NIVABUPA: weekly analysis.NIVABUPA is currently trading at a decision zone between ₹79–81.
🔼 A breakout above 81, followed by a pullback and retest, can open the path towards higher targets.
🔽 A breakdown below 79, with retest confirmation, may trigger a downside move.
⚖️ Strategy: Wait for breakout → pullback → enter in the confirmed direction.
This is an educational analysis based on price action on the Weekly chart. Not financial advice. Always use risk management and confirm with your own trading plan.
X-indicator
Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 24th September
On Monday, September 23, the Sensex has experienced a significant correction, breaking below its rising channel. While the market did manage to recover some of its intraday losses, the overall sentiment remains cautiously bearish for the short term. The Sensex closed at 82,149.72, down marginally by 0.01% on the day.
Detailed Market Structure Breakdown
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)
Structure: The long-term trend remains bullish, as the index is still trading above its early September lows. However, the last few candles show a sharp break below the rising channel, indicating a significant shift in the immediate trend. The market is now backtesting a crucial support level around 82,000.
Key Levels:
Major Supply (Resistance): 82,800 - 83,000. This area served as support on the way up and is now a major resistance. Any bounce is likely to be met with selling pressure in this zone.
Major Demand (Support): The most critical support is the 81,800 - 82,000 zone. This area, which includes a prior breakout level and a FVG (Fair Value Gap), is the key "line in the sand" for the long-term bullish trend. A break below this would signal a major trend reversal.
1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)
Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear MSS (Market Structure Shift) to the downside. The price has broken below the lower trendline of the rising channel and is now making lower highs and lower lows. The market is in a clear downtrend on this timeframe.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: The 82,400 level is a crucial resistance now.
Immediate Support: The 81,800 level is the key support to watch. The price has already tested this zone.
15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)
Structure: The 15M chart shows that the index is in a corrective phase, having bounced off the crucial 81,800 support. The price is now trading within a small range, consolidating its recent moves. The volatility of the past two days indicates a tussle between buyers and sellers.
Key Levels:
Intraday Supply: The 82,200 area, which is the high of the recent consolidation.
Intraday Demand: The low of the recent consolidation and the intraday low, near 81,800.
Outlook: The intraday bias is cautiously bearish. The market is likely to remain volatile as it decides its next move.
Trade Plan (Tuesday, 24th September)
Market Outlook: The Sensex has shifted to a short-term bearish phase. A "sell on rise" strategy seems more favorable, but a strong reversal from the key 81,800 support level is also a possibility.
Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Justification: The market has shown a clear change in structure with a breakdown of key levels. The path of least resistance is to the downside.
Entry: Look for a short entry if the price retests the 82,400 level and shows signs of rejection with a bearish candlestick pattern. Alternatively, a breakdown and 15-minute close below 81,800 would trigger a short entry.
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 82,450.
Targets:
T1: 81,600 (Next major support).
T2: 81,400 (Psychological level and demand zone).
Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend Plan)
Justification: This is a counter-trend plan and should be approached with caution. It is based on the possibility of a strong bounce from a key support level.
Trigger: A strong bullish reversal candle (e.g., a hammer or engulfing pattern) near the 81,800 - 82,000 demand zone.
Entry: Long entry on a confirmed bounce from the demand zone.
Stop Loss (SL): Below 81,700.
Targets:
T1: 82,400 (Intraday resistance).
T2: 82,600 (Recent swing high).
Key Levels for Observation:
Immediate Decision Point: The 81,800 - 82,400 zone.
Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 81,800.
Bullish Confirmation: A recapture of the 82,400 level.
Line in the Sand: The 81,800 - 82,000 zone. The overall bullish trend is in jeopardy if this level is decisively broken.
Banknifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 24th SeptemberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)
Structure: The long-term trend remains bullish. The index has now corrected to test the lower end of its ascending channel and has found support. The bounce from this area on Monday is a strong signal that the overall uptrend is still intact.
Key Levels:
Major Supply (Resistance): 55,800 - 56,000. This level has proven to be a very strong supply zone, rejecting the price on its recent attempt. It is now a critical resistance to watch.
Major Demand (Support): The most crucial support for the bulls is the 55,050 - 55,200 zone. This area, which includes a prior breakout level, is the key "line in the sand" for the current bullish trend. A strong bounce from this area would confirm the trend's continuation.
1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)
Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear MSS (Market Structure Shift) to the downside. The price had broken below the lower trendline of the rising channel, but Monday's session saw a strong rebound, bringing it back into the channel's vicinity. The index is now at a crucial decision point.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: The 55,800 level, which is the high of the recent bounce.
Immediate Support: The 55,400 area, which is the bottom of the previous consolidation and the lower channel trendline.
15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)
Structure: The 15M chart provides a clearer picture of the intraday price action. The index opened with a sharp move down but then rallied strongly, reclaiming its lost ground. The price is now trading within a corrective pattern, but the bullish momentum from the close is a positive sign.
Key Levels:
Intraday Supply: The 55,800 area, which is the high of Monday's session.
Intraday Demand: The low of Monday's session near 55,200.
Outlook: The intraday bias is now cautiously bullish, but the market is still in a corrective pattern. The key for today is to watch for a sustained move above or below the current consolidation range.
Trade Plan (Tuesday, 24th September)
Market Outlook: The market is now at a crucial decision point. While the recent bounce is bullish, the overall short-term structure is still in a corrective phase. A breakout from the recent consolidation would provide a clear signal.
Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Justification: The market has shown a strong rebound from a key support area, suggesting that the long-term trend is likely to continue.
Entry: Look for a long entry on a sustained break and 15-minute candle close above the 55,800 resistance zone.
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 55,700.
Targets:
T1: 56,000 (Psychological level and major resistance).
T2: 56,200 (Further extension of the rally).
Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend Plan)
Justification: This is a counter-trend plan and should be approached with caution. It is based on the possibility that the bounce was short-lived and that the overall correction will continue.
Trigger: A confirmed breakdown and 15-minute candle close below the 55,400 immediate support.
Entry: Short entry on a breakdown retest of the 55,400 level.
Stop Loss (SL): Above 55,500.
Targets:
T1: 55,200 (Intraday support).
T2: 55,050 (Major demand zone).
Key Levels for Observation:
Immediate Decision Point: The 55,400 - 55,800 zone.
Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 55,800.
Bearish Confirmation: A break below 55,400.
Line in the Sand: The 55,050 - 55,200 zone. The overall bullish trend is in jeopardy if this level is decisively broken.
Nifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 24th September
The market sentiment has shifted from strongly bullish to cautiously bearish in the short term. The Nifty closed at 25,185.80, down 0.07% on the day, after hitting a low of 25,084.65.
Detailed Market Structure Breakdown
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)
Structure: The long-term trend remains bullish, but the index has now broken below its short-term rising channel, which is a significant sign of weakness. The last few candles show strong selling pressure, and the price is hovering right above a crucial demand zone.
Key Levels:
Major Supply (Resistance): 25,300 - 25,400. This area served as support on the way up and is now a major resistance. Any bounce is likely to be met with selling pressure in this zone.
Major Demand (Support): The most critical support is the 25,050 - 25,100 zone. This area, which includes a prior breakout level and a FVG (Fair Value Gap), is now the key "line in the sand" for the long-term bullish trend. A break below this would signal a major trend reversal.
1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)
Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear MSS (Market Structure Shift) to the downside. The price has broken below multiple key supports and is now making lower highs and lower lows. The market is in a clear downtrend on this timeframe.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: The 25,250 level is a crucial resistance now.
Immediate Support: The 25,100 level is the key support to watch. The price has already tested this zone.
15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)
Structure: The 15M chart shows that the index is in a corrective phase, having bounced off the crucial 25,100 support. However, it is now trading below the blue EMA, which acts as resistance. The price is currently consolidating between 25,150 and 25,200.
Key Levels:
Intraday Supply: The 25,200 area, which is the high of the recent consolidation.
Intraday Demand: The low of the recent consolidation and the intraday low, near 25,100.
Outlook: The intraday bias is cautiously bearish. The market is likely to remain volatile as it decides its next move.
Trade Plan (Tuesday, 24th September)
Market Outlook: The Nifty has shifted to a short-term bearish phase. A "sell on rise" strategy seems more favorable, but a strong reversal from the key 25,100 support level is also a possibility.
Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Justification: The market has shown a clear change in structure with a breakdown of key levels. The path of least resistance is to the downside.
Entry: Look for a short entry if the price retests the 25,250 level and shows signs of rejection. Alternatively, a breakdown and 15-minute close below 25,100 would trigger a short entry.
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 25,300.
Targets:
T1: 25,050 (Next major support).
T2: 24,950 (Psychological level and demand zone).
Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend Plan)
Justification: This is a counter-trend plan and should be approached with caution. It is based on the possibility of a strong bounce from a key support level.
Trigger: A strong bullish reversal candle (e.g., a hammer or engulfing pattern) near the 25,050 - 25,100 demand zone.
Entry: Long entry on a confirmed bounce from the demand zone.
Stop Loss (SL): Below 25,000.
Targets:
T1: 25,200 (Intraday resistance).
T2: 25,300 (Recent swing high).
Key Levels for Observation:
Immediate Decision Point: The 25,100 - 25,200 zone.
Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 25,100.
Bullish Confirmation: A recapture of the 25,250 level.
Line in the Sand: The 25,050 - 25,100 zone. The overall bullish trend is in jeopardy if this level is decisively broken.
Hemi TP Was DoneThe image displays a 4-hour candlestick chart for HEMI/USDT, a cryptocurrency pair. Let's break down what we see:
• Upward Momentum: The price has been on a significant and rapid ascent since early September, as indicated by a series of green candlesticks.
• Target Achievement: The two red horizontal lines at approximately 0.045272 and 0.04383 were your price targets. The current price on the chart is far above these levels, at around 0.162858, which is marked in the top left corner.
• Significant Gain: The percentage change of +71.93% is also highlighted in the top left, confirming a massive price increase in a short time. This is a very substantial gain, especially within a 4-hour timeframe.
Divergenc Secrets1. Option Styles
American Options – Can be exercised at any time before expiration.
European Options – Can only be exercised on the expiration date.
Exotic Options – Customized contracts with complex features (used by institutions).
Most stock options in the U.S. are American-style, while index options are often European-style. In India, stock and index options are European-style.
2. Why Trade Options?
Options trading is popular because it offers:
Leverage – Control large stock positions with small capital.
Hedging – Protect portfolios against market declines.
Income Generation – By selling (writing) options and collecting premiums.
Speculation – Betting on price movements without owning the stock.
Flexibility – Strategies can be bullish, bearish, neutral, or even profit from volatility.
3. Risks in Option Trading
While options provide benefits, they also come with risks:
Limited life span – Options expire; if your prediction is wrong, you lose the premium.
Leverage risk – Small movements can cause large percentage losses.
Complexity – Strategies can be difficult for beginners.
Unlimited losses – Selling (writing) naked options can lead to unlimited loss potential.
4. Basic Option Strategies
a) Buying Calls
Suitable when expecting strong upward movement.
Limited risk (premium), unlimited reward.
b) Buying Puts
Suitable when expecting strong downward movement.
Limited risk, high reward potential.
c) Covered Call
Own the stock and sell a call option against it.
Generates income but caps upside potential.
d) Protective Put
Own the stock and buy a put as insurance.
Protects against downside risk.
e) Straddle
Buy both a call and put at the same strike and expiration.
Profits from large movements in either direction.
f) Strangle
Similar to straddle but with different strike prices.
Cheaper but requires bigger move.
g) Iron Condor
Sell one call and one put (out of the money) and buy further out-of-the-money options for protection.
Profits from low volatility.
SHALBY | 265-Day Base Breakout with VcpThis chart shows SHALBY breaking out after a 265-day base formation, triggered by a VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) near the 10 EMA. A surge in volume and price is seen after the consolidation, signaling strong momentum above previous resistance. Multiple moving averages and a detailed stats window provide further context for the breakout structure and overall trend.
Part 2 Support and Resistance1. Who Participates in Option Markets?
There are two main participants in options trading:
Option Buyers:
Pay premium upfront.
Limited risk, unlimited profit potential (in calls).
They speculate on price movement.
Option Sellers (Writers):
Receive premium from buyers.
Limited profit (only premium collected), but potentially large risk.
Often institutions or experienced traders who use hedging.
2. Why Trade Options?
Options are not just for gambling on price. They are multipurpose:
Leverage: You control more value with less money. A small premium can give exposure to big stock moves.
Hedging: Protect your stock portfolio from market crashes.
Flexibility: You can profit whether the market goes up, down, or even stays flat.
Income: Selling options regularly earns premiums, like rental income.
3. Option Pricing (The Premium)
The premium of an option has two parts:
Intrinsic Value: The real value if exercised today.
Example: Stock price ₹1,500, Call strike ₹1,450 → Intrinsic value = ₹50.
Time Value: Extra amount based on time left until expiration and market volatility.
The longer the time, the higher the premium.
Higher volatility also increases premium because big moves are more likely.
So, Option Price = Intrinsic Value + Time Value.
4. Types of Option Trading Strategies
Options are flexible because you can combine calls, puts, buying, and selling to create different strategies. Here are some important ones:
A. Basic Strategies
Buying Calls – Bullish view. Cheap way to bet on rising prices.
Buying Puts – Bearish view. Cheap way to bet on falling prices.
Covered Call – Hold stock + sell call to earn extra income.
Protective Put – Hold stock + buy put to protect against fall.
B. Intermediate Strategies
Straddle – Buy one call and one put at the same strike. Profits from big moves in either direction.
Strangle – Similar to straddle, but with different strikes. Cheaper but needs bigger move.
Spread Strategies – Combining buying and selling options of different strikes to limit risk.
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Iron Condor
C. Advanced Strategies
Butterfly Spread – Limited risk and reward, used when expecting no big movement.
Calendar Spread – Exploits time decay by selling short-term and buying long-term options.
Cup & Handle Pattern formation in Hindustan ZincHindustan Zinc formed Cup & Handle Pattern on Daily Chart ,Stock is Trading above all important moving averages(20,50,100,200) & MACD & RSI also indicating positive momentum.
Breakout of it will happen above 465 level & Target will be 515 Rs ,with a stoploss of 450Rs.
its not a buy or sell call ..For education only
IREDA: Breakouts Test Your PatienceEvery breakout looks easy on the chart — until you’re inside it.
That’s when patience and discipline get tested the most.
🔎 Technical Context
After months of decline, IREDA finally bounced from the ₹135–140 zone.
Strong push took it above the 20 & 50 MAs, with volume support.
Price now meets the 200MA near ₹157 — a key test level.
Today’s rejection shows sellers are still active here.
This isn’t failure — it’s a test of breakout strength.
🧠 Mindset Lesson
Most traders lose money not because they spot bad levels — but because they lack patience when price retests.
They buy too aggressively into resistance.
Or they panic out when price pulls back, only to watch the real move unfold later.
Professionals accept that breakouts are messy.
They wait for retest → confirmation → follow-through.
That’s how patience turns a chart into profit.
👉 Breakouts don’t reward speed. They reward patience.
💡 Save this for your trading journal. Follow for daily trading mindset + education that upgrades you from beginner to master.
XAUUSD/GOLD 30 MIN BUY PROJECTION 23.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 30-min buy projection chart you shared for 23.09.25. Here’s the breakdown of what the chart indicates:
🔎 Chart Analysis
Trend: Price is moving within a bullish (upward) channel, shown by the blue trend lines.
Entry Zone: Around 3749.687 (marked as ENTRY, just above Support 1).
Stop Loss (SL): Around 3743.131, below the 30-min FVG (Fair Value Gap).
Supports:
Support 1: ~3749 zone
Support 2: ~3755–3757 zone
Take Profits:
TP1: Around 3765–3767 level (mid-channel target).
TP2 (ATH – All-Time High for this projection): Around 3783–3785.
Projection Path:
Price expected to bounce near entry zone → rise towards TP1 → possible pullback → continue bullish momentum towards TP2 ATH following the 30-min uptrend line.
⚡ Trading Idea (based on chart)
Buy Entry: ~3749
Stoploss: ~3743
TP1: ~3765
TP2: ~3783
This setup offers a risk-reward ratio > 1:3, which is strong for an intraday buy trade.
👉 Do you want me to calculate the exact risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) for this setup so you can evaluate position sizing?
SBIN 1D Time frame📍 Today’s Expected Range (Intraday Approximation)
Expected High: ₹861–₹865
Expected Low: ₹855–₹850
These are approximate intraday levels. Actual prices may fluctuate slightly due to volatility.
🔍 Key Points
Current price: ₹860–₹861, close to resistance.
If price breaks above ₹861–₹865 with strong volume → bullish momentum likely.
If price drops below ₹855–₹850 → short-term correction or pullback possible.
📊 Suggested Trading Strategy
Bullish Scenario
If SBIN breaks ₹861–₹865, you can buy, targeting ₹870–₹875.
Stop-loss: ₹855
Bearish Scenario
If SBIN drops below ₹855, you can sell/short, targeting ₹850–₹845.
Stop-loss: ₹860
Range-Bound / Sideways
If SBIN trades between ₹855–₹861, it’s better to wait and avoid trading until a clear breakout occurs.
💡 Summary
Resistance Zone: ₹861–₹865
Support Zone: ₹855–₹850
Strategy: Trade in the direction of the breakout, and always use stop-loss to manage risk.
NIFTY 50 TODAYASs per my previous post now we are inside the ascending channel and looking like consolidation near lower trend line of the channel,but you should not be more bullish because nifty is forming EXPANDING TRIANGLE so be carefull at near TOP EDGE of the TRIANGLE which is ploted inside the gann fan in white colour.if channel is broken there is a RED inclined line which wil work as support if broken then nifty continue falling this is just for information not buy/sell call.