X-indicator
Adani Greens Date 05.10.2025
Adani Greens
Timeframe : Day Chart
Technical :
(1) 250 days of consolidation in 2023 + 200 ema breakout, 100% upside
(2) 250 days of consolidation in 2025 + 200 ema breakout, has good potential for upside.
Fundamental :
(1) India’s largest and one of the leading renewable energy companies in the world
(2) Delivered good profit growth of 127% CAGR over last 5 years
(3) Debtor days have improved from 68.9 to 50.1 days.
(4) Promoter holding has increased by 0.97% over last quarter.
Operational Capacity Mix:
(1) Solar: 71%
(2) Wind: 13%
(3) Hybrid: 16%
Operational Metrics:
Power Generation Volumes (MU):
(1) Solar: 16,738
(2) Wind: 3,834
(3) Hybrid: 7,397
Average Realization (Rs/kWh):
(1) Solar: 3.65
(2) Wind: 3.45
(3) Hybrid: 2.80
Debt
The total debt has increased from Rs. 64,858 Cr in FY24 to Rs. 80,040 Cr in FY25
Regards,
Ankur Singh
Swing Trade Journey – Trade 8: Copper FuturesTrade 8 Log
Long in #CopperFut at ₹972 on 03/10/2025
Gap-up entry executed as per alert.
Reasoning:
Price triggered the alert on a gap-up opening, confirming strength after consolidation. Trend remains intact above short-term averages with momentum favouring continuation. Setup offered a clean entry with limited downside risk.
Tracking this as part of my swing trade journey — recording setups, risks & outcomes.
#TradingJourney #CommodityTrading #SwingTrading #Copper #Futures
Swing Trade Journey – Trade 7: Tata Steel FuturesTrade 7 Log
Entered #TataSteelFut at ₹174.2 on 03/10/2025
Stop Loss: ₹170.5
Reasoning:
Price reclaimed the 20-day moving average with strength and has been consolidating above support. Momentum indicators suggest a possible continuation toward higher levels with a favourable risk-reward setup.
Tracking this as part of my swing trade journey — recording setups, risks & outcomes.
#TradingJourney #StockMarketIndia #SwingTrading #TataSteel #Futures
Swing Trade Journey – Trade 6: Belrise Industries LtdTrade 6 Log
Entered #Belrise at ₹161 on 03/10/2025
Stop Loss: ₹156.5
Reasoning:
The stock is trading above the 20-day moving average, forming a tight base with low volatility. The setup offers a clean risk-reward with signs of trend continuation.
Tracking this as part of my swing trade journey — recording setups, risks & outcomes.
#TradingJourney #StockMarketIndia #SwingTrading #Belrise
Swing Trade Journey – Trade 5: Shipping Corporation of India (SCTrade 5 Log
Entered #SCI at ₹226 on 03/10/2025 (Was outside, couldn’t update live)
Stop Loss: ₹221
Reasoning:
Price took support near the 20-day moving average and is trading in a tight consolidation zone. The setup offers a favourable risk-reward structure with signs of accumulation and strength emerging on volume.
Tracking this as part of my swing trade journey — recording setups, risks & outcomes.
#TradingJourney #StockMarketIndia #SwingTrading #SCI
BEL (Bharat Electronics Ltd) – Technical SetupPattern: Symmetrical Triangle breakout visible on the daily chart.
Breakout Confirmation: Price has moved above the triangle resistance trendline with rising volume.
Targets (Fibonacci-based):
1st Target: ₹435
2nd Target: ₹480
3rd Target: ₹512
Stoploss: ATR-based, below support zone (~₹395–₹400).
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🔎 Multi-Timeframe Check
Daily: Strong breakout setup with RSI > 60, MACD crossover supportive.
Hourly: Needs sustained close above breakout for confirmation.
Weekly: Still consolidating → needs alignment for a stronger positional view.
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🌍 Macro Drivers
Sector Theme: Defense + Infrastructure remain in focus.
Policy Tailwind: “Make in India” defense push supportive for long-term growth.
Global Context: Rising defense spending globally adds sentiment support.
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📝 Reflection / Post Context
"BEL is showing a symmetrical triangle breakout on the daily chart, backed by volume and positive momentum. While hourly/weekly charts are yet to fully align, the macro backdrop of defense and infrastructure support the bullish bias. ATR-based stoploss below ₹400, with upside targets at ₹435, ₹480, and ₹512."
Breakout Play: Demand Zone Reversal with High R:R TargetOverview :
This idea focuses on a breakout trade for Solana (SOLUSD), leveraging recent price action and volume signals at a key demand zone. The setup is designed for a high risk-to-reward ratio based on technical structure and confirmation tools.
Trade Setup & Logic:
• Entry: Price retraced to retest the 225–230 support zone, which previously acted as resistance and now converts to demand. Entry is triggered by a strong bullish candle closing above 231.5 with an uptick in volume, confirming renewed buyer interest.
• Stop Loss: Placed below 225, the lower bound of the highlighted demand area, to minimize risk if support fails immediately.
• Targets:
Target 1: 241 (first major supply zone and prior swing high).
Target 2: 253.70(multi-week trend resistance, aligns with fib extension and liquidity clusters).
• Risk-Reward: A minimum R:R of 1:2 is targeted. Stop loss is tightly managed once price moves in favor, with trailing stop as price approaches Target 1.
Technical Factors:
• Support/Resistance: The purple highlighted zone shows a confluence of prior reversal points and volume spikes, indicating strong institutional activity.
• Structure Confirmation: Entry is only valid upon a clear bullish reversal signal above the support zone and confirmation of above-average volume.
• Market Context: Recent downtrend is breaking, with higher lows and higher highs. Supply absorption observed at the retest supports the bullish thesis.
Trading Plan:
• Wait for price to close above 231.5 with volume confirmation before entering.
• Adjust stop loss to breakeven after Target 1.
• Take partial profits at Target 1, let remainder ride up to Target 2.
Final Notes:
Discipline and patience are essential—trade only on confirmation to avoid false breakouts. Self-research is recommended, and risk should always be managed per personal capital allocation protocols
Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis idea, not financial advice. Please perform your own due diligence before trading.
PRECISION WIRES INDIA 🚀 PRECISION WIRES INDIA BREAKOUT ALERT ⚡
PRECWIRE just broke above the consolidation zone!
📊 Chart Highlights:
Multi-year uptrend intact since 2019
Fresh breakout above ₹195 resistance
Current: ₹208.69 (+15.18% recent move)
Volume surge confirms institutional buying
💡 Fundamental Catalysts:
₹70 crore expansion approved (copper rod capacity)
India's copper demand to grow 12% in 2025
Company leading South Asia's winding wire market
⚠️ Key Levels:
Support: ₹180-185 | Target: ₹240+
The copper wire manufacturing sector benefits from India's infrastructure boom and renewable energy push. With copper demand projected to reach 3.24 million tonnes by FY2030, PRECWIRE's expansion timing looks strategic.
Breakout + Strong fundamentals = Worth watching! 📈
#StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #CopperStocks #IndianStocks NSE:PRECWIRE
JK Paper cmp 426.25 by Weekly Chart viewJK Paper cmp 426.25 by Weekly Chart view
- Weekly basis Support Zone 345 to 380 Price Band
- Weekly basis Resistance Zone 445 to 480 Price Band
- Bullish Cup & Handle pattern made surrounding Support Zone
- Volumes spiked heavily last week by close sync with avg traded qty
- Majority of the Technical Indicators BB, EMA, MACD, RSI, SAR on positive trend
- Falling Resistance Trendline Breakout well sustained by price and volumes momentum
Astral micro System Bullish Astra micro wave given good sign for upmove after Goldman sachs upgrade. It's moving good.
We can get 5 -10% Easily from here in swing trading. 30 -40% in long run. Good stock.
Consult your financial advisor before making any position in stock market. For more information Visit my Tradingview Profile.
Lemon Tree Hotels LtdLEMONTREE - The stock is currently in a strong technical position, showing robust buy signals across key indicators and maintaining a clear uptrend within an ascending parallel channel.
It recently broke above a long-term resistance zone and is now retesting this level.
If the price sustains above 160, this retest suggests a bullish continuation.
The breakout was supported by decent trading volume, indicating strong buying interest,
and the price is trading above its EMA, which confirms short-term bullish momentum.
Consider buying above 175 with a target of 195 and a stop loss below 160.
Avantel - Tactical Buy Setup Ahead of Earnings🚀 Avantel Ltd – Tactical Buy Setup Ahead of Earnings
**Type:** Short-Term Trading Idea
**Bias:** Bullish
**Time Horizon:** 1–2 weeks
**Risk Management:** Use tight stop-loss below recent swing low
📊 Technical Snapshot
Avantel Ltd is flashing multiple bullish signals, making it a high-conviction candidate for short-term trading. In a rangebound broader market, Avantel stands out with strong relative strength and momentum indicators aligning ahead of its earnings release.
✅ Key Technical Triggers:
- **52-Week High:** Trading near its yearly high while broader indices remain muted—clear sign of relative strength.
- **Super Trend:** Positive crossover confirms trend continuation.
- **RSI:** Slightly overbought, but still constructive—indicates sustained buying interest.
- **ADX:** Rising ADX confirms a trending move, not just a spike.
- **MACD:** Bullish crossover with expanding histogram—momentum building.
- **Volume Surge:** Heavy volumes last week suggest institutional accumulation ahead of results.
🧠 Trader’s Take
This is a classic pre-earnings momentum setup. With trend, volume, and sentiment aligning, Avantel offers a tactical long opportunity. Monitor price action around results for potential breakout continuation or reversal signals.
> “Strong hands are buying. The tape is speaking—listen.”
📌 Suggested Strategy
- **Entry:** On minor dips or breakout above recent high
- **Stop Loss:** Just below recent swing low or 5–7% from entry
SAMMAAN Capital: Trendline Breakout, Chart of the weekFrom Housing Finance Giant to NBFC Phoenix: Why NSE:SAMMAANCAP Breakout Could Signal a Multi-Bagger Opportunity. Let's Analyse in the Chart of the Week.
As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Price Action Analysis:
Overall Trend Structure:
- The stock has been in a prolonged downtrend from its recent high of ₹260 in early 2022
- A major capitulation event occurred in July 2024, creating a panic low at ₹79.38
- Since the July 2024 low, the stock has formed a clear accumulation phase with higher lows
- Recent price action shows a strong breakout from a descending trendline that acted as resistance since early 2024
- Current price at ₹165.03 represents a 107% rally from the lows, indicating strong momentum recovery
Candlestick Patterns & Momentum:
- The most recent weekly candle shows a massive bullish engulfing pattern with a substantial body, suggesting strong buying conviction
- Price has cleared multiple resistance zones with authority, indicating institutional accumulation
- The breakout candle shows no upper wick, demonstrating aggressive buying and a lack of selling pressure at higher levels
- Consecutive green candles in recent weeks suggest sustained buying interest
- The price action exhibits characteristics of a potential trend reversal from bear to bull phase
Moving Averages & Dynamic Support:
- Price has reclaimed all major short-term moving averages
- The stock is now trading above its 50-week moving average
- A golden cross formation appears imminent as shorter-term MAs cross above longer-term MAs
- Previous resistance zones are now expected to act as support on pullbacks
Volume Spread Analysis:
Volume Profile:
- Massive volume spike on the latest breakout candle (462.74M vs average 86.92M) - approximately 5.3x the average volume
- This represents the highest volume since early 2022, indicating significant institutional participation
- Volume during the accumulation phase (July 2024 - September 2025) was relatively subdued, typical of smart money accumulation
- Previous high-volume events coincided with panic selling in 2022 and mid-2024
- Current volume expansion during upward movement is a classic sign of breakout validity
Volume-Price Correlation:
- The price-to-volume ratio shows a healthy correlation during the recent rally
- Higher volume on up days compared to down days indicates bullish sentiment
- The massive volume breakout suggests this move has strong institutional backing
- No signs of distribution (high volume on down days) at current levels
Volume Analysis Inference:
- The 5x volume expansion confirms a genuine breakout rather than a false move
- Smart money appears to be entering positions aggressively
- Retail participation is likely to increase given the media coverage and the F&O ban lifting
- Volume profile supports continuation of the uptrend in the near-term
Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Major Resistance Zones:
- R1 (Immediate): ₹175-180 - Minor psychological resistance
- R2 (Near-term): ₹200-220 - Previous consolidation zone and descending trendline confluence
- R3 (Major): ₹240-260 - Recent high zone with significant supply potential
- R4 (Psychological): ₹300 - Round number psychological barrier
Major Support Zones:
- S1 (Immediate): ₹150-155 - Recent breakout level, now acting as support
- S2 (Strong): ₹135-140 - Multiple touch points and previous resistance turned support
- S3 (Critical): ₹113-120 - Horizontal support zone with high volume node
- S4 (Ultimate): ₹100-105 - Major accumulation zone and swing low area
Key Price Levels to Watch:
- Breakdown level to watch: ₹145 (invalidation of bullish setup)
- Pivotal zone: ₹135-140 (must hold for bullish continuation)
- Stop-loss zone for longs: Below ₹130
Base Formation & Pattern Recognition:
Primary Base Structure:
- The base shows characteristics of a "Stage 1" accumulation base as per the Weinstein methodology
Secondary Patterns Identified:
- Descending Channel: From January 2024 to September 2025, the stock traded within a falling channel
- Breakout Pattern: Recent weekly candle broke above the descending trendline resistance with authority
- Double Bottom: A smaller double bottom formation exists at the ₹100-105 level (June-July 2025)
- Higher Low Sequence: Since the July 2024 bottom, the stock has made consistent higher lows - ₹79, ₹100, ₹130, ₹135
Pattern Implications:
- The quality of base formation (15 months) indicates strong institutional accumulation
Technical Indicators Assessment:
Trend Indicators:
- Price trading above descending trendline for the first time in 18 months
- Structure shifted from lower highs/lower lows to higher highs/higher lows
- Breakout above multi-month resistance confirms trend reversal
- Weekly timeframe showing a clear momentum shift
Volatility Indicators:
- Recent expansion in price range indicates increasing volatility
- Volatility expansion during upward movement is a bullish characteristic
- ATR (Average True Range) is likely expanding, providing better trading opportunities
Diversification Rules:
- Maximum NBFC/Financial sector exposure: 15-20% of portfolio
- Since Sammaan Capital is an NBFC, ensure other NBFC holdings don't exceed the sector limit
- Correlation check: Avoid overweight in stocks moving in tandem
- Rebalance if a single position grows beyond 10% due to appreciation
Risk Management Framework:
Technical Risk Factors:
- Breakout failure risk: 30% probability of pullback to ₹140-150
- False breakout risk: Volume sustenance needed for confirmation
- Resistance rejection risk: ₹220 zone has strong supply potential
- Trend reversal risk: Any weekly close below ₹130 invalidates the bullish thesis
- Volatility risk: NBFC stocks prone to sudden regulatory/news-driven moves
Risk Mitigation Strategies:
- Never invest more than planned position size, even if the setup looks perfect
- Use limit orders instead of market orders to avoid slippage
- Don't average down if SL is hit - accept loss and re-evaluate
- Keep a 30% cash reserve for better entry opportunities
- Use trailing stops religiously once in profit
- Maintain a trading journal to track decisions and learn from mistakes
Portfolio Risk Constraints:
- Maximum drawdown tolerance: 20% on this position
- Overall portfolio heat: Not more than 4-5% at risk across all open positions
- Correlation check: If market corrects 5%, financial stocks may correct 7-8%
- Sector concentration: Limit NBFC exposure even if multiple opportunities arise
- Black swan provision: Always keep an emergency exit plan
Risk Monitoring Checklist:
- Daily: Check if price respects support zones
- Weekly: Review volume patterns and trend integrity
- Monthly: Reassess fundamental drivers and news flow
- Quarterly: Deep-dive into earnings, asset quality, regulatory changes
- Event-driven: Monitor RBI policies, interest rate decisions, sector news
Exit Risk Management:
- Never hold through a major support breakdown, hoping for recovery
- If SL hit, stay away for 2-3 weeks before re-entry consideration
- Avoid revenge trading after the stop-loss trigger
- Book partial profits at predetermined levels - don't get greedy
- If the target is achieved faster than expected, evaluate for signs of exhaustion
Sectoral Analysis - NBFC & Housing Finance:
NBFC Sector Overview:
- NSE:SAMMAANCAP is a mortgage-focused non-banking financial company (NBFC) regulated by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and rated 'AA' by CRISIL and ICRA
- The NBFC sector has witnessed consolidation over the past 3 years post-COVID disruptions
- The regulatory framework has tightened with the RBI implementing scale-based regulations
- A favourable policy environment exists with a stable macroeconomic backdrop
- Housing finance remains a priority sector with government's push for affordable housing
Current Sector Dynamics:
- Interest rate cycle appears to be stabilising after aggressive hikes in 2022-2023
- Credit growth in retail segments (housing, LAP) remains robust at 15-18% YoY
- Asset quality concerns have moderated across the NBFC sector
- Competition is intensifying with banks offering competitive home loan rates
- Digital transformation and fintech partnerships reshaping distribution
Sector Growth Drivers:
- India's housing demand remains strong, driven by urbanization and nuclear families
- Under-penetrated mortgage market compared to developed economies (10% vs 50-70% mortgage-to-GDP)
- Government schemes like PMAY (Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana) support affordable housing
- The Loan Against Property (LAP) segment is growing as businesses seek growth capital
- Co-lending arrangements between NBFCs and banks gaining traction
Sector Headwinds:
- Asset-liability management challenges for smaller NBFCs
- Rising cost of funds impacting margins
- Regulatory compliance costs are increasing
- Competition from banks with lower cost of funds
- Economic slowdown risks impacting borrower repayment capacity
Regulatory Environment:
- RBI's scale-based regulation framework implemented in October 2022
- Enhanced monitoring of large NBFCs (asset size >₹10,000 crore)
- Stricter provisioning and capital adequacy norms
- Focus on corporate governance and risk management frameworks
- Recent F&O ban lifting indicates regulatory confidence restoration
Fundamental Analysis:
Business Model & Operations:
- Incorporated in 2005, registered and regulated by the National Housing Bank (NHB), engaged in providing home loans, loans against property, corporate mortgage loans, lease rental discounting, and residential construction finance
- The company has adopted an asset-light business model with a differentiated origination strategy and proven co-lending execution across affordable housing and MSME segments
- Operates with co-lending partnerships - had 10 bank partnerships as of September 2024, with plans to increase to 12 by March 2025
- Product portfolio: Home Loans, Loan Against Property (LAP), Construction Finance, Lease Rental Discounting
Financial Performance Analysis
- Market capitalization: ₹13,670 crore; Revenue: ₹8,947 crore; Current year profit: -₹1,800 crore
- The company has delivered poor sales growth of -8% over the past five years
- Q1 FY26: Reported profit of ₹334 crore on total income of ₹2,400 crore; For FY25, posted loss of -₹1,807 crore on total income of ₹8,676 crore
- Recent profitability turnaround visible in quarterly results suggests business stabilization
- The company has a low interest coverage ratio, indicating higher financial leverage
Recent Corporate Developments:
- Abu Dhabi's IHC (International Holding Company) approved preferential allotment to buy 43.5% stake for ₹8,850 crore through Avenir Investment RSC Ltd, paving the way for IHC to assume promoter status
- This massive foreign investment indicates strong confidence in turnaround story
- Company rebranded from Indiabulls Housing Finance to Sammaan Capital to shed legacy issues
- Credit ratings upgraded by S&P and Moody's changed outlook to 'positive' from 'stable'; retained AA/Stable rating from CRISIL and ICRA
- F&O ban recently lifted, signalling renewed market confidence
Asset Quality & Risk Metrics:
- Assets Under Management of ₹12,777 crore as of September 2024
- Shift towards an asset-light model, reducing balance sheet risk
- Co-lending partnerships diversify risk and improve capital efficiency
- Need to monitor gross NPA and net NPA trends in upcoming quarters
- Provisioning coverage ratio and capital adequacy ratio are key metrics to watch
Valuation Metrics:
- PE ratio currently at 0, indicating the company was loss-making in the recent period
- Market cap growth of 3.48% the last 1 year - recent rally not fully reflected in this data
- Price-to-Book ratio likely attractive given low valuation during the distress period
- Current valuation at ₹165 offers asymmetric risk-reward if turnaround sustains
- Comparable NBFCs trading at 1.5-3x book value; Sammaan could rerate as profitability improves
Management & Corporate Governance:
- Company underwent significant management changes post-rebranding
- Abu Dhabi's IHC taking promoter status brings international credibility
- Focus on transparent reporting and governance improvements post legacy issues
- Strategic shift to asset-light model shows adaptive management
Competitive Position & Market Share:
- Competes with players like HDFC Ltd, LIC Housing Finance, PNB Housing, and Bajaj Housing Finance
- Differentiated strategy focusing on emerging geographies and affordable housing segment
- Co-lending model provides a competitive advantage in a capital-constrained environment
- Brand recall is still building after rebranding from Indiabulls
Key Strengths:
- Strong rating from CRISIL and ICRA (AA/Stable) indicates a robust credit profile
- ₹8,850 crore investment by Abu Dhabi's IHC validates business potential
- Asset-light model reduces capital requirements and improves ROE potential
- Regulatory compliance and risk management frameworks strengthened
- Experienced in affordable housing and MSME lending segments
Key Concerns & Risks:
- Historical loss of ₹1,800 crore in FY25 raises sustainability questions
- Poor revenue growth of -8.08% over 5 years indicates business challenges
- A low interest coverage ratio suggests vulnerability to interest rate volatility
- Ongoing investigations related to past operations remain overhang
- Execution risk in scaling up co-lending partnerships
- Asset quality deterioration risk if economic conditions weaken
Integrated Technical-Fundamental Outlook:
Confluence Factors Supporting Bullish Thesis:
- Technical breakout coinciding with fundamental catalysts (IHC investment, F&O ban lifting)
- Volume expansion confirming institutional interest aligning with ₹8,850 crore IHC investment
- 15-month base formation suggesting strong accumulation by informed investors
- Credit rating upgrades provide fundamental validation to the technical setup
- Quarterly profitability turnaround supporting higher valuation rerating
Scenario Analysis:
Bull Case Scenario
- IHC investment successfully closes and brings operational improvements
- Asset quality remains stable, and profitability is sustained in the upcoming quarters
- Co-lending partnerships expand as planned, driving AUM growth
Base Case Scenario
- Business stabilises with moderate growth in AUM and profitability
- Volatility remains elevated due to sector and stock-specific news
Bear Case Scenario
- Asset quality deterioration or operational challenges emerge
- IHC deal gets delayed or faces regulatory hurdles
- Technical breakdown below ₹145 leads to retest of ₹120-130 zone
- Macro headwinds (RBI policy tightening, economic slowdown) impact the sector
- Exit recommended if the weekly close is below ₹130
Critical Events to Monitor:
Next 3 Months:
- Completion of IHC preferential allotment and fund infusion
- Q2 FY26 earnings (October/November 2025) - profitability sustainability check
- Any regulatory updates or clarifications on past investigations
- Technical retest of ₹150-155 support zone and price reaction
Next 6 Months:
- Q3 FY26 earnings showing consistent profitability
- Expansion of co-lending partnerships (target 12 banks)
- AUM growth trajectory and disbursement trends
- NPA trends and provisioning coverage
- Technical breakout above ₹220 resistance
Next 12 Months:
- Full-year FY26 results demonstrating turnaround completion
- Market share gains in affordable housing and LAP segments
- ROE and ROA improvement trends
- PE multiple rerating towards industry average
Recommended Action Plan:
- Allocate 4-6% of portfolio with strict stop-loss discipline
- Book partial profits
- Trail remaining position
- Monitor quarterly results and credit metrics religiously
- Re-evaluate thesis if any fundamental red flag emerges
My 2 Cents:
The chart presents a textbook example of a turnaround setup with a well-defined 15-month base formation, decisive breakout on exceptional volume (5.3x average), and a clear risk-reward structure. The combination of descending channel breakout and momentum shift from lower lows to higher highs creates a compelling technical narrative.
NSE:SAMMAANCAP represents a high-risk, high-reward turnaround play backed by credible fundamental catalysts. The ₹8,850 crore investment by Abu Dhabi's IHC provides a strong validation of intrinsic value. The transition to an asset-light model, credit rating upgrades, and return to quarterly profitability suggest the worst may be behind. However, the legacy of past losses, low interest coverage, and ongoing investigations warrants cautious optimism and strict risk management.
Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week
Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
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Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
“Nifty 50 Intraday Key Levels | Buy & Sell Zones” 6th Oct 2025Key Levels for Tomorrow:
25,120 → Above 10m closing Short Cover Level (CE Safe Zone)
Below 10m hold PE (Risky Zone)
25,023 → Above 10m hold CE (Entry Level)
Below 10m hold PE (Risky Zone)
24930 → Above 10m hold → Positive Trade View
Below 10m hold → Negative Trade View
24,820 → Above Opening S1 hold CE (Buy Level)
Below Opening R1 hold PE (Sell Level)
24,690 → Above 10m hold CE (Buy Level)
Below 10m hold PE (Sell Level)
24,590 → Above 10m hold CE (Safe Zone)
Below 10m hold UNWINDING Level
Astral Ltd— Monthly & Weekly technical readOn both the monthly and weekly charts as of early October 2025, Astral Limited is in a consolidation to bearish phase:
• Moving Averages: All major moving averages (5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200 days) are signalling sell, indicating the stock is trading below key confidence levels.
• Elliott Wave Reading:
Astral is engaged in a corrective phase following a multi-year uptrend and the sharp peak → sell-off
The run to the July-2024 high looks like a completed 5-wave impulse up from the multi-year base. The subsequent move since the peak is best read as an A–B–C correction
We are likely inside or completing wave C on weekly/monthly — that explains continued weakness until key support (≈₹1,230) is decisively tested. (If wave C completes and price holds monthly support, a new impulse up may follow.)
• Short forecast / probabilities (my view):
• Short Term (2–8 weeks): Oscillators in oversold territory suggest the stock could consolidate or attempt a short-lived bounce.
• Q4 2025 and Beyond: Forecasts for the end of 2025 position Astral between 1,600 and 1,665, assuming successful defense of support and a return to broader market strength.
• Trading Strategy:
Accumulation Zone: ₹ 1310-1370
Stop Loss: ₹1,220
Targets:
T1: ₹1,450
T2: ₹1,577
T3: ₹1600-1665 (long term)
Conclusion : Astral Ltd. is technically oversold but sentiment remains cautious; watch the 1,360 supports for signs of reversal. Downside is limited if this support holds, with upside potential back to 1,650–1,665 by year-end should a new impulse wave begin
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#SHYAMMETL - 2nd BreakOut in DTFScript: SHYAMMETL
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP BreakOut in DTF which Failed
📈 2nd BreakOut in DTF after a short consolidation below Resistance
📈 Volume spike seen during Breakout.
📈 MACD Bounce
📈 Can go for a swing trade
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁