by 26.5% (-24,450 contracts), creating a short-covering signature that often reflects trapped participants exiting positions as prices shift. These dynamics form part of a broader mixed-to-moderate structural zone where the option behaves closer to futures because of its delta profile, giving smoother directional sensitivity with controlled convexity. The intraday and swing illustrations revolve around defined levels such as the entry around 229.15, a protective threshold at 194.78 and reference targets near 280.71 and 297.89, used purely to demonstrate risk structuring and reward modelling practices in an academic context. Volatility sits in a balanced band, with average IV near 15.65%, a high of 18.69% at the 15000 PUT and a low of 13.97% at the 16000 CALL, creating an environment where different option structures behave differently depending on how implied volatility evolves. The buildup distribution further reinforces the bearish tilt seen in derivatives behaviour: the CALL side held moderate short build-up and long unwinding, whereas the PUT side displayed strong short-covering activity supported by minor long additions, highlighting pressure points and exhaustion pockets in the flow. The ATM strike at 16200 acts as the central sensitivity zone with the CE at 253.75 (delta 0.55, IV 14.31%) and the PE at 229.15 (delta -0.46, IV 16.22%), helping market participants understand how gamma, delta shifts and volatility behaviour influence intraday reactions. Broader strategy illustration shows how trend strength, call-side dominance in flows, a mid-range IV environment and a PCR of 0.66 combine to form a generalized bearish framework, while the Smart Money Heat assessment indicates about 36% bearish momentum derived from long build-up, short build-up, short-covering and unwinding activity across liquid strikes; liquidity metrics such as a median OI of 88750 and a median volume of 3380 provide context for depth and participation. The straddle analysis at the 16200 strike shows a combined premium of 2.98% against an expected move of 3.83%, an average IV band of 15.27%, a near-flat net delta of 0.09, a symbol-level PCR of 0.78 and a max pain level anchored at 16200, illustrating how volatility expectations, premium richness, delta neutrality and positioning pressures interact. Collectively, these elements present a comprehensive educational study of how trend, volatility, open interest behaviour, buildup distribution, gamma-zone dynamics, straddle structure and flow-based sentiment can be read together as part of an institutional-style analytical exercise, without forming any investment advice or trade recommendation of any kind.
⚠️ STWP Legal Disclaimer
This document is strictly for educational and informational purposes. All examples, charts, levels, and option structures discussed are illustrative and are not intended as buy, sell, or hold recommendations. STWP does not provide investment advice, trading tips, signals, or personalized financial guidance of any kind, nor is it a SEBI-registered intermediary or research analyst. The analyses, illustrations, and risk–reward structures included here are generic in nature and based on publicly available data and observed market behaviour, which may change without notice. Financial markets involve significant risk; derivatives in particular carry the potential for substantial losses. Option premiums, implied volatility, open interest, delta, and other market variables can fluctuate rapidly and unpredictably.
Readers are solely responsible for their trading decisions, capital management, and risk assessment. Before making any investment or trading decision, please consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor. STWP, its representatives, and affiliates shall not be liable for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this material. Historical patterns or past market behaviour do not guarantee future outcomes, nor should any part of this document be interpreted as a promise of performance, accuracy, or returns.
Position Status: No active position in this instrument at the time of analysis.
Data Source: TradingView & NSE India.
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Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | December 8–9📊 4H Chart Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Wider swings, structure turning weaker
Lower highs: 4264 → 4259 → 4220
➡️ Bullish momentum continues to fade
2️⃣ Moving averages turning into bearish alignment
MA5 & MA10 sloping downward and pressing price
→ Any rebound = selling opportunity
3️⃣ Price breaks below Bollinger mid-band
Market has entered a weak zone
Lower band expanding downward → More downside potential pending
📌 Conclusion
Mid-term structure remains bearish
Currently a correction within a downtrend, not a reversal
📈 1H Chart Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Break below 4200 with weak pullback
4200 has flipped from support to resistance
Rebounds remain shallow → Bears in control
2️⃣ Continuous MA pressure
MA5 & MA10 repeatedly reject price
→ Every bounce is being sold, downtrend still valid
3️⃣ Break of 4176 low
→ Releases technical downside potential
📌 Conclusion
Short-term rallies are corrective only
Downward bias remains intact
🔴 Resistance Levels
▪ 4200–4205 (first rejection zone)
▪ 4212–4220 (strong resistance — upside unlikely unless broken)
🟢 Support Levels
▪ 4176 (recent low)
▪ 4160 (critical level — break → stronger downside)
⚠️ If 4160 breaks
Downside opens further toward 4125 / 4105
🎯 Trading Strategy Suggestion
Main Focus: Sell the highs — Buy the dips only as secondary
🔰 Sell on Rebounds (Primary Strategy)
Short near 4200–4205 / 4212–4220
Targets: 4180 / 4170 /4160
Stop-loss: Above 4225
🔰 Buy on Support (Secondary Strategy)
Only if 4176–4160 shows solid support
Targets: 4195 / 4205
Stop-loss: Below 4155
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder
▪ Current structure = weak consolidation with downward bias
▪ Longs should be light and fast
▪ Maintain strict stop-loss discipline
Tata Steel | 200 EMA Support + MACD Bullish Setup | Perfect std.Tata Steel has entered a high-probability reversal zone, combining multiple technical signals that traders often use to identify strong opportunities.
1. Price Sitting Exactly on 200 EMA (Major Trend Support)
The stock has reached the 200 EMA, a long-term trend indicator that acts as strong dynamic support.
From the chart, the last 3 touches to the 200 EMA (May, June & September) resulted in sharp upward reversals.
This increases the probability that buyers may step in again at this level.
------------------------------------------------------------------
2. MACD Close to Bullish Crossover
The MACD histogram is reducing red bars and is moving toward the zero line, indicating that selling pressure is cooling down.
A bullish crossover near a major support often marks the beginning of an upswing in momentum.
------------------------------------------------------------------
3. Stock Appears Short-Term Oversold
Price is stretched away from the short-term moving averages (20 & 50 EMA), and recent candles show slowing selling pressure.
This supports the idea of a bounce or trend reversal from the current zone.
------------------------------------------------------------------
4. Supertrend Still in Sell but Losing Momentum
Supertrend remains red, but the fall has slowed significantly.
A close above 170–172 will flip Supertrend to Buy, confirming the reversal.
Support Zones
162–164 → 200 EMA support zone
158 → Last horizontal support (critical)
Resistance Zones
170 → Short-term resistance (20 EMA)
176–178 → Strong reversal confirmation zone
185 → Major swing resistance
📈 Possible Bullish Scenario (Primary View)
If the price holds above 162–164 and MACD turns positive:
Targets: 170 | 176–178 | 185 | Stop-loss: Below 160 (Daily close)
📝 Notes (Important for Traders)
This is a technical analysis idea, not a buy/sell recommendation.
Risk management is important: adjust SL according to your trading style.
A sharp correction is on the way Persistent CMP 6347
Elliott- this is again the C wave of correction that should happen from here. They are always very sharp and deep.
Detrend - is showing a -ve divergence. And is also at the same amplitude as the start of the correction.
Composite- Again is at the same amplitude as the one made at the highs. This is confirming the resistance
RSI - the oscillator below the averages is called failing below the averages.
Conclusion - In my view the stock will correct minimum to 4440 which is a good 30% from CMP. This also means one more leg of correction is due in IT heavy weights like TCS, Infy, Wipro etc
TATAGOLD What next do1. Over the last 3 months, the NAV of Tata Gold ETF rose from roughly ₹ ~10.20–10.90 (around early September 2025) to around ₹ 12.50 by early December 2025.
2. That implies a 3-month return of roughly +20–23%, which matches published data showing ~23-24% 3-month return.
3. The 52-week low was ~₹ 7.11 and high ~₹ 14.00 (or near that) — showing that the price nearly doubled from the low earlier in the 12-month period.
4. Recent momentum looks strong: after rising steadily from September to November, the ETF has seen consolidation around ₹12.4–12.6 levels in late November / early December — perhaps reflecting some profit booking or market hesitation
ETH/USDT Bullish Reversal SetupETH/USDT Bullish Reversal Setup
The chart shows a clear transition in ETH as price moves from a prolonged distribution-driven decline into a developing accumulation range. After weeks of consistent bearish structure, the market finally printed multiple upside shifts, signaling that sell-side pressure is weakening and liquidity behavior is changing.
The recent impulsive rally out of the discounted range confirms that buyers are actively defending lower levels. Price is now pulling back toward a short-term demand pocket formed during the breakout. This area represents the first meaningful accumulation zone after the market broke a series of internal swing points.
As long as price maintains stability within this demand block, the structure favors continuation toward the next major liquidity cluster above. The next upside draw is positioned around the 3,440–3,500 region, where previous inefficiencies and unmitigated zones converge. That region also holds resting buy-side liquidity, making it the logical target for a future expansion move.
The current market behavior suggests that ETH is in the early phase of a bullish repricing cycle. A controlled pullback into the highlighted zone—followed by a reaction—would confirm continuation and attract momentum buyers aiming for the higher liquidity magnet.
Overall, this chart reflects a shift in narrative: sellers are losing dominance, the market is building a fresh bullish structure, and the path of least resistance is gradually tilting upward as long as the demand zone remains protected.
SRF Limited – Short Bias DevelopingThe structure is shifting from an earlier uptrend into a distribution + descending channel pattern.
1. Major Trend Structure
Price has broken below the rising green trendline (the major uptrend support).
Now it is trading inside a descending channel marked by the red trendline on top.
Repeated lower highs = seller dominance.
This indicates that momentum is shifting from bullish to bearish.
2. Strong Horizontal Support Zone
The ₹2,800 – ₹2,820 zone is acting as a very strong demand area. Price has tested this zone multiple times. Repeated tests of support usually lead to:
➡️ Support exhaustion → Breakdown
3. Breakdown Probability is High
Reasons why the breakdown looks likely:-
✔ Price is unable to stay above 200-day average
✔ Lower highs consistently appearing
✔ Trendline resistance (red) is pushing price down
✔ Volatility contraction near support (classic distribution)
If the ₹2,800 support breaks, short opportunity becomes strong.
4. Once ₹2,800 breaks:-
Supports:- ₹2,720, ₹2,650, ₹2,550 (major swing support)
Nifty 8th Dec 2025 Nifty has once again climbed back into the major supply zone of 26,200–26,300, a region where price has repeatedly stalled for several weeks. While the broader trend remains intact, the recent candles show a very interesting behaviour:
price is forming higher-lows, but RSI is forming lower-lows / lower-highs.
This is a Hidden Bearish Divergence, and it usually signals weakening bullish momentum when it appears near a resistance zone.
1. Price Action (Daily Chart)
• Nifty printed a strong green candle, but it pushed straight into the same overhead supply zone that rejected multiple attempts earlier.
• The last 8–10 candles show higher-lows, suggesting dip-buying.
• However, price still failed to close above 26,300, showing that sellers are defending this level aggressively.
2. RSI Structure → Hidden Bearish Divergence
While price bottoms are rising, RSI bottoms are falling — a classic Hidden Bearish Divergence, which often appears during distribution or weakening momentum.
This indicates:
• Bulls are holding price up artificially,
• but momentum isn’t confirming,
• which increases the probability of a pullback.
3. Volume Confirms the Weakness
Volume on the recent bounce remains flat to falling, with no signs of institutional strength. A breakout without volume has a high chance of failing.
4. Stochastic Also Rolling Over
Stochastic on the daily timeframe is turning down from overbought territory, which often aligns with a short-term correction or mid-range pullback.
5. Key Levels to Watch
Resistance (Rejection Zone):
• 26,200 – 26,300
A daily close above this zone with strong volume would invalidate the bearish setup.
Support Levels (Pullback Targets):
• 26,050
• 25,880
• 25,700 ← strong demand zone
• 25,450 (if selling accelerates)
As long as Nifty stays below 26,300, the pullback scenario remains active.
6. Bias & Summary
The broader trend is still bullish, but the short-term structure shows signs of exhaustion.
Hidden bearish divergence + resistance zone + weak volume =
➡️ Increased probability of a short-term pullback
➡️ Expect hesitation and volatility near 26,200–26,300
➡️ Watch for rejection signals or a failed breakout wick
A clean breakout requires:
• Strong volume expansion
• A decisive daily close above 26,300
Without this, the market is more likely to cool off first.
Conclusion:
Nifty is at a critical inflection point. Hidden Bearish Divergence at major resistance suggests the index may be preparing for a short-term correction before any larger trend continuation. Keep a close eye on 26,300 — this zone will decide whether Nifty breaks out or pulls back.
Gap-Up Premium Continuation Observation | Intraday OptionsThis idea is based on a simple price behavior observation in option premium. When the option premium opens with a gap-up and continues to trade above the initial range with higher highs, it often shows bullish strength in that premium for the session.
In this setup, after the gap-up opening, the premium respected an upward trend structure and maintained strength throughout the day. This indicates sustained buying interest, which traders can observe for intraday momentum opportunities.
⚠️ This chart is shared only for educational and observational purposes.
It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Options trading involves high risk. Always use proper risk management and confirmation from your own analysis before taking any trade.
✅ Short Caption for Chart (Safe & Professional)
You can use any ONE of these directly on the chart:
“Gap-Up Premium with Intraday Strength – Bullish Continuation Observation”
“When Premium Gaps Up and Maintains Higher Structure, Strength Often Persists”
“Gap-Up + Trend Hold = Intraday Premium Momentum (Observational Setup)”
“Educational View: Gap-Up Premium Showing Sustained Buying Pressure”
✅ Disclaimer
“For educational purposes only”
“No guaranteed outcome”
“Use your own confirmation”
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in LATENTVIEW
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
#DREDGECORP - VCP + Large Base BreakOut Script: DREDGECORP
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP BreakOut in Daily Time Frame
📈 Volume spike during Breakout
📈 Large Base BreakOut
📈 MACD Crossover
BUY ONLY ABOVE 970 DCB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 968
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 – 22%
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 – 11%
⚠️ Important: Market conditions are Okish, Position size 25% per Trade. Protect Capital Always
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
✅ Boost and Follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Not a BUY or SELL recommendation.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with MMT. Cheers!🥂
Part 4 Learn Institutional Trading Advantages of Option Trading
1. Limited Risk for Buyers
Buyers can only lose the premium.
2. Leverage
You control a big position with small capital.
3. Flexibility
Can be used for speculation, hedging, income, blending multiple strategies.
4. Huge Earning Potential
Strong moves give massive percentage returns.
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading Risks in Option Trading
1. Time Decay
Every day the option loses some value.
2. Volatility Crush
After major events (e.g., RBI policy, Budget), IV drops, reducing premium.
3. Wrong Direction
Small directional mistakes = big losses for buyers.
4. Unlimited Loss for Sellers
If market moves violently, sellers may face huge losses.
That’s why sellers usually hedge their positions.
mcx gold update ahead of fomc metgold mcx trading in tight range which will discuss here --
1---gold sustain abv 131000 than looks up side 131350--131700-132000+++ major line hurdle 131000@ where market go and again slip dwn from there .if sustain abv 131000 than we can see new rally of gold .
2.gold support find 130300@ if market sustain below thna expect dwn 130050--12920--129700++ or if market sustain below 129500@ than looks sharp panic in chart
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Cup & Handle Breakout in KMEW
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
PGELHello & welcome to this analysis
PGEL came out with a statement that analyst seem to have researched another company's financials but posted them as of PGEL.
However, charts suggest a a bearish flag & pole pattern formation is taking place here suggesting more downside below 516.
One can wait for breakdown or use bounce (huge resistance near 565 with a stop loss above 570) for shorting opportunity.
Below 515 it opens for 450.
All the best
silver mcx update this week ahead of fomc meetmcx silver now trading in higher range top made 185000+++ if market sustain above 185300 than new rally till 187--188--190000++ have to watch this lvl for next rally---
interday or short term---silver stay abv 183300 looks above 184--185000++++ if this fulfill than buy on dips sl use @182300-- its trading ideas--
2nd probability--- silver sustain below 180700@ than looks sharp dwn side till 179880--179200-178600+++++ than must use sl
thereafter hurdle will face 181500
Part 1 Ride The Big MovesTips for Beginners
✔ Start with buying options
You learn direction and risk without big losses.
✔ Focus on one index (like Nifty)
Better to understand one market deeply.
✔ Avoid trading near major news
Volatility can be unpredictable.
✔ Manage risk
Never trade with full capital.
✔ Keep emotions low
Discipline outweighs excitement in option trading.






















