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Lemon Tree Hotels LtdLEMONTREE - The stock is currently in a strong technical position, showing robust buy signals across key indicators and maintaining a clear uptrend within an ascending parallel channel. It recently broke above a long-term resistance zone and is now retesting this level. If the price sustains above 160, this retest suggests a bullish continuation. The breakout was supported by decent trading volume, indicating strong buying interest, and the price is trading above its EMA, which confirms short-term bullish momentum. Consider buying above 175 with a target of 195 and a stop loss below 160.
NSE:LEMONTREELong
by sydrab
Avantel - Tactical Buy Setup Ahead of Earnings🚀 Avantel Ltd – Tactical Buy Setup Ahead of Earnings **Type:** Short-Term Trading Idea **Bias:** Bullish **Time Horizon:** 1–2 weeks **Risk Management:** Use tight stop-loss below recent swing low 📊 Technical Snapshot Avantel Ltd is flashing multiple bullish signals, making it a high-conviction candidate for short-term trading. In a rangebound broader market, Avantel stands out with strong relative strength and momentum indicators aligning ahead of its earnings release. ✅ Key Technical Triggers: - **52-Week High:** Trading near its yearly high while broader indices remain muted—clear sign of relative strength. - **Super Trend:** Positive crossover confirms trend continuation. - **RSI:** Slightly overbought, but still constructive—indicates sustained buying interest. - **ADX:** Rising ADX confirms a trending move, not just a spike. - **MACD:** Bullish crossover with expanding histogram—momentum building. - **Volume Surge:** Heavy volumes last week suggest institutional accumulation ahead of results. 🧠 Trader’s Take This is a classic pre-earnings momentum setup. With trend, volume, and sentiment aligning, Avantel offers a tactical long opportunity. Monitor price action around results for potential breakout continuation or reversal signals. > “Strong hands are buying. The tape is speaking—listen.” 📌 Suggested Strategy - **Entry:** On minor dips or breakout above recent high - **Stop Loss:** Just below recent swing low or 5–7% from entry
NSE:AVANTEL
by amitkparmar_ca
SAMMAAN Capital: Trendline Breakout, Chart of the weekFrom Housing Finance Giant to NBFC Phoenix: Why NSE:SAMMAANCAP Breakout Could Signal a Multi-Bagger Opportunity. Let's Analyse in the Chart of the Week. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: Overall Trend Structure: - The stock has been in a prolonged downtrend from its recent high of ₹260 in early 2022 - A major capitulation event occurred in July 2024, creating a panic low at ₹79.38 - Since the July 2024 low, the stock has formed a clear accumulation phase with higher lows - Recent price action shows a strong breakout from a descending trendline that acted as resistance since early 2024 - Current price at ₹165.03 represents a 107% rally from the lows, indicating strong momentum recovery Candlestick Patterns & Momentum: - The most recent weekly candle shows a massive bullish engulfing pattern with a substantial body, suggesting strong buying conviction - Price has cleared multiple resistance zones with authority, indicating institutional accumulation - The breakout candle shows no upper wick, demonstrating aggressive buying and a lack of selling pressure at higher levels - Consecutive green candles in recent weeks suggest sustained buying interest - The price action exhibits characteristics of a potential trend reversal from bear to bull phase Moving Averages & Dynamic Support: - Price has reclaimed all major short-term moving averages - The stock is now trading above its 50-week moving average - A golden cross formation appears imminent as shorter-term MAs cross above longer-term MAs - Previous resistance zones are now expected to act as support on pullbacks Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Profile: - Massive volume spike on the latest breakout candle (462.74M vs average 86.92M) - approximately 5.3x the average volume - This represents the highest volume since early 2022, indicating significant institutional participation - Volume during the accumulation phase (July 2024 - September 2025) was relatively subdued, typical of smart money accumulation - Previous high-volume events coincided with panic selling in 2022 and mid-2024 - Current volume expansion during upward movement is a classic sign of breakout validity Volume-Price Correlation: - The price-to-volume ratio shows a healthy correlation during the recent rally - Higher volume on up days compared to down days indicates bullish sentiment - The massive volume breakout suggests this move has strong institutional backing - No signs of distribution (high volume on down days) at current levels Volume Analysis Inference: - The 5x volume expansion confirms a genuine breakout rather than a false move - Smart money appears to be entering positions aggressively - Retail participation is likely to increase given the media coverage and the F&O ban lifting - Volume profile supports continuation of the uptrend in the near-term Key Support & Resistance Levels: Major Resistance Zones: - R1 (Immediate): ₹175-180 - Minor psychological resistance - R2 (Near-term): ₹200-220 - Previous consolidation zone and descending trendline confluence - R3 (Major): ₹240-260 - Recent high zone with significant supply potential - R4 (Psychological): ₹300 - Round number psychological barrier Major Support Zones: - S1 (Immediate): ₹150-155 - Recent breakout level, now acting as support - S2 (Strong): ₹135-140 - Multiple touch points and previous resistance turned support - S3 (Critical): ₹113-120 - Horizontal support zone with high volume node - S4 (Ultimate): ₹100-105 - Major accumulation zone and swing low area Key Price Levels to Watch: - Breakdown level to watch: ₹145 (invalidation of bullish setup) - Pivotal zone: ₹135-140 (must hold for bullish continuation) - Stop-loss zone for longs: Below ₹130 Base Formation & Pattern Recognition: Primary Base Structure: - The base shows characteristics of a "Stage 1" accumulation base as per the Weinstein methodology Secondary Patterns Identified: - Descending Channel: From January 2024 to September 2025, the stock traded within a falling channel - Breakout Pattern: Recent weekly candle broke above the descending trendline resistance with authority - Double Bottom: A smaller double bottom formation exists at the ₹100-105 level (June-July 2025) - Higher Low Sequence: Since the July 2024 bottom, the stock has made consistent higher lows - ₹79, ₹100, ₹130, ₹135 Pattern Implications: - The quality of base formation (15 months) indicates strong institutional accumulation Technical Indicators Assessment: Trend Indicators: - Price trading above descending trendline for the first time in 18 months - Structure shifted from lower highs/lower lows to higher highs/higher lows - Breakout above multi-month resistance confirms trend reversal - Weekly timeframe showing a clear momentum shift Volatility Indicators: - Recent expansion in price range indicates increasing volatility - Volatility expansion during upward movement is a bullish characteristic - ATR (Average True Range) is likely expanding, providing better trading opportunities Diversification Rules: - Maximum NBFC/Financial sector exposure: 15-20% of portfolio - Since Sammaan Capital is an NBFC, ensure other NBFC holdings don't exceed the sector limit - Correlation check: Avoid overweight in stocks moving in tandem - Rebalance if a single position grows beyond 10% due to appreciation Risk Management Framework: Technical Risk Factors: - Breakout failure risk: 30% probability of pullback to ₹140-150 - False breakout risk: Volume sustenance needed for confirmation - Resistance rejection risk: ₹220 zone has strong supply potential - Trend reversal risk: Any weekly close below ₹130 invalidates the bullish thesis - Volatility risk: NBFC stocks prone to sudden regulatory/news-driven moves Risk Mitigation Strategies: - Never invest more than planned position size, even if the setup looks perfect - Use limit orders instead of market orders to avoid slippage - Don't average down if SL is hit - accept loss and re-evaluate - Keep a 30% cash reserve for better entry opportunities - Use trailing stops religiously once in profit - Maintain a trading journal to track decisions and learn from mistakes Portfolio Risk Constraints: - Maximum drawdown tolerance: 20% on this position - Overall portfolio heat: Not more than 4-5% at risk across all open positions - Correlation check: If market corrects 5%, financial stocks may correct 7-8% - Sector concentration: Limit NBFC exposure even if multiple opportunities arise - Black swan provision: Always keep an emergency exit plan Risk Monitoring Checklist: - Daily: Check if price respects support zones - Weekly: Review volume patterns and trend integrity - Monthly: Reassess fundamental drivers and news flow - Quarterly: Deep-dive into earnings, asset quality, regulatory changes - Event-driven: Monitor RBI policies, interest rate decisions, sector news Exit Risk Management: - Never hold through a major support breakdown, hoping for recovery - If SL hit, stay away for 2-3 weeks before re-entry consideration - Avoid revenge trading after the stop-loss trigger - Book partial profits at predetermined levels - don't get greedy - If the target is achieved faster than expected, evaluate for signs of exhaustion Sectoral Analysis - NBFC & Housing Finance: NBFC Sector Overview: - NSE:SAMMAANCAP is a mortgage-focused non-banking financial company (NBFC) regulated by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and rated 'AA' by CRISIL and ICRA - The NBFC sector has witnessed consolidation over the past 3 years post-COVID disruptions - The regulatory framework has tightened with the RBI implementing scale-based regulations - A favourable policy environment exists with a stable macroeconomic backdrop - Housing finance remains a priority sector with government's push for affordable housing Current Sector Dynamics: - Interest rate cycle appears to be stabilising after aggressive hikes in 2022-2023 - Credit growth in retail segments (housing, LAP) remains robust at 15-18% YoY - Asset quality concerns have moderated across the NBFC sector - Competition is intensifying with banks offering competitive home loan rates - Digital transformation and fintech partnerships reshaping distribution Sector Growth Drivers: - India's housing demand remains strong, driven by urbanization and nuclear families - Under-penetrated mortgage market compared to developed economies (10% vs 50-70% mortgage-to-GDP) - Government schemes like PMAY (Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana) support affordable housing - The Loan Against Property (LAP) segment is growing as businesses seek growth capital - Co-lending arrangements between NBFCs and banks gaining traction Sector Headwinds: - Asset-liability management challenges for smaller NBFCs - Rising cost of funds impacting margins - Regulatory compliance costs are increasing - Competition from banks with lower cost of funds - Economic slowdown risks impacting borrower repayment capacity Regulatory Environment: - RBI's scale-based regulation framework implemented in October 2022 - Enhanced monitoring of large NBFCs (asset size >₹10,000 crore) - Stricter provisioning and capital adequacy norms - Focus on corporate governance and risk management frameworks - Recent F&O ban lifting indicates regulatory confidence restoration Fundamental Analysis: Business Model & Operations: - Incorporated in 2005, registered and regulated by the National Housing Bank (NHB), engaged in providing home loans, loans against property, corporate mortgage loans, lease rental discounting, and residential construction finance - The company has adopted an asset-light business model with a differentiated origination strategy and proven co-lending execution across affordable housing and MSME segments - Operates with co-lending partnerships - had 10 bank partnerships as of September 2024, with plans to increase to 12 by March 2025 - Product portfolio: Home Loans, Loan Against Property (LAP), Construction Finance, Lease Rental Discounting Financial Performance Analysis - Market capitalization: ₹13,670 crore; Revenue: ₹8,947 crore; Current year profit: -₹1,800 crore - The company has delivered poor sales growth of -8% over the past five years - Q1 FY26: Reported profit of ₹334 crore on total income of ₹2,400 crore; For FY25, posted loss of -₹1,807 crore on total income of ₹8,676 crore - Recent profitability turnaround visible in quarterly results suggests business stabilization - The company has a low interest coverage ratio, indicating higher financial leverage Recent Corporate Developments: - Abu Dhabi's IHC (International Holding Company) approved preferential allotment to buy 43.5% stake for ₹8,850 crore through Avenir Investment RSC Ltd, paving the way for IHC to assume promoter status - This massive foreign investment indicates strong confidence in turnaround story - Company rebranded from Indiabulls Housing Finance to Sammaan Capital to shed legacy issues - Credit ratings upgraded by S&P and Moody's changed outlook to 'positive' from 'stable'; retained AA/Stable rating from CRISIL and ICRA - F&O ban recently lifted, signalling renewed market confidence Asset Quality & Risk Metrics: - Assets Under Management of ₹12,777 crore as of September 2024 - Shift towards an asset-light model, reducing balance sheet risk - Co-lending partnerships diversify risk and improve capital efficiency - Need to monitor gross NPA and net NPA trends in upcoming quarters - Provisioning coverage ratio and capital adequacy ratio are key metrics to watch Valuation Metrics: - PE ratio currently at 0, indicating the company was loss-making in the recent period - Market cap growth of 3.48% the last 1 year - recent rally not fully reflected in this data - Price-to-Book ratio likely attractive given low valuation during the distress period - Current valuation at ₹165 offers asymmetric risk-reward if turnaround sustains - Comparable NBFCs trading at 1.5-3x book value; Sammaan could rerate as profitability improves Management & Corporate Governance: - Company underwent significant management changes post-rebranding - Abu Dhabi's IHC taking promoter status brings international credibility - Focus on transparent reporting and governance improvements post legacy issues - Strategic shift to asset-light model shows adaptive management Competitive Position & Market Share: - Competes with players like HDFC Ltd, LIC Housing Finance, PNB Housing, and Bajaj Housing Finance - Differentiated strategy focusing on emerging geographies and affordable housing segment - Co-lending model provides a competitive advantage in a capital-constrained environment - Brand recall is still building after rebranding from Indiabulls Key Strengths: - Strong rating from CRISIL and ICRA (AA/Stable) indicates a robust credit profile - ₹8,850 crore investment by Abu Dhabi's IHC validates business potential - Asset-light model reduces capital requirements and improves ROE potential - Regulatory compliance and risk management frameworks strengthened - Experienced in affordable housing and MSME lending segments Key Concerns & Risks: - Historical loss of ₹1,800 crore in FY25 raises sustainability questions - Poor revenue growth of -8.08% over 5 years indicates business challenges - A low interest coverage ratio suggests vulnerability to interest rate volatility - Ongoing investigations related to past operations remain overhang - Execution risk in scaling up co-lending partnerships - Asset quality deterioration risk if economic conditions weaken Integrated Technical-Fundamental Outlook: Confluence Factors Supporting Bullish Thesis: - Technical breakout coinciding with fundamental catalysts (IHC investment, F&O ban lifting) - Volume expansion confirming institutional interest aligning with ₹8,850 crore IHC investment - 15-month base formation suggesting strong accumulation by informed investors - Credit rating upgrades provide fundamental validation to the technical setup - Quarterly profitability turnaround supporting higher valuation rerating Scenario Analysis: Bull Case Scenario - IHC investment successfully closes and brings operational improvements - Asset quality remains stable, and profitability is sustained in the upcoming quarters - Co-lending partnerships expand as planned, driving AUM growth Base Case Scenario - Business stabilises with moderate growth in AUM and profitability - Volatility remains elevated due to sector and stock-specific news Bear Case Scenario - Asset quality deterioration or operational challenges emerge - IHC deal gets delayed or faces regulatory hurdles - Technical breakdown below ₹145 leads to retest of ₹120-130 zone - Macro headwinds (RBI policy tightening, economic slowdown) impact the sector - Exit recommended if the weekly close is below ₹130 Critical Events to Monitor: Next 3 Months: - Completion of IHC preferential allotment and fund infusion - Q2 FY26 earnings (October/November 2025) - profitability sustainability check - Any regulatory updates or clarifications on past investigations - Technical retest of ₹150-155 support zone and price reaction Next 6 Months: - Q3 FY26 earnings showing consistent profitability - Expansion of co-lending partnerships (target 12 banks) - AUM growth trajectory and disbursement trends - NPA trends and provisioning coverage - Technical breakout above ₹220 resistance Next 12 Months: - Full-year FY26 results demonstrating turnaround completion - Market share gains in affordable housing and LAP segments - ROE and ROA improvement trends - PE multiple rerating towards industry average Recommended Action Plan: - Allocate 4-6% of portfolio with strict stop-loss discipline - Book partial profits - Trail remaining position - Monitor quarterly results and credit metrics religiously - Re-evaluate thesis if any fundamental red flag emerges My 2 Cents: The chart presents a textbook example of a turnaround setup with a well-defined 15-month base formation, decisive breakout on exceptional volume (5.3x average), and a clear risk-reward structure. The combination of descending channel breakout and momentum shift from lower lows to higher highs creates a compelling technical narrative. NSE:SAMMAANCAP represents a high-risk, high-reward turnaround play backed by credible fundamental catalysts. The ₹8,850 crore investment by Abu Dhabi's IHC provides a strong validation of intrinsic value. The transition to an asset-light model, credit rating upgrades, and return to quarterly profitability suggest the worst may be behind. However, the legacy of past losses, low interest coverage, and ongoing investigations warrants cautious optimism and strict risk management. Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:SAMMAANCAPLong
by Karanshah137
3
“Nifty 50 Intraday Key Levels | Buy & Sell Zones” 6th Oct 2025Key Levels for Tomorrow: 25,120 → Above 10m closing Short Cover Level (CE Safe Zone) Below 10m hold PE (Risky Zone) 25,023 → Above 10m hold CE (Entry Level) Below 10m hold PE (Risky Zone) 24930 → Above 10m hold → Positive Trade View Below 10m hold → Negative Trade View 24,820 → Above Opening S1 hold CE (Buy Level) Below Opening R1 hold PE (Sell Level) 24,690 → Above 10m hold CE (Buy Level) Below 10m hold PE (Sell Level) 24,590 → Above 10m hold CE (Safe Zone) Below 10m hold UNWINDING Level
NSE:NIFTY
by mayuraj_820
2
Astral Ltd— Monthly & Weekly technical readOn both the monthly and weekly charts as of early October 2025, Astral Limited is in a consolidation to bearish phase: • Moving Averages: All major moving averages (5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200 days) are signalling sell, indicating the stock is trading below key confidence levels. • Elliott Wave Reading: Astral is engaged in a corrective phase following a multi-year uptrend and the sharp peak → sell-off The run to the July-2024 high looks like a completed 5-wave impulse up from the multi-year base. The subsequent move since the peak is best read as an A–B–C correction We are likely inside or completing wave C on weekly/monthly — that explains continued weakness until key support (≈₹1,230) is decisively tested. (If wave C completes and price holds monthly support, a new impulse up may follow.) • Short forecast / probabilities (my view): • Short Term (2–8 weeks): Oscillators in oversold territory suggest the stock could consolidate or attempt a short-lived bounce. • Q4 2025 and Beyond: Forecasts for the end of 2025 position Astral between 1,600 and 1,665, assuming successful defense of support and a return to broader market strength. • Trading Strategy: Accumulation Zone: ₹ 1310-1370 Stop Loss: ₹1,220 Targets: T1: ₹1,450 T2: ₹1,577 T3: ₹1600-1665 (long term) Conclusion : Astral Ltd. is technically oversold but sentiment remains cautious; watch the 1,360 supports for signs of reversal. Downside is limited if this support holds, with upside potential back to 1,650–1,665 by year-end should a new impulse wave begin 📌 Thanks a ton for checking out my idea! Hope it sparked some value for you. 🙏 Follow for more insights 👍 Boost if you found it helpful ✍️ Drop a comment with your thoughts below!
NSE:ASTRALLong
by DrPrashantVerma
#SHYAMMETL - 2nd BreakOut in DTFScript: SHYAMMETL Key highlights: 💡⚡ 📈 VCP BreakOut in DTF which Failed 📈 2nd BreakOut in DTF after a short consolidation below Resistance 📈 Volume spike seen during Breakout. 📈 MACD Bounce 📈 Can go for a swing trade ⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event. ⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven. ✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅ Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
NSE:SHYAMMETLLong
by MMT_MakeMoneyTrading
AUBANK - Bullish Engulfing + EMA50 Breakout = Power Rally Setup________________________________________ 📈 AU Small Finance Bank | Bullish Engulfing + EMA50 Breakout 🚀 🔹 Entry Zone: ₹741.90 – ₹743.70 🔹 Stop Loss: ₹718.20 (Risk ~23 pts) 🔹 Supports: 727.17 / 712.43 / 704.17 🔹 Resistances: 750.17 / 758.43 / 773.17 ________________________________________ 🔑 Key Highlights ✅ Strong Bullish Candle – Engulfing pattern confirming reversal power ✅ EMA50 Breakout – trend shift signal ✅ Bullish VWAP Alignment – institutional buying confirmation ✅ Bollinger Squeeze-Off → breakout & volatility expansion expected ________________________________________ 🎯 STWP Trade View 📊 Momentum indicates short-term bullish rally. A close above ₹750 may trigger an extended upside towards ₹758–773. ⚠️ Supports at ₹727 & ₹712 are important for trade protection. ________________________________________ 💡 Learning Note This setup demonstrates how a Bullish Engulfing pattern combined with EMA breakout + VWAP alignment can act as a multi-signal confirmation for a trend reversal. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclosure & Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment adviser, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data. Trading—whether in stocks or options—carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes exceed the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results. If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works and practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are experienced, always assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering trades. Consult a SEBI-registered financial adviser before making any real trading decision. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge full responsibility for your trades and investments. 💬 Found this useful? 🔼 Give this post a Boost to help more traders discover clean, structured learning. ✍️ Drop your thoughts, questions, or setups in the comments — let’s grow together! 🔁 Share with fellow traders and beginners to spread awareness. 👉 “If you liked this breakdown, follow for more clean, structured setups with discipline at the core.” 🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience. Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
NSE:AUBANKLong
by simpletradewithpatience
2
Tata Technologies | EMA50 Breakout + RSI Momentum________________________________________ 🚀 Tata Technologies | EMA50 Breakout + RSI Momentum 🔹 Entry Zone: ₹707.05 🔹 Stop Loss: ₹664.20 – ₹664.25 (Risk ~42 pts) 🔹 Supports: 692.47 / 677.88 / 669.62 🔹 Resistances: 715.32 / 723.58 / 738.17 ________________________________________ 🔑 Key Highlights ✅ Volume Breakout → 1.31M vs avg 1.08M (Smart buying visible) ✅ EMA50 Breakout → trend shift signal ✅ RSI Breakout → momentum favoring bulls ✅ Bollinger Squeeze-Off → volatility expansion expected ________________________________________ 🎯 STWP Trade View 📊 Structure shows bullish momentum building. If ₹715.32 is crossed, upside can stretch towards ₹723–738. ⚠️ Supports at ₹692 & ₹678 are crucial for maintaining this momentum. ________________________________________ 💡 Learning Note This setup is a classic example where EMA + RSI + Volume breakout alignment confirms the probability of a short-term bullish rally. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclosure & Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment adviser, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data. Trading—whether in stocks or options—carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes exceed the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results. If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works and practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are experienced, always assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering trades. Consult a SEBI-registered financial adviser before making any real trading decision. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge full responsibility for your trades and investments. 💬 Found this useful? 🔼 Give this post a Boost to help more traders discover clean, structured learning. ✍️ Drop your thoughts, questions, or setups in the comments — let’s grow together! 🔁 Share with fellow traders and beginners to spread awareness. 👉 “If you liked this breakdown, follow for more clean, structured setups with discipline at the core.” 🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience. Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
NSE:TATATECHLong
by simpletradewithpatience
Kalyan Jewellers | RSI Breakout + High Volume Alert________________________________________ 📈 Kalyan Jewellers | RSI Breakout + High Volume Alert 🚨 🔹 Entry Zone: ₹492.15 🔹 Stop Loss: ₹446.55 (Risk ~45.60 pts) 🔹 Supports: 470.48 / 448.82 / 434.93 🔹 Resistances: 506.03 / 519.92 / 541.58 ________________________________________ 🔑 Key Highlights ✅ Strong Bullish candle after a sharp downtrend ✅ Volume spike (9.95M vs avg 4.7M) – smart money activity detected ✅ RSI breakout – momentum shifting towards bulls ✅ Bollinger Band squeeze-off breakout expected – volatility expansion on cards ________________________________________ 🎯 STWP Trade View 📊 Structure suggests short-term rebound rally possible towards ₹506–520 if momentum sustains. ⚠️ Strong supports at ₹470–448 should be watched for risk control. ________________________________________ 💡 Learning Note This setup shows how RSI breakouts with volume confirmation often lead to trend reversals. Adding multi-level support–resistance zones gives a clear trade map for both traders & investors. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclosure & Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment adviser, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data. Trading—whether in stocks or options—carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes exceed the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results. If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works and practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are experienced, always assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering trades. Consult a SEBI-registered financial adviser before making any real trading decision. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge full responsibility for your trades and investments. 💬 Found this useful? 🔼 Give this post a Boost to help more traders discover clean, structured learning. ✍️ Drop your thoughts, questions, or setups in the comments — let’s grow together! 🔁 Share with fellow traders and beginners to spread awareness. 👉 “If you liked this breakdown, follow for more clean, structured setups with discipline at the core.” 🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience. Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊 ________________________________________
NSE:KALYANKJILLong
by simpletradewithpatience
Apollo Hospital: Structure Analysis & Trade PlanThe price is currently sitting at ₹7,449.50, making it a high-interest area from a technical perspective. Market Structure & Chart Pattern Analysis Chart Pattern (Classic TA): The price is perfectly tracking the lower boundary (support) of a long-term Upward Channel. This is a classic "Buy the Dip" zone in a well-defined bullish trend structure. Trend: The macro trend remains Bullish, as defined by the sustained movement within the rising channel since early 2025. Current Location: The touch of the channel support at ₹7,400 - ₹7,450 offers a low-risk, high-reward entry point for a swing trade. ICT Concepts for Confirmation Discount Zone: The price is near the lowest quadrant of the recent price action (relative to the August high), placing it in a Discount Array, making it an opportune area to look for institutional buying. Liquidity Sweep/Confirmation: The highest probability entry would involve waiting for one of the following on a lower timeframe (e.g., 4H/1H): A slight break below the channel support (a liquidity grab/sweep of Sell-Side Liquidity - SSL below the recent swing lows) followed by an immediate reversal back into the channel. A clear formation of a Bullish Order Block (final down candle before the expected strong move up) or an unmitigated Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the channel support line. Market Structure Shift (MSS): Wait for a short-term MSS on a lower timeframe to confirm the buyers are taking control before entering. Trade Plan BUY (Anticipating Channel Bounce) Entry Zone: ₹7,480 - ₹7,500 (Enter near the channel support, ideally with confirmation) Stop Loss (SL): Below ₹7,300 (This places the SL clearly outside the channel and below the psychological support, invalidating the bullish channel structure). Risk: ₹150 - ₹200 per share (The difference between current price/entry and SL). Target 1 (T1): ₹7,900 - ₹8,000 (Channel Midline & psychological resistance). Target 2 (T2): ₹8,200 - ₹8,400 (Channel Upper Boundary/Resistance). Risk/Reward: Favorable (R:R is 1:2 to 1:4 depending on entry and target).
NSE:APOLLOHOSPLong
by BhardwajVipin
1
Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 6th OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Sensex has confirmed a strong bullish reversal. The price has decisively broken out of the steep descending corrective channel and is now trading above the 81,000 psychological mark. The structure has shifted from bearish to bullish, with the recent low at 80,200 acting as a strong bottom for the correction. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 81,600 - 81,800. This area remains the key overhead supply zone, which was a prior support/resistance flip zone. Major Demand (Support): 80,400 - 80,600. This area is the key reversal zone. As long as the Sensex trades above 80,400, the bullish bounce is in control. Outlook: The short-term bias is strongly bullish. The next clear target is the 81,600 - 81,800 supply zone. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear ascending channel forming after the massive reversal. The market has established a clean pattern of higher highs and higher lows, confirming the short-term uptrend. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 81,400 (Upper boundary of the current ascending channel). Immediate Support: 80,800 - 80,900 (The lower boundary of the ascending channel and the recent pivot low). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart confirms strong bullish momentum. The index closed with a continuation pattern right at 81,200, having successfully retested the 80,600 support area. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 81,400. Intraday Demand: 81,000. Outlook: Strongly Bullish. 📈 Trade Plan (Monday, 6th October) Market Outlook: The Sensex is in a strong bounce phase, showing a clear bullish trend. The primary strategy will be to buy on dips or buy on continuation. Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: The market has confirmed a strong reversal, and the structure is now clearly bullish. Continuation is expected. Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 81,400 (breaking the ascending channel resistance). Alternatively, look for a dip entry near 80,900 (the lower channel trendline). Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 80,650 (below the key macro support). Targets: T1: 81,600 (Major supply zone). T2: 81,800 (Upper resistance). T3: 82,200 (Extension target). Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend Plan) Justification: This high-risk, counter-trend plan only becomes valid if the rally fails dramatically. Trigger: A decisive break and 1-hour candle close below 80,800. Entry: Short entry below 80,800. Stop Loss (SL): Above 81,050. Targets: T1: 80,500 (Key reversal zone). T2: 80,200 (Deeper demand zone). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 81,000 - 81,400 zone. Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 81,400. Bearish Warning: A move below 80,800 suggests consolidation or reversal. Line in the Sand: 80,600. Below this, the short-term bias shifts back to neutral-to-bearish.
BSE:SENSEXLong
by BhardwajVipin
Banknifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 6th OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Bank Nifty is in a confirmed bullish bounce phase. The index has decisively broken out of the steep descending channel and closed strongly above the key 55,400 level. This action signals a powerful Break of Structure (BOS), establishing a new leg up from the 54,250 demand zone. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 55,800 - 56,000. This remains the key overhead supply zone from the September highs (Order Block). Major Demand (Support): 54,250 - 54,400. This is the key reversal low. The immediate short-term support is 54,800 - 55,000. Outlook: The medium-term bias has shifted to strongly bullish. The consolidation is complete, and the index is now targeting the 56,000 zone. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the upside, as the price broke the descending trendline and key horizontal resistance. The index is now trading within a clear ascending channel, making higher highs and higher lows. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 55,800. Immediate Support: 55,400 - 55,500 (This area was a major point of contention and is now expected to act as support). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart shows strong bullish momentum, with the price breaking out of a triangular consolidation pattern. The price has successfully reclaimed key liquidity levels and is poised for continuation. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 55,800. Intraday Demand: 55,400. Outlook: Strongly Bullish. 📈 Trade Plan (Monday, 6th October) Market Outlook: The Bank Nifty is in a powerful bullish phase, showing relative strength compared to Nifty. The primary strategy will be to buy on dips or buy on continuation. Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: The confirmed reversal, breakout from the descending channel, and strong close near the day's high all point to a move toward the major supply zone. Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 55,800. Alternatively, look for a dip entry near 55,400 (the recent breakout level). Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 55,200 (below the immediate FVG/swing low). Targets: T1: 56,000 (Psychological resistance/Order Block). T2: 56,200 (Extension target). T3: 56,500 (Upper resistance). Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend Plan) Justification: This high-risk, counter-trend plan only becomes valid if the rally fails dramatically at the open. Trigger: A decisive break and 1-hour candle close below 55,100. Entry: Short entry below 55,100. Stop Loss (SL): Above 55,400. Targets: T1: 54,800 (Minor support/FVG). T2: 54,400 (Key reversal support). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 55,500 - 55,800 zone. Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 55,800. Bearish Warning: A move below 55,200 suggests a reversal failure and consolidation. Line in the Sand: 55,000. Below this level, the short-term bias shifts back to neutral-to-bearish.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by BhardwajVipin
Nifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 6th October Detailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Nifty is now in a confirmed bullish bounce phase. The decisive move on Wednesday (Oct 1st) and the follow-through on Friday (Oct 3rd) have broken the steep descending channel shown in your charts. The market is now trading within a clear ascending channel, and the recent low at 24,600 looks like a significant bottom for the correction. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 25,000 - 25,150. This area is the next significant hurdle, aligning with the psychological 25,000 mark and prior consolidation/supply zones. Major Demand (Support): 24,750 - 24,800. This area, which includes a FVG (Fair Value Gap) and the lower trendline of the new ascending channel, is the key support. Outlook: The medium-term bias has shifted to cautiously bullish. The strategy is firmly "Buy on Dips" as long as the price holds above 24,700. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart shows an unmistakable Break of Structure (BOS) on the upside. The price has established a pattern of higher highs and higher lows and is confidently moving within the new ascending channel. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 24,950 (The high of Friday's consolidation). Immediate Support: 24,800 (Lower boundary of the new ascending channel). 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart shows a clean continuation of the bullish momentum. After breaking out of the descending channel, the index consolidated beautifully in a tight flag pattern and moved higher. The market closed near its high, indicating strong control by the bulls. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 24,950. Intraday Demand: 24,850 - 24,800. Outlook: Strongly Bullish. 📈 Trade Plan (Monday, 6th October) Market Outlook: The Nifty is in a strong bounce phase with a clear bullish structure. The primary strategy will be to buy on dips or buy on continuation. Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: The market structure is bullish on all timeframes, supported by the RBI catalyst and follow-through buying. The momentum favors a break of 25,000. Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 24,950. Alternatively, look for a dip entry near 24,800 (the channel and FVG support zone). Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 24,750 (below the key support and rising trendline). Targets: T1: 25,050 (Psychological resistance). T2: 25,150 (Major supply zone). T3: 25,250 (Extension target). Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend Plan) Justification: This high-risk, counter-trend plan only becomes valid if the rally fails dramatically. Trigger: A decisive break and 1-hour candle close below 24,700. Entry: Short entry below 24,700. Stop Loss (SL): Above 24,850 (above the rising trendline). Targets: T1: 24,600 (Recent swing low). T2: 24,400 (Deeper demand zone). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 24,900 - 25,000 zone. Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 25,000. Bearish Warning: A break below 24,750 suggests a failure of the bounce. Line in the Sand: 24,700. Below this level, the short-term bias shifts back to neutral-to-bearish.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by BhardwajVipin
Gold Market In-Depth AnalysisGold Market In-Depth Analysis | A wave of "downtrading" sweeps across the market, poised for a breakout in gold prices 1. A New Market Paradigm: The Rise of the "Downtrading" A recent report from JPMorgan Chase indicates that retail investors, driven by fear of missing out (FOMO), are pouring into alternative assets like gold, creating a "downtrading" trend. Driving factors include: 🛡️ Heightened geopolitical and policy uncertainty 💸 Concerns about "debt devaluation" and government deficits 🌍 Declining confidence in fiat currencies in emerging markets 🔄 Global assets shift away from the US dollar toward diversified allocations II. Capital Flows and Market Structure ETF demand explodes GLD, the world's largest gold ETF, saw a record inflow of 35.2 tons in September A single-day inflow of 18.9 tons was a record high, indicating accelerated capital inflows Central bank gold purchases have become normalized Global official gold reserves have increased by over 1,000 tons per year for three consecutive years Gold has surpassed the euro to become the second-largest reserve asset Speculative positions still have room to grow CFTC speculative holdings are below their 2016 peak ETF holdings remain far from their 2020 high, suggesting significant potential for incremental capital III. Technical Analysis: A shakeout or a reversal? Key Levels 🟢 Support: 3840-3850 (bull-bear watershed) → 3820-3830 (strong support zone) 🔴 Resistance: 3890-3900 (previous high pressure zone) Trend Analysis The 4-hour chart shows wide range fluctuations at high levels. Yesterday's sharp drop was more of a wash-out than a trend reversal. Bulls have repeatedly reclaimed 3850 and tested its validity, maintaining the overall bullish trend.📊 IV. Trading Strategy and Risk Control 🎯 Main Strategy: Bullish with a volatile outlook, choose opportune positions Long Position: Enter the 3860-3855 area, stop-loss at 3848, target 3870 (reduce position) → 3900 (hold if breakout) Alternative Plan: If the market stabilizes at 3820-3830, re-enter long positions. Risk Control Warning: A significant break below 3820 indicates short-term weakness, with a target of 3790-3800. V. Forward Guidance Data Focus: Another surprise in tonight's ADP and non-farm payroll data could reinforce expectations of a rate cut. Breakthrough Signal: If gold prices stabilize at 3900, a new round of upside will begin. 🚀 Silver Linkage: Silver's bullish momentum is strong and may attract wider retail participation. The "depreciation trade" trend is gaining momentum, and the foundation for a structural bull market in gold is solid! Seize the opportunity to layout after the market shakeout and follow the trend to win 💎
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-Pulse
1