XAUUSD: Bulls Eyeing a Spark from the 3357 – 3352 Launchpad!We witnessed a strong bullish surge in Gold following Friday's event-driven move. Now, XAUUSD is pulling back toward a key support zone at 3357–3352, where fresh buying interest is likely to emerge. A confirmed bounce from this area could pave the way for a bullish reversal and a push toward higher targets.
🔻 Trade Setup
Entry: Buy at 3357 | Add on dips near 3352
Targets: Refer to marked zones on the chart
Invalidation: Setup becomes invalid on a daily close below 3346
📌 Risk-Reward Outlook
This setup offers a tight downside risk with strong upside potential. Stick to disciplined risk management and adjust your position size accordingly to suit your strategy.
👍 If this idea resonates with your view, drop a like and share your thoughts in the comments — let’s learn and grow together!
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
X-indicator
Gold's Bullish Run Meets Resistance – Time to Fade the Rally?Gold (XAUUSD) surged strongly after Friday’s event-driven move, but the momentum now appears to be stalling. Price is consolidating in a defined range, and we’re watching a key resistance zone between 3475 – 3488, where fresh sellers may step in to challenge the bulls.
🔻 Short Trade Setup – Fading the Strength
Entry: Sell at 3475
Add on Strength: 3485
Targets: See chart for marked zones
Invalidation: Daily close above 3495
📉 Risk-Reward Outlook
This setup presents a favorable risk-reward ratio, especially for short-term traders aiming to capitalize on a potential rejection at resistance. As always, keep your risk tight and position sizing disciplined.
Gold has had its run — now the odds may favor the contrarian. Keep an eye on momentum and price action at the resistance zone.
👍 If this idea aligns with your view, give it a like and drop your thoughts in the comments — let’s exchange ideas and insights!
🔔 Follow us for more actionable trade setups.
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
Gold Weekly Plan: Correction or New Rally Ahead? 🇮🇳Gold surprised everyone last week with a strong rally after the Jackson Hole symposium. The weakness in USD gave bulls fresh momentum, and now traders are once again eyeing the possibility of a new ATH in the coming weeks.
But remember — after every big impulse, the market loves to test patience. A short-term correction is possible before the next strong leg up. This is where smart traders prepare, while emotional traders often get trapped.
📊 Technical Outlook (H4 Chart)
Gold is moving inside a tight triangle pattern, signaling that a breakout is close.
Friday’s bullish candle shows the market still favors buyers, but watch out: gold often dips lower before making a major breakout move.
The strategy? Stay disciplined and only enter at confirmed Key Levels.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 3370 – 3383 – 3400 – 3425
Support: 3350 – 3340 – 3326 – 3315
🔥 Trading Plan (MMFlow Strategy)
BUY ZONE 🟢
Entry: 3340 – 3338
SL: 3334
Targets: 3345 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 – 3390 – 3400+
SELL ZONE 🔴
Entry: 3400 – 3402
SL: 3407
Targets: 3395 – 3390 – 3385 – 3380 – 3375 – 3370
✨ Question for Indian Traders: Do you think Gold will retest supports first or break 3400 directly? 🚀
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 26/08/2025Nifty is likely to open on a flat note today, with the index holding near the 24,950–25,000 zone. The market has been consolidating within this range for the past few sessions, signaling indecision among traders as both buyers and sellers are waiting for a clear breakout to take charge.
On the upside, a sustained move above 25,050–25,100 could trigger fresh buying momentum, lifting Nifty towards 25,150, 25,200, and 25,250+. Beyond this, the index may test 25,350 levels, which will act as a major resistance for the short term.
On the downside, if the index slips below 24,950–24,900, weakness may resume, dragging prices towards 24,850, 24,800, and 24,750. A decisive break below 24,750 would expose the lower zone near 24,500, which remains a strong support for the day.
Overall, Nifty is currently trading within a consolidation band, with 24,950–25,050 acting as the key pivot zone. Intraday direction will likely be decided by a breakout on either side, and traders should remain cautious while positioning for the day.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(26/08/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to witness a flat opening today, with the index likely to hover around the 55,150 zone. The market has been consolidating in a narrow range, and today’s opening indicates that traders may need to watch for decisive breakouts to confirm directional moves.
On the upside, if Bank Nifty manages to sustain above the 55,050–55,100 levels, buying momentum could pick up, leading the index higher towards 55,250, 55,350, and 55,450+. A further breakout above 55,550–55,600 could extend the rally towards 55,750, 55,850, and even 55,950 levels, where strong resistance is placed.
On the downside, if the index slips below 55,000, weakness may return, dragging the index towards 54,750, 54,650, and 54,550. A breakdown below 54,500 would open the gates for deeper declines, exposing 54,250–54,200 levels as the next critical supports.
Overall, the 55,000–55,200 range will act as the key intraday pivot. Traders should remain cautious in this consolidation phase, with opportunities for both quick upside moves and sharp downside reversals. Following strict stop losses and booking partial profits at key levels will remain crucial in today’s session.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 24/8/2025
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is still rising → High probability that price will continue its bullish move on Monday.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum remains bullish → Price is expected to keep rising early in the week to complete wave (3) in yellow.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is heading into the oversold zone → The short-term correction is nearing its end, we look for buy opportunities.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: Friday’s strong bullish candle reinforces the scenario that wave (1) and (2) in blue are complete, and wave (3) in blue may already be forming. We need price to break above the top of wave (1) in blue to confirm the development of wave (3).
• H4 timeframe: Price rallied sharply and broke above the top of wave (1) in yellow → This confirms price is currently in wave (3) in yellow. With momentum on H4 still rising, wave (3) likely has more room to continue.
• H1 timeframe: The corrective ABC structure has completed, followed by a sharp and steep rally (as projected in Friday’s plan). Price broke above 3350 – the top of wave (1) in yellow → Confirming the scenario that price is in wave (3) in yellow.
o Minimum target for wave (3) in yellow: 3387.
o Principle: Do not counter-trade wave (3); instead, wait for wave (4) correction to look for buy entries in wave (5).
Trading Strategy
With H1 approaching the oversold zone and showing a mild correction, we have two options for entries:
1. Breakout: Wait for price to break above the small descending trendline as shown on the chart → Enter breakout buy.
2. Pullback entry: Wait for price to retrace to the 3362 area → Buy from there.
Trade Plan:
• Buy Zone: 3364 – 3361
• Stop Loss: 3354
• Take Profit:
o TP1: 3378
o TP2: 3387
o TP3: 3403
Gold Trading Strategy | August 25-26
✅ Daily Chart: Gold prices remain within a consolidation range, with 3380–3400 as the key resistance zone and 3350–3355 as the critical support area. During the U.S. session, there is slight upward momentum; if 3380–3400 is broken, it could open further upside potential.
✅ 4-Hour Chart: After forming a bottom in the 3311–3321 region, gold rebounded strongly to a high of 3378 and is now consolidating at higher levels. MA5 is turning upward, with MA10 and MA20 following, confirming a short-term bullish trend. MACD shows a bullish crossover with expanding red bars, indicating sustained bullish momentum. KDJ is at high levels but showing signs of a possible pullback. The overall bullish structure remains intact, but caution is needed if resistance at 3380–3400 triggers a short-term retracement.
✅ 1-Hour Chart: Gold is fluctuating between 3360–3380, with MA5, MA10, and MA20 intertwined. Price action is sticking close to short-term moving averages, reflecting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. MACD red bars are shrinking, signaling weakening momentum, while KDJ is overbought and may form a bearish crossover, suggesting a possible short-term pullback. The 3360 support level must be watched closely.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3380–3400
🟢 Support Levels: 3355–3350
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If price faces clear resistance at 3380–3400, consider light short positions with targets at 3360–3350.
🔰 If price stabilizes and rebounds from 3350–3355, consider light long positions, stop-loss below 3344, targeting 3380–3390.
🔰 If price breaks above 3400 with strong volume, consider buying after a pullback to 3380–3390, aiming for 3420–3450.
✅ Conclusion: Gold is currently in a range-bound but bullish-biased structure. The medium-term bullish trend remains intact, but short-term price action will depend on whether gold can break above the 3380–3400 resistance zone or maintain support at 3360–3350.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 26th August 2025📊 NIFTY Trading Setup (15-Min Timeframe)
🟢 Buy Side (Long Trade)
✅ Entry: Buy above ₹25,025 (when a 15-min candle closes above the high).
🎯 Targets:
🎯 1st Target → ₹25,055
🎯 2nd Target → ₹25,085
🎯 3rd Target → ₹25,105
🔴 Sell Side (Short Trade)
✅ Entry: Sell below ₹24,890 (when a 15-min candle closes below the low).
🎯 Targets:
🎯 1st Target → ₹24,850
🎯 2nd Target → ₹24,810
🎯 3rd Target → ₹24,775
⚠️ Disclaimer
📌 This setup is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading in indices, stocks, or derivatives involves significant risk of capital loss. Always use stop-loss orders, position sizing, and risk management. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any investment or trading decision.
Gold Trading Strategy for 26th August 2025📊 GOLD Trading Setup (1H Timeframe)
🟢 Buy Side (Long Position)
✅ Entry: Buy above $3377 (when 1-hour candle closes above the high).
🎯 Targets:
1st Target → $3387
2nd Target → $3397
3rd Target → $3410
🔴 Sell Side (Short Position)
✅ Entry: Sell below $3359 (when 1-hour candle closes below the low).
🎯 Targets:
1st Target → $3349
2nd Target → $3339
3rd Target → $3325
⚠️ Disclaimer
📌 This is not financial advice. The above levels are for educational purposes only based on technical analysis. Trading in commodities, forex, and equities involves high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always use proper risk management, stop-loss, and consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
INFY: Swing SetupAfter experiencing a sustained downtrend since February 2025, Infosys has recently shown signs of a potential reversal on the daily chart. The stock has managed to close above its 50-day EMA, indicating a shift in short-term momentum and suggesting that buyers are beginning to regain control.
The RSI is currently hovering near the 60 level, which reflects improving bullish sentiment without yet entering overbought territory. This positioning often precedes further upside if supported by volume and price action.
Additionally, today's price action saw Infosys touch the upper Bollinger Band, a technical signal that often precedes a short-term pullback or consolidation. However, it can also indicate strong momentum if the price continues to ride the band. This move suggests a potential retest of the recent swing high near ₹1480 .
From a structural standpoint, the next key resistance level is identified at ₹1648 , which aligns with previous supply zones and Fibonacci retracement levels. On the downside, a logical stop-loss placement would be just below ₹1417 , which serves as a near-term support and a level where the bullish structure would be invalidated if breached.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Always conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
TCS – upport Bounce with Volume Confirmation📊 TCS – Technical & Educational Snapshot
Ticker: NSE:TCS | Sector: 💻 IT Services
CMP: ₹3,140.60 ▲ (+2.84% | 26 Aug 2025)
Learning Bias (for study purpose): ⭐⭐⭐ (Cautiously Bullish)
Pattern Observed: 📈 Support Bounce with Volume Confirmation
📰 Sentiment Analysis
👉 Overall Sentiment: Moderately Positive ✅
Bullish Drivers:
• Bounce from strong support near ₹3,000 with bullish candle & above-avg volume
• RSI breakout + Bollinger Band expansion → fresh buying interest
• Publicly available analyst reports indicate average estimates around ₹3,725; strong bullish case highlighted up to ₹4,610
• IT sector optimism for H2 FY26 earnings recovery
Risks (Bearish Case):
• Broader trend still marked Downtrend ⚠️
• Stochastic at 92 → overbought in short-term
• Employee layoffs & union protests (~12K–30K) may dampen sentiment
• Failure to hold ₹3,047 (support) could trigger deeper correction
Short-term Outlook: Upside momentum possible towards ₹3,160–3,200, but resistance supply zone must be watched.
Long-term Outlook: Positive — strong fundamentals, debt-free balance sheet, consistent dividends, and sector recovery cues.
📊 Technical Snapshot
TCS has formed a support bounce near the ₹3,000 bottom range, supported by a strong bullish candle and above-average volume.
Indicators: MACD bullish on daily/weekly, neutral-to-bearish on monthly.
RSI ~54 → healthy momentum without being overheated.
Trend direction still tagged as Downtrend, hence positional caution is advised.
📊 Volume Check
🔹 Current Volume: 3.45M
🔹 20 SMA Volume: 2.84M ✅
💥 Above-average participation → validates breakout reliability.
💡 Interpretation: Stronger demand from institutions/traders supporting price action.
💡 Learnings
Support bounces near psychological zones (₹3,000 in this case) often attract buying interest.
When combined with RSI breakouts, Bollinger Band expansion, and volume confirmation, the setup becomes more reliable.
However, overbought stochastic warns of possible near-term pullbacks — hence, stop-loss discipline is key.
📌 Key Levels
Resistance: 3,169 | 3,198 | 3,244
Support: 3,094 | 3,048 | 3,019
Fibonacci Reference Levels: 2,991 | 3,142 | 3,235 | 3,311 | 3,386 | 3,494 | 3,631
🎯 STWP Learning Reference
• Observed bounce zone: ~₹3,152
• Key support level: ~₹3,047
• Upside reference zones (if momentum continues): 3,200 | 3,244 | 3,310
• Pullback watch zone: 3,048–3,095
• Invalidation reference: Below 2,991 → momentum weakens
⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully
This post is shared only for educational and informational purposes. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please do your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing involve risk. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results. Always use stop-loss, proper position sizing, and risk management.
💬 Found this useful?
🔼 Boost this post to help more traders discover clean setups.
✍️ Share your thoughts, setups, or questions in the comments — let’s learn together.
🔁 Repost to spread awareness among traders & beginners.
✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for clean charts, price action insights & beginner-friendly setups.
🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.
Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
Bitcoin / USD – 15m Short Sell In this setup, I’m tracking BTC price action using the Fear Index (21) and Trend Shift Histogram (14) as confluence indicators for potential entries.
🔻 Key Observations:
The Fear Index showed a strong spike before the sharp sell-off, indicating growing selling pressure.
The Trend Shift Histogram gave multiple bearish signals (highlighted with arrows), aligning with the price rejection and downward continuation.
After the heavy drop, BTC attempted a recovery but faced resistance within the marked zone, forming a bearish retest.
📌 Trade Setup:
Short entry taken on confirmation of bearish trend shift.
Stop loss placed above the rejection zone.
Target aligned with the momentum continuation shown by the histogram and fear index.
⚡️ Conclusion:
This setup highlights how combining sentiment-based indicators (Fear Index) with momentum confirmation (Trend Shift Histogram) can help anticipate strong market moves. Always manage risk carefully, as volatility in lower timeframes can be sharp.
Mphasis cmp 2917.70 by Daily Chart viewMphasis cmp 2917.70 by Daily Chart view
- Support Zone 2785 to 2845 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 2980 to 3045 Price Band
- Falling Resistance Trendline Breakout attempted
- Rising Support Trendline well respected by up-trending price
- Bullish Cup & Handle pattern done near the Resistance Zone neckline
SMLISU: Multi-Year Base Breakout & Growth PotentialThis chart highlights SMLISU’s powerful breakout from a multi-year base, showcasing the classic technical pattern where prolonged consolidation leads to explosive upside momentum. The breakout above long-term resistance, with key moving averages turning positive, suggests a strong bullish trend. The annotation “How Much Potential Left?” encourages discussion around upside targets, risk management, and trader psychology after such sharp price moves.
• Multi-year base formation signals accumulation and long-term strength.
• Recent breakout and volume spike indicate renewed market interest and strong trend-following opportunity.
• Questions for followers: What are your targets? How do you manage risk after such moves? Is there further potential from the current level?
This format is ideal for reposting, inviting analysis, and sparking engagement about momentum trading strategies and breakout setups.
NIFTY50 – 15-Minute Chart Analysis: 25-08-2025Price action is currently testing a supply zone, and the coming moves will likely depend on whether bulls can break above resistance or bears take control for a deeper correction.
Bullish Case
If Nifty breaks and sustains above 24950–25000, fresh buying momentum may push towards 25100+.
A clean breakout candle + volume confirmation will be the key trigger.
Range-Bound Case
Price may continue oscillating between 24950 resistance and 24850 support.
Bearish Case
Rejection near 24950 followed by sustained weakness below 24850 could drag Nifty back to 24750 → 24700.
Disclaimer : This is an educational analysis based on price action on the 15-minute chart. Not financial advice. Always use risk management and confirm with your own trading plan.
Breakout & Pullback Analysis: Zuari (1 Year Consolidation BO)This chart for Zuari spotlights a classic technical breakout after a one-year consolidation phase, followed by a textbook first pullback. The consolidation breakout (BO) led to a powerful price surge, establishing an all-time high (ATH) and setting up a potential swing trade opportunity. Learn to spot breakout structures, pullback setups, and use moving averages for actionable entries in Indian stocks. Ideal for swing traders and technical analysts looking to master breakout and pullback strategies with real chart examples.
These suggestions are tailored to boost engagement for educational trading content and will appeal to your target audience interested in technical analysis and actionable setups.
KROSS LTD – Reversal on Cards?Chart Setup (Weekly)
KROSS LTD is showing strong signs of reversal after multiple rejections at a key support zone. Recent price action is accompanied by strong volume participation, indicating accumulation and potential breakout momentum.
🔑 Key Levels
Entry Zone: Above ₹210 (confirmation breakout level)
Stoploss: ₹168.70 (below strong support zone)
Target 1: ₹243
Target 2: ₹272
📊 Analysis
Price has tested the support zone multiple times and bounced back strongly (green arrows).
The falling trendline resistance is about to be taken out; a breakout and weekly close above ₹210 will confirm reversal.
Volume spike indicates strong institutional participation.
Rally expected if breakout sustains, with upside potential towards ₹243–₹272 levels.
⚠️ Risk Management
Keep strict SL at ₹168.70.
Avoid chasing the trade if price fails to sustain above ₹210.
📌 Conclusion
KROSS LTD looks promising for a medium-term swing trade. A successful breakout above ₹210 could open the gates for a sharp rally towards ₹243 and ₹272.
#KROSS #SwingTrading #BreakoutStocks #VolumeAnalysis #TrendReversal #StockMarketIndia #TradingSetup
ECELRX Breakout: Strong Volume Surge & Bullish SetupECELRX has formed a solid base and recently broke out above its prior consolidation zone, supported by the highest volume of the quarter and a successful pullback to the exponential moving averages (EMAs). The chart highlights a clean base formation, a healthy retracement, and renewed buying interest—confirming bullish momentum. This setup could signal continuation if the stock holds above key EMA levels; caution is advised on any breakdown below the pullback zone
Nifty Weekness Nifty Not Able To sustain above 25k Mark . Nifty having multiple Supply zone at Top . Even after a good news from USA of Rate Cut. Nifty not moved much. I may be wrong 100% so Ask your financial advisor before making any position in stock market. My views are for educational purposes only.
I am Seeing Fall in nifty may 200 point first then more. Let us see .
NETWEB Post-Earnings Momentum & EMA Pullback Analysis • This chart analyzes NETWEB’s price movement after a favorable quarterly earnings announcement, highlighting post-earnings drift, the formation of a trend base, and recent EMA pullback.
• Key annotations include buy signals, reaction levels, and actionable price zones to help identify optimal entry and exit opportunities for swing and positional trades.
• Clearly marked support and resistance, along with EMA overlays, provide a transparent ‘radar’ for traders to visualize how earnings and technical patterns interact.
SMLISUZU: Explosive Cup and Handle Breakout, Chart of the Month From Years of Consolidation to Explosive Breakout: Why NSE:SMLISUZU Cup & Handle Pattern Could Deliver Multi-Bagger Returns. Let's Deep Dive into "Chart of the Month"
Price Action Analysis:
- Current trading price is approximately ₹3,799.40
- The stock has demonstrated a textbook Cup & Handle formation spanning over a decade (2015-2025)
- Post-breakout momentum shows strong bullish continuation with healthy volume expansion
- Recent breakout above the ₹2,400 breakout level indicates institutional accumulation
Volume Spread Analysis:
- Volume spike during the 2024-2025 breakout phase confirms genuine institutional interest
- Average daily volume has increased significantly from historical levels
- Volume pattern shows healthy distribution during consolidation phases and accumulation during breakouts
- Recent volume bars indicate sustained buying interest at higher levels
Key Technical Levels:
Base Formation:
- Primary base formed between 2020-2023 at ₹400-800 levels
- Secondary base consolidation occurred in 2023-2024 around ₹1,200-1,600 range
- The decade-long cup formation created a strong foundation for the current uptrend
Support Levels:
- Immediate support: ₹3,200-3,400 (recent consolidation zone)
- Strong support: ₹2,400-2,600 (cup breakout level)
- Critical support: ₹1,800-2,000 (previous resistance turned support)
- Long-term support: ₹1,200-1,400 (base formation)
Resistance Levels:
- Immediate resistance: ₹4,200-4,400 (psychological round number)
- Next resistance: ₹4,800-5,000 (projected target based on cup depth)
- Long-term target: ₹6,000+ (measured move from cup formation)
Technical Pattern:
Cup & Handle Pattern
- Formation period: 2015-2025 (10-year formation)
- Cup depth: Approximately ₹1,800 (from ₹2,400 high to ₹600 low)
- Handle formation: 2024-2025 consolidation
- Breakout confirmation: Volume expansion above ₹2,400
Moving Average Alignment:
- Price trading above all major moving averages
- Strong uptrend with moving averages in bullish sequence
- No signs of trend reversal in the immediate term
Trade Setup:
Entry Levels:
- Aggressive entry: ₹3,600-3,700 (current market price on minor dips)
- Conservative entry: ₹3,200-3,400 (on pullback to support)
- Accumulation zone: ₹2,800-3,200 (for long-term positions)
Exit Levels:
- Target 1: ₹4,500-4,700 (25-30% upside)
- Target 2: ₹5,500-5,800 (50-60% upside)
- Target 3: ₹6,500+ (multi-bagger potential)
Stop-Loss Strategy:
- For aggressive entries: ₹3,100 (8-10% risk)
- For conservative entries: ₹2,800 (12-15% risk)
- Trailing stop: Use a 20% trailing stop once the position moves 30% in favour
Position Sizing & Risk Management:
Position Sizing Guidelines
- Conservative investors: 2-3% of portfolio
- Moderate risk investors: 3-5% of portfolio
- Aggressive investors: 5-8% of portfolio (maximum recommended)
Risk Management Framework
- Never risk more than 2% of the total portfolio on a single trade
- Use position sizing formula: (Portfolio Risk ÷ Trade Risk) × 100
- Implement pyramid buying on pullbacks to support levels
- Book partial profits at each target level (33% at each target)
Portfolio Allocation Strategy:
- Core holding: 60% of position for long-term (2-3 years)
- Trading position: 40% for swing trades and profit booking
- Rebalance quarterly based on technical developments
Sectoral & Fundamental Backdrop:
Commercial Vehicle Sector Overview:
- The Commercial Vehicles market in India is projected to grow by 2.13% (2025-2030), resulting in a market volume of 1,165.00k vehicles in 2030
- India's commercial vehicle industry is gearing up for a modest recovery, with ICRA forecasting a 3-5 per cent year-on-year growth in wholesale volumes for FY26
- The India Commercial Vehicles Market size is estimated at 51.09 billion USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 62.95 billion USD by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 5.36%
Industry Dynamics:
- Infrastructure development is driving demand for commercial vehicles
- The government's focus on road construction and the logistics sector
- The e-commerce boom is increasing last-mile delivery vehicle demand
- Replacement demand cycle supporting steady growth
Company Fundamentals:
- Net profit of SML ISUZU rose 44.34% to Rs 67 crore in the quarter ended June 2025 as against Rs 46 crore during the previous quarter ended June 2024. Sales rose 13.39% to Rs 846 crore in the quarter ended June 2025
- Market Cap: 5,498 Crore (up 84.8% in 1 year), Revenue: 2,498 Cr, Profit: 142 Cr, Promoter Holding: 43.96%
Business Model Strengths:
- NSE:SMLISUZU Limited manufactures and sells commercial vehicles and related parts in India and internationally. Its products include trucks and buses
- Strong partnership with Isuzu Motors for technology and product development
- Focus on fuel-efficient and reliable commercial vehicles
- Growing aftermarket services contributing to recurring revenue
Financial Health Indicators:
- Consistent revenue growth over recent quarters
- Improving profit margins, indicating operational efficiency
- Stable promoter holding, suggesting management confidence
- Strong balance sheet supporting growth investments
Risk Assessment:
Technical Risks:
- Failure to hold ₹3,200 support could trigger correction to ₹2,800
- High volatility expected due to recent sharp price appreciation
- Potential profit booking pressure at psychological levels
Fundamental Risks:
- Cyclical nature of the commercial vehicle industry
- Dependency on economic growth and infrastructure spending
- Competition from established players like Tata Motors
- Raw material cost fluctuations impacting margins
Market Risks:
- Overall market correction could impact individual stock performance
- Interest rate changes affecting vehicle financing demand
- Regulatory changes in emission norms requiring investment
My Take:
NSE:SMLISUZU presents a compelling technical setup with the successful breakout from a decade-long Cup & Handle pattern. The combination of strong fundamentals, improving sector dynamics, and bullish technical indicators suggests potential for significant upside. However, investors should implement proper risk management given the stock's recent appreciation and inherent sector volatility.
The stock appears well-positioned to benefit from India's infrastructure growth story and the recovery of the commercial vehicle sector. Technical indicators support a bullish outlook with multiple price targets achievable over the next 12-18 months.
Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FOLLOW for more
👍BOOST if you found it useful.
✍️COMMENT below with your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.