ETH/USD 4H ANALYSIS
Ethereum continues to respect the ascending trendline from July lows. Price recently tested the $4,600 zone and is now pulling back slightly.
Trendline Support: Price remains above the rising trendline, showing buyers are still in control of the mid-term trend.
RSI (14): Currently at 56, holding above the 50 level → signals bullish momentum remains intact despite the pullback.
Short-Term Outlook: A retest of the trendline could provide a potential higher-low setup for continuation towards $4,800–$5,000.
Invalidation: A break and close below the trendline would weaken the bullish structure and open downside risk toward $4,200–$4,300.
🔑 Trading Plan
Bullish Bias: Look for long setups on successful retest of trendline + RSI staying above 50.
Bearish Scenario: If price closes below the trendline with RSI < 50, shift bias to short-term downside.
X-indicator
Gold Outlook – Short-Term Pullback, Long-Term StrengthGold has shown a strong bullish phase over recent weeks after a long consolidation. The market moved from accumulation into expansion, reflecting renewed participation by larger players. This upward momentum indicates strong capital inflows, supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and shifting investor sentiment.
Technically, price has broken out of a prolonged range and established a clear upward trajectory. Market structure suggests that buyers remain in control, though current price levels are showing signs of potential exhaustion, which could trigger short-term corrective moves before the broader trend resumes.
Fundamentally, global economic pressures continue to boost gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. Concerns over inflation, central bank policy adjustments, and currency volatility are keeping investor demand elevated. With global risk sentiment fluctuating, gold is likely to remain an attractive hedge, sustaining its medium-term bullish outlook despite short-term pullbacks.
Conclusion: Gold is in an expansion cycle, supported by both technical momentum and fundamental demand. Short-term corrections are expected, but the broader trajectory remains upward.
Gold Trading Strategy for Monday✅ Fundamental Analysis
🔹 Fed Rate Cut Expectations
The Federal Reserve is almost certain to cut rates by 25 basis points in September, which is the market consensus. The recent rally in gold has been primarily driven by “rate cut expectations” rather than purely safe-haven demand. As the rate decision approaches, market volatility is expected to increase.
🔹 Geopolitical Risk Support
Ongoing global geopolitical risks continue to provide additional safe-haven support, keeping gold prices within a strong range.
🔹 “Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact” Logic
Before the rate decision: Market sentiment dominates, with gold maintaining a high-level bullish consolidation.
After the rate decision: If the rate cut is delivered and Powell does not sound excessively dovish, a short-term pullback could occur on “sell the fact” behavior.
✅ Technical Analysis
🔸 From a structural perspective, gold broke out of a four-month consolidation range and formed a strong unilateral uptrend, reaching as high as $3674. Based on the principle of “the longer the base, the higher the move,” the trend remains strong, with no clear topping signal yet. However, the rapid rise has caused short-term overextension, suggesting a need for technical correction.
🔸 On the 4-hour chart, the current candles are trading near the Bollinger Band midline (around $3640), showing balanced forces between bulls and bears. The narrowing Bollinger Bands indicate a consolidation phase. A strong breakout above the upper band ($3660) could lead to a retest of $3675–3680. The MA5, MA10, and MA20 are converging, showing that the market is waiting for a directional breakout. As long as prices hold above MA20 ($3640–3620), the bullish structure remains intact.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3657–3660 / 3675–3680
🟢 Support Levels: 3625–3630 / 3605–3610
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 Short-Term Idea: Focus on buying on dips near the 3625–3630 support zone. Light short positions may be considered if the price stalls near 3657–3660.
🔰 Medium-Term Idea: If gold breaks and holds above 3675–3680, the rally could extend toward 3700 or even new highs. If it falls below 3620–3610, a deeper correction may unfold, targeting 3595–3580.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
HBAR Market Report: Structural Recovery in ProgressHBAR Market Report: Structural Recovery in Progress
HBAR Market Report
HBAR has recently completed a clear cycle of distribution, decline, and recovery. After experiencing extended downside pressure in late August, the market shifted into accumulation, showing liquidity sweeps and structural shifts that hinted at buyer activity.
As momentum built, HBAR transitioned into expansion, confirming strength with higher highs and consistent breaks in structure. The rally into mid-September reflects healthy order flow, with corrections acting as controlled pauses rather than signals of weakness.
The latest pullback indicates a short-term re-balancing phase. Price action suggests liquidity is being collected, preparing the market for another impulsive leg higher. This rhythm of decline, absorption, and expansion continues to align with a constructive medium-term outlook.
Reverse H&S Pattern Breakout in BEL on Hourly chartReverse H&S Pattern Breakout in BEL on Hourly chart ..from neckline arround 400 level. Target of it will be arround 420 with a stoploss of 385 Rs. Stock is also trading above all important moving averages(20,50,100,200).
it"s not a buy or sell recommendation.. For education only
Strategic Long-Term Perspective on GoldGold Market Analysis – Report View
Gold has delivered a strong bullish cycle after weeks of accumulation. The past phase showed a contracting range where liquidity was built up and multiple structural shifts occurred, signaling preparation for expansion. Once price broke out of that range in late August, momentum accelerated, leading to a clean and sustained rally into September.
The recent move highlights how market flow continues to favor the upside, with each correction acting as a re-accumulation zone rather than a trend reversal. Institutional order flow remains visible, supporting higher valuations as price respects bullish market structure.
Currently, gold is stabilizing after the sharp leg upward. This pause suggests a phase of healthy consolidation, likely absorbing liquidity before attempting the next impulsive wave higher. Overall sentiment remains constructive, with bullish continuation the dominant narrative unless a major structural shift occurs.
Double Bottom Formation on Granules India ..Near Breakout LevelGranules india forming Double bottom pattern on Daily & weekly charts & Near Neck line area ( Breakout level 535 ) ..Stock is currently trading above all important moving averages (50,100,200).RSI & MACD also indicating positive momentum..If break out happened possible target will be 570 & 630 in near term with a stoploss of 500 Rs.
It's not a buy or sell call ...For education purpose only.
KTKBANK Swing TradeKTKBANK Swing Trade Setup
Karnataka Bank Ltd. (NSE: KTKBANK) is showing a potential swing trade opportunity. The stock has recently taken support near ₹169 levels and is trading above key support zones.
Entry Zone: Current market price around ₹179
Target: ₹200
Stop Loss: ₹169 (closing basis)
The trade offers a favorable risk–reward setup for short- to medium-term swing traders, provided the stock sustains above the support level.
PARAS Stock Analysis: Demand & Supply Zones, Base FormationThis TradingView chart of PARAS (Electronic Technology – Aerospace & Defense) highlights structured price action between demand and supply zones for 2025. Key features include a 110-day base, sound base formation, resistance at the 50 EMA, and marked demand/supply areas. The chart also presents current financial stats (MCap, EPS, P/E, PFloat, OPM) with quarterly data for momentum assessment. Useful for traders analyzing accumulation, breakout potential, and zone-based strategies in Indian stocks.
HAL : Coming out of the downward sloping ChannelThe Chart of HAL saw a good price move in the last week with volume. The stock came out of the downward sloping channel.
If we look at the recent low of the stock , it is 38% retracement of the previous up move in the stock. This retracement level will act as a strong support going forward.
IF the stock stays above 4600 in next week, we can expect a short term move of 5100.
BEL : Price Coming out of a downward sloping channel The Stock of BEL in last week demonstrated good price moves on daily charts. The price movement resulted in clearing the downward sloping channel with a reasonable volume. When we look at the recent low touched by the stock we see that its 38% retracement of the previous up move of the stock .
RSI just started clocking above 60 indicating a good movement in the stock.
If the stock stays above 385 in the coming week, it could reach the short term target of 430.
Bajaj Finance : Breaking Out Bajaj Finance is breaking out of the 5 months of consolidation. In last 6 months , the stock touched the resistance of 975 couple of times and finally broke out of the resistance on Friday , 12th Sept.
If the stock stays above above 975 for upcoming week , then it could have a 100 Rs move in the near term.
Zydus Lifesciences cmp 1044.75 by Daily Chart viewZydus Lifesciences cmp 1044.75 by Daily Chart view
- Support Zone 950 to 1000 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 1070 to 1120 Price Band
- Falling Resistance Trendline Breakout seems sustained
- Bullish Cup and Handle done by Support Zone neckline
- Bullish Rounding Bottoms made by Support Zone neckline
- Volumes seem getting in close sync with average traded quantity
NSDL Chart: Volatility Burst & Base BuildingThis chart highlights NSDL’s sharp volatility spike (high-volume move) followed by base formation. After explosive price action, the stock began forming higher lows, indicating accumulation. Recent price action shows a bullish setup with contracting ranges, suggesting a possible breakout above resistance. Tracking volume and price structure for next trade move is key.
IXIGO Breakout After 392-Day Consolidation | PEAD & EPS Driven “IXIGO completed a 392-day nonlinear base followed by strong EPS and earnings, triggering a breakout above major resistance. The stock surged 75% post-breakout powered by Post Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) and robust QOQ results. This chart highlights the precise consolidation period, breakout level, and technical momentum signals, making it ideal for swing traders and breakout strategy enthusiasts.”
ANGELONE 1D Time frameCurrent Price & Trend
Current Level: ₹2,222
Trend: Neutral to weak → stock is under pressure, trading below many key moving averages.
Momentum: Lacks strong buying interest; near lower-mid range of recent price action.
Indicators
RSI: Around 40–45 → closer to oversold but still in neutral zone.
MACD: Bearish crossover → signals continued weakness.
Moving Averages: Price is below 20- & 50-day averages → selling pressure still present.
✅ Bullish Scenario
If price sustains above 2,250, it can move toward 2,350 – 2,400.
Breakout above 2,400 would indicate a stronger reversal.
ASIANPAINT 1D Time frameCurrent Status
Price: ~ ₹2,546
It is well below its 52-week high (~₹3,394) and above its 52-week low (~₹2,125)
Market capitalization is large; the stock is considered a large-cap, stable name in decorative paints
Key Metrics
P/E (TTM) is high (≈ 67-70) → indicates expensive valuation relative to earnings
P/B is also elevated (≈ 12-13)
Return on Equity (ROE) ~ 18-20% — reasonable, not exceptional but solid
Bullish Scenario
If Asian Paints can reclaim and hold above ~₹2,550-₹2,600, it may move toward retesting higher resistance levels around ~₹2,750-₹3,000
TataChem Cup & Handle Breakout with VCPsThis chart of Tata Chemicals (TATACHEM) displays a classic Cup & Handle pattern formed over 173 days, highlighted by two breakout attempts and a strong EPS profile. The handle is marked by Volume Contraction Patterns (VCPs), indicating reduced supply and potential for an upside move. Key moving averages track price support, while the integrated earnings and financial dashboard offers quality fundamental confirmation for trade planning.
JSWSTEEL 1D Time frameCurrent Price & Trend
Price: ₹1,099.00
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near the upper end of its 52-week range (₹880.00 – ₹1,115.50).
Momentum: Indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
Bullish Scenario
Breakout Above ₹1,115: A sustained move above ₹1,115 could target ₹1,130 – ₹1,135 in the short term.