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KALYANKJIL 1 Week Time Frame 📌 Current Price Snapshot (Weekly Context) ₹~391–396 — the stock is trading near its 52‑week low range after heavy selling pressure. NSE/BSE trend is bearish on weekly charts (sell signals and down momentum). 📊 1‑Week Time Frame – Pivot & Key Levels 📉 Weekly Pivot & Levels (from pivot analysis) (These are derived from weekly pivot point calculations, representing expected turning points for the week) 📌 Weekly Pivot: Pivot: ~₹479.12 👊 Weekly Resistances: R1: ~₹495.23 R2: ~₹522.97 R3: ~₹539.08 🛑 Weekly Supports: S1: ~₹451.38 S2: ~₹435.27 S3: ~₹407.53 👉 The current market price (~₹392–396) is below the first major weekly support (~₹451) and closer to the third weekly support at ~₹407.5 — indicating deep bearish momentum this week. 🧠 Summary – 1‑Week Level Playbook Bearish near‑term risk: Break below ~₹407 opens potential towards psychological lower bands. Key levels for traders this week: Support to watch: ~₹407 (S3) Initial resistance to challenge: ~₹451 (S1 on weekly pivot) Major resistance zones: ~₹495 and ~₹523
NSE:KALYANKJILLong
by Knowledgehub
XAUUSD H1 – Liquidity Grab Completed, Buy the DipMarket Context Gold has just completed a strong impulsive rally, leaving behind multiple liquidity pockets and imbalance zones below. The current pullback is technical in nature, serving as a rebalancing phase after expansion rather than a trend reversal. From a macro perspective, safe-haven demand and a cautious Fed outlook continue to support Gold, keeping the broader bias tilted to the upside. Technical Structure (H1 – MMF) Market structure remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows. The recent sell-off is a liquidity grab into previous demand zones. No confirmed bearish CHoCH at this stage. Price is still holding above the major H1 GAP liquidity zone. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY Prefer BUY setups on pullbacks into: BUY zone 1: 4,759 – 4,729 BUY zone 2 (deep): 4,669 – 4,600 Only execute BUYs after clear bullish reaction and structure hold. Avoid FOMO at premium levels. Upside Targets TP1: 4,817 TP2: 4,892 TP3: 4,898 (liquidity sweep zone) Alternative Scenario If price fails to hold above 4,729 and sweeps deeper liquidity into the GAP H1 zone, wait for re-accumulation signals before re-entering BUYs. Invalidation An H1 close below 4,600 invalidates the bullish setup and requires a full structure reassessment. Summary The broader trend remains bullish. The current move is a corrective pullback into liquidity, offering high-quality buy-the-dip opportunities. Patience and confirmation remain key — let price come to you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
4
XAUUSD – H2 Technical AnalysisLiquidity Pullback Within a Strong Bullish Structure | Lana ✨ Gold continues to trade within a well-defined bullish structure on the H2 timeframe. The recent surge was impulsive, followed by a healthy retracement that appears to be rebalancing liquidity rather than signaling a trend reversal. Price action remains constructive as long as the market respects key structural levels and the ascending trendline. 📈 Market Structure & Trend Context The overall trend remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows still intact. Price continues to respect the ascending trendline, which has acted as reliable dynamic support throughout the uptrend. The recent pullback occurred after an aggressive upside expansion, fitting the classic sequence: Impulse → Pullback → Continuation No clear distribution pattern is visible at this stage. As long as structural support holds, the bias remains BUY on pullbacks, not selling strength. 🔍 Key Technical Zones & Value Areas Primary Buy POC Zone: 4764 – 4770 This area represents a high-volume node (POC) and aligns closely with the rising trendline. It is a natural zone where price may rebalance before resuming the bullish trend. Secondary Value Area (VAL–VAH): 4714 – 4718 A deeper liquidity zone that could act as support if sell pressure temporarily increases. Near-term resistance: 4843 Acceptance above this level strengthens the continuation scenario. Psychological reaction zone: 4900 Likely to generate short-term hesitation or profit-taking. Higher-timeframe expansion targets: 5000 (psychological level) 2.618 Fibonacci extension, where major liquidity may be resting. 🎯 Trading Plan – H2 Structure-Based ✅ Primary Scenario: BUY the Pullback Buy Entry: 👉 4766 – 4770 Lana prefers to engage only if price pulls back into the POC zone and shows bullish confirmation on H1–H2 (trendline hold, strong rejection of lower prices, or bullish follow-through). Stop Loss: 👉 4756 – 4758 (Placed ~8–10 points below entry, beneath the POC zone and the ascending trendline) 🎯 Take Profit Targets (Scaled Exits) TP1: 4843 First resistance zone — partial profit-taking recommended. TP2: 4900 Psychological level with potential short-term reactions. TP3: 5000 Major psychological milestone and upside expansion target. TP4 (extension): 5050 – 5080 Area aligned with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension and higher-timeframe liquidity. The preferred approach is to scale out gradually and protect the position, adjusting risk as price confirms continuation. 🌍 Macro Context (Brief) According to Goldman Sachs, central banks in emerging markets are expected to continue diversifying reserves away from traditional assets and into gold. Average annual central bank gold purchases are projected to reach around 60 tons by 2026, reinforcing structural demand for gold. This ongoing accumulation supports the idea that pullbacks are more likely driven by positioning and profit-taking, rather than a shift in long-term fundamentals. 🧠 Lana’s View This remains a pullback within a bullish trend, not a bearish reversal. The focus stays on buying value at key liquidity zones, not chasing price at highs. Patience, structure, and disciplined execution remain the edge. ✨ Respect the trend, trade the structure, and let price come to your zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
NIFTY – Bearish Structure Playing Out as AnticipatedIn my previous posts, I had clearly highlighted the possibility of a trend shift and warned that the ongoing price action could resolve to the downside. Over the last few sessions, price has started to play out exactly along those lines. 1. Bearish crossover (mini death cross) A bearish crossover between the short-term and medium-term moving averages has now occurred. This was already anticipated and mentioned in earlier posts, and it marks a loss of bullish momentum after the ATH zone. 2. Clean breakdown below key support Price has decisively broken below an important support and trendline structure. This confirms the bearish bias and strengthens the view that the broader market is under distribution rather than accumulation. 3. Next immediate support zone The marked zone below acts as the next immediate support, where we may expect temporary consolidation or a technical bounce. However, unless there is strong follow-through buying, this should be treated cautiously. 4. Caution on bullish moves Any signs of bullishness from here are likely to be temporary retracements, which may eventually trigger further sell-offs. ➡️ Avoid fresh swing longs until overall market sentiment turns favorable. ➡️ Existing positions should be managed with strict stop-losses and disciplined risk management. The market is behaving in line with what was discussed earlier. Until structure changes and strength is proven, the risk remains on the downside. Patience and capital protection are more important than chasing trades in such phases. 📢📢📢 If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly. Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments. Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too. Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Sniper-Traders
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 22/01/2026 1. Momentum – D1 momentum is currently preparing to reverse, which warns that the market may enter a corrective phase or move sideways for at least several days. We need to wait for today’s daily candle close to confirm this signal. – H4 momentum is preparing to reverse to the upside, signaling the possibility of a bullish move on the H4 timeframe today. This is an important move that needs to be closely monitored. – H1 momentum is currently rising and approaching the overbought zone, indicating that the short-term bullish momentum is weakening. When H1 momentum enters the overbought area and reverses, a short-term corrective decline is likely to occur. 2. Wave Structure D1 Timeframe – On the daily timeframe, price is currently in the late stage of the blue wave 5. – At the same time, D1 momentum is preparing to reverse, therefore we need to wait for today’s daily close for confirmation. – If the D1 momentum reversal to the downside is confirmed, this would warn of a relatively extended corrective move following the D1 trend. – In that scenario, price may: – Move back inside the rising price channel – Test the lower boundary of the channel – Or even decline deeper toward the previous wave 4 base around 4276 – Therefore, we must anticipate and prepare for deeper corrective scenarios. H4 Timeframe – With yesterday’s decline, the current structure is likely forming orange wave 4. – Using the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of orange wave 3, the potential target zone for wave 4 is around 4667. – At the moment, H4 momentum is preparing to reverse upward, signaling that a bullish move may appear today. – This upward move is very important because: – If H4 momentum reverses up and reaches the overbought zone – But price fails to create a new high – This would warn of a deeper corrective process on the higher timeframe. H1 Timeframe – On H1, price has already reached the target of the purple wave 4. – However, there is currently a confluence of multiple wave 4 structures from higher timeframes, so caution is required. – H1 momentum is preparing to move into the overbought zone, which warns of a potential decline within the next few hours. – This decline creates an expectation that price may sweep liquidity below around 4737, which is the target zone for the Buy setup. 3. Expectations and Price Targets – After the corrective move, the next bullish leg will be very important due to the overlap of multiple wave structures on higher timeframes, meaning volatility is expected to be significant. – Therefore, profit targets should be set appropriately and managed flexibly. – The most ideal target for the bullish move is the completion of purple wave 5 around 4959. – However, as analyzed on the H4 timeframe: – If momentum rises but price fails to break the previous high – In that case, it is advisable to prioritize taking profits in this area, as it may signal the formation of wave 4 on the H4 timeframe, leading to a deeper decline. 4. Trading Plan – Buy setup: 4738 – 4736 – SL: 4728 – TP1: 4758 – TP2: 4816 – TP3: 4870
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – Trendline broken, focus on Buying liquidityMarket Context After a strong impulsive rally, Gold has broken below the short-term ascending trendline, signaling a technical correction and liquidity rebalancing phase. However, the higher-timeframe structure remains intact, and the current decline is still viewed as corrective rather than a trend reversal. From a fundamental perspective, safe-haven demand and a cautious monetary policy outlook continue to support Gold. This keeps deeper pullbacks attractive for institutional accumulation rather than aggressive selling. Structure & Price Action (H1) Short-term bullish trendline has been broken → transition into a corrective phase. No confirmed bearish CHoCH on H1 at this stage. Price is rotating within a range, targeting liquidity pools below. Multiple Demand + Liquidity + H1 GAP zones are located beneath current price. Upper zones remain Supply / Liquidity Sell areas for potential reactions. Key Levels to Watch Supply / Liquidity Sell: 4,949 – 4,874 Mid reaction zone: 4,824 Primary BUY zone: 4,755 – 4,729 Deep BUY zone (H1 GAP – Liquidity): 4,665 – 4,600 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Buy at Discount Look for BUY setups at: BUY zone 1: 4,755 – 4,729 BUY zone 2: 4,665 – 4,600 (H1 GAP & liquidity) Entries only after clear bullish reactions and structure holding. Avoid premature entries while price remains mid-range. Upside Targets TP1: 4,824 TP2: 4,874 TP3: 4,949 (upper liquidity sweep) Alternative Scenario If price fails to reach lower zones and holds above 4,824, wait for a break & retest to re-enter BUY positions in trend direction. Invalidation An H1 close below 4,600 invalidates the BUY bias. Stand aside and reassess overall market structure. Summary The broader bullish bias remains intact, while the current move represents a healthy pullback for liquidity absorption. The optimal strategy is patience—BUY at discounted zones with confirmation, not by chasing price.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Short-Term Trendline Broken, Focus on Buying Liquidity Market Context After a strong impulsive rally, Gold has broken below the short-term ascending trendline, signaling a technical correction and liquidity rebalancing phase. However, the higher-timeframe structure remains intact, and the current decline is still viewed as corrective rather than a trend reversal. From a fundamental perspective, safe-haven demand and a cautious monetary policy outlook continue to support Gold. This keeps deeper pullbacks attractive for institutional accumulation rather than aggressive selling. Structure & Price Action (H1) Short-term bullish trendline has been broken → transition into a corrective phase. No confirmed bearish CHoCH on H1 at this stage. Price is rotating within a range, targeting liquidity pools below. Multiple Demand + Liquidity + H1 GAP zones are located beneath current price. Upper zones remain Supply / Liquidity Sell areas for potential reactions. Key Levels to Watch Supply / Liquidity Sell: 4,949 – 4,874 Mid reaction zone: 4,824 Primary BUY zone: 4,755 – 4,729 Deep BUY zone (H1 GAP – Liquidity): 4,665 – 4,600 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Buy at Discount Look for BUY setups at: BUY zone 1: 4,755 – 4,729 BUY zone 2: 4,665 – 4,600 (H1 GAP & liquidity) Entries only after clear bullish reactions and structure holding. Avoid premature entries while price remains mid-range. Upside Targets TP1: 4,824 TP2: 4,874 TP3: 4,949 (upper liquidity sweep) Alternative Scenario If price fails to reach lower zones and holds above 4,824, wait for a break & retest to re-enter BUY positions in trend direction. Invalidation An H1 close below 4,600 invalidates the BUY bias. Stand aside and reassess overall market structure. Summary The broader bullish bias remains intact, while the current move represents a healthy pullback for liquidity absorption. The optimal strategy is patience—BUY at discounted zones with confirmation, not by chasing price.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Thematic ETFs & Sector Funds for India in 2026🧠 1. Understanding Thematic & Sector Funds in India 📌 What Are Sector Funds? Sector funds are investment vehicles (often mutual funds or ETFs) that concentrate their assets in one specific industry or sector of the economy—like banking, IT, infrastructure, or energy. These funds aim to capture the full performance cycle of that one sector. They hold only stocks from that sector and therefore have high concentration risk and potentially high returns if the sector outperforms. 📌 What Are Thematic Funds? Thematic funds also focus on a broad theme or trend—but rather than being confined to a single sector, they may span multiple sectors that fit the underlying idea. A theme could be consumption, business cycle, digital transformation, or green energy. Thematic funds must invest at least ~80% of their assets in stocks tied to the theme. 📌 Thematic ETFs vs Sector Mutual Funds ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds): Listed on stock exchanges and traded like stocks, ETFs can offer lower expense ratios, intraday pricing, and transparency. Mutual Funds (Sector or Thematic): Often actively managed and traded based on NAV (net asset value) at the end of the trading day. Difference in Practice: ETFs are typically passive (tracking an index), while sector/thematic mutual funds can be active or semi-passive. 📊 2. Why Investors Use These Funds in 2026 🎯 Focused Exposure Sector/thematic funds allow investors to selectively target growth drivers in the Indian economy—such as rapid urbanisation, rising middle-class consumption, infrastructure spend, or digitisation. 📉 Diversification vs Concentration Sector funds have minimal diversification, giving deep exposure to sector movements. Thematic funds, because they span multiple sectors linked by a narrative (e.g., ESG or digital economy), offer moderate diversification relative to sector funds, but still higher concentration than broad equity funds. 📈 Tactical Strategies Many investors view these funds as tactical or satellite allocations (not core holding), because returns and risk can vary dramatically depending on economic cycles. For instance, sector funds often work very well when a specific sector is booming—but can lag significantly when that sector weakens. Experts suggest using them only as a small part of a broader portfolio strategy. 📌 3. Major Themes & Sectors in the Indian Market (2026) 📌 A. Infrastructure & Capex India’s infrastructure push, under multiple government initiatives, continues to be a key secular theme. Funds in this space invest in companies tied to construction, engineering services, power utilities, logistics, and related capital goods. Examples: ICICI Pru Nifty Infrastructure ETF — tracks infrastructure companies. Quant Infrastructure Fund — strong long-term historical CAGR among thematic funds. Why It Matters: India’s National Infrastructure Pipeline and related spending targets fuel demand for businesses in this space. 📌 B. Consumption & Domestic Growth As household incomes rise, themes tied to domestic consumption (ranging from FMCG to automobiles and retail services) remain strong. Examples: Nippon India ETF Nifty India Consumption — exposure to consumption companies. SBI Consumption Opportunities Fund — thematic mutual fund capturing diverse consumer demand. Why Few Investors Like It: Consumption trends are closely linked to demographic changes and urbanisation, often yielding stable growth opportunities. 📌 C. Banking & Financial Services Traditionally a pillar of the Indian economy, financials—especially banks and PSU banks—remain a favourite for tactical investors. Examples: Kotak Nifty PSU Bank ETF — focused on public sector banks. Nippon India ETF Nifty PSU Bank BeES — tracks PSU bank index. Investor Angle: Rotational strategies sometimes favour this sector during banking or credit cycles. 📌 D. Technology & Digital Themes Tech exposure spans not just traditional IT services, but digital transformation trends such as cloud, automation, and AI. Examples: ICICI Pru Nifty IT ETF — technology sector ETF. ICICI Pru Technology Fund — mutual fund with broader tech exposure. Why It’s Catchy: Tech firms often benefit from global digital adoption trends, but can be volatile due to global cyclical pressures. 📌 E. Defence & Strategic Industries With rising defence spending and a focus on domestic manufacturing, defence has become a thematic focus. Examples: Motilal Oswal Nifty India Defence ETF — defence-focused ETF. Why It’s Trending: Government policy support and strategic investments in aerospace and defence manufacturing bolster this theme. 📌 F. Metals, Energy & Commodities Commodity cycles and industrial demand also create opportunities—from metals/refineries to energy companies. Examples: Mirae Asset Nifty Metal ETF — metals sector exposure. Motilal Oswal Nifty Energy ETF — ETFs tracking energy & utilities. 🎯 4. Thematic Funds (Mutual Funds) to Watch in 2026 Sectoral mutual funds—another important segment—are actively managed thematic equity funds. Examples (based on performance or popularity): ICICI Pru Business Cycle Fund — focuses on cyclical trends across sectors. SBI PSU Fund — diversified PSU-oriented theme. HDFC Defence Fund — defence industry exposure. Quant Infrastructure Fund — strong historical CAGR. DSP Healthcare Fund & SBI Healthcare Opportunities Fund — healthcare & pharma themes. These funds span a variety of thematic ideas including business cycles, PSUs, infrastructure, technology, and healthcare. ⚠️ 5. Risks & Limitations 🔥 High Concentration Risk By design, sector/thematic funds often invest heavily in a narrow universe. While this can amplify gains when the theme works, it also means sharper declines when it doesn’t. 🧨 Volatility & Timing Performance often swings with economic cycles or sentiment—making timing important. Many retail investors enter after strong performance, only to face downturns later. 📉 Inflow Fluctuations Recent market data show inflows into thematic/sector funds have fluctuated sharply, with periods of both rapid growth and sudden slowdown—suggesting investor sentiment is volatile. 🧠 ETF Liquidity Concerns Unlike broad index ETFs, many sector/theme ETFs suffer from lower liquidity, which can widen bid-ask spreads and affect trading prices. 📊 6. How These Fit Into a Portfolio (Practical Tips) 🧩 Core vs Satellite Strategy Core Investments: Broad index funds or diversified equity funds. Satellite Allocation: Sector/thematic funds (5–15% of total equity allocation), for tactical exposure to growth trends. 📆 Long vs Short Term Use sector/thematic funds for long-term structural themes, but monitor risk and rebalance regularly. For short-term tactical plays, ETFs allow more flexibility due to intraday pricing. ⚖️ Diversification Balance To mitigate risk, never concentrate a major portion of your portfolio solely in one theme/sector—even if the narrative looks strong. 🧠 Conclusion In 2026, thematic ETFs and sector funds remain powerful investment tools in India for capturing specific growth stories—from infrastructure and defence to tech and consumption themes. They offer a focused way to participate in structural tailwinds. However, they come with higher concentration risk and volatility than broad market exposures. Used wisely—as satellite elements within a diverse portfolio—they can enhance returns, but they are not a replacement for diversified investing. If you're considering these, align your choice with your risk appetite, time horizon, and thematic conviction, and review regularly to ensure the underlying story still holds.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TechnicalExpress
NIFTY 5M – Fresh Long Entry After Retracement | Fibonacci-Based NIFTY has respected the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone and is showing a clean bullish response on the 5-minute timeframe. 🔹 Fresh Long Entry: 25250 🔹 Invalidation / SL: Below 25100 🔹 Upside Target: 25555 🔹 Structure: Higher Low + Strong Impulse 🔹 Context: Trend continuation after healthy pullback This setup aligns with price structure + Fibonacci confluence, suitable for intraday momentum traders. ⚠️ Trade with proper risk management. 📊 Not financial advice.
NSE:NIFTY
by toolsoftomorrow
CONSOLIDATION IN STOCKS ? Lets Elobrate Base Chart ADANIENSOLConsolidation in technical analysis refers to a period when a stock trades within a tight range, showing indecision between buyers and sellers. It’s important because breakouts from consolidation often signal strong moves. Traders typically enter after a confirmed breakout, manage risk with stop-losses, and remember that patience and discipline are key takeaways. 📊 What is Consolidation in Technical Analysis? Definition: Consolidation occurs when a stock’s price moves sideways within a defined range of support and resistance, reflecting market indecision. Visual Pattern: Prices form horizontal channels, triangles, or rectangles. Market Psychology: Buyers and sellers are balanced, waiting for new information or momentum before committing. 🌟 Importance of Consolidation Signals Pause Before Trend Continuation or Reversal: Consolidation often precedes major moves. Helps Identify Breakout Opportunities: Traders watch for volume spikes and price moves beyond support/resistance. Reduces Noise: It filters out random fluctuations, giving clearer entry signals. 🎯 When to Enter Stocks Breakout Entry: Enter after price breaks above resistance (bullish) or below support (bearish). Confirmation Needed: Look for increased trading volume to validate the breakout. Avoid Premature Entry: Entering inside the consolidation range can lead to false signals. ⚖️ Risk Management After Entry Stop-Loss Placement: For long trades: just below support. For short trades: just above resistance. Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of capital per trade (commonly 1–2%). Trailing Stops: Adjust stops as the trend develops to lock in profits. Avoid Overtrading: Consolidation can last longer than expected; patience is crucial. 🧠 Investor/Trader Key Takeaways Patience Pays: Consolidation is a waiting game; don’t rush entries. Volume is Critical: Breakouts without volume often fail. Discipline in Risk Management: Always define risk before entering. Adaptability: Consolidation can lead to continuation or reversal—be prepared for both. Mindset: Treat consolidation as preparation, not stagnation. 👉 The essence: Consolidation is the calm before the storm. Smart traders wait for the breakout, confirm with volume, and manage risk tightly. Different consolidation patterns are like triangles, flags, rectangles
NSE:ADANIENSOL
by NANARKAR
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 22.01.2026NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 22.01.2026 Timeframe: 3 Minutes Unable to post on time due to a technical glitch. Sorry for the delayed post. If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend. When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance. If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways please like and share my idea if you find it helpful 📢 Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
NSE:NIFTY
by AATHIE
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 22/01/2026A gap-up opening is expected in Nifty, indicating a short-term relief bounce after the recent sharp decline and high volatility seen over the last few sessions. This gap-up suggests that buying interest has emerged near the lower demand zones, but the broader trend still remains weak and corrective, so traders should stay cautious and avoid assuming a full trend reversal too early. The market structure clearly shows lower highs and lower lows on the higher timeframe, which means the current upside move should be treated as a pullback within a downtrend unless key resistance levels are reclaimed with strong follow-through. From a price-action perspective, the 25250–25300 zone is acting as an important reversal and decision-making area. If Nifty manages to sustain above 25250, it may attract short-covering and fresh buying, leading to a gradual upside move towards 25350, followed by 25400 and 25450+. This move will largely depend on whether the gap-up is defended in the first 30–45 minutes of trade. A strong bullish candle with volume confirmation above this zone would support a reversal long setup, but traders should trail profits aggressively as overhead supply is still heavy. On the downside, the 25200–25250 range remains a critical resistance-turned-supply zone. Any rejection from this area, especially if accompanied by weak candles or long upper wicks, can invite selling pressure. In such a scenario, short positions near 25250–25200 may push the index back towards 25100, then 25050, and potentially 25000. If selling intensifies and Nifty breaks decisively below 24950, the downside could extend further towards 24850, 24800, and even 24750, confirming bearish continuation. Overall, while the gap-up opening brings short-term positivity, the broader bias remains cautious to bearish unless Nifty sustains above higher resistance levels. Traders should focus on level-based trading, avoid chasing the gap, and wait for confirmation near key zones before taking positions. Intraday volatility is expected to remain high, making risk management and disciplined execution far more important than aggressive directional bets.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
#BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(22/01/2026)A slightly gap-up opening is expected in Bank Nifty, indicating a mild positive sentiment after the recent sharp sell-off and recovery from lower levels. However, despite the gap-up bias, the broader structure still reflects high volatility and a weak-to-range-bound trend, so traders should avoid aggressive directional bets at the open and wait for price confirmation around key levels. Market Structure & Price Context Bank Nifty has witnessed a strong bearish impulse in the previous sessions, followed by a sharp bounce from the lower demand zone near 58,550–58,450. This bounce looks more like a technical pullback rather than a confirmed trend reversal. The index is now trading below major resistance zones, suggesting that upside may remain capped unless key levels are decisively reclaimed. The slightly gap-up opening is likely to test nearby resistance areas quickly. If the gap sustains with follow-through buying, short-term upside moves are possible; otherwise, selling pressure may re-emerge from higher levels. Key Resistance Zones (Sell on Rise / Short Bias Areas) - 59,450–59,500: This is a crucial supply zone and previous breakdown area. Any move towards this level without strong volume confirmation may face selling pressure. - Above 59,450, if price shows rejection or bearish candles, PE buying / short trades can be considered with targets around 59,250 → 59,150 → 59,050. - A decisive breakout and sustain above 59,500 would weaken the bearish bias and open the door for a larger pullback. Reversal Buy Zone (Intraday / Short-term Bounce Setup) - 59,050–59,100 is an important reversal demand zone. - If Bank Nifty holds above this zone and shows bullish confirmation (strong candles, higher low formation), a reversal Buy CE setup is possible. - Upside targets for this move are 59,250 → 59,350 → 59,450+. - This trade should be treated as a counter-trend or pullback trade, so strict stop-loss discipline is essential. Breakdown & Bearish Continuation Levels - Below 58,950–58,900, selling pressure may increase again. - PE buying below 58,950–58,900 can be planned with targets at 58,750 → 58,650 → 58,550. - A further breakdown below 58,450 would confirm bearish continuation and may drag the index towards 58,250 → 58,150 → 58,050 in the coming sessions. Trading Approach for the Day - Expect initial volatility due to the slightly gap-up opening. - Avoid trading immediately at the open; let the first 15–30 minutes define direction. - Focus on level-based trades, not emotional entries. - Prefer sell-on-rise strategy near resistance unless the index shows strong acceptance above 59,500. - Keep position sizes light and trail profits aggressively due to fast intraday swings. Overall View The broader trend remains bearish to sideways, with the current gap-up likely to be a relief move rather than a trend change. Clear directional strength will only emerge if Bank Nifty sustains above major resistance or breaks decisively below key supports. Until then, disciplined, level-driven trading with strict risk management is the best approach.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by TradZoo
Why Every Trend Needs an Anchor Markets Are Test Matches, Not T20s — Why Every Trend Needs an Anchor Understanding AVWAP: Learning to Read Where the Market Remembers One of the biggest challenges for traders is knowing which levels actually matter. Markets print hundreds of candles, but only a few prices carry memory. Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) is a tool that helps us identify those prices — where meaningful participation occurred. Yesterday’s price action in Nifty Futures offers a very good learning example. During a sharp, emotional sell-off, price declined and stopped precisely at the AVWAP anchored from the 7th April 2025 low — a day that also marked the highest traded volume of the last year (~20 million contracts). This outcome wasn’t accidental. It was structural. What AVWAP Really Represents AVWAP is not just another indicator. It shows: The average price paid by participants since a chosen point Weighted by volume, not time Reflecting real positioning, not theoretical averages In simple terms: AVWAP tells us where the market’s money is positioned from a specific event. Because large participants manage risk around their average price, AVWAP often becomes a decision zone, not just a line. Why the Anchor Is More Important Than the Indicator AVWAP is only as effective as the event you anchor it to. The market does not respect arbitrary dates. It respects events that forced commitment. High-quality anchor points include: Days with exceptionally high volume All-time highs or major breakouts Crash lows (2008, COVID) Major structural bottoms (such as 2023) Panic or capitulation candles These are the moments when positioning changes hands and long-term inventory is created. April 2025: A Lesson in Confluence Let’s break this down step by step. 1. The 2023 Bottom This was not just another swing low. It was a cycle-defining bottom for Nifty. Anchoring an AVWAP from this point gives us a long-term cost reference for market participants who entered near that structural low. 2. April 7, 2025 On this day: Nifty Futures formed a swing low Volumes expanded to the highest level of the past year (~20M) Price was trading very close to the AVWAP from the 2023 bottom This alignment is important. When a new high-volume low forms near an older structural AVWAP, it tells us larger players are engaging at a familiar cost zone. 3. What Happened After Following April 2025: Price trended higher Pullbacks repeatedly found support near this AVWAP Buyers defended the level consistently This behavior shows acceptance above the anchor — a sign of healthy structure. 4. The Recent Panic Sell-Off During yesterday’s sell-off: Emotion dominated price action Weak hands exited positions Price declined directly into the April 7 AVWAP Selling pressure slowed and price stabilized This is exactly how strong reference levels behave — they don’t prevent volatility, but they absorb it. Why AVWAP Works During Volatile Markets AVWAP becomes especially useful when volatility expands. That’s because: Institutions track their average cost Risk is adjusted near those levels Decisions are made where positioning is concentrated As a general framework: Above AVWAP → structure remains constructive Below AVWAP → supply increases, caution required Reclaim of AVWAP → trend strength resumes AVWAP doesn’t predict direction. It highlights where decisions are likely to happen. Practical Guidance for Using AVWAP 1. Be Selective With Anchors Before anchoring, ask: “Was this a moment when the market was forced to commit?” If not, skip it. 2. Always Look at Volume The best AVWAPs come from: Highest volume days Breakdowns or breakouts with expansion Panic or capitulation events Volume validates relevance. 3. Look for Confluence, Not Precision AVWAP works best when it aligns with: Prior swing lows or highs Trend structure Higher timeframe context April 2025 was powerful because it aligned with the AVWAP from the 2023 bottom. 4. Let Volatility Confirm the Level Quiet markets don’t test conviction. Volatile markets do. If a level holds during panic, it deserves respect. My Perspective AVWAP is not about drawing more lines. It’s about learning which prices the market remembers. When price reacts during fear — not comfort — you are seeing real structure, not coincidence. Study those reactions. Over time, you’ll begin to see that the market leaves clear footprints — and AVWAP is one of the best tools to track them. My Take on markets vsTest Matches In Test cricket, great innings aren’t built on constant aggression. They are built around an anchor — the batsman who: Absorbs pressure Respects good deliveries Holds one end while others play around him This is exactly how great players likes of Sachin Tendulkar, Rahul Dravid Virat Kohli et all have built his best Test knocks — not by chasing every ball, but by playing around a stable base. Markets behave the same way. Price can swing, panic can spread, momentum players can come and go — but long-term structure holds around anchored reference points. AVWAP acts like that anchor batsman. It doesn’t score flashy runs every session. It doesn’t predict the next ball. But as long as price respects it, the innings stays intact. When panic arrives, the anchor absorbs it. When momentum returns, the innings continues. As traders and investors, our job is not to play every delivery. Our job is to recognize where the market is anchoring, and then build positions with patience — just like a Test match, not a highlight reel. Because in both cricket and markets: Those who stay anchored, stay in the game the longest.
NSE:NIFTY1!Education
by aktradelearning
4
Gold Trading Strategy for 22nd January 2026🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD) – TRADE SETUP 💰 📈 BUY SETUP 🟢 Buy above the HIGH of one candle 🔒 Condition: Candle close below 4870 🎯 Targets: 💵 4880 💵 4890 💵 4905 📉 SELL SETUP 🔴 Sell below the LOW of one 1-Hour candle 🔒 Condition: Candle close below 4796 🎯 Targets: 💵 4780 💵 4765 💵 4750 ⚠️ DISCLAIMER 📌 This is not financial advice. 📌 Shared for educational purposes only. 📌 Trading in Gold / Forex involves high risk 💥 📌 Please trade with proper risk management & stop-loss. 📌 I am not responsible for any profit or loss.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
2
USDCHF – Liquidity Sweep at Weak Low + Discount Rejection📌 Trade Idea USDCHF has tapped into a deep discount zone, swept the weak low, and reacted sharply from a higher-timeframe demand region. After the downside sweep, price formed multiple rejection wicks, indicating that sellers are exhausting and buyers are defending this level. Market structure shows a strong bearish leg, but we have now reached the extreme end of the move, offering potential for a corrective long retracement back into premium levels. 🔍 Key Confluences Weak Low Taken: Liquidity sweep below 0.7880–0.7870 Price in Discount Zone: Massive inefficiency + HTF demand area Rejection Wicks: Clear signs of absorption and buy-side willingness Potential CHoCH Forming: Early structure shift underway Imbalances Above: Clean FVGs acting as magnets toward 0.7940–0.7960 Entry Zone: 0.7885 – 0.7892 Stop Loss: Below the sweep → 0.7861 Take Profit 1: 0.7924 (first imbalance) Take Profit 2: 0.7945 (mid-structure FVG) Take Profit 3: 0.7960 (equilibrium area / bearish order block) Risk-Reward: 1:2.0 – 1:3depending on execution Bias: Short-term bullish pullback inside a larger bearish trend Disclaimer: For educational purpose only.
Long
by IITian_Wizard
US100 📌 Trade Idea US100 has tapped into the discount zone and swept a weak low, reacting strongly from a higher-timeframe demand region. The price is consolidating inside a falling wedge, and each downside push is being aggressively rejected, showing exhaustion of sellers. A clear CHoCH attempt is visible, and with multiple imbalances above along with a clean supply zone, the index is setting up for a corrective bullish move toward premium pricing. 🔍 Key Confluences Weak Low Taken: Liquidity sweep below 25,000 Price in HTF Discount: Strong demand zone + imbalance Falling Wedge Pattern: Typical reversal structure Multiple Rejection Wicks: Buyers defending the same level repeatedly FVG/Open Imbalance Above: Large inefficiency toward 25,300–25,450 EQ + Supply Zone: Clean target region where sellers previously initiated moves 📈 Long Setup Entry Zone: 25,000 – 25,050 Stop Loss: Below discount zone → 24,840 Take Profit 1: 25,250 (first FVG fill) Take Profit 2: 25,380 (mid-structure inefficiency) Take Profit 3: 25,460–25,580 (major supply & EQ zone) Risk-Reward: 1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry Bias: Short-term bullish retracement inside a larger downtrend Disclaimer: Educational Purpose Only
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by IITian_Wizard
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | January 21-22✅ 4-Hour Chart (H4) Analysis: Gold has maintained a strong upward structure since launching from the 4537 area, with both highs and lows continuing to rise, confirming that the overall bullish trend remains intact. After reaching the 4888 area, upside momentum has started to slow, and price has entered a phase of high-level consolidation and technical correction. Although the moving average system (MA5 / MA10 / MA20) remains in a bullish alignment, the market clearly needs to digest the previous rapid advance. As a result, this is no longer an ideal stage to chase longs; a more reasonable approach is to wait for pullbacks before reassessing new trend-following opportunities. ✅ 1-Hour Chart (H1) Analysis: On the short-term timeframe, price formed a temporary top near 4888 and has since entered a corrective phase, gradually pulling back toward short-term moving averages and the rising trendline. This movement is considered a normal correction within a broader bullish trend. As long as price holds above the 4800–4790 zone, the overall structure remains strong and the pullback can be viewed as a consolidation phase. However, a decisive break below this support area would increase the risk of a deeper correction and require tighter risk management. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4850–4865 / 4888–4906 🟢 Support Levels: 4820–4800 / 4790–4775 / 4695–4700 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 Trend-Following Approach (Primary Strategy) 📍 Wait for price to pull back into the 4820–4800 / 4790 zones 📍 After stabilization signals appear, attempt light, staggered long positions Condition: The H1 structure remains intact 🔰 Defensive Approach (Risk Control) 📍 If price breaks below 4790 and fails to recover quickly 📍 Decisively reduce exposure or exit positions and wait for new structural confirmation ✅ Trend Summary: 👉 Medium-term trend (H4): Bullish trend remains intact, but price has entered a high-level consolidation phase 👉 Short-term condition (H1): Corrective pullback + cooling momentum 👉 Core strategy: Do not chase highs; focus only on pullback structures 👉 Key defense zone: 4800–4790 — a clear break below requires heightened caution
OANDA:XAUUSD
by sdnr9766
2
$ASTER PRICE PREDICTION | HTF ACCUMULATION | 2400% MACRO POTENT?SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:ASTER is currently trading inside a high-timeframe accumulation base after a prolonged downtrend. Price compression near major demand suggests trend exhaustion and a potential volatility expansion ahead. Market Structure Overview ✅ Prolonged downtrend → exhaustion phase ✅ HTF accumulation forming ✅ Descending trendline pressure building ✅ Volatility compression → expansion setup SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:ASTER is already ~78% down from its September 2025 ATH, significantly improving risk–reward for long-term positioning. Key Accumulation Zones Zone 1: $0.70 – $0.60 ✅ (Filled – bounce expected) Zone 2 (Macro flush scenario): $0.45 – $0.35 → Strong long-term accumulation zone if broader market weakness persists Upside Targets (CryptoPatel View) $1.50 → $2.00 → $5.00 → $10.00 → $20.00 Macro extension: $20 – $30 (long-term, high-risk / high-reward) Invalidation: Loss of HTF demand structure → High-risk hold Market Talk As per public disclosures circulating on 2 Nov 2025, CZ was reportedly exposed to SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:ASTER below ~$0.91, holding approximately 2.09M ASTER. While not a signal, this adds sentiment confidence to the long-term accumulation narrative. Long-Term Thesis This phase appears to be early accumulation, not confirmation. If HTF demand holds and structure flips bullish, $5–$10 becomes realistic, with $20+ as a full-cycle expansion scenario. Disclaimer: This is technical analysis & market discussion only — not financial advice. Always manage risk and do your own research.
Long
by CryptoPatel