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Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | December 16–17✅ 4-Hour (H4) Trend Analysis Overall Structure: Post-rally consolidation pullback, trend not reversed After dipping to the 4271 area intraday, gold rebounded quickly and reached a high near 4334, but failed to hold at elevated levels and subsequently pulled back to the 4290–4300 zone. Overall, this move still represents a technical pullback following an advance combined with high-level consolidation, rather than a trend reversal. As long as the 4275–4255 area is not decisively broken, the H4 medium-term bullish structure remains intact. ✅ 1-Hour (H1) Trend Analysis Short-term structure: Rally rejection, rebound failure The H1 chart shows that gold found support near 4271 and then surged rapidly to 4334, but the rally failed to extend further, forming a long upper shadow / sharp pullback, clearly indicating strong selling pressure at higher levels. This has resulted in a spike-and-reversal + failed rebound structure, with the high failing to break above the previous high. Moving Average System (H1): MA5 and MA10 have turned downward again MA20 ≈ 4310–4320, acting as a rebound resistance zone Price is currently trading below MA20 ➡️ All rebounds are still viewed as corrective bounces 🔴 Key Resistance Levels ◾ 4310–4320 (H1 MA20 + prior rebound resistance) ◾ 4330–4340 (Intraday high pullback + strong resistance zone) 🟢 Key Support Levels (Support) ◾ 4290–4285 (Current short-term support zone) ◾ 4275–4255 (H4 Bollinger mid-band + core trend support) ◾ 4210 / 4170 (Trend defense zone — a break below signals structural weakening) ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔰 Sell on Rallies (Primary Strategy | Short-term) 📍 If price shows renewed rejection in the 4310–4320 zone, consider light short positions 🎯 Targets: 4290 / 4275 ⛔ Protection: A sustained break above 4340 Reasons: ◽ H1 spike-and-reversal shows exhausted rebound momentum ◽ Clear resistance from MA20 ◽ Better risk–reward for shorting within a consolidation range 🔰 Buy on Pullbacks (Secondary Strategy | Swing) 📍 After stabilization in the 4275–4255 zone, consider light long positions 🎯 Targets: 4300 / 4330 ⛔ Protection: A decisive break below 4245 Reasons: ◽ H4 medium-term bullish structure remains valid ◽ Confluence support from prior lows + Bollinger mid-band + MA20 ◽ A classic buy-the-dip approach within a broader uptrend ✅ Trend Summary 🔸 H4: Bullish trend with high-level consolidation pullback 🔸 H1: Spike-and-reversal, short-term weakness 🔸 Short-term bearish bias, medium-term bullish bias 🔸 Trade the range: sell high, buy low — avoid chasing moves 🔸 4290–4275 is the key bull–bear pivot: holding above favors consolidation strength; a break below suggests a deeper pullback.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro
INFOBEANINFOBEAN gave breakout of the resistance, there was gap up, then price retraced and tapped at the support-20ema. Now price is contracting near 620 zone, a breakout from here may give a good upside move. Keep it in your watchlist for paper trading. ✅ If you like my analysis, please follow me here as a token of appreciation :) in.tradingview.com/u/SatpalS/ 📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
NSE:INFOBEAN
by SatpalS
SUPREMEIND High-Volume Reversal Attempt💹 Supreme Industries Ltd (NSE: SUPREMEIND) Sector: Consumer Durables / Plastics | CMP: 3405.8 View: Neutral to Bullish — High-Volume Reversal Attempt SUPREMEIND has witnessed a sharp corrective phase from its prior swing high near 4739, followed by a decisive reaction from the lower demand zone around the 3180–3320 region. The recent price action is marked by a strong bullish candle supported by exceptionally high volume, signalling aggressive short covering and fresh participation rather than a low-quality bounce. Despite the strength of the reaction, the broader structure remains a recovery attempt within a larger corrective framework, with price still trading below key medium- and long-term moving averages. From a structural perspective, the stock is attempting to stabilize after a prolonged decline, with RSI at 43.65 recovering from oversold conditions and moving back into a neutral-to-healthy zone. Stochastic has exited oversold territory, while MACD remains negative but shows early signs of deceleration in downside momentum. ADX reflects a strong directional phase, although current behaviour suggests the trend is transitioning rather than fully reversed. Volume participation is notably elevated (Vol-X 3.86), confirming that the recent move is driven by active repositioning rather than passive mean reversion. Key price references show overhead supply zones clustered near 3456–3592, while immediate structural support remains around 3320–3184, defining the current risk-reward envelope. A sustained hold above the reclaimed short-term averages would be required to improve structural confidence, while failure to hold recent demand may keep the stock range-bound with elevated volatility. On the derivatives side, the 3400 CALL is used strictly as an analytical reference to understand positioning behaviour. The option reflects LTP near 72 with a delta of 0.55, indicating strong directional sensitivity. OI contraction of approximately 18 percent combined with an explosive volume expansion of over 1300 percent clearly points to short-covering-led participation rather than fresh leveraged longs. IV remains in a moderate zone, suggesting volatility is present but not excessively priced. This configuration typically aligns with sharp reactive moves, though continuation depends on follow-through in the underlying. Structure quality metrics remain constructive, with an STWP Edge Score near 6.8/10, supported by liquidity proximity to ATM, balanced IV conditions and strong participation. However, directional options remain highly sensitive to time decay and price stalling, reinforcing the importance of momentum persistence in such environments. Smart positioning currently reflects improving sentiment, though confirmation would require sustained price acceptance above near-term resistance bands. Overall, SUPREMEIND is exhibiting a high-volume reversal attempt with improving internal momentum, but the broader trend remains in a rebuilding phase. Structural confirmation, moving-average reclaim and contraction-to-expansion behaviour will be critical in determining whether this move evolves into a trend or remains a reactive bounce. Final Outlook (Educational Snapshot): Momentum: Strong (Short-Term) | Trend: Recovering / Transitional | Risk: High | Volume: Very High ⚠️ STWP Legal Disclaimer This document is strictly for educational and informational purposes. All examples, charts, levels, and option structures discussed are illustrative and are not intended as buy, sell, or hold recommendations. STWP does not provide investment advice, trading tips, signals, or personalized financial guidance of any kind, nor is it a SEBI-registered intermediary or research analyst. The analyses, illustrations, and risk–reward structures included here are generic in nature and based on publicly available data and observed market behaviour, which may change without notice. Financial markets involve significant risk; derivatives in particular carry the potential for substantial losses. Option premiums, implied volatility, open interest, delta, and other market variables can fluctuate rapidly and unpredictably. Readers are solely responsible for their trading decisions, capital management, and risk assessment. Before making any investment or trading decision, please consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor. STWP, its representatives, and affiliates shall not be liable for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this material. Historical patterns or past market behaviour do not guarantee future outcomes, nor should any part of this document be interpreted as a promise of performance, accuracy, or returns. Position Status: No active position in this instrument at the time of analysis. Data Source: TradingView & NSE India. 💬 Found this useful? 🔼 Boost this post to support structured learning ✍️ Share your thoughts or questions in the comments 🔁 Forward this to traders who value clean technical studies 👉 Follow for disciplined, structured, STWP-style analysis 🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience. Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
NSE:SUPREMEINDLong
by simpletradewithpatience
NIFTY FUTURES ALERT: 25,860 Is the Key Level Traders Must Watch!🚨 Attention NIFTY Futures Traders! 🚨 The next critical target for NIFTY Futures is 25,860. This level is acting as a make-or-break zone for the market. 🔻 If 25,860 breaks decisively, we could witness a sharp move down towards 25,500–25,450 in the near term. This zone may invite panic selling as well as fresh short positions. 📊 What does this mean for traders? Short-term sentiment remains weak below 25,860 High volatility expected after the breakdown Risk management and strict stop-loss are crucial ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a technical view based on price action. Please manage your risk accordingly. 👉 Follow this space for real-time market insights, NIFTY analysis, and professional trading updates. #NiftyFutures #StockMarketIndia #NiftyAnalysis #IndexTrading #FuturesTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook #IndianStockMarket
NSE:NIFTY1!Short
by biplab86
ETH Next Prediction || CRYPTOETH is in a macro downtrend after rejection from the 4,700–4,800 zone. Price is trading below the weekly trendline and inside a descending channel. RSI (Weekly): RSI has rolled over from mid-range and is heading down → weak momentum No bullish divergence visible yet. ETH broke down from a descending channel. Price is below key Fibonacci levels (0.5 and 0.618 failed). Current price ~ 2,930–2,950 is acting as weak support, not strong demand. Support: 2,800 2,500 2,100 (major demand) Price is making lower highs Rejected again from descending trendline Consolidation = bear flag structure RSI (4H): RSI stuck between 40–50 → weak recovery, Momentum favors sellers Disclaimer- This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and involve significant risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDShort
by nikhilvishwakarma322
1
MARAL- Why 1H Crypto Trades Fail Without Execution Permission MARAL1H CRYPTO EXECUTION ANALYSIS Why most traders chase candles — and professionals wait for permission Timeframe: 1 Hour (USDT Perpetuals) Engine: MARAL™ Ultra-Filtered Master Engine (Balanced Mode) Objective: Execution quality, not signal frequency 1️⃣ MAVIAUSDT.P — Late Continuation, Exit-Dominant Zone 🔴 MARAL MASTER ENGINE READ Direction: Bearish Structure: Bear Structure intact H4 & Daily Bias: Bearish RSI / UF-RSI: ~52 (neutral bounce, no dominance) ADX: ~12.9 → trend strength exhausted ATR: Elevated → volatility present, but unstable 🧠 EXECUTION BOARD INSIGHT Trade Status: WEAK Market Phase: Continuation (late stage) Exit Pressure: HIGH Score Trend: DETERIORATING Trade Age: LATE ACTION: ❌ EXIT 📌 Professional Interpretation This is a textbook late-trend trap. Trend direction is still bearish But momentum is gone Sellers who entered early are distributing New shorts here face poor RR and snapback risk 👉 MARAL does not allow fresh entries 👉 It protects capital by forcing exit discipline Verdict: This is where amateurs add positions — and professionals close them. 2️⃣ AVAXUSDT.P — Overextended Continuation, Risk Compression 🔴 MARAL MASTER ENGINE READ Direction: Bearish (HTF aligned) Structure: Bearish RSI: ~39 (weak bounce, not reversal) ADX: ~59 → strong trend, but aging ATR: High → fast moves, thin margin for error 🧠 EXECUTION BOARD INSIGHT Trade Status: RISKY Exit Pressure: RISING Risk State: OVEREXTENDED SL Mode: TIGHT Trade Age: FRESH ACTION: ⚠️ SCALE OUT 📌 Professional Interpretation This is not a new short entry, even though price is falling. Why? Trend strength exists But risk asymmetry is shrinking Volatility expansion + overextension = snapback probability rising MARAL correctly: Allows partial profit Blocks emotional re-entries Forces risk compression Verdict: Strong trends do not mean safe entries. MARAL trades probability, not excitement. 3️⃣ 1000PEPEUSDT.P — Clean Institutional Continuation 🟢 MARAL MASTER ENGINE READ Direction: Bearish Structure: Bearish continuation RSI / UF-RSI: Below 50 → controlled weakness ADX: ~37 → healthy trend strength ATR: Stable → execution-friendly 🧠 EXECUTION BOARD INSIGHT Trade Status: VALID TP Probability: HIGH Exit Pressure: LOW Momentum Health: STRONG Score Trend: IMPROVING Trade Age: MID ACTION: ✅ HOLD 📌 Professional Interpretation This is what clean continuation looks like: No panic selling No volatility spikes No early profit-taking pressure Sellers are in control without stress. MARAL confirms: Structure intact Momentum healthy Risk state normal Verdict: This is where MARAL stays in the trade — not because of hope, but because conditions remain statistically favorable. 🔑 WHY MARAL FEELS “DIFFERENT” ON 1H CHARTS Most indicators: “Price is moving — trade it.” MARAL asks: Is the market ready to pay me for risk? That’s why you see: WAIT instead of overtrading EXIT instead of hope HOLD only when probability stays intact ⚠️ TRADING LIMITATION (IMPORTANT) MARAL is not designed to trade every candle. It intentionally avoids Late trends Low-momentum ranges Overextended volatility Emotional continuation traps 👉 Fewer trades 👉 Higher execution quality 👉 Lower psychological damage 🧠 ONE-LINE MARAL TRUTH Markets move every hour. Money is made only when structure, momentum, volatility, and risk agree. That agreement is called MARAL Permission. Indicators generate signals. Execution engines decide whether capital should be deployed. The execution intelligence demonstrated here is not a conventional indicator and is not available elsewhere on TradingView or in retail trading platforms. MARAL operates as a rule-driven execution engine that evaluates permission, risk, and timing before allowing participation. This level of decision layering—combining structure, momentum, volatility, trade age, and risk asymmetry into a single execution framework—is typically reserved for professional and institutional environments. The objective is not signal frequency, but execution quality and capital protection. As a result, MARAL intentionally trades less and avoids conditions where probability, not direction, is unfavourable. note : Trading view of TradingView’s publication limitations, supplementary charts and extended analysis have been provided through the attached chart link, consistent with our earlier publications. #MARAL #ExecutionEngine #RiskManagement #CryptoTrading #USDT #PerpetualFutures #MarketStructure #SmartMoney #ProfessionalTrading #TradingView #PremiumIndicator # BTC/USDT #ETH/USDT #MAVIAUSDT.P #1000PEPEUSDT.P #AVAXUSDT.P
by MARAL_Official
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – December 16, 2025 1. Momentum D1 (Daily): Daily momentum is showing signs of a bearish reversal. However, we must wait for today’s D1 candle to close to confirm this signal. This is a critical confirmation, as it will determine whether the market has formed a medium-term top. H4: H4 momentum is currently in the oversold zone and is preparing for a bullish reversal. Once confirmed, we can expect a technical rebound lasting approximately 4–5 H4 candles. H1: H1 momentum remains bearish and is moving toward the oversold area. We will wait for price to reach oversold conditions and for momentum to confirm a bullish reversal, which would signal a short-term H1 corrective rally. --- 2. Elliott Wave Structure D1: With D1 momentum turning down, if today’s daily candle confirms the reversal, price is likely forming the top of the purple wave X. After wave X completes, the market may enter purple wave Y, which is most likely developing as a Flat correction. → The projected target for wave Y is near the 3888 zone. H4: Price is currently trading within green wave 5. Once this wave 5 completes, it will also mark the completion of wave C and wave X on the higher timeframe. Given that H4 momentum is oversold, a short-term upward move is expected before the broader structure completes. H1: The current decline is likely forming a red 1–2–3–4–5 structure within green wave 5. At this stage, price is developing red wave 4. This red wave 4 is unfolding as a Flat corrective structure, consistent with the scenario outlined in yesterday’s plan. Target for red wave C: around 4260 Above this level, 4274 represents a high-liquidity / low-liquidity boundary Therefore, when price reaches the 4260–4274 zone, we will combine this area with H1 momentum bullish confirmation to look for long entries. Expected targets for red wave 5: Target 1: 4365 Target 2: 4393 3. Key Notes As discussed in previous plans, the recent rebound did not reach the 4353 level. This does not invalidate the scenario in which green wave 5 completes near this area (refer to the weekly plan). Therefore, if: D1 momentum confirms a bearish reversal at today’s close, and The upcoming H4 rebound fails to break above 4353, → We must be prepared for the scenario in which purple wave Y on the D1 timeframe has already begun. 4. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4261 – 4259 Stop Loss: 4240 Take Profit 1: 4286 Take Profit 2: 4319 Take Profit 3: 4365
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Candle Patterns The Power of Context: Where Patterns Truly Work Patterns are not standalone signals. Their effectiveness depends on context: Trend Direction: Patterns aligned with the higher-timeframe trend have higher probability. Support and Resistance: Patterns near key levels carry more weight. Volume: Breakouts with volume confirm participation. Market Structure: Higher highs and higher lows validate bullish patterns; lower highs and lower lows validate bearish ones. A bullish engulfing in the middle of nowhere is noise. The same pattern at a weekly support level is opportunity.
NSE:BHARTIARTLEducation
by TechnicalExpress
XAU/USD Quick Analysis (Gold) 16/12/2025Gold is trading near the 4280–4285 zone, which is the key decision level for today. On lower timeframes, price is weak and range-bound, while higher timeframes remain bullish, indicating a short-term pullback within a larger uptrend. As long as gold stays below 4285, intraday bias remains bearish, with selling pressure likely near 4290–4310. Downside targets and buy-on-dip zones are 4275, 4260–4255, and 4245–4240. A strong hold above 4290 can flip intraday bias back to bullish, targeting 4305–4320. For swing trades, the trend stays bullish above 4205–4210. Only a break below 4200 would weaken the bigger picture. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trade with proper risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tradewith_ritik
5
Lets undertstand whats Price Action > Part # 1What is PRICE ACTION / PA? Explained below in layman + practical trader mindset. If you liked it, don't miss to hit BOOST Part # 2 >> Coming Soon *TF = Time Frame 1️⃣ A Simple 10-Step Price Action Strategy You can consider it your Basic Trading Framework. Step 1: Decide Timeframe • Intraday: 5m / 15m + 1h for trend • Swing: Daily + Weekly 👉 Rule: Start with higher TF to check the trend, later try to find entry @ lower TF. Step 2: Identify Main Trend On higher timeframe (Daily / 4h): • Uptrend: Higher Highs, Higher Lows • Downtrend: Lower Highs, Lower Lows • Sideways: Within the Price range = here/there 👉 Trade mostly with trend, not against it. Step 3: Mark Key Levels Open the Chart & Manually Plot / Mark the levels: • Strong Support (Level from where the price takes support & reverses upward) • Strong Resistance (Level from where the price fails to sustains & falls back) • Recent swing high/low These levels should be your decision zones. Never enter mid-way, Enter only as per Plotted levels. Step 4: Wait for Price to Come to Your Level Important part: • Let Price reach to Support Level / or near Resistance • Avoid Forced Trades 👉 Trading is Waiting game, not “always doing something”. Step 5: Look for Candle Signal (Price Action Pattern) When price is near the level, Look for: • Reversal signs: o Hammer / Pin bar o Engulfing candle o Long wick rejection • Continuation signs: o Marubozu o Small pullback + strong follow-through candle Plan Entry when its near your Plotted Level. Step 6: Confirm with Structure / Confluence Confluence = 2/3 Confirmations @ a time: • Support + bullish candle • Resistance + bearish candle • Trendline + horizontal level • Level + gap area / previous demand / supply 👉 The more the confluence, the Higher will be the probability setup. Step 7: Define SL (Stop Loss) BEFORE Entry Fixed rule: • SL always below the candle / above the candle for swings • Intraday: bit tight but logical (after the specified level breaks) • Not in Fixed %, but price structure-based SL If SL is too big → Skip the trade. NO FOMO. Step 8: Position Sizing Decide your Risk: • Example: Capital = 1,00,000 • Risk per trade = 1% = ₹1,000 if SL = ₹10 per share, quantity: 1000 / 10 = 100 shares 👉 First calculate your risk, Trade Later. Step 9: Define Targets & Risk Management Plan Simple logic: • 1st target: At least 1.5x/2x of the Risk • Part profit book at T1 • SL bring to cost & maintain TSL after T1 • If Trend is strong hold runner quantity for T2/T3 Step 10: Log, Review, Repeat Make a Log for Each trade: • Trade Reason? • Entry, SL, Target • Result • Emotion (fear / greed / FOMO?) Review your Log after every 10 trades → Improvement will be automatic. For more insights & trade ideas, 📲 Visit my profile and hit Follow Warm regards, Naresh G SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by NareshG_SEBI_REGISTERED_RA
BANK NIFTY Holding Key Base – Expansion Phase AheadBank Nifty is trading within a well-defined rising channel on the daily timeframe, showing strong structural strength. After a sharp rally from the lower channel support, the index is now consolidating near the mid-to-upper zone of the channel, which is a healthy sign in an ongoing uptrend. The recent price action indicates range-bound consolidation above a horizontal support, suggesting that smart money is holding positions rather than exiting. This sideways movement after an upmove often acts as a base formation before the next leg higher. As long as Bank Nifty holds above the immediate support zone near the consolidation base, the broader trend remains bullish. A decisive breakout from this tight range can trigger momentum expansion, opening the path towards the upper channel resistance in the coming sessions. RSI is placed near the neutral zone, cooling off after the previous rally. This reset in momentum without major price damage increases the probability of a fresh directional move. Overall, Bank Nifty is in a strong positional structure, and this pause looks more like accumulation rather than distribution, keeping the bullish bias intact unless key supports are broken.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by Marketik
XAUUSD (15m) & BTC/USD – MARAL Execution IntelligenceMy story (why I built MARAL) For a long time, my biggest problem was not “direction.” I could often read bias correctly. My real problem was execution: • I entered too early because the candle looked perfect. • I overtraded because I wanted to “make back” time or money. • I stayed in trades when structure changed, because I didn’t want to accept the loss. • I exited winners too fast, then watched price hit my original target without me. If you’ve experienced this, you already know the painful truth: Most losses are not from bad analysis — they are from emotional execution. So I stopped chasing more indicators and started building something different: MARAL is my attempt to convert discipline into a system. A system that forces me to earn the right to enter. ________________________________________ What MARAL is (in one line) MARAL is not a BUY/SELL arrow indicator. It is an Execution Intelligence Engine that answers 4 questions: 1. Should I trade? 2. Which side is safer? 3. Is this timing high quality or noise? 4. After entry, should I HOLD, PARTIAL, or EXIT? ________________________________________ The philosophy behind MARAL (what makes it “premium”) Most tools in retail trading give you a signal. MARAL was built to give permission. Because “a signal” without context is dangerous. A signal inside a trap zone is still a signal — and traders still lose. So MARAL uses layered confirmations. If the layers don’t agree, MARAL chooses the most powerful decision in trading: ✅ WAIT ________________________________________ Deep breakdown of the panels (How MARAL thinks) 1) MASTER ENGINE (the brain) This panel is the “truth dashboard” of the market state: • Last Signal: What the most recent qualified direction was • Direction: Current directional read (not prediction — condition-based) • H1 / H4 / Daily Bias: Higher timeframe alignment check • Structure: Whether price is trending, breaking, or behaving like a range • RSI / UF-RSI: Momentum + filtered momentum health • ATR% / ADX: Volatility suitability + trend strength • Long Score / Short Score: Probability-weighted confirmation score • Trend Probability / Reversal Probability: Helps avoid late entries This is where MARAL solves my old habit: “I feel like buying” is not allowed. The panel must agree. ________________________________________ 2) ENTRY CHECKLIST (permission gate) This is the part that saved me the most. MARAL breaks entry quality into clear buckets: • HTF Alignment – am I trading with higher timeframe flow? • Structure – is the market trending or trapped? • Momentum – does price have strength or is it fading? • VOL (ATR + ADX) – is the move likely to follow through? • Liquidity Confirmation – am I entering into a liquidity sweep trap? • Score – are enough confirmations stacked? • Entry Permission – final decision: GO or WAIT This is designed to stop the most expensive mistake: taking “good signals” at the wrong time. ________________________________________ 3) EXECUTION BOARD (after entry management) Most indicators stop at the entry arrow. MARAL continues — because real profits come from management: • Trade Status: WAIT / ACTIVE logic • Market Phase: RANGE vs TREND behavior • Obstacle Ahead: warns if price is pushing into resistance/liquidity zones • Exit Pressure: helps reduce emotional holding • Momentum Health / Score Trend: tells whether the trade is improving or degrading • Risk State / Overextended: prevents chasing late moves • SL Mode: indicates the risk posture (normal / protective behavior) • Action: WAIT / HOLD / EXIT style guidance This is why I call MARAL an execution engine — not a signal tool. ________________________________________ XAUUSD (Gold) – 15M | Execution-First Market Read This XAUUSD snapshot is a good example of why MARAL prioritizes execution quality over signal frequency. Higher-Timeframe Context • Daily Bias: Bullish • H4 Bias: Bullish • H1 Bias: Neutral This immediately tells me the market is in a HTF bullish environment, but lower-timeframe alignment is weakening. This is the first warning sign against aggressive entries. Structure & Momentum • Structure: Bearish (lower-timeframe) • RSI / UF-RSI: Mid-zone (no extreme momentum) • ADX: Healthy but not expanding • ATR %: Normal (no volatility expansion) This combination signals controlled selling pressure, not panic selling. In such conditions, continuation trades often struggle unless momentum expands. Score & Probability Read • Long Score: Low (No-Trade) • Short Score: Low–Moderate (No-Trade) • Trend Probability: Moderate • Reversal Probability: Low Even though structure is bearish, score quality is insufficient. This is a classic area where many traders force shorts simply because candles look red. Execution Board Insight • Market Phase: RANGE • Trade Status: WAIT • Risk State: NORMAL • Overextension: Present • Action: WAIT 👉 This is the key message: Direction alone is not permission. In a range-like environment with mixed HTF bias, MARAL intentionally stays in WAIT mode, protecting capital until: • Either structure + momentum align for continuation • Or liquidity is cleared and a cleaner HTF-aligned setup forms No trade here is a position. ________________________________________ BTCUSD – 15M | Trend Strength Without Timing Permission Bitcoin provides a contrasting but equally important lesson. Higher-Timeframe Alignment • Daily Bias: Bearish • H4 Bias: Bearish • H1 Bias: Bearish Here, directional clarity exists. Bias alignment is cleanly bearish. Structure & Momentum • Structure: Bearish • RSI / UF-RSI: Near mid-range • ADX: Moderate • ATR %: Normal Despite bearish alignment, momentum is not accelerating. This often leads to range-bound pauses inside trends. Score Interpretation • Short Score: B-grade (not A-grade) • Trend Probability: Moderate • Reversal Probability: Elevated relative to trend This is a subtle but critical insight: A trend can be bearish, yet entry timing can still be poor. Execution Board Read • Market Phase: RANGE • Score Trend: Deteriorating • Exit Pressure: Low • Trade Status: WAIT • Action: WAIT Even with bearish bias, MARAL blocks entry because: • Momentum is neutral • Score is degrading, not improving • Range behavior dominates price action This prevents late entries into trend exhaustion zones — one of the most common retail mistakes. ________________________________________ The Real Lesson From Both Charts Gold and Bitcoin show two different markets, but the same principle: Good direction + bad timing = bad trade MARAL was built to expose this difference clearly and unemotionally. • It does not rush into trades • It does not reward impatience • It does not care how “strong” a candle looks When conditions are incomplete, it does one thing extremely well: It waits. ________________________________________ How I approach these conditions I don’t predict. I prepare. • If momentum expands and score improves, permission may follow • If range behavior continues, capital is preserved • If liquidity is cleared, structure is reassessed Until then, WAIT is the highest-probability decision. ________________________________________ Note MARAL is a private execution system. This analysis is shared for educational insight into process, structure, and decision-making, not as trade advice. Always manage risk and define invalidation. MARAL is a private invite-only execution system. Due to TradingView restrictions, private indicators cannot be displayed on public charts. A TradingView snapshot is shared below to demonstrate how MARAL interprets structure, momentum, and execution states: Regards, Harish | Creator of MARAL #XAUUSD #Gold #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #PriceAction #RiskManagement #TradingPsychology #Execution #TradingDiscipline #TradingSystem
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MARAL_Official
2
NIFTY50 – Short Term Support TradeNIFTY50 has been trading inside a falling channel for the last ~15 sessions, indicating controlled corrective price action. Key Short-Term Support Zone: 25,780 – 25,835 Why this zone matters (Confluence): 0.50 Fibonacci retracement (50%) Mid-point / 50% of the falling channel Volume Area Low (VAL) – strong demand zone Multiple tests without breakdown Trade Plan (Short Term): Buy near: 25,800 ± Stop Loss: Below 25,720 (closing basis) Breakdown below 25,720 invalidates the setup and may extend the corrective move. As long as price holds above the support zone, buy on dips is favored within the channel. Fibonacci + Structure + Volume = High-probability support.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Chart_Code
1
XAUUSD – Structure Delivered | Buy Complete Sell Phase InitiateThis chart was shared on 12-12-2025 when Gold was holding previous high → flipped support. That level did exactly what it was supposed to do. 🔹 Buy Logic (12-12-2025): Previous highs tapped → support confirmed Strong displacement from the level Clean bullish structure continuation Price respected demand and delivered full upside move 🎯 Buy target hit cleanly, no drawdown drama. Now fast forward ⏩ After the expansion, price reached premium supply / distribution zone, failed to continue higher, and started forming lower highs. 🔻 Current Sell Bias: Rejection from supply Bullish structure weakened Market shifting into retracement / distribution phase Expecting continuation towards lower imbalance / support zones This is how the market works: ➡️ Expansion ➡️ Target delivery ➡️ Distribution ➡️ Reversal / retracement Same chart. Same plan. Bias changes when structure changes, not when emotions do. #XAUUSD #Gold #SmartMoney #MarketStructure #TradingView #ValhallaCore
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by VALHALLA-FX
2
COPPER (USD): Approaching Channel Top – Wave 5 PeakTicker: COPPER Timeframe: Weekly (1W) Key Observations 1. Wave Structure The price action is bullish, creating higher highs and higher lows within a clearly defined channel. We are approaching the upper boundary of this multi-year structure. 2. Key Resistance Zones $5.54 - $5.73: This is the critical resistance zone. $6.04 (Alt Top): The absolute extension target if mania takes over. 3. Key Support Zones $4.71 - $4.50: The breakout zone that has now turned into support. 4. My Final View The path of least resistance is UP, but the ceiling is near. Verdict: We are playing for the final expansion into the $5.50 - $5.70 zone. Advice: Tighten risk management. A rejection from the channel top will signal the start of a multi-month correction. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade with strict risk management.
CAPITALCOM:COPPER
by kacraj
1
Exit this counterHDFC Life CMP 779 If we look at the rally, every rally has been retraced nearly to the start. This is a sign of weakness. It is telling us that the rally is corrective in nature. Elliott- The C wave correction will bring it down to some 400 odd levels. RSI - the rallies cannot go past the bear zone is negative. Oscillators- both the detrend and the composite are touching the same amplitude is confirming the resistance. Conclusion - I will advise to exit this stock.
NSE:HDFCLIFE
by singh17vivek
1
Short-Term Trading vs. Long-Term Trading1. Time Horizon Short-Term Trading: Focuses on quick market moves. Trades last from a few minutes to a few days or weeks. The goal is to profit from immediate price fluctuations. Long-Term Trading: Built on patience. Positions are held for months, years, or even decades to benefit from long-term growth and compounding. 2. Core Objective Short-Term Trading: Capture small but frequent profits by exploiting volatility, momentum, and short-lived opportunities. Long-Term Trading: Build wealth steadily by participating in the long-term growth of businesses, sectors, or economies. 3. Analysis Style Short-Term Trading: Heavily dependent on technical analysis Uses charts, patterns, indicators, volume, and price action News and sentiment play a major role Long-Term Trading: Primarily driven by fundamental analysis Focuses on earnings, growth potential, balance sheets, management quality, and industry trends 4. Market Noise vs. Market Value Short-Term Trading: Thrives on market noise. Small price movements and emotional reactions create trading opportunities. Long-Term Trading: Ignores daily noise. Concentrates on intrinsic value and long-term business strength. 5. Risk and Reward Profile Short-Term Trading: Higher risk per trade due to volatility Risk is actively controlled through stop-losses Frequent wins and losses Long-Term Trading: Lower day-to-day risk perception Exposed to economic cycles and structural changes Fewer decisions, but higher conviction required 6. Capital and Leverage Short-Term Trading: Often uses leverage to amplify small moves Requires strict money management to avoid large drawdowns Long-Term Trading: Generally unleveraged Capital grows through appreciation, dividends, and compounding 7. Emotional and Psychological Demand Short-Term Trading: Mentally intense and emotionally challenging Requires fast decision-making and strong emotional control Fear and greed must be managed daily Long-Term Trading: Emotionally calmer but tests patience Requires discipline during market crashes and rallies Conviction matters more than speed 8. Time Commitment Short-Term Trading: High time involvement Needs constant monitoring during market hours Can feel like a full-time profession Long-Term Trading: Low time involvement Periodic review and rebalancing Suitable for people with limited daily time 9. Cost and Tax Impact Short-Term Trading: Higher brokerage, transaction costs, and taxes Profits can be reduced if costs are not controlled Long-Term Trading: Lower transaction frequency Often more tax-efficient Better net returns over time 10. Learning Curve Short-Term Trading: Steep learning curve Requires backtesting, journaling, and continuous improvement Long-Term Trading: Gradual learning process Emphasis on understanding businesses and macro trends 11. Lifestyle Compatibility Short-Term Trading: Best suited for active individuals who enjoy fast-paced environments Requires focus, routine, and discipline Long-Term Trading: Ideal for those seeking financial growth alongside career or business Less stress, more freedom 12. Wealth Creation Potential Short-Term Trading: Income-oriented approach Success depends on consistency and risk control Long-Term Trading: Wealth-oriented approach Compounding is the biggest advantage 13. Who Should Choose What? Choose Short-Term Trading if you: Enjoy active market participation Can manage stress and emotions Have time to monitor markets daily Choose Long-Term Trading if you: Believe in patience and compounding Prefer stability over excitement Want to grow wealth with minimal daily involvement Final Takeaway Short-term trading is about skill, speed, and discipline. Long-term trading is about patience, conviction, and compounding.
NSE:KOTAKBANKEducation
by TechnicalExpress